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  • 8/20/2019 Gundlach Jan 12 Presentation Open

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    Live Webcast Hosted By:

    Jeffrey GundlachChief Executive Officer

    DoubleLine Capital

    January 12, 2016

    Just Markets

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 2

    TAB I – The Fed

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    Source: Bianco Research

    S&P 500 Index = Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX ) is a capitalized-weighted index of 500 U. S. stocks. It’s designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the

    aggregate market value of 500 stocks. 30-yr Tsy = n20 year U. S Treasury bond (GT30) is the U.S. Treasury issued 30 year government bond. 3mo Bill = the U.S. government national 3 month treasury

    bill. CRB =Commodity Research Bureau spot indices which includes a basket of over 20 commodities. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    Worst Years of Major Asset Classes

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 4

    Central Bank Policy RatesJanuary 1, 2006 through December 31, 2015

    Source: Minack

    OECD Countries = Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development. NZ = New Zealand, You cannot invest directly in an index.

     %

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 6

    Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLineQE = Quantitative Easing. bps = basis points. GDP = gross domestic product or the number of goods and services produced within a given country. YoY = year-over-year. EU = Eurozone which is

    comprised of 27 countries across Europe. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    The Difference Between Hiking and QE Infinity

    60 bps of GDP?December 31, 2010 - September 30, 2015

    2.20%

    1.60%

    -1.5%

    -1.0%

    -0.5%

    0.0%

    0.5%

    1.0%

    1.5%

    2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    3.5%

       G   D   P   Y   o   Y   %

       C    h   a   n   g   e

       D   e   c   e   m    b   e   r   3   1 ,   2   0   1   0  -   S

       e   p   t   e   m    b   e   r   3   0 ,   2   0   1   5

    US Real GDP YoY

    EU Real GDP YoY

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    FOMC Fed Funds Forecast RevisionsDecember 15, 2015 through Forecasted 2018

    Source: Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), DoubleLine

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    3.00

    3.50

    4.00

    2015 2016 2017 2018

       F   e    d   F   u   n    d   s   F   O   M   C   M   e    d   i   a   n   F   o   r   e   c   a   s   t    (   %    )

       M   a

       r   c    h   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g  -   D   e   c   e   m    b   e

       r   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g

    March Meeting

    December Meeting

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    U.S. Wage Growth and Fed Funds TargetDecember 31, 1986 through December 31, 2015

    -1

    1

    3

    5

    7

    9

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

         1     9     8     6

         1     9     8     6

         1     9     8     7

         1     9     8     8

         1     9     8     9

         1     9     9     0

         1     9     9     1

         1     9     9     1

         1     9     9     2

         1     9     9     3

         1     9     9     4

         1     9     9     5

         1     9     9     6

         1     9     9     6

         1     9     9     7

         1     9     9     8

         1     9     9     9

         2     0     0     0

         2     0     0     1

         2     0     0     1

         2     0     0     2

         2     0     0     3

         2     0     0     4

         2     0     0     5

         2     0     0     6

         2     0     0     6

         2     0     0     7

         2     0     0     8

         2     0     0     9

         2     0     1     0

         2     0     1     1

         2     0     1     1

         2     0     1     2

         2     0     1     3

         2     0     1     4

         2     0     1     5

       %

       Y   o   Y   %   C    h   a   n

       g   e

    Hourly Earnings*

    FED FUNDS Target (RHS)

    *Total Private Hourly Earnings; Non-Farm Pre-2007

    Source: DoubleLine; Bloomberg; Minack Advisors

    RHS = right hand side. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    High Yield Spreads Wider than Prior First Rate Hike in Past CyclesFebruary 1994, June 1999, June 2004 and Today

    Spreads = the Spread between High Yield and Treasury yields.

