gt exclusive oil lift - gulf times
TRANSCRIPT
Wednesday, December 14, 2016Rabia I 15, 1438 AH
BUSINESSGULF TIMES
Problem areas pinpointed in Islamic fi nance
Bull run continues on QSE
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Trump picks Exxon Mobil CEO Tillerson for secretary of state
QP to cut oil output from January after Opec deal
By Santhosh V PerumalBusiness Reporter
Qatar will cut its oil produc-tion from January 1, in line with the global oil produc-
ers’ decision to collectively reduce output by 1.2mn bpd in order to re-balance an already over-supplied global market.
“We have started advising our customers of the expected reduc-tions in oil deliveries to ensure the state’s compliance with Opec’s allocations,” Qatar Petroleum president and chief executive Saad Sherida al-Kaabi said in a state-ment here yesterday.
He said the decision comes in line with Qatar’s commitment to the recently agreed production levels by the members of the Or-ganisation of the Petroleum Ex-porting Countries (Opec) during its ministerial meeting held on November 30.
However, the statement did not disclose on the quantum of cut that Qatar would undertake.
While Opec members have agreed to reduce output by 1.2mn bpd, non-Opec countries agreed to cut by 558,000 bpd.
After weeks of hectic parleys, Opec members had inked a pact on a cut in oil production to 32.5mn bpd in early 2017, from an estimat-ed 33.6mn bpd in October 2016.
“This agreement comes from a sense of responsibility from Opec member countries and non-Opec member countries for the general well-being and health of the world economy,” HE the Minister of En-ergy and Industry Dr Mohamed bin Salah al-Sada had said after the meeting.
Ever since the deal was arrived at, global oil prices have rebound-ed. The price of Opec basket of 14 crudes stood at $53.24 a barrel on Monday against $50.95 the previ-
ous Friday, according to Opec cal-culations.
In view of the simmering diff er-ences earlier among its members on output cut, Opec secretary gen-eral Mohamed Barkindo had ear-lier cautioned that anything short of implementation of the accord could lead to the elongation of the rebalancing process, with further deterioration of fi nancial condi-tions and setbacks in investments extending into a third year, which would be unprecedented.
“We should be calling for maxi-mum commitment from all Opec and non-Opec countries” he said earlier.
The country allocations and an independent production moni-toring committee are also part of the deal, according to which Saudi Arabia is expected to cut produc-tion by 486,000 bpd and Iraq by
210,000; while Iran would increase it by 90,000 bpd.
In line with recommendations from the high-level committee of the ‘Algiers Accord’, the November 30 meet also agreed to institution-alise a framework for cooperation between Opec and non-Opec pro-ducing countries on a regular and sustainable basis. According to Opec’s November oil report, world oil demand is expected to increase by 1.23mn bpd in 2016 to average 94.4mn bpd; while supply is ex-pected to contract by 0.78mn bpd.
Expecting annual global oil demand to grow (by an average of 1.2mn barrels a day), Bank of America Merrill Lynch had said “we still see downside risks to our forecast”, keeping its 2017 fore-casts for Brent and WTI crude oil unchanged at $61 and $59 per bar-rel respectively.
QDB awards 5 entrepreneurial ideas at Al-Fikra contestAt the fi nal awards ceremony of Al-Fikra
National Business Competition 2016, Qatar Development Bank (QDB) an-
nounced the list of fi ve successful entrepre-neurial ideas that were developed during the course of the contest.
The fi fth edition of Al-Fikra National Busi-ness Competition was held under the patronage of HE the Minister of Economy and Commerce Sheikh Ahmed bin Jassim bin Mohamed al-Thani, who was present along with QDB chief executive offi cer Abdulaziz bin Nasser al-Kha-lifa, and other high-ranking offi cials of part-nered organisations.
The value of the awards amounted to more than QR8mn and prizes ranged from access to fi nance, incubation time and advisory services to help the successful entrepreneurs translate their business ideas into reality and commence operations on ground.
Al-Khalifa said, “We at QDB aspire to in-culcate a culture of creativity, entrepreneurial spirit and innovativeness across the nation through providing a supportive environment for entrepreneurs. An integral part of our de-velopment strategy for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) has been to provide the requisite impetus for the national economy to achieve diversity and sustainable develop-ment, as envisioned in the Qatar National Vi-sion 2030. Our national business competition is a case-in-point.”
“Our primary focus during our evaluation phase was the quality and innovativeness of the submissions with respect to the commercial needs of the market - the fi nalists were selected by the jury on criteria that includes the quality of the ideas submitted and the feasibility of their business plans. Through the support of QDB, the
fi nalists are empowered to translate their busi-ness models into a reality. Here, I would like to thank all the pioneers of Al-Fikra, who partici-pated in the contest in the past editions, and I would like to sincerely congratulate the winners of the current fi fth edition,” he added.
QNB assistant general manager (SME Bank-ing) Khaled al-Nuaimi said, “QNB Group is pleased to sponsor this competition, which witnesses the presentation of many creative ideas from budding entrepreneurs. QNB Group
always aims to be at the forefront of the organi-sations supporting the eff orts of this upcoming generation of business men and women and nurturing their creative energies for the benefi t of our national economy and to build a brighter future for our State of Qatar.”
President of GTL Ventures at Sasol, Phinda Vilakazi, said, “Entrepreneurship is in our DNA. It is for this reason that Sasol continues to sup-port Al-Fikra and the talented youth of Qatar to develop their ideas into successful businesses, so
that they may make a diff erence in people’s lives. I would like to thank Qatar Development Bank for continuing to develop and support entrepre-neurship in Qatar.” ExxonMobil Qatar president and general manager Alistair Routledge said, “ExxonMobil Qatar is proud to support the 2017 edition of the Al-Fikra National Business Com-petition, hosted by Qatar Development Bank. It is a tremendous platform for future business leaders to build on their ingenuity and develop their unique competencies.”
In an eff ort to assist candidates in develop-ing their ideas and transforming them into op-erational projects, QDB has collaborated with a group of preeminent supporters and strate-gic partners to organise Al-Fikra this year. The competition is sponsored by QNB, Sasol and ExxonMobil as offi cial sponsors.
Moreover, QDB is collaborating with its two subsidiaries, Qatar Business Incubation Centre and Bedaya Center for Entrepreneurship and Career Development.
Oil may hit $70 in 2017, says BAMLBy Pratap JohnChief Business Reporter
Brent crude may hit $70 a barrel at the peak of the US
driving season and average $61/b in 2017, according to
Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML).
In its view, the Opec’s November 30 decision to cut
crude production with key non-Opec producers, a first
since 1998, “marks a clear turning point” with individual
country quotas being allocated to all members, an inde-
pendent production monitoring committee established.
And it appears the world’s largest crude oil producer
Russia has committed to join the cut, BAML said in its
‘2017 commodity outlook’ released yesterday.
As a result, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said the global
oil market should enter into a deficit as soon as first
quarter of next year it projects total global oil demand
roughly 560,000 barrels per day (bpd) above supply on
average over the course of next year.
Most importantly, BAML believes the “historic Opec and
non-Opec agreement marks a clear turning point” for
the global oil market.
In the past two and a half years, the supply glut has led
to a large inventory overhang, with total commercial
petroleum stocks across the Organisation for Eco-
nomic Co-operation and Development (OECD) sitting at
3,060mn barrels, about 350mn barrels above average
historical levels.
Given its outlook for a “gradual recovery” in Brent prices
to $61/b on average next year, BAML believes shale oil
production will reverse its current trend as early as next
year.
“After all, some shale basins have current breakeven
prices in the mid-30/b,” BAML points out.
The ‘Austin Chalk’ or the South Central Oklahoma Oil
Province (SCOOP) basins in the US, both rich in oil and
gas resources, have the lowest breakeven among all
basins.
Yet, production is “not significant enough” to make a
diff erence to the overall shale outlook for now.
As for the big three basins, breakeven prices are cur-
rently standing in the $40-50/b range on average for a
given play.
“As a result, our US oil service Equity Research col-
leagues expect a gradual increase in oil rigs from Q2,
2016 to Q4,2017, which could eventually lead to sequen-
tial growth in shale output,” BAML said.
In this base case scenario, BAML sees shale productiv-
ity at the same level as in 2016. This, it said implies that
productivity gains continue to level off as prices recover,
driven by off setting factors of eff iciency gains and pro-
ducers gradually moving out of the core areas.
In the Permian Basin in North America, drilling days con-
tinue to shorten and well estimated ultimate recovery
continues to improve, with many companies quoting
large gains in their third quarter earnings.
The Permian Basin, which is a sedimentary basin largely
contained in the western part of Texas and the south-
eastern part of New Mexico, is a large oil and natural gas
producing area.
Al-Kaabi: Reductions in oil deliveries to customers.
Opec pact to create supply defi cit next half: IEA
Adnoc to cut supplies; Kuwait, Oman to follow
Global oil markets will swing from surplus to deficit in the first half of 2017 as Opec and other producers follow through on an agreement to cut supply, according to the International Energy Agency.Oil stockpiles will decline by about 600,000 bpd in the next six months as curbs by Opec and its partners take eff ect, said the agency, which had previously assumed inventories wouldn’t drop until the end of 2017. Russia, the biggest producer outside Opec to join the deal, will gradually implement the full reduction it promised, according to the IEA, Bloomberg reported. Oil has gained about 17% since the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed on
November 30 to trim output for the first time in eight years, an accord expanded on December 10 with the participation of 11 non-members including Russia and Kazakhstan.“Before the agreement among producers, our demand and supply numbers suggested that the market would re-balance by the end of 2017,” the Paris-based agency said in its monthly market report. “If Opec promptly and fully sticks to its production target” and other producers cut as agreed, “the market is likely to move into deficit in the first half of 2017.”The stockpile declines will only occur if Opec reduces supply enough to meet and maintain a target of about 32.7mn bpd, the agency said.
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) yesterday said it would cut crude supplies by 3%-5% across its three export grades to meet commitments under an Opec deal to curb output.The move is one of the first visible indicators that oil markets could be physically tighter in 2017 as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and other producers cut production to ease a supply glut and prop up prices.In a notice to term lifters, Adnoc said it would reduce Murban and Upper Zakum crude supplies by 5% and cut Das crude exports by 3%.“In line with Opec’s latest decision to cut production, we regret to advise you that crude oil allocation for the month of
January 2017 will be reduced,” Adnoc said.Kuwait Petroleum Corp (KPC) has also notified at least two customers in Asia it “will implement its share of the reduction, which shall take eff ect January 2017”, refining off icials said. Non-Opec Oman was set to will tell customers yesterday that it plans to cut output by 45,000 bpd and will provide details on the reduction to each customer later, a source said.Adnoc’s supply cuts will mostly hit Asia although they remain within tolerance limits of 5%, as allowed by a contract clause that lets seller or buyer adjust loading volumes based on logistics.Adnoc’s production hit a record 3.1mn bpd in November, according to a Reuters survey.
HE Sheikh Ahmed; HE the QCB Governor Sheikh Abdulla bin Saoud al-Thani and al-Khalifa among other dignitaries at the Al-Fikra Competition awards ceremony. Right: Winners of the competition.
BUSINESS
Gulf Times Wednesday, December 14, 20162
Saudi seen taming huge defi cit with 2017 budget2016 deficit to be much smaller than originally projected; may create room for more spending in 2017; higher oil prices, non-oil revenues steps will help
ReutersRiyadh/Dubai
Saudi Arabia’s 2017 state budg-et is likely to show Riyadh has shrunk a huge defi cit caused
by cheap oil faster than expected, which may let it spend more to bol-ster a shaky economy
This year was one of the most painful for the Saudi economy in decades.
Growth slowed sharply and spec-ulators bet against the Saudi cur-rency as the government fought to curb a defi cit that totalled a record 367bn riyals ($98bn) in 2015.
But when Riyadh reveals next year’s budget in about two weeks, it will claim more progress in control-ling its fi nances than many thought possible 12 months ago, bankers and analysts in touch with Saudi eco-nomic offi cials said.
That may allow it to focus on another key reform plank: Diver-sifying the economy beyond crude exports and fostering private sector growth.
“Next year there will be a much more balanced budget and in-creased focus on creating jobs and development projects that directly help the economy,” a senior Saudi banker told Reuters.
Economist Ihsan Bu Hulaiga forecast the budget would be de-signed to “move out from low eco-nomic growth to higher growth”.
Drastic spending cuts over-seen by King Salman’s son, Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Sal-man, appear to have cut the defi -
cit signifi cantly beyond the 326bn riyals originally planned in the 2016 budget.
Several top Saudi economists predicted on average an actual 2016 defi cit of 240bn riyals.
That would be about 10% of gross domestic product – still unsustain-able in the long term, but down from 15% last year.
Spending cuts in 2016 included emergency orders to ministries to cut the value of contracts, months-long delays in the state’s payment of debts to private sector companies,
and unpopular cuts to state em-ployees’ allowances.
Meanwhile, government depart-ments had been asked to propose cuts to projects aimed at revamp-ing infrastructure and diversify-ing the economy before they even launched, an offi cial source said.
Because the spending cuts have already been so drastic, further falls in the defi cit may have to be slower.
But the government may have created room for itself to loosen the purse strings slightly next year.
The rally in oil prices in response
to last month’s Opec agreement to cut output, with Brent crude now at $55 a barrel compared to an average of $45 this year, should help.
Also, steps introduced this year to boost non-oil revenues, although small compared to the overall budg-et, will be in place for the entire year in 2017.
These include higher municipal and visa fees, and a tax on undevel-oped urban land.
Meanwhile, savings may come from further anticipated cuts to do-mestic energy subsidies.
Saudi Fransi Capital predicted a 20% hike in electricity tariff s and a 40% rise in gasoline prices.
Riyadh, however, might not raise the cost of natural gas feedstock for fi rms, as it did in the 2016 budget, to support the petrochemical indus-try, some analysts said.
Some economists think next year’s budget may be modestly ex-pansionary in nominal terms.
The 2016 budget plan projected spending of 840bn riyals, down from actual spending of 975bn riy-als in 2015.
IranAir hopes to finalise Airbus deal in two weeksReutersBeirut
European planemaker Airbus and IranAir will finalise a deal to buy aircraft in two weeks, the head of Iran’s flag carrier said yesterday, adding Airbus has agreed to arrange financing for the first 17 planes.Uncertainty over financing of the deal and political opposition in the US against Iran have slowed down Tehran’s eff orts to import aircraft following the lifting of nuclear-related sanctions this year.Iran signed a $16.6bn deal for 80 Boeing passenger jets on Sunday and was said to be close to a deal with Airbus, in the biggest package of firm contracts with Western companies since Iran’s 1979 revolution.IranAir chief executive Farhad Parvaresh said he hoped to finalise the deal with Airbus in two weeks.“There are only a few small remaining issues like financing. Airbus has agreed to provide financing for 17 planes,” he was quoted as saying by Tasnim news agency.The first contract is expected to involve some 50-60 jets out of 118 provisionally ordered during a visit to France by Iranian President Hassan Rouhani in January.An Iranian off icial told Reuters in November that IranAir had reached a deal with a foreign leasing company to finance the first 17 jets from Airbus, boosting the prospects of finalising a deal to buy European aircraft.Dubai’s DAE Capital has been closely involved in the talks in coordination with Airbus, according to industry sources, but the leasing company has declined to comment.Parvaresh said IranAir was trying to get first five Airbus planes before March 2017, the end of the financial year.Such a timetable would mean the first new passenger jets reaching Iran ahead of presidential elections in May, widely considered a key objective for pragmatist president Rouhani who has faced hardline opposition to the aircraft deals.Further details meanwhile emerged of Iran’s deal with Boeing, which depends partly on further financing agreements.Parvaresh was quoted by Fars news agency as saying Boeing had agreed to finance the first six planes it sells to Iran.He also said Iran would pay for 15% of the value of the jets from its development fund, with the rest to be financed externally.
3ISLAMIC FINANCEGULF TIMESWednesday, December 14, 2016
New report names standardisation, CSR, corporate governance problem areas of Islamic fi nanceBy Arno MaierbruggerGulf Times Correspondent Bangkok
A new report on the global development of Islamic fi nance released on De-
cember 7 at the World Islamic Banking Conference 2016 held in Bahrain found that overall performance indicators in the industry declined in 2016 com-pared to 2015 due to the slump in oil prices that put a break on the performance of Islamic fi nan-cial institutions, but also ow-ing to self-made problems such as continued lack of regulatory standardisation and subpar cor-porate governance and corpo-rate social responsibility (CSR) levels, particularly in developing nations.
The report, entitled Islamic Finance Development Report 2016 and jointly released by Thomson Reuters’ Islamic fi -nance research team and the Is-lamic Corp for the Development of the Private Sector, a unit of Saudi Arabia-based Islamic De-velopment Bank, examined key statistics, industry performers and trends across fi ve indica-tors that are signifi cant for the development of the $2tn Is-lamic fi nance industry across
124 countries. From the specifi c outcome for each country, the report derived a global devel-opment indicator which it says dropped to 8.8 in 2016 from 9.9 in 2015.
One of the main reasons for the slowing development in the Islamic fi nance industry was the “unprecedented oil price storm,” as Nadim Najjar, man-aging director for Middle East and North Africa at Thomson Reuters, puts it.
According to him, the sharp drop in oil prices lowered the fi nancial performance of banks in countries that have a larger Islamic fi nance sector such as the Gulf Cooperation Council nations and Malaysia, whereby the latter also had to deal with the drastic drop of the value of its currency, the ringgit. While the low oil prices did not nega-tively aff ect the growth of Is-lamic fi nance assets as such, they caused a decline in returns and also resulted in negative eq-uity performances of a variety of listed Islamic fi nancial insti-tutions, and also of Shariah-compliant equities and takaful. Sukuk was the least vulnerable of the asset classes, the report found, but also notes that there were lower issuance volumes in 2015.
Particularly, the reports men-tion corporate governance, ab-sence of standardisation and corporate social responsibility as problem areas for the devel-opment of Islamic fi nance. In many countries opening up to Islamic fi nance, namely in Af-rica, South and Central Asia, there is a lack of a clear and obligatory fi nancial reporting framework for Islamic banks and other fi nancial institutions which results in incomplete or inconclusive fi nancial report-ing. Overall performance keeps being weakened by a lack of standardisation of Islamic fi -
nance regulations. The report points out that there are just 35 countries with at least one type of Islamic fi nance regulation in practice. Lacking international standardisation thus often leads to confusion what kind of Is-lamic fi nance products or trans-actions are Shariah-compliant in which jurisdiction and which are not.
With regards to CSR, the re-
port found that there is a sig-nifi cant lack of CSR transpar-ency at certain Islamic fi nancial institutions which is another reason for a slower sector devel-opment. Too few Islamic banks are actually disclosing their CSR activities, and the total amount of CSR funds disbursed by these institutions remains low and its utilisation opaque.
However, the report also states that other areas are im-proving. Some key jurisdiction in Islamic fi nance, namely Ma-laysia and Pakistan, worked on fi ne-tuning their Shariah gov-ernance framework during 2015, while Nigeria and Morocco keep seeking to centralise their re-spective Shariah board regu-lations. Education in Islamic fi nance, a key enablers for the sector’s development, has made particularly great strides: The number of Islamic fi nance edu-cation institutions grew further and can meanwhile be found in abundance in Malaysia, Indone-sia and Pakistan, whereby in the West, skills training providers and other learning institutions, namely in Luxembourg, Bel-gium and the UK, realised the potential of Islamic fi nance ed-ucation and keep opening more and more training centres and university courses.
For Thomson Reuters’ Najjar, the momentum of the global Is-lamic fi nance industry remains strong.
“We maintain a positive out-look for the industry, projecting Islamic fi nance assets to reach $3.5tn by 2021,“ he says, adding that “Islamic banking remains strong in many countries and its growth is also supported by the continued development and in-troduction of banking and other Islamic fi nance sectors in new countries.”
With regards to particular markets, Malaysia, Bahrain and the UAE continue to dominate the Islamic fi nance develop-ment ranking this year, although Malaysia posted a slight de-cline in its overall performance. Noteworthy emerging countries in Islamic fi nance that have moved up were South Africa, Morocco, Tanzania, Japan and Russia. High potential is seen by the report in established mar-kets in Southeast Asia, as well as in Africa where Islamic fi nance has been discovered by a couple of governments as a new way of fi nancing large infrastruc-ture projects and an alternative source for government revenues that were dwindling in the past in the fallout of dropping global commodity prices.
