h special plays of the week

H

Inside the Pressbox WEEK 1B

UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet

H Southern Miss (+1.5)HIGH SCORING POW

No Selection this week

Phil Steele’s Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEKSPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK

H

H

H

173 INDIANA 3:30 p.m.174 IOWA 175 MIAMI, OH 3:30 p.m.176 CINCINNATI 177 MARSHALL 3:30 p.m.178 NAVY179 ALABAMA 3:30 p.m. Atlanta180 MIAMI, FL 181 MASSACHUSETTS 4:00 p.m.182 PITTSBURGH 183 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 4:00 p.m.184 MISSOURI185 LOUISIANA TECH 4:00 p.m.186 MISSISSIPPI ST 187 LOUISIANA 4:30 p.m.188 TEXAS 189 SAN JOSE ST 5:00 p.m.190 USC 191 OREGON ST 7:00 p.m.192 PURDUE193 TEXAS TECH 7:00 p.m. NRG Stadium194 HOUSTON195 BAYLOR 7:00 p.m.196 TEXAS ST197 SYRACUSE 7:00 p.m.198 OHIO 199 AKRON 7:00 p.m.200 AUBURN201 UTSA 7:30 p.m.202 ILLINOIS 203 FAU 7:30 p.m.204 FLORIDA 205 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 7:30 p.m.206 GEORGIA TECH207 GEORGIA 7:30 p.m. Charlotte208 CLEMSON 209 H SOUTHERN MISS 8:00 p.m.210 SOUTH ALABAMA 211 KENT ST 8:00 p.m.212 TEXAS A&M 213 H LSU 8:30 p.m.214 UCLA

Upset POW

Thursday, September 2nd 135 TEMPLE 6:30 p.m.136 RUTGERS137 BOISE ST 7:00 p.m.138 UCF139 EAST CAROLINA 7:30 p.m. Charlotte140 APPALACHIAN ST141 USF 7:30 p.m.142 NC STATE143 BOWLING GREEN 8:00 p.m.144 TENNESSEE145 OHIO STATE 8:00 p.m.146 MINNESOTAFriday, September 3rd147 NORTH CAROLINA 6:00 p.m.148 VIRGINIA TECH149 OLD DOMINION 7:00 p.m.150 WAKE FOREST151 DUKE 7:00 p.m.152 CHARLOTTE153 MICHIGAN ST 9:00 p.m.154 H NORTHWESTERNSaturday, September 4th155 WESTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m.156 MICHIGAN157 ARMY 12:00 p.m.158 GEORGIA ST159 STANFORD 12:00 p.m. Arlington160 KANSAS ST 161 ULM 12:00 p.m.162 KENTUCKY163 TULANE 12:00 p.m.164 OKLAHOMA 165 PENN ST 12:00 p.m.166 WISCONSIN 167 H RICE 2:00 p.m. 168 ARKANSAS169 FRESNO ST 2:00 p.m.170 OREGON 171 WEST VIRGINIA 3:30 p.m.172 MARYLAND

215 BYU 10:30 p.m. Las Vegas216 ARIZONA217 NEVADA 10:30 p.m.218 CALIFORNIA 219 NEW MEXICO ST 10:30 p.m.220 SAN DIEGO ST 221 UTAH ST 11:00 p.m.222 WASHINGTON ST

Sunday, September 5th223 NOTRE DAME 7:30 p.m.224 FLORIDA ST

Monday, September 6th225 LOUISVILLE 8:00 p.m. Atlanta226 MISSISSIPPI

FBS vs FCS GamesFordham at NebraskaLafayette at Air ForceMontana St at WyomingH Northern Iowa at Iowa StCampbell at LibertyC Arkansas at Arkansas StSouthern at TroyNorthwestern St at N TexasWilliam & Mary at VirginiaH Hawaii vs Portland StGardner Webb at GA SouthernE Illinois at South CarolinaMonmouth at Mid Tenn StMissouri St Oklahoma StNicholls at MemphisAbilene Christian at SMUNorfolk St at ToledoMontana at WashingtonE Tennessee St at VanderbiltDuquesne at TCUBethune-Cookman at UTEP

Wednesday September 1stUAB at Jacksonville StThursday September 2ndH Citadel at Coastal CarolinaLong Island at FIUWestern Illinois at Ball StWagner at BuffaloWeber St at UtahUC Davis at TulsaUT Martin at WKUNew Mexico vs Houston BaptistEast Washington at UNLVS Utah at Arizona StFriday September 3rdSt Francis at E MichiganSouth Dakota KansasN Colorado at ColoradoH Colorado St vs S Dakota St Saturday September 4thColgate at Boston CollegeHoly Cross at UConn

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 112 128 9/4 106 111 118 99 49 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 112 9/4 99 49 5 106 111 1180-0 0-0 99 9/11 124 125 123 0-0 0-0 121 9/11 84 68 180-0 0-0 129 9/18 24 64 45 0 9/18

0 9/25 #87 #86 0-0 0-0 132 9/25 41 50 400-0 0-0 123 10/2 36 66 60 #83 #93 0-0 0-0 145 10/2 4 15 500-0 0-0 137 10/9 46 5 48 #98 #102 0-0 0-0 124 10/9 78 90 116

10/16 #111 #81 0-0 0-0 132 10/16 89 53 740-0 0-0 116 10/23 108 108 85 #32 #80 10/230-0 0-0 130 10/30 10 69 76 #107 #103 1-0 1-0 124 10/30 66 94 490-0 0-0 128 11/6 56 95 44 #55 #82 0-0 0-0 142 11/6 23 16 830-0 0-0 121 11/13 73 48 3 #87 #105 0-0 0-0 141 11/13 30 8 580-0 0-0 129 11/20 51 39 129 #110 #84 0-0 0-0 142 11/20 18 12 90-0 0-0 121 11/27 117 92 120 #86 #45 0-0 0-0 121 11/27 61 77 89

#107 #113-2 +5

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Rutgers Templeat Akron at Syracuse Boston College Delaware Wagner at Michigan Memphis Ohio Stat Cincinnati Michigan St Bye at Northwesternat USF Bye UCF at Illinoisat East Carolina Wisconsin Houston at Indianaat Tulsa at Penn St Navy Maryland

Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Temple Coaches

Rutgers Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Rutgers

Temple Rutgers 409 yards

Temple 34 points

Team Schedule StrengthTemple Rutgers

Rutgers

75

108

20 points

301 yardsProjected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

UCFat East Carolina Houstonat Tulsa

Temple Pts

Rutgers Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Temple

Former Big East rivals but last time they played Nov. 2, 2013. Rutgers leads the series 20-16 and has won the last 4 (2-2 ATS). Last time here (‘13), trailing 20-16, RU stopped Temple on 4&1 w/1:50 left and then scored on 4th&10 from the 33 w/:35 left in a 23-20 victory (-13). Only 63 miles separate these two schools, so Temple could have a decent road following in attendance. Rutgers is a much improved team as Schiano was a first year HC last year with no spring and now has 21 returning starters out of 22 back. Rutgers is just 3-17 SU their last 20 home games. Temple was 8-5 in Rod Carey’s first year but last year they were not able to practice for long stretches and when they finally started their season, they were taking on teams that had played 4 or 5 games already. Temple has 14 returning starters including new QB Dwan Mathis (PS#12) who started the opener for Georgia last year. Rod Carey is 15-7 ATS as an AD and Schiano just 14-18 as a HF.

1.31

Temple OL0.03

0.51

OffenseNet Defense

0.45

Rutgers DLTemple DL

Temple ST's

Rutgers ST's

Rutgers OL

Temple QB/WR

Rutgers DB's

Phil Steele

0.45

Temple K

Rutgers K

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOE

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing137 yards

Team & Margin

208 yards

Temple DB's

Rutgers

0-00-0

Ohio St Michigan Stat Northwestern Bye

Templeat Syracuse Delawareat Michigan

Maryland

164 yards

NCAA RANKINGS2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Temple

Rush Off

Rutgers

Pass Off

Navy

Ret

urn

to

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Con

ten

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36

0.45

Temple

Rutgers

6.52

19Experience Rankings

Temple 201 yards

Temple Rutgers

Rutgers LB's

at USF

at Rutgersat Akron Boston College Wagner

0-0vs. AAC

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Tem

ple

Ow

ls

Ru

tger

s S

carl

et K

nig

hts

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Rutgers Scarlet KnightsScarlet Knights LogsOwls Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

0-0vs. BIG 10

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

Temple Owls

Rutgers by 15

Temple LB'S

Rutgers By 14.5

51.5 Points

Rutgers By 18.5

Memphisat Cincinnati Bye

Rutgers 35 Temple 20

Rutgers 34-20

By 6.07 Points

Rutgers

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

at Illinois Wisconsinat Indianaat Penn St

Position by Position Edges

Rutgers QB/WR

0.77

0.21

Temple RB's

Rutgers By 16.5

Rutgers 409-301

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Rutgers RB's

0.14

3.10

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)

Net

Score


0-0 0-0 126 130 9/4 44 52 10 10 69 76 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 126 9/4 10 69 76 44 52 101-0 0-0 105 9/11 96 115 41 0 9/110-0 0-0 132 9/18 45 36 71 0-0 0-0 130 9/18 63 70 800-0 0-0 110 9/25 101 100 24 #113 #24 9/250-0 0-0 126 10/2 25 62 14 #51 #6 0-0 0-0 121 10/2 117 92 1200-0 0-0 132 10/9 57 78 8 #97 #2 0-0 0-0 128 10/9 56 95 440-0 0-0 125 10/16 82 97 124 #28 #11 0-0 0-0 137 10/16 46 5 48

10/23 #42 #86 0-0 0-0 123 10/23 36 66 600-0 0-0 120 10/30 118 76 92 #66 #96 0-0 0-0 112 10/30 106 111 1181-0 0-0 121 11/6 33 85 126 #40 #122 0-0 0-0 127 11/6 69 72 730-0 0-0 125 11/13 83 46 63 #45 #123 0-0 0-0 123 11/13 29 84 320-0 0-0 116 11/20 94 120 122 #55 #93 0-1 0-0 101 11/20 129 127 1090-0 0-0 121 11/27 85 41 17 #61 #23 0-0 0-0 116 11/26 108 108 85

#75 #29-4 +12



at UCF Boise St UTEP Bethune-Cookman Oklahoma St at Louisvilleat Utah St Bye Nevada at Navyat BYU East Carolina Air Force at Cincinnati Bye Memphisat Colorado St at Templeat Fresno St Tulane Wyoming at SMU New Mexico Connecticutat San Diego St USF

Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 38-38 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0% 38 38-38 38.0 100.0% 38 100.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs. Ucf 559-393

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score 1.50

Boise St ST's

UCF ST's

Ret

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Con

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126 yards Boise St

Phil SteeleUcf by 6

Team & Margin

Team Schedule Strength

Offense

Las Vegas LineUcf By 5.5

0.23

Boise St RB'sUCF DB's

1.02

Net Defense

Boi

se S

t B

ron

cos

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ypg Diff

UC

F K

nig

hts

Boise St UCF

Offense

Total TO's

Boise St QB/WR

UCF LB's

UCF DL

UCF RB's

Bethune-Cookman Oklahoma St at Louisville

New Mexico Score Def Connecticutat San Diego St Sks By USF

at Fresno St Pass Def Tulane Wyoming Total Def at SMU

Bye Sks Allowed Memphisat Colorado St Rush Def at Temple

Boise St OL

Boise St DL

UCF OL

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

UCF KnightsBroncos Logs vs. MTW vs. AAC Knights Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

REC0-0 0-0FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score


TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

REC

at BYU Total Off East Carolina Air Force Score Off at Cincinnati

at Utah St Rush Off Bye Nevada Pass Off at Navy

at UCF 2020 TEAM RANKINGS Boise St UTEP

Boise St UCF

Boise St UCF 364 yards

UCF 195 yards 0.70

Boise St K

UCF KBoise St Coaches

UCF

Projected Rushing

559 yards


UCF Coaches1.25

393 yards Boise StProjected Yardage Total

Boise St 43 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score3.4637 points UCF

Experience Rankings

81 Boise St UCF 69

28 Boise St 80UCFComputer Points

Computer YardsBoise St Pts

3.73

UCF

First meeting. Boise is 8-1 all-time vs current AAC foes, but those meetings all were when those AAC teams were in other leagues. Boise is 4-1 SU (5-0 ATS) in their last 5 road openers. UCF had won four straight home openers before losing last year against Tulsa 34-26. The Knights have had great success at ‘The Bounce House’ over the last 4 years, going 23-2 SU (13-11-1). Just two years ago in QB Hank Bachmeier’s first start Boise came down to the heat and humidity of Florida and upset Florida St 36-31 in the opener. Both teams have new head coaches with Andy Avalos in his first game as head man and UCF HC Gus Malzahn now in his 10th year. Malzahn is 22-26-1 ATS as a HF. Boise is 6-3 ATS as an AD the last 10 years. UCF is led by QB Dillon Gabriel and has brought in some top-notch transfers including Big Kat Williams from Auburn and only has Bethune Cookman on deck.

Phil's Forecast:

68 Points

+/- RatingsUcf By 8.4

Game GradeUcf By 13.8

UCF Pts

0.73

0.32

Las Vegas Total

Boise St LB'S

1.36

UCF QB/WR

0.06

Boise St DB's

Ucf 43-37

UCF 41 Boise St 35By 0.27 Points

OVERALL:

0-0 0-0Boise St Broncos OVERALL:


0-0 0-0 128 126 9/4 56 95 44 37 25 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 126 128 9/4 37 25 28 56 95 440-0 0-0 117 9/11 40 73 62 0-0 0-0 133 9/11 5 17 310-0 0-0 114 9/18 97 61 39 9/18

9/25 #55 #6 0-0 0-0 114 9/25 97 61 390-0 0-0 127 10/2 69 72 73 #67 #103 0-0 0-0 122 10/2 59 101 1140-0 0-0 130 10/9 10 69 76 #58 #22 0-0 0-0 128 10/9 47 33 7

10/16 #50 #29 10/160-0 0-0 121 10/23 73 48 3 #89 #80 0-0 0-0 127 10/23 35 40 870-0 0-0 116 10/30 108 108 85 #101 #49 0-0 0-0 96 10/30 130 126 1300-0 0-0 112 11/6 106 111 118 #86 #14 0-0 0-0 110 11/6 86 112 660-0 0-0 123 11/13 36 66 60 #103 #22 0-0 0-0 106 11/13 122 107 1050-0 0-0 121 11/20 117 92 120 #102 #19 0-0 0-0 122 11/20 80 81 940-0 0-0 137 11/27 46 5 48 #77 #29 0-0 0-0 119 11/27 104 86 90

#86 #13-3 +1



Appalachian St † East Carolina South Carolina at Miami, Flat Marshall Elon Charleston Southern Marshall Tulane at Georgia Stat UCF at Louisiana Bye Byeat Houston Coastal Carolina USF ULM Temple at Arkansas Stat Memphis South Alabamaat Navy at Troy Cincinnati GA Southern


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-AP

OffenseNet

East

Car

olin

a P

irat

es

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

0.71

Appalachian St DB's

Score

1.00

East Carolina OL

East Carolina DL1.12

Appalachian St OL

0.25

East Carolina

244 yards


Appalachian St

27 points

Bye

South CarolinaEast Carolina

Charleston Southern Rush Off

Appalachian St

Pass Off

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

at Navy Score Def at Troy Cincinnati Sks By GA Southern

Temple Pass Def at Arkansas Stat Memphis Total Def South Alabama

at Houston Sks Allowed

at UCF Total Off Bye Score Off

FOE REC

vs. AAC vs. SUN Mountaineers Logs

East Carolina PiratesPirates Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Appalachian St


NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

Elon Marshall

at Miami, Fl

FOE +/-FOE CONF

0-0TM REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS † East Carolina

Coastal CarolinaRush Def ULM

at Georgia Stat Louisiana

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Marshall

Tulane

FOE

Ap

pal

ach

ian

St

Mou

nta

inee

rs

East Carolina QB/WR

Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score352 yards East Carolina

Appalachian St

Score

1.21

Appalachian St LB's

East Carolina RB's

Appalachian St

USF

2.20

East Carolina Pts

Experience RankingsAppalachian St

Appalachian St Pts

Appalachian St DL

164 yards East CarolinaProjected Rushing

1.02

Appalachian St RB's

East Carolina LB'S

East Carolina Appalachian St

Ret

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Con

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Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)

East Carolina


25 East Carolina Appalachian St

Appalachian St by 6 Appalachian St 30 East Carolina 24By 2.17 Points

E Carolina By 1.7

Appalachian St By 9.1

48

Appalachian St 425 yards

33 points


180 yards

115Team Schedule Strength

Appalachian St 425-352

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele71 East Carolina Appalachian St

OVERALL:

Phil's Forecast:

0.23

East Carolina ST's Team & Margin

Appalachian St ST's

East Carolina DB's0.08

Appalachian St QB/WR

These former FCS Southern conf foes meet for the 32nd time (App St 19-12) but 1st meeting as FBS foes. The last meeting was in ‘12 when App St lost 35-13 despite holding a 419-390 edge. The Pirates have won six straight meetings vs App St (‘76-’12) but teams have not met in 9 years. ECU last played at Bank of America Stadium in ‘12 when they faced South Carolina, a 56-37 defeat. East Carolina has 10 starters back on each side of the ball including QB Ahlers and their RB duo of Harris and Mitchell that emerged last year. Shawn Clark was 0-4-1 ATS away from home during the regular season in his first year and has 7 starters back on offense but is breaking in a new QB in Chase Brice. He has 10 starters back on defense. Mike Houston is 5-3 ATS as an AD. App St will have a solid crowd here but this will be a competitive game with a much-improved East Carolina.

Game Grade

East Carolina CoachesAppalachian St K

East Carolina K

Appalachian St Mountaineers0-0 0-0OVERALL:

Appalachian St By 10Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total56.5 Points

4.37

Appalachian St 33-27

Appalachian St Coaches

0.95


0-0 0-0 116 129 9/4 108 108 85 38 13 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 129 116 9/4 38 13 26 108 108 850-0 0-0 135 9/11 32 26 59 0-0 0-0 132 9/11 50 28 51

9/18 9/180-0 0-0 132 9/25 57 78 8 #79 #105 0-0 0-0 146 9/25 6 2 670-0 0-0 123 10/2 29 84 32 #75 #36 0-0 0-0 110 10/2 110 87 98

10/9 #90 #74 10/90-0 0-0 129 10/16 51 39 129 #101 #48 0-0 0-0 129 10/16 24 64 450-0 0-0 112 10/23 106 111 118 #116 #120 0-0 0-0 133 10/23 5 17 310-0 0-0 128 10/30 56 95 44 #109 #78 0-0 0-0 130 10/30 63 70 800-0 0-0 121 11/6 73 48 3 #61 #76 0-0 0-0 127 11/6 26 37 720-0 0-0 137 11/13 46 5 48 #95 #73 0-0 0-0 132 11/13 39 63 650-0 0-0 127 11/20 69 72 73 #121 #64 0-0 0-0 121 11/20 84 68 180-0 0-0 130 11/26 10 69 76 #110 #12 0-0 0-0 136 11/27 9 35 43

#103 #80-4 -6



at NC State USF Florida at Miss St Florida A&M Furmanat BYU Clemsonat SMU Louisiana Tech Bye Bye Tulsa at Boston College Temple at Miami, Flat East Carolina Louisville Houston at Florida St Cincinnati at Wake Forestat Tulane Syracuseat UCF North Carolina


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-


Ret

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Con

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Projected Box Score

78 USF NC State

Offense Defense

US

F B

ulls

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

NC

Sta

te W

olfp

ack

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

at Tulane Score Def Syracuseat UCF Sks By North Carolina

Houston Pass Def at Florida St Cincinnati Total Def at Wake Forest

Temple Sks Allowed at Miami, Flat East Carolina Rush Def Louisville

Bye Total Off Bye Tulsa Score Off at Boston College

FloridaUSF NC State

at Miss St Florida A&M Furman

at NC State 2020 TEAM RANKINGS USF

USF BullsWolfpack Logs

0-0 NC State WolfpackOVERALL:

Score Score


Net

AP

Bulls Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

at BYU Rush Off Clemsonat SMU Pass Off Louisiana Tech

USF OL0.85

NC State DL

USF RB's1.85

NC State LB's

Team & Margin

USF DL1.01

NC State OL

Las Vegas Line

1.06

NC State RB'sUSF DB's

0.56

NC State QB/WRUSF ST's

USF LB'S

Phil's Forecast:

N Car St By 18.5

59 PointsLas Vegas Total

N Car St By 17.2

N Car St By 14.7

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Computer YardsN Car St 457-306

1.50120 yards USFProjected Passing

Projected Rushing USF K

NC StateNC State K

306 yards USF NC State 457 yards

185 yards USFProjected Yardage Total

NC State

USF NC State

1.65

10.56

USF Coaches

NC State Coaches

274 yards

57 N Car St by 17

Computer Points

0.00

USF Pts

NC State Pts44 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score21 points

NC State

NCSt is 2-1 SU all-time vs USF, the last meeting was in 2014. The Wolfpack won 49-17. NCSt has won 11 straight home openers (6-5 ATS). NCSt has won 11 straight vs Non Power 5 foes. HC Scott has familiarity with NCSt as he faced them when he was the OC at Clemson from ‘15-’19. Last time here (‘08) Bulls rolled into town and earned a big 41-10 victory. North Carolina St is the 2nd most talented team in the ACC Atlantic with 19 starters back from an 8-3 squad including a veteran QB and my #11 set of LB’s. USF was one of the unfortunate teams that had a first year head coach last year and no spring practice and went just 1-8 and were outscored by 22 ppg on the road last year. They have 18 starters back with the biggest question mark being the defensive line. They did put up 646 yards vs UCF in the season finale last year and USF is 18-11-1 ATS as an AD the last 10 years. The Wolfpack do have a big game vs Miss St on deck and last year only had one win by more than 11 points. 44 N Car St 44-21

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

67 USF NC State

184 yards


NC State 37 USF 20By 10.56 Points

1.05

NC State

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

USF QB/WR1.04

NC State DB's

USF

vs. AAC vs. ACC0-0

OVERALL:

NC State ST's


0-0 0-0 84 120 9/4 126 128 115 79 65 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 84 9/4 79 65 33 126 128 1150-0 0-0 106 9/11 122 107 105 0-0 0-0 126 9/11 43 21 35

9/18 9/180-0 0-0 134 9/25 27 98 61 #44 #85 0-0 0-0 135 9/25 32 26 590-0 0-0 121 10/2 54 123 127 #118 #84 0-0 0-0 124 10/2 75 74 300-0 0-0 99 10/9 124 125 123 #108 #99 0-0 0-0 117 10/9 40 73 620-0 0-0 112 10/16 114 119 88 #125 #107 0-0 0-0 138 10/16 7 60 1030-0 0-0 117 10/23 107 118 29 #26 #111 0-0 0-0 158 10/23 8 1 10-0 0-0 115 10/30 116 104 112 #129 #41 10/30

11/6 #9 #108 0-0 0-0 125 11/6 67 42 520-0 0-0 119 11/13 72 51 113 #118 #69 0-0 0-0 145 11/13 3 4 20-0 0-0 120 11/20 113 103 91 #127 #72 0-0 0-0 106 11/20 122 107 1050-0 0-0 123 11/27 88 110 54 #110 #52 0-0 0-0 112 11/27 111 116 106

#119 #96-10 -5



at Tennessee Bowling Green South Alabama Pittsburgh Murray St Tennessee Techat Minnesota at Floridaat Kent St at Missouri Akron South Carolinaat Northern Illinois Mississippi Eastern Michigan at Alabamaat Buffalo at Bye Bye at Kentucky Toledo Georgiaat Miami, OH South Alabama Ohio Vanderbilt


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Buffalo Rush Def at Bye

1.92

Tennessee DL

Net Offense Defense

Bow

ling

Gre

en F

alco

ns

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ten

nes

see

Vol

un

teer

s

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOETEAM --PS RANK--

0-0OVERALL: OVERALL: Tennessee Volunteers0-0

Defense

Score Score

TM +/-

Akronat Northern Illinois

at Minnesotaat Kent St Pass Off at Missouri

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Bowling Green South Alabama

Bowling Green Tennessee Pittsburgh

Murray St Tennessee Tech

at Tennessee

at Miami, OH Score Def Ohio Sks By Vanderbilt

Bye Pass Def at Kentucky Toledo Total Def Georgia

Eastern Michigan Sks Allowed

TM +/-0-0 FOE

Total Off South CarolinaScore Off Mississippi

Rush Off at Florida

APTM REC FOE

REC

South Alabama

vs. MAC vs. SEC Volunteers Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF FOEFOE +/-

TEAM0-0

at Alabama

Bowling Green

TennesseeExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score12 points

101 yards

Tennessee By 37.7

Bowling Green TennesseePosition by Position Edges

Bowling Green RB's0.09

Tennessee LB's

Bowling Green QB/WR

1.24

Tennessee DB's

Bowling Green DL2.01

Tennessee OL

Bowling Green OL

Projected Yardage Total227 yardsBowling Green

Projected Passing

Tennessee Coaches

Projected Rushing286 yards

1.03

Tennessee RB's

Bowling Green LB'S


Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

1.30

Bowling Green ST's

Tennessee ST's

Bowling Green DB's

Tennessee QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Bowling Green K

0.25

Tennessee

Bowling Green Coaches

Bowling Green Tennessee 48 points

Tennessee


Tennessee Pts

BG is surprisingly 4-8 SU all-time & 7-2 ATS since 1995 vs current SEC foes but lost to Tennessee 59-30 as a 21’ point dog in their only meeting in 1995 in Nashville. BG is 0-5 SU & ATS their last 5 road openers. The Vols are 7-0 all-time vs MAC schools. Tennessee is just 3-7 ATS in home openers including a shocking loss to Georgia St in ‘19. Josh Heupel brings his high-flying offense to Tennessee and while he has just 12 starters back they add in Michigan transfer Joe Milton at QB and PS#6 JC Tiyon Evans at RB. His first game at UCF was a 56-17 rout of Connecticut (-24) and that year with just 6 returning starters they put up 43.2 ppg. He has the perfect opening foe in BG which is in the 3rd year of a 3 year rebuild and allowed 45.0 ppg last year with 6.3 ypc rush. BG has just 4 starters back on offense so they will not be able to trade points after just 11.4 ppg on offense last year. Heupel was 6-2 ATS as a HF his first year at UCF and BG is a perfect 0-9 ATS as an AD under Loeffler.

Tennessee 513-198

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

1.08

Team & Margin

Tennessee By 35.5


Computer Yards0.25

Bowling Green Pts10.16

+/- RatingsTennessee By 40.3

1.50

126 125

Tennessee by 4211Team Schedule Strength

108 Bowling Green Tennessee

Bowling Green

Tennessee 51 Bowling Green 9By 9.91 Points

Tennessee 48-12

Phil Steele

Tennessee

Tennessee

513 yards

97 yards

198 yards Bowling Green

Tennessee K

Bowling Green FalconsFalcons Logs

TM REC FOE REC


0-0 0-0 145 134 4 9/2 4 15 50 27 98 61 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 134 145 4 9/4 27 98 61 4 15 500-0 0-0 135 9/11 11 14 78 0-0 0-0 120 9/11 113 103 910-0 0-0 129 9/18 51 39 129 0-0 0-0 122 9/18 55 47 950-0 0-0 99 9/25 124 125 123 #8 #40 0-0 0-0 84 9/25 126 128 1150-0 0-0 128 10/2 99 49 5 #37 #91 0-0 0-0 127 10/2 48 71 1010-0 0-0 121 10/9 61 77 89 #9 #69 10/9

10/16 #14 #72 0-1 0-1 130 10/16 65 54 990-0 0-0 141 10/23 30 8 58 #80 #40 0-0 0-0 121 10/23 61 77 890-0 0-0 142 10/30 18 12 9 #8 #106 0-0 0-0 132 10/30 89 53 740-1 0-1 130 11/6 65 54 99 #123 #38 1-0 1-0 124 11/6 66 94 490-0 0-0 127 11/13 48 71 101 #63 #74 0-0 0-0 143 11/13 64 22 40-0 0-0 124 11/20 78 90 116 #46 #73 0-0 0-0 141 11/20 30 8 580-0 0-0 132 11/27 41 50 40 #45 #108 0-0 0-0 142 11/27 23 16 83

#17 #76+10 0



at Minnesota Ohio St Oregon Miami, OH Tulsa at Colorado Akron Bowling Greenat Rutgers at Purdue Maryland Bye Bye Nebraskaat Indiana Maryland Penn St at Northwesternat Nebraska Illinois Purdue at Iowa Michigan St at Indianaat Michigan Wisconsin


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Ohio St 3 -30 30 29 32-92

Minnesota - 59.5 14 19 33-178 -3

vs.

vs.

vs.

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Net Offense Defense

Oh

io S

t B

uck

eyes

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Min

nes

ota

Gol

den

Gop

her

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

1.00

Ohio St QB/WR

Minnesota DB's

Ohio St Minnesota

1.83

Ohio St OL

TM REC FOE REC

Golden Gophers Logs

Ohio St Buckeyes OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM CONF


Minnesota Golden Gophers0-0 0-0Buckeyes Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Score Score

AP

Maryland Total Off Bye Bye Score Off Nebraska

Akron Rush Off Bowling Greenat Rutgers Pass Off at Purdue

Ohio St Oregon

Ohio St Minnesota Miami, OH

Tulsa at Colorado

Michigan St Score Def at Indianaat Michigan Sks By

Ohio St MinnesotaProjected Final Score

Ohio St Minnesota

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM


Defense

Wisconsin

at Nebraska Pass Def Illinois Purdue Total Def at Iowa

at Indiana Sks Allowed Maryland Penn St Rush Def at Northwestern

at Minnesota

Computer Yards0.677.78

Ohio St Pts

0.67

Ohio St DB's

Minnesota QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

33-44-412


Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 1.53

Ohio St ST's

41 points Ohio St Minnesota 29 points

13-23-218 Projected Rushing153 yards

Projected PassingOhio St Minnesota 248 yards

Projected Yardage Total401 yards528 yards

1.37

Ohio St RB's

Minnesota LB's

Ohio St LB'S0.67

Minnesota RB's

0.65

Ohio St DL

Minnesota OL

Team & Margin

Ohio St K

Minnesota K

Minnesota DL


+/- RatingsOhio St By 6.8

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineMinnesota ST's Ohio St By 14

278 yards Ohio St Minnesota

250 yards

Experience Rankings Minnesota Pts

1

Minnesota 38

Ohio St 41-29

Team Schedule Strength Ohio StOhio St by 17 Ohio St 41 Minnesota 24By 7.11 Points


Minnesota has lost the last 11 meetings (last win ‘00) and dropped the last 13 in the series at home (last win here ‘81). In their last game (2018), Minny held OSU to just 92 rush yards but had 3 TO’s and 2 missed FG’s in a 30-14 loss (+30). Ohio State has not lost here since ’81. Just the 2nd time since ’75 that OSU will open the season on the road vs a Big 10 foe. Last time here (‘14), OSU won 31-24 (-13). Ohio State does have only 6 starters back on offense and 5 on defense breaking in a QB room with 0 career attempts and are #129 on my Exp Chart. Ryan Day is 6-1 ATS as an AF. Minnesota has 10 starters back on both sides of the ball including a huge O-Line and veteran QB Tanner Morgan and RB Mohamed Ibrihim. Minnesota is #1 on my Exp Chart. Fleck is 5-5 ATS as a HD and last year was drubbed in the home opener by Michigan 49-24. Day has won his 7 Big Ten road games by 35.4 ppg!

129

Ohio St By 20.20.75

Ohio St Coaches

Phil Steele

Ohio St 528-401

4 Ohio St

Computer Points

Minnesota Coaches

Category Phil's Forecast:

UAB has won the last 3 meetings SU but they last met in 2005. JSU was OVC Champs last year, losing in the FCS Quarterfinals and finished 10-3 including a 19-10 win over FIU. UAB is 0-2 ATS vs FCS foes. Jacksonville HC John Grass enters his 8th year amassing a 68-21 record over his first seven seasons, and led JSU to the FCS Title Game in 2015. JSU has made the FCS playoffs 6 out of the 7 years Grass has been the HC here. Last season JSU played 4 games in the fall and after losing to Florida St in the opener they won their next 3 games including a win at FIU. In the spring JSU jumped out to a 4-0 OVC start & won all 4 games by at least 17 pts but then fell to Austin Peay despite holding them to 238 yds (JSU was -5 TO’s). JSU would go on to win their final 2 OVC games by double digits and blew out Davidson 49-14 in the first round of the FCS playoffs before losing in the next round to Delaware 20-14. They actually led Florida St 14-0 last year. UAB has 17 returning starters and is my favorite to win CUSA again. Bill Clark is a Jacksonville St graduate. UAB is 15-0 vs FCS school and 4-3 ATS. They only beat Central Arkansas by 10 (-20.5) and Alabama St by 5 (-39) the last two years. Jacksonville St has actually won 4 of their last 12 meetings with the FBS including wins over Ole Miss and have covered 4 of the last 5 including 2015 when they only lost to #6 Auburn 27-20 (+47.5). I am high on UAB but the angles and the fact this is a rivalry keeps it closer than what my computer has.

