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1 Gresham Mining & Infrastructure Services Quarterly Chris Branston [email protected] We are pleased to present Edition 22 of the Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Quarterly (GMISQ), a snapshot of the performance, news and trends across the resources (including oil & gas) and infrastructure services sectors. The Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Index (GMISI) closed out 2018 on a negative note, reflecting broader equity market volatility as well as some company specific news in the sector which impacted sentiment. The GMISI dropped 19.7% in the December quarter (compared to an All Ordinaries fall of 9.7%) and finished down 14.4% for the 2018 calendar year. Equities have rebounded strongly in early 2019, with the GMISI improving 14.3% through mid-March. Following this recovery, trading multiples are sitting comfortably above long term averages. The recently completed 1H19 reporting season saw good growth reported across the sector, with more than half of constituents seeing EBITDA increases in excess of 15%. However, the market reaction to results was mixed, as investors had already been pricing in substantial earnings improvements. In this Edition’s Quarterly Focus, we review statements around outlook and market conditions in company results announcements. This highlights a number of themes that have been emerging over the last 1-2 years, including: 1. Continued strong commodity prices supporting growth in exploration spending, despite some weakness amongst North American juniors. 2. A visible path towards mining capex growth, with some spending underway and the remainder expected in the medium term. This is driven by replacement tonne projects in iron ore as well as new developments in other commodities such as lithium. 3. Strong growth in mining production volumes, which is supporting good performance of both contract miners and equipment rental companies. 4. Significant spending in transport infrastructure projects, which is expected to continue for some time. 5. An ongoing focus on the use of data and technology to improve productivity and safety performance. As a result of these tailwinds, analysts are expecting earnings growth to continue beyond FY19, with median FY18-20 EBITDA CAGR of 15% across the sector. M&A in the last quarter of 2018 was highlighted by WorleyParsons’ acquisition of the Jacobs ECR business, as well as transactions associated with the RCR Tomlinson administration process. Further corporate activity is likely to be on the cards for 2019, with a many companies citing inorganic growth strategies and a number of businesses also flagged for potential sale. Editorial Team Gresham Advisory Partners Ltd is a leading Australian mergers and acquisitions/corporate advisory business and one of Australia’s largest and highest ranking independent corporate advisors. Edition 22 March 2019 The Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Index is a market capitalisation weighted index comprising 50 mining and infrastructure services companies selected by Gresham at the date of this report. David Burton [email protected] Tom Waddell [email protected] (1)

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1

Gresham Mining & Infrastructure Services Quarterly

Chris Branston

[email protected]

We are pleased to present Edition 22 of the Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Quarterly (GMISQ), asnapshot of the performance, news and trends across the resources (including oil & gas) and infrastructureservices sectors.

The Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Index (GMISI) closed out 2018 on a negative note, reflectingbroader equity market volatility as well as some company specific news in the sector which impacted sentiment.The GMISI dropped 19.7% in the December quarter (compared to an All Ordinaries fall of 9.7%) and finisheddown 14.4% for the 2018 calendar year. Equities have rebounded strongly in early 2019, with the GMISIimproving 14.3% through mid-March. Following this recovery, trading multiples are sitting comfortably abovelong term averages.

The recently completed 1H19 reporting season saw good growth reported across the sector, with more than halfof constituents seeing EBITDA increases in excess of 15%. However, the market reaction to results was mixed, asinvestors had already been pricing in substantial earnings improvements. In this Edition’s Quarterly Focus, wereview statements around outlook and market conditions in company results announcements. This highlights anumber of themes that have been emerging over the last 1-2 years, including:

1. Continued strong commodity prices supporting growth in exploration spending, despite some weaknessamongst North American juniors.

2. A visible path towards mining capex growth, with some spending underway and the remainder expected inthe medium term. This is driven by replacement tonne projects in iron ore as well as new developments inother commodities such as lithium.

3. Strong growth in mining production volumes, which is supporting good performance of both contract minersand equipment rental companies.

4. Significant spending in transport infrastructure projects, which is expected to continue for some time.

5. An ongoing focus on the use of data and technology to improve productivity and safety performance.

As a result of these tailwinds, analysts are expecting earnings growth to continue beyond FY19, with medianFY18-20 EBITDA CAGR of 15% across the sector.

M&A in the last quarter of 2018 was highlighted by WorleyParsons’ acquisition of the Jacobs ECR business, aswell as transactions associated with the RCR Tomlinson administration process. Further corporate activity is likelyto be on the cards for 2019, with a many companies citing inorganic growth strategies and a number ofbusinesses also flagged for potential sale.

