google problems in china
TRANSCRIPT
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Googles Problems in China
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Statement
2
A decisionisneeded! Exit?Stay?
China is going to be the largest market in the world. If
Google isnt the leader there, will it really be the leading
search company in the world?
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Agenda
1. Company Profile2. Timeline China
3. Stakeholder Analysis
4. Options
5. Recommendations
3
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Timeline China: Stage 1
5
200
0
2005 2009 2010
Google.cn Era Current Situation
200
0
200
2
2003 200
5
Google.com
enters
Chinese
market with
24 million
websites in
Chinese
Google
gainspopulari
ty
New filteredsoftware
ResistancebyChinas
government
Block google.com
Google.comrestored
but
oftenfilteredwithservi
cedisruptions
No. 1 in
Chinas search
engine
market with
34,8% market
share
Market sharedecreases
Launch of Chinese Google
News service
Government blocks
English Google
News and
otherservices
Market share
< 30%
Baidureaches
No.1 with
46%
ofmarketshar
e
Environment in China
Entering China
In 2005: Strategic decision to stay in China with as censored search engine
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6
200
5
200
6
2007 200
8
Google develops a
transparentyetcens
ored google.cn
byself-censoring
China not clear in
instructionsastow
hat to filter
Representative
office in
Shanghai and
R&D
Launch of google.cn
censorshipwithdiscl
osure
Government
dissatisfiedwith
google.cn
itgetsblocked in
severalcities
Partners
withTianya Club
andentersalliance
swith Sina
Corporation and
Tom Online to
isolateBaiduOlympicgames
ledtodecrease
drestrictions
but after
theyincreased
again
Launch of
musicsearc
hservicewit
houtbigsucc
ess
200
0
2005 2009 2010
Google.cn Era
Timeline China: Stage 2
Environment in China
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77
Industry Experts:
Google.cn enablesGoogle to increase
performance in China
Google Loyalist: Chinaas a country will always
remain unsatisfied
Human Rights Watch:Danger that Google will
cooperate with China
and give government
names of people who
searched for banned
words
Senior Policy Counsel of
Google: Censored searchengine is more consistent
with mission than providing
no information at all
Without Google.cn the
existing search engines
would continue to censor
which keeps authentic
information from the user
If in the future Google wont
achieve its goal to offer all
information, Google willreview its business in China
International Reactions GooglesAnswer
International/National Conflicts (1/2)
Governmentdissatisfied with
google.com and
google.cn
Google.com is blocked
in China
Google.cn works butwith frequent disruptions
and is often blocked
ChineseGovernmentRe
action
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8
200
92010
Government is
against features,
e.g. Suggest
Feature
Google removes
somefeatures
Services like YouTube and
Gmail but also Facebook
andTwittergetblockedbyth
egovernment
Demand to increasecensorship
Cyber Attack on Googles
Server:Chinas hackers target
corporate infrastructure
Theft of intellectual property
Human rights advocates
Gmail
Government
invites
Google
toresolvethei
ssuelegally
Google begins
to offeruncensored
content on
google.cn
200
0
2005 2009 2010
Current Situation
Timeline China: Stage 3
Environment in China
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9
Industry Experts:Remarkable decision
because big corporations
rarely put principles above
profitgood business in
long-term
USA Government: Welook to the Chinese
government for anexplanation
China
isputtingwesterncompanies
in
censorshipwithnetworksecu
rityissues
Other Experts: Just areason to exit
Google CEO:Wecannotparticipate
in
censorshipanymore
Google mightnot
fullyleaveChina
Unclearwhethertheywanttoexitor not?
Government: Keep onblocking google.cn
In China the online
businesswouldthrive
Chinasgovernmentenc
ouragesinternetgrowth
Foreigninternetcompani
esshouldobeythelocalla
w
International and National
ReactionsGooglesAnswer
ChineseGovernmentRe
action
International/National Conflicts (2/2)
Users voicesfor and againstGoogle in Chinae.g.Thank ouforholdin valuesover rofits
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Strategic Issue
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ShouldGoogle stay inChina orexit China
(shut down
google.cn)
WhichoptionsshouldGoogle consider?
Whatconflicts and issuesdoes google.cn face in China?