Uab By 19.1

Team & Margin

Uab 696--5

Uab By 16.5

51.5 Points

Uab By 4.9

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Uab 35-12

Uab by 17UAB 34 Jacksonville St 17

Phil Steele

Category

Coastal Carolina 761--35

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Coastal Carolina 40-13

Game GradeCoastal Carolina By 40.6

Las Vegas Line


+/- Ratings

Coastal Carolina By 34

Team & Margin

Coastal Carolina By 26.4

Coastal Carolina by 24Best Bet: Citadel 13 (+) Coastal Carolina 37

Phil Steele

Phil's Forecast:

These two only met 2 times as FCS foes. Last meeting was in the 1st round of the ‘15 FCS playoffs when CCU lost 41-38 on a made FG as time expired. The Bulldogs went 2-10 last year and last made the playoffs in ‘16. The Citadel was -12 in TO’s last year and had 3 close losses and won 2 of their last 3 games. Both teams run option offenses with The Citadel’s led by QB Jaylan Adams who was the #1 rusher as a soph. The Citadel did upset an option team in 2019 when they took down Georgia Tech 27-24. They also upset South Carolina in 2017. They played 3 FBS foes last year losing by a half point ATS to Clemson and by 2.5 pts ATS to USF and easily covered at an option team when they only lost to Army 14-9 and were +30.5. The previous two years they upset GT and covered at Alabama when they were shockingly tied with the Tide 10-10 at half (51 in a 50-17 loss. Coastal moved up from FCS in 2017 and is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS vs FCS teams since then. Last year they beat Campbell 43-21 but were -27.5. Coastal has 19 starters back from their 11-1 team but is just 3-7 ATS as a HF and has a huge game vs Kansas on deck. The Citadel knows how to defend the option and their offense will shrink the clock and they should keep this one closer than expected.

Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line First meeting. Last year FIU was held to 156 total yards in 19-10 loss vs FCS Jacksonville St. The Sharks went 10-2 in Division II play in 2018 but in their move up to the FCS they went just 0-10 SU and were -136 ypg in FCS play. In the spring they showed improvement and went 2-2 with wins over Bryant and Merrimack (also new to FCS). This is only the 4th year of program and 1st ever mtg vs an FBS opponent. FIU did not have a good 2019 as Covid wreaked havoc on them as they went 0-5 with an offense that put up just 281 ypg on offense. This year FIU figures to be hungry and need to bounce back big and gain confidence for the season. Long Island played two good FCS teams in 2019 and lost those by 38-3 to South Dakota St and 35-7 to Villanova. FIU is 4-1 since 2015 vs FCS foes but is 1-3 ATS including last years’ upset loss. Coming off a 0-5 season the Panthers are a hungry team that needs to build confidence with the only hesitation being that Butch Davis is 5-11 ATS as a home favorite.

Computer Yards

Fiu by 49 FIU 52 Long Island 3Phil Steele

Computer PointsFiu 46-0

Fiu By 37.8

Fiu By 32.6

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Fiu By 33.5

50.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Fiu 666--31

Category

Las Vegas Line


Team & Margin

Ball St By 25.5

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Ball St By 41.9

Ball St is 7-1 SU vs FCS foes since ’13 including 6 straight wins. Cardinals are just 1-3 vs Fighting Leathernecks including a 24-14 loss in their last meeting in 2000. WIU made the playoffs in ’17 but under new HC Jared Elliot they went just 5-6 in ’18 and then 1-11 in ’19. WIU was just 1-5 SU in the spring season in MVFC play and was -97 ypg. Western rushed for just 56 ypg (2.5) last year. Ball St had 4 straight losing seasons to start the Mike Niu era and lost their opener last year but won their last 7 with an upset of Buffalo in the MAC title game and an upset of ranked San Jose in the Arizona Bowl to finish 7-1 and #23. Ball St has 10 starters back on offense and 10 on defense but also have a target on their back this year and have a big game at Happy Valley vs Penn State next week. Ball State is 7-16 ATS as a HF the last 7 years.

Ball St 48 Western Illinois 10

Ball St 51-14

Phil SteeleBall St by 38

Computer Points

Game GradeBall St By 38.0

Computer YardsBall St 799-33

Category Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Buffalo 760--74

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Buffalo lost only previous mtg 20-0 in 1987 when both were D-III & the Seahawks finished as the D-III National Champ. Wagner went 0-2 this past spring but only lost to UConn 24-21 in ’19. In that ’19 season they were just 1-11 and -88 ypg. Unlike most FCS teams Wagner only returns 7 starters from the spring! Speaking of losing players there was a mass exodus from the Buffalo team after their head coach Leipold bolted for Kansas the new HC Maurice Linguist opted not to retain any of the coaching staff. Buffalo was dominant last year and favored in the MAC title game but were upset and then beat Marshall in the bowl. Leipold was an outstanding 12-3-1 ATS as a HF the last 4 years. Buffalo is 11-1 SU vs the FCS with an upset loss to Albany in 2016 but are just 3-6 ATS the last 9 vs FCS. Wagner is 0-11 SU vs the FBS and just 3-7-1 ATS. The Bulls do have a big game vs Nebraska on deck but have been hearing all offseason that they will take a big fall this year and may be out to prove they will not. Wagner had just 242 ypg on offense in ’19 and 166 ypg in the spring and take on a top notch D returning 6 starters.

Buffalo By 45

55.5 Points

Buffalo By 45.0

Buffalo By 72.2Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Computer Yards

Computer PointsBuffalo 52-0

Buffalo 45 Wagner 3Phil Steele

Buffalo by 42


Las Vegas LineUtah By 34.5

Utah By 10.6


+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Utah has won all 5 meetings (2-1 ATS). Last time here (‘18), the Utes trailed the Wildcats 10-0 in the 2Q before turning it on as Utah outgained Weber St 608-61 and out-FD’d them 25-3 in a 41-10 victory (-23’). Utah is my #4 Surprise team with 10 returning starters on offense and 9 on defense. Weber St has won 4 straight Big Sky titles making the playoffs all 4 years including a loss in the semifinals to James Madison in 2019. They have been winning with defense and have had the Big Sky’s best defense overall the last 3 years. They are the favorites to win the Big Sky again this year. Bronson Barron was the new QB in the spring and hit 52% with a 7-2 ratio. They did lose a 1,000 yard rusher from ’19 but the top 3 RB’s combined for 1164 yards rush in just 6 spring games. Utah is 9-0 SU but 4-5 ATS vs FCS teams since 2008 although 4-2 ATS the last 6 with an average win by 35.3 ppg. Weber St is 0-28 vs FBS teams since 2000 but have covered 5 of the last 7 losing their last 2 SU by 6 to SDSt and by 6 to Nevada. Utah has a huge game vs BYU on deck. They are 14-6 ATS as a HF the last 4 years but 2-5-1 ATS vs non conf the last 3 years.

Utah By 36.3Game Grade

Computer Yards

Utah 44-3

Utah 801--109

Computer Points

Utah by 31Utah 37 Weber St 6

Phil Steele


Las Vegas LineTulsa By 30

Tulsa By 23.8


+/- Ratings

Computer Yards

Tulsa 45-10

Tulsa 785--59

Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

First meeting. Tulsa has been a perfect 11-0 SU against FCS foes the last 23 years. Tulsa most recently faced an FCS foe in ‘18 when they opened with C Arkansas, a 38-27 win. Tulsa has also covered their last 5 vs the FCS! They are off a trip to the AAC title game and their first bowl since 2016. UCDavis is led by Dan Hawkins who in his first year back at his alma mater took a team off 7 straight losing seasons and guided them to 10 wins and 7 Big Sky wins both Aggie records. In the spring they had to replace QB Jake Maier who threw for 3,563 (65%, 28-13) in ‘19. QB Hunter Rodrigues (6-13-62-0-0 in ‘19) started all 5 throwing for 931 (65.5%, 8-4) & was the #5 rusher (95, 2.2, 2 td). After going just 5-6 in ’19 they were 3-2 in the spring and +89 ypg with losses to #2 Weber St and #9 EWash. Since 2015 UCDavis is 1-7 vs FBS teams SU but did upset San Jose St and are 7-1 ATS with 5 straight covers and no loss by more than 25. Tulsa has state rival Okla St and Ohio State on deck.

Tulsa By 33.3Game Grade

Tulsa by 25 Tulsa 38 UC Davis 13Phil Steele


Las Vegas Total

Wku By 17.5

Wku By 21.5Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

WKU 41 UT Martin 17

Computer PointsWku 41-13

Phil Steele

+/- Ratings

55 Points

Wku by 24

Wku 638--28Computer Yards

Wku By 17.6

The Hilltoppers and Skyhawks will rekindle a rivalry that has not been played in 20 years. WKU is 4-0 all-time against UT Martin, with all four matchups as consecutive season openers from 1997-2000: WKU won those four contests with a combined score of 196-17. The Skyhawks went 3-4 in the Spring, and they last played CUSA foe in ‘18, when they lost at MT 61-37. UTM was a poor 2-9 in ’18 but with new QB John Bachus went 7-5 in 2019 losing at Florida 45-0. In their 2-4 spring they were +5 ypg and they lose QB Bachus. WKU has just 10 starters back this year from a team that was a disappointing 5-7 one season after surprising everyone in Helton’s first year by going from 3-9 to 9-4. They have a FCS feel to them as they not only brought in Houston Baptist’s offensive coordinator but also his star QB in Bailey Zappe and top 3 receivers. WKU is just 3-2 SU the last 5 vs FCS foes and have lost all 5 ATS including outright losses to Central Arkansas and Maine. UTM is 0-12 vs the FBS with an average loss by 32.8 ppg and after having a 5-0 ATS streak in these games from 2015-2017 they have lost the last 4 ATS. Helton is 2-6 ATS as a HF and 2-8 ATS vs non conf and they do have the Army option on deck next week.

Category

Phil SteeleNew Mexico by 28

New Mexico 773-99

Team & Margin

Game Grade

Computer Points

New Mexico 51 Houston Baptist 23

68.5 Points

Computer Yards

New Mexico 51-24

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFirst meeting. Lobos have failed to cover their last 3 games vs FCS foes but have won 6 in a row SU vs the FCS with an average win by 33.6 ppg and the only game won by less than 24 was vs powerful Sam Houston St by 8 in ’19. The Houston Baptist Huskies only became a program in 2013. HBU played 4 games in the fall LY (3 vs FBS tms) and nearly upset Texas Tech only losing 35-33 with a 57-31 loss to North Texas and a 66-38 loss to Louisiana Tech. They did lose their QB, Offensive Coordinator and 3 top WR’s to WKU this year so do not figure to be as strong. Houston Baptist is just 18-59 in Vic Shealys 7 years as head coach. New Mexico has a new QB in Kentucky transfer Terry Wilson and Rocky Long’s defenses can be confusing to veteran QB’s let alone a first time starter. While the Lobos have NMSt on deck they did not have a single one of their home games in New Mexico last year should have a decent sized and hungry home crowd and have some momentum after pulling a pair of upsets to end the year and unlike HBaptist they have 17 returning starters. The Lobos have lost 9 in a row ATS as a HF and Long was 3-12 ATS as a HF his last 3 years at SDSt but they need a confidence builder and the Huskies fit that bill.

New Mexico By 23.5

Las Vegas Total

+/- RatingsNew Mexico By 39.5

New Mexico By 12.4

Category

67.5 Points

Team & Margin

Eastern Washington By 10.8

Unlv By 1.4Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFirst meeting. UNLV has lost 3 games to FCS foes since 2011 including the ‘17 opener when the Rebels (-45) lost 43-40 to Howard in the biggest upset in College Football history! The Eagles went 5-2 this past spring & lost in the 1st Round of the playoffs. They have not had a losing season since 2006 and has 18 returning starters. Aaron Best returns for his fifth year as their HC and took over after a 2016 team went 12-1 then lost in the semi-final playoff. He has made the playoffs in 2 of his 3 years (1-2 in playoffs) despite the presence of dynamic QB Eric Barrier who has a 76-18 ratio the last 3 years, and he returns. UNLV had a first-year head coach last year and no spring practice and went just 0-6 but figures to be much improved this year. UNLV is just 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS vs the FCS since 2010. EW is 3-7 SU the last 10 vs the FBS but 10-5 ATS their last 15 vs FBS teams and UNLV is 3-7 ATS as a HF the last 4 years.

Unlv By 3

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleUnlv by 6 UNLV 40 Eastern Washington 34

Unlv 40-30

Unlv 701-127


Arizona St 852--58

55.5 Points

Las Vegas LineArizona St By 44.5

Phil's Forecast:

1st meeting. Last year the Sun Devils played their latest home opener ever (Dec 5) and lost their first home opener in 22 years (25-18 vs UCLA). The Thunderbirds went 1-5 this past spring but all 5 losses were by 8 points or less. After going 9-3 in ’17 (most wins ever as an FCS team) Southern Utah has now gone 1-10, 3-9 and 1-5 the past 3 seasons. In the spring they had to replace their QB and top 2 rushers and new QB Justin Miller threw for 1697 (66%, 15-4) in just 6 games. ASU is loaded with 20 starters back from a team that beat Arizona 70-7 and Oregon St 46-33 in their last two games last year. ASU is 14-0 SU vs FCS teams since 2002 but are 1-3 ATS the last 4 matchups only beating Sacramento St 19-7 (-35.5) in 2019 and Cal Poly 35-21 (-37) in 2015. Southern Utah has lost their last 11 vs FBS foes including going 0-5 ATS the last 5 with the average loss by 37 ppg. Last week I used San Jose St -22’ on my Phil Steele Plus tour with selections and they won for me 45-14 with the Thunderbirds QB Miller hitting 15-29-117 and they were outgained 543-250. ASU only has UNLV on deck and are very explosive.

Las Vegas Total

+/- RatingsArizona St By 44.5

Arizona St By 53.7

Phil Steele

Computer PointsArizona St 55-3

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Arizona St 52 Southern Utah 10Arizona St by 42


0-0 0-0 136 125 10 9/4 9 35 43 76 23 77 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 136 10 9/4 76 23 77 9 35 430-0 0-0 122 9/11 59 101 114 0-0 0-0 117 9/11 98 109 1250-0 0-0 129 9/18 95 79 119 0-0 0-0 132 9/18 60 30 680-0 0-0 124 9/25 62 43 96 #11 #10 9/250-0 0-0 114 10/2 105 102 11 #19 #88 10/20-0 0-0 127 10/9 26 37 72 #7 #31 0-0 0-0 137 10/9 20 7 130-0 0-0 133 10/16 5 17 31 #12 #43 0-0 0-0 126 10/16 43 21 35

10/23 #121 #86 0-0 0-0 121 10/23 84 68 180-0 0-0 137 10/30 20 7 13 #51 #88 0-0 0-0 124 10/30 62 43 960-0 0-0 132 11/6 39 63 65 #88 #109 0-0 0-0 129 11/6 24 64 450-0 0-0 126 11/13 43 21 35 #62 #104 0-0 0-0 114 11/13 105 102 11

11/20 #66 #83 0-0 0-0 133 11/20 5 17 310-0 0-0 129 11/27 38 13 26 #5 #5 0-0 0-0 129 11/27 95 79 119

#9 #62-2 +3



at Virginia Tech North Carolina Georgia St Middle Tennessee Virginia at West Virginiaat Georgia Tech Richmond Duke Bye Florida St Notre Dame Miami, Fl Pittsburgh Bye Syracuseat Notre Dame at Georgia Tech Wake Forest at Boston Collegeat Pittsburgh Duke Wofford at Miami, Flat NC State at Virginia


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2020 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina 8 -3 56 31 43-399

Virginia Tech 19 57.5 45 25 48-260 02019 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - -3.5 41 23 40-143

Virginia Tech - 57 43 23 60-254 -22018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - 58.5 19 21 38-235

Virginia Tech - -6.5 22 20 41-154 02017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Carolina - 52 7 11 42-54

Virginia Tech 14 -20.5 59 21 46-181 32016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

North Carolina 17 55.5 3 8 29-73

Virginia Tech 25 -1.5 34 18 66-189 2

Net Offense Defense

Nor

th C

arol

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Tar

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Vir

gin

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Hok

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Net Offense

Score

0.34

North Carolina QB/WR

Virginia Tech DB's

North Carolina Virginia Tech

0.74

North Carolina OL

Virginia Tech DL

Middle Tennessee Virginia at West Virginia

Richmond Duke Pass Off Byeat Georgia Tech Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Wofford Score Def at Miami, Flat NC State Sks By at Virginia

Wake Forest Pass Def at Boston Collegeat Pittsburgh Total Def Duke

TM REC FOE REC

Georgia StNorth Carolina

0-0

North Carolinaat Virginia Tech

OVERALL: OVERALL:

0-0Tar Heels Logs Hokies Logs

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Virginia Tech Hokiesvs. ACC vs. ACC

North Carolina Tar Heels

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONF


Defense

Score

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Bye Sks Allowed Syracuseat Notre Dame Rush Def at Georgia Tech

Notre Dame Miami, Fl Score Off Pittsburgh Florida St Total Off

Virginia Tech

North Carolina RB's0.41

Virginia Tech LB's

North Carolina LB'S

Virginia Tech RB's

0.44

0.36

North Carolina DL

Virginia Tech OL

0.52

468 yards North Carolina Virginia Tech 441 yards


268 yards North Carolina14-21-236

18-23-257

Virginia Tech K

224 yards

201 yardsProjected Passing

0.30North Carolina Virginia Tech 218 yards

Virginia Tech

Projected Rushing

Team & Margin

North Carolina KLas Vegas Total

Virginia Tech QB/WR

North Carolina DB's

North Carolina ST's

Virginia Tech ST'sLas Vegas Line

Virginia Tech 31 points

North Carolina Phil Steele64 North Carolina Virginia Tech 48

Phil's Forecast:

0.90North Carolina opens with ACC road game for first time since 2005 (lost to GT). Tar Heels have lost last 7 when opening season away from home. Last time here in ‘19 Tar Heels lost 43-41 in 6 OT. VT had won 4 straight series meetings until last year’s loss. Hokies are on 6-2 ATS run vs NC. Home team is 4-0 ATS. This is only 2nd home opener vs Power 5 foe since 1998 (lost to OSU in ‘15). Last year NC had two 1,000-yard rushers first time since 2015 and NC had 656 yards. VT started Burmeister but trailed 21-0 (VT 0 FD, 224-13 yd) and Hooker took over. VT scored 14 pts in :54 span after recover an onside kick to pull to 42-37 after 3Q. NC two TD’s 56-37 in a win 56-45. NC has QB Sam Howell and 18 starters back with the only real question who takes over at RB and WR. VT has 15 returning starters and will have Enter Sandman blasting on Friday night game where they used to be unbeatable. Fuente is 3-5 ATS as a HD here and VT has lost 5 backup DL’s since the magazine went out so I am concerned with the depth up front vs a veteran NC Offensive line.

N Carolina By 5.5

N Carolina By 6.6

N Carolina By 4.7

64 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

N Carolina 468-4413.40

North Carolina Pts1.31

Virginia Tech PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

70

N Carolina by 7 North Carolina 37 Virginia Tech 30By 2.08 Points

98 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: N Carolina 34-31

13-33-58

7-17-75

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Projected Box Score

Projected Final Score34 points North Carolina

Virginia Tech Coaches0.70

North Carolina Coaches


Experience RankingsNorth Carolina Virginia TechTeam Schedule Strength

15-27-202

Comp-Att-Yds

8-22-118

15-29-235

Comp-Att-Yds

26-49-348

Comp-Att-Yds

22-35-287

20-36-221

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds


0-0 0-0 101 132 9/4 125 124 93 39 63 65 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 101 9/4 39 63 65 125 124 939/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 133 9/18 34 55 75 0-0 0-0 127 9/18 26 37 720-0 0-0 115 9/25 116 104 112 #119 #62 0-0 0-0 129 9/25 95 79 1191-0 0-0 105 10/2 96 115 41 #108 #26 0-0 0-0 130 10/2 63 70 800-0 0-0 114 10/9 97 61 39 #123 #28 0-0 0-0 121 10/9 84 68 180-0 0-0 112 10/16 112 75 20 #121 #21 10/16

10/23 #129 #103 0-0 0-0 120 10/23 109 82 550-0 0-0 110 10/30 110 87 98 #47 #90 0-0 0-0 114 10/30 105 102 110-0 0-0 108 11/6 120 99 21 #53 #93 0-0 0-0 136 11/6 9 35 430-0 0-0 116 11/13 91 44 108 #44 #91 0-0 0-0 129 11/13 38 13 260-0 0-0 117 11/20 98 109 125 #68 #92 0-0 0-0 146 11/20 6 2 670-0 0-0 108 11/27 121 113 103 #64 #64 0-0 0-0 129 11/27 24 64 45

#110 #58-1 +10



at Wake Forest Old Dominion Hampton Norfolk Stat Liberty Florida St Buffalo at Virginiaat UTEP Louisvilleat Marshall at Syracuse WKU Bye Bye at Army West Point Louisiana Tech Dukeat FIU at North Carolina Florida Atlantic NC Stateat Middle Tennessee at Clemson Charlotte at Boston College

Average 16-30 -97.3 -3.2 -0.1 17 36-97 2.7 54.6% 176 13.7% 20 39-148 3.8 63.6% 224 5.2% Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 15-32 -140.4 -5.9 -0.4 17 33-85 2.6 51.3% 179 13.4% 22 41-174 4.2 66.7% 229 5.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 17-32 -115.7 -4.7 -0.3 16 34-92 2.7 53.5% 175 13.5% 21 39-148 3.8 61.3% 235 5.2% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Old

Dom

inio

n M

onar

chs

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

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Wak

e Fo

rest

Dem

on D

eaco

ns

Net Offense

Old Dominion QB/WR0.81

Wake Forest DB's

Old Dominion Wake Forest

Old Dominion OL1.67

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Middle Tennessee Score Def at Clemson Charlotte Sks By at Boston College

at FIU Pass Def at North Carolina Florida Atlantic Total Def NC State

Bye Sks Allowed at Army West Point Louisiana Tech Rush Def Duke

at Syracuse WKU Score Off Byeat Marshall Total Off

Florida St

at Wake Forest 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

at Virginiaat UTEP Pass Off Louisville Buffalo Rush Off

TM REC FOE REC

Old Dominion Hampton

Old Dominion Wake Forest Norfolk St

at Liberty

Wake Forest Demon Deacons0-0 0-0Monarchs Logs vs. CUSA vs. ACC

Old Dominion Monarchs OVERALL: OVERALL:

Demon Deacons LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM0-0 0-0


FOE

FOE FOEFOE


CONF


Defense

Score Score

Wake Forest DL

Old Dominion RB's1.30

Wake Forest LB's

Old Dominion DL1.89

Wake Forest OLOld Dominion LB'S

0.93

Wake Forest RB'sOld Dominion DB's

1.44

Wake Forest QB/WRPhil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Old Dominion Coaches2.15

Old Dominion K

Wake Forest By 102.0

2.40

Wake Forest K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

72 yards Old Dominion Wake Forest 730 yards Wake Forest Coaches

Wake Forest 400 yards

Old DominionProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsWake Forest 55 points

Old Dominion Wake Forest127 27

Wake Forest 730-72


0.00

Old Dominion Pts12.69

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected RushingOld Dominion Wake Forest 331 yards

Projected Passing76 yards Old Dominion

By 12.69 Points

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Projected Box Score Old Dominion ST's0.09

Wake Forest ST's

Wake Forest

16 points

Wake Forest by 37 Wake Forest 53 Old Dominion 16

1st meeting despite the schools only being 174 miles apart and for ODU first game in two years after not playing last year. Monarchs have covered 3 straight vs ACC foes including win over VTech in ‘18. ODU is 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in road openers since joining FBS. WF is 5-2-1 all-time vs current CUSA foes but the 2 losses came in 1941 & 1990. WF had won 10 straight home openers until last year’s loss to Clemson, but they were only 3-7 ATS in those. Wake was just 4-5 last year but has 20 returning starters and is my #6 Most Improved team! ODU has just 10 returning starters from that 1-11 team in 2019 but has added UCF tranfer QB Darriel Mack and Wake has no film on them under HC Ricky Rahne who is an undefeated 2nd year head coach. Wake only has Norfolk St on deck and is 9-5 ATS as a HF the last 4 years and gets their season started on an impressive note.

Wake Forest By 31

Las Vegas Total63 Points

+/- RatingsWake Forest By 33.5

Phil Steele

-4 yards

Wake Forest Pts

Computer Yards

Wake Forest 55-16

Team Schedule Strength118 Old Dominion Wake Forest 53


0-0 0-0 114 108 9/4 105 102 11 121 113 103 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 114 9/4 121 113 103 105 102 119/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 132 9/18 89 53 74 0-0 0-0 122 9/18 59 101 1140-0 0-0 108 9/25 127 121 117 #72 #75 0-0 0-0 117 9/25 98 109 1250-0 0-0 136 10/2 9 35 43 #70 #69 1-0 1-0 124 10/2 66 94 490-0 0-0 124 10/9 62 43 96 #78 #80 0-0 0-0 108 10/9 120 99 210-0 0-0 129 10/16 95 79 119 #91 #76 10/16

10/23 #125 #53 0-0 0-0 116 10/23 91 44 1080-0 0-0 132 10/30 39 63 65 #110 #111 0-0 0-0 112 10/30 112 75 200-0 0-0 126 11/6 43 21 35 #64 #36 0-0 0-0 117 11/6 123 105 810-0 0-0 125 11/13 76 23 77 #99 #77 0-0 0-0 110 11/13 110 87 980-0 0-0 130 11/20 63 70 80 #115 #89 0-0 0-0 114 11/20 97 61 390-0 0-0 133 11/27 5 17 31 #15 #117 0-0 0-0 101 11/27 125 124 93

#98 #85-19 +2



at Charlotte Duke North Carolina A&T Gardner-Webb Northwestern at Georgia St Kansas Middle Tennesseeat North Carolina at Illinois Georgia Tech at FIUat Virginia Bye Bye Florida Atlanticat Wake Forest at WKU Pittsburgh Riceat Virginia Tech at Louisiana Tech Louisville Marshall Miami, Fl at Old Dominion


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2020 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Duke - -10 53 16 34-274

Charlotte - 55 19 22 51-177 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Du

ke B

lue

Dev

ils

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ch

arlo

tte

49

ers

Net Offense

Duke QB/WR0.23

Charlotte DB's

Duke Charlotte

Duke OL

Charlotte DL

Duke

10.63Charlotte 33 points

382 yards

Bye Georgia Tech Total Off

at Georgia St

at Charlotte 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Middle Tennesseeat North Carolina Pass Off at Illinois Kansas Rush Off

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Louisville Score Def Marshall Miami, Fl Sks By at Old Dominion

Pittsburgh Pass Def Riceat Virginia Tech Total Def at Louisiana Tech

TM REC FOE REC

Duke North Carolina A&T

Duke Charlotte Gardner-Webb

Northwestern

Blue Devils Logs

Duke Blue Devils

Duke LB'S

Charlotte RB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)3.42

Duke ST's Team & Margin

Charlotte QB/WR0.43

Duke DB's

Projected Box Score

vs. CUSA

OVERALL: OVERALL:

0-0 0-0 Charlotte 49ers49ers Logs

TM CONF


AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. ACCTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE FOEFOE


CONF


Defense

Score Score

Bye Sks Allowed Florida Atlanticat Wake Forest Rush Def at WKU

at FIU

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

at Virginia Score Off

203 yards 172 yardsDuke

Charlotte CoachesGame Grade

60.5 Points

Projected Passing Charlotte K2.50

Duke KLas Vegas Total

0.42

Duke RB's

Charlotte LB's

Duke DL0.50

Charlotte OL

0.89

410 yards

Duke Phil Steele51 Duke Charlotte

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

Duke by 14

Charlotte

Duke Duke By 3.9

Duke By 3.9

+/- Ratings

1.50

Duke Coaches

Duke 410-382Projected Final Score

36 points DukeDuke Pts

0.73Computer Yards

Duke 37 Charlotte 23By 9.90 Points

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Charlotte Pts

206 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Charlotte

Charlotte

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line Last year Duke got a 65 yd TD run by Jackson on 2nd play then after blocking a Charlotte punt

went 31/4 for TD and led 24-7 at half despite Charlotte having 12-9 FD edge. Duke got a 5/1 TD drive after a blocked punt and went 19/4 for TD after fumble adding a 75/4 drive (70 yd run Waters) for TD with :55 in 53-19 win with Charlotte having 22-16 FD edge, 42:27-17:33 TOP edge and Duke only 401-348 yard-edge. 49ers have lost their last 3 openers when playing FBS foe. Duke makes their first trip here Duke had won 3 straight road openers until last year’s loss at ND. They won at CUSA foe MT 41-18 in ‘19. Duke has just 6 returning starters on both offense and defense. Charlotte only has 13 returning starters. Duke is 26-8 ATS vs non conf foes the last 8 years and 8-3-1 ATS as an AF! Cutcliffe is 20-1 SU and 17-4 ATS vs Non P5 foes! UC is 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS with avg loss by 40 ppg against Power 5 foes. Duke is off a 2 win season and coach Cutcliffe is a developmental HC and was hurt by the lack of spring and preparation last year but their -19 in TO’s and they will get off to a stronger start this year.

Charlotte ST's Duke By 6

Projected Rushing10-17-127

18-36-171

Charlotte 113 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Duke 36-33

Team Schedule Strength94

210 yards

1.46

116 Duke


0-0 0-0 124 132 9/4 78 90 116 89 53 74 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 124 9/4 89 53 74 78 90 1169/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 133 9/18 5 17 31 0-0 0-0 114 9/18 105 102 110-1 0-1 130 9/25 65 54 99 #122 #64 0-0 0-0 123 9/25 88 110 540-0 0-0 112 10/2 112 75 20 #56 #95 0-1 0-1 130 10/2 65 54 990-0 0-0 128 10/9 99 49 5 #106 #92 10/90-0 0-0 141 10/16 30 8 58 #114 #92 0-0 0-0 128 10/16 99 49 5

10/23 #53 #40 0-0 0-0 132 10/23 41 50 400-0 0-0 132 10/30 41 50 40 #57 #46 0-0 0-0 134 10/30 27 98 610-0 0-0 127 11/6 48 71 101 #73 #23 0-0 0-0 143 11/6 64 22 40-0 0-0 121 11/13 61 77 89 #58 #26 0-0 0-0 142 11/13 23 16 830-0 0-0 145 11/20 4 15 50 #100 #9 0-0 0-0 127 11/20 48 71 1010-0 0-0 142 11/27 18 12 9 #90 #77 1-0 1-0 124 11/27 66 94 49

#100 #53-9 +4



at Northwestern Michigan St Youngstown St Indiana Stat Miami, Fl at Duke Nebraska Ohio WKU at Nebraskaat Rutgers Byeat Indiana Rutgers Bye at Michigan Michigan Minnesotaat Purdue Iowa Maryland at Wisconsinat Ohio St Purdue Penn St at Illinois


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2020 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Michigan St - 41 29 17 47-195

Northwestern 11 -13.5 20 18 37-63 -3


Michigan St - -9 31 19 40-109

Northwestern - 36 10 17 44-139 -2


Michigan St 20 -10.5 19 22 24-96

Northwestern - 43.5 29 19 20-8 -1


Michigan St 16 -2.5 31 28 31-95

Northwestern - 41.5 39 28 28-64 1

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Michigan St - -6.5 40 18 23-51

Northwestern - 42 54 26 51-209 1

Net Offense Defense

Mic

hig

an S

t S

par

tan

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Nor

thw

este

rn W

ildca

ts

Net Offense

Michigan St QB/WR0.53

Northwestern DB's

Michigan St Northwestern

Michigan St OL0.04

Northwestern DL

0.08

Michigan St RB's

Rush Def Minnesota

at Rutgers Total Off Byeat Indiana Score Off Rutgers

Nebraska Rush Off Ohio WKU Pass Off at Nebraska

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Ohio St Score Def Purdue Penn St Sks By at Illinois

at Purdue Pass Def Iowa Maryland Total Def at Wisconsin

TM REC FOE REC

at Northwestern 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Northwestern Wildcats0-0 0-0

FOE +/-TM CONF


vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10 Wildcats Logs

TM REC FOE REC

APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0


Defense

Score Score

Michigan St Youngstown St

Michigan St Northwestern Indiana St

at Miami, Fl at Duke

Bye Sks Allowed at Michigan Michigan

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

0.10Las Vegas Total

1.22Las Vegas Line

Northwestern By 3

46 Points

+/- Ratings

Northwestern is playing with legitimate revenge after suffering its only regular season loss of the year. NW was off their big win over Wisconsin and a 2 TD favorite on the road. NW went for it on 4&1 and 4&4 on first two possessions and both were SOD with a 54 yd int ret on the 2nd try and a flag for def pass interference picked up. Mich St got a 75 yd pass to Nailor & 22 yd FG off those SOD’s 10-0. MST 85/13 TD 17-0 14:55 2Q. NW settle 42 & 32 yd FG 17-6 H. NW 75/10 37/8 TD lead 20-17 13:54 left. Mich St drove 27 & 19 yds for FG’s after NW TO’s to lead 23-20 and on last play NW ran lateral play from own 9 and MSt recover for TD and misleading final, 29-20. The Spartans have won the last 2 in the series for the 1st time since ‘11-’12. Last time here (‘19), then-HC Dantonio became the winningest coach in Mich St history as MSU ended a 3-gm losing streak to NW with a 31-10 (-9) win. Mich St has 16 returning starters and is much improved after having a first year HC and no spring practice with just 8 returning starters last year. The Wildcats were a veteran team last year and were my #2 Most Improved team and made it to the Big Ten Title game. This year they are #130 on my Exp Chart with just 4 starters back on each side of the ball but coach Fitzgerald is confident in the replacements and that they won’t drop much. NW is 19-21-1 ATS as a HF the last 10 years and Mich St is 1-4-1 ATS as an AD the last two years. I will side with the stronger team at home playing with legitimate revenge and NW was 8-1 ATS last year.