Editorial Team

Gresham Advisory Partners Ltd is a leading Australian mergers and acquisitions/corporate advisorybusiness and one of Australia’s largest and highest ranking independent corporate advisors.

Edition 22

March 2019

The Gresham Mining and Infrastructure Services Index is a market capitalisation weighted index comprising 50 mining and infrastructure services companies selected by Gresham at the date of this report.

David Burton

[email protected]

Tom Waddell

[email protected]

(1)

2

Ranks

Company

Market Cap (A$m) Share priceΔ %1Mar Dec Sep 15 Mar 19 31 Dec 18 30 Sep 18

1 1 1 CIMIC Group Ltd. (ASX:CIM) 16,054 14,076 16,654 -4%

2 2 3 Orica Ltd. (ASX:ORI) 6,892 6,554 6,458 7%

3 3 4 WorleyParsons Ltd. (ASX:WOR) 6,723 5,262 5,577 -25%

4 4 2 Seven Group Holdings Ltd. (ASX:SVW) 6,237 4,812 7,675 -19%

5 5 5 Downer EDI Ltd. (ASX:DOW) 4,431 4,020 4,692 -6%

6 6 6 ALS Ltd. (ASX:ALQ) 3,802 3,300 4,385 -13%

7 7 7 Mineral Resources Ltd. (ASX:MIN) 2,994 2,908 2,984 0%

8 8 8 Spotless Group Holdings Ltd. (ASX:SPO) 1,742 1,868 1,532 14%

9 9 9 Monadelphous Group Ltd. (ASX:MND) 1,647 1,298 1,513 9%

10 10 11 Ausdrill Ltd. (ASX:ASL) 1,144 813 942 -6%

11 13 12 NRW Holdings Ltd. (ASX:NWH) 940 607 777 20%

12 12 13 Service Stream Ltd. (ASX:SSM) 895 636 650 24%

13 11 10 Emeco Holdings Ltd. (ASX:EHL) 698 656 1,097 -37%

14 15 15 Cardno Ltd. (ASX:CDD) 531 454 537 -0%

15 14 14 Macmahon Holdings Ltd. (ASX:MAH) 474 463 560 -15%

16 16 16 Imdex Ltd. (ASX:IMD) 429 403 440 -4%

17 17 19 Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. (ASX:AQZ) 334 297 307 8%

18 19 22 Pacific Energy Ltd. (ASX:PEA) 269 249 234 15%

19 18 17 MACA Ltd. (ASX:MLD) 255 251 326 -22%

20 24 31 Decmil Group Ltd. (ASX:DCG) 212 164 155 16%

21 22 28 Lycopodium Ltd. (ASX:LYL) 211 191 167 26%

22 21 21 Civmec Ltd. (ASX: CVL) 209 209 261 -20%

23 23 23 Fleetwood Corp. Ltd. (ASX:FWD) 186 187 222 -16%

24 25 24 GR Engineering Services Ltd. (ASX:GNG) 166 164 216 -23%

25 20 18 SRG Global Ltd. (ASX:SRG) 154 220 308 -50%

26 27 26 Engenco Ltd. (ASX:EGN) 139 147 179 -22%

27 29 25 MMA Offshore Ltd. (ASX:MRM) 137 133 210 -35%

28 32 33 Austin Engineering Ltd. (ASX:ANG) 130 110 133 -2%

29 30 27Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Ltd. (ASX:SXE)

126 131 167 -24%

30 31 35 BSA Ltd. (ASX:BSA) 120 111 119 -

31 28 32 RPMGlobal Holdings Ltd. (ASX:RUL) 119 134 147 -19%

32 34 29 Boart Longyear Ltd. (ASX:BLY) 105 105 158 -33%

33 33 30 Mastermyne Group Ltd. (ASX:MYE) 102 110 155 -35%

34 37 37 Mitchell Services Ltd. (ASX:MSV) 99 70 85 16%

35 35 36 Boom Logistics Ltd. (ASX:BOL) 79 73 104 -23%

36 26 20 AJ Lucas Group Ltd. (ASX:AJL) 74 158 278 -73%

37 36 39 Veem Ltd. (ASX:VEE) 73 70 72 2%

38 38 40 Primero Group Ltd. (ASX:PGX) 60 58 63 -5%

39 39 n/a Swick Mining Services Ltd. (ASX:SWK) 44 53 53 -17%

40 44 48 Laserbond Ltd. (ASX:LBL) 39 30 16 134%

41 40 44Matrix Composites & Engineering Ltd. (ASX:MCE)