EDUCATION/FAQ on Interest
May I make interest-based transactions with non-Muslims?The impermissibility of dealing in interest remains even when transacting with non-Muslims or in non-Muslim lands.
Doesn’t the prohibition of riba apply only to lending to the poor who are forced to borrow at high rates?Besides the fact that the prohibition refers to everyone, at a practical level it is impossible to apply a quantitative standard (interest rates) to a qualitative circumstance (poverty). Who determines who is poor? Does one set a poverty line based on zakat eligibility? Will banks be forced to lend to these poor? Will the ‘risky’ poor be charged higher rates than the regular poor? Before long the standards by which money is allocated become identical to conventional interest-based standards. Because there
necessarily can be no quantifiable cut-off between what is an ‘interest rate’ and what is a ‘usurious rate’ further supports the Islamic view that the term riba does not distinguish between interest and usury in the Qur’an.
What is wrong with charging a moderate excess over the principal, as with commercial interest rates, if participants mutually agree that a dollar is worth more today than it is tomorrow?The argument is that because any unit of capital is worth more today than it is tomorrow, providers of capital should be compensated for foregoing the opportunity to use their capital for that time. But the problem with this arrangement is that the borrower of capital is compelled to guarantee (often at a considerable price) the return of this capital, in addition to a fixed premium, while
the lender incurs no risk (in so far as the loan collateral compensates his risk). There is no mutual participation of risk: the lender’s motivation is not the mobility of capital for the sake of investment; the lender’s motivation is the commitment of capital for the sake of preservation. In a risk-oriented investment, the principal (lender) is rewarded for his business acumen; in an interest-based transaction, the lender is rewarded simply for the ownership of capital.May I deal in interest with the intention of giving it away in charity?It is impermissible to deal in interest with the intention of giving the benefit away in charity (the forbidden always takes precedence over the recommended).
What constitutes a direct involvement in interest-based transactions?Unlawfulness depends on how
direct one’s involvement is to the interest dealings. Direct involvement entails that one participates in the actual execution of an unlawful transaction; the one who buys, sells, trades, witnesses, records, calculates, recommends, instructs or in any way directly assists in an interest-based transaction during its execution is culpable (e.g. car buyer who contracts an interest-based lease; homeowner who takes a mortgage; futures and options trader; insurance salesman; loan off icer); if an accountant, for instance, merely records a transaction that has already taken place, the involvement is not considered ‘direct,’ and therefore remains permissible, though it is always superior to avoid the doubtful.
May I sell or assist another in buying a credit card that charges interest?It impermissible to assist in the
purchase of a credit card that charges an interest rate, and off ensive to assist in the purchase of a credit card that only charges an interest rate after a reasonable grace period. In the former case one directly assists in the sin because the interest rate is a direct consequence of owning the credit card, whereas in the latter case one indirectly assists in the sin because the onus of prompt repayment is on the credit card owner.
How can I convert a conventional interest-based sale into one acceptable in Shariah?When a good or service (not cash, gold, silver, securities or similar tradable instruments) is off ered for sale through an interest-based transaction (e.g. car loan, property mortgage, education loan, etc.), it is permissible for the buyer to propose to the vendor the following: That the vendor combine all future principal
and interest payments into one lump-sum amount and divide this new amount into instalments, provided any late payment charges go to a designated charity rather than to the vendor (e.g. a house sells for $150,000 with a 7% interest payment payable in monthly instalments over a 20 year period; the buyer proposes that the bank negotiating the transaction add the $150,000 principal to all future interest payments, and divide the new amount into monthly instalments); it would be permissible to vary the instalments (i.e. flat, increasing or decreasing instalment sizes) provided all the amounts are pre-agreed; such a transaction avoids the riba created by interest payments and penalty charges, allows the seller to sell at any price he chooses, and permits the buyer to pay in instalments.
Source: Ethica Institute of Islamic Finance via Bloomberg
Islamic banks slowly embrace green fi nanceBy Bernardo VizcainoReuters
Islamic banks are gradually embracing socially respon-sible fi nance, from renewable
energy to microfi nance eff orts, helping unlock new funding sources for environmentally-friendly projects, an industry survey shows.
The two sectors have devel-oped separately from each other, but green projects could benefi t from tapping Islamic banks in countries like the UAE and Ma-laysia, where they now hold a quarter of total banking assets.
Around two-thirds of fi nanc-ing in Saudi Arabia follows Is-lamic principles, which forbid investing in gambling, tobacco and alcohol. This resembles the screening methodology used by ethical funds in Western mar-kets.
Commonalities could help converge two fast-growing bond markets: Moody’s Inves-tors Service estimates issuance of Islamic bonds, or sukuk, will reach $70bn this year, compared to over $80bn for green bonds.
Green fi nance is increasingly important for Islamic banks seeking to diff erentiate them-selves from their conventional peers, the Bahrain-based Gener-al Council for Islamic Banks and Financial Institutions (CIBAFI) said in a report. Islamic banks want to improve their contri-
bution to local economies with job creation, infrastructure and SME fi nancing as top priorities, a survey conducted by CIBAFI between May and August shows.
The survey drew input from 86 Islamic fi nance institutions across 29 countries mainly from the Middle East and Southeast Asia, as well as Africa.
Around a third of small Islamic banks cited a moderate exposure to the green and renewable en-ergy sectors, compared to 15.5% for large Islamic banks.
In Malaysia a local lender has introduced green mortgages to facilitate installation of solar systems, while an Islamic bank in Jordan is developing alterna-tives to medium-term loans to fund energy effi cient and renew-able energy projects.
Gulf TimesExclusive
An Emarati stands on a balcony overlooking the Shams 1, Concentrated Solar power (CSP) plant, in Al-Gharibiyah district on the outskirts of Abu Dhabi. Green projects could benefit from tapping Islamic banks in countries like the UAE and Malaysia, where they now hold a quarter of total banking assets.
Gold standard nod seen opening new markets for Islamic finance business
BloombergDubai
Gold is acceptable for the first
time as an investment in Islamic
finance after the group that sets
standards for the industry
adopted Shariah-compliant rules
for trading the metal.
The rules approved last month
allow gold to be used in the
$1.88tn Islamic finance business,
the Accounting and Auditing
Organization for Islamic Financial
Institutions said early this month.
The AAOIFI developed the stand-
ards with help from the producer-
funded World Gold Council, which
has said the new rules could spur
demand for “hundreds of tons”
of gold.
“This is a ground-breaking initia-
tive for Islamic investors and for
the gold industry at large,” Aram
Shishmanian, chief executive
off icer of the World Gold Council,
said in the joint statement. “We
are delighted that there is now
definitive Shariah guidance on the
permissibility of investing in gold.”
Gold joins equities, real estate,
Islamic bonds (sukuk) and takaful
(insurance) as vehicles approved
for Islamic finance, according to
the Bahrain-based AAOIFI. Sukuk
volume slipped 1.4% in 2015
after the Malaysian central bank
terminated its short-term sukuk
issuance programme, the AAOIFI
said.
“The time has come for gold
instruments in Islamic finance,”
Mark Mobius, executive chairman
of Templeton Emerging Markets
Group, said in a December 5 World
Gold Council report accompany-
ing the statement. The report
didn’t say if Templeton plans to
invest in the product.
A customer buys gold at a jewellery shop in Bangkok. Gold joins equities, real estate, Islamic bonds (sukuk) and takaful as vehicles approved for Islamic finance, according to the Bahrain-based AAOIFI.
BUSINESS
Gulf Times Wednesday, December 14, 20164
Emerging market debt default risks in 2017ReutersLondon
From tiny frontier markets to the
world’s No 2 economy, a range of
developing countries could experience
serious stress next year if a strength-
ening dollar and sluggish domestic
economies make it harder to meet
debt repayments.
Emerging governments and com-
panies must repay more than $300bn
next year in hard currency debt,
roughly a third more than 2016 — the
result of a borrowing spree after 2008
when Western interest rates collapsed.
“One consequence of the very loose
global monetary policy we’ve had for
the past decade is that financing was
easily available and went in some cases
to corners of the market that didn’t
really deserve it,” said Graham Stock,
head of EM sovereign research at asset
manager BlueBay.
Meanwhile, the dollar’s five-year
rally, renewed by Donald Trump’s US
election victory, will extend into 2017,
Reuters polls show. Following is a list of
potential pressure points in emerging
markets for 2017, in order of the size of
their economy:
CHINA — Chinese companies owe
some $18tn (about 170% of gross do-
mestic product), with close to $800bn)
maturing in 2017.
Since 2014 Beijing has allowed 85
defaults and domestic ratings firm
Chengxin predicts more in 2017.
Beijing may allow the yuan, already
near 8-1/2-year lows, to fall further to
stop burning through central bank
reserves, which are at the lowest since
2010.
That may prove a problem for com-
panies with hard currency borrowings.
Non-financial firms face $530bn in
external debt repayments in the next
12 months, the Institute for Interna-
tional Finance (IIF) estimates.
“If I had to make a bet for 2017 I
would be much more concerned about
China.(Financial sector deterioration)
is speeding up,” said Francois Savary,
chief investment off icer of Prime Part-
ners in Geneva.”China could be a major
risk for 2017.”
TURKEY: The lira’s slump to record
lows raises fears that companies may
struggle to repay external debt, with
non-financial firms owing $79 bn in the
next 12 months, according to the IIF.
The economy’s first quarterly
contraction since 2009 also pos-
sibly heralds a rise in bad bank loans;
other weaknesses are low reserves
compared with short-term debt and a
current account gap around 5%.
JPMorgan noted that while Turkish
companies had always successfully
rolled over debts, the “dangerously
high” current account deficit meant
“investors will remain alert to the risk
of a sudden stop in capital flows”.
VENEZUELA: The government and
state oil firm PDVSA have resolutely
serviced debt, though PDVSA recently
swapped $2.8bn in bonds and resorted
to a grace period for a coupon on 2035
bonds.
Brokerage Exotix calculates that
about $10bn is due next year in bonds,
loans and interest but expects the
country to muddle through 2017.
However, with food shortages and
triple-digit inflation it is unclear how
long the government can cling to
power. BlueBay’s Stock said he had
cut his overweight position: “We think
we are getting closer to the end of the
road for these payments.”
MOZAMBIQUE: Set to miss a
$60mn coupon due in January on its
$727mn “tuna bond” which it wants
to restructure so it can get a loan deal
with the IMF.
Creditors refuse to negotiate until an
audit reveals how much Mozambique
owes and to whom.
Around $1bn in state-guaranteed
loans is also owed by two state firms,
borrowings that had not been previ-
ously disclosed to bondholders.
REPUBLIC OF CONGO: Delayed
paying coupons on its 2029 dollar
bond in June and last December and
Fitch noted “repeated arrears on other
bilateral commitments”. Republic of
Congo blamed technical problems but
investors want to see if an end-Decem-
ber coupon is on time.
Moody’s has highlighted “liquid-
ity risk” and said raising financing in
future would be “challenging”. Exotix
said the fiscal deficit was approaching
20% of GDP and advised selling the
bond.
MONGOLIA: The resource-rich
country’s economic boom is over,
but $1bn in bonds mature between
March 2017 and January 2018. Hong
Kong-listed Mongolian Mining Corp is
already in default.
Investors hope the cash-strapped
country can win a Chinese bailout; if an
IMF deal is reached, bondholders may
face write-downs.
SURINAME: The economy will con-
tract 9% in 2016, says the IMF, which in
a recent statement criticised the South
American country for backtracking on
reforms required for a $500mn loan.
The IMF noted Suriname had limited
finances to cover essential spending,
including wages and pensions.
That may become a concern for
holders of a $550mn bond, with first
coupons due April 2017.
BELIZE: The central American
country said last month it wanted to
“amend” $530mn in 2038 bonds for its
third restructuring in a decade.
The bonds carry a step-up coupon
that climbs from 5% to 6.767% in 2017.
Glencore to buya bankruptsugar-cane mill to double capacity in Brazil
BloombergSao Paulo
Glencore agreed to buy a bank-rupt sugar-cane mill in Bra-zil’s Sao Paulo state six years
after entering the country’s sugar industry, a move that will double its production capacity.
Creditors and a local court ap-proved Glencore’s 348mn-reais ($104mn) bid for Unialco on Decem-ber 9, said Jose Carlos Alcantara, a consultant employed by the Brazil-ian sugar producer to work on its bankruptcy proceedings.
A spokesman for Baar, Switzer-land-based Glencore declined to comment on the deal, which now just needs regulatory approvals to proceed.
Glencore is one of the world’s largest commodity traders, and the Unialco deal is relatively small, being dwarfed, for example, by the Swiss company’s agreement along with Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund last week to buy a stake in Russian energy company Rosneft PJSC.
However, Unialco will give Glen-core an additional 2.5mn metric tonnes of annual cane-processing capacity at a time when raw-sugar prices are trading close to four-year highs.
And while Glencore will still be a smaller producer in Brazil than Louis Dreyfus Co’s Biosev unit or Bunge, the trader nevertheless outbid rivals such as Raizen, the Brazil’s largest sugar-cane company.
Unialco, which went bankrupt last year with bank debt estimated at 700mn reais, is among scores of Brazilian millers that suff ered from an earlier slump in sugar prices due to an oversupply and lower ethanol demand.
Since 2008, about 120 of the na-tion’s mills, or 30% of the total, have experienced severe fi nancial prob-lems, according to industry group Unica.
Glencore entered Brazil’s sugar-cane industry in Brazil in 2010 when it acquired a tiny mill in Sao Paulo state.
Buying another mill in a court auction is a simpler way to acquire that kind of asset, Alexandre Figli-olino, a partner at consulting fi rm MBAgro, said on Monday by phone interview from Sao Paulo.
“It is a guarantee for investors that they won’t inherit debts, only assets,” he said. “Glencore must in-vest more to recovery Unialco’s cane fi elds, which suff ered with the crisis. But it is a good asset.”
This year, drought in Asia curbed cane production and prices for the raw material jumped as much as 56% in New York.
Peter Grauer, the chairman of Bloomberg, the parent of Bloomberg News, is a senior independent non-executive director at Glencore.
Venezuela’s mysterious stock infl ows leaving traders perplexedBloombergNew York
Foreign investors are putting money into Venezuelan stocks. Let that sink in a moment.
Yes, we’re talking about the same Venezuela with triple-digit infl ation, food shortages and a lack of basic medicines.
Where politics are so divisive that the Vatican is brokering mediation talks while opposition leaders remain in jail.
The country that traders view as
the most likely sovereign to default over the next year. But that didn’t stop someone - the data doesn’t show who - from putting about $50,000 into the Caracas Stock Ex-change between the US presidential election and November 30, according to EPFR Global and the International Institute of Finance.
While that’s a tiny blip during a pe-riod that saw $34bn in equity funds zip around the world, it’s the largest in-fl ow Venezuela has seen in 16 months.
Most traders in Venezuelan stocks are locals desperate to hedge against the bolivar’s record collapse in the
black market, and one of the abiding mysteries of the foreign infl ows is what exchange rate the buyer got.
Offi cially, the bolivar is fi xed at about 10 per dollar, the rate an inves-tor would probably pay to bring money into the market.
But tight foreign-exchange controls mean it’s nearly impossible to pull money out of the country at the same rate, leaving the investor stuck in the black market, where $1 costs 3,981 bo-livars, according to dolartoday.com, a widely-watched website that monitors prices.
It’s hard to imagine how anyone out-
side Venezuela could get profi ts out of the country. “How bizarre,” Anthony Simond, a London-based money man-ager at Aberdeen Asset Management who has followed Venezuela since 2010, said of the infl ows. “Honestly, it’s not something I’ve ever looked at until today. I didn’t even know it was an investable market for foreigners.”
To be sure, Venezuelan stocks are on a tear - at least at the government’s of-fi cial exchange rate.
The devaluation in the black market caused the Caracas Stock Exchange to more than double last month, and it’s up 149% this year to a record. That’s
the best performance among more than 90 equity gauges tracked by Bloomberg worldwide.
Leading those gains is Corimon CA, which bought the local operations of Bridgestone Corp in May. The Cara-cas-based paint company’s stock has surged 2,814% this year while never exceeding 100 trades in a day.
“A few years ago, one would al-ways pay a visit to the stock ex-change during research trips,” said Jan Dehn, the London-based head of research at Ashmore Group, who has covered Venezuela for two decades. “Not anymore.”
China energy major sells 50% stake in its pipeline unitBloombergBeijing
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp is selling a 50% stake in a pipeline unit to investors in-
cluding China Life Insurance Co for 22.8bn yuan ($3.3bn) as it seeks funds to expand its natural gas business.
China Life will pay 20bn yuan for a 43.86% stake in the pipeline, while a division of State Development & In-vestment Corp will get the remaining 6.14% for 2.8bn yuan, the state en-ergy giant, known as Sinopec, said in a statement to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
Sinopec, the world’s biggest refi ner and one of China’s big three energy companies, will use the funds to ex-pand the capacity of the unit, Sinopec Sichuan-to-East China Gas Pipeline Co, build gas-storage facilities and push forward its natural gas business, it said in the statement.
“There is a shortage of pipeline capacity and gas storage facilities in China, so the government is encour-aging more investment in those sec-tors,” Tian Miao, a Beijing-based ana-lyst at North Square Blue Oak, said by phone. “This is part of broader eff orts by authorities to diversify investment into cash-intensive infrastructure projects.”
Sinopec shares in Hong Kong closed up 0.9% to HK$5.62 yesterday, com-pared with a 0.1% advance in Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng Index.
President Xi Jinping’s government is seeking to boost the use of natural gas in China’s energy mix and revamp the country’s massive state-owned enter-prises.
The country’s gas demand may rise to as high as 350bn cubic metres by 2020, according to the National En-ergy Administration, up from 193.2bn last year.
Sinopec, along with China’s biggest producer, PetroChina Co, have sold
parts of its extensive pipeline assets since last year to raise capital, cut costs and meet government-set growth tar-gets as lower oil prices have punished earnings.
“This transaction is a positive ex-ample of reform as the industry seeks to improve returns by shedding low returning assets,” Neil Beveridge, a senior analyst at Sanford C Bernstein in Hong Kong, said by e-mail. “With stable cash fl ows and a regulated re-
turn on asset at 8%, pipelines make better assets for insurance companies than oil majors.”
The implied valuation for the Si-nopec pipeline asset represents a price-to-earnings ratio of 20 times, better than the valuation multiples for the spinoff of PetroChina’s three West to East pipelines at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17 times, according to Beveridge.
It may push PetroChina, the coun-
try’s biggest gas producer and import-er, to continue to sell down its pipeline network in China that carries a book value of $56bn, he said.
Sinopec approved the plan to sell as much as half of the pipeline unit in Au-gust. The whole division was estimat-ed to be valued at $6bn, an analyst at China International Capital Corp said at the time.
The Beijing-based company started operating the gas pipeline, which links
eastern China to the Puguang gas fi eld in Sichuan province, in 2010. It can transport as much as 12bn cubic me-ters of the fuel annually.
The 2,229-kilometre (1,385 miles) line, which transmitted 8.3bn cubic metres of natural gas in 2015, links six provinces and two municipalities, in-cluding Shanghai.
The company invested 63bn yuan to build the pipeline, according to the state-controlled daily.
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp storage tanks are seen in Hong Kong. The state energy giant, known as Sinopec, is selling a 50% stake in a pipeline unit to investors including China Life Insurance Co for $3.3bn as it seeks funds to expand its natural gas business.
BUSINESS5Gulf Times
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Top Indian gas utility pushes Gazprom for LNG price cutBloombergMumbai
India’s biggest gas utility is seeking a price cut and other changes to a 20-year liquefied natural gas supply contract from Gazprom PJSC, the latest in a series of concessions sought by buyers amid a global gas glut.GAIL India is pushing to overhaul the 2.5mn tonne a year contract with the Russian gas giant that starts in 2018, BC Tripathi, chairman of the Indian state-run company, said in an interview in New Delhi.
The company also plans to charter four to five LNG vessels on short-term contract as it prepares to receive US LNG supplies.“It’s not only duration, it’s the price, source of supply, the terms and conditions,” Tripathi said of the supply contract December 6. “There are a host of contractual issues – all these are being re-looked into.”While there are talks on “adapting the contract terms,” the deal signed in 2012 is in place and legally binding, the press service for Gazprom’s export arm said in response to a request seeking comment.