Northwestern ST's

Game GradeNorthwestern By 18.0

2.40

Northwestern 378-308

Northwestern By 11.2

Northwestern 31-22Computer Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Michigan St ST's

0.50

Michigan St DB's

Northwestern QB/WR

Spartans Logs

Michigan St Spartans

Northwestern LB's

Michigan St LB'S0.10

Northwestern RB's

Michigan St DL0.50

Northwestern OL

Projected Passing

204 yards Michigan St Coaches

Michigan St K

Northwestern K

Northwestern Coaches

174 yards

378 yards

Projected Rushing

22 points Michigan St Northwestern

102 yards

308 yards Michigan St

Northwestern

Northwestern

Northwestern

130

4.90

Northwestern Pts

0.58

Michigan St Pts

31 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score


Comp-Att-Yds Team Schedule StrengthNorthwestern Phil Steele

6 Michigan St Northwestern Northwestern by 10Best Bet: H Northwestern 30 Michigan St 20

By 4.31 Points

39-57-445

Michigan St

18-31-228

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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

11-27-167

22-44-222

90 Michigan St Northwestern

27-35-281

2427-42-424


206 yards Michigan St

Comp-Att-Yds

31-52-329

31-47-373

19-37-126

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

34-50-368


0-0 0-0 114 132 9/4 49 93 100 41 50 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 114 9/4 41 50 40 49 93 1009/11 0-0 0-0 133 9/11 19 27 57

0-0 0-0 126 9/18 43 21 35 0-0 0-0 112 9/18 114 119 881-0 0-0 124 9/25 92 58 64 #39 #94 0-0 0-0 128 9/25 99 49 50-0 0-0 115 10/2 116 104 112 #23 #44 0-0 0-0 142 10/2 23 16 830-0 0-0 130 10/9 87 88 97 #17 #77 0-1 0-1 130 10/9 65 54 990-0 0-0 121 10/16 54 123 127 #12 #67 10/160-0 0-0 119 10/23 72 51 113 #17 #21 0-0 0-0 132 10/23 89 53 74

10/30 #58 #82 0-0 0-0 124 10/30 78 90 1160-0 0-0 116 11/3 77 89 42 #78 #98 0-0 0-0 141 11/6 30 8 580-0 0-0 99 11/9 124 125 123 #61 #89 0-0 0-0 142 11/13 18 12 90-0 0-0 117 11/16 107 118 29 #95 #96 0-0 0-0 121 11/20 61 77 890-0 0-0 112 11/23 114 119 88 #56 #101 0-0 0-0 145 11/27 4 15 50

#27 #90-3 -3



at Michigan at Western Michigan Illinois St Washingtonat Pittsburgh Northern Illinois San Jose St Rutgersat Buffalo at Wisconsin Ball St at Nebraska Kent St Byeat Toledo Northwestern Bye at Michigan St Central Michigan Indiana Akron at Penn Stat Eastern Michigan at Marylandat Northern Illinois Ohio St


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 54.5 3 17 40-123

Michigan 21 -28 49 20 35-308 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

W M

ich

igan

Bro

nco

s

TE

AM

AV

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AG

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Mic

hig

an W

olve

rin

es

Net Offense

0.20

W Michigan RB's

Michigan LB's

W Michigan QB/WR0.23

Michigan DB's

W Michigan OL

Michigan DL

1.09

Michigan RB's

Rush Off Rutgersat Buffalo Pass Off at Wisconsin San Jose St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Eastern Michigan Score Def at Marylandat Northern Illinois Sks By Ohio St

Central Michigan Pass Def Indiana Akron Total Def at Penn St

2020 TEAM RANKINGS at Western Michiganat Michigan

APTM CONF


vs. BIG 10 Wolverines Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Michigan Wolverines0-0 0-0vs. MACBroncos Logs

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE REC FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

AP TEAM

Illinois StW Michigan Michigan

Washingtonat Pittsburgh Northern Illinois

Defense

Score Score

W Michigan MichiganPosition by Position Edges

at Toledo Sks Allowed Northwestern Bye Rush Def at Michigan St

Total Off at Nebraska Kent St Score Off Bye Ball St

W Michigan DB's0.35

Michigan QB/WR

168 yards W MichiganProjected Passing

Ret

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16-34-85

13-18-143

110 W Michigan Michigan 35

120

Michigan34 points

21 W Michigan

W Michigan 43 pointsExperience Rankings

In their last meeting (‘18), the Wolverines snapped a 4-game losing streak (their longest losing streak S/’09) outgaining WMU 451-208 in a 49-3 victory (-28). They first met in 1917 (17-13), Broncos are 0-7 SU all-time & 0-5 ATS since 2002 all as an 13+ pt AD. The Broncos are just 2-13 SU & 3-12 ATS in road openers since ‘05 (wins, Purdue ‘14, Akron ‘20) and did cover at #4 USC in 2017. They have covered the last 3 season openers that were on the road. Western is my pick to win the MAC West this year led by QB Eleby and 9 starters back on offense and 10 on defense. They have lost their last 5 ATS as an AD. Michigan has 10 starters back on Offense and 7 on Defense and off a 2-4 season make my Most Improved List. They are 8-6 ATS as a HF and do have a big home game vs Washington on deck. The Wolverines have actually lost 4 in a row SU at home but 3 of those were before no home crowds last year and they will now have 100,000+ back. Western only has Illinois St on deck giving them a solid situational edge.

Michigan ST's Michigan By 17

67 Points

W Michigan ST's0.59

Team & Margin

Michigan By 22.7

Phil's Forecast:

W Michigan LB'S

W Michigan DL

492 yards

+/- RatingsMichigan K

Game Grade0.70

W Michigan K1.00

Las Vegas Total

403 yards W Michigan Michigan Coaches

W MichiganProjected Yardage Total

Michigan 303 yards

Michigan

W Michigan Coaches


189 yardsProjected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

0.24

Michigan OL

0.22

Michigan 492-403Projected Final Score

0.42Computer Yards

W Michigan Pts4.20

Michigan Pts

234 yards

Michigan By 5.4

Michigan

W Michigan Broncos

Michigan 43-34Computer Points


Phil SteeleMichigan by 10 Michigan 41 Western Michigan 31By 3.78 Points

Michigan

MichiganTeam Schedule Strength


0-0 0-0 120 122 9/4 109 82 55 59 101 114 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 120 9/4 59 101 114 109 82 550-0 0-0 112 9/11 112 75 20 0-0 0-0 136 9/11 9 35 430-1 0-0 101 9/18 129 127 109 0-0 0-0 108 9/18 121 113 1030-0 0-0 120 9/25 113 103 91 #4 #37 0-0 0-0 132 9/25 22 20 250-0 0-0 130 10/2 87 88 97 #128 #65 0-0 0-0 126 10/2 37 25 28

10/9 #114 #39 0-0 0-0 96 10/9 130 126 1300-0 0-0 142 10/16 23 16 83 #78 #33 10/160-0 0-0 132 10/23 39 63 65 #22 #32 0-0 0-0 112 10/23 100 114 79

10/30 #22 #33 0-0 0-0 119 10/30 104 86 900-0 0-0 125 11/6 82 97 124 #7 #115 0-0 0-0 128 11/6 47 33 7

11/13 #5 #72 0-0 0-0 127 11/13 35 40 870-0 0-0 95 11/20 128 129 84 #6 #80 0-0 0-0 110 11/20 86 112 660-0 0-0 133 11/27 34 55 75 #61 #7 0-0 0-0 122 11/27 80 81 94

12/4 #46 #560-0 0-0 121 12/11 117 92 120 +6 +1



at Georgia St Army West Point WKU at North Carolina Connecticut Charlotte Miami, OH at Auburnat Ball St Appalachian St Bye at ULMat Wisconsin Bye Wake Forest Texas St Bye at GA Southern† Air Force at Louisiana Bucknell at Coastal Carolina UMass Arkansas Stat Liberty Troy Bye† Navy


vs.

vs.

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vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2019 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Army West Point - -4.5 21 20 61-278

Georgia St - 55.5 28 23 32-147 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

† Navy

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Arm

y B

lack

Kn

igh

ts

TE

AM

AV

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AG

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Geo

rgia

St

Pan

ther

s

Army QB/WR0.75

Georgia St DB's

Army DL0.57

Georgia St OL

Score Def Arkansas Stat Liberty Sks By Troy

Pass Def at Louisiana Bucknell Total Def at Coastal Carolina† Air Force

Army Georgia St

Army OL0.21

Georgia St DL

1.41

Army RB's

Georgia St LB's

Army LB'S0.29

Georgia St RB's

at GA Southern Wake Forest

Total Off at ULMat Wisconsin Score Off Bye Bye

Rush Off at Auburnat Ball St Pass Off Appalachian St Miami, OH

Total TO'sYpg Diff Bye

TM REC FOE REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Army West Pointat Georgia St

TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Georgia St Panthers0-0 0-0

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

vs. IND vs. SUN Panthers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Army Black KnightsBlack Knights Logs


FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC


Defense

Score

--PS RANK--

UMass

WKUArmy Georgia St

at North Carolina Connecticut Charlotte

Sks Allowed Texas St Bye

0.75

Army Georgia St

Phil's Forecast:

Last time here (‘19) was only prior meeting. Army led 21-14 3Q & 21-20 into 4Q but lost 28-20 as a 4’ point AF. Black Knights have lost 4 straight road openers going 1-3 ATS but took #7 Michigan to OT in ‘19. Georgia St is just 2-6 ATS in home openers since joining the SBC back in ’13 but have had all fall to prep for the option and held Army to 343 total yards in 2019 playing them in the middle of the year. The Panthers have 19 returning starters including QB Cornelius Brown and a deep set of RB’s. They also have WR’s Sam Pinckney and TE Roger Carter. Army has 14 starters back the most in 4 years. Jeff Monken is 10-10-2 as an AD and Shawn Elliot is 11-11 SU at home and 5-6-1 ATS as a HF.

Georgia St ST's

49.5 PointsGeorgia St K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Army Coaches

30 pointsProjected Final Score

Georgia St Coaches

Georgia St 387-318

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

2.00

Experience Rankings Georgia St PtsArmy

228 yards

318 yards

64 yards Georgia StArmy

Army DB's0.18

Georgia St QB/WR

Las Vegas LineGeorgia St By 2

1.20

Army K20-28-232


Georgia St

TM CONF


Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing254 yards Army 159 yards

Projected Passing

2.30

Army ST's

6-11-65

Score

Rush Def

AP

34 points 5.66

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Georgia St 34-30

123

Georgia St By 4.2

Georgia St By 2.6Game Grade

54 16Army

Phil SteeleArmy Georgia St 96 Georgia St by 3 Georgia St 24 Army 21By 3.66 Points

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Team Schedule Strength Army

387 yards

Georgia St

Georgia St

Army Pts


0-0 0-0 125 131 9/4 53 96 19 58 67 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 131 125 9/4 58 67 37 53 96 199/11 0-0 0-0 134 9/11 12 18 12

0-0 0-0 126 9/18 25 62 14 0-0 0-0 112 9/18 111 116 1060-0 0-0 132 9/25 45 36 71 #77 #93 1-0 0-0 131 9/25 28 32 820-0 0-0 149 10/2 1 3 22 #105 #22 0-0 0-0 135 10/2 11 14 78

10/9 #103 #44 0-0 0-0 134 10/9 13 24 230-0 0-0 146 10/16 2 19 110 #82 #58 0-0 0-0 133 10/16 42 91 1280-0 0-0 126 10/23 31 45 53 #42 #26 10/230-0 0-0 139 10/30 17 11 15 #81 #114 0-0 0-0 133 10/30 19 27 570-0 0-0 108 11/6 127 121 117 #111 #47 0-0 0-0 135 11/6 21 9 380-0 0-0 132 11/13 60 30 68 #98 #94 0-0 0-0 124 11/13 71 83 690-0 0-0 129 11/20 93 38 70 #85 #78 0-0 0-0 129 11/20 81 56 1070-0 0-0 139 11/27 15 34 6 #20 #101 0-0 0-0 137 11/27 20 7 13

#112 #70-3 +2



† Stanford † Kansas St Southern Illinois at USC Nevada at Vanderbiltat Oklahoma St UCLA Oklahoma Oregon Bye at Arizona St Iowa St at Washington Stat Texas Tech Bye TCU Washingtonat Kansas Utah West Virginia at Oregon St Baylor Californiaat Texas Notre Dame


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 8 -14 26 13 30-105

Kansas St - 47.5 13 18 32-92 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Kan

sas

St

Wild

cats

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

Net Offense

0.07

Kansas St QB/WR

Stanford DB's

Kansas St Stanford

0.39

Kansas St OL

Stanford DL

0.21

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Def at Oregon StScore Def California

at Texas Sks By Notre Dame

Sks Allowed Bye TCU Rush Def Washington

Pass Def Utah

Iowa St Score Off at Washington St Bye

at USC Nevada at Vanderbilt

† Stanford

Rush Off UCLA

FOE REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS † Kansas St

Oregonat Oklahoma St

Total Off at Arizona St

FOE--PS RANK--

vs. BIG 12

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0

0-0 0-0vs. PAC 12Wildcats Logs

Baylor West Virginia

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Cardinal Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Stanford Cardinal

--PS RANK--AP

Kansas St ST's

3.12

Kansas St Pts

30 points Kansas St

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE

REC

Southern IllinoisKansas St

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Stanford

Oklahoma Pass Off


at Texas Tech

at Kansas

53 Points

Team & Margin

1.40Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineKansas St By 3

+/- RatingsStanford By 6.2

Phil's Forecast:

First neutral site opener for Kansas St since ‘03 when they opened the season at Arrowhead Stadium home of the NFL Chiefs. Teams previously only met in ‘16 on The Farm where Stanford won 26-13 but did not cover (-14). The Cardinal defense racked up 8 sacks (including a safety) and 2 int’s in the win. Kansas St is 6-3 ATS as an AD under Klieman and also 2-0 as an AF and they are a slight favorite here. Shaw is 21-13-1 ATS as an AD and last year they played their last 4 games away from home and won them all. Stanford’s 4 wins last year were by 1, 5, 3 and 1. They do have 14 returning starters back but are breaking in a new QB. Kansas St has 16 returning starters including QB Thompson. Coach Shaw is not happy this is being played at 9 am PT.

207 yards Kansas StProjected Passing Stanford K

Stanford ST's

Stanford By 7.8Projected Yardage Total

33 pointsStanfordProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings Stanford PtsStanford 447-3804.01

Computer Yards

Computer PointsStanford 33-30

169 yards

Kansas St

88 Kansas St

Game Grade380 yards Stanford Coaches

1.05Stanford 278 yards Kansas St Coaches

Kansas St 447 yardsStanford

173 yards

Stanford by 2 Stanford 32 Kansas St 30By 0.89 Points

Stanford

Stanford 16Stanford

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StanfordProjected Rushing

Phil Steele

118 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.77

Stanford RB's

Kansas St DL0.68

Stanford OL

0.11

Kansas St DB's

Stanford QB/WR

15-19-167

19-41-243 Kansas St K

Comp-Att-Yds 2.45

Team Schedule Strength42 Kansas St

Kansas St RB's

Stanford LB's

Kansas St LB'S


Kansas St Wildcats

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM


0-0 0-0 96 125 9/4 130 126 130 67 42 52 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 96 9/4 67 42 52 130 126 1309/11 0-0 0-0 124 9/11 75 74 309/18 7 9/18

0-0 0-0 122 9/25 80 81 94 #125 #33 0-0 0-0 117 9/25 40 73 620-0 0-0 127 10/2 35 40 87 #66 #122 0-0 0-0 135 10/2 32 26 590-0 0-0 122 10/9 59 101 114 #117 #113 0-0 0-0 144 10/9 16 10 160-0 0-0 133 10/16 34 55 75 #120 #106 0-0 0-0 145 10/16 3 4 20-0 0-0 106 10/23 122 107 105 #103 #61 10/230-0 0-0 126 10/30 37 25 28 #123 #55 0-0 0-0 132 10/30 50 28 510-0 0-0 112 11/6 100 114 79 #45 #56 0-0 0-0 120 11/6 79 65 330-0 0-0 110 11/13 86 112 66 #115 #49 0-0 0-0 112 11/13 111 116 1060-0 0-0 144 11/20 16 10 16 #124 #48 0-1 0-0 94 11/20 115 130 560-0 0-0 128 11/27 47 33 7 #86 #77 0-0 0-0 130 11/27 63 70 80

#122 #97-9 +10



at Kentucky ULM Bye Missouri Jackson St Chattanooga Troy at South Carolinaat Coastal Carolina Florida Georgia St LSU Liberty at Georgia South Alabama Byeat Appalachian St at Miss Stat Texas St Tennessee Arkansas St at Vanderbiltat LSU New Mexico Stat Louisiana at Louisville


vs.

vs.

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vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at LSU

Net

South Alabama

Bye

Offense Defense

ULM

War

haw

ks

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ken

tuck

y W

ildca

ts

ULM QB/WR1.46

Kentucky DB's

ULM Kentucky

ULM OL1.91

Kentucky DL

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

1.69Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)

Kentucky QB/WR

ULM DB's1.13

ULM RB's1.43

Kentucky LB's

ULM LB'S

at Appalachian St Rush Def at Miss St

Total Off LSU Liberty Score Off at Georgia Georgia St

Rush Off at South Carolinaat Coastal Carolina Pass Off Florida Troy

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def New Mexico Stat Louisiana Sks By at Louisville

at Texas St Pass Def Tennessee Arkansas St Total Def at Vanderbilt

Jackson St Chattanooga

2020 TEAM RANKINGS ULMat Kentucky

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Wildcats Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Kentucky Wildcats

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

FOE

ULM Warhawks 0-0 0-0vs. SUN vs. SEC

FOE

NCAA RANKINGS0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--


Defense

Score

ULM Kentucky Missouri

Sks Allowed Bye

Net Offense

ULMExperience Rankings

Kentucky By 34.9


Game Grade

105 yards ULM Kentucky

0.00

ULM Pts13.419 points

Kentucky Pts

Projected Yardage Total182 yards ULM

ULM DL1.89

Kentucky OL

Score

FOE +/-AP

FOE

Kentucky 484 yards

Computer Points

Computer YardsKentucky 43 points


Team Schedule StrengthRet

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Projected Box Score ULM ST's

86 Kentucky 123 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:ULM

104 ULM Kentucky 15 Kentucky by 35 Kentucky 44 ULM 9By 13.41 Points

Kentucky Phil Steele

UK is 4-1 all-time vs ULM. The ‘Cats have won the last 4 meetings with the only loss coming in 1994. The ‘Cats won their last 7 vs G5 foes by 13 ppg. The ‘Cats are 20-1 in home openers against Non P5 foes. ULM has 4 wins all-time vs current SEC teams & one is vs UK back in ‘94 (21-14). Last win for vs SEC team was at Arkansas in ‘12 (34-31). ULM is 4-1 ATS the L5Y in non-conf road openers. Terry Bowden is taking over a rebuild and bringing in a ton of transfers so despite 16 returning starters this could be mostly a new team. I think he will hold a bunch of stuff back in this one and keep plenty of surprises for more winnable games on deck. ULM was 0-10 last year losing by 24 ppg and is 2-9 ATS vs non conf and 5-10 ATS as an AD the last 3 years. ULM did not have the lead in a single game last year. Kentucky is off a disappointing 5-6 season and has a new offensive coordinator and needs to get that unit up to speed with Missouri on deck. Stoops is 15-8 ATS as a HF.

Kentucky 484-182

Kentucky 43-9

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineKentucky ST's Kentucky By 31

1.25

ULM Coaches1.50

54.5 PointsKentucky K

ULM K

+/- RatingsKentucky By 32.3

Kentucky Coaches

77 yards ULM Kentucky 284 yards

1.15

Kentucky RB's

Warhawks Logs

Projected Rushing

TEAM --PS RANK--


0-0 0-0 149 127 2 9/4 1 3 22 69 72 73 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 149 2 9/4 69 72 73 1 3 229/11 9/11

0-1 0-1 130 9/18 65 54 99 0-0 0-0 138 9/18 7 60 1030-0 0-0 132 9/25 60 30 68 #47 #16 0-0 0-0 122 9/25 74 29 470-0 0-0 125 10/2 53 96 19 #15 #107 0-0 0-0 128 10/2 56 95 440-0 0-0 139 10/9 15 34 6 #13 #62 0-0 0-0 121 10/9 73 48 30-0 0-0 139 10/16 17 11 15 #9 #23 10/160-0 0-0 108 10/23 127 121 117 #96 #124 0-0 0-0 123 10/23 29 84 320-0 0-0 126 10/30 31 45 53 #12 #42 0-0 0-0 137 10/30 46 5 48

11/6 #84 #116 0-0 0-0 130 11/6 10 69 760-0 0-0 129 11/13 93 38 70 #32 #79 0-0 0-0 129 11/13 51 39 1290-0 0-0 146 11/20 2 19 110 #31 #59 0-0 0-0 116 11/20 108 108 850-0 0-0 132 11/27 45 36 71 #4 #3 0-0 0-0 123 11/27 36 66 60

#8 #78+5 +5



at Tulane Oklahoma Western Carolina Morgan St Nebraska at Mississippi West Virginia UABat Kansas St at East Carolina† Texas Houston TCU Byeat Kansas at SMU Texas Tech Cincinnati Bye at UCFat Baylor Tulsa Iowa St USFat Oklahoma St at Memphis


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - 59 14 20 62-237

Oklahoma 2 -34 56 24 32-197 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

Western Carolina

at Baylor

at Kansas St

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Net Offense Defense

Okl

ahom

a S

oon

ers

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Tula

ne

Gre

en W

ave

Net Offense

Score

at Oklahoma St Sks By at Memphis Iowa St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Total Def Tulsa Bye

Score Def USF

Texas Tech Rush Def Cincinnatiat Kansas

Pass Def at UCF

TCU Score Off Bye† Texas

Sks Allowed at SMU

Total Off Houston

0-0OVERALL: OVERALL:Oklahoma Sooners

at East Carolina

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE


TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/-

West Virginia

Oklahoma Tulane Morgan St

Nebraska at MississippiRush Off UAB

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Oklahomaat Tulane

Green Wave Logs

Tulane Green Wave0-0

FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE


Tulane

1.88

Oklahoma QB/WR

Tulane DB's


Defense

1.58

Oklahoma OL

Tulane DL

0.56

Oklahoma RB's

Tulane LB's

Oklahoma

Score

Oklahoma Tulane 165 yards

Oklahoma 520-317

Oklahoma DL

Tulane OL

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Oklahoma ST's0.18

Tulane QB/WR1.48

Oklahoma DB's

Las Vegas Line

Game Grade520 yards Oklahoma Tulane 317 yards Tulane Coaches

9.34

Oklahoma Pts0.18

Tulane RB's1.14

Oklahoma LB'S

1.11

Sooners Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. AAC

Pass Off

Oklahoma Tulane 80

74 Oklahoma Tulane 63

Oklahoma by 32 Oklahoma 49 Tulane 17By 9.16 Points

Oklahoma 50-21

Phil Steele


Second meeting. Teams last met in ‘17 when Green Wave travelled to Norman, a 56-14 (+34) defeat. Tulane last opened their season vs a P5 foe in ‘18 when they hosted Wake Forest, a 23-17 OT (+6’) loss. This was supposed to be the Sooners first true road opener since ’12 when the Sooners played at UTEP. OU lost their first road opener since ’09 last year when they lost to Iowa St 37-30. The Sooners only have Western Carolina on deck and they are my pick to the win the national title this year. Willie Fritz is has 16 returning starters. Tulane was hit hard by the Hurricane and had to move practices to Birmingham Alabama. This game was moved to Norman so the crowd may not be as big as normal on short notice. With the changing dynamics of this game it may be a good one to avoid.

Tulane ST's

Oklahoma Coaches

Projected Yardage Total350 yards

Tulane Pts50 points Oklahoma

Computer Yards


Oklahoma By 18.9

Oklahoma By 20.4

Oklahoma By 31.5

0.80

Oklahoma K

0.80


Tulane

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Experience Rankings

6-12-54

20-30-434


Tulane 153 yards

+/- Ratings

OklahomaTulane K

Oklahoma61


0-0 0-0 142 142 19 12 9/4 18 12 9 23 16 83 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 142 142 12 19 9/4 23 16 83 18 12 90-0 0-0 130 9/11 87 88 97 0-0 0-0 117 9/11 107 118 290-0 0-0 132 9/18 22 20 25 9/18

9/25 #53 #61 0-0 0-0 137 9/25 20 7 130-0 0-0 141 10/2 30 8 58 #40 #106 0-0 0-0 132 10/2 41 50 400-0 0-0 143 10/9 64 22 4 #36 #100 1-0 1-0 124 10/9 66 94 49

10/16 #56 #88 0-0 0-0 120 10/16 109 82 551-0 1-0 124 10/23 66 94 49 #107 #32 0-0 0-0 127 10/23 48 71 1010-0 0-0 145 10/30 4 15 50 #29 #7 0-0 0-0 143 10/30 64 22 40-0 0-0 121 11/6 61 77 89 #27 #34 0-0 0-0 128 11/6 99 49 50-0 0-0 132 11/13 41 50 40 #21 #9 0-0 0-0 132 11/13 89 53 740-0 0-0 128 11/20 99 49 5 #57 #13 0-1 0-1 130 11/20 65 54 990-0 0-0 124 11/27 78 90 116 #45 #94 0-0 0-0 134 11/27 27 98 61

#21 #42-8 0



at Wisconsin Penn St Ball St Eastern Michigan Auburn Bye Villanova † Notre Dame Indiana Michiganat Iowa at Illinois Bye Army West Point Illinois at Purdueat Ohio St Iowaat Maryland at Rutgers Michigan Northwestern Rutgers Nebraskaat Michigan St at Minnesota


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Penn St 21 -8.5 22 23 47-183

Wisconsin - 53.5 10 12 37-209 -22017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Penn St 8 46.5 38 21 29-51

Wisconsin 6 -3 31 22 49-241 2

vs.

vs.

0.36


210 yards

2.86 1.01


Wisconsin CoachesPenn St Pts

Wisconsin Pts


Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Wisconsin

99

9-20-60

Comp-Att-Yds

22-31-384

16-21-174

Nebraska

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

at Minnesota

Wisconsin By 6.7

Penn St leads the series 10-9 and has won the last 4. In their last meeting (‘18), Penn St fell behind early 7-0 before clamping down and outscored Wisconsin 22-3 for the rest of the game in a 12-pt win (-8’). Last time here (‘13), Wisconsin was -24’ and was 6-0 at home having outscored their opponents 247-36 (by 35.2 ppg!). They scored 10 pts in a span of 1:25 in the 4Q but lost 31-24. The Badgers are much improved with 17 returning starters including a much more potent stable of RB’s and QB Graham Mertz. The Badgers are my #2 Surprise Team this year or non-top 10 team that has a great shot at the playoff. Penn St is my #1 Most Improved team this year and last season was +102 ypg but opened 0-5. They did go 4-0 down the stretch and return 9 starters on offense and 7 on defense. They are 3-4 ATS on the road vs ranked teams the last 5 years but also 3-1 ATS as an AD the last 4 years. Chryst is just 14-20-1 ATS as a HF with Wisky. I find it tough to go vs either team here so will call it right at the number.

Wisconsin By 5.6

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Team & Margin


+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Wisconsin 27 Penn St 23

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

Rush OffPass OffTotal Off

0.30

1.53

By 1.85 Points31

107 yards

Total Def

0.00

Wisconsin OL

0.35

Wisconsin ST's

Penn St DL

Penn St ST's

Wisconsin DB's

Pass Def


Sks Allowed

Total TO's

Score DefSks By

Ball St

0-0vs. BIG 10

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-00-0TM +/-

TEAM

Penn St Nittany Lions Wisconsin BadgersBadgers LogsNittany Lions Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. BIG 100-0

Iowaat Rutgers

Rush Def

Score Off

Penn St Wisconsin

Northwestern

Net Offense Defense

19-25-160

Penn St

0.67

Penn St QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds



TE

AM

AV

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AG

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Pen

n S

t N

itta

ny

Lion

s

Wis

con

sin

Bad

ger

s

Wisconsin

0.56

Penn St RB's

Wisconsin LB's

Wisconsin DL

Penn St OL

Penn St LB'S

Wisconsin RB's

Wisconsin K

188 yards

Penn StProjected Final Score

Wisconsin 28-21

Wisconsin by 4

Wisconsin 350-317

0.10

Penn St K

Penn St

Penn St Coaches

Wisconsin 350 yards

60

Penn St Wisconsin45

Experience Rankings28 pointsWisconsinPenn St

Penn St Wisconsin

21 points

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Wisconsin QB/WR

Penn St

Projected Yardage TotalPenn St Wisconsin

317 yards

Las Vegas LineWisconsin By 5.5

Net Defense

Score

Penn St Eastern Michigan Bye† Notre Dame Michiganat Illinois Army West Pointat Purdue

at Ohio Stat Maryland Michigan Rutgersat Michigan St

Auburn Villanova Indianaat Iowa Bye Illinois

at Wisconsin

Ypg Diff


0-0 0-0 117 127 9/4 123 105 81 52 31 111 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 117 9/4 52 31 111 123 105 810-0 0-0 121 9/11 73 48 3 0-0 0-0 139 9/11 15 34 60-0 0-0 139 9/18 15 34 6 0-0 0-0 119 9/18 104 86 90

9/25 #108 #78 0-0 0-0 143 9/25 14 6 360-0 0-0 116 10/2 102 80 46 #81 #54 0-0 0-0 145 10/2 3 4 2

10/9 #104 #67 0-0 0-0 138 10/9 7 60 1030-0 0-0 124 10/16 70 59 34 #99 #86 0-0 0-0 132 10/16 22 20 250-0 0-0 122 10/23 74 29 47 #61 #121 10/230-0 0-0 105 10/30 68 117 27 #40 #95 0-0 0-0 132 10/30 50 28 510-0 0-0 126 11/6 121 113 103 #29 #104 0-0 0-0 144 11/6 16 10 160-0 0-0 112 11/13 112 75 20 #27 #107 0-0 0-0 158 11/13 8 1 11-0 0-0 105 11/20 96 115 41 #16 #98 0-0 0-0 124 11/20 75 74 300-0 0-0 110 11/27 110 87 98 #110 #77

#66 #95+1 +5



at Arkansas Rice Houston Texasat Texas GA Southern Texas Southern † Texas A&M Southern Miss at Georgia Bye at Mississippiat UTSA Auburnat UAB Ark Pine Bluff North Texas Miss Stat Charlotte at LSU WKU at Alabamaat UTEP Missouri Louisiana Tech


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Rice OwlsOwls Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

at UTSA

at Arkansas

Net

Score Off Auburnat UAB Sks Allowed Ark Pine Bluff North Texas Rush Def Miss St

Missouri Louisiana Tech Sks By

at Charlotte Pass Def at LSU WKU Total Def at Alabamaat UTEP Score Def

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Rice Houston

Rice Arkansas Texas

at Texas GA Southern Texas Southern Rush Off † Texas A&M Southern Miss Pass Off at Georgia Bye Total Off at Mississippi

TEAM

Arkansas Razorbacksvs. CUSA vs. SEC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

Razorbacks LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP0-0

Offense

TM +/-FOE

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE 0-0NCAA RANKINGS

FOE CONF

TM CONF

2.17

1.10

Arkansas DB'sRice RB's

Score

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Score

Ric

e O

wls

Rice DB's0.29

Rice OL

Arkansas DL

Arkansas OL

0.75

Arkansas RB's

Rice LB'ST

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Ark

ansa

s R

azor

bac

ks

Net

0.85

Arkansas QB/WR

0.98

Projected Passing

0.62

Rice DL

Total TO's


Arkansas LB's

Rice ArkansasRice QB/WR

Defense

Rice ST's

Arkansas ST's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

Arkansas 205 yards76 yards Rice

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Phil's Forecast:

These two haven’t played since Arkansas left the SWC back in 1990 which ended a streak of 62 consecutive seasons with a matchup. Arkansas leads series 35-29-3 & won 16 of the past 18. Arkansas has won 11 straight openers vs non-conf teams. Owls are 2-8 SU in road openers but have covered last 4 and won outright last year. Rice was +42’ vs SEC foe LSU in ‘18, lost 42-10. Rice made a late addition in QB Luke McCaffrey (PS#22) joining a veteran team with 19 starters back. Rice is 9-4 ATS as an AD under Bloomgren. Arkansas has another old rival on deck but a much bigger one in Texas. The Hogs have 19 returning starters and are actually a favorite for the first time under Pittman and playing a non conf game for the first time as well. Rice has a style of play that shrinks the clock and last year they even upset an undefeated Marshall on the road.