34 37 42 -25%

42 41 43 Saunders International Ltd. (ASX:SND) 32 37 44 -27%

43 43 38 Veris Ltd. (ASX:VRS) 29 35 76 -62%

44 45 45 Valmec Ltd. (ASX:VMX) 27 29 33 -19%

45 42 42 Tempo Australia Ltd. (ASX:TPP) 22 35 48 -54%

46 46 47 XRF Scientific Ltd. (ASX:XRF) 20 19 23 -12%

47 48 49Resource Development Group Ltd. (ASX:RDG)

17 14 15 17%

48 49 50 LogiCamms Ltd. (ASX:LCM) 15 11 14 3%

49 47 46 Neptune Marine Services Ltd. (ASX:NMS) 13 14 28 -54%

50 51 51 VDM Group Ltd. (ASX:VMG) 13 9 12 -

Share Price Movements

Notes: (1) Performance measured over the period 30-Sep-18 to 15-Mar-19 (inclusive). Source: FactSet, IRESS.

2

Leaders Laggers

GMISI CONSTITUENTS1 LEADERS & LAGGARDS (SHARE PRICE)1

PERFORMANCE RELATIVE TO S&P 200 INDICES1

PERFORMANCE OVER TIME

3Notes: (1) Only companies with consensus earnings forecasts are included in charts; (2) Share prices are as at 15-Mar-19; (3) Earnings multiples are not calendarised; (4) Companies exhibiting negative multiples have been excluded from the above analysis. Source: FactSet.

Valuation Multiples

While there was downward trending in sector valuations over the December 2018 quarter, multiples have sincerecovered. The median GMISI constituent FY19 P/E multiple of c.14x sits materially above the longer term forwardmedian multiple of c.10x, but remains at a discount to the broader market.

3

Large Cap (>$1bn) Mid Cap (between $200m and $1bn) Small Cap (<$200m)

1 YEAR FORWARD PRICE EARNINGS RATIO OVER TIME

DIVIDEND YIELD (FY19F)

PRICE EARNINGS RATIO (FY19F)

1-yr fwd median as at:31 Dec 18: 11.6x (FY19)

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

SRG

GN

G

MLD

VR

S

LYL

SXE

ASL

MIN

DO

W

MN

D

SSM

AQ

Z

CIM OR

I

ALQ

SVW

EGN

XR

F

BSA CV

L

WO

R

PEA LB

L

VE

E

NW

H

FWD

Median: 2.6%

1-yr fwd median as at:31 Dec 18: 3.0%

-

5x

10x

15x

20x

25x

30x

VEE OR

I

MN

D

WO

R

CD

D

ALQ

GN

G

SPO

CIM

MIN

SWK

SSM

AQ

Z

IMD

NW

H

DO

W

DC

G

SVW

MLD ASL LY

L

BSA

AN

G

PEA

FWD

EHL

SRG

SXE

MYE

MA

H

PG

X

XR

F

VM

X

Median: 13.6x

4

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%

600%

700%

ALQ

SSM

CIM

LCM

OR

I

BSA

SVW

LBL

EHL

RU

L

VE

E

MN

D

CD

D

MIN

NW

H

GN

G

VR

S

IMD

LYL

MSV

VM

G

WO

R

AQ

Z

MYE

PEA SX

E

SOP

EGN

ASL

TPP

SND

DC

G

AN

G

FWD

XR

F

CV

L

MA

H

VM

X

SRG

RD

G

MLD

SWK

AJL

BO

L

NM

S

MR

M

MC

E

Median: 207%

Notes: (1) Only companies with consensus earnings forecasts are included in charts; (2) Share prices are as at 15-Mar-19 (3) Earnings multiples are not calendarised;(4) Enterprise Value is based on market capitalisation plus minority interests and last reported net debt adjusted for capital raisings and acquisitions. (5) Companies exhibiting negative multiples have been excluded from the above analysis. Source: FactSet.

Valuation Multiples (cont.)

The recent share price improvements are also evident in enterprise value multiples, which have rebounded significantlysince the end of 2018.

4

Large Cap (>$1bn) Mid Cap (between $200m and $1bn) Small Cap (<$200m)

Companies trading at a discount to NTA

EV/EBIT (FY19F)

EV/EBITDA (FY19F)

PRICE/NTA

1-yr fwd median as at:31 Dec 18: 5.5x (FY19)

1-yr fwd median as at:31 Dec 18: 9.3x (FY19)

