global waste investment: acucomm's 2017 forecast

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Global Waste Investment: AcuComms 2017 forecast A complimentary market update January 2017 In 2017: AcuComm anticipates 373 planned projects in our database to become operational. These will have a combined investment value of US$29 billion, equal to US$78 million each on average. Overall estimated feedstock capacity is 82 million tonnes. This is equal to 686 tonnes per day per project. These projects represent power generation capacity of 7,582 MW, equal to 27 MW on average.

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Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary market update January 2017

In 2017:

AcuComm anticipates 373 planned projects in our

database to become operational.

These will have a combined investment value of US$29

billion, equal to US$78 million each on average.

Overall estimated feedstock capacity is 82 million tonnes.

This is equal to 686 tonnes per day per project.

These projects represent power generation capacity of

7,582 MW, equal to 27 MW on average.

© 2016 AcuComm Ltd All rights reserved

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About AcuComm

Helping organisations selling into the global Waste, Bioenergy and Recycling sector through

strategic sales information, delivering tangible sales results

We passionately believe in good quality business intelligence. It plays a central part in developing

great companies. In our years of providing leading multi-national companies, government bodies

and trade organisations with strategic market information, we have never seen this to be more

relevant than it is today.

Today, AcuComm is the market leader in providing business intelligence for global companies

that sell into the Waste, Bioenergy and Recycling markets. Our unique and ‘real-time’ Business

Intelligence fulfils the strategic needs at management level, as well as being directly

implementable by the sales function.

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Our unique content and dedicated industry research, have inspired many prestigious

organisations and multi-national companies, such as ISWA, UN (UNEP), Veolia, SITA, Waste

Management Inc, Metso, SACYR INDUSTRIAL and more, to forge close strategic relationships

with AcuComm.

30 years experience

The AcuComm team has wide research and editorial experience in international project

information services going back 30 years, across a range of industries, including water & waste

management, mining, construction, healthcare and leisure.

Unparalleled global coverage

Our comprehensive projects database is updated, maintained and expanded by our committed

team of experienced researchers. Utilising the latest technologies, industry connections and

research tools, AcuComm is able to deliver unparalleled coverage of existing, new and pending

Waste, Bioenergy and Recycling projects across the globe.

Unique & ‘real-time’

The strategic and practical sales information we provide is unique, ‘real-time’ and not available

anywhere else.

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

01

What next in 2017?

This report provides a preview of major project developments in the waste industry currently expected

to take place in 2017. Specifically, it looks at investments worldwide which are expected to become

operational during the year. Only projects where a firm indication of this has been given by the

developers concerned are included. All data is sourced from AcuComm’s waste database of project

investments, which currently holds around 4,600 active or planned investment projects in the waste,

bioenergy and recycling fields.

The AcuComm database currently holds 373 projects due to become operational during 2017,

according to their developers. These have a total estimated value of US$29.2 billion, equal to US$78

million each on average. Of these, 192 are currently under construction, worth US$15.9 billion or

US$83 million each on average, while the remaining 181 are in various stages of planning, as of

January 2017.

In terms of capacity, these 373 projects represent annualised tonnage of just under 82 million. This is

equal to 219,761 tonnes per project on average, or 686 tonnes per day (using a crude 320-day year for

conversion purposes). The projects under construction account for 40.9 million tonnes, equal to

212,889 tonnes per project and 665 tonnes per project per day. Those still in the planning stages

account for 41.1 million tonnes, equal to 227,052 tonnes per project and 709 tonnes per project per

day.

Of the 373 projects, AcuComm estimates that 282, or 76%, involve some form of power generation. The

total planned generation from these is 7,582 MW, equal to 27 MW on average. There are 144 projects

currently under construction involving power generation, totalling 4,087 MW or 28 MW on average. A

further 3,495 MW is in planning, equal to 25 MW on average.