Arkansas By 16.4

Team & Margin

Arkansas 427-222

Arkansas 29-17

Arkansas By 19.5

50.5 Points

Arkansas By 13.6

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalRice K

Arkansas K

Rice Arkansas 222 yards

5.79

Arkansas Pts


2.58

Rice Pts

Experience Rankings76

ArkansasRice 29 points

81 Rice Arkansas

Game Grade0.50

Rice Coaches

Arkansas Coaches

+/- Ratings

1.10

Computer Yards

Computer Points


222 yards Rice Arkansas 427 yardsProjected Final Score

17 points

Arkansas by 10 Best Bet: H Rice 17 (+) Arkansas 27 By 3.21 Points

Phil Steele2

Team Schedule Strength Arkansas101 Rice Arkansas


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 101 8/28 45-0 W 33 85 126 129 127 109 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 135 121 11 9/4 11 14 78 33 85 1261-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 135 11 9/4 0 0 0 11 14 78 0-0 0-0 145 9/11 4 15 50

9/11 9/181-0 0-0 131 9/18 28 32 82 #74 #60 0-0 0-0 116 9/25 103 106 1020-0 0-0 105 9/25 119 122 121 #2 #48 0-0 0-0 131 10/2 58 67 370-1 0-0 122 10/2 90 57 86 #6 #48 10/9

10/9 #3 #42 0-0 0-0 129 10/16 81 56 1070-0 0-0 125 10/16 83 46 63 #1 #30 1-0 0-0 131 10/23 28 32 820-0 0-0 126 10/23 25 62 14 #2 #73 0-0 0-0 122 10/30 55 47 950-0 0-0 121 10/30 85 41 17 #1 #68 0-0 0-0 133 11/6 19 27 570-0 0-0 126 11/6 44 52 10 #1 #66 0-0 0-0 133 11/13 42 91 1280-0 0-0 116 11/13 94 120 122 #1 #61 0-0 0-0 135 11/20 21 9 38

11/20 #120 #90 0-0 0-0 124 11/27 71 83 691-0 0-0 124 11/27 92 58 64 #1 #59

0 -9



Connecticut 45-0 431 16 0 25 38-156 4.1 27-39 382 0 9 31-35 1.1 14-30 72 4 Fresno Stat Oregon at Ohio St Cal Poly Stony Brookat UCLA Arizona UNLV at Stanfordat Hawaii Bye Bye Californiaat Wyoming at UCLA Nevada Coloradoat San Diego St at Washington Boise St Washington St New Mexico at Utah Bye Oregon Stat San Jose St


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

New Mexico

at San Diego St Boise St

Byeat San Jose St

Defense

Oregon 27Team Schedule Strength

Fresno St

Fresno St

Oregon

Oregon


Ret

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Con

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ts

Projected Box Score

Net Offense

FOE REC

2.00

Oregon Coaches Oregon By 19.5


+/- Ratings

Fresno St K2.45Fresno St

Projected Rushing90 yards Oregon 237 yards

Projected Passing

Projected Final Score11.17

Oregon

39 pointsExperience Rankings

26 101 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.00

Fresno St Pts

Total Def Washington St

Sks Allowed at UCLA

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def at Utah Sks By Oregon St

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ore

gon

Du

cks

Net Offense

Score

Fres

no

St

Bu

lldog

s

Score Off

Oregonat Ohio St Stony Brook

Fresno St

Rush Off ArizonaPass Off

California

Pass Def at Washington

at Stanford

Rush Def Colorado

Total Off Bye

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

Bulldogs Logs

TM REC

Fresno St Bulldogs

at UCLA UNLV

Nevadaat Wyoming

at Hawaii Bye

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Oregon Ducks1-0 0-0OVERALL:

vs. PAC 12vs. MTW Ducks Logs

0.62

Oregon LB's

Fresno St RB's

Fresno St OL

Fresno St OregonPosition by Position Edges

TM CONF

TM CONF

0-0FOE CONF TM +/-

Score

0-0TM REC FOE

RECFOE +/-AP

Connecticut 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

at OregonFresno St

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

Oregon QB/WR

Oregon ST's

Fresno St DB's

Fresno St ST's

0.74

Oregon RB's

Fresno St DL1.22

Oregon OLFresno St LB'S

0.70

Oregon DL

0.80

2.25Las Vegas Line

TM +/- FOE +/-

Cal Poly

Phil SteeleOregon129

Oregon K

Team & Margin

519 yards


351 yards Fresno St Oregon

260 yards Fresno St

Oregon By 20.5

Oregon By 14.5

Game Grade

Oregon 519-351

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Oregon 39-26

Fresno St Coaches

26 pointsOregon Pts

Fresno St

Defense

--PS RANK--

Phil's Forecast:

Fresno has played more non-conf games vs current Pac-12 foes (73) than any other conference. The Bulldogs won the first 2 meetings ('81-'82) vs Oregon but have lost 7 straight (4-3 ATS). Seven of the 9 games in this series were decided by one score (4.7 ppg). These two teams last met in ‘12 when UO won 42-25 (-34’) in Eugene. Fresno is loaded this year with 19 returning starters after a 3-3 year in which Kalen Deboer was a first year head coach with no spring. QB Jake Haener is a transfer from Washington and is surrounded by talented skill players like RB Ronnie Rivers and WR’s Jalen Cropper and Keric Wheatfall. Oregon has 16 returning starters but Cristobal is just 6-8 ATS as a HF and they have a huge game at Ohio State on deck plus Fresno has a GUB edge after beating Connecticut 45-0 last week with a 538-107 yard edge. The Bulldogs are a much improved team and that Ohio State game on deck could have the Bruins resting starters late if they get ahead.

Fresno St QB/WR0.39

Oregon DB's

Oregon by 14 Oregon 41 Fresno St 27By 11.17 Points


0-0 0-0 132 121 9/4 60 30 68 61 77 89 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 132 9/4 61 77 89 60 30 689/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 125 9/18 76 23 77 1-0 1-0 124 9/18 66 94 490-0 0-0 149 9/25 1 3 22 #91 #81 0-0 0-0 121 9/25 54 123 1270-0 0-0 126 10/2 31 45 53 #28 #35 0-0 0-0 143 10/2 64 22 40-0 0-0 129 10/9 93 38 70 #49 #53 0-0 0-0 145 10/9 4 15 50

10/16 #83 #97 10/160-0 0-0 139 10/23 17 11 15 #80 #53 0-0 0-0 134 10/23 27 98 610-0 0-0 146 10/30 2 19 110 #31 #117 0-0 0-0 141 10/30 30 8 580-0 0-0 132 11/6 45 36 71 #6 #28 0-0 0-0 142 11/6 18 12 90-0 0-0 125 11/13 53 96 19 #8 #86 0-0 0-0 124 11/13 78 90 1160-0 0-0 139 11/20 15 34 6 #24 #81 0-0 0-0 132 11/20 41 50 400-0 0-0 108 11/27 127 121 117 #42 #77 0-0 0-0 128 11/27 99 49 5

#15 #73+2 -7



at Maryland West Virginia Long Island Howard Virginia Tech at Illinoisat Oklahoma Kent St Texas Tech Iowaat Baylor at Ohio St Bye Byeat TCU at Minnesota Iowa St Indiana Oklahoma St Penn Stat Kansas St at Michigan St Texas Michiganat Kansas at Rutgers


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Texas Tech

103

TM REC FOE REC

Long Island

Maryland



160 yards West Virginia

Projected Passing

West Virginia Maryland

400 yards West Virginia Maryland


West Virginia Maryland 26 points

Experience Rankings

31 points

at Kansas St Total Def at Michigan St Texas Score Def Michiganat Kansas Sks By at Rutgers

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

Wes

t V

irg

inia

Mou

nta

iner

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Mar

ylan

d T

erra

pin

s

Net Offense

Virginia Tech at Illinoisat Oklahoma Rush Off Kent St

Mountainers Logs--PS RANK--

Bye Score Off

0-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE 0-0TM REC FOE

REC

Iowaat Ohio St Bye

at TCU Sks Allowed at Minnesota Iowa St Rush Def Indiana Oklahoma St

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

at Maryland 2020 TEAM RANKINGS West Virginia

at Baylor Total Off

Maryland OL


0.47

West Virginia RB's

Maryland LB's

West Virginia QB/WR

373 yards

0.24

Maryland DB's

West Virginia Maryland

West Virginia DL

Projected Rushing

240 yards 244 yards

Maryland 129 yards

Maryland Pts

Maryland has lost 9 of the last 10 (2-8 ATS) vs West Virginia and hasn’t beaten WVU at home since a 34-7 (-9’) win in ‘03. UM’s last win in the series was a 37-0 shutout (-3’) in ‘13 in Baltimore. These two are former rivals, facing off each season from 1976-2007 and then again from ‘10-’15. WVU has won B2B meetings vs the Terps including the last time here (‘14) when they posted 694 yds to edge out Maryland 40-37. Maryland has a healthy Taulia Tagoviaola at QB and were potent with him last year putting up 45 on Minnesota and 35 on Penn St and he is throwing to my #25 set of WR’s. They only have Howard on deck. WV has 17 returning starters as well and while not as explosive on offense they do have my #20 rated defense compared to MD’s #67 rated unit. The schools are just a little over 3 hours apart so WV is 4-1 ATS when traveling here and usually bring a decent amount of fans. A key to Maryland the last 3 years has been when they run into teams with a solid rush defense they struggle. In Mike Locksley’s two years they are 1-11 SU when they rush for less than 185 ypg and are 4-1 when they top 185 ypg rush. West Virginia has my #19 defense and last year held all but two teams under that total.

W Virginia By 3

West Virginia ST's

Maryland ST's

0.95

West Virginia Coaches

0.80

West Virginia K

Maryland K

Maryland Coaches

W Virginia By 8.0

W Virginia By 3.0

W Virginia 400-373

Game Grade

+/- Ratings


4.09

West Virginia Pts

W Virginia 31-2667 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

W Virginia by 10West Virginia 30 Maryland 20

By 3.51 Points

Phil SteeleWest Virginia

Computer Points

0.58Computer Yards

TM CONF

FOE CONF

West Virginia Mountainers

Maryland QB/WR


AP

vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 10

0.34

0.97

West Virginia LB'S

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

0.24

West Virginia OL

Maryland DL

Team & Margin

0.64

Defense

Terrapins LogsFOE

Pass Def Penn St

0-0 Maryland Terrapins

West Virginia

Pass Off

Maryland Howard

Ret

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Projected Box Score


76 West Virginia Maryland 23

Maryland RB's

0.03

West Virginia DB's

West Virginia


0-0 0-0 141 143 17 18 9/4 30 8 58 64 22 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 143 141 18 17 9/4 64 22 4 30 8 589/11 0-0 0-0 146 9/11 2 19 110

0-0 0-0 137 9/18 46 5 48 0-0 0-0 121 9/18 54 123 1270-0 0-0 112 9/25 112 75 20 #112 #56 0-0 0-0 120 9/25 118 76 920-0 0-0 142 10/2 18 12 9 #43 #96 0-0 0-0 121 10/2 61 77 89

10/9 #93 #86 0-0 0-0 142 10/9 18 12 90-0 0-0 124 10/16 78 90 116 #61 #40 0-0 0-0 127 10/16 48 71 1010-0 0-0 145 10/23 4 15 50 #26 #30 10/230-0 0-0 121 10/30 61 77 89 #34 #13 0-0 0-0 142 10/30 23 16 830-0 0-0 132 11/6 41 50 40 #75 #37 0-0 0-0 132 11/6 89 53 740-0 0-0 128 11/13 99 49 5 #47 #12 0-0 0-0 134 11/13 27 98 610-0 0-0 134 11/20 27 98 61 #22 #10 1-0 1-0 124 11/20 66 94 490-0 0-0 127 11/27 48 71 101 #29 #42 0-1 0-1 130 11/26 65 54 99

#71 #39+8 +9



at Iowa Indiana Idaho at Iowa St Cincinnati Kent Stat WKU Colorado Stat Penn St at Maryland Bye Penn St Michigan St Purdue Ohio St Byeat Maryland at Wisconsinat Michigan at Northwestern Rutgers Minnesota Minnesota Illinoisat Purdue at Nebraska


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - 52.5 16 22 25-67

Iowa - -4 42 26 32-159 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Hoosiers Logs

Projected Rushing

Indiana

at WKU

Ohio St

21-33-320

Projected Box Score


43


--PS RANK--

FOE

at Maryland

AP TEAMFOE +/-

Net Offense Defense

Ind

ian

a H

oosi

ers

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Iow

a H

awke

yes

Net Offense

0.69

Pass Def at Northwestern Rutgers Total Def Minnesotaat Michigan

Score Def Illinoisat Purdue Sks By at Nebraska Minnesota

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Indiana HoosiersHawkeyes Logs

--PS RANK--TM CONF


FOE

FOEFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE 0-0 0-0TM REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Iowa Hawkeyes0-0 0-0

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Indiana Idaho

Indiana Iowaat Iowa St

Cincinnati Kent St

at Iowa 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Off Colorado Stat Penn St Pass Off at Maryland

Total Off Penn St Michigan St Score Off Purdue Bye

Sks Allowed ByeRush Def at Wisconsin

Iowa LB's

0.08

Indiana OL0.27

Iowa DL

Indiana IowaIndiana QB/WR

0.30

Iowa DB's


Indiana DL

Iowa OL

Indiana RB's

Iowa By 7.1Indiana CoachesIowa K

Indiana is opening B2B years vs a Big 10 opponent (LY vs PSU) for the 1st time S/’81-’82 (NW). Indiana has dropped the last 3 in the series (0-3 ATS) and the last 3 here losing 7 of the last 8 overall SU. Indiana hasn’t played here since ’14 in a 45-29 loss (+3’). In the last meeting (‘18), Iowa QB Stanley passed for 320 yds & 6 td’s in a 42-16 win (-4). The Hoosiers have covered 7 in a row as an AD with two outright upsets and they only have Idaho on deck. Iowa was one of the hottest teams in college football down the stretch last year winning their last 6 games by 21.8 ppg and are 9-6 ATS as a HF the last 3 years but do have rival Iowa State on deck. Iowa has 7 starters back on both sides of the ball and Indy has 17 back overall. This is Tom Allen’s first ever trip to Kinnick stadium. Tough to go vs either team here.

Indiana Pts

Iowa Pts

Las Vegas Line

1.30Las Vegas Total

46 Points

Team & Margin

Iowa By 3.5

+/- Ratings

Indiana ST's2.49

Iowa ST'sIndiana K

Indiana DB's

Iowa QB/WR

Indiana LB'S

Iowa RB's


211 yards Indiana Iowa

21 points Indiana

Game GradeIowa By 7.9

Computer YardsIowa 341-271Iowa

Iowa Coaches0.40

5.54

271 yards Indiana

Phil's Forecast:


60 yards

vs. BIG 10

196 yards

Indiana Iowa

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)Comp-Att-Yds

31-42-263

Ret

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Con

ten

ts

1.32

1.18

vs. BIG 10

Iowa 24 Indiana 20By 3.04 Points

Iowa 24-21

Phil SteeleIowa


Iowa by 4

Computer PointsIowa 112

Team Schedule Strength10 Indiana Iowa

40

Iowa


0-0 0-0 120 137 8 9/4 113 103 91 46 5 48 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 120 8 9/4 46 5 48 113 103 910-0 0-0 134 9/11 27 98 61 9/11

9/18 0-0 0-0 141 9/18 30 8 580-0 0-0 120 9/25 109 82 55 #99 #21 9/250-0 0-0 116 10/2 77 89 42 #59 #57 0-0 0-0 137 10/2 20 7 130-0 0-0 117 10/9 107 118 29 #89 #24 0-0 0-0 112 10/9 106 111 1180-0 0-0 99 10/16 124 125 123 #63 #19 0-0 0-0 130 10/16 10 69 760-0 0-0 130 10/23 87 88 97 #11 #67 0-0 0-0 121 10/23 117 92 1200-0 0-0 123 10/30 88 110 54 #25 #17 0-0 0-0 127 10/30 69 72 730-0 0-0 115 11/6 116 104 112 #112 #42 0-0 0-0 129 11/6 51 39 1290-0 0-0 84 11/13 126 128 115 #57 #16 0-0 0-0 116 11/13 108 108 85

11/20 #53 #12 0-0 0-0 123 11/20 29 84 320-0 0-0 121 11/27 54 123 127 #86 #17 0-0 0-0 128 11/27 56 95 44

#79 #110 +5



at Cincinnati Miami, OHat Minnesota Murray St Long Island at Indianaat Army West Point Bye Central Michigan at Notre Dameat Eastern Michigan Temple Akron UCFat Ball St at Navyat Ohio at Tulane Buffalo Tulsa Bowling Green at USF Bye SMUat Kent St at East Carolina


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2019 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Cincinnati - -17.5 35 23 48-234

Miami, Oh - 49 13 14 40-64 02018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Cincinnati - 49.5 21 13 51-188

Miami, Oh - -1 0 11 19-59 -12017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Cincinnati - 48.5 21 21 35-139

Miami, Oh - -5 17 14 32-70 12016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Cincinnati - -16 27 28 49-185

Miami, Oh - 57 20 14 30-65 1 Miami, OH


FOE REC

TEAMTM CONF


AP --PS RANK--

Miami, OH RedhawksRedhawks Logs

TM REC

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Cin

cin

nat

i Bea

rcat

s

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Mia

mi,

OH

Red

haw

ks

22-41-139

Comp-Att-Yds

24-43-222

16-31-221

162 yards Miami, OH Cincinnati

37 points

32

113 Miami, OH

0.08

Miami, OH DL

at Ball St Sks Allowed at Navyat Ohio Rush Def at Tulane Buffalo Pass Def Tulsa Bowling Green Total Def at USF Bye Score Def SMUat Kent St Sks By at East Carolina

at Cincinnati 2020 TEAM RANKINGS Miami, OHat Minnesota

Miami, OH Cincinnati Murray St

Long Island at Indianaat Army West Point Rush Off Bye Central Michigan Pass Off at Notre Dame

OVERALL:

FOE +/-AP

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--

OVERALL: Cincinnati Bearcats0-0 0-0vs. AAC Bearcats Logs

Miami, OH

vs. MAC

CincinnatiMiami, OH QB/WR

1.58

Cincinnati DB's

Miami, OH DB's1.72

Cincinnati QB/WR


0-0

Defense

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff

0-0TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMFOE

at Eastern Michigan Total Off Temple Akron Score Off UCF

Cincinnati OL

0.14

Miami, OH LB'S

Cincinnati RB's

Miami, OH RB's1.61

Cincinnati LB'sMiami, OH OL

1.92

Cincinnati DL

Comp-Att-Yds

Cincinnati K6-11-45

Projected Rushing41 yards Miami, OH Cincinnati

Team & Margin

0.45Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Last years’ matchup in Oxford cancelled due to COVID-19. If Bearcats are able to secure a win for the Victory Bell this year, they will tie the all-time series at 59-59-7. UC is 11-6-1 ATS as a HF the last 3 years. RedHawks last defeated the rival Bearcats here in 2005, losing the last 14 straight (5-9 ATS) by 20 ppg! First met 1888 & played every year from 1945-2019. Cincy has 14 returning starters and looks even stronger than last years’ squad which got as high as #6 AP and finished #8. Miami does have 19 returning starters but only played 3 games last year. They play tough defense and special teams and their offense likes to shrink the clock to keep them in games. Coach Martin is on a 25-9 run in MAC play SU as he focuses on those games and is just 2-11 ATS in non conf games the last 4 years.

Cincinnati By 22.5

50.5 Points

0.65

Cincinnati By 22.1


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Con

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Projected Box Score Miami, OH ST's0.70

Cincinnati ST's

Miami, OH Coaches


304 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

14-30-186

10-18-143

Cincinnati

Game Grade203 yards Miami, OH Cincinnati 482 yards Cincinnati Coaches

+/- Ratings

Cincinnati By 25.4

Miami, OH K

Cincinnati 38 Miami, Oh 10By 8.42 Points

Phil SteeleCincinnati by 28

Cincinnati 482-203Comp-Att-Yds

25-38-276

13-24-248

Computer Yards

Computer PointsCincinnati 37-14


72

95 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Cincinnati

CincinnatiMiami, OH Pts

8.64Miami, OHExperience Rankings Cincinnati Pts

14 points

Cincinnati


0-0 0-0 114 121 9/4 93 61 39 117 92 120 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 114 9/4 117 92 120 93 61 399/11 0-0 0-0 125 9/11 82 97 124

0-0 0-0 128 9/18 56 95 44 0-0 0-0 121 9/18 73 48 30-0 0-0 126 9/23 37 25 28 #49 #50 0-0 0-0 130 9/25 10 69 760-0 0-0 117 10/2 98 109 125 #79 #125 0-0 0-0 123 10/2 29 84 320-0 0-0 101 10/9 125 124 93 #68 #122 0-0 0-0 123 10/9 36 66 600-0 0-0 105 10/16 68 117 27 #64 #119 0-0 0-0 137 10/16 46 5 48

10/23 #32 #89 0-0 0-0 129 10/23 51 39 1290-0 0-0 108 10/30 120 99 21 #6 #104 0-0 0-0 137 10/30 20 7 130-0 0-0 116 11/6 91 44 108 #16 #15 0-0 0-0 128 11/6 56 95 440-0 0-0 122 11/13 74 29 47 #6 #52 11/130-0 0-0 126 11/20 121 113 103 #4 #75 0-0 0-0 112 11/20 106 111 1180-0 0-0 112 11/27 112 75 20 #29 #116 0-0 0-0 120 11/27 109 82 55

#18 #114 12/4+3 -2



at Navy Marshall NC Central Air Force East Carolina at Houstonat Appalachian St UCFat Middle Tennessee SMU Old Dominion at Memphisat North Texas Cincinnati Bye at Tulsa FIU at Notre Dameat Florida Atlantic East Carolina UAB Byeat Charlotte at Temple WKU Army West Point

Bye


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF


Marshall Navy 295 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Navy will open the 2021 season at home Sept. 4 against Marshall. That contest is also meaningful as it commemorates the 50th anniversary of the plane crash that devastated the Marshall football program. Jack Lengyel, longtime athletic director at Navy, was hired as head coach to rebuild Marshall football after 37 players and numerous support personnel were killed when the plane crashed. MARSH: Not only first meeting, but only other 2 meetings vs Service Academies were in 1920 & 1997 vs Army. The Herd are 2-4 SU in road openers but have covered 5 straight including LY’s 38-14 win at WKU. NAVY: Navy had won five straight home openers before last year’s 55-3 (+1) blowout loss to BYU.The Midshipmen last faced a CUSA foe when they opened at FAU in ‘17, a 42-19 (-10) victory.


+/- RatingsMarshall Coaches

Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineNavy ST's Marshall By 2.5Marshall K

3.45

Navy By 11.3

Navy Coaches

Marshall DB's

ByeTotal TO's

Ypg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Mar

shal

l Th

un

der

ing

Her

d

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Nav

y M

idsh

ipm

en

Net Offense

Marshall Navy

0.33

Marshall QB/WR

Navy DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Marshall ST's

1.16

Marshall DL

Navy OL

Pass Off

FIU Rush Def at Notre Dame Bye

Pass Def East Carolina UAB Total Def Byeat Florida Atlantic

Score Def at Temple WKU Sks By Army West Pointat Charlotte

AP

Marshall Thundering Herdvs. AAC

Marshall LB'S0.16

Navy RB's

0.70

Marshall RB's1.25

Navy LB's

0.83

Marshall OL

Total OffScore Off

Sks Allowed

vs. CUSA Midshipmen LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Navy Midshipmen0-0 0-0

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

Thundering Herd Logs


FOE

Defense

Score Score

Air Forceat Houston

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Marshall

Marshall Navy

SMUat Appalachian St

at Memphisat North Texas Cincinnati Old Dominion

at Tulsa

East Carolina

at Navy NC Central

Rush Off UCFat Middle Tennessee

Navy DL

Ret

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Con

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Projected Box Score

5.41

Projected Rushing134 yards Marshall Navy 200 yards

Projected PassingMarshall Navy

0.55

Navy K

Navy QB/WR

2.82

NavyComputer Yards

Marshall 24-23

Marshall 311-295

Computer Points41 Marshall Navy POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:


Experience Rankings Navy PtsMarshall 5.83

Marshall Pts

24 points

95 yards177 yards

23 points

Marshall By 9.9Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade311 yards

119 Marshall Navy

102

73 Navy by 3 Navy 23 Marshall 20By 0.42 Points

Marshall Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength


0-0 0-0 133 158 14 1 9/4 5 17 31 8 1 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 158 133 1 14 9/4 8 1 1 5 17 310-0 0-0 126 9/11 37 25 28 9/110-0 0-0 124 9/18 78 90 116 0-0 0-0 135 9/18 32 26 59

9/25 #66 #45 0-0 0-0 116 9/25 102 80 460-0 0-0 129 10/2 95 79 119 #29 #5 0-0 0-0 138 10/2 7 60 103

10/9 #32 #5 0-0 0-0 143 10/9 14 6 360-0 0-0 136 10/16 9 35 43 #27 #2 0-0 0-0 132 10/16 50 28 510-0 0-0 129 10/23 38 13 26 #116 #67 0-0 0-0 120 10/23 79 65 330-0 0-0 126 10/30 43 21 35 #79 #20 0-0 0-0 144 10/30 16 10 160-0 0-0 124 11/6 62 43 96 #67 #71 0-1 0-0 94 11/6 115 130 560-0 0-0 127 11/13 26 37 72 #71 #35 0-0 0-0 127 11/13 52 31 1110-0 0-0 125 11/20 76 23 77 #54 #17 0-0 0-0 132 11/20 22 20 250-0 0-0 114 11/27 105 102 11 #17 #7

#50 #5+4 +10



† Alabama † Miami, Fl Appalachian St Mercer Michigan St at Florida Central Conn St Southern Miss Virginia Mississippi Bye at Texas A&Mat North Carolina at Miss St NC State Tennesseeat Pittsburgh LSU Georgia Tech New Mexico Stat Florida St Arkansas Virginia Tech at Auburnat Duke


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Miami, Fl Hurricanes

FOE


Alabama 504 yards

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Mia

mi,

Fl H

urr

ican

es

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

Net Offense

Miami, Fl AlabamaMiami, Fl QB/WR

0.32

Alabama DB's

Defense

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Alabama ST's Alabama By 19.5

193 yards

at Miss St Bye

Tennesseeat Pittsburgh Rush Def LSU NC State

Pass Def New Mexico StTotal Def Arkansas

Georgia Tech

Score Def at Auburnat Duke Sks By Virginia Tech

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Appalachian StMiami, Fl Alabama

Mercer Michigan St at Florida

FOE RECTM REC

† Alabama

Central Conn St

at Florida St

Sks Allowed

vs. ACC vs. SEC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide0-0 0-0Hurricanes Logs Crimson Tide Logs

FOEFOE


CONFTM +/- FOE +/-FOETEAM --PS RANK--0-0 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS † Miami, Fl

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Rush Off Southern Miss Virginia Pass Off Mississippi

Total Off at Texas A&Mat North Carolina Score Off

Score Score


Miami, Fl K

Miami, Fl DL0.53

Alabama OLMiami, Fl LB'S

0.49

Alabama RB's

Miami, Fl RB's1.58

Alabama LB'sMiami, Fl OL

0.75

Alabama DL

Miami, Fl ST's1.00

Team & Margin

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2.15

Alabama By 26.9

Projected Rushing

Miami, Fl Alabama 312 yardsProjected Passing

86 yards Miami, Fl Alabama

235 yards

2.50Las Vegas Total

Alabama K61.5 Points

+/- RatingsMiami, Fl Coaches

Alabama By 27.9

0.39

Miami, Fl DB's

Alabama QB/WR

Game GradeAlabama Coaches

Phil's Forecast:

Alabama has won their last 19 season openers. This would be the first Alabama-Miami meeting since New Year’s Day 1993 when the Tide scored the upset to win the 1992 national championship. Bama has won their last 10 Neutral Site openers by 25 ppg. Bama is 5-0 at Mercedes Benz Stadium which also hosts SEC Title Game. UM lost Neutral Site openers to LSU foes LSU & FL in ‘18 & ‘19. Miami gets QB D’Eriq King back from his ACL and hopefully he is 100%. The Hurricanes and the much more veteran team with 19 returning starters while the Tide has just 11 losing their #1 DC QB, two #1 DC WR’s, #1 DC RB and 3 starting OL’s. Not only does Bama rate the edge in openers but the also fare much better in big games as Miami lost to Clemson last year 42-17 and to North Carolina 62-26. My favorite lean in this game is the UNDER as the Tide have the best defense in the country and their offense lost so much including their coordinator and Manny Diaz is taking over as play caller of the Miami D and has 10 starters back.

Computer Yards

Alabama 40-23

9.31 Alabama 504-321

Computer Points8 Miami, Fl Alabama 124 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:


Experience Rankings Alabama PtsMiami, Fl 0.39

Miami, Fl Pts

23 points 40 points

Projected Yardage Total321 yards Miami, Fl

Alabama

46 Miami, Fl Alabama 5 Alabama by 14 Alabama 34 Miami, Fl 20By 8.92 Points

Alabama Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength


0-0 0-0 95 126 9/4 128 129 84 43 21 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 126 95 9/4 43 21 35 128 129 840-0 0-0 129 9/11 24 64 45 0-0 0-0 120 9/11 79 65 330-0 0-0 117 9/18 107 118 29 0-0 0-0 114 9/18 49 93 1000-0 0-0 126 9/25 35 40 87 #126 #109 9/250-0 0-0 119 10/2 72 51 113 #123 #39 0-0 0-0 124 10/2 62 43 960-1 0-0 101 10/9 129 127 109 #127 #79 10/9

10/16 #127 #60 0-0 0-0 125 10/16 76 23 770-0 0-0 127 10/23 26 37 72 #26 #100 0-0 0-0 146 10/23 6 2 670-0 0-0 126 10/30 34 55 75 #128 #5 0-0 0-0 133 10/30 5 17 31

11/6 #39 #86 0-0 0-0 114 11/6 105 102 1111/13 #119 #24 0-0 0-0 136 11/13 9 35 43

0-0 0-0 120 11/20 109 82 55 #122 #40 0-0 0-0 129 11/20 95 79 1190-1 0-0 94 11/27 115 130 56 #101 #1 0-0 0-0 121 11/27 84 68 18

#127 #47-5 +4



at Pittsburgh UMass Boston College at Tennessee Eastern Michigan Western Michiganat Coastal Carolina New Hampshire Toledo at Georgia Tech Connecticut Bye Bye at Virginia Techat Florida St Clemsonat Liberty Miami, Fl Rhode Island at Duke Maine North Carolinaat Army West Point Virginiaat New Mexico St at Syracuse

Average 0-45 -431.0 -16.0 0.0 9 31-35 1.1 46.7% 72 13.3% 25 38-156 4.1 69.2% 382 0.0% Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-45 -431.0 -16.0 0.0 9 31-35 1.1 46.7% 72 13.3% 25 38-156 4.1 69.2% 382 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

106 UMassTeam Schedule Strength

78

124 yards UMass

Net Offense Defense

UM

ass

Min

ute

men

LEA

DE

RS

& T

EA

M A

VE

RA

GE

S

Pit

tsb

urg

h P

anth

ers

Net Offense

at New Mexico St Sks By at Syracuseat Army West Point

Total TO'sYpg Diff


AP

at Pittsburgh Boston College Eastern Michiganat Coastal Carolina Toledo

Bye Connecticut

Sks Allowedat Liberty Rush Defat Florida St

Pass Def North Carolina

Rhode Island

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

UMass Pittsburgh

Rush OffPass OffTotal OffScore Off

Projected Rushing10 yards UMass Pittsburgh 230 yards

Projected Passing

Byeat Virginia Tech Clemson Miami, Fl

Score Def Virginia

2.29

Pittsburgh RB's

UMass DL1.69

Pittsburgh OLUMass LB'S

UMassat Tennessee Western Michigan New Hampshireat Georgia Tech

vs. IND vs. ACC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Minutemen Logs

Pittsburgh Panthers0-0 0-0UMass Minutemen

Score Score


FOETEAM

Panthers Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM RECFOE TM

CONF

at Duke Maine Total Def

Defense

UMass RB's2.34

Pittsburgh LB'sUMass OL

2.00

Pittsburgh DL

UMass PittsburghUMass QB/WR

1.19

Pittsburgh DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFirst meeting. Pitt OC Mark Whipple was head coach of the Minutemen from 1998-2003, winning the Division I-AA national championship in '98. Whipple left UMass in 2004, but returned for a five-year stint from 2014-18. Minutemen are 5-23 vs ACC teams with all but loss to NC St in ‘05 coming vs BC. UMass is 0-3 SU & ATS since moving up to FBS in 2012 including a 55-21 (+17’) loss to BC in ‘18. Pitt is 6-1 SU but only 1-4-1 ATS in home openers. Pitt has an NFL QB in Kenny Pickett, dynamic RB in Israel Abanikanda, dangerous receivers and a veteran Oline. They have my number 28 defense. Walt Bell dealt with ridiculous circumstances and schedule last year and they lost by an average score of 40-3 in their 4 games. This is a vastly improved team that could be a spread darling early in the year. Colorado transfer Tyler Lytle (PS#34) takes over at QB. Pitt has a big game at Tennessee and Narduzzi is just 8-15-1 ATS as a HF.