-

5x

10x

15x

20x

BO

L

VE

E

MIN

VR

S

MN

D

CD

D

ALQ

SPO

OR

I

GN

G

CIM BLY

SVW

SWK

WO

R

AQ

Z

DO

W

MLD

SSM

IMD

NW

H

ASL

EHL

PEA

AN

G

BSA

MA

H

MYE LY

L

FWD

SRG

XR

F

DC

G

VM

X

PG

X

SXE

Median: 10.9x

-

2x

4x

6x

8x

10x

12x

14x

16x

VE

E

MN

D

AJL

ALQ

MR

M

GN

G

CD

D

SPO

SVW

WO

R

MIN

SSM

OR

I

CIM BLY

IMD

NW

H

DO

W LYL

AN

G

AQ

Z

BO

L

PEA EH

L

BSA ASL

FWD

DC

G

XR

F

VR

S

MYE

VM

X

SRG

MLD

PG

X

MA

H

SXE

SWK

Median: 6.1x

5

Forecast Profitability & Gearing

5

Notes: (1) Only companies with consensus earnings forecasts are included in charts.Source: FactSet.

Large Cap (>$1bn) Mid Cap (between $200m and $1bn) Small Cap (<$200m)

NET DEBT / ENTERPRISE VALUE

EBITDA MARGINS (FY19F)

FORECAST EBITDA GROWTH (FY18-20F CAGR)

FORECAST REVENUE GROWTH (FY18-20F CAGR)

Analysts are forecasting strong growth over the next 2 years, driven by both top line growth and some modest marginexpansion. The majority of companies in the sector maintain conservative balance sheets.

-10%

10%

30%

50%

70%

90%

DC

G

BLY

BSA

WO

R

ASL

SPO

MR

M

VE

E

XR

F

MYE

MA

H

NW

H

SWK

EHL

SSM

SVW

IMD

SXE

AN

G

PEA

ALQ

CD

D

VR

S

VM

X

AQ

Z

OR

I

FWD

DO

W

CIM

MIN

MLD

MN

D

LYL

SRG

BO

L

AJL

GN

G

Median: 15%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

ASL

WO

R

SRG

MC

E

DC

G

NW

H

PG

X

MA

H

SSM

VR

S

MR

M

XR

F

MYE

SVW

PEA EH

L

CIM VE

E

IMD

SXE

VM

X

BLY

AQ

Z

FWD

MLD

CD

D

ALQ

DO

W

MIN

SWK

MN

D

OR

I

AJL

LYL

SPO

AN

G

BSA

GN

G

Median: 13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

PEA EH

L

MIN

AQ

Z

SVW

ALQ

IMD

ASL

SWK

OR

I

MA

H

XR

F

LYL

NW

H

FWD

BLY

MR

M

CIM AJL

MLD

SSM

AN

G

VE

E

MYE

SPO

PG

X

WO

R

VR

S

VM

X

MN

D

SRG

GN

G

DO

W

SXE

CD

D

BSA

DC

G

Median: 11%

-50%

0%

50%

BLY

MR

M AJL

EHL

VR

S

CV

L

ASL

BO

L

SWK

SPO

SVW

PEA

VM

G

OR

I

MIN

LCM

CD

D

DO

W

VM

X

MA

H

AN

G

ALQ VE

E

AQ

Z

XR

F

MSV

MLD

NW

H

LBL

MYE

IMD

BSA

EGN

SSM

FWD

MN

D

CIM

SRG

TPP

GN

G

RU

L

MC

E

LYL

WO

R

RD

G

PG

X

SND

NM

S

DC

G

SXE

Median: 4%

6

Contract Awards

6

Source: Company announcements.

Date Announced

Company Client Project/Facility Location Services Value (A$m)Commodity/

Sector

31-Dec-18 NRW Holdings FMG Eliwana WA Civil works 57 Iron Ore

21-Dec-18 CIMIC Group TasWater Tasmania water infra TAS Construction 600 Infra.

21-Dec-18 CIMIC Group BMABowen Basin Coal

Mines QLD Maintenance 180 Coal

20-Dec-18 CIMIC Group Pembroke Resources Olive Downs QLD Construction 184 Coal

20-Dec-18 Service Stream NBN NBN network AUS Construction 75 Infra.

20-Dec-18 Downer NSW Govt. Parramatta Light Rail NSW Construction 420 Infra

20-Dec-18 CIMIC Group NSW Govt. Parramatta Light Rail NSW Construction 420 Infra

20-Dec-18 Worley Parsons INEOS Styrolution

AmericaASA Facility USA EPCM n/a Infra.

18-Dec-18 CIMIC Group BMA Caval Ridge QLD Mining Services 150 Coal

14-Dec-18 CIMIC Group NSW Govt. WestConnex NSW Construction 1,950 Infra.

12-Dec-18 MACA Adaman Resources Kirkalocka WAInstallation and refurbishment

28 Gold

3-Dec-18 CIMIC Group Royal Australian NavyLanding helicopter

dock support Various Asset management 750 Infra.

