group 4 wellington/horowhenua/rangitikei region 4 – wellington/horowhenua/rangitikei region within...

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55 Group 4 Wellington/Horowhenua/Rangitikei Region Within Group 4, all electorates together have a total average population almost exactly on quota. Wellington Central was above the allowable tolerance. The Commission has shifted population from Wadestown into the Ōhariu electorate. Population was then moved from Ōhariu at Korokoro, Maungaraki and Normandale into Hutt South and Rimutaka enabling the entire Hutt Valley to comprise of two electorates. The Commission shifted population around Shannon in the Ōtaki electorate into the Rangitῑkei electorate whose population is below tolerance and projected to decline. The Commission has proposed no changes to Palmerston North, Mana and Rongotai. Proposed changes to electorate populations in the Wellington/Horowhenua/Rangitikei region are shown on the two maps overleaf.

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55

Group 4 – Wellington/Horowhenua/Rangitikei Region

Within Group 4, all electorates together have a total average population almost exactly on quota.

Wellington Central was above the allowable tolerance. The Commission has shifted population from

Wadestown into the Ōhariu electorate. Population was then moved from Ōhariu at Korokoro,

Maungaraki and Normandale into Hutt South and Rimutaka enabling the entire Hutt Valley to comprise

of two electorates. The Commission shifted population around Shannon in the Ōtaki electorate into the

Rangitῑkei electorate whose population is below tolerance and projected to decline.

The Commission has proposed no changes to Palmerston North, Mana and Rongotai.

Proposed changes to electorate populations in the Wellington/Horowhenua/Rangitikei region are shown

on the two maps overleaf.

56

Maps of Proposed Population Changes –

Wellington/Horowhenua/Rangitikei Region

57

RANGITĪKEI

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N38 Rangitῑkei 58,720 -1,011 -1.7% -3% -5%

General Description

The Rangitῑkei electorate comprises the communities of Taumarunui, Owhango and National Park in the

north, Ohakune, Waiouru and Taihape in the centre and Marton, Bulls, Shannon and Feilding in the

south.

Summary of Reasons

Rangitῑkei is under tolerance and requires significant additional population. To meet quota and projected

decline relative to quota for the life of the electorate, population of 2,400 at Shannon has been moved into

the electorate from Ōtaki.

58

PALMERSTON NORTH

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N40 Palmerston North 59,567 -164 -0.3% -1% -2%

General Description

The Palmerston North electorate comprises Palmerston North City, including the suburbs of Cloverlea,

Milson and Kelvin Grove.

Summary of Reasons

The Commission proposes retaining the existing boundaries. The electorate is within the permitted quota

and is projected to remain so.

59

ŌTAKI

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N41 Ōtaki 57,466 -2,265 -3.8% -5% -7%

General Description

The Ōtaki electorate is located on the southwest coast of the North Island and comprises the communities

of Paraparaumu, Waikanae, Ōtaki, Levin, Foxton, Foxton Beach and Kapiti Island.

Summary of Reasons

Ōtaki is slightly above quota and projected to decline modestly against quota. Population around

Shannon has been moved to the Rangitῑkei electorate as it is in need of population.

60

MANA

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N43 Mana 60,755 1,024 1.7% 1% -1%

General Description

The Mana electorate is based on the communities of Porirua City, Whitby, Plimmerton and Pukerua Bay

and the Kapiti Coast settlements of Paekakariki and Raumati.

Summary of Reasons

The Commission proposes retaining the existing boundaries. The electorate is within the permitted quota

and is projected to remain so.

61

RIMUTAKA

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N44 Rimutaka 62,351 2,620 4.4% 4% 2%

General Description

The Rimutaka electorate is based on Upper Hutt City and extends south to include Stokes Valley, Taita,

Kelson, Belmont, Normandale, and part of Avalon.

Summary of Reasons

Collectively the two Hutt Valley electorates of Rimutaka and Hutt South are under quota and are

declining relative to quota. They are topographically constrained by the mountains to the north, west and

east.

The boundaries have been set so that the complete Hutt Valley comprises two electorates. Population of

3,500 around Normandale has been added to Rimutaka from Ōhariu.

62

ŌHARIU

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N45 Ōhariu 57,550 -2,181 -3.7% -4% -4%

General Description

The Ōhariu electorate consists of the communities of Tawa (excluding Linden), Johnsonville, Newlands,

Ngaio, Crofton Downs, Khandallah and Wadestown.

Summary of Reasons

The existing Ōhariu electorate is 3.1% above quota and projected to be stable. Population of 4,000 at

Wadestown has been added from over-quota Wellington Central. Population of 8,200 has been lost to

Hutt South and Rimutaka from the Western Hutt Hills areas of Korokoro, Maungaraki and

Normandale.

63

HUTT SOUTH

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N46 Hutt South 62,006 2,275 3.8% 2% 0%

General Description

The Hutt South electorate comprises much of the lower Hutt Valley, Petone, Wainuiomata and

Eastbourne, including Boulcott and the southern portion of Naenae. It includes Korokoro and

Maungaraki on the Western Hutt hills.

Summary of Reasons

Collectively the two Hutt Valley electorates of Hutt South and Rimutaka are under quota and are

declining relative to quota. They are topographically constrained by the mountains to the north, west and

east.

The boundaries have been set so that the complete Hutt Valley comprises two electorates. Population of

4,700 at Korokoro and Maungaraki has been added to Hutt South from Ōhariu.

64

WELLINGTON CENTRAL

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N47 Wellington Central 60,402 671 1.1% 2% 2%

General Description

The Wellington Central electorate comprises the central and inner suburbs of Wellington City, together

with Karori. This electorate also includes Brooklyn and Mount Cook.

Summary of Reasons

Wellington Central is over the quota tolerance and projected to rise slightly. Population of 4,000 at

Wadestown has been moved from Wellington Central into Ōhariu.

65

RONGOTAI

North Island General

Electoral Districts

Electoral

population

Variation from quota

(NI Quota = 59,731)

Projections

Code Name Number % 2014 2017

N48 Rongotai 59,753 22 0% 0% -1%

General Description

The Rongotai electorate comprises the communities of Newtown, Island Bay, Lyall Bay, Haitaitai,

Kilbirnie and the Miramar Peninsula. The electorate also includes Chatham Island and Pitt Island.

Summary of Reasons

The Commission proposes retaining the existing boundaries. The electorate is within the permitted quota

and is projected to remain so.