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Going Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr. Ping Liu, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr. Liz Santori, ARPA-E

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Page 1: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Going Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives

Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E

Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E

Dr. Ping Liu, Program Director, ARPA-E

Dr. Liz Santori, ARPA-E

Page 2: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

The Panel

February 24, 2014

Moderator/Panelist:

Jonathan Burbaum

Program Director

[PETRO, OPEN 2012]

Panelist:

Ping Liu

Program Director

[RANGE, OPEN 2012]

PETRO vs. Petroleum:

Opportunities for New Technologies

One Battery for Everything

Panelist:

Ilan Gur

Program Director

[AMPED, OPEN 2012]

Panelist:

Liz Santori

ARPA-E Fellow

Grounding the Flying Car An Intelligent Electric Future

Page 3: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

2

Page 4: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Rewiring the Sankey Diagram

12.4

25.7

21.1

3

Page 5: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

PETRO vs. Petroleum:

Opportunities for New Technologies

Jonathan J. Burbaum

Program Director, ARPA-E

February 24, 2014

ARPA-E Energy Innovation Summit

Washington, DC

Page 7: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Biofuel vs. Petroleum

Biofuel Petroleum

6

Grown Processed Burned

CO2

CO2

$ coproducts?

Extracted Processed Burned

CO2

$$ coproducts!

Surface land use: ~100%

Process up time: ~25%

Surface land use: <<50%

Process up time: ~100%

Page 8: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

7

Page 9: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

What really happens: Food AND Fuel!

8

Datafrom201210-K(inthousands)Grossprofit(loss):Ethanolproduction (4,895)$Cornoilproduction 32,388$Agribusiness 35,973$Marketinganddistribution 32,362$Intersegmenteliminations 943$Total 96,771$

Page 10: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

What’s next after PETRO?

9

10% improvement of land use

based on geometry alone!

‣ PETRO

– Improving Energy & Carbon Flow via engineering biology

– Sole metrics: Cost /Energy in fuel product, coproducts

‣ Other Approaches:

– IT-enabled “Precision” Agriculture

– Component Improvements

– Rethinking the System

Page 11: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Plant Biotechnology Journal

24 OCT 2013 DOI: 10.1111/pbi.12131

16% DW TAG

× 9 tons per acre = 48 GJha-1y-1

…vs. soybean = 17 GJha-1y-1

…vs. corn = 80 GJha-1y-1

Can tobacco be an energy crop?

10

Page 12: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

One Battery For Everything

Dr. Ping Liu

Program Director

February 24, 2014

Page 13: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Storage: Cornerstone of Grid and Vehicle

12

Grid Storage:

GRIDS

Vehicle

Storage:

BEEST

RANGE

Distributed

Generation

Page 14: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

ARPA-E’s Grid Storage Portfolio

13

Capacity

& Duration

SMES

Flywheel

Flow Cells

E-C Cells

CAES

Po

wer

De

ns

ity (

Ca

pa

cit

y)

GRIDS:

100 $/kWh

5000 cycles Energy Density (Duration)

Page 15: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

ARPA-E’s Vehicle Storage Portfolio-BEEST

14

BEEST pushed the boundaries of energy storage

Highest theoretical

energy density

ARPA-E

Commercial

Page 16: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

ARPA-E’s Vehicle Storage Approach-RANGE

15

En

erg

y D

en

sit

y o

f th

e B

att

ery

Sys

tem

Focus on system optimization led to novel EV storage approaches

Energy Density of Battery Chemistry/Cell

System

Goal

System/cell

constant = 1

RANGE

Approach

Multi-functional design

Robust chemistry/ architecture

innovation

Current robust chemistry/

architecture

TARGETS:

100-125 $/kWh

1000 cycles

Page 17: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

RANGE Program Portfolio

16

Aqueous Robust Non-aqueous

Multifunctional Solid State

cloteam, LLC

Page 18: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Requirements for “One Battery For Everything”

17

Cost ($/kWh) Life (cycles) Specific energy (Wh/kg)

Grid 100 5000 -

Electric Vehicles (EVs) 100-150 1000 100+

Distributed Generation ? 5000? -

Grid

DG Vehicle Li-S batteries

Low-E flow cells

Pb acid batteries

A > 100 Wh/kg, >> 10000 cycle solution is the key

?