21-Nov-18 CIMIC Group NSW Govt. Sydney Metro NSW Construction 1,376 Infra.

16-Nov-18 Worley Parsons Synergy Collie Power Station WA O&M n/a Infra.

16-Nov-18 NRW Holdings Stanmore Coal Isaac PLains QLD Mining Services 500 Coal

15-Nov-18 Monadelphous VestasDundonnell Wind

Farm NSW Civil works 55 Infra.

12-Nov-18 GR Engineering Sheffield Resources Thunderbird WA EPC 336Mineral Sands

8-Nov-18Southern Cross

Electrical

Westconnex JV Westconnex

NSW Electrical installation 80 Infra Build Obayashi Corp Parramatta 4 Square

Multiplex Wynyard PLace

7 Nov-18 Worley Parsons ConocoPhillips North Sea assets UK E&C / EPC n/a Oil and Gas

7 Nov-18 Worley Parsons Lundin NorwayNorwegian

Continental ShelfNorway EPCI n/a Oil and Gas

6-Nov-18 CIMIC Group Mach Energy Mount Pleasant NSW O&M 75 Coal

6-Nov-18 CIMIC Group QCoal Byerwen QLD O&M 25 Coal

2-Nov-18 Worley Parsons TidewaterPipestone Sour Gas

PlantCanada Fabrication and construction n/a Infra.

2-Nov-18 Worley Parsons SABIC Various Europe EPCM n/a Infra.

30-Oct-18 CIMCI Group NSW Govt.Northern Road

UpgradeNSW Construction 170 Infra.

30-Oct-18 Pacific Energy Panoramic Resources Savannah WA Constuction and O&M n/a Nickel

29-Oct-18 CIMIC Group ElectraNet Prominent Hill SA Construct and commission 180Copper and

Gold

27-Oct-18 Ausdrill AngloGold Ashanti Obuasi Ghana Mining Services USD 375 Gold

24-Oct-18 Ausdrill Independence Group Nova WA Mining Services 240 Nickel

15-Oct-18 CIMIC Group BHP Mt Arthur NSW Mining Services 1,200 Coal

15-Oct-18 SRG Global Multiplex 300 George St QLD Construction 30 Infra.

12-Oct-18 NRW Holdings NSW Govt.Pacific Highway

UpgradeNSW Civil works 40 Infra.

8-Oct-18 Decmil Maoneng Sunraysia Solar Farm NSW EPC 277 Infra.

4-Oct-18 CIMIC Group BayaweaverMixed use

development projectIndia Construction 110 Infra.

3-Oct-18 Monadelphous BHPPilbara Iron Ore

MinesWA Maintenance 240 Iron Ore

3-Oct-18 SRG Global WoodsideNorth West Shelf

ProjectWA Access equipment n/a Oil and Gas

MAJOR CONTRACT AWARDS

The first half of FY2019 saw a reasonable amount of contract activity, with Cimic securing a significant pipeline of workacross both resources and infrastructure, and NRW and Ausdrill winning large mining contracts.

7

Corporate Activity

7

Date Announced

Status Target BusinessTarget

HQSeller Acquirer

Value (A$m)

ForumInterest

(%)Cons.

22-Dec-18 CompleteRCR Rail and

Transport BusinessEngineering and

ConstructionNSW n/a John Holland n/a Private 100% Cash

17-Dec-18 Complete Raba KistnerEngineering Consulting

USA n/a Cardno USD 55 Private 100% Cash

6-Dec-18 Complete TGM GroupEngineering Consulting

VIC n/a Cardno 22 Private 100% Cash

3-Dec-18 Complete Comdain E&C VIC n/a Service Stream 162 Private 100%Cash and

scrip

15-Nov-18 Complete KHSA Ltd O&M Kier Group Downer 42 Private 100% Cash

22-Oct-18 Complete Jacobs ECREngineeringConstruction

USA Jacobs WorleyParsons 4,600 Private 100%Cash and

scrip

14-Oct-18 Complete UGM Mining Mining Services QLD n/a Bis Industries n/a Private 100% Cash

Source: Company announcements.

MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS

The major transaction announced during the December 2018 quarter was WorleyParson’s acquisition of Jacobs ECRwhich will create a leading technical services provider across the hydrocarbons, chemicals and metals and miningsectors.

