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Guinea Bissau
Acknowledgments
The (I)NDC Content Briefs were produced by the Climate Policy
Team of the World Bank Climate Change Group. The team was led
by Sebastian Wienges and Ana Bucher under the supervision of
Stephen Alan Hammer. Detail analysis of country (I)NDC was
provided by Tom Witt, Jiawei Song, Karan Chouksey (mitigation
components), Yin Qiu, Yunziyi Lang, and Prajwal Baral (adaptation
components). The team is grateful for all comments and
suggestions received from regional and sector specialists
regarding the presentation and synthesis of relevant information.
© 2016 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433, U.S.A. Internet: www.worldbank.org
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Introduction In response to a growing interest in understanding (Intended) Nationally DeterminedContributions ((I)NDCs) and with regard to the ultimate goal of supporting countries'implementation of their national climate targets, the World Bank Climate Policy Team (WBCPT) has
reviewed all developing countries (I)NDCs' submitted to the UNFCCC. The (I)NDC Content Brief
aims to provide a summary analysis of existing and instead country mitigation and adaptation
policies and plans, commitments and targets, implementation strategies and sector priorities,
associated costs and conditionalities, and stated gaps and needs, among other issues.
The (I)NDC content briefs are created solely on the basis of information from submitted(I)NDCs and makes no inferences about robustness, quality, or viability of intended policiesor actions.
The (I)NDCs review will help implementing organizations like the World Bank Group (WBG) identify
and familiarize with a range of country priorities in terms of sectoral engagement, and needs in
terms of capacity building, technology transfer, and financing. Based on this comprehensive
mapping exercise, the WBG will develop a useful, easytouse, and interactive database and briefs
of all (I)NDCs to inform a wide range of WBG initiatives and client engagement processes, including
the development of Systematic Country Diagnostics (SCDs) and Country Partnership Frameworks
(CPFs), and at a later stage respond to the more specific requests from all WBG Global Practices
(GPs), regions, and country units for the identification of potential development opportunities,
analytical studies and technical assistance to support countries' implementation of planned policies
and actions. Indepth summaries of (I)NDCs by sectors and regions will be prepared at a later stage.
In regards to Adaptation, although no global adaptation mechanism is established, the ParisAgreement parties are required to engage in adaptation planning and implementation of actions
which include preparation of adaptation plans. The Adaptation section of a large number of
submitted (I)NDCs, aims to increase development planning and scale the ability of countries to
adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse
gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten sustainable development. In
addition to requested finance, the implementation of country commitments is largely tied to
significant amounts of external assistance to support development and execution of adaptation
plans. Although subsequent (I)NDCs are not explicitly required to have an adaptation component,
the process will ensure increased resilience is recognized under the UNFCCC and climate finance
mobilization is enhanced with an aim to achieve a balance between adaptation and mitigation flows.
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Table of Contents
I Overall Planning and Preparation Process
II Mitigation
Economywide Targets
Economywide Policies
Mitigation Actions and Policies
III Adaptation
Adaptation Targets
Adaptation Context
Adaptation Actions and Policies
Acronyms
BAU Business as Usual NAMA Nationally Appropriate MitigationActions
CIFPPCR Climate Investment Funds PilotProgram for Climate Resilience
NAP National Adaptation Plan
DRM Disaster Risk Management NAPA National Adaptation Programmesof Action
INDC Intended Nationally DeterminedContributions
REDD+ Reducing emissions fromdeforestation and forestdegradation and the role ofconservation, sustainablemanagement of forests andenhancement of forest carbonstocks in developing countries
LEDS Low Emission DevelopmentStrategy
LULUCF Land Use and Land Use Changeand Forestry
|
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Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Overall Planning and
Preparation Process
How reliable is the prioritization of the (I)NDC? How serious is thegovernment about implementing policies and actions to achieve the (I)NDCtargets?
Political decision of adoption of INDC at:Head of state level
Interministerial level
Parliament
Ministry Level
Technical development of INDC through a participatory processStakeholder involvement
Multisector commision
Have development benefits been assessed and considered in the planningprocess?
Are there climate policies and actions already in place/under development?
LEDS
NAMAS
NAPA YES
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
$N/A
(in Billion USD)
TOTAL COST OF
IMPLEMENTATION (mitigation and adaptation)
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Existing policies:PRSP I National Action Plan to Combat Drought and Desertification (NAP/CDD)
National Second Communication on Climate Change (NSC)
National Adaptation Programmes of Action for Climate Change (NAPA) (2006)
Has the INDC development been supported by a development partner?Technical support
Financial support GEF THROUGH UNEP
Implementation Plans and Needs
Specific requests for international provision of means of implementation:
Technology Transfer YES
Financial support YES
Capacity Building YES
Does the INDC intend the private sector to be involved in theimplementation of the NDC?
Are carbon pricing/international market mechanisms intended?