    HY Spreads refers to Citigroup US High Yield Market Index which is U.S. dollar-denominated index that measures the performance of high yield debt issued by corporations domiciled in the U.S. and

    Canada. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Wu-Xia Shadow Federal Funds RateDecember 31, 2003 to December 31, 2015

    SourWu-Xia is a model used by the Federal Reserve to models short-term interest rates is the maximum of the shadow federal funds rate and a lower bound calibrated to be 25 basis points on both

    required and excess reserve balances during the December 16, 2008 to December 15, 2015, period when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) set the target range for the federal funds rateat 0 to 24 basis points. Basis point = one hundredth of one percent. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    FOMC Core PCE Forecast Revisions

    Source: Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting December 15-16, 2015, DoubleLineCore PCE = Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy prices. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    2015 2016 2017 2018

       C   o   r   e   P   C   E   F   O   M   C   M

       e    d   i   a   n   F   o   r   e   c   a   s   t    (   %    )

       M   a   r   c    h   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g  -   D

       e   c   e   m    b   e   r   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g

    March Meeting

    December Meeting

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    FOMC PCE Forecast Revisions

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    2015 2016 2017 2018

       P   C   E   F   O   M   C   M   e    d   i   a   n   F   o   r   e   c   a   s   t    (   %    )

       M   a   r   c    h   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n

       g  -   D   e   c   e   m    b   e   r   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g

    March MeetingDecember Meeting

    Source: Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting December 15-16, 2015, DoubleLinePCE = Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the primary measure of all consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Core Inflation (YoY)

    Source: BAML (BofA/Merrill Lynch)

    YoY = year-over-year. DM = Developed Market countries that is developed in terms of its economy and capital markets (U.S., Canada, Japan, Germany, U.K., France). EM = Emerging Markets and includes

    countries that have characteristics of a developed market but does not meet the standards to be a developed market. (Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia). US = United States You cannot invest directly

    in an index.

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    U.S. Breakevens and WTIJanuary 4, 2014 to January 4, 2016

    Source: BAML (BofA/Merrill Lynch), Global Economics 2016 Year Ahead, Easy in, Easy Out

    Breakevens = They are calculated by subtracting the real yield of the inflation linked maturity curve form the yield of the closest nominal Treasury maturity. WTI = West Texas Crude oil spotprice based on futures. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Contribution to U.S. CPIJanuary 1, 2000 to December 1, 2015

    Source: Minack Advisors

    CPI = Consumer price index measures the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food and medical care. You cannot invest directly in anindex.

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    FOMC GDP Forecast Revisions

    Source: Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), DoubleLineGDP = Gross Domestic Product is the monetary value for all the finished goods and services produced within a given country.

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    3.00

    2015 2016 2017 2018

       G   D   P   F   O   M   C   M   e    d   i   a   n   F   o   r   e   c   a   s   t    (   %    )

       M   a   r   c    h   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g  -   D

       e   c   e   m    b   e   r   2   0   1   5   M   e   e   t   i   n   g

    March Meeting

    December Meeting

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    World Growth Forecasts (GDP)As of December 31, 2015 Projected 2016

    Source: Bianco ResearchGDP = Gross Domestic Product is the monetary value for all the finished goods and services produced within a given country.

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    Atlanta Fed GDP Now Q4: 2015 Forecast

    Source: Atlanta Federal Reserve as of December 31, 2015, Bianco Research

    GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. Blue-chip consensus = Is a monthly survey and associated publication by the Blue Chip Publicationsdivision of Aspen Publishers collecting macroeconomic indicator of the health of the U.S. economy. SAAR = Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Atlanta Fed GDP Forecast vs. Actual GDPJanuary 10, 2013 through January 8, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    GDDCAFJP = Atlanta Fed GFPNow Forecasts that provides an estimate of overall economic activity in an economy. GDP CQOQ Index = Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecasts. GDP US Chained 2009Dollars quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). GDP = Gross Domestic Product is the amount of goods and services produced within a given country. You cannot invest directly in an index .