CAPITAL RAISINGS

ACTIVE SHARE BUYBACKS

Date Status Company TypeAmount Raised

(A$m)

(Discount) / Premium to Last

Price (%)Purpose

10-Dec-18 Complete Matrix Composites Placement 3 (10.5%) Working capital

5-Dec-18 Pending VDM Group Placement 6 400 Working capital

22-Oct-18 Complete Worley Parsons ANREO 2,900 (12.8%) Acquisition funding

Date Announced Company Type Size Purpose

14-Dec-18 CIMIC Group On-market Up to 10% Capital management

20-Mar-18 Pacific Energy Limited On-market Up to 1.1% Capital management

14-Feb-18 Service Stream On-market Up to 7.5% Capital management

20-Nov-17 ALS On-market Up to A$175 million Capital management

28-Feb-17 Cardno On-market Up to 10.0%Acquire shares where the Board deems the

share price to be below intrinsic value

8Notes: (1) Excludes alternate appointments; (2) Internal appointment. Source: Company announcements.

Executive Movements

Date Announced Company Name Role Date Effective

10-Dec-18 Tempo Australia David Iverach NED 10-Dec-18

10-Dec-18 Tempo Australia Guido Belgiorno-Nettis AM Chairman 10-Dec-18

3-Dec-18 Tempo Australia Scott Macdonald NED 3-Dec-18

1-Nov-18 Ausdrill Keith Gordon NED 1-Nov-18

10-Oct-18 Fleetwood Corporation Mark Southey NED 10-Oct-18

8

Date Announced Company Name Role Date Effective

10-Dec-18 Tempo Australia Scott Macdonald NED 10-Dec-18

30-Nov-18 Tempo Australia Carmelo Bontempo Non-Executive Chairman 30-Nov-18

19-Nov-18 Tempo Australia Guido Belgiorno-Nettis AM NED 19-Nov-18

6-Nov-18 GR Engineering Terrence Strapp NED 6-Nov-18

15-Oct-18 Spotless Group Dana Nelson CEO 16-Oct-18

10-Oct-18Southern Cross Electrical

EngineeringFrank Tomasi AM NED 30-Oct-18

EXECUTIVE & DIRECTOR APPOINTMENTS1

EXECUTIVE & DIRECTOR RESIGNATIONS / RETIREMENTS

9

Quarterly Focus: 1H19 Results Takeaways

9

Source: Facset ; Company filings.

1H19 results were generally positive, with GMISQ constituents recording median revenue and EBITDA growth of 12%and 18% respectively on a pcp basis. However, share price performances on the day of announcing 1H19 results weremixed, reflecting strong market expectations in the current operating environment.

Large Cap (>$1bn) Mid Cap (between $200m and $1bn) Small Cap (<$200m)

REVENUE GROWTH 1H19 PCP (%)

EBITDA GROWTH 1H19 PCP (%)

SHARE PRICE REACTION

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

RD

G

PEA TP

P

MA

H

DC

G

MSV

PG

X

NW

H

SRG

LBL

SVW

VR

S

AJL

EHL

MR

M

MYE

XR

F

IMD

SSM

AQ

Z

FWD

ASL

ALQ

MLD CV

L

EGN

CD

D

WO

R

CIM

DO

W

OR

I

BLY

SWK

SXE

VE

E

BO

L

BSA

SPO

LCM

VM

X

MN

D

MC

E

RU

L

AN

G

LYL

NM

S

SND

MIN

GN

G

VM

G

Median: 12%

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

RD

G

SPO

DC

G

MSV LB

L

AJL

SWK

MA

H

NW

H

XR

F

SVW

MR

M

PEA EH

L

FWD

MYE LY

L

SRG

IMD

ALQ BLY

SSM

PG

X

EGN

ASL

WO

R

AQ

Z

CIM

DO

W

BO

L

BSA SX

E

OR

I

AN

G

VM

X

CD

D

CV

L

MN

D

VR

S

MLD

VE

E

LCM

MIN

GN

G

SND

RU

L

Median: 18%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

XR

F

VE

E

MYE

SVW LB

L

NW

H

OR

I

BSA

MSV

MN

D

RD

G

SXE

CD

D

WO

R

SSM

RU

L

CV

L

AN

G

ASL

GN

G

ALQ

SPO

PEA

MR

M

BLY

BO

L

MC

E

VM

X

NM

S

VM

G

CIM

AQ

Z

DC

G

MLD

FWD

SWK

IMD

LYL

PG

X

DO

W

MIN AJL

SND

MA

H

VR

S

LCM

EGN

SRG

TPP

EHL

Median: 0%

10

Quarterly Focus: 1H19 Results Takeaways

10

Source: Company reports and presentations.

A review of commentary around market conditions and outlook confirms a number of themes that have been developingover the last 1-2 years. There is a generally positive outlook for most elements of the mining value chain, withproduction exposed companies perhaps seeing the greatest near term opportunities. Transport infrastructure spendingalso remains strong.