No other details were provided. Its deputy head Alexander Medvedev said in July that Gazprom was in talks on the contract with GAIL and was positive over the result without elaborating.India is seeking to take advantage of the glut that has pushed prices down almost 60% the past three years, by renegotiating long-term contracts. Last year the country’s biggest gas importer, Petronet LNG, reworked a 25-year contract with Qatar’s RasGas Co that resulted in prices dropping by almost half.GAIL is currently buying about 2mn
tonnes a year of LNG on a spot basis, comprising about a fifth of its overall purchases, Tripathi said. The supply contract with Gazprom was signed in 2012.“We are seeing a change in LNG contracting mechanism, with short-term contracts growing and replacing long-term contracts,” India’s Oil Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said December 6.GAIL, which was the first Asian importer of US shale gas, has bought four cargoes in the spot market from Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass plant. The company has an agreement to buy
3.5mn tonnes a year for two decades from the Louisiana terminal, with the supplies expected to start in March 2018. It has also booked 2.3mn tonnes a year from the Cove Point LNG liquefaction terminal in Maryland, which is set to commence deliveries in December 2017.Spot LNG in Singapore increased about 16% from a week earlier to $8.55 per million British thermal units on Monday.While US LNG exports are still relatively small, they are having an impact because the contracts are tied to US natural gas prices instead of crude oil
that much of the LNG coming to Asia is linked to. They also allow for switching of cargo destinations - a key concern for importers seeking greater flexibility.GAIL plans to issue a tender for a short-term charter to ferry US shale gas after it scrapped an earlier tender to lease nine carriers, including three to be built in India, on a long-term basis.India wants to turn the global glut of LNG to its favour as it seeks to boost the amount of natural gas in its energy mix to 15% by 2020 from about 6.5% now.“Buyers will continue to have options,” Pradhan said.
Goldman Sachs flips from copper super-bear to super-bullBy Andy HomeLondon
Wall Street heavyweight Goldman Sachs has been banging the bear drum on the copper price since the middle of last year.Its July 2015 research note was titled “Copper — lower for longer”, which pretty much said it all.Copper, which was then trading in London around the $5,500-per tonne level, would fall to $4,500 by the end of 2016 and then stay there for 2017 and 2018 as “the market adjusts to a seven-year bear cycle” running from 2011 to 2018, the bank argued.Things have not worked out that way.“The rally in copper prices over the past two months was in sharp contrast to our more bearish expectations”, it now concedes. With copper currently trading around $5,770 per tonne, Goldman is now calling for prices to rise to $6,200 over the next six months, a major revision from its previous six-month call of $4,800. It may be a little
unfair to single out Goldman Sachs.The entire market has been wrong-footed by copper’s dramatic change in fortune.At the time of the January 2016 Reuters poll of analysts, the median price expectation for 2017 was $5,182 with only one participant, Standard Chartered, positing a more bullish outcome ($6,500) than Goldman’s latest forecast.Then again Goldman is Goldman.And it has a habit of making aggressive market calls, which makes its flip from super-bear to super-bull something of a stand-out.But its reasoning is also a neat summation of the broader flip in consensus among metals analysts.Underlying Goldman analyst Max Layton’s change of mind about copper’s prospects next year is a reassessment of the market’s supply-demand dynamics.Layton is now forecasting a small supply deficit of around 180,000 tonnes in 2017, compared with a previous expectation that the market
would be in a moderate surplus of around 360,000 tonnes. The major part of that more bullish view derives from a recalculation of expected mine supply.Goldman is now expecting mine supply to decline by 0.4% next year compared with a previous forecast for 1.0% growth.It is not alone in rethinking the timing and nature of the much-feared “wall of copper” supply surge.The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) made some major revisions to its forecasts back in October.Compared with its previous forecast in March, the ICSG lifted its assessment of mine supply growth this year to 4.0% from 1.5% but downgraded its 2017 forecast from 2.3% to zero.The “wall of copper”, it seems, arrived earlier than expected, in part due to eff icient ramp-up of new mines and in part due to a low level of disruption in the first half of this year.Next year, by contrast, there are fewer new mines due to come onstream, while, as Goldman notes, the list of potential disruptions from expiring
labour contracts, Zambian power and tax issues and Indonesian export permit problems looks set to grow. On the demand side, meanwhile, Goldman has lifted its usage growth expectation from 1.7% to 2.2%.“Over a very short period of six weeks we have seen data releases pointing to a surge in global industrial activity, most notably in China where the manufacturing (purchasing managers index) jumped to its equal highest level in four years.”The election of Donald Trump brings with it the promise of infrastructure spend and reflation in the United States, but the real driver of stronger-than-expected demand for copper and other industrial metals this year has been China.The metal markets started the year fearing a hard landing for metals-intensive sectors of the Chinese economy but underestimated Beijing’s willingness to pump up its flagging growth rate using the tried-and-tested channel of infrastructure spending.Fixed asset investment has rebounded,
the residential property sector is once again bubbling, in the major Chinese cities at least, and so too are the prices of just about every industrial commodity from steel to copper to zinc.The tail winds of China’s own flip-flop on economic policy are still blowing and can be expected to continue doing so through the early part of 2017.At which stage we get to see in more detail what exactly the Trump administration’s own version of fiscal stimulus looks like.The gorilla in the metals room right now is the elevated level of speculative interest roiling Chinese commodity markets.Make no mistake.Western investors too were starting to reassess metals pricing in light of shifting supply-demand drivers.But the scale and speed of the recent price increases has largely reflected massive allocations of money by Chinese players.To be fair to Goldman, its new copper forecasts are predicated on a reevaluation of fundamental drivers
rather than the “tempting” option of blaming “this surge in speculative interest”. But it is surely right to highlight the risks to any current forecast from “the timing and scale of shifts in net speculative positioning and Chinese asset allocation”. The sheer potential scale of Chinese investment appetite “dwarfs the size of the copper market.”The bank estimates that as much as $600bn of funds may be seeking a new home after being chased out of property and stock markets by the Chinese authorities.“Were just 2.5% of these funds to shift into copper, net speculative length would double from its current level of around $15bn.”And if it did, even Goldman’s above-consensus bull copper call might turn out to be super-conservative.Layton is not the only analyst trying to factor in this new metallic gorilla.
Andy Home is a columnist for Reuters. The views expressed are those of the author.
Malaysia and Singapore to call joint tender on high-speed rail link in 2017ReutersKuala Lumpur
Malaysia and Singapore will call a joint tender to build a high-speed rail sys-tem linking the neighbours in the fi nal
quarter of next year, their prime ministers said yesterday.
Firms from China, Japan, South Korea and Europe are among those to have expressed in-terest in the project, planned to cut travel time between Singapore and the Malaysian capital of Kuala Lumpur to 90 minutes by 2026, versus four hours by road now.
No cost estimates were given, but Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak said he did not fore-see problems with fi nancing.
“This is a commercially viable project,” Najib told a news conference, after he and Singapore counterpart Lee Hsien Loong witnessed the signing of a deal to build the rail link.
“In fact, those who want to participate in the project can make available certain fi nancial ar-rangements for us to consider, as part of their package.”
The rail link, announced in February 2013, was initially expected to be operational by 2020, but the neighbours have cited complexities for the delay.
Singapore was briefl y part of Malaysia follow-ing British colonial rule, but separated acrimo-niously in 1965, clouding diplomatic and eco-nomic dealings for decades.
Ties have improved in recent years, despite investigations by Singapore’s fi nancial authori-ties into a multi-billion dollar scandal at Malay-sian state fund 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB).
Tuesday’s deal will see the appointment of a privately-fi nanced asset management compa-ny to provide, and maintain, the trains and rail systems, while two other companies will handle service operations.
Construction of the 350-km rail link is ex-pected to start in 2018, a year after the tender is called. Malaysia and Singapore will build the infrastructure and operate the stations within their own territories.
China is expected to have an advantage among prospective bidders, after Beijing invested heavily in several large Malaysian government projects, including a 55bn ringgit ($12bn) East Coast Rail Line.
Ties between Malaysia and China reached an all-time high after a Chinese state-owned fi rm put in a generous bid to take over 1MDB’s power assets in 2015, helping to ease mounting debts.
But the speculation that China holds an ad-vantage over other bidders in the competition for the rail line project was dismissed by Moha-mad Azharuddin Mat Sah, the chief executive of Malaysia’s Land Public Transport Commission.
“Together with Singapore, we’re looking at various parameters, not just costing but also re-liability, sustainability, safety and value,” he told a news briefi ng last week.
China posts its strongest retail sales growth in NovReutersBeijing
China posted its strongest re-tail sales growth of the year in November, while surging
steel production lifted factory out-put, but private investment began to slow again, leaving the economy more reliant on state spending and mounting debt.
After a rocky start to the year, China’s economy has performed better than expected and looks set to hit Beijing’s 6.5 to 7% growth tar-get as higher government spending and a sizzling housing market fuel a construction boom.
The pickup in China’s manufac-turing sector has helped spur a re-bound in global prices of industrial commodities and other goods, add-ing a welcome refl ationary pulse that is slowly being felt around the world.
But one of the Chinese economy’s key growth drivers this year — hous-ing — is showing increasing signs of fatigue.
Growth in home sales slowed to the lowest rate in a year in November as more cities tried to cool red-hot prices, while the pace of new prop-erty investment also fell from recent highs.
New construction starts rose just 3.3% on-year after climbing 20% in October.
“(The housing market) will con-tinue to cool, and fall to negative growth next year,” said Zhao Yang, chief China economist at Nomura in Hong Kong.
“If the government doesn’t ramp up infrastructure spending, the ex-pected decline in property will cer-tainly drag on growth.”
Property sales growth slid in No-vember to 7.9% from a year ago, its lowest since November 2015, and well short of October’s 26.4% in-crease.
While overall growth in fi xed-as-set investment held steady at 8.3% in the fi rst 11 months of the year, the gap between state and private spending highlighted persistent im-balances in the economy.
Investment by private fi rms slowed in November, reversing a re-cent recovery from record lows.
That is putting more pressure on state fi rms to pick up the slack and raising fears that this year’s eco-nomic momentum will not be sus-tainable.
Growth of private investment fell to 4.93% on-year in November from
5.9% in October, according to a Reu-ters calculation, suggesting private fi rms continue to struggle even as the broader economy gets back on steadier footing.
Indeed, state fi rms maintained strong spending, boosting invest-ment by 20.2% in Jan-Nov, though the pace slowed slightly from Jan-October.
Government spending picked up 12.2% in November after falling in October, China’s Ministry of Fi-nance said yesterday.
In order to meet growth targets, China may increase its budget defi -cit ratio to 3.5% next year, from a 3% target this year, a senior offi cial at a government think tank said yester-day, to accommodate a further rise in government spending.
Top leaders are due to map out
their economic and reform agenda for 2017 during an annual Central Economic Work Conference later this month.
Growing debt and property risks have touched off an inter-nal debate about whether China should tolerate slower growth in 2017 to allow more room for pain-ful reforms aimed at reducing in-dustrial overcapacity and indebt-edness.
China’s factory output grew slightly faster than expected in No-vember, with steel output rising the fastest in two years and carmakers cranking up production.
Retail sales climbed 10.8%, the fastest pace since December 2015 and beating expectations for a 10.1% rise, buoyed by gains in auto sales, home appliances and cosmetics.
Auto sales in China surged for a sixth consecutive month in No-vember, an industry association said on Monday, as consumers rushed to buy cars amid uncer-tainty over whether a tax incentive will be extended beyond the end of the year.
Big luxury brands also reported an improvement in China sales this year after a three-year down-turn as Chinese shoppers are spending on luxury goods at home again.
Burberry, Gucci-owner Kering, and Tiff any have all reported an up-tick in their China earnings,
Part of that is due to the falling value of the yuan, which diminish-es the appeal of spending abroad and encourages more domestic spending, said Wang Jianhui, an
economist with Capital Securities in Beijing. The yuan has slid to more than 8-year lows against the dollar so far this year.
Other November data showed China’s imports grew at the fastest pace in more than two years in No-vember, led by commodities from coal to iron ore and copper, while exports also rose unexpectedly, re-fl ecting a pick-up in both domestic and global demand.
However, China’s trade outlook is being clouded by increasing fears of protectionism as US President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take offi ce.
Trump has threatened to label China a currency manipulator on his fi rst day in offi ce in January, and has threatened to impose huge tariff s on imports of Chinese goods.
A textile worker at a factory in Huaxian County, in China’s northern Henan Province. China’s industrial output and retail sales growth both accelerated in November, government data showed yesterday, in a sign of stabilisation for the world’s second-largest economy.
BUSINESS
Gulf Times Wednesday, December 14, 20166
China data and pausein US yields lift EMsReutersLondon
A pause in the rally in US bond
yields ahead of December’s
Federal Reserve meeting and
stronger-than-expected Chinese
data lifted emerging market equi-
ties yesterday, although Russian
assets eased off the highs hit
earlier this week.
US Treasury yields hit a two-
year high on Monday, spiking on
expectations that president-elect
Donald Trump will pursue expan-
sionary fiscal policies that will
drive growth and inflation.
This steepening of the US yield
curve has created headwinds
for emerging market assets, but
selloff has paused before the Fed
starts its two-day meeting that
will almost certainly raise interest
rates by 0.25% — its first increase
in 2016
This allowed the benchmark
emerging stocks index to rise
0.3%, with strong gains in emerg-
ing Europe and selective Asian
markets.
Some of the equity outperform-
ers included Poland, up around
1%, Turkey, up 0.7% to one-month
highs and South Korea, up 0.4% to
one-and-half-month highs.
“Emerging market stocks
are taking some comfort in the
fact that the selloff in US bond
markets that caused yields to rise
quite significantly — normally a
negative for emerging markets
— is showing signs of stabilisa-
tion ahead of the Fed meeting,”
said Jakob Christensen, head of
emerging markets research at
Danske Bank.
But Christensen said markets
wanted to see what the Fed makes
of Trump’s planned stimulus
and higher commodity prices,
especially after oil’s surge to
18-month highs following Opec’s
deal with some other producers to
cut output.
“It’s very important to see
what the Fed communicates, and
whether they are more hawkish
in that light,” he said, noting that
the market had priced in two hikes
next year. The yield premium paid
by emerging sovereign dollar
debt over US Treasuries on the
JPMorgan EMBI Global Diversified
index was one basis point wider at
346 basis points (bps), but close
to one-month lows of 343 bps hit
on Friday.
Investor sentiment towards
emerging markets was also
boosted by better-than-expected
Chinese factory output and retail
sales data for November.
Chinese mainland shares ended
up a touch, struggling off a one-
month low hit on Monday.
The yuan also firmed against
the dollar after the central bank
set the midpoint rate firmer than
the previous fix.
But other currencies failed to
make headway with the Russian
rouble slipping slightly against
the dollar after leaping 2.4% on
Monday to its strongest in over
a year.
The rouble has been supported
by the oil rebound, which has also
helped Moscow shares to record
highs.
Russian stocks were down 0.4%
on Monday.
The rouble has now over-
taken the Brazilian real as the best
emerging currency performer of
2016 and is widely expected to
appreciate further.
“The rouble remains an at-
tractive currency...due to the
prospect of relatively stable oil
prices, a high interest rate dif-
ferential, improvement in eco-
nomic activity and stability in
domestic politics at a time when
Europe faces major political risk
events in 2017,” Rabobank told
clients.
The Kazakhstan tenge was also
down 0.4% and the South African
rand slipped 0.2%.
The Romanian leu weakened
0.3% against the euro but Bucha-
rest stocks rose 0.4%, following a
victory for the leftist Social Demo-
crats in a parliamentary election.
The Azerbaijan manat was 0.1%
weaker, not far off record lows,
after the central bank unveiled
plans on Monday to fully float the
currency in 2017.
Asia bourses mostly fallAFPHong Kong
Asian markets mostly fell yesterday as attention turns to this week’s much-anticipated Federal Reserve meeting, while analysts said the recent Trump-fuelled rally may have been overblown.Global stocks have surged since Donald Trump was elected US president as investors bet his plans for huge infrastructure spending and tax cuts will kick start the world’s top economy.However, with the Fed meeting looming trading floors have quietened, waiting to see if the central bank provides any forward guidance on its plans for 2017 after an expected interest rate hike.“With a rate hike at this week’s (meeting) fully priced and given the strong rally in the dollar, we are likely seeing some paring of positions heading into the rate decision,” Khoon Goh, head of regional research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore, told Bloomberg News.“Market participants are also reassessing whether the Trump rally has gotten a bit ahead of itself.”Hong Kong edged up 0.1% and Shanghai also ended 0.1% higher, with gains limited despite a better-than-expected read on Chinese factory output and retail sales.“The figures are good but the market sentiment remains cautious after a big drop yesterday,” Linus Yip, a Hong Kong-based strategist at First Shanghai Securities, said.Shanghai sank 2.5% on Monday.Seoul put on 0.4% but Sydney lost 0.3% while Singapore, Wellington and
Manila were also all down. The anaemic performance came despite a record close for the Dow on Wall Street.However, Tokyo chalked up another gain, adding 0.5% to close at its highest level since mid-December 2015.On foreign exchanges the dollar edged back against most high-yielding currencies having tapped multi-month highs against most over the past few weeks.The Australian dollar, South Korea’s won and Indonesia’s rupiah were up around 0.2%.The oil-dependent Malaysian ringgit was flat after surging more than two % in early trade following Monday’s jump in crude prices after the weekend agreement by non-Opec members to slash output.Crude prices edged down in Asian trade on Tuesday and Jeff rey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA, said it would likely struggle to break further up after Monday’s more than 2% gains.“Oil speculators will need a continual stream of good news to maintain oil’s rally at these levels, as they run into a solid wall of producer hedging (selling) in the futures market,” he said.“With US shale dusting off more rigs by the day, at these levels, expect this producer hedging to increase as oil grinds higher.”In early European trade London edged up 0.2% and Frankfurt gained 0.1% but Paris dipped 0.2%.In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 up 0.5% to 19,250.52 points; Hong Kong — Hang Seng up 0.1% to 22,446.70 points and Shanghai — Composite up 0.1% tot 3,155.04 points at the close yesterday.
Sensex climbs; rupee weakens to 67.54AgenciesMumbai
Indian market yesterday shrugged off a widely expected US inter-est rate hike as the benchmark
Sensex bounced 183 points to close at 26,698, with auto, IT, oil and gas shares keeping up the momentum. At the close, Nifty retook the key 8,200-mark, driven by gains in RIL and ONGC stocks. Consumer price index-based retail infl ation is sched-uled for release yesterday.
Buying picked up after Asian stocks recovered from early bouts of weakness to end higher ahead of the start of a two-day US Federal Reserve meeting.
After a positive start, the Sensex hit a low of 26,494.23 as inves-tors locked in gains. It surged to a high of 26,724.97 before settling at 26,697.82, up 182.58 points or 0.69%. The gauge had lost 231.94 points in the previous session. The 50-share NSE Nifty closed higher by 51 points, or 0.62%, at 8,221.80.
Intra-day, it hovered between 8,228.85 and 8,155.80. From Sensex and Nifty constituents, Tata Motors emerged as the top gainer by rising as much as 3.48% to close at Rs470.35 on the BSE on talks of block deals in the counter at an up to 10% premium to Monday’s close.
Other prominent gainers included Adani Ports, Axis Bank, Wipro, RIL, L&T and Sun Pharma. In line with the broader trend, shares of state-run oil
marketing companies such as BPCL, HPCL and IOC staged a comeback to close higher by up to 2.53% after Monday’s steep fall due to a jump in global crude.
Sector wise, BSE auto index climbed the most by rising 0.98%, followed by IT (0.85 %) and oil and gas (0.81%).
The broader markets, however, suffered as investors booked profit by liquidating their bets. The BSE mid-cap index fell 0.43% while
mid-cap shed 0.07 %. Back home, of the 30-share Sensex, 21 scrips ended higher. However, GAIL fell by 1.34% followed by Tata Steel 0.79%, Lupin 0.71% and Hindustan Unilev-er 0.41%.
Meanwhile the rupee closed weak-er against the US dollar ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve meeting. Traders are also cautious ahead of key domestic macroeconomic data.
The rupee closed at 67.54 per US dollar — down 0.18% from its Fri-
day’s close of 67.42. The home cur-rency opened at 67.48 against the US dollar. So far this year, it has fallen 2%.
The benchmark 10-year govern-ment bond yield closed at 6.419%, compared to Friday’s close of 6.441%. Bond yields and prices move in oppo-site directions.
So far this year, foreign insti-tutional investors have bought $4.23bn in equities and sold $6.3bn in debt.