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    U.S. Nominal GDP (YoY)December 31, 1990 to September 30, 2015

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg, Reported Quarterly as of September 30, 2015

    GDP CURY Index = U.S. GDP in Nominal Dollars year-over-year, seasonally adjusted. GDP = the amount of goods and service produced within a given country/ territory. Yoy = year-over-year. You

    cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

    GDP = Gross Domestic Product. The monetary value of goods and services produced within a country’s borders. Nominal GDP is not adjusted for inflation. YoY = Year-over-Year. SA = Seasonally

    adjusted. UST = U.S. Treasury. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U.S. Nominal GDP (YoY) % Change vs. 10-year UST YieldsMarch 31, 1947 through September 30, 2015

    %

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

         1     9     4     7

         1     9     4     9

         1     9     5     1

         1     9     5     4

         1     9     5     6

         1     9     5     8

         1     9     6     1

         1     9     6     3

         1     9     6     5

         1     9     6     8

         1     9     7     0

         1     9     7     2

         1     9     7     5

         1     9     7     7

         1     9     7     9

         1     9     8     2

         1     9     8     4

         1     9     8     6

         1     9     8     9

         1     9     9     1

         1     9     9     3

         1     9     9     6

         1     9     9     8

         2     0     0     0

         2     0     0     3

         2     0     0     5

         2     0     0     7

         2     0     1     0

         2     0     1     2

         2     0     1     4

    U.S. GDP Nominal Dollars YoY SA

    10y U.S. Treasury Bond Yield

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    ISM Manufacturing and Services PMINovember 14, 2001 to January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

    ISM Manufacturing = an index based on surveys of more than 300 manufacturing firms by the Institute of Supply Management. It monitors employment, production inventories, new orders andsupplier deliveries. PMI = Purchase Managers Index is an indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector of the economy. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    *Shaded areas indicate recessions

    55.9

    48.2

    55.3

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    ISM Manufacturing Indicating Lower GDPDecember 31, 2003 through December 31, 2015

    -4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

       Y   o   Y   C    h   a   n   g   e   i   n   N   o   m

       i   n   a    l   U   S   G   D   P

       D   e   c   e   m    b   e   r   3   1 ,   2   0   0   3  -   S   e

       p   t   e   m    b   e   r   3   0 ,   2   0   1   5

       I   S   M   M   a   n   u    f   a   c

       t   u   r   i   n   g   I   n    d   e   x

       D   e   c   e   m    b   e   r   3   1 ,   2   0   0   3  -   D   e   c   e   m    b   e   r   3   1 ,   2   0   1   5

    ISM Manufacturing Index (LHS)

    YoY Change in Nominal US GDP (RHS)

    Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

    ISM Manufacturing = an index based on surveys of more than 300 manufacturing firms by the Institute of Supply Management. It monitors employment, production inventories, new orders and supplier

    deliveries. LHS = left hand side. YoY = year-over-year. GDP = the amount of goods and service produced within a given country. Nominal GDP = a gross domestic product (GDP) figure that has not beenadjusted for inflation. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 24

    USD Denominated HY Debt IssuanceJanuary 1, 2000 to September 30, 2015

    Source: Minack Advisors

    RHS = right hand side. GDP = the amount of goods and service produced within a given country. USD = U.S. Dollar. HY = High Yield. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    TAB II – Global Economy

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    Commodity PricesJanuary 9, 1996 to January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    BCOM Index= Bloomberg Commodity Index is calculated on an excess return basis and reflects commodity futures price movements with monthly rebalancing. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    MSCI EM and CommoditiesJanuary 12, 2000 to January 8, 2016

    Source: BloombergMXEF Index = Is the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free-float weighted equity index. SPGSCI = S&P GSCI Commodities Spot Index is widely recognized as a leading indicator of general price

    movements and inflation in the world economy. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Emerging Market EquitiesJanuary 12, 2006 to January 8, 2016

    468

    831882 883 918 910

    Source: DoubleLine, BloombergMXEF = MSCI Index is a free float weighted equity index . You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Brazil GDPDecember 31, 1999 through September 30, 2015