KEY THEMES

Theme Selected Market Commentary

Exploration and feasibility spending benefiting from strong commodity prices

• Mining companies continue to project increasing exploration and drilling activity over the coming periods however we do see them continue to tightly control their exploration, development and capital expenditures. Boart Longyear

• Global spend on exploration activities continues to rebound across a broad base of commodities. ALS

• Steady increase in exploration budgets and activity globally – albeit at a slower pace. The ability for juniors to raise funds is challenging, particularly in Canada; Major explorers are focusing on brownfield projects; Majors have highlighted opportunities to find new deposits under ground cover and at depth. Imdex

• Study activity remains strong in a supportive commodity price environment. Lycopodium

Mining capex growing

• Capital expenditure by the large mining companies has yet to reach the levels experienced at the commencement of the last major mining cycle. Spending increases are forecast to rise, in contrast to the 4 years to 2016 when large miners sought to extract maximum benefit from the capex of prior years. Austin Engineering

• New upcoming projects emerging in the WA onshore LNG sector will provide opportunities from FY21. Decmil

• New resources related infrastructure projects have appeared on the horizon. Next round of LNG opportunities expected to be smaller brownfields expansions. Downer

• Project development activities increasing, particularly in iron ore and lithium. Monadelphous

• Iron ore sustaining capital expenditure continuing to increase. Southern Cross Electrical Engineering

Infrastructure capex remains strong

• Strong pipeline and opportunities over the next three years in the infrastructure and civil construction sector. Boom Logistics

• Construction and services opportunities boosted by strong PPP and infrastructure pipeline. Cimic

• Significant public sector infrastructure spend by State and Federal Government: Major project opportunities in the Transport sector across Australia and New Zealand. Decmil

• Transport infrastructure and services market continues to exhibit good growth in both Australia and NZ. Downer

• Investment in infrastructure healthy, prospects continuing in water and renewables. Monadelphous

• Growing infrastructure requirements in QLD and NSW (Civil). NRW

• Pipeline of road and rail projects remains strong but market is competitive. Seven Group

• Public infrastructure developments will lead to further wave of commercial development when completed. Southern Cross Electrical Engineering

Increasing mining production creating opportunities for contract miners and rental groups

• Underground mining is presenting significant organic growth opportunities across Australia and Africa. Surface mining is presenting significant organic growth opportunities across a range of commodities in Africa. Demand for equipment rental, parts and services continues to grow. Ausdrill

• Mining continues to strengthen with a positive volume outlook both domestically and globally. Cimic

• Contract mining sector experienced recovery over last 12 months with volume increases at some existing mines and new contracts also coming to market. Downer

• Strong market conditions, particularly with coal customers in the Eastern Region. High levels of bidding activity in the Western Region, with attractive projects coming online during CY19. Emeco

• Clients looking to accelerate production. NRW

• Mining production levels continue at or near record levels…Rare earth metals coming into commodity mix and resurgence in gold production given strong price has provided opportunity. Seven Group

• Seeing additional opportunities at brownfield operating mines, with producers looking to increase output in response to strong gold prices and solid metal prices. Swick

Continued focus on technology

• Importance of drilling productivity technologies and innovation to lower costs, increase productivity and safety. Imdex

• Whilst mining companies are looking for productivity improvements through the use of technology their approval, procurement and contracting (legal) processes remain cautious and often protracted. As a result, suppliers to the mining industry are experiencing longer than usual sales closure cycles. RPM

• Strong customer demand for autonomous technology. Seven Group

11

Quarterly Focus: 1H19 Results Takeaways

11

Source: Company reports and presentations.

The majority of companies provided some form of guidance for FY19, with nearly all predicting solid growth over theprevious year.

SELECTED GUIDANCE STATEMENTS

Company vs FY18

AllianceAviation

Positive outlook for the 2019 financial year based on strong half year result and it is forecast that the second half of the financial year will exceed the first half’s financial performance

ALS FY19 NPAT guidance $170-175m (FY18: $142m) ↑

Ausdrill On target to achieve earnings guidance of underlying net profit after tax of $98 million for FY19 (FY18:$45.2m) ↑

Cardno

Including recent acquisitions, FY19 EBITDA is anticipated to be in the range of $60 to $65 million based on the current momentum and market conditions. The company is operationally and financially in the strongest position it has been in the past three years we believe there is a solid basis for both revenue and EBITDA growth in the medium term

Cimic FY19 NPAT guidance in the range of $790-840m (FY18:$780.6m) subject to market conditions ↑

Decmil Committed FY19 revenue c.$650m (FY18: $342m) ↑

Downer Increased target guidance for FY19 to $352m NPATA (previously $335m). Goal to deliver EPS growth of 19% in FY19 ↑