Asian currencies closed mixed as traders are focused on the impact of People’s Bank of China monetary tightening and a widely expected fed rate hike and also its outlook for the 2017 rate hike path which will end today.
Taiwan dollar was down 0.22%, Philippines peso 0.18%, South Ko-rean won 0.12%, China renminbi 0.06%, Indonesian rupiah 0.05%. However, Japanese yen was down 0.36%, Malaysian ringgit 0.27%, Singapore dollar 0.25%, China Off -shore 0.07%.
The dollar index, which measures the US currency’s strength against major currencies, was trading at 101.12 — up 0.09% from its previous close of 101.03.
Crude oil prices shot to their high-est levels since mid-2015 on Monday after Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and oth-er producers reached their fi rst deal since 2001 to jointly reduce output in order to curb the supply glut and drive the market higher.
The Bombay Stock Exchange building is seen in Mumbai. The Sensex closed up 182.58 points to 26,697.82 yesterday.
Hong Kong’s money market squeeze sends sell signal on stocksBloombergHong Kong
As pressure in Hong Kong’s money market builds, the risks to the city’s equities and currency are
mounting.Funding costs surged for an 11th day
yesterday to a 2009 high as the Federal Reserve prepares to tighten monetary policy, making it more expensive to bor-row to buy stocks.
With the squeeze starting to spill over into other markets, Australia & New Zea-land Banking Group’s Raymond Yeung says it’s signalling concern about a cash exodus.
“Higher US bond yields will cause outflows from emerging markets and Hong Kong,” said Yeung, chief great-er China economist at ANZ in Hong Kong. “The influx of investment flows from the mainland into Hong Kong motivated by currency hedging can offset some pressure. Yet, the inter-bank market has started to price in po-tential outflows.”
Investors still seem relatively sanguine about the situation. Implied volatility
in stocks is near a 20-month low, home prices are once again headed toward record highs, and the exchange rate is holding near the strong end of its band against the greenback.
While higher borrowing costs are, in isolation, a support for Hong Kong’s dol-lar, previous bouts of outfl ows have led to currency depreciation along with a jump in rates.
In January, the Hong Kong dollar plunged to an eight-year low as fears of yuan devaluation roiled global markets. Goldman Sachs Group predicted in a note yesterday that Hong Kong’s ex-change rate will fall to the weak end of its 7.75 to 7.85 band while local rates will catch up with US levels after the next rate hike by Fed, which is widely expected to occur this week.
Hong Kong’s dollar fell as much as 0.06% on Friday, the most since July, to 7.7599 per US dollar after the greenback jumped.
The city’s government bonds slid yesterday, with the 10-year yield jump-ing 17 basis points to 1.74%, the highest for benchmark notes of that tenor since January. Points on Hong Kong dollar forwards turned positive on Monday as
they surged to 10-month high, signaling expectations for local rates to exceed US dollar levels.
Hong Kong’s three-month interbank rate, or Hibor, rose four basis points to 0.87% yesterday. The move nar-rowed Hibor’s gap with Libor, the US equivalent, to nine basis points; just two months ago, the spread was thrice that and the widest since 2010.
Higher Hong Kong rates will help to discourage outfl ows and thus stabi-lise the local dollar, said Marvin Chen, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co in Hong Kong.
“Even with two expected US rate hikes next year, the rate gap with Hong Kong won’t be wide enough to spur sig-nifi cant outfl ows,” said Thomas Shik, acting chief economist at Hang Seng Bank. Investors also like Hong Kong be-cause of its currency peg with the strong greenback and Asia’s higher growth po-tential, he added.
There are money-market concerns on both sides of the Hong Kong-mainland border.
The Shanghai Composite Index re-treated the most in six months on Mon-day as concern about dwindling liquidity
was exacerbated by a regulatory crack-down to insurers’ stock investments and Donald Trump’s remarks about the US-China trade relationship. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index eked out a slight gain yesterday, after closing at a three-week low on Monday.
Hong Kong’s fi nancial secretary John Tsang resigned from his position on Monday, spurring speculation he’d run for the city’s top leadership post next year. Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying said last week he wouldn’t seek a second term.
Currency weakness, along with con-cern mainland assets are overpriced, has driven Chinese investors to put their cash in Hong Kong equities and homes. China is now stepping up restrictions on outfl ows to defend the yuan, includ-ing tightening curbs on its citizens buy-ing insurance in Hong Kong. The city has also raised its stamp duty to rein in its world- topping home prices.
“Infl ows from China may slow because of recent measures,” said Steven Leung, Hong Kong-based executive director at UOB Kay Hian. “Hong Kong hasn’t seen outfl ow pressure, but next year it will be more obvious.”
People walk outside the Hong Kong Stock Exchange building. The Hang Seng Index eked out a slight gain yesterday, after closing at a three-week low on Monday.
Zad Holding CoWidam Food CoVodafone Qatar
United Development CoSalam International Investme
Qatar & Oman Investment CoQatar Navigation
Qatar National Cement CoQatar National Bank
Qatar Islamic InsuranceQatar Industrial Manufactur
Qatar International IslamicQatari Investors Group
Qatar Islamic BankQatar Gas Transport(Nakilat)Qatar General Insurance & ReQatar German Co For Medical
Qatar Fuel QscQatar First Bank
Qatar Electricity & Water CoQatar Cinema & Film Distrib
Qatar Insurance CoOoredoo Qsc
National LeasingMazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev
Mesaieed Petrochemical HoldiAl Meera Consumer Goods Co
Medicare GroupMannai Corporation Qsc
Masraf Al RayanAl Khalij Commercial Bank
Industries QatarIslamic Holding Group
Gulf Warehousing CompanyGulf International Services
Ezdan Holding GroupDoha Insurance Co
Doha Bank QscDlala Holding
Commercial Bank QscBarwa Real Estate Co
Al Khaleej Takaful GroupAamal Co
80.50
65.00
9.62
19.88
11.05
10.01
89.50
84.00
159.80
50.10
44.00
61.80
55.20
102.90
23.55
47.25
10.19
143.50
10.04
230.00
25.15
87.50
99.00
15.40
14.24
16.16
174.20
65.80
76.80
35.65
17.20
114.80
61.60
53.90
31.65
16.13
18.70
35.10
20.61
33.45
32.25
20.49
13.99
0.00
0.00
-0.41
-0.35
0.45
-0.40
0.67
0.60
2.44
0.20
1.38
0.16
-1.25
-0.77
0.30
0.00
2.21
-0.28
2.55
1.32
0.00
1.04
1.96
0.06
-1.79
-2.06
0.00
-0.90
-1.16
-1.11
0.00
0.70
-1.44
-0.19
-1.71
0.69
0.00
1.01
-1.81
1.83
-0.15
1.19
0.79
200
17,999
1,158,184
529,193
84,791
12,001
47,601
35,800
190,257
5,235
38,949
142,992
380,980
465,364
201,274
-
53,768
4,953
1,742,085
72,881
-
26,189
44,779
126,617
2,082,455
260,057
5,821
9,216
50,370
591,578
39,720
169,157
55,008
28,778
371,552
674,480
3,260
261,750
28,965
462,874
340,334
75,367
197,496
QATAR
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
United Wire Factories CompanEtihad Etisalat Co
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate DevSaudi Hollandi Bank
Rabigh Refining And PetrocheBanque Saudi Fransi
Saudi Enaya Cooperative InsuMediterranean & Gulf Insuran
Saudi British BankMohammad Al Mojil Group Co
Red Sea Housing Services CoTakween Advanced Industries
Sabb TakafulSaudi Arabian Fertilizer Co
National GypsumSaudi Ceramic Co
National Gas & IndustrializaSaudi Pharmaceutical Industr
ThimarNational Industrialization C
Saudi Transport And InvestmeSaudi Electricity Co
Saudi Arabia Refineries CoArriyadh Development Company
Al-Baha Development & InvestSaudi Research And MarketingAldrees Petroleum And Transp
Saudi Vitrified Clay Pipe CoJarir Marketing Co
Arab National BankYanbu National Petrochemical
Arabian CementMiddle East Specialized Cabl
Al Khaleej Training And EducAl Sagr Co-Operative Insuran
Trade Union Cooperative InsuArabia Insurance Cooperative
Saudi Chemical CompanyFawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair & C
Bupa Arabia For CooperativeWafa Insurance
Jabal Omar Development CoSaudi Basic Industries Corp
Saudi Kayan Petrochemical CoEtihad Atheeb Telecommunicat
Co For Cooperative InsuranceNational Petrochemical Co
Gulf Union Cooperative InsurGulf General Cooperative Ins
Basic Chemical IndustriesSaudi Steel Pipe Co
Buruj Cooperative InsuranceMouwasat Medical Services Co
Southern Province Cement CoMaadaniyah
Yamama Cement CoJazan Development Co
Zamil Industrial InvestmentAlujain Corporation (Alco)
Tabuk Agricultural DevelopmeUnited Co-Operative Assuranc
Qassim Cement/TheSaudi Advanced Industries
Kingdom Holding CoSaudi Arabian Amiantit Co
Al Jouf Agriculture DevelopmSaudi Industrial Development
Bishah AgricultureRiyad Bank
The National Agriculture DevHalwani Bros Co
Arabian Pipes CoEastern Province Cement Co
Al Qassim Agricultural CoFiling & Packing Materials M
Saudi Cable CoTihama Advertising & Public
Saudi Investment Bank/TheAstra Industrial Group
Saudi Public Transport CoTaiba Holding Co
Saudi Industrial Export CoSaudi Real Estate Co
Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff CoNational Shipping Co Of/The
Methanol Chemicals CoAce Arabia Cooperative Insur
Mobile Telecommunications CoSaudi Arabian Coop Ins Co
Axa Cooperative InsuranceAlsorayai Group
Weqaya For Takaful InsuranceBank Albilad
Al-Hassan G.I. Shaker CoWataniya Insurance Co
Abdullah Al Othaim MarketsHail Cement
24.32
24.65
6.00
0.00
12.02
26.62
15.28
25.00
24.35
12.55
29.26
13.38
26.79
75.75
12.75
33.31
31.47
36.57
33.87
17.24
52.56
19.61
39.01
21.78
13.50
31.64
40.70
70.00
117.66
21.53
50.07
47.60
8.02
19.13
35.30
14.66
10.78
39.84
36.06
129.76
15.54
74.99
94.64
8.95
3.20
111.89
19.45
10.74
14.67
25.56
17.35
20.57
148.00
79.50
23.62
22.09
10.55
28.40
19.90
11.49
12.45
67.25
12.08
12.31
7.92
34.52
10.45
69.75
11.30
24.00
61.50
17.14
33.50
9.59
34.84
6.00
25.67
14.74
16.46
14.25
38.40
34.89
24.56
124.50
41.59
7.25
41.93
8.22
16.90
14.80
10.01
19.39
19.99
16.13
24.39
92.55
12.00
-2.64
0.00
-1.15
0.00
-1.48
-0.67
-3.05
-2.65
0.41
0.00
-4.13
-2.90
2.10
-1.76
-1.85
-2.17
0.16
-0.19
0.53
-0.06
-1.63
0.31
-3.51
-1.49
0.00
-3.92
0.10
-1.19
-2.11
-0.83
-1.96
-2.64
-1.35
-3.29
-0.79
-1.28
-1.10
-2.88
-4.53
-3.82
-1.65
-0.04
-0.91
-1.43
0.00
-1.42
-1.67
-2.63
-2.00
-1.69
-2.03
-0.63
0.00
-2.00
-2.88
-2.30
-1.95
-1.39
-5.24
-1.71
-1.11
0.73
1.60
-3.15
-2.46
-2.21
-1.79
0.00
-0.35
-0.04
-0.69
-1.49
0.30
-0.10
-2.13
-3.07
0.00
-0.34
-3.29
-1.72
-1.54
-1.77
-1.41
-1.14
-1.33
-1.23
0.91
-1.44
-2.03
-1.92
-2.05
0.00
-0.89
-3.12
-1.01
-1.76
-1.64
137,612
719,215
79,668,411
-
3,414,886
547,304
614,956
1,589,068
298,639
-
869,581
3,161,711
2,301,264
128,462
554,711
219,139
386,865
140,525
2,851,778
720,914
783,089
1,481,885
803,170
513,492
-
783,550
429,174
37,752
140,643
758,155
306,396
157,739
2,394,670
413,929
505,121
815,479
1,049,379
378,065
883,084
89,834
2,183,120
5,805,346
2,432,953
10,004,080
1,171,549
166,576
168,242
1,083,887
656,794
747,146
152,006
439,513
174,727
146,967
799,870
829,588
2,332,410
161,256
2,569,016
2,363,264
820,290
171,997
6,511,234
349,437
727,452
163,125
1,565,261
-
730,986
474,670
40,799
474,516
241,771
5,199,065
363,188
1,735,850
-
136,457
464,771
2,474,819
28,362
569,755
309,002
76,250
1,058,231
2,818,975
221,804
2,328,354
873,606
742,509
860,381
-
623,949
1,430,385
466,684
58,472
535,517
SAUDI ARABIA
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Saudi Re For Cooperative ReiSolidarity Saudi Takaful Co
Amana Cooperative InsuranceAlabdullatif Industrial Inv
Saudi Printing & Packaging CSanad Cooperative Insurance
Saudi Paper Manufacturing CoAlinma Bank
Almarai CoFalcom Saudi Equity Etf
United International TranspoHsbc Amanah Saudi 20 Etf
Saudi International PetrocheFalcom Petrochemical Etf
Saudi United Cooperative InsBank Al-Jazira
Al Rajhi BankSamba Financial Group
United Electronics CoAllied Cooperative Insurance
Malath Cooperative & ReinsurAlinma Tokio Marine
Arabian Shield CooperativeSavola
Wafrah For Industry And DeveFitaihi Holding Group
Tourism Enterprise Co/ ShamsSahara Petrochemical Co
Herfy Food Services Co
6.04
8.38
8.51
14.72
18.18
15.23
10.04
14.62
67.00
27.70
34.80
26.60
16.31
26.20
19.73
13.90
63.47
23.15
24.86
14.18
8.74
17.41
29.63
38.45
22.75
13.03
32.04
13.71
84.94
-2.74
-1.06
3.40
-3.60
-1.99
0.00
-1.76
0.07
-0.07
-1.77
-0.06
0.00
-3.89
0.00
-0.45
0.94
0.73
-0.04
-2.55
-1.32
6.20
-1.86
1.40
-0.65
-3.44
-1.06
-0.87
-1.30
-1.60
1,755,307
2,316,834
6,752,227
627,037
1,186,383
-
3,323,568
12,809,771
272,793
189,138
234,209
4
1,091,234
100
568,408
3,491,249
2,390,437
891,161
370,821
419,971
9,179,614
1,296,535
431,831
651,770
784,812
988,478
926,187
3,176,549
30,375
SAUDI ARABIA
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Securities Group CoSultan Center Food Products
Kuwait Foundry Co SakKuwait Financial Centre Sak
Ajial Real Estate EntmtGulf Glass Manuf Co -Kscc
Kuwait Finance & InvestmentNational Industries Co Ksc
Kuwait Real Estate Holding CSecurities House/The
Boubyan Petrochemicals CoAl Ahli Bank Of Kuwait
Ahli United Bank (Almutahed)National Bank Of Kuwait
Commercial Bank Of KuwaitKuwait International Bank
Gulf BankAl-Massaleh Real Estate Co
Al Arabiya Real Estate CoKuwait Remal Real Estate Co
Alkout Industrial Projects CA’ayan Real Estate Co Sak
Investors Holding Group Co.KAl-Mazaya Holding Co
Al-Madar Finance & Invt CoGulf Petroleum Investment
Mabanee Co SakcCity Group
Inovest Co BscKuwait Gypsum Manufacturing
Al-Deera Holding CoAlshamel International Hold
Mena Real Estate CoNational Slaughter House
Amar Finance & Leasing CoUnited Projects For Aviation
National Consumer Holding CoAmwal International Investme
Jeeran HoldingsEquipment Holding Co K.S.C.C
Nafais HoldingSafwan Trading & Contracting
Arkan Al Kuwait Real EstateGfh Financial Group Bsc
Energy House Holding Co KscpKuwait Slaughter House Co
Kuwait Co For Process PlantAl Maidan Dental Clinic Co K
National Ranges CompanyAl-Themar Real International
Al-Ahleia Insurance Co SakpWethaq Takaful Insurance Co
Salbookh Trading Co KscpAqar Real Estate Investments
Hayat CommunicationsKuwait Packing Materials Mfg
Soor Fuel Marketing Co KscAlargan International RealBurgan Co For Well Drilling
Kuwait Resorts Co KsccOula Fuel Marketing Co
Palms Agro Production CoIkarus Petroleum Industries
Mubarrad Transport CoAl Mowasat Health Care Co
Shuaiba Industrial CoHits Telecom Holding
First Takaful Insurance CoKuwaiti Syrian Holding Co
National Cleaning CompanyEyas For High & Technical EdUnited Real Estate Company
AgilityKuwait & Middle East Fin Inv
Fujairah Cement IndustriesLivestock Transport & Tradng
International Resorts CoNational Industries Grp Hold
Marine Services Co KscWarba Insurance Co
Kuwait United Poultry CoFirst Dubai Real Estate Deve
Al Arabi Group Holding CoKuwait Hotels Sak
Mobile Telecommunications CoAl Safat Real Estate Co
Tamdeen Real Estate Co KscAl Mudon Intl Real Estate Co
Kuwait Cement Co KscSharjah Cement & Indus Devel
Kuwait Portland Cement CoEducational Holding Group
Bahrain Kuwait InsuranceAsiya Capital Investments Co
Kuwait Investment CoBurgan Bank
Kuwait Projects Co HoldingsAl Madina For Finance And In
Kuwait Insurance CoAl Masaken Intl Real Estate
Intl Financial AdvisorsFirst Investment Co Kscc
Al Mal Investment CompanyBayan Investment Co Kscc
Egypt Kuwait Holding Co SaeCoast Investment Development
Privatization Holding CompanKuwait Medical Services Co
Injazzat Real State CompanyKuwait Cable Vision Sak
Sanam Real Estate Co KsccIthmaar Bank Bsc
Aviation Lease And Finance CArzan Financial Group For Fi
Ajwan Gulf Real Estate CoKuwait Business Town Real Es
Future Kid Entertainment AndSpecialities Group Holding C
Abyaar Real Eastate DevelopmDar Al Thuraya Real Estate C
Al-Dar National Real EstateKgl Logistics Company Kscc
Combined Group ContractingZima Holding Co Ksc
Qurain Holding Co
85.00
60.00
178.00
83.00
200.00
305.00
34.50
206.00
25.00
42.00
480.00
300.00
400.00
660.00
415.00
206.00
236.00
39.50
28.50
54.00
640.00
64.00
24.50
114.00
0.00
40.00
840.00
0.00
75.00
95.00
32.00
0.00
21.50
0.00
54.00
660.00
0.00
21.50
53.00
45.00
206.00
385.00
86.00
160.00
44.50
136.00
168.00
0.00
28.50
0.00
430.00
31.00
58.00
69.00
47.50
0.00
114.00
170.00
102.00
76.00
114.00
95.00
38.50
57.00
230.00
290.00
42.00
49.50
28.00
43.50
0.00
98.00
630.00
23.50
80.00
236.00
28.00
126.00
65.00
100.00
192.00
60.00
58.00
265.00
435.00
0.00
470.00
36.50
420.00
80.00
920.00
202.00
0.00
32.00
81.00
300.00
510.00
41.50
246.00
59.00
32.50
45.50
20.50
34.00
170.00
38.50
45.00
0.00
75.00
0.00
31.50
38.50
220.00
32.00
40.00
41.50
106.00
81.00
22.50
0.00
0.00
72.00
620.00
41.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.14
0.00
0.00
-3.17
-5.48
0.00
0.00
-1.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.72