Planning; 13.3

In Progress; 15.9

Status of 2017 Projects by Value (US$ billions)

Planning; 41.1

In Progress; 40.9

Status of 2017 Projects by Capacity (million tonnes)

Planning; 3,495

In Progress; 4,087

Status of 2017 Projects by Power Generation (MW)

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017. Status correct at time of publication, see www.acucomm.net for the latest updates.

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

02

What types of investments are these?

Focus on Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Municipal solid waste (MSW) is the principal feedstock for 106 projects due to become operational in 2017. These have a combined value of US$9.2 billion, equal to US$88 million on average. They have combined annual capacity of

26.1 million tonnes, equal to 248,736 per project and 777 tonnes per day per project. There is some form of power generation component to 63 of these, totalling 1,934 MW or 31 MW per project on average.

The leading broad technology type for MSW projects will be incineration with energy recovery, also termed WtE (Waste-to-Energy) incineration. This will account for half the newly-operational projects by value in 2017, equal to US$4.6

billion. This is followed by large integrated/mixed facilities (which often incorporate a major WtE element) with US$1.5 billion, and gasification plants with just over US$1.1 billion.

MSW Projects Due to Complete in 2017, by Facility Type

US$m % of Total

Biofuel 110 1.2

Biogas 50 0.5

Gasification 1,047 11.4

Incineration (with energy recovery) 4,645 50.4

Incineration (without energy recovery) 192 2.1

Integrated/mixed facilities 1,488 16.2

Landfill 194 2.1

MBT 539 5.9

Recycling 236 2.6

Waste processing 707 7.7

Total 9,209 100.0

Incineration (with energy

recovery)50%

Integrated/mixed facilities

16%

Gasification11%

Waste processing

8%

MBT6%

Others9%

MSW Projects Due to Complete in 2017

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017 Source: AcuComm database, January 2017

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

03

Where are these MSW investments being made? Europe is the leading location, accounting for US$4.2 billion or 46% of the total. This is followed by Asia with US$3.4 billion or 37%. Three countries in particular stand out. The UK heads

the field, with US$1.9 billion, or 20.6% of the total. This is followed by Japan, accounting for US$1.7 billion (18.6%) and China with US$1.3 billion (14.3%).

MSW Projects Due to Complete in 2017, by Region

US$m % of Total

Africa 69 0.8

Americas 916 9.9

Asia 3,435 37.3

Europe 4,225 45.9

Middle East 119 1.3

Pacific 445 4.8

Total 9,209 100.0

MSW Projects Due to Complete in 2017, Top Ten Countries

US$m % of Total

UK 1,898 20.6

Japan 1,713 18.6

China 1,320 14.3

Ireland 624 6.8

USA 597 6.5

Russia 502 5.4

Australia 445 4.8

India 293 3.2

Denmark 290 3.1

Canada 270 2.9

Others 1,258 13.7

Total 9,209 100.0

Europe46%

Asia37%

Americas10%

Pacific5%

Middle East1%

Africa1%

MSW Projects by Region

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

04

Top 20 MSW Projects Due to Become Operational in 2017 (by US$ investment value)

Country Location Summary US$m Link

1 Ireland Poolbeg Construction of a 58 MW waste-to-energy plant to process MSW. 624 Full Info

2 China Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province Construction of a 3,000 tpd WtE facility. 294 Full Info

3 India Roorkee, Uttarakhand Development of a gasification plant. 293 Full Info

4 UK Dunbar, Scotland Development of a 40 MW WtE facility. 283 Full Info

5 UK St Dennis, Cornwall Construction of a WtE facility to process 240,000 tpa of household waste. 271 Full Info

6 UK Derby Construction of an MBT & gasification facility. 232 Full Info

7 UK Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire Construction of a waste recovery and treatment facility. 205 Full Info