GR Engineering Revenue for 2H19 expected to be in line with HY19 -

Lycopodium Full year NPAT expected to be generally in line with last year -

MacaFY19 Revenue guidance of $640m (FY18: $562m). Second half financial performance is expected to be stronger than that achieved in the first half as a result of improved margins

MacmahonOn track to deliver FY19 guidance of between $950 million - $1,050 million in revenue (at least 34% growth) and Underlying EBIT of between $70 million - $80 million (at least 69% growth)

Mineral Resources

Not providing updated guidance to that provided at AGM. Guidance for Mining Services Division of at least $240m EBITDA confirmed

MonadelphousProject timing and Ichthys run-off forecast to result in lower construction revenues in FY19. FY19 revenue expected to be around 10% less than pcp

NRW FY19 revenue guidance of $1.1b (FY18: $754m) ↑

OricaImproving operating leverage underpins a stronger FY19 result. Higher revenue and EBIT will be underpinned by increased demand and manufacturing improvements, with earnings skewed to the second half of the year

Pacific EnergySolid start to the second half of the financial year, which, in combination with the first half’s solid performance, prompted it to upgrade full-year guidance on 12 February 2019 from a range of $54 - $55 million to a new range of $60 - $61 million EBITDA

Service Stream

Expect that the second-half of FY19 will generate EBITDA from Operations from the core business at least in-line with the first-half and will incur transaction costs associated with the Comdain Infrastructure acquisition of approximately $1.4 million. Expect Comdain Infrastructure to deliver revenue of $320 million and EBITDA of $22 million for the full-year, with approximately 50% thereof contributing to Service Stream’s earnings in the second-half

Southern Cross Electrical Engineering

Stronger second half expected and expecting FY19 revenues over $400m (FY18: $348m) ↑

Seven Group FY19 EBIT expected to be approximately 25% above FY18 underlying EBIT on a continuing operations basis ↑

SRG GlobalRevised FY19 guidance to underlying EBIT of between $22m and $27m corresponding to underlying EBITDA of between $32m and $37m. (Initial FY19 EBIT guidance of $30m to $35m provided in October 2018)

WorleyParsonsExpect to deliver improved earnings in FY2019 before including the contribution of the Jacobs ECR acquisition…Earnings expected to be weighted to the second half

12

Gresham’s Credentials

LANDMARK MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS

TAKEOVER RESPONSE

MINING AND INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES

Advised Fosters on its $12.3bn

takeover by SABMiller

Advisor to SCEE in relation to the

acquisition of Heyday5

Advised CHAMP and Frontenac on the sale of

H-E Parts International

Advisor to Coffey International in

relation to acquisition by

Tetra Tech

Advised Clough in relation to its

takeover by Murray & Roberts

Adviser to Barminco on its acquisition by

Ausdrill

AWARDS & ACCOLADES

2011 M&A Deal of the Year

SABMiller’s acquisition of

Foster’s Group

2009 Most Innovative Deal

Babcock & Brown

Infrastructure’s recapitalisation

Secondary Market Equity Raising of

the Year

Wesfarmers’ $2.6bn equity

raising

2007 Best M&A Deal

Wesfarmers’ acquisition of

Coles

Best M&A Deal in Australia

Wesfarmers’ acquisition of

Coles

Advised Boral on the formation of a US$1.6bn joint

venture with USG Corporation

2013

Advised First State Super on

its acquisition of the land titles and registry

functions of Land Use Victoria

2018

2011

2017 2016 2015 20132018

2013

Advised David Jones in relation to acquisition by

Woolworths

2014

Advised Bank of Queensland on

the acquisition of $2.5bn loan

portfolio from Investec

2014

Advised Wesfarmers on the sale of its

underwriting and insurance broking

businesses

2014

Excellence in Corporate

Advisory - 2012

Boutique / Independent

Lead Independent

financial adviser to the Board of BHP Billiton on

the demerger of South32

2015

Advisor to UGL in relation to its takeover by

CIMIC

2017

Advised Asciano on its takeover by a

consortium led by Canada Pension Plan Investment

Board

2016

Advised the Lonsdale

Consortium on the acquisition of

a 50-year lease of Port of

Melbourne

2016

Advised DUET Group in relation

to its $13bn takeover by a

consortium comprising CKP,

CKI and PAH

Advised Little World

Beverages on its acquisition

by Lion

2017

Adviser to Quadrant on the

sale of CQMS Razor

2017

13

Contact Details

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Telephone: +61 2 9221 5133

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www.gresham.com.au

Chris BranstonExecutive Director, PerthE: [email protected]: +61 8 9213 0290

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