9.09
0.00
-1.54
-2.00
1.79
0.00
0.00
1.20
0.00
4.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7.50
3.92
5.88
-2.83
0.00
4.88
2.56
4.71
0.00
-2.33
0.00
-1.72
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.06
0.00
0.00
4.94
0.00
0.00
-1.72
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.56
-7.14
0.00
0.00
5.26
0.00
0.00
1.16
0.00
0.00
1.39
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
-1.67
-1.52
1.11
0.00
-1.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.74
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.90
0.00
0.00
-1.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.86
0.00
-1.20
0.00
68
232,800
50,000
6,660
25,000
82,844
2,148
2,000
612,500
1,278,532
444,686
190,893
37,647
1,075,194
1,901
215,000
255,000
1,500
512,942
4,230,187
600
102,710
33,944,751
76,360
-
7,360,794
124,181
-
234
6,645
488,120
-
2,680,400
-
20,000
237
-
1,272,015
63,000
4,272,485
2,039,323
50,000
171,147
2,765,763
113,100
5,500
62,150
-
2,081,840
-
3,833
908,100
30,020
1,000
49,000
-
15,158
299,900
500
106,600
28,627
500
181,250
550,500
14,000
90,519
1,378,363
1,500
2,945,525
293,784
-
189,287
1,459,004
1,000
749,528
2,961
243,542
3,005,020
81,376
5,862
200
5,713,889
270,500
1,000
1,065,961
-
128,607
8,275,561
199
412,343
31,000
400
-
54,182
42,000
2,516,098
2,047,309
687,045
41,550
1,772,520
4,141,300
939,550
4,757,385
1,252,204
10,000
1,615,100
429,686
-
1,972,008
-
35,293
3,151,444
160,000
94,000
100
1,798,550
381
5,000
5,039,201
-
-
2,535,148
500
447,000
-
KUWAIT
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Voltamp Energy SaogUnited Power/Energy Co- Pref
United Power Co SaogUnited Finance Co
Ubar Hotels & ResortsTakaful Oman
Taageer FinanceSweets Of OmanSohar Power Co
Sohar PoultrySmn Power Holding Saog
Shell Oman Marketing - PrefShell Oman Marketing
Sharqiyah Desalination Co SaSembcorp Salalah Power & Wat
Salalah Port ServicesSalalah Mills Co
Salalah Beach Resort SaogSahara Hospitality
Renaissance Services SaogRaysut Cement Co
Port Service CorporationPhoenix Power Co Saoc
Packaging Co LtdOoredoo
OminvestOman United Insurance Co
Oman Textile Holding Co SaogOman Telecommunications Co
Oman Refreshment CoOman Packaging
Oman Orix Leasing Co.Oman Oil Marketing Company
Oman National Engineering AnOman Investment & Finance
Oman Intl MarketingOman Hotels & Tourism CoOman Foods International
Oman Flour MillsOman Fisheries CoOman Fiber Optics
Oman Europe Foods IndustriesOman Education & Training In
Oman ChromiteOman Chlorine
Oman Ceramic ComOman Cement Co
Oman Cables IndustryOman Agricultural Dev
Oman & Emirates Inv(Om)50%Natl Aluminium Products
National SecuritiesNational Real Estate Develop
National PharmaceuticalNational Mineral Water
National Hospitality InstituNational Gas Co
National Finance CoNational Detergent Co Saog
National Biscuit IndustriesNational Bank Of Oman Saog
Muscat Thread Mills CoMuscat National Holding
Muscat Gases Company SaogMuscat Finance
Majan Glass CompanyMajan College
Hsbc Bank OmanHotels Management Co Interna
Gulf StoneGulf Plastic Industries Co
Gulf Mushroom CompanyGulf Investments Services
Gulf Invest. Serv. Pref-SharGulf International Chemicals
Gulf Hotels (Oman) Co LtdGlobal Fin Investment
Galfar Engineering&ContractGalfar Engineering -Prefer
Financial Services Co.Financial Corp/The
Dhofar UniversityDhofar Tourism
Dhofar PoultryDhofar Intl Development
Dhofar InsuranceDhofar Fisheries & Food Indu
Dhofar Cattlefeed
0.49
1.00
3.25
0.16
0.13
0.18
0.12
1.34
0.24
0.21
0.71
1.05
1.96
4.50
0.23
0.63
1.48
1.38
2.50
0.25
1.50
0.25
0.15
2.21
0.66
0.49
0.33
0.31
1.53
2.15
0.30
0.13
1.86
0.16
0.21
0.52
0.40
0.00
0.70
0.06
4.57
1.00
0.15
3.64
0.49
0.42
0.47
1.51
0.00
0.14
0.19
0.17
5.00
0.11
0.05
0.00
0.59
0.13
0.70
3.75
0.24
0.11
1.79
0.62
0.12
0.19
0.52
0.12
1.25
0.11
0.00
0.34
0.12
0.11
0.27
10.50
0.17
0.10
0.39
0.17
0.10
1.49
0.49
0.18
0.37
0.21
1.28
0.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.85
0.00
-0.83
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.82
0.00
-0.80
-0.67
0.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
-3.10
0.00
0.00
0.48
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
47,741
-
-
-
-
-
193,778
-
12,946
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5,511
17,465
126,000
49,843
-
1,226,527
26,972
4,500
-
290,728
-
-
6,010
-
-
377,420
-
-
-
-
141,063
-
-
-
-
-
898
29,546
44,400
-
503,827
40,000
-
-
-
62,000
-
5,000
-
-
-
833,719
-
-
-
5,513
-
-
566,000
-
-
-
-
617,730
-
63,565
-
-
553,754
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
OMAN
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Dhofar Beverages CoConstruction Materials Ind
Computer Stationery IndsBankmuscat Saog
Bank SoharBank Nizwa
Bank Dhofar SaogAreej Vegetable Oils
Aloula CoAl-Omaniya Financial Service
Al-Hassan Engineering CoAl-Fajar Al-Alamia Co
Al-Anwar Ceramic Tiles CoAl Suwadi Power
Al Shurooq Inv SerAl Sharqiya Invest Holding
Al Maha Petroleum Products MAl Maha Ceramics Co SaocAl Madina Takaful Co Saoc
Al Madina Investment CoAl Kamil Power Co
Al Jazerah Services -PfdAl Jazeera Steel Products Co
Al Jazeera ServicesAl Izz Islamic Bank
Al Buraimi HotelAl Batinah PowerAl Batinah Hotels
Al Batinah Dev & InvAl Anwar Holdings Saog
Ahli BankAcwa Power Barka Saog
Abrasives Manufacturing Co SA’saff a Foods Saog
0Man Oil Marketing Co-Pref
0.26
0.03
0.26
0.44
0.17
0.08
0.23
4.05
0.53
0.28
0.06
0.75
0.17
0.19
1.04
0.14
1.44
0.47
0.07
0.05
0.31
0.55
0.25
0.20
0.07
0.88
0.19
1.13
0.10
0.19
0.19
0.70
0.05
0.82
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.91
1.23
0.00
1.31
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.58
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.39
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.52
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.02
1.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
-
4,755,561
2,275,886
2,223,444
184,846
-
-
-
-
-
578,160
661
-
130,941
-
-
105,449
1,000
-
-
113,356
20,000
269,648
-
-
-
12,390
787,536
36,166
-
-
-
-
OMAN
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Waha Capital PjscUnited Insurance Company
United Arab Bank PjscUnion National Bank/Abu Dhab
Union Insurance CoUnion Cement Co
Umm Al Qaiwain Cement IndustSharjah Islamic Bank
Sharjah Insurance CompanySharjah Group
Sharjah Cement & Indus DevelRas Al-Khaimah National Insu
Ras Al Khaimah White CementRas Al Khaimah Ceramics
Ras Al Khaimah Cement Co PscRas Al Khaima Poultry
Rak PropertiesOoredoo Qsc
Oman & Emirates Inv(Emir)50%Nbad Oneshare Msci Uae Ucits
National Takaful CompanyNational Marine Dredging Co
National Investor Co/TheNational Corp Tourism & Hote
National Bank Of Umm Al QaiwNational Bank Of Ras Al-Khai
National Bank Of FujairahNational Bank Of Abu Dhabi
Methaq Takaful InsuranceManazel Real Estate Pjsc
Invest BankIntl Fish Farming Co Pjsc
Insurance HouseGulf Pharmaceutical Ind Psc
Gulf Medical ProjectsGulf Cement Co
Fujairah Cement IndustriesFujairah Building Industries
Foodco Holding PjscFirst Gulf BankFinance House
Eshraq Properties Co PjscEmirates Telecom Group Co
Emirates Insurance Co. (Psc)Emirates Driving Company
Dana GasCommercial Bank Internationa
Bank Of SharjahAxa Green Crescent Insurance
Arkan Building Materials CoAlkhaleej InvestmentAldar Properties Pjsc
Al Wathba National InsuranceAl Khazna Insurance Co
Al Fujairah National InsuranAl Dhafra Insurance Co. P.S.
Al Buhaira National InsurancAl Ain Ahlia Ins. Co.
Agthia Group PjscAbu Dhabi Ship Building Co
Abu Dhabi Natl Co For BuildiAbu Dhabi National Takaful C
Abu Dhabi National InsuranceAbu Dhabi National Hotels
Abu Dhabi National Energy CoAbu Dhabi Islamic Bank
1.81
2.00
1.70
4.47
1.86
1.10
0.90
1.48
3.85
1.50
0.95
4.10
1.11
2.35
0.74
2.27
0.69
91.50
1.18
6.26
0.90
4.30
0.52
2.80
3.00
4.99
4.78
10.00
0.90
0.59
2.26
1.75
0.73
2.17
2.50
0.97
1.11
1.56
4.60
12.90
1.80
1.07
18.70
5.75
7.00
0.57
1.99
1.35
0.55
0.94
1.15
2.74
4.40
0.34
300.00
5.00
2.35
55.00
7.00
2.56
0.54
4.25
2.58
3.05
0.55
3.63
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.11
0.00
1.85
0.00
-0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.91
0.43
-1.33
0.00
-1.43
0.00
0.00
0.00
-10.00
-5.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.20
0.00
-0.50
1.12
9.26
0.00
-1.13
0.00
-5.65
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.94
-0.53
0.00
0.00
1.79
0.00
0.00
1.85
0.00
0.00
-0.36
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.55
2.81
0.00
0.00
0.00
7.02
-1.79
-0.55
1,400,588
-
-
517,790
-
469
-
552,522
-
-
58,098
-
5,569
275,392
8,029
-
9,950,414
-
-
-
18,000
3,199
-
-
340,450
21,771
-
633,434
3,564,833
122,982,373
-
96,000
-
240,126
-
-
-
-
-
558,119
-
23,461,492
577,906
-
-
3,140,865
-
-
84,982
561,035
-
4,931,546
-
-
-
-
-
-
956,579
3,630
-
-
-
55,020
619,707
1,016,850
UAE
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Zain Bahrain BsccUnited Paper Industries Bsc
United Gulf Investment CorpUnited Gulf BankTrafco Group Bsc
Takaful International CoTaib Bank -$Us
Seef PropertiesSecurities & Investment Co
National Hotels CoNational Bank Of Bahrain Bsc
Nass Corp BscKhaleeji Commercial Bank
Ithmaar Bank BscInvestcorp Bank -$Us
Inovest Co BscGulf Monetary Group
Gulf Hotel Group B.S.CGfh Financial Group Bsc
Esterad Investment Co B.S.C.Delmon Poultry Co
Bmmi BscBmb Investment Bank
Bbk BscBankmuscat Saog
Banader Hotels CoBahrain Tourism CoBahrain Telecom Co
Bahrain Ship Repair & EnginBahrain National Holding
Bahrain Kuwait InsuranceBahrain Islamic Bank
Bahrain Flour Mills CoBahrain Family Leisure Co
Bahrain Duty Free ComplexBahrain Commercial Facilitie
Bahrain Cinema CoBahrain Car Park Co
Arab Insurance Group(Bsc)-$Arab Banking Corp Bsc-$Us
Aluminium Bahrain BscAlbaraka Banking Group
Al-Salam BankAl-Ahlia Insurance Co
Ahli United Bank B.S.C
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.72
0.11
0.07
0.13
8.10
0.21
0.00
0.64
0.51
0.17
0.00
0.82
0.00
0.36
0.00
0.07
`
0.28
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.75
0.65
1.29
0.00
0.33
0.34
0.30
0.44
0.10
0.00
0.64
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.32
-1.14
-2.91
0.00
0.00
1,000,000
-
-
-
65,197
-
-
30,000
-
-
5,000
289,000
190,000
159,000
25,000
19,586
-
10,000
25,000
42,043
-
33,000
-
4,640
-
33,386
-
31,318
-
-
-
15,000
-
-
9,730
20,000
2,000
-
60,000
20,000
57,000
29,570
100,000
-
314,500
BAHRAIN
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Boubyan Intl Industries HoldGulf Investment House Ksc
Boubyan Bank K.S.CAhli United Bank B.S.C
Osos Holding Group CoAl-Eid Food Ksc
Qurain Petrochemical IndustrAdvanced Technology Co
Ekttitab Holding Co SakKout Food Group Ksc
Real Estate Trade Centers CoAcico Industries Co Kscc
Kipco Asset Management CoNational Petroleum ServicesAlimtiaz Investment Co Kscc
Ras Al Khaimah White CementKuwait Reinsurance Co Ksc
Kuwait & Gulf Link TransportHuman Soft Holding Co Ksc
Automated Systems Co KsccMetal & Recycling Co
Gulf Franchising Holding CoAl-Enma’a Real Estate Co
National Mobile TelecommuniAl Bareeq Holding Co Kscc
Housing Finance Co SakAl Salam Group Holding Co
United Foodstuff IndustriesAl Aman Investment Company
Mashaer Holdings Co KscManazel Holding
Mushrif Trading & ContractinTijara And Real Estate Inves
Kuwait Building MaterialsJazeera Airways Co Ksc
Commercial Real Estate CoFuture Communications Co
National International CoTaameer Real Estate Invest C
Gulf Cement CoHeavy Engineering And Ship B
Refrigeration Industries & SNational Real Estate Co
Al Safat Energy Holding CompKuwait National Cinema CoDanah Alsafat Foodstuff Co
Independent Petroleum GroupKuwait Real Estate Co Ksc
Salhia Real Estate Co KscGulf Cable & Electrical IndAl Nawadi Holding Co Ksc
Kuwait Finance HouseGulf North Africa Holding Co
Hilal Cement CoOsoul Investment Kscc
Gulf Insurance Group KscKuwait Food Co (Americana)
Umm Al Qaiwain Cement IndustAayan Leasing & Investment
Alrai Media Group Co KscNational Investments CoCommercial Facilities Co
Taiba Kuwaiti Holding Co KscAfaq Educational Services Co
Kuwait Pillars For FinancialYiaco Medical Co. K.S.C.C
24.00
29.50
400.00
196.00
130.00
0.00
228.00
0.00
37.00
0.00
36.00
270.00
118.00
810.00
96.00
87.00
182.00
53.00
2,260.00
244.00
63.00
30.50
40.50
1,140.00
0.00
0.00
44.50
0.00
48.50
0.00
29.00
56.00
42.00
190.00
780.00
81.00
90.00
62.00
22.50
75.00
168.00
325.00
106.00
35.00
960.00
91.00
365.00
62.00
360.00
385.00
0.00
540.00
34.00
0.00
62.00
620.00
2,620.00
0.00
31.00
152.00
99.00
156.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
435.00
2.13
3.51
0.00
1.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.51
0.00
2.13
-2.25
0.00
-1.85
4.63
0.83
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.72
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-2.02
0.00
-1.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
7.14
0.00
-1.18
0.00
1.92
0.00
-1.03
1.11
0.00
1.64
-1.37
0.00
0.00
1.89
0.00
0.00
5.08
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.64
1.33
1.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
23,791,720
5,843,217
1,137,812
660,396
1,000
-
79,592
-
9,932
-
1
35,852
1,990
5,000
2,597,383
262
50,000
264,800
25,750
36,900
10,000
219,851
653,600
7,619
-
-
637,000
-
1,746,026
-
747,228
257,489
160,020
393,000
157,940
573,410
16,300
98,319
21,251
2,000
41,353
6,811
3,593,318
854,450
805
241
10,000
1,499,482
10
339,000
-
972,249
1,029,303
-
500
2,736
19,700
-
3,211,586
177
515,874
30,309
-
-
-
30,500
KUWAIT
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
LATEST MARKET CLOSING FIGURES
BUSINESS7Gulf Times
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
CURRENCIESDOLLAR QATAR RIYAL SAUDI RIYAL UAE DIRHAMS BAHRAINI
DINARKUWAITI
DINAR
Europe markets climb on Italy bank actionAFPLondon
European stock markets rose sol-idly yesterday, led by Milan’s main index and Italian banking
shares, after ailing UniCredit said it would axe thousands of jobs and raise billions of euros.
In London, the FTSE 100 up 1.1% to 6,968.57 points; Frankfurt — DAX 30 up 0.8% to 11,284.65 points; Paris — CAC 40 up 0.9% to 4,803.87 points and Milan — FTSE Mib up 2.5% to 18,827.61 points at the close yesterday.
Wall Street also posted gains as at-tention was focused on a much-an-ticipated Federal Reserve rate meeting, while analysts said a Trump-fuelled rally that saw the Dow reach another record close Tuesday may have been overdone.
Leading Asian stock markets ended higher, with Tokyo closing at a one-year high.
Oil prices advanced as the Interna-tional Energy Agency hiked its forecast for global crude demand growth, but then ran into profi t-taking.
Outside the eurozone, London gained 1.1% as traders assessed a big-ger-than-expected jump to British infl ation, partly the result of a weaker pound following the Brexit referen-dum.
Separate data showed that despite uncertainty over Italy’s troubled banks and upcoming elections in Europe, in-vestor confi dence in Europe’s econom-ic powerhouse Germany held steady this month.
Mike van Dulken, head of research at Accendo Markets, said stock mar-ket sentiment was buoyed yesterday “by suggestions of progress in recapi-talising Italy’s troubled banks as well as expectations that the Fed will...still signal a cautious path for further rate hikes” following an expected raise to-day.
Italy’s biggest bank, UniCredit, announced plans yesterday to slash 14,000 jobs as the country gets to grips with political instability and a banking crisis.
The bank, one of the worst per-formers in European bank stress tests, confi rmed it would also need €13bn ($13.8bn) in fresh capital from inves-
tors despite political complications in Italy and the nation’s third-largest bank scrambling to avoid a govern-ment-led rescue.
UniCredit shares surged by 15% fol-lowing the announcement, helping lift banking shares everywhere in Europe.
There is meanwhile little doubt that the US Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate today for only the second time in a decade.
Any rate move would come against the backdrop of US unemployment at a nine-year low, with jobs being created at an average of 180,000 per month.
The world’s biggest economy also grew at better than 3% in the most re-cent quarter amid some signs of a pick-up in infl ation.
Investors are already looking past this week’s Fed decision for guidance on next year’s rate moves, but Craig Erlam, at Oanda, said that rising oil prices and the Trump administration’s spending plans are clouding the out-look.
“The Fed may be forced to raise in-terest rates at a faster pace that it had planned and the markets have current-ly priced in,” he said.
A worker shelters from the rain as he passes the London Stock Exchange building. The FTSE 100 closed up 1.1% to 6,968.57 points yesterday.
Apple IncMicrosoft Corp
Exxon Mobil CorpJohnson & JohnsonGeneral Electric Co
Jpmorgan Chase & CoProcter & Gamble Co/The
Wal-Mart Stores IncVerizon Communications Inc
Pfizer IncVisa Inc-Class A Shares
Chevron CorpCoca-Cola Co/The
Intel CorpMerck & Co. Inc.