114 yards UMass Pittsburgh 327 yards

Pittsburgh By 43.7Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

UMass ST's0.43

Team & Margin

1.55

1.90Las Vegas Total

Pittsburgh K

Pittsburgh QB/WR

UMass DB's


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Projected Box Score

UMass K

Computer YardsUMass

UMass Pittsburgh 60

8 points

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

65

Pittsburgh 557 yards

46 points Pittsburgh 557-124Projected Final Score

0.00

UMass Pts15.03

Experience Rankings Pittsburgh Pts

Pittsburgh ST's Pittsburgh By 38

Pittsburgh By 35.3+/- Ratings

UMass Coaches1.65

Pittsburgh Coaches

56 Points

Pittsburgh by 35 Pittsburgh 45 UMass 10By 15.03 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points

Pittsburgh 46-8

Phil SteelePittsburgh


0-0 0-0 116 124 9/4 77 89 42 75 74 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 116 9/4 75 74 30 77 89 429/11 0-0 0-0 125 9/11 67 42 52

0-0 0-0 144 9/18 16 10 16 9/180-0 0-0 108 9/25 120 99 21 #15 #90 0-0 0-0 129 9/25 24 64 450-0 0-0 120 10/2 113 103 91 #85 #32 0-0 0-0 120 10/2 79 65 330-0 0-0 123 10/9 88 110 54 #43 #59 0-0 0-0 105 10/9 68 117 270-0 0-0 119 10/16 72 51 113 #41 #79 0-0 0-0 143 10/16 14 6 360-0 0-0 112 10/23 114 119 88 #42 #49 10/23

10/30 #30 #64 0-0 0-0 112 10/30 111 116 1060-0 0-0 114 11/3 49 93 100 #121 #85 0-0 0-0 145 11/6 3 4 20-0 0-0 121 11/10 54 123 127 #84 #70 0-0 0-0 117 11/13 40 73 620-0 0-0 130 11/17 87 88 97 #74 #86 0-0 0-0 135 11/20 32 26 590-0 0-0 117 11/26 107 118 29 #61 #56 0-0 0-0 127 11/27 52 31 111

#63 #60+6 -4



at Missouri Central Michigan Robert Morris at Kentuckyat LSU SE Missouri St FIU at Boston Collegeat Miami, OH Tennesseeat Ohio North Texas Toledo Texas A&M Northern Illinois Bye Bye at Vanderbiltat Western Michigan at Georgia Kent St South Carolinaat Ball St Florida Eastern Michigan at Arkansas


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Score

21

FOE

Kent Stat Ball St Eastern Michigan

Net Offense Defense

95 C Michigan Missouri

Projected Rushing

C Michigan ChippewasChippewas Logs

TM REC FOE REC

at Missouri 2020 TEAM RANKINGS Central Michigan Robert Morris

C Michigan Missouriat Kentucky

at LSU SE Missouri St FIU Rush Off at Boston College

at Ohio Toledo Northern Illinois

vs. MACFOE

OVERALL: Missouri Tigers0-0 0-0OVERALL:

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Miami, OH Pass Off

vs. SEC Tigers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP

Projected Passing159 yards C Michigan Missouri 320 yards

0.22

0.21

C Michigan Missouri

Sks Allowed Bye Bye Rush Def at Vanderbiltat Western Michigan Pass Def at Georgia

FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- TM CONF


AP

Sks By at Arkansas

Total Def South CarolinaScore Def Florida

TennesseeTotal Off North TexasScore Off Texas A&M

FOE

C Michigan RB's

Missouri LB's

Missouri DLC Michigan DL

0.06

Missouri OL

C Michigan OL

C Michigan Missouri

0.22

Missouri DB's

Defense

C Michigan QB/WR

0.33

Score


C M

ich

igan

Ch

ipp

ewas

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Mis

sou

ri T

iger

s

Net Offense

C Michigan LB'S

Missouri RB's


C Michigan DB's0.57

Missouri QB/WR

178 yardsMissouri K

C Michigan Coaches

C MichiganTeam Schedule Strength

34 points

By 2.47 Points

C Michigan Missouri 477 yards

2.00


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Projected Box Score C Michigan ST's0.60

Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Game GradeMissouri Coaches

Phil SteeleMissouri by 7

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line First meeting. Chippewas are 0-9 SU but 3-3-1 ATS vs SEC including covering vs Kentucky in ‘18 (35-20) as a 17 pt AD. CM is 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in road openers including outright wins at Purdue, Okla St & Kansas. The Tigers had won 14 straight home openers until last year’s loss to Alabama. The Tigers are 15-3 all-time vs MAC schools, last loss was in ‘02. MO is 17-1 SU, 11-7 ATS vs G5 foes. Missouri does have an SEC game on deck in Kentucky but is on a 12-5 ATS run as a HF. They have 8 starters back on offense including QB Connor Bazelak and 6 starters back on D. Last year coach McElwain decided to greyshirt his entire freshmen class once the MAC called off the season and then when it got restarted had to play shorthanded all year. This year they add QB Jacob Sirmon (PS#7) from Washington and has 11 starters bac on offense and 9 on defense. When McElwain was at Florida he was 1-1 SU and ATS in his trips to Missouri but is familiar with the environment and he is 7-2 ATS as a dog with the Chips.

Missouri ST's Missouri By 14C Michigan K

157 yards 60.5 Points

338 yards

28 points C Michigan

C Michigan

Missouri

18 Missouri

1.15

Missouri By 12.1

Missouri By 14.2

Missouri 477-338Projected Final Score

3.91

C Michigan Pts1.44

Experience Rankings Missouri Pts

92 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Missouri 34-28

Missouri 34 Central Michigan 27


0-0 0-0 110 132 9/4 111 87 98 50 28 51 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 110 9/4 50 28 51 111 87 989/11 0-0 0-0 129 9/11 38 13 26

0-0 0-0 123 9/18 29 84 32 0-0 0-0 123 9/18 36 66 600-0 0-0 105 9/25 68 117 27 #118 #127 0-0 0-0 144 9/25 16 10 160-0 0-0 129 10/2 38 13 26 #74 #20 0-0 0-0 143 10/2 14 6 36

10/9 #115 #101 10/91-0 0-0 105 10/16 96 115 41 #79 #108 0-0 0-0 158 10/16 8 1 10-0 0-0 124 10/23 70 59 34 #111 #121 0-0 0-0 112 10/23 111 116 1060-0 0-0 101 10/30 125 124 93 #99 #26 0-0 0-0 125 10/30 67 42 520-0 0-0 122 11/6 74 29 47 #60 #107 0-0 0-0 127 11/6 52 31 1110-0 0-0 126 11/13 121 113 103 #83 #54 0-0 0-0 132 11/13 22 20 250-0 0-0 116 11/20 102 80 46 #97 #60 11/200-0 0-0 117 11/27 123 105 81 #64 #29 0-0 0-0 138 11/27 7 60 103

#115 #88-2 -8



at Miss St Louisiana Tech SE Louisiana NC State SMU at Memphis North Texas LSUat NC State at Texas A&M Bye Byeat UTEP Alabama UTSA at Vanderbiltat Old Dominion Kentuckyat UAB at Arkansas Charlotte at Auburn Southern Miss Tennessee Stat Rice Mississippi


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category


Louisiana Tech - 48.5 3 15 32-140

Mississippi St 21 -23.5 45 26 36-289 1


Louisiana Tech - 68 21 20 50-152

Mississippi St - -9.5 57 21 40-327 2

vs.

vs.

FOE REC

AP

LA Tech Bulldogs

LA Tech LB'S

LA Tech DB's

Score

Miss St 449-208

Miss St Pts

3.18

LA Tech Pts

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

LA T

ech

Bu

lldog

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

14-31-98

17-29-243

93

0.82

Miss St QB/WR


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Projected Box Score

Miss St

at NC State

at Old Dominion

Byeat UTEP

449 yards

Projected Rushing

vs. CUSA vs. SEC Bulldogs Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

Defense

Miss St 35-17

52.5 Points


Miss St By 26.3

Miss St By 24.5

Kentucky

Total Off ByeScore Off

Pass Def

Bulldogs LogsFOE

TM REC

Score

at Rice

Comp-Att-Yds

13-30-163

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Louisiana Tech SE Louisiana

LA Tech Miss St NC State

SMU at Memphis

Alabama

North Texas Rush Off

AP

Miss St DL

0.09

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineLTech last won in Starkville in 1996. Last time here was 2018, LT was 6-2 and off 3 straight wins but trailed 31-3 at half, was outgained 532-238 in 42 point (+23’) loss. MSU is 11-3 all-time vs LA Tech and have won the last 4 meetings, all since 2011. MSU has won 4 straight season openers but did lose to South Alabama in 2016 as 28 pt favorites. This is year two for Mike Leach and last year they opened the season with 632 yards in a upset of the defending national champs which played man coverage the whole game. Miss St is much improved with 8 starters back on both sides of the ball and the benefit of a spring. In his 2nd year at Wash St the Cougars made it to a bowl in a 6-7 season but did go 9-3 ATS during the regular season. Skip Holtz has 17 returning starters and some key transfers plus will have a much healthier O-line this year and get back DE Willie Baker who opted out last year. HC Holtz is 2-13 SU but 10-5 ATS vs Power 5 foes and they only have SEL on deck while Miss St faces a tough game vs NCSt. In 2018 LT went into Baton Rouge vs #6 LSU and only lost by 17 and LT is 22-12-2 ATS as an AD the last 10 years.

Miss St ST's Miss St By 23

LA Tech K

1.28

Las Vegas Total

LA Tech ST's Team & Margin

Miss St Coaches

TEAM

Charlotte Total Def at AuburnScore Def Tennessee St

Experience Rankings49 LA Tech

Sks By Mississippi Southern Miss

Mis

s S

t B

ulld

ogs

LA Tech DL

Miss St OL

Rush Def

LA Tech

Projected Yardage Total208 yards LA Tech Miss St

Miss St RB's

LA Tech RB's1.27

Miss St LB's

0.29

LA Tech OL1.17

Miss St

27 yards LA Tech Miss St

343 yards

Projected Final Score17 points LA Tech Miss St 35 points

106 yards


LSUPass Off at Texas A&M

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Miss St Bulldogs0-0 0-0

at Miss St

Sks Allowed at Vanderbilt

at Arkansasat UAB

LA Tech Miss StLA Tech QB/WR

0.72

Miss St DB's


Net Offense

UTSA

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

88 LA Tech 8Phil Steele


1.20

5.26Computer Yards

1.60

Miss St K

Miss St

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

LA Tech Coaches13-20-132

Miss St by 17Mississippi St 37 Louisiana Tech 20By 2.08 Points

Miss St


0-0 0-0 128 139 23 21 9/4 47 33 7 15 34 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 128 21 23 9/4 15 34 6 47 33 79/11 0-0 0-0 127 9/11 52 31 111

0-0 0-0 123 9/18 88 110 54 0-0 0-0 117 9/18 123 105 810-0 0-0 126 9/25 104 86 90 #20 #35 0-0 0-0 126 9/25 31 45 530-0 0-0 106 10/2 122 107 105 #82 #27 0-0 0-0 139 10/2 17 11 150-0 0-0 126 10/9 37 25 28 #42 #19 10/9

10/16 #30 #10 0-0 0-0 149 10/16 1 3 220-0 0-0 110 10/23 86 112 66 #22 #89 0-0 0-0 132 10/23 45 36 710-0 0-0 112 10/30 100 114 79 #91 #39 0-0 0-0 129 10/30 93 38 700-0 0-0 122 11/6 59 101 114 #11 #110 0-0 0-0 146 11/6 2 19 1100-0 0-0 122 11/13 80 81 94 #36 #68 0-0 0-0 108 11/13 127 121 1170-0 0-0 126 11/20 34 55 75 #33 #63 0-0 0-0 132 11/20 60 30 680-0 0-0 96 11/27 130 126 130 #56 #64 0-0 0-0 125 11/27 53 96 19

#34 #32+10 +9



at Texas Louisiana Nicholls at Arkansas Ohio Riceat GA Southern Texas Techat South Alabama at TCU Appalachian St Bye Bye † Oklahomaat Arkansas St Oklahoma St Texas St at Baylor Georgia St at Iowa Stat Troy Kansasat Liberty at West Virginia ULM Kansas St


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Texas 258 yards


1.50

Computer YardsTexas 35 points 3.72

Texas 34 Louisiana 27

6

Score Off † Oklahomaat Arkansas St Sks Allowed Oklahoma St Texas St Rush Def at Baylor Georgia St Pass Def at Iowa St

Ret

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Projected Box Score

169 yards Louisiana Coaches

Projected Rushing Louisiana K

180 yards Louisiana Texas 219 yards

Louisiana Pts

TM +/- FOE +/-0-0

Louisiana

1.21

Texas 477 yards Texas Coaches

Louisiana ST's

Texas K


TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF



Projected Passing


at Liberty

349 yards Louisiana

ULM

FOE

Longhorns LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--

vs. BIG 12

OVERALL:Louisiana Ragin CajunsRagin Cajuns Logs vs. SUN

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

at Arkansas Ohio

Net

Score Def at West VirginiaSks By Kansas St

at GA Southernat South Alabama

Bye Bye

at Troy Total Def Kansas

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE TM CONF

FOE CONF

0-0TM REC

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Lou

isia

na

Rag

in C

aju

ns

at TCU Appalachian St Total Off

at Texas Nicholls

Louisiana Texas

Texas LB's

0.27

Louisiana OL

Texas DL

Louisiana QB/WR0.51

Texas DB's

Louisiana DL

RiceRush Off Texas TechPass Off

Texas Longhorns0-0 0-0OVERALL:

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Texa

s Lo

ng

hor

ns

Net Offense

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Louisiana

0.92

Texas OL

Louisiana RB's0.14

Total TO's

Louisiana Texas

Las Vegas LineTexas By 8

Phil's Forecast:

Four years ago, Maryland stunned Texas in Tom Herman's debut game. 3rd meeting. In the last matchup back in ‘05 LA was outgained 591-238 in a 60-3 loss. Cajuns are 2-20 all-time vs current B12 teams but upset Iowa St last year on the road in the season opener 31-14 (+11’) and Iowa St finished #9 AP!. The Longhorns have not hosted a Sun Belt team since ‘09 when they opened their season vs ULM. UT is 12-5 SU against non-conf foes the last 5 years and new HC Sarkisian is 16-13 ATS vs non-conf foes. Texas has 15 returning starters but are learning new schemes on both offense and defense. Louisiana has 10 starters back on each side of the ball and this is Napiers best team yet! He is 7-2-1 ATS as an AD.

Texas ST's

58 Points0.70Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Louisiana DB's

Texas QB/WRTeam & Margin

Texas By 16.0

Texas By 14.6

Texas 477-349

0.75

Game Grade

Louisiana LB'S0.75

Texas RB's

Texas 49By 0.71 Points

Texas by 7

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Louisiana Phil Steele

93 Louisiana

Computer PointsTexas 35-27

Texas Pts

Texas 109

3.01

Experience RankingsLouisiana

27 points Louisiana


0-0 0-0 124 8/28 45-14 W 92 58 64 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 124 15 9/4 12 19 12 92 58 641-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 134 15 9/4 0 0 0 12 19 12 0-0 0-0 131 9/11 58 67 37

9/11 0-0 0-0 133 9/18 42 91 1280-1 0-0 122 9/18 90 57 86 #92 #119 0-0 0-0 124 9/25 71 83 690-0 0-0 114 9/25 49 93 100 #1 #12 0-0 0-0 122 10/2 55 47 950-1 0-0 94 10/2 115 130 56 #4 #45 0-0 0-0 135 10/9 21 9 380-0 0-0 120 10/9 118 76 92 #3 #32 10/160-0 0-0 121 10/16 85 41 17 #1 #49 0-0 0-0 137 10/23 20 7 130-0 0-0 105 10/23 119 122 121 #16 #50 0-0 0-0 116 10/30 103 106 1020-0 0-0 125 10/30 83 46 63 #3 #46 0-0 0-0 134 11/6 13 24 230-0 0-0 126 11/6 25 62 14 #3 #43 0-0 0-0 129 11/13 81 56 1070-0 0-0 110 11/13 101 100 24 #5 #49 1-0 0-0 131 11/20 28 32 82

11/20 #127 #75 0-0 0-0 132 11/27 57 78 81-0 0-0 121 11/27 33 85 126 #2 #41

-2 +5



Southern Utah 45-14 293 4 -2 21 23-133 5.8 18-30 410 0 17 31-111 3.6 17-31 139 1 San Jose Stat USC Stanford Bye at Washington Stat Hawaii Oregon Stat Western Michigan at Colorado New Mexico St Utah at Colorado St Bye San Diego St at Notre Dameat UNLV Arizona Wyoming at Arizona Stat Nevada at California Utah St UCLA Bye BYU Fresno St

Average 45-14 293.0 4.0 -2.0 21 23-133 5.8 60.0% 410 0.0% 17 31-111 3.6 54.8% 139 3.2% Average 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE

at Hawaii

Net Offense Defense

San

Jos

e S

t S

par

tan

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

at UNLV Rush Def Wyoming

Score Def UCLA Bye Sks By BYU Utah St

US

C T

roja

ns

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff Fresno St

at Nevada

Rush Off Oregon Stat Western Michigan Pass Off at Colorado New Mexico St Total Off Utah at Colorado St Score Off Bye San Diego St Sks Allowed at Notre Dame

OVERALL: USC Trojans1-0

San Jose St USC Stanford

Bye

vs. MTW

Southern Utah 2020 TEAM RANKINGS San Jose St

TM REC FOE REC

at USC

Projected Rushing57 yards San Jose St

89

USC 97 yardsProjected Passing

230 yards San Jose St USC 364 yards

20 points San Jose St USC 36 pointsExperience Rankings

13 San Jose St USCTeam Schedule Strength

130 San Jose St USC 33

0-0Spartans Logs

San Jose St Spartans OVERALL:

vs. PAC 12 Trojans Logs

Defense

Score Score


FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM --PS RANK--

San Jose St LB'S0.24

USC RB's

San Jose St RB's2.19

USC LB'sSan Jose St OL

0.30

USC DL

San Jose St USCSan Jose St QB/WR

0.53

USC DB's

0.46

San Jose St DL

USC OL

at Washington St

ArizonaPass Def at Arizona StTotal Def at California

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line Fifth meeting. San Jose St is 0-4 vs USC (2-2 ATS) with their most recent game coming back in ‘09 when the Spartans fell 56-3. SJSt has covered their last 3 road games vs Power 5 teams including an outright upset at Arkansas in ‘19. Last time here (‘09), the Trojans trailed the Spartans 3-0 in the 2Q before exploding for 56 unanswered pts (6 rush, 2 pass td’s) in a 56-3 blowout win (-34). The Trojans are 14-14 ATS as a HF under Helton but just 3-9 ATS as a DD favorite and do have 5 Pac 12 games in the next 5 weeks. Last year they were the kings of the comeback. San Jose St has the scheduling edge as they have a GUB and a bye next week. Last week they hosted Southern Utah and I used them as a free play on the Phil Steele Plus tour with selections and they delivered a solid 45-14 win with a 543-250 yard edge. Brennan is 11-8 ATS as an AD and has 19 starters back from the #24 team in the final AP poll.

USC ST's Usc By 14San Jose St K

San Jose St ST's0.20

0.95Las Vegas Total

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

San Jose St DB's1.63

USC QB/WR

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Projected Box Score

Projected Yardage Total288 yards San Jose St USC 461 yards


USC Pts0.46

San Jose St Pts6.04

Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Usc 36-20

59.5 PointsUSC K

+/- RatingsSan Jose St Coaches Usc By 15.0

Usc By 10.7Game Grade

USC Coaches

Phil SteeleUsc by 14 USC 34 San Jose St 20By 5.58 Points

USC

Usc 461-288


0-0 0-0 124 127 9/4 71 83 69 48 71 101 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 124 9/4 48 71 101 71 83 690-1 0-0 122 9/11 90 57 86 0-1 0-0 101 9/11 129 127 109

9/18 0-0 0-0 137 9/18 20 7 130-0 0-0 134 9/25 12 18 12 #32 #124 1-0 1-0 124 9/25 66 94 490-0 0-0 133 10/2 19 27 57 #80 #17 0-0 0-0 134 10/2 27 98 610-0 0-0 133 10/9 42 91 128 #55 #70 10/9

10/16 #62 #74 0-0 0-0 143 10/16 64 22 40-0 0-0 135 10/23 21 9 38 #32 #32 0-0 0-0 142 10/23 23 16 830-0 0-0 129 10/30 81 56 107 #112 #44 0-1 0-1 130 10/30 65 54 990-0 0-0 122 11/6 55 47 95 #57 #96 0-0 0-0 124 11/6 78 90 1160-0 0-0 131 11/13 58 67 37 #96 #60 0-0 0-0 145 11/13 4 15 500-0 0-0 134 11/20 13 24 23 #94 #68 0-0 0-0 132 11/20 89 53 740-0 0-0 135 11/27 11 14 78 #110 #117 0-0 0-0 141 11/27 30 8 58

#83 #64-2 0



at Purdue Oregon St Hawaii at Connecticut Idaho at Notre Dameat USC Illinois Washington Minnesotaat Washington St Bye Bye at Iowa Utah Wisconsinat California at Nebraskaat Colorado Michigan St Stanford at Ohio St Arizona St † Northwesternat Oregon Indiana


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Stanford

Net Offense Defense

Ore

gon

St

Bea

vers

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Pu

rdu

e B

oile

rmak

ers

TM REC FOE REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Oregon St Hawaii

Oregon St Purdueat Connecticut

Idaho at Notre Dame

Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Washington Pass Off Minnesotaat Washington St Total Off Bye Bye Score Off at Iowa Utah Sks Allowed Wisconsinat California Rush Def at Nebraskaat Colorado

at Purdue

Purdue

Projected Final Score30 points Oregon St Purdue 35 points

51

Score

127 yards

29 Oregon St

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line The only time the two teams have played was 1967, the Beavers’ famed Giant Killers season. OSU, coming off back-to-back losses to Washington and BYU, beat the No. 2 Boilermakers 22-14 in West Lafayette, Indiana. At the time, many at OSU called the Purdue victory the greatest win in school history. OSU became the only team to go undefeated vs 3 “Top-2” teams in one season by defeating #2 Purdue 22-14 in West Lafayette (only meeting), beating #1 USC 3-0 and tying #2 UCLA 16-16. This is the 16th time in the last 41 years (S/’80) that Purdue has opened the season vs a P5 non-conf opp (5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS). Purdue has 9 returning starters on both offense and defense and off 3 straight losing season need to open the season strong and only have Connecticut on deck. The Beavers do lose their star RB Jermar Jefferson but have 19 returning starters. Purdue is the stronger team and at home. Brohm is on a 1-7 run as a HF. Jonathan Smith is at the other end of the spectrum as an AD as he is on a 9-0 ATS run in that role.

Purdue ST's Purdue By 7Oregon St K

68.5 Points1.60Projected Rushing

FOE

FOE



Purdue 59

43 Oregon StTeam Schedule Strength

FOE REC

Beavers Logs0-0 0-0

TM RECTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

Boilermakers LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Oregon St Beaversvs. BIG 10

Purdue Boilermakers0-0 0-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. PAC 12

Oregon St Purdue

0.40

Oregon St QB/WR

Purdue DB's

FOE CONF

Defense

Score


TM +/-FOE

FOE

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSTM

CONF

at USC Rush Off Illinois

Oregon St DL0.85

Purdue OL

1.24

Oregon St LB'S

Purdue RB'sOregon St DB's

Oregon St RB's0.26

Purdue LB'sOregon St OL

0.20

Purdue DL

Pass Def Michigan StTotal Def at Ohio St

Arizona St Score Def † Northwesternat Oregon Sks By Indiana

Net


Oregon St ST's Team & Margin

1.01

Purdue QB/WR

Projected Box Score

Experience Rankings

262 yards Oregon St

399 yards Oregon St Purdue 452 yards

Purdue

137 yards Oregon St Purdue

Purdue By 6.1

Purdue By 3.6

By 1.72 Points Purdue 34 Oregon St 30

Computer YardsPurdue 452-3993.14

Oregon St Pts4.86

Purdue PtsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Purdue 35-30

Purdue K+/- Ratings

Oregon St Coaches0.95

Game GradePurdue Coaches

Las Vegas Total

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Purdue Phil SteelePurdue by 4


0-0 0-0 126 121 9/4 31 45 53 73 48 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 126 9/4 73 48 3 31 45 539/11 0-0 0-0 117 9/11 123 105 81

0-0 0-0 108 9/18 120 99 21 9/180-0 0-0 139 9/25 15 34 6 #63 #83 0-0 0-0 121 9/25 117 92 1200-0 0-0 132 10/2 60 30 68 #33 #34 0-0 0-0 129 10/2 51 39 129

10/9 #37 #54 0-0 0-0 127 10/9 69 72 730-0 0-0 139 10/16 17 11 15 #59 #53 10/160-0 0-0 108 10/23 127 121 117 #53 #65 0-0 0-0 128 10/23 56 95 440-0 0-0 125 10/30 53 96 19 #92 #70 0-0 0-0 123 10/30 29 84 320-0 0-0 149 11/6 1 3 22 #103 #63 0-0 0-0 116 11/6 108 108 850-0 0-0 146 11/13 2 19 110 #100 #59 0-0 0-0 112 11/13 106 111 1180-0 0-0 132 11/20 45 36 71 #108 #81 0-0 0-0 123 11/19 36 66 600-0 0-0 129 11/27 93 38 70 #64 #36 0-1 0-0 101 11/27 129 127 109

#68 #57-9 -10



† Houston Texas Tech SF Austin at Rice FIU Grambling Stat Texas Navyat West Virginia at Tulsa Bye at Tulane TCU Byeat Kansas East Carolina Kansas St SMUat Oklahoma at USF Iowa St at Temple Oklahoma St Memphisat Baylor at Connecticut


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2018 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 69.5 63 36 41-99

Houston - -1.5 49 28 40-173 12017 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Texas Tech - 68.5 27 17 33-200

Houston - -6.5 24 25 31-110 -4

vs.

vs.

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

AP

Texas Tech Red RaidersRed Raiders Logs

FOETM REC FOE

REC

Oklahoma St

at Kansas

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Texa

s Te

ch R

ed R

aid

ers

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Hou

ston

Cou

gar

s

Net Offense

Kansas St Rush Def SMUPass Def at USF

Iowa St Total Def at Templeat Oklahoma

Score Def Memphisat Baylor Sks By at Connecticut

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Texas Tech SF Austin

Texas Tech Houstonat Rice

FIU Grambling St

† Houston

OVERALL: OVERALL: Houston Cougars0-0

--PS RANK--0-0TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE FOEFOE +/-

vs. BIG 12 vs. AAC Cougars Logs0-0 FOEAPFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

0-0

Texas Tech Houston

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Defense

Score Score


TEAM --PS RANK--

Rush Off Navyat West Virginia Pass Off at Tulsaat Texas

Total Off at Tulane TCU Score Off Bye Bye

Sks Allowed East Carolina

1.24

Texas Tech LB'S

Houston RB's

0.32

0.09

Texas Tech OL

Houston DLTexas Tech DL

0.79

Houston OL

0.27

Texas Tech QB/WR

Houston DB'sTexas Tech RB's

0.21

Houston LB's

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Projected Rushing Texas Tech KHouston leads the all-time series 18-13-1 over the Red Raiders but have lost the last 3 meetings. In ‘18 teams would combine for 112 pts but UH gave up 605 pass yds to QB Bowman, 63-49 loss. This is the 2nd time in the last 5 years (‘18) the Red Raiders will be opening their season at NRG Stadium. TT also hosted the Cougars that same year. TT has 8 returning starters on both offense and defense and has 6 positions that rank in my top units in the magazine. Houston has 9 starters back on each side of the ball and are my #5 Most Improved team in the country. They have 4 positions in my top units. Both coaches are in their 3rd year and have their best teams here. EVEN

Houston ST's Texas Tech By 1

135 yards

43-59-605


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Projected Box Score Texas Tech ST's2.23

Team & Margin

Texas Tech

Texas Tech DB's

Houston QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

29-45-321

32-52-317

31-52-462

Houston 238 yards Texas Tech Coaches Texas Tech By 5.3+/- Ratings

0.25

Houston By 1.4Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

295 yards Texas Tech


Houston 159 yards 0.15

Projected Passing Houston K

Texas Tech 430-397Projected Final Score

2.07

Texas Tech Pts3.48

Houston Pts33 points Texas Tech Houston

Experience Rankings

430 yards Texas Tech Houston 397 yards Houston Coaches

Computer Yards31 points

Texas Tech by 3 Texas Tech 34 Houston 31By 1.41 Points

Texas Tech 33-31

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:71 Texas Tech Houston 31

Team Schedule Strength Houston62 Texas Tech Houston 70


0-0 0-0 129 112 9/4 94 38 70 100 114 79 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 129 9/4 100 114 79 94 38 709/11 0-0 0-0 108 9/11 120 99 21

0-0 0-0 108 9/18 127 121 117 9/180-0 0-0 146 9/25 2 19 110 #123 #95 0-0 0-0 117 9/25 107 118 290-0 0-0 132 10/2 45 36 71 #72 #58 10/20-0 0-0 132 10/9 60 30 68 #116 #84 0-0 0-0 106 10/9 122 107 1050-0 0-0 132 10/16 57 78 8 #100 #70 0-0 0-0 122 10/16 80 81 94

10/23 #119 #103 0-0 0-0 122 10/23 59 101 1140-0 0-0 139 10/30 15 34 6 #85 #115 0-0 0-0 128 10/30 47 33 70-0 0-0 139 11/6 17 11 15 #32 #114 0-0 0-0 96 11/6 130 126 1300-0 0-0 149 11/13 1 3 22 #51 #126 0-0 0-0 119 11/13 104 86 900-0 0-0 125 11/20 53 96 19 #65 #116 0-0 0-0 127 11/20 35 40 870-0 0-0 126 11/27 31 45 53 #56 #90 0-0 0-0 110 11/27 86 112 66

#102 #117+8 -3



at Texas St Baylor Texas Southern at FIUat Kansas Incarnate Word Iowa St at Eastern Michiganat Oklahoma St Bye West Virginia South Alabama BYU Troy Bye at Georgia St Texas at Louisianaat TCU ULM Oklahoma GA Southernat Kansas St at Coastal Carolina Texas Tech at Arkansas St

Average 23-29 -73.2 -1.2 0.9 18 33-90 2.7 61.9% 220 9.4% 20 41-180 4.4 63.7% 203 7.3% Average 28-38 -125.3 -5.6 -0.3 21 31-131 4.2 61.1% 238 6.7% 26 44-225 5.1 67.3% 270 2.9% Conference 23-29 -73.2 -1.2 0.9 18 33-90 2.7 61.9% 220 9.4% 20 41-180 4.4 63.7% 203 7.3% Conference 28-38 -137.0 -6.0 -0.3 20 29-127 4.4 61.7% 238 5.6% 26 46-234 5.1 65.4% 268 2.9% Away 21-29 -40.0 -0.4 1.0 19 31-79 2.5 62.4% 238 7.1% 19 39-138 3.5 66.5% 219 6.5% Home 31-43 -132.7 -5.0 -0.3 23 31-152 4.9 61.3% 267 7.2% 28 48-274 5.8 65.0% 277 2.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Team Schedule StrengthBaylor Texas St

Texas St

32

62

35 points

409 yardsProjected Final Score

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Texas St

Baylor Texas St 305 yards

Baylor 24 points

West Virginia BYU Bye Texas

8th meeting. Baylor holds a 7-0 lead. 1st meeting in San Marcos. 1st meeting was in 1909! Last met in ‘07 when Baylor won 34-27 when the Bobcats were an FCS school and there was no line. Baylor is 6-1 since ’12 in non-conf road openers but 2-5 ATS. All-time Last 2 meetings (‘04 & ‘07) Texas St only lost by 7 points. TXSt is winless (0-12) against current B12 teams. This will be the first time Texas St hosted Baylor. Texas St was much better than its 2-10 record last year and has 17 returning starters but Spavital is just 8-11-2 ATS as a dog. Dave Aranda was one of those unfortunate 1st year HC’s with no spring practice and was still learning his players late in the year. He has 17 returning starters and a vastly improved squad and they only have FIU on deck. The offenses are close, but Baylor has a huge edge on defense (#27 vs #119). Last year Texas St lost to SMU by 7, UTSA by 3 in 2OT Louisiana by 10 and upset Arkansas St in 4 of their 6 home games. The schools are only separated by 130 miles so Baylor may have a decent amount of fans for this one.