    Source: BloombergBZGDYOY Index = Brazil Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the final market value of all goods and services produced within a country. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Share of World GDP (%)As of June 30, 2015

    Source:RBS Macro Credit Research, Angus Maddison, University of GroningenNote: Others include Non-Asain ancient civilizations (Greece, Egypt, Turley, Iran)

    GDP= The amount of goods and services produced within a given country.. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 31

    Country Demand for Commodity Usage 2015 ForecastAs of July 31, 2015

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    Shanghai CompositeJanuary 12, 2006 through January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    SHCOMP = Shanghai composite index is a capitalized-weighted index. The index tracks the daily price performance of all A-shares and B-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    1.12.16 Just Markets Webcast - 33

    Source: Zero Hedge

    China May Not Bounce BackAs of August 20, 2013; Projections through 2050

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    Chinese Yuan Nominal Effective Exchange RateJanuary 4, 2011 to January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    JBDNCNY = JP Morgan China Nominal Broad Effective Exchange Trade-Weighted Rate.You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    RMB: Onshore vs. OffshoreAugust 2, 2010 to January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    RMB = Chinese Renminbi. CNY REGN Curncy = The Chinese renminbi (yuan) is the official currency of the People’s Republic of China. The U.S. dollar is the official currency of the United States. CNH

    Curncy = Is the off-shore delivered Chinese Renminbi (Yuan). The U.S. dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.You cannot invest directly in an index.

    On-Shore

    Off-Shore

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    TAB III –

    U.S. Interest Rates

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    U.S. 2-Year TreasuryJanuary 12, 2011 through January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LPGT02 = US 2 Year Treasury Bond. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LP

    GT5 = US 5 Year Treasury Bond. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U.S. 5-Year TreasuryJanuary 12, 2011 through January 11, 2016

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    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LPGT10 = US 10 Year Treasury Bond. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U.S. 10-Year TreasuryJanuary 12, 2011 through January 11, 2016

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    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LP

    GT30 = US 30 Year Treasury Bond. You cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

    U.S. 30-Year TreasuryJanuary 12, 2011 through January 11, 2016

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    Short Rates - LIBORJanuary 12, 2011 through January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg, DoubleLine

    LIBOR = London Interbank Offered Rate – ICE Benchmark Administration Fix ing for US dollar. The fixing is conducted each day at 11 am and released at 11:45 am (London time). The rate is an

    average derived from the quotations provided by the banks determined by the ICE benchmark Administration. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    1M

    3M

    6M

    12M

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    TAB IV –

    Energy

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    Junk BondsJanuary 12, 2011 to January 11, 2016

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg

    JNK = SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF in an exchange-traded incorporated in the U.S. It seeks investment results that correspond to the price and yield of the Barclays High Yield Very Liquid Bond Index.Please see the appendix for prospectus link, description, expenses, etc. for JNK. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    Source: JP Morgan

    S&P 500 Index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. U..S. High Yield spreads

    refers to Bloomberg USD High Yield Corporate Bond Index (BUHY) Index high Yield market is rules-based market-weighted index engineered to measure publicly issued non-investment grade USD fixedrate, taxable, corporate bonds. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    S&P 500 vs. HY SpreadsJanuary 1, 1990 to January 4, 2016

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    S&P 500 Net Profit MarginJanuary 1, 1973 through March 31, 2015

    Source: S&P 500 Index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. Bp =basis point. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    U.S. Wages and Business Pay ExpectationsJanuary 1, 1986 to January 4, 2016

    LHS = Left hand side. NFIB = National Federation of Independent Business is America’s leading small business association. You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    S&P 500 12 Month Trailing Earnings-Per-Share (EPS)January 11, 2001 through January 8, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg. S&P 500 Index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.You cannot invest directly in an index.