8 USA Puunene, HI Integrated waste conversion and energy project. 205 Full Info

9 Russia Novocheboksarsk, Chuvash Republic Construction of a waste sorting complex and landfill. 205 Full Info

10 France Alzonne, Aude Construction of an MRF & composting facility 205 Full Info

11 Slovenia Ljubljana Construction of a regional waste management centre. 193 Full Info

12 UK Kidderminster, Worcestershire Construction of a solid waste-to-energy facility providing over 15 MW of electricity. 192 Full Info

13 UK Lanark, Scotland Construction of a 12.5 MW WtE facility. 177 Full Info

14 Australia Perth, Western Australia Development of a 15 MW WtE facility. 175 Full Info

15 Australia Port Hedland, Western Australia Construction of a 90 MW WtE plant. 175 Full Info

16 Japan Joetsu, Niigata Prefecture Construction of a 170 tpd incineration facility. 171 Full Info

17 Denmark Copenhagen New WtE plant to replace existing power plant. 168 Full Info

18 Japan Sennan, Osaka Prefecture Construction of a WtE facility. 167 Full Info

19 Japan Sennan, Miyagi Prefecture Construction of a gasification facility. 167 Full Info

20 UK Westbury, Wiltshire Construction of a >20 MW renewable energy centre. 147 Full Info

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

05

Contractors & Engineering Companies Involved with the Projects in this Report Country Company

Australia Kiewit Australia

Austria STRABAG AG

Brazil Grupo Marquise

Canada Bird Construction

Canada Maple Reinders Constructors

Canada Nason Contracting Group

China Sanmenxia Green Environmental Energy

China Valmet

Denmark Babcock & Wilcox Volund

Denmark BIG - Bjarke Ingels Group

Denmark Weiss A/S

Finland MariMatic

Finland Outotec

France SUEZ

Germany EnviTec Biogas

Germany M+W Group

Germany Standardkessel Baumgarte

Germany STRABAG Umwelttechnik GmbH

Germany ZhongDe Waste Technology

Hong Kong China Everbright International

Ireland Jones Celtic BioEnergy

Ireland Noel Regan & Sons (NRS Group)

Italy Ibi SpA

Japan Ebara Environmental Plant Co

Japan Hitachi Zosen

Japan JFE Engineering

Japan Kobelco Eco-Solutions Co Ltd.

Japan Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Environmental & Chemical Engineering

Japan Okumura Corporation

Japan Takuma

Oman Al Ramooz National

Poland MKL BAU

Russian Federation JSC Waste Management

Russian Federation VodZemEkologiya

Russian Federation Volgograd Clean City

The table on this page shows all the construction and engineering

companies associated with the projects in this report. They are listed

by the location of the company, which may be different to the location

of the projects concerned.

Global Waste Investment: AcuComm’s 2017 forecast

A complimentary AcuComm market update Date of Publication January 2017

06

Country Company

Serbia Instel inženjering

Serbia SET doo

Slovenia STRABAG gradbene storitve (STRABAG Construction Services)

Spain Fergo Galicia

Spain Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas (FCC)

Spain Urbaser (Regional Office Eastern Andalusia)

Sweden NCC Sverige

Switzerland Hitachi Zosen Inova

Thailand LAWI Engineering (Thailand) Co Ltd

Thailand SBANG Corporation

United Kingdom Bouygues Energies and Services UK

United Kingdom Chinook Sciences

United Kingdom Covanta Energy

United Kingdom EnviTec Biogas UK

United Kingdom Interserve

United Kingdom Mott MacDonald

United Kingdom Prismatic Development Corporation

United Kingdom Resource Recovery Solutions (Derbyshire)

United Kingdom Shanks Group

United Kingdom Surgo Construction

United Kingdom VINCI Construction UK Ltd

United Kingdom VolkerFitzpatrick

United Kingdom Wates

United States Bulk Handling Systems

United States FCC Environmental Services

United States HDR Engineering

United States Page Building Construction

United States PCL Construction Enterprises

United States PCL Construction Services (Seattle Buildings Construction)

Source: AcuComm database, January 2017