Cisco Systems IncHome Depot Inc
Intl Business Machines CorpWalt Disney Co/The
Unitedhealth Group Inc3M Co
Mcdonald’s CorpNike Inc -Cl B
United Technologies CorpBoeing Co/The
Goldman Sachs Group IncAmerican Express Co
Du Pont (E.I.) De NemoursCaterpillar Inc
Travelers Cos Inc/The
115.00
63.03
92.09
115.20
31.66
84.10
85.17
72.02
52.29
32.60
79.13
116.73
41.76
36.44
61.29
30.50
136.23
168.81
104.01
160.88
178.35
122.39
53.03
110.51
155.45
237.02
73.47
74.77
95.46
121.61
1.50
1.38
1.22
-0.14
-0.63
-0.74
0.05
0.49
1.02
0.60
0.80
-0.36
-0.33
1.31
-0.70
1.09
1.23
2.00
-0.05
0.87
-0.72
0.53
2.89
0.11
-1.09
-0.06
-0.15
-0.43
0.40
0.58
13,649,909
9,228,051
6,336,336
1,821,609
9,391,928
5,967,868
4,221,126
2,570,511
3,284,226
6,795,438
3,483,469
2,927,859
5,638,769
5,854,516
2,083,623
6,514,192
1,723,931
1,769,069
1,886,567
1,223,816
950,365
926,463
4,179,979
1,082,990
2,062,071
1,774,452
691,118
512,988
911,673
658,599
DJIA
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Wpp PlcWorldpay Group Plc
Wolseley PlcWm Morrison Supermarkets
Whitbread PlcVodafone Group Plc
United Utilities Group PlcUnilever Plc
Tui Ag-DiTravis Perkins Plc
Tesco PlcTaylor Wimpey Plc
Standard Life PlcStandard Chartered Plc
St James’s Place PlcSse Plc
Smith & Nephew PlcSky Plc
Shire PlcSevern Trent Plc
Schroders PlcSainsbury (J) Plc
Sage Group Plc/TheSabmiller Plc
Rsa Insurance Group PlcRoyal Mail Plc
Royal Dutch Shell Plc-B ShsRoyal Dutch Shell Plc-A Shs
Royal Bank Of Scotland GroupRolls-Royce Holdings Plc
Rio Tinto PlcRexam Plc
Relx PlcReckitt Benckiser Group Plc
Randgold Resources LtdPrudential Plc
Provident Financial PlcPersimmon Plc
Pearson PlcPaddy Power Betfair Plc
Old Mutual PlcNext Plc
National Grid PlcMondi Plc
Merlin EntertainmentMediclinic International Plc
Marks & Spencer Group PlcLondon Stock Exchange Group
Lloyds Banking Group PlcLegal & General Group PlcLand Securities Group Plc
Kingfisher PlcJohnson Matthey Plc
Itv PlcIntu Properties Plc
Intl Consolidated Airline-DiIntertek Group Plc
Intercontinental Hotels GrouInmarsat Plc
Informa PlcImperial Brands Plc
Hsbc Holdings PlcHargreaves Lansdown Plc
Hammerson PlcGlencore Plc
Glaxosmithkline PlcGkn Plc
Fresnillo PlcExperian Plc
Easyjet PlcDixons Carphone Plc
Direct Line Insurance GroupDiageo Plc
Dcc PlcCrh Plc
Compass Group PlcCoca-Cola Hbc Ag-Di
Centrica PlcCarnival Plc
Capita PlcBurberry Group Plc
Bunzl PlcBt Group Plc
British Land Co PlcBritish American Tobacco Plc
Bp PlcBhp Billiton Plc
Berkeley Group Holdings/TheBarratt Developments Plc
Barclays PlcBae Systems Plc
Babcock Intl Group PlcAviva Plc
Astrazeneca PlcAssociated British Foods Plc
Ashtead Group PlcArm Holdings Plc
Antofagasta PlcAnglo American Plc
Admiral Group Plc3I Group Plc
#N/A
1,760.00
267.80
4,963.00
226.50
3,466.00
199.95
898.00
3,193.50
1,074.00
1,421.00
205.30
153.10
358.30
670.20
989.50
1,517.00
1,169.00
990.00
4,433.00
2,193.00
2,935.00
245.30
635.50
0.00
558.50
452.10
2,228.00
2,126.50
218.70
679.50
3,150.50
0.00
1,386.00
6,665.00
5,755.00
1,575.50
2,677.00
1,690.00
803.00
8,535.00
193.90
4,903.00
922.00
1,575.00
433.80
740.00
349.10
2,748.00
62.60
239.50
1,015.00
345.00
3,067.00
192.20
271.10
449.00
3,360.00
3,444.00
737.00
661.50
3,501.50
660.70
1,216.00
556.00
283.55
1,495.00
318.90
1,129.00
1,502.00
989.00
364.40
348.60
2,086.50
5,895.00
2,678.00
1,397.00
1,637.00
220.60
4,021.00
454.90
1,478.00
2,052.00
358.35
622.00
4,427.50
479.85
1,357.00
2,805.00
459.80
229.60
594.00
934.00
474.80
4,294.00
2,700.00
1,620.00
0.00
731.50
1,174.00
1,801.00
689.00
0.00
0.57
3.00
0.18
0.67
1.46
0.98
0.56
2.62
2.19
1.00
-3.55
2.34
-0.61
2.63
1.02
1.13
1.04
1.85
2.73
1.29
1.56
1.36
1.76
0.00
0.45
0.40
0.43
0.38
2.24
4.38
-2.91
0.00
1.61
2.32
-0.43
0.70
0.60
1.38
1.58
2.09
1.62
2.25
0.04
1.09
1.85
1.51
1.69
1.74
1.99
0.04
1.81
0.82
1.66
3.78
1.96
3.82
1.33
2.23
3.08
1.38
2.31
1.37
-0.41
1.55
-2.31
1.63
2.18
-1.40
0.87
1.96
2.19
0.35
2.38
0.26
0.00
3.25
-1.50
1.52
0.27
0.04
2.28
1.48
3.36
2.22
1.41
-0.73
-3.11
1.12
1.64
0.90
1.37
1.85
0.17
2.09
2.04
-1.46
0.00
-5.55
-2.98
0.50
2.00
0.00
2,053,590
4,289,869
362,000
12,903,682
405,368
38,027,798
880,275
1,915,015
688,611
417,092
21,050,851
10,546,892
3,175,956
5,004,121
508,595
852,943
1,242,636
15,214,691
1,218,961
461,194
158,992
5,575,596
2,882,388
-
848,707
1,810,856
3,826,544
3,221,403
9,497,328
9,171,363
2,546,199
-
2,828,861
890,912
474,899
2,282,248
347,567
625,749
1,085,047
55,331
5,859,844
225,071
4,961,970
951,838
591,338
912,846
4,336,642
158,585
126,490,783
10,156,235
1,429,060
4,172,928
358,826
21,904,016
1,164,621
4,858,748
150,246
392,867
1,092,170
899,923
1,183,278
18,926,795
250,934
879,222
32,267,985
4,094,823
2,090,945
955,533
1,554,554
1,235,695
1,931,818
1,680,041
3,577,002
71,471
644,329
2,526,201
327,016
9,003,891
282,643
3,093,428
1,456,262
321,152
9,926,007
1,967,161
2,273,944
20,898,898
4,940,805
438,586
2,428,526
25,781,039
5,716,459
871,310
2,450,855
1,315,245
358,185
1,580,098
-
2,659,829
4,611,957
319,279
1,189,623
-
FTSE 100
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
East Japan Railway CoItochu Corp
Fujifilm Holdings CorpYamato Holdings Co Ltd
Chubu Electric Power Co IncMitsubishi Estate Co Ltd
Mitsubishi Heavy IndustriesToshiba Corp
Shiseido Co LtdShionogi & Co Ltd
Tokyo Gas Co LtdTokyo Electron Ltd
Panasonic CorpFujitsu Ltd
Central Japan Railway CoT&D Holdings Inc
Toyota Motor CorpKddi Corp
Nitto Denko Corp
10,035.00
1,654.00
4,393.00
2,375.00
1,742.50
2,394.00
550.90
454.40
2,960.50
5,174.00
535.90
10,175.00
1,282.50
700.20
19,035.00
1,551.00
7,050.00
3,054.00
8,811.00
0.40
0.30
0.05
0.57
2.02
-0.83
-1.25
0.13
2.05
3.40
1.65
1.14
0.87
-0.84
0.87
-0.42
0.70
2.57
0.11
1,047,200
7,018,100
1,193,100
1,075,900
3,217,600
6,080,000
21,579,000
40,305,000
1,990,100
1,626,700
14,882,000
745,500
13,342,300
10,386,000
479,000
4,557,900
8,512,800
7,962,900
891,500
TOKYO
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Rakuten IncKyocera Corp
Nissan Motor Co LtdHitachi Ltd
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co LtdJfe Holdings Inc
Ana Holdings IncMitsubishi Electric Corp
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial GrHonda Motor Co Ltd
Fast Retailing Co LtdMs&Ad Insurance Group Holdin
Kubota CorpSeven & I Holdings Co Ltd
Inpex CorpResona Holdings Inc
Asahi Kasei CorpKirin Holdings Co Ltd
Marubeni CorpMitsubishi Ufj Financial Gro
Mitsubishi Chemical HoldingsFanuc Corp
Daito Trust Construct Co LtdOtsuka Holdings Co Ltd
Oriental Land Co LtdSekisui House Ltd
Secom Co LtdTokio Marine Holdings Inc
Aeon Co LtdMitsui & Co Ltd
Kao CorpDai-Ichi Life Holdings Inc
Mazda Motor CorpKomatsu Ltd
West Japan Railway CoMurata Manufacturing Co Ltd
Kansai Electric Power Co IncDenso Corp
Sompo Holdings IncDaiwa House Industry Co Ltd
Jx Holdings IncNippon Steel & Sumitomo Meta
Suzuki Motor CorpNippon Telegraph & Telephone
Ajinomoto Co IncMitsui Fudosan Co Ltd
Ono Pharmaceutical Co LtdDaikin Industries Ltd
Bank Of Yokohama Ltd/TheToray Industries IncAstellas Pharma Inc
Bridgestone CorpSony CorpHoya Corp
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust HoldinJapan Tobacco Inc
Osaka Gas Co LtdSumitomo Electric Industries
Daiwa Securities Group IncSoftbank Group Corp
Mizuho Financial Group IncNomura Holdings Inc
Daiichi Sankyo Co LtdFuji Heavy Industries Ltd
Ntt Docomo IncSumitomo Realty & Developmen
Sumitomo Metal Mining Co LtdOrix Corp
Asahi Group Holdings LtdKeyence Corp
Nidec CorpIsuzu Motors Ltd
Unicharm CorpShin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd
Smc CorpMitsubishi CorpNintendo Co Ltd
Eisai Co LtdSumitomo Corp
Canon IncJapan Airlines Co Ltd
1,162.00
5,746.00
1,135.00
634.30
4,853.00
1,897.00
318.40
1,640.00
4,656.00
3,458.00
43,210.00
3,795.00
1,704.50
4,521.00
1,252.50
615.60
1,062.00
1,970.00
683.90
747.70
785.00
20,545.00
17,495.00
4,854.00
6,630.00
1,948.50
8,529.00
5,314.00
1,675.00
1,690.00
5,527.00
2,013.00
1,954.50
2,702.50
7,125.00
15,445.00
1,312.50
5,107.00
4,155.00
3,307.00
521.20
2,723.00
4,030.00
4,875.00
2,364.50
2,790.50
2,518.00
10,830.00
0.00
946.50
1,602.00
4,306.00
3,378.00
4,503.00
4,449.00
3,905.00
445.80
1,683.00
759.60
7,772.00
220.00
743.30
2,500.00
4,809.00
2,691.50
3,238.00
1,627.50
1,883.00
3,497.00
76,360.00
9,880.00
1,502.00
2,506.00
9,112.00
28,460.00
2,592.50
28,275.00
6,840.00
1,421.00
3,400.00
3,490.00
-0.94
-0.24
0.35
-1.44
2.21
-1.07
0.54
-0.85
-0.58
-0.23
0.19
-0.18
-3.92
0.83
-0.40
0.36
0.33
0.54
0.37
-0.65
0.33
0.39
3.15
5.18
2.30
1.78
0.91
-1.25
0.96
-0.12
3.25
-0.10
-1.56
-0.15
-0.08
-1.09
1.78
1.07
0.05
0.98
1.40
0.11
0.83
3.61
1.26
-0.98
3.92
-0.09
0.00
0.69
2.59
0.54
0.36
0.36
0.11
0.18
-0.40
-0.24
0.21
-0.13
-0.32
-1.06
3.48
-1.19
2.03
-0.18
0.74
-0.63
-4.61
4.43
-0.08
-0.23
1.31
0.18
-3.51
1.67
-3.83
0.53
0.25
-0.50
0.06
TOKYO
Company Name Lt Price % Chg
Aluminum Corp Of China Ltd-HBank Of East Asia Ltd
Bank Of China Ltd-HBank Of Communications Co-H
Belle International HoldingsBoc Hong Kong Holdings Ltd
Cathay Pacific AirwaysCk Hutchison Holdings Ltd
China Coal Energy Co-HChina Construction Bank-H
China Life Insurance Co-HChina Merchants Port Holding
China Mobile LtdChina Overseas Land & Invest
China Petroleum & Chemical-HChina Resources Beer Holdin
China Resources Land LtdChina Resources Power Holdin
China Shenhua Energy Co-HChina Unicom Hong Kong Ltd
Citic LtdClp Holdings Ltd
Cnooc LtdCosco Shipping Ports Ltd
Esprit Holdings LtdFih Mobile Ltd
Hang Lung Properties LtdHang Seng Bank Ltd
Henderson Land Development
0.58
-2.01
-0.56
-0.84
1.58
-0.17
0.00
-0.87
1.04
-0.69
0.47
0.83
-0.12
-0.91
0.90
1.17
-0.97
0.32
1.03
2.04
0.00
-0.41
1.57
2.34
2.24
0.00
-0.69
-0.34
0.48
0.58
-2.01
-0.56
-0.84
1.58
-0.17
0.00
-0.87
1.04
-0.69
0.47
0.83
-0.12
-0.91
0.90
1.17
-0.97
0.32
1.03
2.04
0.00
-0.41
1.57
2.34
2.24
0.00
-0.69
-0.34
0.48
19,730,544
2,692,145
242,085,259
27,125,332
13,818,656
12,567,789
5,239,898
9,773,685
14,058,938
258,505,039
44,014,448
5,140,910
20,948,546
20,087,466
103,688,826
3,591,993
9,322,291
5,990,216
24,568,084
41,526,510
9,663,486
2,773,981
63,287,538
4,631,004
2,590,252
2,968,210
3,692,565
1,506,868
4,698,306
HONG KONG
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Hong Kong & China GasHong Kong Exchanges & Clear
Hsbc Holdings PlcHutchison Whampoa Ltd
Ind & Comm Bk Of China-HLi & Fung Ltd
Mtr CorpNew World Development
Petrochina Co Ltd-HPing An Insurance Group Co-H
Power Assets Holdings LtdSino Land Co
Sun Hung Kai PropertiesSwire Pacific Ltd - Cl ATencent Holdings Ltd
Wharf Holdings Ltd
0.00
0.00
-1.08
0.00
-0.63
-1.41
1.57
-0.81
5.30
1.08
-0.07
-1.16
-0.10
-0.99
0.65
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-1.08
0.00
-0.63
-1.41
1.57
-0.81
5.30
1.08
-0.07
-1.16
-0.10
-0.99
0.65
-0.18
8,673,330
3,349,351
26,855,024
-
235,879,202
50,645,950
3,661,329
22,376,810
293,252,437
21,240,497
1,908,041
5,012,606
3,573,099
1,144,464
16,390,467
6,228,256
HONG KONG
Company Name Lt Price % Chg Volume
Zee Entertainment EnterpriseYes Bank Ltd
Wipro LtdVedanta Ltd
Ultratech Cement LtdTech Mahindra Ltd
Tata Steel LtdTata Power Co Ltd
Tata Motors LtdTata Consultancy Svcs Ltd
Sun Pharmaceutical IndusState Bank Of India
Reliance Industries LtdPunjab National Bank
Power Grid Corp Of India LtdOil & Natural Gas Corp Ltd
Ntpc LtdMaruti Suzuki India Ltd
Mahindra & Mahindra LtdLupin Ltd
Larsen & Toubro LtdKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd
Itc LtdInfosys Ltd
Indusind Bank LtdIdea Cellular Ltd
Icici Bank LtdHousing Development Finance
Hindustan Unilever LtdHindalco Industries Ltd
Hero Motocorp LtdHdfc Bank Limited
Hcl Technologies LtdGrasim Industries Ltd
Gail India LtdDr. Reddy’s Laboratories
Coal India LtdCipla Ltd
Cairn India LtdBosch Ltd
Bharti Airtel LtdBharat Petroleum Corp Ltd
Bharat Heavy ElectricalsBank Of Baroda
Bajaj Auto LtdAxis Bank Ltd
Asian Paints LtdAmbuja Cements Ltd
Adani Ports And Special EconAcc Ltd
441.80
1,206.65
463.75
239.95
3,366.75
484.55
421.10
77.60
470.65
2,200.30
684.35
266.15
1,039.80
129.40
185.25
312.00
164.80
5,163.15
1,167.40
1,494.30
1,375.70
730.95
235.65
990.20
1,089.80
77.05
264.40
1,278.55
831.15
176.95
3,210.70
1,186.25
800.95
850.55
424.90
3,166.85
305.95
578.85
262.45
20,916.60
330.00
628.65
125.45
160.40
2,659.15
452.95
906.75
206.40
286.00
1,339.75
-2.32
1.17
2.25
-2.78
-2.76
3.23
-0.73
1.24
3.58
-0.36
1.18
0.95
1.23
-1.11
0.27
0.18
-0.39
0.36
0.15
-0.61
0.79
0.15
1.44
1.31
0.41
1.92
-0.17
1.11
-0.17
-2.75
-0.05
0.15
0.14
-1.30
-0.98
0.60
0.21
0.70
-1.46
0.73
0.26
2.75
-1.61
0.94
0.15
1.76
-0.38
-0.94
1.65
-0.46
SENSEX
Company Name Lt Price % Chg
WORLD INDICESIndices Lt Price Change
GCC INDICESIndices Lt Price Change
Dow Jones Indus. AvgS&P 500 Index
Nasdaq Composite IndexS&P/Tsx Composite Index
Mexico Bolsa IndexBrazil Bovespa Stock Idx
Ftse 100 IndexCac 40 Index
Dax IndexIbex 35 Tr
Nikkei 225Japan Topix
Hang Seng IndexAll Ordinaries Indx
Nzx All IndexBse Sensex 30 Index
Nse S&P Cnx Nifty IndexStraits Times Index
Karachi All Share IndexJakarta Composite Index
19,866.29
2,266.34
5,467.63
15,328.28
46,703.20
59,293.74
6,956.15
4,796.78
11,278.70
9,306.00
19,250.52
1,540.25
22,446.70
5,600.71
1,275.29
26,697.82
8,221.80
2,955.23
31,418.26
5,293.62
+69.86
+9.38
+55.09
+40.58
-210.27
+115.12
+65.73
+36.01
+88.49
+119.60
+95.49
+8.82
+13.68
-18.41
-4.40
+182.58
+51.00
+3.04
+298.86
-14.51
Doha Securities MarketSaudi Tadawul
Kuwait Stocks ExchangeBahrain Stock Exchage
Oman Stock MarketAbudhabi Stock MarketDubai Financial Market
10,397.58
7,108.44
5,671.62
1,188.12
5,732.37
4,539.91
3,625.23
+68.82
-53.94
+34.63
-2.40
+36.05
-9.14
-31.88
“Information contained herein is believed to be reliable and had been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This publication is for providing information only and is not intended as an off er or solicitation for a purchase or sale of any of the financial instruments mentioned. Gulf Times and Doha Bank or any of their employees shall not be held accountable and will not accept any losses or liabilities for actions based on this data.”
7,921,700
1,051,400
13,669,200
31,122,000
3,002,800
4,552,800
10,293,000
6,921,900
8,903,000
5,341,800
434,500
1,675,900
7,619,100
2,704,000
5,256,100
20,571,800
4,622,000
3,115,500
9,906,100
118,336,800
5,595,900
810,700
505,200
2,701,500
1,245,600
3,309,700
513,500
3,925,500
2,416,200
7,199,400
4,548,000
6,564,000
7,445,500
10,315,400
626,400
939,000
3,571,200
2,050,600
1,571,300
1,371,300
14,515,000
4,077,500
2,295,400
7,974,200
3,592,500
4,602,000
4,148,600
1,137,300
-
6,675,000
9,394,900
2,463,600
6,183,700
984,200
1,854,400
5,800,600
11,367,000
3,001,800
9,889,000
6,696,800
194,814,200
49,687,600
2,505,800
4,622,700
7,391,500
2,395,000
4,308,000
6,767,000
5,542,700
362,800
5,451,800
3,174,600
2,266,100
1,140,700
2,133,700
6,644,600
3,044,500
1,060,200
4,287,300
5,002,500
3,907,000
2,901,614
2,318,026
1,233,393
16,713,466
377,803
2,043,211
3,721,472
3,607,981
65,301,987
1,114,515
4,922,051
10,072,209
2,467,196
10,230,871
2,629,318
8,588,308
3,122,821
512,874
892,739
754,125
1,508,695
767,243
7,942,041
2,544,983
819,923
5,851,547
9,811,052
1,685,645
746,697
10,460,229
294,759
719,142
963,272
446,183
1,554,288
85,293
4,276,402
591,372
1,441,728
12,245
993,207
1,626,806
3,799,206
6,074,031
253,867
8,892,673
1,669,834
1,134,196
2,855,033
173,562
Gulf Times Wednesday, December 14, 2016
BUSINESS8
BUSINESS
Gulf Times Wednesday, December 14, 201614
SNB to savour Christmas quiet before year of Europe suspenseBloombergZurich
Thomas Jordan may want to take advan-
tage of any time he gets to put his feet up
this holiday season.