Are there any barriers identified?HUMAN CAPACITIES AND SKILLS, FINANCES
Link list:• Guinea Bissau INDC Factsheet (projected per capita emissions): http://www.climateenergycollege.net/files/site1/factsheets/GuineaBissau_INDCFactsheet_UoMPRIMAP_GWPAR4.pdf
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Mitigation
ECONOMY-WIDE TARGETS
Coverage of Gases: CO , CH , NOx
Other Targets:
POLICIES:
Develop and establish a legal framework through a national strategy for long-term low-carbondevelopment
Establish and schedule a new forestry policy
Ban the felling and export of timber over the next five years
2 4
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
$200 million by 2020 | $500 million between2020 and 2030
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Develop and establish a legal frameworkthrough a national strategy for long-term low-
carbon development
$200 million by 2020 | $500 million between2020 and 2030
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESECONOMY-WIDE
Policies: INDC page link
Develop and establish a legal framework through a national strategy forlong-term low-carbon development
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESLULUCF/FORESTRY
Policies: INDC page link
Establish and schedule a new forestry policy
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Plans:
LULUCF/Forestry: General P. 5
Sustainable Forest Management
Reforestation P. 10
REDD+ P. 5
Conservation P. 10
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
CONSERVATIONTargets: INDC page link
26% of protected area; Reduce illegal and indiscriminate felling of trees by2030
P. 5
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Policies: INDC page link
Ban the felling and export of timber over the next five years P. 5
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Plans: INDC page link
Forest conservation P. 10
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESENERGY
Targets: INDC page link
80% of universal access to electricity by 2030 P. 6
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Plans:
Renewable Energy: Solar P. 11
Renewable Energy: Wind P. 11
Renewable Energy: Hydro P. 11
Energy Efficiency
Energy: General
Renewable Energy P. 11
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
ENERGY
EFFICIENCYTargets: INDC page link
Reduce energy losses up to 10% by 2030 P. 6
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
RENEWABLE
ENERGYTargets: INDC page link
80% in national energy mix by 2030 P. 6
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Plans: INDC page link
Electric power generation systems from renewable energies; incorporatelargest possible potential of renewable energies in the energy mix
P. 11
Estimated total costs for implementation:
Capacity building needs:
Technology needs:
Unconditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Conditional part of mitigation target:
Estimated costs for implementation:
Emission reduction potential:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
N/A
USD 0.042 Billion
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
Adaptation
ADAPTATION TARGETS
ADAPTATION CONTEXT
Existing National Development/Resilience Policies and Plans
National Communications NATIONAL SECOND COMMUNICATION (NSC)
NAPs YES
NAPAS YES
CIF-PPCRs
Sectoral StrategiesNATIONAL ACTION PLAN TOCOMBAT DROUGHT ANDDESERTIFICATION (NAP/CDD)
Cross-cutting PRSP I
Conditionality:
Unconditional part of adaptation implementation
Conditional part of adaptation implementation
Conditional upon international provision of meansof implementation
YES
TARGET YEAR
2025|2030
0.04(in Billion USD)
COST OFIMPLEMENTATION
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
LULUCF/FORESTRY
SUSTAINABLE
FOREST
MANAGEMENT
Target: INDC page link
P. 4
Increase the percentage of protected areas from 15% to 26%
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Conduct a nationwide forest inventoryDevelop an agro-ecological zone and forest managementDevelop a national reforestation and sustainable management of forestand agro forestry ecosystems programme by 2025Promote forestry/plantation of species resistant to drought and lowrainfall by 2030
P. 4
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
SUSTAINABLE
LAND
MANAGEMENT
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Protect soil from water and wind erosion
P. 5
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
COASTAL ZONE
SEA-LEVEL RISE
PROTECTION
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Protect coastal zone from rising sea levels
P. 5
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
COASTAL
MANAGEMENTActions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Develop an Integrated Management Programme for the Coastal Zone by2025
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
ENERGY
RENEWABLE
ENERGY
Target: INDC page link
80% renewable energy in the national energy mix by 2030
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
ENERGY
EFFICIENCYTarget: INDC page link
Reduce energy losses up to 10% in the 2030 time span
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
ENERGY ACCESSTarget: INDC page link
80% of universal access to electricity by 2030
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
WATER
WATER
CONSERVATION
AND REUSE
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Capture and storage of rainwater (water retention basins and mini-dams)for water management in the dry season
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
AGRICULTURE
CROPS
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Introduce short- cycle and drought resistant seeds
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
FOOD SECURITYActions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Hydro-agricultural PlanningConstruction of grain banks and seeds
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
CLIMATE SMART
AGRICULTUREActions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Introduction of farming techniques resilient to the effects of climate change
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
LIVESTOCKActions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Introduction of rapid growth fodder plant for animal feeding
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
CROSS-CUTTING AREA
CLIMATE RISK
MANAGEMENT
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Preparation of contingency plans for the management of climate risks andnatural disasters
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
national database (hydrological, hydrogeological, forest surveys)surveillance and monitoring units of long-
term climate parameterseffective systems of weather andhydrological forecastsnational centre specializing in research onclimate changematerial resources for collection, filing,
analysis and communication (gis, remotesensing, etc.) at national level
Capacity Building:
education, training and research on climatechange in particular with regard to thevulnerability and adaptation dimensionsspecialized staff in the field of climatechange
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
CLIMATE SERVICESTotal Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group
n/a
n/a
Total Implementation Cost for UnconditionalActions: n/a
Total Implementation Cost for ConditionalActions: n/a
Technology Transfer:
Capacity Building: n/a
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | Guinea Bissau | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution
ADAPTATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES
URBAN
SUSTAINABLE
URBAN PLANNING
Actions:
CONDITIONAL ACTIONS: INDC page link
Improve infrastructure (roads, bridges, houses, etc)
P. 6
Funder
Implementing Agency
Cost Estimation
Total Implementation Cost per Subsector:
Implementation Needs:
Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group