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    U.S. Dollar Index SpotJanuary 9, 2006 through January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LPDXY = DXY is the US Dollar Index (USDX) indicates the general value of the US dollar. Average exchange rates between the US dollar and six major world currencies. An investment cannot be made directly in an

    index.

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    U.S. Dollar During Fed Hiking Cycles

    SourceLJPMorganJPM USD Index are investable versions of trade-weighted indices produced by JPMorgans Economics since the 1970s. TCIs /Tradable Currency Indices are available for 17 countries in the G-10 and

    emerging markets. An investment cannot be made directly in an index.

    i h i ld d l & i i d

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    High Yield, HY Energy, and HY Metals & Mining SpreadsOctober 1, 2010 through January 8, 2016

    Source: BAML; DoubleLine

    HY = High Yield. GOVT OAS = government option adjusted spreads is the yield spread which has to be added to a benchmark yield curve to discount a security’s payments to match its market priceusing a dynamic pricing model that accounts for embedded options.

    300

    500

    700

    900

    1100

    1300

    1500

       G   O   V   T   O   A

       S

    U.S. Corp High Yield Spreads

    HY HY Energy HY Metals & Mining

    U S Corporate Investment Grade Spreads:

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    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

         D    e    c  -     1     0

         M    a    r  -     1     1

         J    u    n  -     1     1

         S    e    p  -     1     1

         D    e    c  -     1     1

         M    a    r  -     1     2

         J    u    n  -     1     2

         S    e    p  -     1     2

         D    e    c  -     1     2

         M    a    r  -     1     3

         J    u    n  -     1     3

         S    e    p  -     1     3

         D    e    c  -     1     3

         M    a    r  -     1     4

         J    u    n  -     1     4

         S    e    p  -     1     4

         D    e    c  -     1     4

         M    a    r  -     1     5

         J    u    n  -     1     5

         S    e    p  -     1     5

         D    e    c  -     1     5

       G   O   V   O

       A   S

    U.S. Corp IG Spreads

    US IG Corp

    IG Energy

    IG Metals & Mining

    U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Spreads:

    Energy, Metals & Mining SpreadsDecember 1, 2010 through January 8, 2016

    Source: BAML; DoubleLine

    IG = Investment Grade. GOVT OAS = government option adjusted spreads is the yield spread which has to be added to a benchmark yield curve to discount a security’s payments to match its market

    price using a dynamic pricing model that accounts for embedded options.

    d & k d

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    Investment Grade & Junk BondsJanuary 12, 2015 to January 11, 2016

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg

    JNK = SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF in an exchange-traded incorporated in the U.S. It seeks investment results that correspond to the price and yield of the Barclays High Yield Very Liquid

    Bond Index. Please see the appendix for prospectus link, description, expenses, etc. for JNK. DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund owns 0% JNK as of September 8, 2015. You cannot invest directlyin an index.

    N th A i C i L i M

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    North American Companies Losing MoneyJanuary 1, 1985 to December 31, 2015

    NA = net assets. RHS = right hand side. LTM = Loan-to-Maturity. HY = high yield. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U d /D d R i f All R d B d

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    Upgrade/Downgrade Ratio for All Rated BondsDecember 31, 1990 through June 30. 2015

    You cannot invest directly in an index.

    L d L A P i

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    Leveraged Loans Average PriceJanuary 11, 2015 through January 11, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    SPBLDALB Index = S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index Price is the market value-weighted index that measures performance of U.S. Leveraged Loan market. SPBDLLB index = S&P/ LSTA US Leverage

    Loan 100 Index Price is designed to reflect the performance of the largest facilities in the leveraged loan market. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    WTI and High Yield Energy

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    WTI and High Yield EnergyOctober 1, 2012 through January 4, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg Financial Services, DoubleLine Capital LP

    DXY = DXY is the US Dollar Index (USDX) indicates the general value of the US dollar. Average exchange rates between the US dollar and six major world currencies. An investment cannot be made

    directly in an index.LHS = Left Hand Side; RHS = Right Hand Side

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    160020

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

       O   A   S   t   o   L   i    b   o   r    (   I   n   v   e   r   t   e    d   S   c   a    l   e    )