While an interest rate increase by the
Federal Reserve this week is likely to
take pressure off the franc after a year of
seismic political shifts, that respite may be
short lived. Elections in France, Germany
and the Netherlands, plus Britain’s trigger-
ing of Brexit, mean 2017 is shaping up to
be a year of heightened uncertainty that is
set to keep Swiss National Bank President
Jordan and his fellow rate setters busy.
“The eurozone will continue to encoun-
ter significant problems, keeping the euro
low,” said Janwillem Acket, chief econo-
mist at Julius Baer. “Erratic US policies, as
well as heightened geopolitical tension
levels, could be prone to send fearful in-
vestors out of the US dollar, as safe haven,
into the Swiss franc again.”
The SNB’s policy decision at 9:30 a.m.
in Bern on Thursday comes just hours
after the Fed is expected to announce
its first rate hike in a year on the back of
an improving labour market. That could
further support the dollar, already lifted
along with equity markets by the election
of Donald Trump. Policy in the euro area,
however, remains expansive, with off icials
announcing an extension of its bond buy-
ing program last week.
“From a Swiss perspective, we have an
interest in policy globally moving toward
normalization, especially in light of an
improvement in the global economy”
SNB President Jordan told Tages-Anzeiger
newspaper in an interview published on
November 24. Economists surveyed by
Bloomberg expect the SNB, which has
sought to re-kindle inflation via a two-pillar
strategy of a deposit rate of minus 0.75%
and a pledge to intervene in currency
markets, to stick with its current stance. Its
announcement will be followed by a press
conference featuring Jordan, vice-president
Fritz Zurbruegg and Board Member Andrea
Maechler at 10 a.m. local time.
The SNB will also publish an updated in-
flation forecast and a first take on growth
for next year. In September, it predicted
that prices would rise just 0.2% in 2017
and 0.6% in 2018.
The wave of populism stemming
from exasperation with the political and
business establishment over a raft of
grievances from inequality to immigration
that began with Brexit in June and shaped
Austria’s presidential election and Italy’s
referendum is likely to play a key role in
the upcoming European votes and risks
destabilising the euro area.
The Netherlands, something of a
laboratory for European politics, with
unstable, multi-party coalitions the norm,
kicks off Europe’s 2017 voting season with
parliamentary elections on March 15. The
same month, the UK government plans
to trigger the start of Brexit via Article 50.
The two rounds of the presidential elec-
tion in France are due in April and May.
Even Germany, whose constitutional
checks and balances to prevent dictatorial
bents mean it’s considered more resistant
to populism, may see the anti-immigration
Alternative for Germany party gain
ground in federal elections in fall.
A reemergence of doubts about the
euro’s viability could cause a run on the
franc, just as Greece’s debt crisis did in
2015 and Britain’s Brexit vote in June. The
SNB admitted interventions after both
those incidents, and its foreign-exchange
holdings having increased another 39bn
francs ($38.4bn) in the last five months,
indicating there may have been further
market activity.
The International Monetary Fund
has recommended the SNB reserve its
interventions only to counter big inflows
and cut its deposit rate still further to
combat the strong franc and stoke infla-
tion. According to the median estimate by
economists in another Bloomberg survey,
the rate can go as low as minus 1.25%
before investors begin hoarding cash. The
SNB can also increase its balance sheet
to 150% of gross domestic product from
roughly 110% currently, without risking its
credibility, the survey found.
Yet even with the SNB’s ultra-expansive
policy, the franc has appreciated more
than 1% against the euro this year and
price pressures are feeble. Last week,
Switzerland’s statistics off ice cut its 2017
consumer price forecast to zero from
0.3%, and said it expects inflation to
average 0.2% in 2018. The franc was up
0.3% at 1.0743 per euro at 1:44pm in Zurich
yesterday.
According to Markus Schmieder, an
economist at Wellershoff and Partners in
Zurich, the SNB will be hesitant to deploy
a further rate cut, shrugging off the IMF’s
advice. “To lower negative interest rates
does not seem to be a valid option for
the SNB” as bank profits would suff er
even more and the risk of cash hoarding
would rise, said Schmieder, adding that an
improving inflation outlook might allow
the SNB to permit the franc to appreciate
“in a controlled manner.”
UK infl ation at highest in over 2 years in November
ReutersLondon
British infl ation hit its high-est rate in more than two years last month, pushed
up by more expensive clothing and the impact of June’s Brexit vote on the prices consumers paid for technology goods.
Consumer prices were 1.2% higher than a year earlier in No-vember, up from 0.9% in Oc-tober and the biggest increase since October 2014, the Offi ce for National Statistics said yes-terday.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected a 1.1% annual rise in a Reuters poll. In a separate re-lease, the ONS said prices paid by British factories for materials and energy fell more than 1% on the month but were up by nearly 13% compared with November 2015 — the biggest annual increase since October 2011.
The Bank of England forecast last month that infl ation would surge to about 2.8% by mid-2018, as sterling’s plunge after Britain’s vote to leave the EU pushes up the cost of imports and squeezes living standards and household spending.
Sterling is currently down about 15% against the US dollar and 8% against the euro, making suppliers and retailers battle for profi ts as imported goods be-come more expensive.
There was some respite for sterling in November, which eased the pressure on factories paying for materials and energy during the month.
Annual rates of producer price infl ation rose at the fastest pace in more than four years, how-ever, underscoring how British infl ation more broadly looks set to rise sharply next year.
“We expect infl ation could hit 3% next year against a backdrop of rising unemployment and weaker wage growth,” said Rich-ard Lim, chief executive of con-sultancy Retail Economics.
Sterling touched a day’s high above $1.27 after the data.
British infl ation has been be-low the Bank of England’s 2% target for nearly three years and last year it was zero, the lowest level since comparable records began in 1950.
Bank of England policymakers look set to keep interest rates on hold this Thursday after drop-ping their signals of another cut and adopting a neutral stance last month.
Clothing prices provided the biggest boost to the annual in-fl ation rate in November, in part because retailers off ered fewer discounts.
Prices for recreation and cul-ture rose by 0.5% from October to November, fuelled by higher costs for technology goods.
Manufacturers such as Apple have increased prices in Britain to refl ect the fall in the value of sterling since the Brexit vote.
And the ONS said consumers had to pay 7.4% more for fuel compared with a year ago — a trend that looks likely to con-tinue.
On Monday oil prices rose by as much as 6.5% to an 18-month high after Opec members and some of their rivals reached a fi rst deal since 2001 to jointly re-duce output to try to tackle glo-bal oversupply and boost prices.
Unicredit plans $13.8bn stock sale, job cuts to boost profi tBloombergMilan
Unicredit plans to raise €13bn ($13.8bn) in a rights off er, bet-ting that a balance-sheet
cleanup and cost cuts will persuade investors that Italy’s biggest bank can restore profi tability even without much revenue growth.
The bank is targeting €4.7bn of net profi t in 2019 with a return on tan-gible equity above 9%, Milan-based Unicredit said in a presentation of its strategic plan yesterday. As part of the three-year strategy, the bank plans to shed an additional 6,500 jobs, bringing the total to 14,000, as it aims for €1.7bn of annual cost savings.
Unicredit chief executive offi cer Jean Pierre Mustier, a 55-year-old French-man, in July took the helm of a lender burdened by a mounting pile of bad loans, record-low interest rates and It-aly’s longest recession since World War II. The bank had the slimmest capital buff er among those deemed important to the fi nancial system in the latest Eu-ropean stress tests.
While the bank expects annual costs to drop, it sees revenue rising by just 0.6% per year through 2019. Unicredit sees falling net interest income, with growth coming from fees and commis-sions, it said in a presentation in Lon-don.
“With almost no revenue growth in the foreseeable future, the plan is fo-cused on cutting costs and improving the asset quality and capital levels,” Luigi Tramontana, an analyst at Banca Akros, said in a note to clients. “The rights issue stands at the top of the ex-pectations, given the stronger-than-expected eff ort” to boost loan-loss re-serves.
Unicredit has struggled to build up capital, a task compounded by the bank’s complex structure after $60bn of acquisitions it made in the past decade under previous management. To simplify the bank and boost buff-ers, Mustier is disposing of assets in-cluding the Pioneer Investments fund management business and its Polish unit, Bank Pekao. It expects to raise about €8bn from those deals as well as the sale of its 30% stake in online lender FinecoBank.
“We are taking decisive actions to deal with our non-performing-ex-posure legacy issues to improve and support recurring future profi tability,” Mustier said in the statement.
Unicredit will focus on organic growth and doesn’t plan further ac-quisitions, the CEO said at a press con-ference, ruling out acquisitions. The company’s German unit, formerly Hy-povereinsbank, is a strategic asset in a country that is core to the bank, Musti-
er said, adding that he also isn’t looking to sell the company’s shipping business or other major operations.
The stock rose as much as 9.3% and was up 6.9% at €2.69 as of 11:37 a.m. in Milan. Unicredit has lost about half its value this year, valuing the bank at €15bn.
The capital increase will take place in the fi rst quarter of next year, Mustier said on a conference call with journal-ists. The CEO said he’s confi dent Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena’s eff orts to raise capital will be resolved this month and will have “no impact” on his own bank’s fundraising.
The revamp will help Unicredit to in-crease its common equity Tier 1 ratio to more than 12.5% by 2019 from 10.8% at the end of September. The bank won’t pay a dividend for 2016 and targets a
20% to 50% payout ratio in subsequent years.
Part of the funds the bank is raising will cover losses from disposals of bad loans. Unicredit said it will set aside €8.1bn for non-performing loans as it plans to move €17.7bn of soured debt off its books for securitisation and a subsequent sale.
The bank said one-off s this quarter will total €12.2bn.
Fortress Investment Group and Pim-co will take majority stakes in the two units that will take on the non-per-forming loans, Unicredit said.
“We welcome the focus on cleaning up the balance sheet, although some may have hoped the extent of provi-sions could have delivered a larger up-front non-performing loan reduction,” Jeff eries Group LLC analysts including
Benjie Creelan-Sandford said in a note, repeating their buy rating. “Given lack of control over the external environ-ment, we think the focus on capital and costs is important.”
Banks across Italy are contending with expectations of low economic growth, pressure from European regu-lators to meet stricter capital standards and political instability following the fall of Matteo Renzi’s government. The prospect that Monte Paschi may need a state rescue if its capital plan fails has also aff ected confi dence in Italian lend-ers across the board.
The €4.7bn profi t target compares with a consensus of €3.9bn for 2019, according to the Jeff eries analysts. On a comparable basis the bank made €1.5bn in 2015.
The bank’s €1bn of 6.75% additional
Tier 1 bonds, the fi rst notes to take losses in a crisis, rose 2.5 cents to about 92 cents, near a 2016 high, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. They fell to as low as 70 cents in February.
Regulators are pushing Italian lend-ers to clean up their balance sheets, strengthen capital buff ers and cut an estimated €360bn in non-performing loans. Unicredit has sold more than €10bn of bad loans in the past three years and has set aside almost €25bn for loan-loss provisions since 2013.
Total net costs will drop to €10.6bn from €12.2bn in 2015, the bank said. The bank employed about 123,000 people at the end of September. Ex-cluding businesses the bank is sell-ing, headcount was 99,500 at the end of the third quarter, and will fall to 87,000 by 2019.
A logo is seen on the exterior of the Unicredit headquarters in Milan. The bank is targeting €4.7bn of net profit in 2019 with a return on tangible equity above 9%, it said in a presentation of its strategic plan yesterday.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected a 1.1% annual rise
CEO stakes future on strategy with zero severance payBloombergMilan
Unicredit chief executive off icer Jean Pierre Mustier said he’s staking his future on the bank’s new plan to revive profitability. He means it literally.The Frenchman who took over in July will receive no bonus this year and won’t get a severance payment if he leaves the bank, Unicredit said in a presentation of the plan in London yesterday. Mustier will also see his fixed salary cut by 40% to €1.2mn ($1.27mn) and will invest €2mn in the bank’s shares.“Some of you might know that once upon a time I was a French paratrooper,” Mustier told investors yesterday. “So I’m kind of hot on execution and discipline and I am staking my and my team’s future on making sure this plan is well executed and successful.”Mustier’s zero-severance contrasts with bonus packages received by other ex-chiefs of the bank. Predecessor Federico Ghizzoni, who was replaced
by Mustier following a slide in the share price and profitability, received a severance payment of about €5mn, according to the company. Alessandro Profumo, who had the job before Ghizzoni, received about €38mn, the most it ever paid to a single person, according to a company document.“Rest assured the management team of the bank will have strongly aligned interests with shareholders over a long-term incentive plan dovetailing the plan targets,” Mustier said.“We have developed a plan based on conservative assumptions that is pragmatic with tangible and achievable targets and which depends mostly on cost and risk management, levers which are firmly under our control.”Mustier, 55, worked for 22 years at Societe Generale before coming to Unicredit and running its corporate and investment bank from 2011 to 2015. The first non-Italian in the top job at the bank, he rejoined Unicredit from Tikehau Capital, an investment management company.Mustier: Hot on execution.
BUSINESS15Gulf Times
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Trump picks Exxon Mobil CEO Tillerson for secretary of stateBloombergWashington
Exxon Mobil Corp chief executive offi cer Rex Tillerson will be nom-inated as president-elect Donald
Trump’s secretary of state, setting up a potential confi rmation battle with US lawmakers who have questioned the oilman’s relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
“Rex knows how to manage a global enterprise, which is crucial to running a successful State Department, and his relationships with leaders all over the world are second to none,” Trump said in a statement yesterday.
Tillerson said that he will focus on restoring America’s credibility on the international stage.
“We must focus on strengthening our alliances, pursuing shared national interests and enhancing the strength, security and sovereignty of the US,” Tillerson said in the statement.
The oil executive beat out several high-profi le candidates for the job, including Trump loyalist and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who took his name out of the running, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, who had been a Trump critic during the campaign. Romney announced on Monday that he was no longer in the running to be America’s chief diplomat.
Tillerson, an Exxon lifer and Univer-sity of Texas-trained engineer who hits Exxon’s mandatory retirement age of 65 in March, has accepted Trump’s of-fer. He would be the fi rst oil executive and only the second Texan to lead the State Department.
Tillerson would add to a cabinet in-creasingly full of millionaires and bil-lionaires, including Commerce Sec-retary nominee Wilbur Ross, whose fortune is estimated at about $2.9bn. Tillerson was paid $27.3mn in salary, bonus, stock awards and other com-pensation in 2015; his 2.6mn shares of Exxon common stock had a value of about $228mn as of early December.
Word of Tillerson’s possible nomi-nation was circulated even before his December 5 visit to meet the president-elect at Trump Tower partly to see how
the markets would react, according to a person familiar with the transition who requested anonymity because the information hasn’t been made public.
The prospect of a Tillerson nomina-tion has already drawn some objections from lawmakers in both parties, who expressed concern about his two dec-ades of dealings with Putin at a time when possible Russian interference in the US election is under scrutiny. That suggests that the Exxon executive could face a messy Senate confi rma-tion fi ght. Republican Senators John McCain of Arizona and Marco Rubio of Florida were among those who said they had questions about Tillerson’s dealings with Putin.
Confi rmation hearings may also be-
come a proxy fi ght over Trump’s posi-tion that Putin is an eff ective leader with whom he can reach agreements, a stance widely unpopular among law-makers in both parties.
Senator Bob Corker, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Com-mittee, said yesterday in a statement that he congratulated Tillerson and looked “forward to meeting with him and chairing his confi rmation hearing.” Corker said in the statement that the committee will hold a hearing on Till-erson’s nomination in early January.
“Mr Tillerson is a very impressive individual and has an extraordinary working knowledge of the world,” said the Tennessee Republican, who had also been in the running for the post.
Added to the mix is a looming inquiry into Russian meddling in the election. The Washington Post reported on Fri-day that the CIA has told senators that Putin’s government was actively seek-ing to help Trump win the election — a step beyond an earlier fi nding that the goal was to undermine the credibility of the US political process.
President Barack Obama has ordered a full review of the evidence of Rus-sian hacking. Trump has rejected the idea that Russia has been pinpointed as the source of the hacks of Democratic Party servers.
David Mortlock, a former director of international economic aff airs on Obama’s National Security Council, said a Tillerson nomination would ex-
tend a trend of the US pursuing “eco-nomic statecraft” that began under Hillary Clinton, who Trump defeated in the presidential contest, when she was secretary of state.
“It ironically continues something that really started in the Clinton State Department which is economic state-craft and the fact that US CEOs, US companies have been some of our best diplomats overseas and the US brand is an important part of US diplomacy and US representation,” Mortlock said.
Kellyanne Conway, a top Trump ad-viser, said on Friday on Fox News that those who were considered by Trump also included Alan Mulally, the former CEO of Ford Motor Co, former CIA di-rector David Petraeus, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker, former US Ambassador to the UN John Bolton, and Representative Dana Rohrabacher, a California Repub-lican.
“It was an honor to have been con-sidered for Secretary of State of our great country,” Romney said in a Fa-cebook post on Monday acknowledg-ing he would not be named to the job. “My discussions with President-elect Trump have been both enjoyable and enlightening. I have very high hopes that the new administration will lead the nation to greater strength, prosper-ity and peace.”
Reince Priebus, who has been named Trump’s chief of staff , said on Fox News yesterday that Trump chose Tillerson because of his interpersonal skills, his track record in business and a shared vision on international issues.
“At the end of the day, it’s putting America fi rst, and Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson had a connection on that issue,” said Priebus, who is currently chairman of the Republican National Committee. “We’re excited about to-day and what Rex Tillerson is going to bring to the table.”
Priebus also said Tillerson’s history with Putin demonstrated toughness.
“The truth is having relationships with people is not a bad thing,” he said. “We have a lot of problems in this world and we’re not going to solve those problems by pretending that people don’t exist.”
Tillerson says he will focus on restoring America’s credibility on the international stage.
IMF demands more Spain reforms to sustain ‘impressive’ recoveryBloombergMadrid
Spain must make further eff orts to reduce long-term unemploy-ment and continue its budgetary
adjustment process, the International Monetary Fund said, while noting that the nation’s economic recovery re-mains robust.
In its concluding statement after its assessment of the country’s economic performance, the Washington-based
institution said Spain witnessed an “impressive recovery” helped by re-forms, fi scal loosening and the Euro-pean Central Bank’s unprecedented monetary stimulus. Despite the opti-mistic tone, it warned that vulnerabili-ties stemming from long-term unem-ployment, elevated public debt and low productivity remain.
“It is critical to reduce the remaining vulnerabilities and structural weak-nesses,” the IMF said in a statement published yesterday. “Preserving the reform achievements is therefore of
utmost importance but Spain needs to go further if it is to sustain the dynamic economic performance.”
The report comes as the government of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy moves to approve a budget for next year that can reduce the nation’s defi cit while opposition groups reject further cuts in a highly fragmented parliament that would require a cross-party agreement. The IMF noted that carefully designed adjustment could be both growth- and job-friendly, while pointing out that there is scope to increase environmen-
tal duties and reduce loopholes in the tax system that can prop up revenue. On the expenditure side, the IMF sees room for more effi cient reviews of how funds are spent in areas such as health-care and education.
Serial defi cit off ender Rajoy is seek-ing to meet his budget reduction goal for the fi rst time since arriving in of-fi ce in 2011 after narrowly escaping a fi ne from the European Commission last year. The government is plan-ning on raising close to €5bn ($5.3bn) from companies and by hiking taxes
on items including alcohol and tobacco While the government insists that will be enough to meet its defi cit reduction goal for 2016, further adjustments may be needed next year.
Adding to its recommendations, the IMF said both long-term and youth unemployment continue to be a drag on growth and productivity, noting that almost 60% of those Spaniards with-out a job have been out of work for more than a year. Though unemployment has fallen rapidly over the past years, it re-mains the second highest in the EU.
To tackle the problem, the IMF called for “urgent improvement” in the co-ordination of labour active policies between the central government and regions, while noting that the duality of the labour market — which segre-gates workers by contract type often discriminating temporary workers in favour of permanent staff — could be improved by making permanent hiring more attractive. That could be achieved by providing more legal fl exibility for fi rms over work terms and removing administrative hurdles over dismissals.