Page 19: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Benefits of “One Battery For Everything”

18

Favorable

economics

Rapid charging

Cost ($/kWh) Life (cycles) Specific energy (Wh/kg)

Grid 100 5000 -

EVs 100-150 1000 100+

Distributed Generation ? 5000? -

One Battery for

Everything

< 200? >> 10000 100+

Favorable economics

Viable V2G

“One For All”

Solution

Page 20: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Searching For The Ultimate Energy Storage

19

ΔS

ΔG

Li-S, Li-FeF3,

LiSi

Pb-acid

Ni-MH

Li-Ion

Low energy Li-ion

Capacitor

Most

desirable

Opportunity

Ni-Cd

Page 21: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Batteries That Live “Forever”

20

Anode for Li replenishment

Wang, et al, J. Power Sources, 196, 5966 Zaghib, et al, J. Power Sources, 196, 3949

The ultra long life

LiFePO4-Li4Ti5O12

Battery

Page 22: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

A Unified Generation/Storage Future

21

Page 23: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

An Intelligent Electric Future

Dr. Ilan Gur

Program Director

February 24, 2014

Page 24: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr
Page 25: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Electricity 350%

Energy Intensity 50%

Page 26: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Productivity 400%

intelligence

Information

Optimization

Flexibility

Page 27: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr
Page 28: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Grid Intelligence: GENI

U.S. DOE, “National Transmission Grid Study” (2002)

Topology control Demand opt.

Reactive P cont. Stochastic opt.

Synchrophasor Load disaggregation

AMI Condition mon.

Digital subs.

HVDC FACTS

Breakers DSR

Storage

Info

rmatio

n

Op

timizatio

n

Flexibility

27

Page 29: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Physics models Degradation models

Dynamic controls Load prediction

Order red.

Internal Temp Strain

Potential Chemistry

Reconfigurable Cell power mgmt

Cell thermal mgmt Wireless bms

Info

rmatio

n

Op

timizatio

n

Flexibility

Battery Intelligence: AMPED

28

Page 30: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

One Battery for Everything

29

Page 31: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

‣ Integrated sensors

‣Power conversion

‣Computation, control,

and diagnostics

‣Wireless readout

One Intelligent Battery for Everything

30

Page 32: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

One Intelligent Battery for Everything

31

Page 33: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Grounding the Flying Car

Dr. Liz Santori

ARPA-E Fellow

March 4, 2014

Page 34: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Air travel for short-duration trips

33

>1,200 ft

30 mi

Shorten travel times • Average speed: >100 mph vs. average city speed ~30 mph

Reduce idling and braking

Direct routes

Potential for safer travel • In a collision of 1,500 lb car vs. 15,000 lb truck, who wins?

Page 35: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Move toward automation

34

Collision avoidance

Vehicle-to-vehicle communication

Autonomous vehicles

Boeing.com

Fly-by-Wire

Semi-autonomous

unmanned aerial vehicle

Fully autonomous aircraft

Sensing

Communication

Intelligent

Controls

Page 36: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

‘Flying cars’ are cool…

Would they consume much more energy?

35

Moller M400

Terrafugia TF-X

Terrafugia Transition

Joby Aviation Monarch

Page 37: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Breakdown of electric vehicle losses

36

Inertia to

Wheels

64%

Rolling

Resistance

Aerodynamic

Drag EPA city mpg ~ 105

65 mpg in heavy summer traffic

Net DC

100%

Losses

22% Accessories

4%

Powertrain

Regenerative Braking -38%

Nissan Leaf. Argonne National Laboratory

47%

Page 38: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Current light aircraft

37

Sikorsky S-333™

• MPG ~ 5

• 2,460 lbs

• 4 person

Schiebel

Camcopter® S-100 (UAV)

• MPG ~ 8

• 441 lbs

Sikorsky

Cirrus Aircraft

Cirrus SR22

• MPG ~ 16

• 3,600 lbs

• 4 person

Page 39: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Estimation of MPG for VTOL

38

CD =Cd +CL

2

p ×AR ×es

FD =1

2rSCDv

2

3,000 ft

1.2 kWh

30 mi

Key assumptions:

1100 lb aircraft ηEM = 92%

ηbattery = 97% ηprop = 80%

E =mgh

Losses from drag in cruise

Potential energy of aircraft

Page 40: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Estimation of MPG

39

36 ft

Cruise Lift over Drag (L/D)

28

Cruise power 80 kW 45 kW 28 kW 16 kW

% mgh 5% 13% 20% 35%

% weight

battery 94% 38% 24% 15%

MPG 30 80 120 200

8

33 ft 22 ft

14

22 ft

3

Page 41: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

Thank You

40

Moderator/Panelist:

Jonathan Burbaum

Program Director

[PETRO, OPEN 2012]

Panelist:

Ping Liu

Program Director

[RANGE, OPEN 2012]

PETRO vs. Petroleum:

Opportunities for New Technologies

One Battery for Everything

Panelist:

Ilan Gur

Program Director

[AMPED, OPEN 2012]

Panelist:

Liz Santori

ARPA-E Fellow

Grounding the Flying Car An Intelligent Electric Future

Page 42: Going Places: Prospects for Transportation … Places: Prospects for Transportation Alternatives Moderator: Dr. Jonathan Burbaum, ARPA-E Dr. Ilan Gur, Program Director, ARPA-E Dr

41

www.arpa-e.energy.gov