Whatisgooglemissing in China?
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Stakeholder Analysis
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Government
ChinasSpecific Environment
Whatconflicts and issuesdoes google.cn face in China?
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Stakeholder Analysis
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China has always been a relatively
closed society that has tried to
keep close control on its citizens
media experience Communist government developed
an internet infrastructure that let
them control the flow of information
Censor sensible political content to
prevent "westernization
Government
blocksages&
censorship
Episodic
Structural
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Stakeholder Analysis
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Governmentis more powerfulthan Google
Google fails in understanding the censorship
Google asan american voice in the market
hasdifficultiestoinfluencegovernment sdecisionsCanlead to international conflicts USA and China
Google
doesnotgettheinfor
mationrequiredfort
hecensorshipfromt
hegovernment
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Stakeholder Analysis
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58% 57% 58% 61% 60% 61% 64% 63% 60% 59%
17% 19% 23%24% 26% 26%
26% 28% 30% 31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Competitors
others
Zhongsou
Sogou
Yahoo China
Google China
Baidu
Market
Players
Baidu,
Zhongsou,
Sogou
Google,
Yahoo
China
LocalForeign
Baidu: Leading internet serviceprovider offeringsearchengine in
Mandarin
MainUsers: StudentsSince 2003rapidlygainedmarket
share:
Extensive advertising
throughtelevision and digital
media Providedpopularserviceslikebull
etinboards, MP3 search
BAIDU Market LeaderSince 2006
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Stakeholder analysis
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Baidu more powerfulthan Google
Google wasnotabletooffer the samerangeofproducts and services
Baiducouldbe in the future a potentialthreat in othermarkets
Understandsthe Chinese
marketbetter as an Chinese
company
Has a good
relationwiththegovernment
Employeesworkaccording to
the Chinese market
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StakeholderAnalysis
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Users: High end users
Reason: Business opportunitiesExpectedgrowth: From 2009 with
396 millionto840 millionusersin 2013 (47% growth)
Usersremainloyal to a
searchengine
Users andCompanies
Further Issue: Prospectivecustomers wont choose to do
business with Google, if it
continues to threaten to exitChina
Further Issues: Google has
failedto
meetChinasculturalneedsand
theneeds of Chinasyoungpeople.
Simultaneously, Google faces a
reputationalrisk in therestofthe
world.
Employeeswant to have a safe job
Further Issues: UnstableEmployer
Damages trust in the job
market
Decrease of employee loyalty
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Result
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Capabilties required ininternet search market to
succeed in ChinaAbility to work in a controlled
environment
Government: Goodrelations n
eeded to negotiate/
Cencorship
User: Understandculture andlanguage
Competitior:Ability to face ahugecompetitorwhogets
governmentalsupport
Employees and businesscustomers: Prefer stabilcompany
WhatisGooglesmissing?Ability to operate in controlled
enviroment and offerfree
information
Government: Not able tonegotiate/adaptthe
censorship as wishedfromthegovernment (againstmission)
User: Loyal professionaluserbasebutdoesnotreally
understandculture and
language
butfuture potentialCompetitor:Ability to facethe
worldsleaderbutnotBaidu in
China
Customer:Able to
attractcutomersbut justifseenstable
Capabilitie
s requireddo notmatch
capabilities
possessed
What are the option?
Whatisgooglemissing in China?
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Available Options
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Stay Exit
StatusQuo
Stay +Build/Acquireneededcapabilities
Exitpartially
byleaving
R&D
ExitChina
WhichoptionsshouldGoogle consider?
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Evaluating Options
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Measuring the compatibility of Googles mission with eachoption available.
Organize the worlds information
Make information universally accessible and useful Score of 3 denotes full compatibility and vice versa
Type A (Consistency with GooglesMission)
Measuring the effect of each option on the StakeholderSatisfaction.
Score of 3 denotes high Satisfaction and vice versa
Type B (Stakeholder Satisfaction)
Measuring the ability to acquire Chinas market potentialwith each option.