Trump says no deals while in office; sons will run companyBloombergWashington
President-elect Donald Trump gave his first clues as to how he’ll step away from his businesses, saying he would put his two sons Don and Eric in charge by Inauguration Day January 20 but off ering no information about his own role.In a series of tweets late Monday night, Trump said he would make no new business deals during his time in the White House. The tweets came on the same day Bloomberg first reported he was postponing a December 15 news conference to announce his business plan. He will instead make an announcement sometime next month before his inauguration, according to transition off icials familiar with the deliberations.He also promised he would hold a press conference “in the near future to discuss the business, Cabinet picks and all other topics of interest. Busy times!”Trump had planned to make the announcement this week but wants more time because he’s been occupied with filling out his cabinet and top administration posts, according to the off icials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.The president-elect has consulted various legal specialists as well as Don McGahn, his pick for White House counsel, about how to deal with his organization, the off icials said. A new date for the announcement hasn’t been set, but it will be before his inauguration on January 20, they said.“Even though I am not mandated by law to do so, I will be leaving my busineses before January 20th so that I can focus full time on the Presidency,” Trump said on Twitter on Monday night. “Two of my children, Don and Eric, plus executives, will manage them. No new deals will be done during my term(s) in off ice.”
Trump’s latest tweets did not mention what role his daughter Ivanka and her husband Jared Kushner might play in either his administration or his businesses. Kushner is one of Trump’s most trusted advisers; and accompanied Trump on his post-election visit to the White House and spoke with President Barack Obama’s aides. The couple has been house hunting in Washington, CNN reported December 5.Trump has about $3.6bn of assets and $630mn of debt held in more than 500 companies, according to a July analysis by Bloomberg. His golf developments, tenant rosters, loans and licensing arrangements tie him to businesses and governments in 20 countries. Those ties risk hobbling his presidency with questions about motives for his policy and may raise constitutional issues.His businesses have been the subject of bipartisan concern since winning the election, and on November 30 he said via Twitter that he would have a news conference December 15 to announce his plans for dealing with potential conflicts of interest. The president-elect tweeted that he would be leaving his business “in total” to focus on the White House. He added that “legal documents are being crafted which take me completely out of business operations,” suggesting he might not be participating in day-to-day to decisions but also didn’t necessarily suggest he was planning a sale.Among those who’ve called on him to sell his companies to avoid conflicts are the ethics lawyers for the George W Bush and Barack Obama administrations. Trump’s refusal to release his tax return has also added to concerns about his commitment to transparency. His next personal financial disclosure, a less detailed document, isn’t due until after he takes off ice.Trump said in an interview with the New York Times last month that sitting presidents “can’t
have a conflict of interest” because the laws don’t apply. While they are exempt from many government ethics laws, some do apply, as does a constitutional prohibition on income and gifts from foreign governments.Even transferring ownership to his adult children is unlikely to quiet Trump’s critics. Norman Ornstein, a political scientist at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative policy group in Washington, has said that Trump has a self-interest in enriching his children. Brad Malt, a partner at Ropes & Gray LLP in Boston, who managed Mitt Romney’s blind trusts during his time as Massachusetts governor, has said that Trump must sell.Already, Trump’s daughter Ivanka, an executive in his organisation, sat in on her father’s meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and participated in a phone call with Argentine President Mauricio Macri. Two other children, Don Jr and Eric, also are Trump Organization executives who also have acted as informal advisers to their father throughout his run and the transition.Trump has also met with Indian business partners since Election Day, and his partner in the Philippines was in Trump Tower while he was talking with potential appointees. The lease for his hotel in Washington appears to bar elected off icials from profiting from the arrangement.Trump’s transition team said December 6 that the president-elect had sold all his stock holdings in June, though it gave no details. Trump said the stock ownership was “a conflict of interest.”Trump has a variety of business interests beyond the real estate and licensing deals for which he’s best known. For example, he’ll remain an executive producer on the upcoming season of “The New Celebrity Apprentice,” the reality show in which he once starred. The show is broadcast on Comcast Corp’s NBC, which is regulated by
the Federal Communications Commission, whose leaders are political appointees. Trump has said he won’t spend any time working on the show, though he’ll be paid and get credited.Estate planners say there are several structures Trump could use to create formal distance between himself and his companies while keeping them in the family. The president-elect could put his businesses into a limited-liability company and sell it to a trust for his children in exchange for a promissory note that would ensure him regular interest payments, said David Scott Sloan, co-chairman of Holland & Knight LLP’s national private-wealth practice. Alternatively, a bank could finance the deal by paying Trump cash and receiving the payments in his stead.That wouldn’t solve concerns that Trump would work to benefit his children, or concerns that he’d talk to them about the business. For that latter problem, the family could appoint an independent trustee charged with enforcing strict confidentiality rules, said John Olivieri, a partner at White & Case LLP in New York.Previous US presidents and vice presidents have also grappled with how to deal with potential conflicts. Dick Cheney sold his shares in Halliburton Co, where he’d served as chairman and chief executive off icer, prior to taking off ice. Jimmy Carter sold his family peanut farm in Georgia. Nelson Rockefeller subjected himself to congressional hearings and to investigation by 400 agents from agencies including the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Internal Revenue Service.A Bloomberg National Poll conducted December 2-5 found that two-thirds of US adults think Trump needs to choose between being president or a businessman. But slightly more — 69% — believe it goes too far to force him and his family to sell their business empire to avoid conflicts of interest.
SAS to cut 1,000 jobs as fuel prices, competition to hamper earnings
BloombergFrankfurt
SAS plans to cut 1,000 adminis-
trative jobs and double its cost-
savings target as the Nordic
airline prepares for rising fuel
prices and intensifying competi-
tion that’s lowering fares and
hampering earnings growth.
Profit in the fiscal first quarter,
which started November 1,
will decline from a year earlier
following “more demanding”
trading conditions in the
autumn autumn, Stockholm-
based SAS said yesterday in a
statement. The airline will try to
reduce spending on operations
by 1.5bn kronor ($164mn) from
2017 to 2019, versus an earlier
target of 800mn kronor, with
the job cuts amounting to about
9.3% of its workforce. It’s also
considering establishing airline
operations outside of its home
markets of Sweden, Norway and
Denmark.
The current fiscal year will be “a
year of many challenges,” chief
executive Rickard Gustafson
said in the company’s annual
report. “While our 70-year his-
tory has contributed to our
strong position, it also means
that structures have been built
that are no longer competitive.
Improving SAS’s eff iciency is a
crucial and existential issue for
the company.”
SAS is focusing on business
travellers seeking a dense
route network and high-quality
services, and is expanding its
long-distance fleet as rivals
including Norwegian Air Shuttle
ASA tap demand for cheaper
tickets in Europe and abroad
for leisure flying. Norwegian is
recruiting crews in places as
remote as Thailand, and earlier
this month received clearance
to operate US routes via one
of its subsidiaries, which will
accelerate its expansion.
Britain sells further 1% of Lloyds shares
ReutersLondon
Britain cut its stake in Lloyds Banking Group to below 7% yesterday in a
fresh attempt to return the lend-er to full private ownership over the next year.
UK Financial Investments Lim-ited (UKFI), which manages the government’s stake in the bailed-out bank, resumed share sales in October, having halted them al-most a year ago because of market turbulence.
Lloyds said in a statement the government has reduced its stake in the bank by about 1 per-centage point to 6.93%. Lloyds was rescued with a £20.5bn tax-payer-funded bailout during the 2007-09 fi nancial crisis, leaving the state holding 43%.
Britain’s fi nance ministry said it has now recovered over £17.5bn ($22.2bn) of the £20.3bn taxpayer injected into the bank during the fi nancial crisis, once share sales and dividends re-ceived are accounted for.
Finance Minister Philip Ham-mond is under pressure to recoup cash from its stake in Lloyds and fellow bailed-out bank Royal Bank of Scotland to relieve a likely shortfall in the nation’s fi nances.
BUSINESSWednesday, December 14, 2016
GULF TIMES
Bull run continues on QSE on oil; index nears 10,400By Santhosh V PerumalBusiness Reporter
There was a sustained bullish mo-mentum on the Qatar Stock Ex-change for the sixth straight ses-
sion yesterday and its key index inched near the 10,400 levels as Brent crude was on a stronger footing on the back of oil production cut from January 1, 2017.
Buying was pronounced, especially in telecom, banking and insurance counters, which lifted the 20-stock Qatar Index 0.67% to 10,397.58 points.
The bullish outlook of foreign in-stitutions helped instil confi dence in the bourse, whose year-to-date losses were contained at mere 0.3%, having widened to about 7% in the recent past.
Trade turnover and volumes were on the decline in the market, where bank-ing, realty and industrials sectors to-gether accounted for about 84% of the total volume.
Large cap equities saw higher de-mand to outperform the bourse, where Gulf institutions turned bearish and local and non-Qatari retail investors became increasingly profi t takers.
Islamic stocks were, however, seen declining vis-à-vis gains in the other indices in the market, where domestic institutions’ net buying weakened.
Market capitalisation gained more than QR4bn or 0.79% to QR559.28bn as large, micro and small cap equities added 0.99%, 0.17% and 0.05% re-spectively, while midcaps fell 0.28%. The Total Return Index rose 0.67% to 16,822.6 points and All Share Index by 0.61% to 2,854.5 points, while Al Rayan Islamic Index fell 0.18% to 3,824.64 points.
Telecom sector saw its index gain 1.53%, banks and fi nancial services (0.91%), insurance (0.83%), transport (0.38%), real estate (0.34%) and in-dustrials (0.33%); whereas consumer goods shrank 0.36%. About 49% of the traded stocks extended gains with major movers being QNB, Commercial Bank, Ooredoo, Qatar Insurance, Doha Bank, Ezdan, Qatar First Bank, Indus-tries Qatar, Aamal Company, Qatar Electricity and Water and Nakilat.
Nevertheless, Mesaieed Petrochem-ical Holding, Gulf International Serv-ices, Vodafone Qatar, Mazaya Qatar, Qatar Islamic Bank, Masraf Al Rayan, United Development Company, Dlala, Islamic Holding Group and Qatari In-vestors Group were among the losers.
Non-Qatari institutions turned net
buyers to the tune of QR57.18mn com-pared with net sellers of QR10.39mn on December 12.
The GCC (Gulf Cooperation Coun-cil) individual investors were also net buyers to extent of QR0.3mn against net sellers of QR0.04mn on Monday.
However, the GCC institutions turned net sellers to the extent of QR11.21mn compared with net buyers of QR40.8mn the previous day.
Domestic institutions’ net buying weakened perceptibly to QR16.25mn against QR23.12mn on December 12.
Local retail investors’ net profi t booking strengthened to QR53.49mn compared to QR47.36mn on Monday.
Non-Qatari individual investors’ net selling increased to QR9.01mn against QR6.12mn the previous day.
Total trade volume fell 26% to 11.09mn shares, value by 25% to QR338.54mn and deals by 24% to 4,507.
There was a 63% plunge in the insur-ance sector’s trade volume to 0.11mn equities, 68% in value to QR4.16mn and 68% in transactions to 82.
The telecom sector’s trade volume
plummeted 53% to 1.2mn stocks, value by 66% to QR15.59mn and deals by 49% to 307.
The industrials sector reported 53% shrinkage in trade volume to 1.53mn shares, 43% in value to QR80.47mn and 32% in transactions to 971.
The real estate sector’s trade volume tanked 27% to 3.63mn equities, value by 25% to QR62.28mn and deals by 32% to 784.
The market witnessed 26% decline in the transport sector’s trade volume to 0.28mn stocks and 10% in value to
QR10.43mn but on less than 1% rise in transactions to 220.
The consumer goods sector’s trade volume was down 8% to 0.23mn shares, value by 37% to QR8.88mn and deals by 20% to 264.
However, the banks and fi nancial services sector saw 26% surge in trade volume to 4.12mn equities and 12% in value to QR156.73mn but on 3% fall in transactions to 1,879.
In the debt market, there was no trading of treasury bills and govern-ment bonds.
The QSE’s market capitalisation gained more than QR4bn or 0.79% to QR559.28bn yesterday as large, micro and small cap equities added 0.99%, 0.17% and 0.05% respectively, while midcaps fell 0.28%.
Qatar cost of living rises 0.1% m-o-m in NovemberBy Santhosh V PerumalBusiness Reporter
Increased expenses towards transport, recreation and clothing led Qatar’s cost of
living, based on consumer price index (CPI), rise 0.1% this No-vember compared to that in the previous month, according to offi cial estimates.
The annual CPI infl ation has however risen 2% year-on-year (y-o-y), mainly on costlier transport, recreation, and hous-ing and utilities, said the fi gures released by the Ministry of De-velopment Planning and Statis-tics.
Transport, which has 14.59% weightage, saw its group index expand 0.8% in November this year compared to the previ-ous month’s level; while it also showed the highest 5.8% in-crease y-o-y. The sector has seen the dismantling of the ad-ministered prices in petrol and diesel.
Recreation and Culture, which have 12.68% weightage in the CPI basket, saw its index gain 0.7% in November 2016 against the previous month’s level and the index had expanded 5.7% y-o-y.
Clothing and footwear, which carry 5.11% weight, saw its group index rise 0.3% month-on-month and it was up 0.6% against November 2015 level.
Restaurants and hotels, which have 6.08% weight, saw a mar-ginal 0.1% increase month-on-month in group index; whereas it reported a fall of 1.7% y-o-y.
However, Food and beverage, which has a weight of 12.58%, saw its group index decline 1.1% month-on-month in Novem-ber 2016 and it had reported a sharper fall of 3.4% y-o-y.
The index of Miscellaneous Goods and Services, which have 5.69% weightage, shrank 0.4% in November this year compared to the previous month, but over-all it shot up 3.7% y-o-y.
Although Furniture and household equipment, which have 7.7% weightage, witnessed a fl at path month-on-month in November 2016, it registered a faster 1.8% gains y-o-y.
Similarly, Housing, water, electricity and other fuels – with a weight of 21.89% — also saw its index remain unchanged in Oc-tober this year against the previ-ous month’s level. The index is however up 1.8% y-o-y.
The CPI of September 2016, excluding “housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels” showed an increase of 2% y-o-y and it was up 0.1% month-on-month.
Health, which carries 1.79% weightage, witnessed fl at path month-on-month in November 2016, while the index had fallen 0.8% y-o-y.
Education, with 5.75% weightage, also treaded a fl at course in November this year month-on-month but reported 3% expansion y-o-y.
Communication, which car-ries 5.87% weight, saw its group index also stay unchanged in November 2016 compared to the previous month’s level; but overall it was up 0.1% y-o-y.
Tobacco, which has 0.27% weight, was unchanged both y-o-y and month-on-month in November this year.
Smart grids’ deployment may help Qatari economic diversification, says Booz Allen Hamilton reportDeploying smart grids can help Qatari economy diversify away from oil and gas, a new report has shown.According to Booz Allen Hamilton, smart grids can help lay the foundations for energy and cost-saving applications and renewable energy development in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region.As Qatar looks towards attaining its National Vision 2030, developing smart cities and harnessing alternative sources of energy production, the Solar Smart-Grid Project launched by the Qatar Foundation (QF) is paving the way for the adoption of solar power as a key energy source for the country, it said.In its latest report ‘Switched on - how Mena can build smart grid success’ Booz Allen states that customising smart grid strategies to suit an organisation’s objectives and mitigate challenges, while focusing on business transformation will determine the successful adoption of smart grids in Qatar.Smart grids are a convergence of the electric
power, communications and IT industries, built on the foundations of advanced metering infrastructure, or AMI — an integrated system that enables two-way communication between utilities and their customers.Using a blend of classic electric grid with information, communication and control technologies, smart grids help utilities companies overcome many of the operating and customer service obstacles that stand in their way, thus delivering results for both companies and consumers.The result is greater control over the production, transmission, distribution and retail of electricity, as well as increased eff iciency along with the reduced consumption and cost of energy.Dr Walid Fayad, executive vice president at Booz Allen Hamilton Mena, said, “Utilities have traditionally been slow to adopt digital technologies, focusing instead on the operations technologies that enable their core business of generating, transmitting and distributing power. In doing so, they have
typically taken a reluctant approach to IT, viewing it as a necessary evil for customer management and revenue collection.“Increasingly, however, we are seeing that Mena utility companies are becoming open to employing smart grid technologies to manage their operations more eff iciently. Smart grids provide an opportunity for the region to modernise its infrastructure and lay the foundations for renewable energy development which can help economic diversification.”The benefits of a smart grid are manifold, including opening up new opportunities for renewable energy production and storage. They also help cost-cutting, system upgrading and maintenance, and improve customer service to end-consumers. Furthermore, smart grids introduce new metering, billing and payment methods, as well as greater access to, and accuracy of, data and information for customers and utilities alike.Several developed countries are already leveraging the smart grid to fulfil a number of
key priorities, which relate primarily to energy eff iciency and reliability. Utilities in North America, for example, have focused on distribution automation and transmission modernisation to fulfil their goals.But alongside any digital innovation come challenges and it is imperative that utilities companies fully understand these before they develop their smart grid strategies.Dr Adham Sleiman, vice-president, Booz Allen Hamilton (Mena) said, “Utility companies must remember that smart grid is not a one-size-fits-all solution. To optimise the investment that utilities make, the smart grid must be tailored to address the specific goals and challenges faced by each organisation.” “For the region’s utilities to be successful in their smart grid strategies, they must take a more eff ective approach to technology selection, proofing and piloting, and focus eff orts on developing solid strategies that take smart grid ambitions beyond the pilot, making tangible and lasting impact on the ground,” Dr Sleiman added.
GCC projects market expected to record $120bn contract awards in 2016: MeedThe Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) projects market is expected to record at best $120bn worth contract awards in 2016, which will be down at least a third over that in the previous year, and the outlook for 2017 appears to be “bleak”, according to Meed.With the year nearly done, the GCC countries have recorded just $96bn worth of awarded contracts compared with $177bn in 2015, said ‘The 2017 GCC Projects Forecast and Review’ research report, published by MEED Insight.“The sharp slowdown, which is set to make 2016 the worst year for project activity since 2004, has come as governments have reacted to lower revenues by severely reducing project expenditure,” it said.Between the first and third quarter of this year, the value of contracts awarded in Qatar was estimated at $10bn compared to $30bn in the UAE, $20bn in Saudi Arabia,
more than $10bn in Kuwait and $5bn each in Oman and Bahrain.Qatar and Saudi Arabia have been worse hit, posting less than half the contract awards they awarded last year, as project activity levels were low in the two countries; while Dubai and Bahrain, the two markets with the lowest oil reserves, saw their activity levels either been maintained or even increased.“With more than $18bn and $6bn worth of contract awards in 2016 to date respectively, Dubai and Bahrain have been able to prosper this year because they are not as dependent on the oil price,” said Ed James, Meed Projects Director of Content and Analysis.The report, which draws on key macroeconomic data, and the latest updates from 8,000 live projects on the region’s leading projects tracking service, Meed Projects, also highlights that those looking for a pick-up
in activity in 2017 may well be disappointed. “Based on the current project pipeline, at best we see up to $152bn worth of contract awards in the GCC next year or at worst just $112bn,” said James, who is also the author of the report.In Dubai, key project clients such as Emaar and Nakheel have developed their own income streams independent of government expenditure and have therefore not been as impacted by reductions in state spending, while Bahrain has been boosted by financial assistance from its neighbours, according to him.He said how the market performs would ultimately depend not just on the oil price but also governments’ desire to improve activity levels and streamline procurement processes. “If they do not, 2017 will continue to be a struggle for many project firms,” he added.
Saudi, UAE retreat ahead of likely US rate hike
ReutersDubai
Stock markets in the Gulf pulled back yesterday as investors turned their attention to an expected US interest rate hike today and the upcoming Saudi Arabian state budget for 2017.In Riyadh, the index declined for a second straight session, falling 0.8%. Trading volume shrank by roughly half from Monday’s very large amount. Dubai’s main index, which rose on Monday to its highest level this year and above technical resistance on its August peak of
3,624 points, pulled back 0.9% to 3,625 points. Trading volume shrunk by roughly a fifth from the previous session but held well above this year’s average, suggesting foreign investors remain interested in the market.Abu Dhabi’s index closed down 0.2% but well above its session low. Trading volume shrank by roughly two-thirds from Monday. The main drag came from blue chips with Union National Bank closing 1.1% lower. Elsewhere in the Gulf, the Kuwait’s index rose 0.6% to 5,672 points, the Bahrain index slipped 0.2% to 1,188 points and the Oman index added 0.6% to 5,732 points.