0.30

Baylor OL

0.19

0.50

Texas St LB's


Baylor Coaches

Texas St CoachesBaylor Pts

Texas St Pts

34Experience Rankings

Baylor 125 yards

Baylor Texas St

Phil Steele84

3.31

Baylor K

Texas St K

Baylor

Texas St

0.74

0.96

0-0vs. SUN

0-00-0

0-0vs. BIG 12

Score



Team & Margin

179 yards

Baylor DB's

Texas St

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

OffenseNet Defense

Phil's Forecast:

Baylor Bears Texas St BobcatsBobcats LogsBears Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Offense

at Texas St Texas Southernat Kansas


Baylor

Rush Off

Texas St

Pass OffTotal Off

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Bay

lor

Bea

rs

Texa

s S

t B

obca

ts

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks AllowedRush Def

Baylor 31 Texas St 24

Baylor 35-24

Baylor by 7

0.58

0.97

Baylor LB'S

By 2.56 Points

Texas St RB's

Baylor

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

241 yards

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

FOE

Baylor

Baylor By 14.5

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Defense


Net

ScoreR

etu

rn t

o Ta

ble

of C

onte

nts

0.49

Texas St DLBaylor DL

Baylor ST's

Texas St ST's

Texas St OL

Baylor QB/WR

Texas St DB's


Texas St QB/WR

0.05

Baylor RB's

Baylor By 13.3

Baylor 409-305

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Baylor By 14

53.5 Points

ULM GA Southernat Coastal Carolinaat Arkansas St

Baylorat FIU Incarnate Wordat Eastern Michigan Bye South Alabama Troyat Georgia Stat Louisiana

at TCU Oklahomaat Kansas St Texas Tech

Iowa Stat Oklahoma St


0-0 0-0 121 123 9/4 84 68 18 88 110 54 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 121 9/4 88 110 54 84 68 180-0 0-0 128 9/11 99 49 5 9/11

9/18 0-0 0-0 128 9/18 47 33 70-0 0-0 133 9/25 34 55 75 #121 #17 0-0 0-0 132 9/25 89 53 740-0 0-0 127 10/2 26 37 72 #109 #116 0-0 0-0 99 10/2 124 125 1230-0 0-0 132 10/9 39 63 65 #125 #91 0-0 0-0 116 10/9 77 89 420-0 0-0 146 10/16 6 2 67 #115 #25 0-0 0-0 115 10/16 116 104 1120-0 0-0 125 10/23 76 23 77 #126 #22 0-0 0-0 121 10/23 54 123 1270-0 0-0 129 10/30 24 64 45 #108 #97 0-0 0-0 120 11/2 113 103 91

11/6 #97 #23 0-0 0-0 117 11/9 107 118 290-0 0-0 130 11/13 63 70 80 #114 #53 0-0 0-0 119 11/16 72 51 1130-0 0-0 129 11/20 38 13 26 #91 #11 11/200-0 0-0 126 11/27 43 21 35 #23 #120 0-0 0-0 84 11/26 126 128 115

#124 #77+3 +4



at Ohio Syracuse Rutgers Duquesne Albany at Louisiana Liberty at Northwesternat Florida St at Akron Wake Forest Central Michigan Clemson at Buffaloat Virginia Tech Kent St Boston College Miami, OH Bye at Eastern Michiganat Louisville Toledoat NC State Bye Pittsburgh at Bowling Green

Average 18-33 -198.6 -12.5 0.3 13 29-92 3.2 51.5% 173 11.3% 26 46-209 4.6 65.4% 255 7.0% Average 34-17 -26.7 -1.3 1.3 17 39-217 5.6 66.7% 146 16.7% 19 40-194 4.8 54.3% 195 4.3% Conference 18-32 -197.3 -13.2 0.2 13 29-92 3.1 52.0% 170 11.8% 26 46-196 4.3 64.6% 262 6.8% Conference 34-17 -26.7 -1.3 1.3 17 39-217 5.6 66.7% 146 16.7% 19 40-194 4.8 54.3% 195 4.3% Away 12-35 -198.4 -13.4 -0.6 12 32-118 3.7 47.0% 132 14.9% 25 40-170 4.2 67.7% 278 6.9% Home 38-10 1.0 2.0 3.0 18 41-270 6.7 71.9% 102 12.5% 16 37-199 5.4 52.9% 172 7.8%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Pittsburgh Sks By at Bowling Green

Net Defense

Syr

acu

se O

ran

gem

en

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Oh

io B

obca

ts

0.09

Offense

Las Vegas LineSyracuse By 1.5

Syracuse Ohio Position by Position Edges

Ohio RB's0.34

Syracuse LB'S

0.92

Ohio

Clemson Score Off at Buffaloat Virginia Tech Sks Allowed Kent St Boston College Rush Def Miami, OH Bye Pass Def at Eastern Michiganat Louisville Total Def Toledoat NC State Score Def Bye

FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

Ohio BobcatsOrangemen Logs vs. ACC vs. MAC Bobcats Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECFOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff

Net Offense


APFOE REC

0-0 0-0

at Ohio 2020 TEAM RANKINGS Syracuse Rutgers

Syracuse Ohio Duquesne

Albany at Louisiana Liberty Rush Off at Northwesternat Florida St Pass Off at Akron Wake Forest Total Off Central Michigan

Ret

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Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleOhio by 3

Team & Margin


1.20

Syracuse

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score Syracuse ST's0.60

Ohio ST's

Ohio QB/WR0.00

Syracuse DB's


Syracuse 42

Syracuse RB's

Total TO's

26 points Ohio Experience Rankings

44 Syracuse Ohio 128Team Schedule Strength

2.99

Ohio PtsSyracuse 29 points



Ohio

Computer Points

Computer Yards

36 Ohio 28-27

Ohio 31 Syracuse 28By 0.78 Points

Ohio DB's0.34

Syracuse QB/WR

Ohio LB's

Ohio DL0.62

Syracuse OL

Syracuse PtsOhio Coaches

1.10

Ohio By 5.4

Game GradeSyracuse By 1.0

Phil's Forecast:

55.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Syracuse 374-356

Syracuse K

Ohio KSyracuse Coaches

First time hosting an ACC foe. Ohio is 0-2 vs Syracuse being outscored by a comb 111-0 but games were in 1916 & 1921. Bobcats are 4-27 vs current ACC teams including a 20-10 loss at Pitt in ‘19 as a 4 pt AD. This is 4th straight year Syracuse has opened on the road and 3rd out of 4 that they open at a Non-P5 foe. The Orange beat MAC foe WM in ‘18’s road opener 55-42. The Orange figure to be a much-improved team with 19 returning starters, depth on the Oline (last year they were scratching for a starting 5 and moved TE in) and 2 VHT RB’s who opted out last year. Ohio also has a veteran team with 17 returning starters and just 8 lettemen lost. They only have Duquesne on deck. Ohio did unexpectedly lose HC Frank Solich (retired) over the summer so this will be Tim Albers first time as head man. I will call for the home team to win by a FG.

OVERALL:

0-0 0-0Syracuse Orangemen OVERALL:

Syracuse DL

Ohio OL

Syracuse Ohio

Projected Rushing

356 yards

Ohio 165 yards

Ohio 191 yards163 yards Syracuse


0-0 0-0 99 132 9/4 124 125 123 22 18 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 99 9/4 22 18 25 124 125 1230-0 0-0 112 9/11 106 111 118 9/11

9/18 0-0 0-0 142 9/18 18 12 90-0 0-0 145 9/25 4 15 50 #84 #66 0-0 0-0 122 9/25 59 101 1140-0 0-0 123 10/2 88 110 54 #119 #71 0-0 0-0 144 10/2 16 10 160-0 0-0 84 10/9 126 128 115 #119 #76 0-0 0-0 145 10/9 3 4 20-0 0-0 120 10/16 113 103 91 #118 #89 0-0 0-0 127 10/16 52 31 1110-0 0-0 115 10/23 116 104 112 #100 #72 10/230-0 0-0 130 11/2 87 88 97 #122 #65 0-0 0-0 138 10/30 7 60 1030-0 0-0 114 11/9 49 93 100 #41 #79 0-0 0-0 143 11/6 14 6 36

11/13 #112 #67 0-0 0-0 132 11/13 50 28 510-0 0-0 121 11/20 54 123 127 #123 #41 0-0 0-0 117 11/20 40 73 620-0 0-0 119 11/27 72 51 113 #101 #23 0-0 0-0 158 11/27 8 1 1

#123 #74-3 +4



at Auburn Akron Temple Alabama St Bryant at Penn Stat Ohio St Georgia St Ohio at LSUat Bowling Green Georgiaat Miami, OH at Arkansas Buffalo Bye Ball St Mississippiat Western Michigan at Texas A&M Bye Miss St Kent St at South Carolinaat Toledo Alabama

Average 17-41 -178.5 -4.8 -0.5 16 35-142 4.0 56.1% 140 17.6% 21 40-248 6.3 66.9% 212 7.1% Average 25-25 -23.2 -2.3 0.4 21 36-163 4.6 59.7% 220 5.5% 23 39-163 4.2 64.6% 243 7.1% Conference 17-41 -178.5 -4.8 -0.5 16 35-142 4.0 56.1% 140 17.6% 21 40-248 6.3 66.9% 212 7.1% Conference 26-24 -15.9 -1.8 0.5 21 37-173 4.7 59.6% 212 6.0% 23 38-163 4.3 64.1% 238 7.6% Away 17-50 -186.3 -7.3 -1.0 17 38-174 4.6 54.2% 161 16.7% 24 45-334 7.5 74.1% 187 7.4% Home 31-20 -28.0 -3.6 1.0 20 37-183 5.0 63.6% 217 6.1% 24 39-166 4.2 66.3% 262 8.1%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-AP

OffenseNet

1.14

Auburn DB's

1.48

Auburn DL

AuburnPosition by Position Edges

Auburn

Phil Steele

Auburn By 37Las Vegas Line


+/- RatingsAuburn By 37.8

45 points

Miss St Kent St Score Def at South Carolinaat Toledo Sks By Alabama

Ypg Diff

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

Akr

on Z

ips

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Au

bu

rn T

iger

s

TM REC FOE REC

vs. MAC vs. SECFOETEAM

at Penn St Georgia St

Alabama St

FOE +/-FOE CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Akron Zips

at Auburn 2020 TEAM RANKINGS Akron Temple

Akron

at Ohio St Rush Off

Auburn

Tigers LogsZips Logs

Auburn Tigers0-0 0-0OVERALL:OVERALL:

Score

0-0TM REC FOE

REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Bryant

Ohio

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK--

Pass Off at LSUat Bowling Green Total Off Georgiaat Miami, OH Score Off at Arkansas Buffalo Sks Allowed Bye Ball St Rush Def Mississippiat Western Michigan Pass Def at Texas A&M Bye Total Def

Auburn by 38 Auburn 48 Akron 10

156 yards Akron

Auburn

The Zips are 0-7 all time vs SEC foes including a 42-0 loss here in 1988, their only prior meeting. While Akron is just 2-9 SU & 4-7 ATS vs P5 teams since ‘14 they are 1-3 SU & 3-1 ATS their last 4. Auburn has a brand-new HC in Bryan Harsin, who was just 13-24 as a HF at Boise until he went 7-2 ATS the last 2 years. Auburn has QB Nix and RB Bigsby back with 15 returning starters. Akron is much stronger than the last two years but have winnable games on deck and may not want to get too beat up here. They are 2-7 ATS on the road under Arth, losing by 25 ppg SU. Auburn only has Alabama St on deck. Auburn beat Kent St here 55-16 last year.

2.35

Projected Passing

1.71

Auburn RB's

Akron LB'S

60 yards AkronProjected Rushing

Auburn QB/WR

By 13.21 Points111 Akron Auburn 7


0.20

Akron Pts

Experience RankingsAuburn

Auburn Pts


Auburn K

Akron K

Auburn 553 yards

282 yards


Auburn

10 points

57 Akron

Akron

Auburn 553-156

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Auburn By 43.6

13.41

Auburn 45-10POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

271 yards97 yards

Game Grade

Akron CoachesAuburn

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Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com)

Akron

Auburn Coaches0.20

Phil's Forecast:

1.39

Akron ST's Team & Margin

Auburn ST's

Akron DB's1.46

Akron OL

Akron DL2.29

Auburn OL

1.59

Auburn LB's

Akron RB's

Akron QB/WRAkron


0-0 0-0 124 124 9/4 70 59 34 66 94 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 130 8/28 30-22 W 66 94 49 65 54 999/11 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 127 124 9/4 0 0 0 70 59 34

0-0 0-0 117 9/18 98 109 125 0-0 0-0 129 9/11 95 79 1190-0 0-0 123 9/25 36 66 60 #18 #59 0-0 0-0 121 9/18 61 77 890-0 0-0 105 10/2 119 122 121 #89 #111 0-0 0-0 127 9/25 48 71 1010-0 0-0 112 10/9 112 75 20 #46 #109 0-0 0-0 108 10/2 121 113 1030-0 0-0 117 10/16 123 105 81 #68 #53 0-0 0-0 142 10/9 23 16 830-0 0-0 110 10/23 110 87 98 #89 #9 10/16

10/30 #63 #60 0-0 0-0 142 10/23 18 12 91-0 0-0 105 11/6 96 115 41 #50 #65 0-0 0-0 128 10/30 99 49 50-0 0-0 116 11/13 102 80 46 #50 #55 0-0 0-0 134 11/6 27 98 610-0 0-0 122 11/20 74 29 47 #44 #33 11/130-0 0-0 105 11/27 68 117 27 #29 #117 0-0 0-0 143 11/20 64 22 4

#49 #99 0-0 0-0 132 11/27 89 53 74+7 0



at Illinois † Nebraska 30-22 -66 -1 0 18 48-167 3.5 15-19 159 3 19 39-160 4.1 16-32 232 5 Lamar UTSA Middle Tennessee at Virginiaat Memphis Maryland UNLV at Purdueat WKU Charlotte Rice Wisconsinat Louisiana Tech Bye Bye at Penn Stat UTEP Rutgers Southern Miss at Minnesota UAB Byeat North Texas at Iowa

Northwestern

Average 28-26 32.0 1.7 0.6 22 41-215 5.2 60.0% 200 6.2% 20 38-162 4.3 60.7% 221 6.9% Average 30-22 -66.0 -1.0 0.0 18 48-167 3.5 78.9% 159 15.8% 19 39-160 4.1 50.0% 232 15.6% Conference 29-23 38.4 1.9 0.9 21 42-219 5.2 57.1% 183 8.6% 19 35-145 4.1 58.9% 219 6.5% Conference 30-22 -66.0 -1.0 0.0 18 48-167 3.5 78.9% 159 15.8% 19 39-160 4.1 50.0% 232 15.6% Away 22-29 -56.3 -2.0 0.7 20 41-192 4.7 57.9% 159 8.5% 22 39-175 4.5 61.2% 232 4.9% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-

Projected Rushing UTSA K

Illinois

Illinois By 6.2

Illinois By 6.6

+/- Ratings

Game Grade


15 Illinois 33-27

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

112

Offense Defense

UTS

A R

oad

run

ner

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Illin

ois

Fig

hti

ng

Illi

ni

Net Offense

211 yards

225 yards


Ret

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Con

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Projected Box Score

2 UTSA Illinois

210 yards UTSA

Projected Passing

Pass Def Rutgers Southern Miss Total Def at Minnesota UAB Score Def Byeat North Texas Sks By at Iowa

Ypg Diff NorthwesternTotal TO's

LamarUTSA Illinois

UTSA Middle Tennessee at Virginiaat Memphis Rush Off Maryland UNLV Pass Off at Purdue

Fighting Illini Logs1-0 Illinois Fighting IlliniOVERALL:

vs. CUSA vs. BIG 10Roadrunners Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Score Score

Total Off Rice Score Offat Louisiana Tech Sks Allowed

0-0OVERALL:UTSA Roadrunners

Net

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS0-0 1-0

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEAP

at Illinois 2020 TEAM RANKINGS † Nebraska

at WKU Charlotte Wisconsin Bye

Bye Rush Def at Penn Stat UTEP

UTSA DL0.13

Illinois OL

0.29

Las Vegas Line

UTSA OL

Illinois DL

0.84

UTSA RB's

Illinois LB's

0.06

Defense


Phil's Forecast:

Illinois By 5.5

Team & Margin

0.50

UTSA QB/WR

Illinois DB's

UTSA

27 points UTSA Illinois

0.15

3.50

UTSA Coaches

Illinois Coaches

1.69

UTSA Pts

Illinois Pts

392 yards UTSA Illinois 435 yards

182 yards UTSA

Projected Yardage TotalIllinois


Illinois 34 UTSA 24By 1.81 Points

Illinois

First meeting. Illinois is 5-4 SU (3-5 ATS in lined games) vs CUSA teams. In its last meeting vs a CUSA opponent (‘17), Illinois held WKU to just 6 rush yds incl a total of -5 yards in the 2H in a 20-7 win (+7). For UTSA this is not only first meeting, but also first time UTSA plays a B10 school. RoadRunners are 1-14 SU and have covered 1 of the last 5 vs P5 foes. UTSA is 5-4 in road openers including upset win over Baylor in ‘17. Illinois has 9 returning starters on both offense and defense and a loaded O-Line and have a game under their belt edge having played Nebraska last week. They were my UPSET of the Week and led 30-9 in a 30-22 outright win as a TD underdog. Bielema is 32-28 as a HF in his career and Illinois is just 12-19 the last 10 years in that role. Jeff Traylor did a great job at UTSA last year getting them to 7-4 and a bowl game and this year has 10 starters back on offense led by RB Sincere McCormick and 11 starters back on defense. UTSA is 6-3 ATS as an AD the last 2 years but this will be Traylor’s first matchup vs a P5 team. I like the Illini but Sitkowski despite good numbers last week was not that impressive with some shovel pitches counted as passes and QB Peters will be out this week.

Illinois K

Computer YardsIllinois 435-392

2.10

Illinois by 10

Computer Points

UTSA Illinois 12

31 points

Experience Rankings


Illinois ST's

Illinois RB'sUTSA DB's

0.24

Illinois QB/WR

0.87

UTSA ST's

UTSA LB'S

Illinois


0-0 0-0 116 135 13 9/4 91 44 108 32 26 59 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 116 13 9/4 32 26 59 91 44 1080-0 0-0 119 9/11 104 86 90 0-0 0-0 116 9/11 108 108 85

9/18 0-0 0-0 158 9/18 8 1 10-0 0-0 125 9/25 82 97 124 #46 #95 0-0 0-0 120 9/25 79 65 330-0 0-0 108 10/2 120 99 21 #117 #3 0-0 0-0 125 10/2 67 42 520-0 0-0 122 10/9 74 29 47 #110 #11 0-0 0-0 112 10/9 111 116 106

10/16 #113 #16 0-0 0-0 144 10/16 16 10 160-0 0-0 108 10/21 121 113 103 #72 #72 10/231-0 0-0 105 10/30 96 115 41 #52 #74 0-0 0-0 145 10/30 3 4 20-0 0-0 114 11/6 97 61 39 #20 #102 0-0 0-0 117 11/6 40 73 620-0 0-0 101 11/13 125 124 93 #28 #85 11/130-0 0-0 112 11/20 112 75 20 #14 #76 0-0 0-0 124 11/20 75 74 300-0 0-0 117 11/27 98 109 125 #29 #7 0-0 0-0 127 11/27 26 37 72

#69 #260 -3



at Florida Florida Atlantic GA Southern at USF Fordham Alabamaat Air Force Tennessee FIU at Kentuckyat UAB Vanderbilt Bye at LSUat Charlotte Bye UTEP † Georgia Marshall at South Carolinaat Old Dominion Samfordat WKU at Missouri Middle Tennessee Florida St

Average 19-17 -17.7 0.2 0.0 18 40-180 4.5 52.6% 144 8.6% 18 37-155 4.2 54.9% 188 9.4% Average 40-31 81.8 3.5 -0.3 26 31-131 4.3 67.9% 379 4.2% 23 37-171 4.6 64.1% 258 8.8% Conference 22-18 -31.5 0.0 0.3 18 42-202 4.8 53.2% 122 8.6% 18 36-146 4.1 55.8% 209 11.1% Conference 42-29 104.1 3.5 -0.2 26 30-120 4.0 69.2% 388 4.4% 23 37-146 3.9 64.3% 258 8.8% Away 18-26 -84.4 -1.0 -0.2 19 38-181 4.7 54.5% 146 5.6% 20 41-210 5.1 57.4% 201 6.2% Home 42-25 161.6 5.6 -0.6 25 31-139 4.5 67.8% 357 4.4% 20 37-141 3.8 62.1% 194 9.9%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FAU QB/WR0.28

Florida DB's


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Projected Box Score

0.36

FAU DL0.44

Florida OL

Projected Rushing

FAU RB's1.06

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Flor

ida

Gat

ors

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

FAU

Ow

ls

0.04

FAU ST's

Florida ST's

FAU DB's

Florida QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

204 yards

FAU FloridaPosition by Position Edges

Sks Allowed Bye UTEP Rush Def † Georgia Marshall Pass Def at South Carolinaat Old Dominion Total Def Samfordat WKU Score Def at Missouri Middle Tennessee Sks By Florida St

FOE

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Florida Atlantic GA Southern

FAU Floridaat USF

Fordham Alabama

at Florida

Gators Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/-0-0 FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: Florida Gators0-0 0-0

TEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE

REC

at Air Force Rush Off Tennessee FIU Pass Off at Kentuckyat UAB Total Off Vanderbilt Bye Score Off at LSUat Charlotte

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Florida By 23.5


Florida RB's0.44

FAU LB'S

Projected Passing

Florida Coaches Florida By 37.1

+/- RatingsFlorida By 15.0

2.50

326 yardsFAU

Computer Yards0.48

FAU Pts

16 points

Florida 37 FAU 20By 6.98 Points

Florida 37-16

Phil SteeleFlorida


Florida Pts

This will be the fourth matchup between the schools since 2007, and the fourth time the Owls will have to travel to Gainesville to play the Gators. Florida has won all three games against the Owls, with a 20-14 (-29.5) win in 2015 being the most recent. Owls are 0-11 SU and 4-7 ATS vs SEC foes. FAU has lost 10 straight road openers. The Gators have won 31 straight home openers including 2011 when they beat FAU 41-3. The Gators are 22-5-1 against CUSA schools, last loss was in 1961 vs Rice. Florida is one of the least exp’d teams in the country with just 5 starters back on each side of the ball and has a huge game with Bama in two weeks so needs to get up to speed fast. Mullen is 9-6-1 ATS as a HF here. Willie Taggart finally had an offseason with his team and has 10 starters back on each side of the ball. FAU is 26-10-1 ATS as an AD the last 9 years. QB Nkoski Perry is from Miami Fla, RB Johnny Ford is dangerous, and the D held foes to 60 ypg less than their season average.

Florida 530-241

11 121

Florida by 1713Team Schedule Strength

117 FAU Florida

FloridaFAU

FAU Florida

Florida

530 yards

FAU K

Florida

FAU Coaches

116 yards

241 yards FAU

Florida K


7.46

1.75125 yards

FAU Florida 37 pointsExperience Rankings


Florida LB'sFAU OL

1.07

Florida DL

vs. CUSA vs. SEC

FAU OwlsOwls Logs

TM REC FOE REC


0-0 0-0 112 124 9/4 114 119 88 62 43 96 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 112 9/4 62 43 96 114 119 880-0 0-0 125 9/11 83 46 63 9/110-0 0-0 132 9/18 41 50 40 0-0 0-0 146 9/18 6 2 67

9/25 #99 #41 0-0 0-0 136 9/25 9 35 430-0 0-0 117 10/2 107 118 29 #53 #92 0-0 0-0 126 10/2 43 21 350-0 0-0 119 10/9 72 51 113 #87 #71 0-0 0-0 114 10/9 105 102 110-0 0-0 84 10/16 126 128 115 #90 #95 10/160-0 0-0 116 10/23 77 89 42 #42 #89 0-0 0-0 129 10/23 95 79 119

10/30 #77 #93 0-0 0-0 125 10/30 76 23 770-0 0-0 121 11/3 54 123 127 #81 #113 0-0 0-0 133 11/6 5 17 310-0 0-0 130 11/10 87 88 97 #76 #111 0-0 0-0 129 11/13 24 64 450-0 0-0 115 11/17 116 104 112 #119 #109 0-0 0-0 137 11/20 20 7 130-0 0-0 114 11/23 49 93 100 #94 #45 0-0 0-0 145 11/27 3 4 2

#89 #101-3 -7



at Georgia Tech Northern Illinois Wyoming Kennesaw Stat Michigan at Clemson Maine North Carolina Eastern Michigan Pittsburghat Toledo at Duke Bowling Green Byeat Central Michigan at Virginia Bye Virginia Techat Kent St at Miami, Fl Ball St Boston Collegeat Buffalo at Notre Dame Western Michigan Georgia

Average 25-39 -51.3 0.2 -0.5 21 37-127 3.4 57.5% 241 6.3% 21 37-174 4.8 65.0% 245 6.9% Average 24-37 -69.4 -4.2 -0.7 20 41-191 4.7 53.7% 199 8.1% 24 43-189 4.4 58.7% 270 5.9% Conference 25-39 -51.3 0.2 -0.5 21 37-127 3.4 57.5% 241 6.3% 21 37-174 4.8 65.0% 245 6.9% Conference 24-35 -56.1 -3.8 -0.4 20 40-187 4.6 54.5% 194 9.3% 23 42-183 4.4 57.8% 254 6.0% Away 28-34 23.0 1.7 0.0 22 38-141 3.7 62.6% 253 7.0% 21 36-149 4.2 64.1% 222 10.3% Home 27-41 -148.2 -8.2 -0.2 18 39-184 4.8 52.5% 188 8.9% 27 46-211 4.6 59.6% 309 6.5%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

N I

llin

ois

Hu

skie

sN Illinois OL

0.86

Georgia Tech DLN Illinois DL

1.00

Georgia Tech OL

N Illinois QB/WR0.82

Georgia Tech DB'sN Illinois RB's

0.77

Georgia Tech LB's


Projected Yardage Total315 yards N Illinois Georgia Tech

at Kent St Pass Def at Miami, Fl Ball St Total Def Boston Collegeat Buffalo Score Def at Notre Dame Western Michigan Sks By Georgia

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Geo

rgia

Tec

h Y

ello

w J

acke

ts

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Maine Rush Off North Carolina Eastern Michigan Pass Off Pittsburghat Toledo Total Off at Duke Bowling Green Score Off Byeat Central Michigan Sks Allowed at Virginia Bye Rush Def Virginia Tech

Northern Illinois Wyoming

N Illinois Georgia Tech Kennesaw St

at Michigan at Clemson

TM REC FOE REC

Huskies Logs vs. MAC vs. ACC Yellow Jackets Logs

N Illinois Huskies OVERALL: OVERALL: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets0-0 0-0

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

at Georgia Tech 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

N Illinois Georgia TechPosition by Position Edges


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N Illinois ST's Team & Margin

N Illinois DB's0.99

Georgia Tech QB/WR

N Illinois LB'S1.42

Georgia Tech RB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineGeorgia Tech ST's Georgia Tech By 18

Projected Rushing N Illinois K

224 yardsGeorgia Tech K

128 yards N Illinois Georgia Tech

187 yards

Experience Rankings22 points N Illinois Georgia Tech 38 points


+/- RatingsGeorgia Tech By 16.0

Game GradeGeorgia Tech By 8.1

Phil Steele

Georgia Tech 453-315

85 N Illinois Georgia Tech

N Illinois Georgia Tech

453 yards Georgia Tech Coaches0.85

7.36

Georgia Tech Pts

37

N Illinois Coaches


N Illinois Pts

N Illinois Georgia Tech104

Georgia Tech 41 Northern Illinois 23By 7.31 Points


First meeting. This is only GT’s 2nd meeting ever against a MAC foe, beat BG in ‘18 63-17. GT had their 13-game home opener win streak broken last year vs UCF but all 13 of those wins were vs FCS foes. The Jackets are 0-5 ATS in non Conf play under HC Collins. Huskies are 1-12 SU but 6-4 ATS vs current ACC teams. Huskies are 3-5 SU but 6-2 ATS in their road openers including upset wins at Iowa (‘13), Northwestern (‘14) & Nebraska (‘17). GT has 17 returning starters and is in years 3 of the switch from the option offense to the spread and this is by far Collins best team. They only have Keenesaw St on deck but Collins is 3-8-1 ATS as a HF in his coaching career. Thomas Hammock is also in his 3rd year at NIU with his best team and is 6-2 ATS as an AD. Georgia Tech does have an explosive QB in Jeff Sims and a dangerous RB in Jahmyr Gibbs who could have huge games.

0.65

40

Georgia Tech 38-22

Team Schedule Strength Georgia TechGeorgia Tech by 18

Computer Points

Computer Yards

AP


0-0 0-0 145 146 5 3 9/4 3 4 2 6 2 67 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 146 145 3 5 9/4 6 2 67 3 4 20-0 0-0 122 9/11 74 29 47 9/110-0 0-0 117 9/18 40 73 62 0-0 0-0 124 9/18 62 43 960-0 0-0 112 9/25 111 116 106 #54 #76 0-0 0-0 129 9/25 38 13 260-0 0-0 127 10/2 52 31 111 #45 #7 0-0 0-0 129 10/2 24 64 450-0 0-0 132 10/9 22 20 25 #40 #12 10/90-0 0-0 125 10/16 67 42 52 #38 #6 0-0 0-0 121 10/16 84 68 18

10/23 #72 #72 0-0 0-0 126 10/23 43 21 350-0 0-0 135 10/30 32 26 59 #3 #19 0-0 0-0 127 10/30 26 37 720-0 0-0 124 11/6 75 74 30 #89 #44 0-0 0-0 130 11/6 63 70 800-0 0-0 120 11/13 79 65 33 #15 #19 0-1 0-0 101 11/13 129 127 109

11/20 #19 #21 0-0 0-0 132 11/20 39 63 650-0 0-0 124 11/27 62 43 96 #12 #1 0-0 0-0 117 11/27 40 73 62

#20 #7-2 +8



† Clemson † Georgia UAB South Carolina St South Carolina Georgia Techat Vanderbilt at NC State Arkansas Boston Collegeat Auburn Bye Kentucky at Syracuse Bye at Pittsburgh† Florida Florida St Missouri Louisvilleat Tennessee Connecticut Charleston Southern Wake Forestat Georgia Tech at South Carolina

Average 32-20 103.1 2.4 -0.2 21 38-174 4.6 58.2% 250 6.5% 19 30-72 2.4 65.7% 249 8.9% Average 44-20 175.5 8.6 0.7 25 34-154 4.5 66.5% 349 4.1% 16 37-113 3.1 55.4% 214 13.4% Conference 33-20 98.6 2.3 -0.1 21 39-189 4.8 56.6% 233 6.4% 19 31-69 2.3 65.8% 253 7.5% Conference 46-20 197.8 10.3 1.1 26 37-158 4.3 66.2% 357 4.0% 16 35-108 3.1 52.5% 210 12.3% Away 32-21 76.7 0.7 -0.6 20 37-191 5.2 54.9% 231 7.0% 20 34-95 2.8 65.4% 251 9.5% Home 44-18 211.7 11.0 1.7 25 36-159 4.5 66.7% 325 3.6% 14 34-93 2.8 48.6% 180 13.6%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Clemson ST'sLas Vegas Line

Clemson K

306 yards


Team Schedule Strength Georgia Phil Steele17 Georgia Clemson 56

Clemson Coaches

Projected Final Score26 points Georgia

246 yards Georgia

84 yards

Clemson

Projected Rushing

Clemson 390-3694.63

Georgia Pts2.81

Net Offense Defense

Geo

rgia

Bu

lldog

s


Georgia QB/WR0.24

Clemson DB's

0.83

Georgia DL

Clemson OLGeorgia LB'S

Clemson RB's

Georgia RB's0.30

Clemson LB's

at Pittsburgh† Florida Rush Def Florida St Missouri Pass Def Louisvilleat Tennessee Total Def Connecticut Charleston Southern Score Def Wake Forestat Georgia Tech Sks By at South Carolina

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Cle

mso

n T

iger

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

† Georgia

Clemson Tigers

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. SEC vs. ACC

Georgia Bulldogs OVERALL: OVERALL:

0-0 0-0Bulldogs Logs Tigers Logs

TM CONF


AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

FOE

FOE FOEFOE


CONFTEAM --PS RANK--FOE 0-0 0-0


UABGeorgia Clemson

South Carolina St South Carolina Georgia Tech

Georgia OL1.11

Clemson DL

Georgia Clemson


1.05

† Clemson

at NC State Arkansas Pass Off Boston Collegeat Vanderbilt Rush Off

Bye Kentucky Score Off at Syracuseat Auburn Total Off

Bye Sks Allowed

Phil's Forecast:

Neutral Site game at Bank Of America Stadium which is also site of the last 4 ACC Title games which were all won by Clemson. The Tigers haven’t opened at a Neutral Site since ’12 when they beat Auburn 26-19. UGA owns the series lead 42-18-4 and won the most recent meeting in 2014, 45-21. UGA last opened at a Neutral Site in ‘16 & beat NCarolina 33-24. They’ve won 7 straight season openers, last loss was at Clemson in ‘13. Georgia finally found a QB the last 4 games in JT Daniels and put up 37.2 ppg. The Dogs have one of the best defenses in the country and 9 starters back on offense. Clemson loses Trevor Lawrence but DJ Uiagaleleilei put up 37.3 ppg in his two starts Clemson is 17-5 ATS on a neutral field the last 10 years. This is an early season playoff game and the winner will be favored in all the rest of their games.