       O   c   t   o    b   e   r   1 ,   2   0   1   2  -   J   a   n   u   a   r   y   4 ,   2   0   1   5

       W   T   I   A   c   t   i   v   e   C   o   n   t   r   a   c   t   P   r   i   c   e   U   S   D

       O   c   t   o    b   e   r   1 ,   2   0   1   2  -   J   a   n   u   a   r   y   4 ,   2   0   1   5

    WTI Active Contract Price (LHS)

    BofA ML High Yield Energy Index OAS to Libor (RHS)

    L At All Ti Hi h

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    Leverage At All Time HighDecember 31, 1998 through December 31, 2015

    Source: BAML Global Research, The HY Wire, 2016 Outlook: May the odds be ever in your favor

    HY = High Yield. An investment cannot be made directly in an index.

    YoY EBITDA Growth is Anemic

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    YoY EBITDA Growth is AnemicDecember 31, 1998 through December 31, 2015

    Source: BAML Global Research, The HY Wire, 2016 Outlook: May the odds be ever in your favor

    HY = High Yield. YoY = year-over-year. ebita = earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Pct = %. An investment cannot be made directly in an index.

    U S Crude Oil Inventories

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    U.S. Crude Oil InventoriesAugust 20, 1982 through January 1, 2016

    Source: Bloomberg

    SMAV = Moving average for the period indicated: 50, 100 or 200 days. DOESCRUD = DOE Crude oil total inventory data is updated every Wednesday. Information is provided by the EnergyInformation Administration as part of their weekly petroleum status report. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U S Crude Oil Inventories by Year

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    U.S. Crude Oil Inventories by Year

    250,000

    300,000

    350,000

    400,000

    450,000

    500,000

    550,000

    1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

    Weeks

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Source: Bloomberg; 2015 is through October 31, 2015

    DOESCRUD = DOE Crude oil total inventory data is updated every Wednesday. Information is provided by the Energy Information Administration as part of their weekly petroleum status report.You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U S Crude Oil Production vs Crude Oil Prices

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    U.S. Crude Oil Production vs. Crude Oil PricesJanuary 15, 2010 through January 1, 2016

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg

    DOETCRUD Index = DCE Crude Oil Total Production data tracks weekly barrels of petroleum status released by the Energy Information Administration. CL1 Comdty = generic crude oil futurescurrent contract. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    U S Crude Supply and Demand

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    U.S. Crude Supply and DemandNovember 30, 1998 through November 30, 2015

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg

    OPCBRTOT Index = Data obtained form the Energy Intelligence Group’s monthly oil Market Intelligence publication. Data includes estimated OPEC and Non-OPEC oil production statistics as well as

    global oil supply. OPCBTSUP Index = Data obtained from Energy Group’s monthly oil Market Intelligence e publication of total supply data. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    Fed B/S vs. US Oil Production:

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    Fed B/S vs. US Oil Production:

    Evidence of Malinvestment? Where else?

    Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg

    FARBAST index = U.S. Condition of All Federal Reserve Banks Total Assets tracks the aggregate assets and liabilities of banks within an economy (including private/commercial banks, central banks

    or both) CROMUS = DOE EIA US Crude Oil Production (MBPD) is monthly and annual U.S. crude oil production data by state and regio n as estimated by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy

    information Administration. Monthly data is on a 2-4 month lag. You cannot invest directly in an index.

    Disclaimer

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    Disclaimer

    Important Information Regarding This ReportThis report was prepared as a private communication to clients and was not intended for public circulation. Clients may authorize distribution to their consultants

    or other agents.

    Issue selection processes and tools illustrated throughout this presentation are samples and may be modified periodically. Such charts are not the only tools used

    by the investment teams, are extremely sophisticated, may not always produce the intended results and are not intended for use by non-professionals.