Score of 3 denotes maximum opportunity and vice versa
Type C (Opportunity)
Evaluation Parameters and What They Measure
Measuringscale
1 2 3
1 2 3
1 2 3
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Option 1: Status Quo
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Type A(Consistency
withGooglesMission)
Type B
(StakeholderSatisfaction)
Type C(Opportu-
nity)
2
1
3
Google is facing a mission conflict with Chinesecensorship policies
Difficult to make information universally accessible
because of Chinese government intervention
Every stakeholder will be dissatisfied
Users support Google but others are against GoogleGovernment and Google face continued friction ifGoogle
doesnt increase compliance
Employeesface uncertainty about their job futureCustomerswill not advertise on Google because of its
suboptimal service
Chinese search engine market is huge and is expected
to double by year-end 2013
However, China makes up just 2% of Googles
revenues
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Type A(Consistency
withGooglesMission)
Type B
(StakeholderSatisfaction)
Type C(Opportu-
nity)
Form agreements with government and local
partnersBuild/Acquire capabilities required by the market
without further sacrificing its values
Make information accessible and available by
entering into certain censorship agreements
Overall, all the stakeholders will be satisfiedGovernment agreements will ensure better relations anduninterrupted service
Users satisfied by continuous serviceEmployeessatisfied with a stable employerCustomerswill feel confident about advertising on areliable search engine
Chinese search engine market is huge and is expected
to double by year-end 2013
However, China makes up just 2% of Googles revenue
2
3
Option 2: Stay + Build/AquireNeeded
Capabilities
3
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Type A(Consistency
withGooglesMission)
Type B
(StakeholderSatisfaction)
Type C(Opportu-
nity)
Google will not violate its values or business modelwhen its operations are confined to R&D
At the same time, Google will not be able to make
information available to the Chinese market
Overall, all the stakeholders will be dissatisfiedGovernmentwill make it even harder for Google tooperate in retaliation for the unwillingness to cooperate
Userswill no longer have access to GoogleEmployees: Google will not be able to attract the bestCustomers will not buy advertising space if Google is
just investing in R&D
Chinese search engine market is huge and is expected
to double by year-end 2013
At least Google is maintaining some presence in the
country
But note, China makes up just 2% of Googles revenue
1
2
Option 3: Partial Exit (Maintain R&D)
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Type A(Consistency
withGooglesMission)
Type B
(StakeholderSatisfaction)
Type C(Opportu-
nity)
Leaving China is consistent with Googles missionand business model to offer all available information
At the same time, Google will not be able to make
information available to the Chinese market
Overall, all the stakeholders will be dissatisfiedGovernmentfaces negative impact to internationalreputation
Users dissatisfied by losing google.cnEmployeesat google.cn will be left unemployedCustomers will not be able to advertise on Google andso will move to and strengthen competitors
Chinese search engine market is huge and is expected
to double by year-end 2013 where Google exit from
Bad for any return to the Chinese market in the future
However China makes up just 2% of Googles revenue
2
1
1
Option 4: CompleteExit
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Result
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Stay withStatus Quo Stay+Build/Acquire needed
Capabilities
ExitPartially Exit
Consistency withgooglesmission
2 2 2 2
StakeholderSatisfaction
1 3 1 1
Opportunity 3 3 2 1
Sum 6 8 5 4
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Result
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Why China should have a agreement?
ProOpportunity for improving USA-China relationship
Maintain investment confidence in ChinaGovernment invited google to negotiate and find a legal solution -->
suggests openness to negotiate
ConChina prefers Baidumore than Google --> National interest
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Recommendation
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Stay + Build/Acquire needed Capabilities
Recommendation are based on stakeholder analysis and on conflicts/issues. They are arranged by importance and must be implemented as
fast as possibles simultaneously.
Government: Long term agreements about what has to be censored; extent ofcensorship; must be reviewed periodically and kept up-to-date
Competitors:Get local partners to ensure Googles understanding of culture and Mandarinlanguage; complete a deeper market analysis to understand users needs/identify target
groups
Employees: By focusing on being a stable company, Google can attract highly educatedemployees and offer excellent business opportunities, competitive salaries, friendly
working environment
Users: Because Chinese users are loyal to their search engines, Google should focus onmarketing presence in schools/universities and sponsorship for important Chinese events
Customers: Become a stable company so that customers can continue advertising
Best way to decrease international conflicts between USA and China
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Thankyouforyourattention.