Clemson By 3

Clemson By 2.5

Clemson By 3.0

51 Points0.45

Game Grade

+/- Ratings


2.75

369 yards Georgia Clemson 390 yards

Team & Margin

0.26

Georgia KLas Vegas Total

Clemson QB/WR

Georgia DB's

Georgia ST's

Georgia Clemson

Georgia Coaches0.45

Clemson 27 pointsClemson Pts

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Ret

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Projected Box Score

110

Georgia by 1 Georgia 24 Clemson 23By 1.83 Points

115 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Clemson 27-26Experience RankingsGeorgia Clemson


0-0 0-0 116 106 9/4 102 80 46 122 107 105 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 116 9/4 122 107 105 102 80 469/11 0-0 0-0 84 9/11 126 128 115

0-0 0-0 122 9/18 80 81 94 9/180-0 0-0 158 9/25 8 1 1 #69 #110 9/250-0 0-0 117 10/2 123 105 81 #77 #47 0-0 0-0 128 10/2 47 33 71-0 0-0 105 10/9 96 115 41 #82 #94 0-0 0-0 112 10/9 100 114 790-0 0-0 122 10/16 74 29 47 #87 #110 0-0 0-0 119 10/16 104 86 90

10/23 #96 #127 0-0 0-0 96 10/23 130 126 1300-0 0-0 117 10/30 98 109 125 #86 #79 0-0 0-0 110 10/30 86 112 660-0 0-0 105 11/6 68 117 27 #49 #106 0-0 0-0 122 11/6 80 81 940-0 0-0 124 11/13 70 59 34 #64 #93 0-0 0-0 126 11/13 37 25 280-0 0-0 110 11/20 110 87 98 #86 #56 0-0 0-0 120 11/20 79 65 330-0 0-0 108 11/27 120 99 21 #71 #86 0-0 0-0 127 11/27 35 40 87

#81 #105-4 -1



at South Alabama Southern Miss Grambling St at Bowling Green Troy Alcorn Stat Alabama Byeat Rice Louisiana UTEP at Texas St UAB GA Southern Bye at ULMat Middle Tennessee Arkansas St North Texas at Troyat UTSA at Appalachian Stat Louisiana Tech at Tennessee FIU Coastal Carolina

Average 25-32 -29.7 -2.7 -0.4 19 37-159 4.3 62.4% 213 8.8% 22 40-181 4.5 62.9% 221 5.4% Average 20-27 -77.8 -1.2 -0.1 20 38-111 2.9 62.4% 247 11.4% 21 37-174 4.7 66.1% 262 3.9% Conference 25-26 -4.8 -3.7 -0.3 18 36-161 4.5 62.4% 203 9.6% 22 42-167 4.0 61.5% 201 5.5% Conference 19-26 -96.4 -1.4 0.3 20 39-106 2.7 64.7% 233 12.9% 21 37-179 4.9 68.3% 257 3.7% Away 28-32 -83.3 -5.7 0.7 18 41-190 4.6 53.5% 168 12.7% 24 38-152 4.0 65.1% 289 8.3% Home 19-27 -89.5 -1.8 0.3 20 38-114 3.0 59.9% 230 12.7% 22 36-152 4.3 67.3% 281 3.5%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2020 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - -13.5 21 20 37-95

South Alabama - 55.5 32 23 38-163 -2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Sou

ther

n M

iss

Gol

den

Eag

les

Southern Miss South Alabama


0.17

Southern Miss QB/WR

South Alabama DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Southern Miss Coaches

Southern Miss K

S Alabama By 6.2

Projected Rushing0.90Southern Miss South Alabama

at Middle Tennessee Rush Def Arkansas St North Texas Pass Def at Troyat UTSA Total Def at Appalachian Stat Louisiana Tech Score Def at Tennessee FIU Sks By Coastal Carolina

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Sou

th A

lab

ama

Jag

uar

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

UTEP Total Off

Bye Sks Allowed at ULM

TM REC FOE REC

Jaguars LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--

Golden Eagles Logs vs. CUSA vs. SUN

Southern Miss Golden Eagles OVERALL: OVERALL: South Alabama Jaguars0-0 0-0

APTM CONF

TEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

0-0TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGSFOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

Southern Miss Grambling St

Southern Miss South Alabamaat Bowling Green

Louisianaat Alabama Rush Off

at Texas St UAB Score Off GA Southern

South Alabama K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

376 yards Southern Miss South Alabama 373 yards South Alabama Coaches

Troy Alcorn St

at South Alabama 2020 TEAM RANKINGS

Byeat Rice Pass Off

1.04

Southern Miss DL

South Alabama OL

1.82

Southern Miss LB'S

South Alabama RB's

0.64

Southern Miss RB's

South Alabama LB's

0.15

Southern Miss OL

South Alabama DL

56

By 6.80 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts


Southern Miss ST's

S Miss 376-373


Southern Miss DB's0.40

South Alabama QB/WR


South Alabama ST's

Team & Margin

Southern Miss Pts0.40

South Alabama Pts

Computer Yards

S Miss 28-27

South Alabama 252 yards

Southern MissProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings

0.50224 yards Southern Miss S Miss By 7.1

Phil SteeleSouthern Miss

28 points

S Miss by 7 Upset POW: H Southern Miss 30 (+) South Alabama 24

Kane Wommack’s first game at South Alabama will be at home vs Southern Miss. He played Tight End for the Golden Eagles. 2nd meeting, first matchup came last year when USA (+13’) won at SMiss 32-21 so SM is out for revenge. South Alabama is 2-7 ATS in home openers since joining SBC. SM makes first trip to Mobile. Golden Eagles are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in road openers. SM was 0-4 ATS vs non conf last year dealing with two different interim head coaches. Will Hall is very pleased with the talent he has inherited and feels they will be a contender in CUSA. USA has question marks on the Oline but a soid defensive line and has QB Jake Bentley (PS#11 Scar/Utah) and RB Kareem Walker (PS#2 Miss St) to go along with talented WR’s Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Wayne. USA had a brand-new stadium last year but very few fans so this is their first real year with it as their home stadium and they have 17 returning starters. SMiss which led the nation in starts lost last year (good sign for this year) only has Grambling on deck and are more talented and playing with revenge.

South Alabama By 1.5


+/- Ratings

Southern Miss South Alabama50

100


7.20South Alabama 27 points

Team Schedule Strength121 Southern Miss South Alabama

Comp-Att-Yds

152 yards

22-32-314

18-30-363


0-0 0-0 121 143 6 9/4 54 123 127 14 6 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 143 121 6 9/4 14 6 36 54 123 1279/11 0-0 0-0 122 9/11 55 47 95

0-0 0-0 143 9/18 64 22 4 0-0 0-0 116 9/18 94 120 1220-0 0-0 121 9/25 61 77 89 #3 #26 0-0 0-0 127 9/25 52 31 1110-0 0-0 84 10/2 126 128 115 #11 #61 0-0 0-0 132 10/2 50 28 510-0 0-0 115 10/9 116 104 112 #1 #33 0-0 0-0 158 10/9 8 1 10-0 0-0 114 10/16 49 93 100 #1 #37 0-0 0-0 124 10/16 75 74 300-0 0-0 123 10/23 88 110 54 #14 #17 0-0 0-0 117 10/23 40 73 62

10/30 #125 #4 10/300-0 0-0 112 11/6 114 119 88 #8 #58 0-0 0-0 132 11/6 22 20 250-0 0-0 116 11/13 77 89 42 #82 #13 0-0 0-0 138 11/13 7 60 1030-0 0-0 99 11/20 124 125 123 #113 #30 11/200-0 0-0 120 11/27 113 103 91 #94 #20 0-0 0-0 144 11/27 16 10 16

#6 #14+1 +6



at Texas A&M Kent St VMI † Coloradoat Iowa New Mexicoat Maryland † Arkansas Bowling Green Miss St Buffalo Alabamaat Western Michigan at Missouriat Ohio South Carolina Bye Bye Northern Illinois Auburnat Central Michigan at Mississippiat Akron Prairie View A&M Miami, OH at LSU


vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Ken

t S

t G

old

en F

lash

es

Kent St DL2.30

Texas A&M OLKent St LB'S

2.66

Texas A&M RB's

Kent St QB/WR0.92

Texas A&M DB's

Kent St OL

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFirst meeting & first trip to Texas since ‘85 (UTEP). Kent St 0-15 all-time vs current SEC foes. They are just 1-8 ATS in those games since 1995, their only cover being as a 28’ point AD to Ole Miss in ‘18 (38-17). This is only A&M’s 2nd meeting against a current MAC school after beating Ball St in ‘15 56-23. The Aggies have 9 starters back on defense but do have a first time starting QB and just 1 returning starter on the OLine and need to get them some confidence before tougheer games arise. The offensive line is actually more talented than the Joe Moore Award finalist line from last year. Kent St may have 8 starters back on defense but did allow 38.0 pppg last year with the rush D allowing 6.2 ypc. Kent has an explosive offense led by Dustiin Crum but in the last two years the offense has put up an amazing 42.7 ppg vs non P5 teams but just 7.6 ppg vs three P5 teams losing by 36.3 ppg. Kent does have backdoor potential if they decide to risk QB Crum late in the season with a possible run at the MAC title this year.

Texas A&M ST's Texas A&M By 28.5

Projected Rushing

Bye Northern Illinois Pass Def Auburnat Central Michigan Total Def at Mississippiat Akron Score Def Prairie View A&M Miami, OH Sks By at LSU

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Texa

s A

&M

Ag

gie

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

Kent St Golden Flashes


APTM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOE

Kent St

vs. SEC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

0-0 0-0Aggies Logs

Texas A&M Aggies

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

FOE

Kent St Texas A&MPosition by Position Edges

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

† Coloradoat Iowa New Mexico

at Texas A&M

† Arkansas Bowling Green Pass Off Miss Stat Maryland Rush Off

Alabamaat Western Michigan Score Off at Missouri

FOE

Game Grade

Texas A&M

Kent St

Texas A&M Pts

330 yards

Las Vegas Total112 yards 333 yardsKent St

Kent St K1.40

Kent St Coaches1.15

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 22 years at PhilSteele.com) Kent St ST's0.48

Team & Margin

Texas A&M QB/WR

Texas A&M By 26.8

Texas A&M By 26.9

South Carolina

+/- Ratings

0.98


Kent St DB's

Texas A&M LB's

0.80

Texas A&M K

FOE +/-AP TEAM

at Ohio Sks Allowed

FOE

Bye Rush Def

67.5 Points

vs. MAC

0-0 0-0TM REC

Kent St Pts11.76

Ret

urn

to

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e of

Con

ten

ts

Texas A&M Coaches

Texas A&M DL

Kent St RB's1.07

Golden Flashes Logs

Projected Passing

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Buffalo Total Off

VMIKent St Texas A&M

Texas A&M by 28 Texas A&M 49 Kent St 21By 11.76 Points

Texas A&M 48-23

Team Schedule Strength Texas A&M Phil Steele126 Kent St Texas A&M

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

68 Kent St Texas A&M 111

Computer YardsTexas A&M 582-330


19

Kent St 582 yards

Texas A&M

Texas A&M

Projected Box Score

249 yards218 yards


48 points 0.00Texas A&M23 points Kent St


0-0 0-0 144 131 16 9/4 16 10 16 28 32 82 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 131 122 8/28 44-10 W 28 32 82 90 57 869/11 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 144 16 9/4 0 0 0 16 10 16

0-0 0-0 116 9/18 77 89 42 9/110-0 0-0 132 9/25 50 28 51 #107 #9 1-0 0-0 121 9/18 33 85 1260-0 0-0 132 10/2 22 20 25 #16 #115 0-0 0-0 131 9/25 58 67 370-0 0-0 125 10/9 67 42 52 #35 #65 0-0 0-0 134 10/2 13 24 230-0 0-0 135 10/16 32 26 59 #39 #5 0-0 0-0 116 10/9 103 106 1020-0 0-0 138 10/23 7 60 103 #98 #6 0-0 0-0 133 10/16 19 27 57

10/30 #71 #1 0-0 0-0 135 10/23 11 14 780-0 0-0 158 11/6 8 1 1 #128 #80 0-0 0-0 135 10/30 21 9 380-0 0-0 127 11/13 52 31 111 #124 #4 11/60-0 0-0 96 11/20 130 126 130 #98 #3 0-0 0-0 122 11/13 55 47 950-0 0-0 143 11/27 14 6 36 #36 #124 0-0 0-0 134 11/20 12 18 12

#92 #12 0-0 0-0 129 11/27 81 56 107+9 +2



at UCLA Hawaii 44-10 123 4 2 20 43-244 5.7 12-22 148 2 16 21-26 1.2 28-53 243 2 McNeese LSU Central Michigan Byeat Miss St Fresno St Auburn at Stanfordat Kentucky Arizona St Florida at Arizonaat Mississippi at Washington Bye Oregonat Alabama at Utah Arkansas Bye ULM Colorado Texas A&M at USC

California

Average 32-35 -58.1 1.5 0.9 23 37-122 3.3 58.7% 312 5.9% 22 35-169 4.9 59.6% 323 7.2% Average 44-10 123.0 4.0 2.0 20 43-244 5.7 54.5% 148 9.1% 16 21-26 1.2 52.8% 243 3.8% Conference 32-35 -58.1 1.5 0.9 23 37-122 3.3 58.7% 312 5.9% 22 35-169 4.9 59.6% 323 7.2% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 27-30 -41.5 1.5 0.3 22 34-101 3.0 58.5% 304 4.7% 20 35-157 4.5 59.3% 290 5.7% Home 44-10 123.0 4.0 2.0 20 43-244 5.7 54.5% 148 9.1% 16 21-26 1.2 52.8% 243 3.8%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

LSU OL

UCLA DL

LSU UCLAPosition by Position Edges

0.22

LSU QB/WR

UCLA DB's

74

UCLA

117 yards

431 yards LSU


0.72

0.55

0.40

LSU LB'S

UCLA RB's

448 yards

LSU DL

UCLA OL

Phil Steele

at USC California

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

LSU

Tig

ers

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

UC

LA B

ruin

s

Net Offense

TM REC FOE REC

Bruins Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: UCLA Bruins0-0 1-0

0-0TM REC FOE

REC

Defense

Score Score


at UCLA Hawaii McNeese

LSU UCLA Central Michigan

LSU Bye

at Miss St Rush Off Fresno St Auburn Pass Off at Stanfordat Kentucky

Sks Allowed at Washington Bye Rush Def

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM

CONF

Oregonat Alabama Pass Def at Utah Arkansas Total Def Bye ULM Score Def Colorado Texas A&M Sks By

Lsu By 7.6

LSU 34-30Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineLsu By 2.5

65.5 Points

+/- Ratings

0.68

UCLA Pts

LSU ST's

LSU DB's

UCLA QB/WR

Arizona St Florida Score Off at Arizonaat Mississippi

5.36

LSU Pts



Tigers Logs

LSU Tigers

LSU RB's0.68

UCLA LB's

0.91

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. SEC vs. PAC 12

LSU by 10 Best Bet: H LSU 37 UCLA 27By 4.68 Points

UCLA

UCLA

UCLA

1st meeting. LSU has opened against a Pac12 foe 4 times since 2004, winning all 4 (2-2 ATS). HC Orgeron is 15-7 SU/14-6 ATS on the road during his time at LSU. UCLA is 18-15-4 vs current SEC schools. The Bruins have not played an SEC opponent since defeating Texas A&M 45-44 in ‘17 when they scored 35 unanswered points led by Josh Rosen! (trailed 44-10 late 3Q!). UCLA is just 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS vs non conf foes under Kelly and just 4-9 ATS as a HD since 2013. LSU lost their opener to Miss St last year and went from 15-0 to just 3-5 until winning the final two. They will not want to start off slow this year and should have a good amount of fans making a trip to the Rose Bowl which was rather empty for the opening game. I expect 20,000 fans and last week UCLA benefitted from 2 huge Special teams plays and a TO to get 17 points in the 1H vs Hawaii and and that given us some line value here with the line dropping to 3. QB DTR for UCLA only hit 50% of his passes in an average outing.

UCLA ST's

Game GradeUcla By 4.6

Ucla 448-431

Team Schedule Strength LSU14 LSU UCLA

314 yards LSU

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:61

Projected Rushing

34 points LSU

UCLA 23

Projected Passing

1.05257 yards LSU Coaches

0.65

LSU K

UCLA K

UCLA Coaches

191 yards

Total Off

LSU

Ret

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Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score


LSU


0-0 0-0 116 132 9/4 103 106 102 57 78 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 132 116 9/4 57 78 8 103 106 1020-0 0-0 121 9/11 85 41 17 0-0 0-0 135 9/11 21 9 38

9/18 0-0 0-0 134 9/18 13 24 230-0 0-0 135 9/25 11 14 78 #73 #42 0-0 0-0 116 9/25 108 108 85

10/2 #77 #9 0-0 0-0 110 10/2 101 100 241-0 0-0 131 10/9 28 32 82 #85 #8 0-0 0-0 126 10/9 44 52 100-0 0-0 122 10/16 55 47 95 #116 #6 0-0 0-0 129 10/16 93 38 700-0 0-0 133 10/23 19 27 57 #65 #32 0-0 0-0 133 10/23 42 91 1280-0 0-0 134 10/30 12 18 12 #127 #23 0-0 0-0 129 10/30 95 79 1190-0 0-0 129 11/6 81 56 107 #30 #25 11/60-0 0-0 135 11/13 21 9 38 #117 #14 11/130-0 0-0 133 11/19 42 91 128 #120 #8 0-0 0-0 119 11/20 104 86 900-0 0-0 134 11/27 13 24 23 #124 #23 0-0 0-0 134 11/27 12 18 12

#111 #4-9 +6



† BYU † Arizona San Diego St Utah Northern Arizona Arizona Stat Oregon USF Bye at Utah St UCLA Boise Stat Colorado at Baylor Washington at Washington Stat USC Virginia California Idaho St Utah Byeat Washington St at GA Southernat Arizona St USC

Average 17-40 -103.6 -0.4 -1.8 21 37-156 4.3 60.3% 213 9.5% 22 46-271 5.9 65.6% 202 1.6% Average 44-15 204.2 7.6 0.5 26 35-190 5.4 72.6% 332 3.2% 18 35-121 3.5 61.2% 198 7.0% Conference 17-40 -103.6 -0.4 -1.8 21 37-156 4.3 60.3% 213 9.5% 22 46-271 5.9 65.6% 202 1.6% Conference 44-15 221.7 8.8 0.4 26 36-184 5.0 74.2% 347 3.1% 17 34-111 3.3 60.5% 198 6.9% Away 19-36 -125.5 -4.0 -1.5 20 33-110 3.4 60.0% 206 10.7% 24 51-257 5.1 60.9% 184 2.2% Home 40-13 206.5 8.8 0.3 25 36-172 4.8 73.7% 331 2.0% 17 31-101 3.3 63.6% 196 5.6%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category


BYU - 60.5 28 23 43-183

Arizona - -10.5 23 22 35-129 0


BYU - -1.5 18 24 47-213

Arizona - 61 16 17 26-115 -2

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Ari

zon

a W

ildca

ts

Score

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Last meeting: BYU (+10’) won 28-23, on Sept. 1, 2018, in Tucson. Wildcats hold a narrow 12-11-1 series edge. Last time Arizona opened season at a neutral site was in ‘16, also vs BYU. Arizona took their only lead of game 16-15 w/1:26 4Q but allowed a GW FG with :04 left. For BYU this is the first of five games against PAC 12 this year. The Cougars have won 5 of the last 7 vs the Wildcats s/1976 including winning 3 straight regular season games SU & ATS (last in ‘18). Arizona has a new head coach and despite 17 returning starters they figure to have fewer than that starting the opener with HC Fisch bringing in a lot of transfers. They are adjusting to new schemes on both offense and defense. BYU has a veteran team last year and got to new heights but this year are just #119 on my Exp Chart with 11 starters back and they lose the 2nd overall pick in the draft in QB Wilson. Coach Sitake likes the replacements. They do have rival Utah on deck but that makes winning this even more important and they figure to have the crowd edge as well. Sitake is 9-9-1 ATS vs P5. Arizona may be more experienced on paper but will be using a lot of transfers so do not have as many returning starters as listed.

BYU ST's Byu By 12.5

54 Points

Arizona DB's0.39

BYU QB/WR

0.05

Arizona K

Team & Margin

Byu By 16.8

499 yards

+/- RatingsBYU K

Game Grade2.15

at USC Rush Def Virginia California Pass Def Idaho St Utah Total Def Byeat Washington St Score Def at GA Southernat Arizona St Sks By USC

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

BY

U C

oug

ars

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Arizona QB/WR

Arizona ST's

2.50

2020 TEAM RANKINGS † Arizona† BYU

APTM CONF


0-0 0-0TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM

Cougars Logs

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: BYU Cougars0-0 0-0

Arizona LB'S0.66

BYU RB's

98

San Diego StArizona BYU

Utah Northern Arizona

Defense

Score

vs. PAC 12Wildcats LogsTM

CONF--PS RANK-- FOE

TM REC FOE REC


vs. IND

Arizona St

BYU DL

Arizona BYUPosition by Position Edges

0.09

Arizona RB's1.30

BYU LB's

0.50

Arizona OL

at Colorado Score Off at Baylor UCLA

Washington Sks Allowed at Washington St

Rush Off USF Bye Pass Off at Utah Stat Oregon

Total Off Boise St

BYU DB's

Arizona Wildcats


235 yards

Projected Rushing


18-28-209

17-34-197

Arizona Coaches

Byu 499-358


0.64Computer Yards

Arizona Pts

8.26

BYU Pts

207 yards

Byu By 24.6

Las Vegas Total

358 yards Arizona BYU Coaches

Arizona


BYU 264 yards

21-29-202

Comp-Att-Yds 151 yards Arizona

Projected Passing

Ret

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Con

ten

ts

Arizona DL1.26

BYU OL

BYU

BYU 37 Arizona 20By 7.62 Points

BYU

Byu 38-22Computer Points


Phil SteeleByu by 17

11991 Arizona BYU


9 Arizona BYU

22 points Arizona 38 points

Experience Rankings

BYU

20-30-213

BYU


0-0 0-0 126 129 9/4 25 62 14 81 56 107 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 129 126 9/4 81 56 107 25 62 149/11 0-0 0-0 139 9/11 17 11 15

0-0 0-0 125 9/18 53 96 19 9/189/25 #106 #101 0-0 0-0 133 9/25 19 27 57

0-0 0-0 126 10/2 44 52 10 #13 #100 0-0 0-0 133 10/2 42 91 1280-1 0-0 94 10/9 115 130 56 #30 #112 10/90-1 0-0 122 10/16 90 57 86 #46 #109 0-0 0-0 135 10/16 11 14 781-0 0-0 121 10/23 33 85 126 #72 #49 0-0 0-0 122 10/23 55 47 950-0 0-0 105 10/30 119 122 121 #36 #72 0-0 0-0 124 10/30 71 83 691-0 0-0 124 11/6 92 58 64 #74 #26 0-0 0-0 116 11/6 103 106 1020-0 0-0 121 11/13 85 41 17 #46 #41 0-0 0-0 134 11/13 12 18 120-0 0-0 125 11/20 82 97 124 #36 #51 0-0 0-0 131 11/20 58 67 370-0 0-0 120 11/27 118 76 92 #38 #110 1-0 0-0 131 11/27 28 32 82

#36 #870 0



at California Nevada Idaho St at TCUat Kansas St Sacramento St Bye at Washingtonat Boise St Washington St New Mexico St Bye Hawaii at Oregonat Fresno St Colorado UNLV Oregon St San Jose St at Arizonaat San Diego St USC Air Force at Stanfordat Colorado St at UCLA

Average 31-23 63.8 1.6 0.0 22 28-122 4.3 69.9% 319 5.6% 20 35-138 4.0 60.6% 240 7.3% Average 20-27 -47.5 -0.3 0.0 18 37-127 3.4 61.2% 193 10.8% 19 38-169 4.4 61.9% 198 6.7% Conference 30-23 57.4 1.4 -0.4 22 27-112 4.2 69.2% 325 5.7% 20 34-131 3.8 61.6% 249 5.1% Conference 20-27 -47.5 -0.3 0.0 18 37-127 3.4 61.2% 193 10.8% 19 38-169 4.4 61.9% 198 6.7% Away 29-24 41.4 1.0 0.4 22 31-151 4.8 72.5% 278 6.6% 21 35-157 4.4 64.6% 231 9.9% Home 22-21 -2.5 1.5 0.0 19 41-165 4.0 62.9% 167 12.9% 18 35-114 3.3 65.5% 220 10.3%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Nev

ada

Wol

f P

ack

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

0.63

Nevada QB/WR

California DB'sNevada RB's

0.97

California LB's

Nevada CaliforniaPosition by Position Edges

at Washingtonat Boise St Pass Off Washington St Bye

Total Off Bye Hawaii Score Off at Oregon New Mexico St

at Stanford

San Jose St

Sks Allowed Colorado UNLV

Score Def Air Force

Rush Off

TM REC FOE REC

vs. MTW

OVERALL: OVERALL: California Golden Bears0-0 0-0

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAM

FOE

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Nevada Idaho St

Nevada Californiaat TCU

at Kansas St Sacramento St

at California

TM CONF


Defense

Score Score

Nevada LB'S

California RB's

1.80

Nevada ST's

California OL

Phil's Forecast:

The Bears have yet to lose a regular-season nonconference game during head coach Justin Wilcox’s tenure. Cal owns this series leading 22-3-1, however, Nevada has won the last two meetings (31-24 in ‘12 in Berkeley, 52-31 in ‘10 in Reno). The ‘Pack’s last road win against a Power 5 school was in 2012 when they beat Cal 31-24 in the season opener. Nev is 5-9 ATS the last 4 years vs non-conf foes. Jay Norvell went 7-2 last year and has future NFL QB Carson Strong throwing to my #10 rated receiving corps and they have my #14 Special teams as well. Cal has 17 returning starters including QB Chase Garbers, and they have my #37 rated defense. While Cal has a slight edge on defense (#37 vs #52) Nevada has a large edge on offense #33 vs #92. Nevada played 9 games last year and benefitted from bowl practices while Cal played just 4 games with no bowl game. Justin Wilcox is 1-8-1 as a HF and Nevada is familiar with the area after practicing the last 2 weeks at nearby Stanford due to poor air quality in Nevada. I will call for the upset in this one.

California ST's

52.5 Points

Team & Margin

Nevada DB's

0.71

Nevada OL

California DL

0.66

Nevada DL

Cal

ifor

nia

Gol

den

Bea

rs

Net Offense

Nevada California California 368-337

+/- Ratings

Oregon Stat Fresno St

at ArizonaTotal Def USC

Total TO'sYpg Diff

California By 6.6

California By 3.8

at San Diego St

Nevada 30 California 27By 2.43 Points

Phil Steele92 Nevada California 41

AP

Projected Rushing85 yards Nevada 110 yards

Projected Passing


4.07

Nevada Pts

0.05

Nevada California 368 yards

258 yards

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength Nevada

337 yards

Rush Def

vs. PAC 12

Sks By

California Coaches

Nevada Coaches

Nevada K

CaliforniaNevada 35

Nevada Wolf PackWolf Pack Logs


TM CONF


Computer Yards


California

0.47

California QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

California K0.20

Las Vegas Total

--PS RANK--

7

Golden Bears Logs

at UCLA

Pass Def

Nevada By 3

0.21

27 points

Game GradeProjected Yardage Total

Nevada by 3

1.64

California PtsNevada 28-27

252 yards CaliforniaNevada

at Colorado St

Experience Rankings


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 94 105 8/28 3-30 L 115 130 56 97 115 41 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 121 94 9/4 85 41 17 115 130 560-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 91 121 9/4 0 0 0 85 41 17 0-0 0-0 116 9/11 103 106 102

0-0 0-0 116 9/11 94 120 122 0-0 0-0 135 9/18 21 9 389/18 #117 #31 9/25

0-1 0-0 122 9/25 90 57 86 #129 #114 10/21-0 0-0 124 10/2 92 58 64 #128 #96 0-0 0-0 116 10/9 94 120 1220-0 0-0 126 10/9 25 62 14 #127 #93 1-0 0-0 124 10/16 92 58 64

10/16 #9 #61 0-0 0-0 125 10/23 82 97 1240-1 0-0 122 10/23 90 57 86 #102 #9 1-0 0-0 121 10/30 33 85 126

10/30 #90 #18 0-1 0-0 122 11/6 90 57 860-0 0-0 110 11/6 101 100 24 #108 #7 0-0 0-0 126 11/13 25 62 140-0 0-0 158 11/13 8 1 1 #70 #15 0-0 0-0 105 11/20 119 122 1210-0 0-0 125 11/20 67 42 52 #128 #52 0-0 0-0 126 11/27 44 52 100-0 0-0 95 11/27 128 129 84 #128 #33

+1 +2



UTEP 3-30 -342 1 1 20 34-101 3.0 9-33 9 3 19 42-203 4.8 11-20 249 0 New Mexico Stat San Diego St at Arizonaat New Mexico Utah South Carolina St Towson Hawaii Byeat San Jose St New Mexicoat Nevada at San Jose St Bye at Air Forceat Hawaii Fresno St Bye at Hawaii Utah St Nevadaat Alabama at UNLVat Kentucky Boise St UMass

Average 3-30 -342.0 1.0 1.0 20 34-101 3.0 27.3% 9 9.1% 19 42-203 4.8 55.0% 249 0.0% Average 25-18 67.3 3.8 0.3 19 45-199 4.5 56.7% 151 8.4% 15 32-98 3.0 59.9% 185 7.6% Conference 3-30 -342.0 1.0 1.0 20 34-101 3.0 27.3% 9 9.1% 19 42-203 4.8 55.0% 249 0.0% Conference 29-16 106.7 5.5 0.5 20 47-225 4.8 57.6% 151 8.3% 14 31-95 3.1 57.6% 174 8.1% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 29-15 92.0 4.3 0.0 18 48-208 4.4 55.4% 140 9.8% 14 34-95 2.8 54.2% 160 12.5%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2019 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 51 10 17 24-30

San Diego St - -16 31 24 47-281 3

vs.

vs.

vs.

Total TO'sYpg Diff UMass

Net Offense Defense

New

Mex

ico

St

Ag

gie

s

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

San

Die

go

St

Azt

ecs

Net Offense

Experience Rankings

San Diego St by 28 San Diego St 38 New Mexico St 10By 10.36 Points

Phil Steele

45 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Defense


New Mexico St QB/WR

0.52

San Diego St DB'sNew Mexico St RB's

1.13

San Diego St LB's

San Diego St 241 yards New Mexico St Coaches

New Mexico St 559 yards

17-26-116 New Mexico St K

New Mexico St ST's

44 Points

at Air Forceat Hawaii Rush Def Fresno St

Total Off New Mexicoat Nevada Score Off at San Jose St

Score Def at UNLVat Kentucky Sks By Boise St

Pass Def at Hawaii Utah St Total Def Nevada

Bye

Bye

at Alabama

FOE REC

2020 TEAM RANKINGS New Mexico Stat San Diego St

New Mexico St San Diego Stat Arizona

at New Mexico Utah

UTEP

Towson Bye

South Carolina St

TM CONF

OVERALL: OVERALL: San Diego St Aztecs0-1 0-0vs. MTW

FOETM REC FOE

RECFOE--PS RANK--

vs. IND

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0Aggies Logs

TM CONF


TEAM --PS RANK--AP

Aztecs LogsFOE FOE

CONFTEAM


New Mexico St LB'S2.41

San Diego St RB's

1.16

San Diego St

New Mexico St OL0.78

San Diego St DLNew Mexico St DL

1.57

San Diego St OL

0.00

New Mexico St Pts

12 Points New Mexico St

Game Grade205 yards

San Diego StProjected Rushing

318 yards

New Mexico St

Phil's Forecast:

Aggies face 6 Mountain West Conf foes in a total of 7 games this season. Aggies only win vs Aztecs was in 1955 going 0-8 since. Last time here (‘09) the game was tied 17- 17 in 4Q but Aggies lost 34-17 (+17). Aztecs hold a 10-1-1 record vs. Last met in ‘19 in Las Cruces where SDSt won 31-10 despite only being +68 yds (+3 TO’s). SDSt has won their last 7 home openers (2-5 ATS). New Mexico St figures to be an underrated team this year and has a GUB edge after XXXX. Doug Martin is just 13-26 ATS as an AD here. SDSt is off a 4-4 year and poised to get back to the top in the MW. They have 17 returning starters this year but do have a couple of Pac 12 foes on deck in Arizona and Utah. The Aztecs are my #7 Most Improved team. Brady Hoke is 30-22-1 ATS as a HF and SDSt was embarrassed by just going 4-4 and will want to start off strong.