    DoubleLine has no obligation to provide revised assessments in the event of changed circumstances. While we have gathered this information from sources

    believed to be reliable, DoubleLine cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided. Securities discussed are not recommendations and are presented

    as examples of issue selection or portfolio management processes. They have been picked for comparison or illustration purposes only. No security presented

    within is either offered for sale or purchase. DoubleLine reserves the right to change its investment perspective and outlook without notice as market conditions

    dictate or as additional information becomes available. This material may include statements that constitute “forward-looking statements” under the U.S.

    securities laws. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, projections, estimates, and information about possible or future results related to a

    client’s account, or market or regulatory developments.

    Important Information Regarding Risk FactorsInvestment strategies may not achieve the desired results due to implementation lag, other timing factors, portfolio management decision-making, economic or

    market conditions or other unanticipated factors. The views and forecasts expressed in this material are as of the date indicated, are subject to change without

    notice, may not come to pass and do not represent a recommendation or offer of any particular security, strategy, or investment. All investments involve risks.

    Please request a copy of DoubleLine’s Form ADV Part 2A to review the material risks involved in DoubleLine’s strategies. Past performance is no guarantee of

    future results.

    Important Information Regarding DoubleLine

    In preparing the client reports (and in managing the portfolios), DoubleLine and its vendors price separate account portfolio securities using various sources,including independent pricing services and fair value processes such as benchmarking.

    To receive a complimentary copy of DoubleLine Capital’s current Form ADV (which contains important additional disclosure information, including risk

    disclosures), a copy of the DoubleLine’s proxy voting policies and procedures, or to obtain additional information on DoubleLine’s proxy voting decisions, please

    contact DoubleLine’s Client Services.

    Disclaimer

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    Disclaimer

    Important Information Regarding DoubleLine’s Investment StyleDoubleLine seeks to maximize investment results consistent with our interpretation of client guidelines and investment mandate. While DoubleLine seeks to

    maximize returns for our clients consistent with guidelines, DoubleLine cannot guarantee that DoubleLine will outperform a client's specified benchmark.

    Additionally, the nature of portfolio diversification implies that certain holdings and sectors in a client's portfolio may be rising in price while others are falling; or,

    that some issues and sectors are outperforming while others are underperforming. Such out or underperformance can be the result of many factors, such as but

    not limited to duration/interest rate exposure, yield curve exposure, bond sector exposure, or news or rumors specific to a single name.

    DoubleLine is an active manager and will adjust the composition of client’s portfolios consistent with our investment team’s judgment concerning market

    conditions and any particular security. The construction of DoubleLine portfolios may differ substantially from the construct ion of any of a variety of bond market

    indices. As such, a DoubleLine portfolio has the potential to underperform or outperform a bond market index. Since markets can remain inefficiently priced for

    long periods, DoubleLine’s performance is properly assessed over a full multi-year market cycle.

    Important Information Regarding Client ResponsibilitiesClients are requested to carefully review all portfolio holdings and strategies, including by comparing the custodial statement to any statements received from

    DoubleLine. Clients should promptly inform DoubleLine of any potential or perceived policy or guideline inconsistencies. In particular, DoubleLine understands

    that guideline enabling language is subject to interpretation and DoubleLine strongly encourages clients to express any contrasting interpretation as soon aspractical. Clients are also requested to notify DoubleLine of any updates to Client’s organization, such as (but not limited to) adding affiliates (including broker

    dealer affiliates), issuing additional securities, name changes, mergers or other alterations to Client’s legal structure.

    DoubleLine Group is not a registered investment adviser with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).

    DoubleLine® is a registered trademark of DoubleLine Capital LP.

    © 2016 DoubleLine Capital

    J t M k t

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    Live Webcast Hosted By:

    Jeffrey GundlachChief Executive OfficerDoubleLine Capital

    January 12, 2016

    Just Markets