53 yards New Mexico StProjected Passing San Diego St K

San Diego St ST's

San Diego St By 55.6Projected Yardage Total

51 Points

Team & Margin

1.35Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineSan Diego St By 31.5

+/- RatingsSan Diego St By 33.1

1.08

New Mexico St DB's

San Diego St QB/WR

26-41-299

San Diego St PtsSan Diego St 44-12

Comp-Att-Yds

San Diego St 559-20510.36Computer Yards

Computer Points

San Diego StProjected Final Score


152 yards

San Diego St Coaches0.35

New Mexico St San Diego St

Score Score

AP

at San Jose St

Rush Off

Sks Allowed

Hawaii Pass Off

New Mexico St Aggies

109 New Mexico St San Diego St 83San Diego St

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

85 New Mexico St San Diego St


0-0 0-0 110 133 9/4 101 100 24 42 91 128 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 110 9/4 42 91 128 101 100 249/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 125 9/18 82 97 124 0-0 0-0 134 9/18 12 18 120-0 0-0 126 9/25 44 52 10 #88 #98 0-0 0-0 135 9/25 21 9 380-0 0-0 132 10/1 57 78 8 #120 #41 0-0 0-0 129 10/2 81 56 107

10/9 #121 #75 0-0 0-0 124 10/9 71 83 690-0 0-0 105 10/16 119 122 121 #123 #76 0-0 0-0 131 10/16 58 67 370-0 0-0 120 10/23 118 76 92 #42 #22 0-0 0-0 132 10/23 57 78 80-1 0-0 122 10/30 90 57 86 #116 #53 0-0 0-0 134 10/30 13 24 230-1 0-0 94 11/6 115 130 56 #105 #125 11/61-0 0-0 124 11/13 92 58 64 #121 #113 0-0 0-0 135 11/13 11 14 780-0 0-0 125 11/20 83 46 63 #101 #118 0-0 0-0 116 11/20 103 106 1020-0 0-0 116 11/27 94 120 122 #71 #108 0-0 0-0 133 11/27 19 27 57

#126 #104-6 -2



at Washington St Utah St North Dakota Portland Stat Air Force USC Boise St at Utah BYU at California Bye Oregon Stat UNLV Stanford Colorado St BYU Hawaii at Arizona Stat New Mexico St Byeat San Jose St at Oregon Wyoming Arizonaat New Mexico at Washington

Average 16-35 -209.5 -12.3 -1.0 14 32-140 4.4 52.4% 136 8.2% 26 42-225 5.3 67.7% 261 8.3% Average 27-39 -77.8 -3.8 -0.5 20 28-129 4.7 61.8% 255 5.9% 23 31-155 5.0 67.8% 307 5.3% Conference 16-35 -209.5 -12.3 -1.0 14 32-140 4.4 52.4% 136 8.2% 26 42-225 5.3 67.7% 261 8.3% Conference 27-39 -77.8 -3.8 -0.5 20 28-129 4.7 61.8% 255 5.9% 23 31-155 5.0 67.8% 307 5.3% Away 11-38 -289.5 -14.5 -0.5 12 34-110 3.2 49.2% 97 6.6% 26 32-146 4.6 68.6% 350 8.1% Home 29-43 -160.0 -6.0 3.0 20 27-100 3.7 64.1% 321 2.6% 26 36-269 7.5 70.0% 312 3.3%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Wyoming

Offense

0.90

Wash St 529-288

Wash St 41-24

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Utah St LB'S0.14

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Uta

h S

t A

gg

ies

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Was

h S

t C

oug

ars

Net

Utah St DB's1.18

Las Vegas Line

Utah St K

+/- RatingsWash St 349 yards

24 points

Wash St by 17 Washington St 41 Utah St 24By 2.13 Points

Wash St Phil SteeleUtah St

Utah St Coaches

Wash St Coaches

Experience RankingsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:20Utah St

0.36

Utah St OL

Wash St DLUtah St DL

2.10

Projected Passing

Game Grade

209 yards Utah St

Wash St Pts

Projected Yardage Total288 yards Utah St Wash St 529 yards

181 yardsWash St K

Team & Margin

Wash St By 26.6

Wash St

Wash St QB/WR


Utah St ST's

Wash St RB's

Utah St Pts4.24

at Oregon

0.25

Wash St OL

0.23

Utah St QB/WR

Wash St DB'sUtah St RB's

0.96

Wash St LB's

Utah St Wash St

Colorado St Sks Allowed BYU Hawaii Rush Def at Arizona St

Score Def Arizonaat New Mexico Sks By at Washington

at New Mexico St Pass Def Byeat San Jose St Total Def


North Dakota Utah St Wash St

Portland Stat Air Force USC

Rush Off at Utah BYU Pass Off at California Boise St

Total Off Oregon Stat UNLV Score Off Stanford Bye

Cougars Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Wash St Cougars0-0 0-0vs. MTW vs. PAC 12

FOE CONF TM +/-

--PS RANK--TM +/-

Defense

Score Score

TEAM

FOE

FOE


TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOEFOE +/-

AP

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Utah Stat Washington St

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF


The Cougars will be playing the Aggies, now under the direction of first-year coach Blake Anderson, for the first time since 1961. 4th meeting (WSt 2-1 SU). Last met in 1961 where USU won 34-14. The Aggies have 41 career wins vs current Pac-12 foes. Dating back to 2010 the Aggies are 0-12 SU vs P5 foes on the road (6-6 ATS). WSU is 37-16-1 vs current MWC tms but dropped their last matchup vs Air Force in the ‘19 Cheese-It Bowl (31-21). Cougars HC Nick Rolovich was head coach of Hawaii and was 0-2 vs Utah St losing by 38.5 ppg. The Cougars only have Portland St on deck and are 20-13-1 ATS as a HF the last 8 years. Blake Anderson brought his QB and top WR over from Ark St as well as LB Rice but is 13-18-1 ATS as an AD. Rolovich is just 5-12-1 ATS as a HF. QB Bonner does give the Aggies back door potential.

Wash St ST's Wash St By 17.5

0.80

Utah St

Aggies Logs

79 yards Utah StProjected Rushing

66.5 Points

Wash St By 28.0

Computer YardsWash St

TEAM --PS RANK--

Utah St Aggies


Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts


Wash St 3

39 Wash St


0-0 0-0 137 127 9 9/4 20 7 13 26 37 72 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 137 9 9/4 26 37 72 20 7 130-0 0-0 119 9/11 72 51 113 9/110-0 0-0 127 9/18 48 71 101 0-0 0-0 132 9/18 39 63 650-0 0-0 142 9/25 23 16 83 #23 #30 0-0 0-0 130 9/25 63 70 800-0 0-0 137 10/2 46 5 48 #60 #97 0-0 0-0 121 10/2 84 68 180-0 0-0 125 10/9 76 23 77 #27 #61 0-0 0-0 136 10/9 9 35 43

10/16 #31 #85 10/160-0 0-0 134 10/23 12 18 12 #98 #111 0-0 0-0 95 10/23 128 129 840-0 0-0 136 10/30 9 35 43 #21 #100 0-0 0-0 146 10/30 6 2 670-0 0-0 121 11/6 117 92 120 #62 #100 0-0 0-0 129 11/6 38 13 260-0 0-0 129 11/13 95 79 119 #29 #109 0-0 0-0 133 11/13 5 17 310-0 0-0 124 11/20 62 43 96 #18 #105 0-0 0-0 129 11/20 24 64 450-0 0-0 131 11/27 58 67 37 #15 #97 0-0 0-0 135 11/27 32 26 59

#19 #94+6 -3



at Florida St Notre Dame Toledo Jacksonville St Purdue at Wake Forest† Wisconsin Louisville Cincinnati Syracuseat Virginia Tech at North Carolina Bye Bye USC UMass North Carolina at Clemson Navy NC Stateat Virginia Miami, Fl Georgia Tech at Boston Collegeat Stanford at Florida

Average 33-20 104.6 6.8 0.5 24 42-211 5.0 63.8% 237 6.9% 17 30-113 3.8 58.0% 231 8.0% Average 26-36 -59.7 -3.3 -0.3 21 39-200 5.1 54.5% 197 9.9% 24 39-199 5.1 66.3% 257 3.5% Conference 35-19 119.7 7.5 0.6 24 42-218 5.1 63.4% 238 7.2% 17 30-111 3.7 55.9% 225 8.4% Conference 24-38 -95.1 -5.4 -0.4 19 37-192 5.1 52.9% 188 10.3% 25 41-216 5.3 65.4% 259 3.1% Away 29-22 83.3 6.2 0.3 25 41-166 4.0 66.3% 256 7.4% 19 27-111 4.1 57.4% 228 9.7% Home 32-29 5.6 -0.2 -0.4 22 40-217 5.4 56.8% 200 9.0% 22 39-160 4.1 64.9% 251 5.2%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

2020 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Notre Dame 5 -21 42 26 42-353

Florida St - 53.5 26 18 40-153 12019 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Notre Dame 3 -16.5 42 24 50-365

Florida St - 51.5 13 20 30-106 0

vs.

vs.

Toledo

Rush Def at Clemson

at Virginia Total Def Miami, Fl Navy

Score Def at Boston Collegeat Stanford Sks By at Florida Georgia Tech

at Florida St

Rush Off Louisville Cincinnati Pass Off Syracuse† Wisconsin

--PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TEAM

Seminoles Logs

Florida St Seminoles0-0 0-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

--PS RANK--

Florida St DB's

Defense

Score

AP TEAM

FOE

FOE


TM REC FOE REC

FOE

Pass Def

Not

re D

ame

Fig

hti

ng

Iri

sh

Jacksonville St Purdue

Net Offense Defense

at Wake Forest

2020 TEAM RANKINGS Notre Dame

Notre Dame Florida St

0.00

Notre Dame QB/WR

UMass

NC State

at North Carolina Bye

Net Offense

Score

0.11

Notre Dame OL

Florida St DL

0.67

Notre Dame DL

Florida St OL


0.60

Notre Dame RB's

Florida St LB's

TM +/- FOE +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF

Notre Dame Florida St

Team Schedule Strength Notre Dame39 Notre Dame Florida St 68

128


7.50

Notre Dame Pts0.00

Experience Rankings Florida St Pts33 points Notre Dame

Total TO's

TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Flor

ida

St

Sem

inol

es

224 yards

429 yards


Notre Dame ST'sFlorida St QB/WR

0.65

Notre Dame DB's

Florida St Coaches1.80

Florida St KFlorida St 167 yards 2.30

Notre Dame K

Notre Dame Florida St 79

Ypg Diff

Total Off Bye Score Offat Virginia Tech

Sks Allowed USC


Florida St RB's0.51

Notre Dame LB'S

vs. IND vs. ACC

Notre Dame Florida St 200 yards

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame by 7 Notre Dame 33 Florida St 26By 7.50 Points

Notre Dame 33-25

Phil Steele


Last year ND won its 21st straight home game (longest streak s/1942-50). Williams rushed for 19-185. FSU led 17-14 after 1Q but ND led 35-20 at half. FSU 75/8 TD open 3Q 35-26 ND 73/8 TD 42-26 after 3Q. ND miss 45 yd FG but FSU 3&G 5 INT in EZ 8:21. ND 75/12 4&G 2 SOD late. FSU is 6-4 all-time vs ND. ‘Noles have lost the last 2 meetings but those were both in South Bend. FSU is 0-4 SU/ATS in season openers and 0-7 ATS in home openers. Last year they lost to GT 16-13 (-12’). Visitor in series has lost 3 straight (2-1 ATS) including last time here in ‘14 when #5 Notre Dame lost 31-27 to #2 Florida St 31-27 as a 10 pt AD. Irish have won 4 straight road openers going 3-0-1 ATS. FSU will be a vastly improved team with after going thru a losing season with a first-year head coach last year and no spring practices. This year they have 17 returning starters and a top 30 Offense. Notre Dame had an Experienced team last year and now has just 9 returning starters and is #128 on my Exp Chart. I do not see much of a drop off from Ian Book to Jack Coan at QB. In 2019 with Coan at QB the Badgers were 3-1 ATS as an AF. Mike Norvell is 4-1 ATS as a HD in his career. FSU is 51-15 at home SU the last 10 years and will have an excited home crowd.

Florida St ST's

Notre Dame Coaches

Game Grade

Las Vegas Line



Notre Dame By 5.0

Notre Dame By 17.5

Notre Dame By 7.5

+/- Ratings

Notre Dame 429-367Computer Yards

16-25-201

17-31-252

Florida St

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts


Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds

Fighting Irish Logs


23-48-216

Notre Dame Florida St 367 yards

North Carolina

12-25-130Notre Dame

FOE +/-AP

FOE


0-0 0-0 130 138 9/6 63 70 80 7 60 103 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 130 9/6 7 60 103 63 70 809/11 9/11

0-0 0-0 130 9/18 10 69 76 0-0 0-0 127 9/18 69 72 730-0 0-0 127 9/25 26 37 72 #28 #25 9/250-0 0-0 132 10/2 39 63 65 #49 #8 0-0 0-0 158 10/2 8 1 10-0 0-0 129 10/9 95 79 119 #29 #3 0-0 0-0 127 10/9 52 31 111

10/16 #57 #17 0-0 0-0 120 10/16 79 65 330-0 0-0 129 10/23 24 64 45 #116 #67 0-0 0-0 144 10/23 16 10 160-0 0-0 129 10/30 38 13 26 #83 #105 0-0 0-0 132 10/30 22 20 250-0 0-0 146 11/6 6 2 67 #21 #126 0-0 0-0 133 11/6 34 55 750-0 0-0 121 11/13 84 68 18 #42 #127 0-0 0-0 143 11/13 14 6 360-0 0-0 114 11/20 105 102 11 #52 #117 0-0 0-0 112 11/20 111 116 1060-0 0-0 125 11/27 67 42 52 #45 #71 0-0 0-0 132 11/27 50 28 51

#30 #48-12 -5



† Mississippi † Louisville Eastern Kentucky Austin Peay UCF Tulane at Florida St Byeat Wake Forest at Alabama Virginia Arkansas Bye Tennessee Boston College LSUat NC State at Auburn Clemson Liberty Syracuse Texas A&Mat Duke Vanderbilt Kentucky at Miss St

Average 30-27 75.1 2.7 -1.1 21 38-200 5.2 64.1% 244 9.5% 18 38-180 4.8 53.6% 189 7.3% Average 39-38 36.5 0.2 -0.5 28 46-211 4.6 71.0% 345 5.7% 27 39-207 5.3 68.0% 312 4.1% Conference 29-27 58.7 2.0 -1.1 21 38-206 5.4 65.1% 234 10.3% 19 38-186 4.9 54.5% 195 6.8% Conference 41-40 26.8 0.1 -0.8 28 47-218 4.6 71.4% 345 5.9% 28 39-211 5.4 69.3% 324 4.1% Away 20-29 -13.4 -3.2 -1.4 18 35-194 5.5 60.2% 186 11.7% 21 40-187 4.6 62.5% 207 6.3% Home 40-43 21.6 -1.0 0.0 28 49-216 4.4 73.0% 377 6.3% 29 34-217 6.4 72.7% 354 3.5%

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

UCFat Florida Stat Wake Forest Virginia

Syracuseat Duke Kentucky

Bye Boston Collegeat NC State Clemson

Tulane Byeat Alabama Arkansas Tennessee

MississippiLouisville

Louisville Mississippi


0.71

Louisville

Experience Rankings

Phil's Forecast:

Austin Peay

Mississippi K

311 yards

Mississippi 540-474

Louisville KLas Vegas Total

75.5 Points

+/- Ratings


† Mississippi


TE

AM

AV

ER

AG

ES

Lou

isvi

lle C

ard

inal

s

Mis

siss

ipp

i Reb

els

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def

Net Offense Defense

LouisvilleLouisville QB/WR

1.00

Louisville DB's

Mississippi QB/WR

1.12

0-0

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

Rush Off

0-0TM +/-

TEAM

Louisville Cardinals Mississippi RebelsRebels LogsCardinals Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. ACC

Sks By

Eastern Kentucky

0-0vs. SEC

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-0

† LouisvilleNCAA RANKINGS

2020 TEAM RANKINGS

at Auburn Liberty

Sks AllowedRush Def

Score Off

Louisville Mississippi

213 yards

Total Def

0.74

Mississippi OL

Mississippi ST's

Louisville DL

Louisville ST's

Mississippi DB's

Pass OffTotal Off

0.75

Pass Def

LSU

Las Vegas LineMississippi By 10

Net

Mississippi

First meeting. L’ville last played in a Neutral Site opener in ‘18 when they lost to Bama 51-14. The Cardinals are 4-2 in non-conf play under Satterfield and they did beat Miss St in ‘19’s Music City Bowl. They are 2-0 ATS in neutral site games under Satterfield but just 3-7-2 ATS as a dog. Ole Miss is 2-1 in recent Neutral Site openers including a win over Texas Tech in ‘18. The Rebels have only opened with Power 5 opponents in 5 of the last 25 seasons. Louisville had a great first year under Satterfield going 8-5 but last year even with the big 4 on offense in QB Cunningham, RB Hawkins, WR’s Atwell and Fitzpatrick they stumbled to 4-7. They had the same 444 ypg on offense but were done in by -10 in TO’s. This year 3 of the big 4 are gone and Cunningham must improve on the TO’s. Ole Miss coach Kiffin stepped into a great situation inheriting a very talented group of sophs that were impressive as frosh. While they went just 4-5 in the regular season the took Bama to the wire with tough losses to LSU and Auburn then knocked off #7 Indy in the bowl. They have 17 returning starters with QB Corral (71%, 29-14) back but they do lose their top two WR’s. Kiffin is just 2-3 ATS as a favorite.

Mississippi By 7.7

Defense

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Phil Steele

Computer Points

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Texas A&M Vanderbilt

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

at Miss St

Score

Offense

Team & Margin

Mississippi 42 Louisville 33

Mississippi 42-33

Team Schedule StrengthLouisville Mississippi

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Mississippi

52

100


2.18 4.32


Mississippi Coaches

Louisville Pts

Mississippi Pts

Mississippi

Louisville Coaches

Mississippi

33 points

Ret

urn

to

Tabl

e of

Con

ten

ts

0.49

1.25

0.44

229 yards

Louisville RB's

Mississippi LB's

Mississippi DL

Louisville OL

Mississippi RB's

Louisville LB'S

Projected Yardage TotalLouisville Mississippi

474 yards Louisville 540 yards

38

Mississippi By 4.8

By 2.14 Points

28

42 points

Mississippi by 9


Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Total

E Michigan By 42.3

E Michigan By 87.5

Las Vegas LineFirst Meeting. Eastern Michigan is 7-1 SU but 3-5 ATS vs FCS teams since 2011. St Francis did not play last season. Red Flash were 6-6 in ‘19 & last faced a current FBS foe in ‘17 when they lost 13-7 to then FCS Liberty. They must replace All-NEC players at QB, WR, TE, OL and LB and DB (2). In fact, 7 of their 8 All-NEC players from ’19 are gone and it will be hard to replace 3 skill players that have moved on to Power-5 schools. Eastern Michigan has 21 starters back and are one of the best AD’s in the country but are just 6-12 ATS as a HF the last 9 years and have Wisconsin on deck. They only beat Central Connecticut St 34-29 (-32.50 in 2019 but did plaster Monmouth 51-17 and Miss Valley St 61-14 the previous two matchups vs FCS foes. Eastern has a large talent edge and have had 5 losing seasons in 7 years under Creighton so should want an impressive start with a likely loss to Wisconsin on deck.

E Michigan By 31

Computer Yards

Computer PointsE Michigan 47-8

53.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Phil SteeleE Michigan by 35 Eastern Michigan 45 St Francis 10

E Michigan 749-21


Las Vegas Line The Jayhawks are only 3-2 in their last 5 matchups against FCS opponents, losing to Nicholls in ’18 and South Dakota St in ‘15. South Dakota competes in the MVFC and went 1-3 in the FCS Spring season. Kansas new HC Lance Leipold coached D3 at Wisconsin-Whitewater and while at Buffalo was 4-1 vs FCS foes but just 2-3 ATS. He took over the team after spring and they are implementing new schemes on both sides of the ball so that is a tough situation but this is his home opener, and he realizes wins will be few so Kansas should go all out. They did beat SEMO 38-16 in ’17 and Rhode Island 55-6 (-28) in ’16. South Dakota is 5-2 ATS their last 7 vs FBS teams only losing at Kansas St 27-24 in ’18 and in their last meeting covered +23 in a 31-14 loss in 2013. Since joining the Missouri Valley Conference in 2012 South Dakota has had just one winning season but actually made the playoffs for the first time in school history and won a first round game in 2017. They have gone just 4-7, 5-7 and 1-3 the last 3 years. True frosh QB Carson Camp threw for 967 (63%, 3-4) in the spring. They do have 6 frosh RB’s behind him but a veteran O-line and receiving corp. They did only have 324 ypg in the spring. They have a solid back 7 on defense led by LB’s Cochrane and Morgensen and added Iowa transfer DB Da’raun McKinney. They did allow 219 (5.0) on the ground last year. Kansas is 4-12 ATS as a HF the last 9 years and while Leipold was 12-3-1 ATS as HF the last 4 years at Buffalo he was 1-3 ATS his first two years there. Kansas has some talent and will take South Dakota seriously.

Kansas By 15.5

56 Points

Kansas By 3.7

Kansas By 17.8

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Las Vegas Total

Computer YardsKansas 665-62

Team & Margin

Computer PointsKansas 39-23

Phil SteeleKansas by 17

Kansas 40 South Dakota 23


Las Vegas Line UNC will be playing its first game with new head coach Ed McCaffrey, the former Denver Broncos great who was coached for three years (2000-02) by Dorrell. McCaffrey’s son, Dylan, recently transferred from Michigan to UNC to play quarterback. Colorado leads the series 10-2 and LTH ’17 won 41-21 (-39’). From 2017-’19 NC slipped to 3-7, 2-9 & 2-10 going 2-6 in Big Sky play all 3 years & they did not retain their 9 year HC. After hiring a new HC & canceling their 2020 season, the Bears played 2 closed scrimmages instead of competing in Big Sky play in the spring. Northern has little experience and lose 13 of the top 23 tacklers from that ’19 squad and have not played in two years. Colorado has 8 returning starters on both offense and defense but is breaking in a new QB. After going 4-0 to open up Dorral’s first year they lost to Utah 38-21 blowing a 2 score lead then they were hit hard by Covid and lost the bowl 55-23 to Texas. The Buffs were pegged last in the Pac 12 media poll and may be out to prove something here. Colorado is 4-2 ATS their last 6 vs FCS teams and Northern Colorado is 4-3-1 ATS the last 8 vs FBS but do have a first time head coach and have not played in 2 years. CU is 5-1 ATS as a HF the last 2 years.

Colorado By 37.5


Colorado By 47.9+/- Ratings

Colorado By 101.2Game Grade

Computer YardsColorado 842--56

Colorado by 42 Colorado 52 Northern Colorado 10

Colorado 57-6

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Category

Game Grade

Best Bet: H Colorado St 27 South Dakota St 14Colorado St by 13

Phil Steele

Colorado St 31-18Computer Points


Colorado St 683--3Computer Yards

Colorado St By 6.2

Colorado St By 2.5

Will meet for the 3rd time, with the last meeting taking place in 1966 when CSU won 45-14. The Jack Rabbits have won 2 conf titles and have made the FCS playoffs 9 straight seasons. Last year South Dakota St was the #1 seed for the FCS playoffs and made it to the finals but lost to Sam Houston St. They played to an AGG of 82.5 which was #1 in the FCS. Colorado St played to an 85.1 AGG in 4 games in the fall under first year head coach Steve Addazio. SDSt is 1-9 SU vs FBS teams with a win over Kansas in 2015, a 3 point loss to Minnesota in 2009, 14 point loss to Nebraska in 2010, and a 7 point loss to Minnesota in 2019. Addazio has 19 returning starters and feels they have the best defense in the MW and will contend for the title. SDSt had Mark Gronkowski took over as the QB in the spring and he threw for 1549 (58%, 15-3) but he was injured in the title game and will be out for the year. He was also the #3 rusher with 567 (7.0!). While Heide and Gibbs do return they add in Chris Oladokun as a transfer. While at Samford, Oladokun threw for 2058 (62%, 18-7) and did rush for 491 (3.9). South Dakota St is picked to finish first in the MVFC for the first time in their school history and has 12 Super Seniors with 10 of them being starters. They also have a top-notch defense so this should be a lower scoring game. Addazio is 13-15 as a HF but coming off 3 straight losing seasons and South Dakota St coming of a best year ever, they will not look past this one. South Dakota St is actually a road favorite here so I like the Rams as a live home dog to pull the “upset” which is not an upset in my mind.

Las Vegas Line


South Dakota St By 1.3+/- Ratings

Category

Boston College By 50.5 First meeting. BC has won 3 straight home openers although last year they were -20’ and only won 24-21 vs Texas St needing a comeback to win outright. In ‘18 Colgate brought back 18 starters and 17 of their top 20 tacklers were back on defense. Colgate won their first 9 games, and over an 8-game stretch, the Raiders allowed just 12 points including a 2 game stretch where they allowed 64 total yards! In ’19 they had just 7 starters back and faced much stiffer competition in league play. They lost 7 All-Patriot defensive players and naturally they took a big step back. They allowed 34+ points in each of their first 5 games and started 0-7 before winning 4 of their last 5 (-76 ypg). They went 0-2 in spring with both games on the road then HC Dan Hunt surprisingly resigned in May. Longtime Asst HC/DB coach Stan Dakotsy takes over as Interim HC and he inherits just 5 returning starters on offense and 3 on defense! The Eagles have won their last 6 over FCS schools by 40 ppg. They are just 1-3 ATS the last 4 but Colgate is 0-5 ATS Their last 5 vs FBS schools losing by an avg of 28.4 ppg. This is a depleted Colgate team with an unexpected new coach that had just 2 spring games vs a BC squad who head coach Jeff Hafley has never had a home crowd yet and they have two solid QB in Jurkovid and Dennis Grosel who threw for 520 vs Virginia last year and they only have UMass and Temple on deck so they make the home folks happy with a big win.

Las Vegas Line


Boston College By 59.1+/- Ratings


Boston College 800--64Computer Yards

Boston College By 59.5Game Grade

Boston College 58 Colgate 3Boston College by 55

Phil Steele

Boston College 52-3Computer Points

Category

Phil SteeleConn by 10

Connecticut 27 Holy Cross 17

Computer YardsConn 450-226

Computer PointsConn 35-16

Conn By 3.1

Game GradeHoly Cross By 52.4

Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line UConn trails series 9-19-1. Played every year from 1970-1985 but just once since a 27-20 UConn win in ‘17. Crusaders were Patriot league Champs at 3-0 last season, losing in the first round of FBS playoffs to #1 seed South Dakota St. Bob Chesney took over as HC at Holy Cross and his first team went 5-6 but then 7-5 and 3-1 the next two years making the FCS playoffs both times. Holy Cross has not topped 24 ppg since 2016. Holy Cross beat Army in 2002 but have only played 4 FBS foes and gone 0-4 losing at Connecticut 27-20 (+24) in 2017 then losing to BC by 48, Navy by 38 and Syracuse by 38 the last 3 fall seasons. Connecticut lost to Towson in 2015 but while they have won 6 in a row vs the FCS each game has been close with wins by 3, 5, 3, 8, 7 and 3 and they are 1-5 ATS with their only cover when a 7-point dog to Villanova! Edsall is confident that this years’ team will be much improved despite not playing last year. Connecticut has lost 13 in a row as a HF dating back to 2013 and is 2-19 as a HF the last 10 years. Connecticut has a deliberate offense that huddles in an effort to shrink the game and actually had a 10:33-4:27 TOP edge after 1Q vs Fresno St only being outgained 32-29. Fresno then took control with a 337-36 yard edge in the 2Q to lead 31-0 at half in a 45-0 rout with a 506-78 yard edge the last 3Q’s. QB Zergiotis was 12-24-61 and star RB Keviin Mensah had just 11-31 rush but both should fare better here.

Conn By 2.5


+/- Ratings

Category

Phil SteeleNebraska by 43 Nebraska 53 Fordham 10

Computer YardsNebraska 827--74

Computer PointsNebraska 53-6

Nebraska By 45.0

Game GradeNebraska By 41.5


Las Vegas Line1st meeting. The Rams went 2-1 this past spring. In lined games vs FCS opponents S/’10, the Huskers are 6-0 with an avg margin of victory of 33 ppg, but are just 2-4 ATS and failed to cover in the last 2 (in ‘14 & ‘18). Nebraska is off of their Big Ten opener vs Illinois andXXX. HC Conlin has clearly put his offensive stamp on this squad. He was an OC at Yale for 4 years and Fordham has shown steady improvement including an impressive 3 games in spring. They get 16 starters back, including 10 on offense. They get Holy Cross at home and we think they should be the favorite to win the Patriot League this year. Fordham did upset Temple in 2013 under then HC Joe Moorhead and upset Army in 2015. They are 0-4 SU their last 4 vs the FBS losing by 36.5 ppg and are 1-3 ATS in those with their only cover in a 57-29 loss to Ball St where they were +29.5. Nebraska is 11-0 SU vs the FBS since 2000 with the average win by 31.4 ppg but they are 2-5 ATS in those games. Scott Frost’s season got a lot hotter with their loss to Illinois in the opener and they need to gain confidence with Oklahoma in three weeks.

Nebraska By 42.5


+/- Ratings

Category

Phil SteeleAir Force by 47 Air Force 47 Lafayette 0

Computer YardsAir Force 771--87

Computer PointsAir Force 47-0

Air Force By 45.4

Game GradeAir Force By 56.4


Las Vegas Line

AF has won 23 straight season openers vs unranked teams. AF is 13-0 against FCS teams under HC Calhoun and have covered the last 3 home openers vs FCS teams winning by an average score of 46-3! The Leopards last won the Patriot League in ‘13 & went 2-1 in the FCS spring season. While John Garrett (brother of ex Cowboy Justin) only has a 12-25 record at Lafayette, the Leopards have won 6 of their last 8 games dating back to the last half of ’19. Lafayette has put up just 258 ypg in ’18, 338 in ’19 and 311 in the spring. They have played just 3 games vs FBS teams (all vs Army) and gone 0-3 SU losing by an avg of 33.3 ppg. AF is 6-0 their last 6 vs FCS going 5-1 ATS. This is a veteran Air Force squad that should get off to their usual strong start.

Lafayette By 7.5


+/- Ratings

Category

The Cowboys are slated to open the season at War Memorial Stadium on Sept. 4 against Montana State and its new coach, Brent Vigen, who spent the last seven seasons as Wyoming’s offensive coordinator. Wyoming leads the series 13-6. Last met in ‘03 with Cowboys winning 21-10. Montana St DNP in ‘20 and made it to the semifinals of the FCS playoffs in ‘19. The Bobcats had 3 straight losing season from 2015 to 2017. In 2018 in then HC Jeff Choate’s 3rd season, they not only beat rival Montana for a third straight season but made their first playoffs since 2014 before losing in the 2nd round to North Dakota St. In 2019 after a first round bye beat Albany & Austin Peay at home. Unfortunately, they again ran into perennial Power North Dakota St, this time in the Semi-finals and lost but still finished an impressive 11-4. They did not play last fall and they also lost HC Jeff Choate, who left to become the co-DC at Texas. This year the Offense looks to return just 6 starters from the 2019 season. They return starting QB Tucker Rovig, who threw for 1,969 (61.6%, 15-5, 34 rush). They also return backup QB Casey Bauman (450, 48.2%, 1-0, 17 rush). in 2020, they added NC State transfer QB Matthew McKay (PS#42QB), who started 5 for the Wolfpack in 2019, throwing for 910 yds (57%, 3-1, 63 rush). The defense returns just 6 of their top 16 tacklers. the Bobcats return just 11 starters and with a new HC, new OC, new DC & new STC will be having to learn new systems in all 3 phases of the game. Wyoming is improved over last year with 21 returning starters and will contend it the MW while Montana St is not the playoff team they were in 2019. Wyoming is 10-3 ATS as a HF but is 0-3 ATS vs FCS only beating Idaho 21-16 (-25.5), Wofford 17-14 (-12) and Gardner Webb 27-0 (-34). Montana St is 5-2 ATS vs FBS teams since 2019 and Vigen has great knowledge of the Cowboy personnel.

Computer Points

Phil Steele


Wyoming 31 Montana St 10

Wyoming 40-7

Wyoming by 21

Wyoming By 25.9

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Wyoming By 95.6

Wyoming 715--51

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Wyoming By 17.5

44.5 Points

Category

Las Vegas LineNorthern Iowa By 36

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleIowa St by 21

Team & Margin

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Iowa St 43-3

Best Bet: H Northern Iowa 17 (+) Iowa St 38

Iowa St By 32.7

Game GradeIowa St By 41.4

Phil's Forecast:

42.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Iowa St 822--118

Iowa St leads series 23-6-3. Last meeting was just two years ago in the opener in ‘19 when ISU (-23) needed 3OT to get past UNI 29-26. ISU has lost to UNI twice in their last 5 meetings. The Panthers went 3-4 last year & last missed the FCS playoffs in ’15 and in 2019 they made it to the quarterfinals finishing 10-3. Iowa State is a legitimate national title contender but has a huge game vs Iowa on deck and Matt Campbell is 0-4 SU vs his rival. Iowa St is 1-4 ATS in openers and just 4-3 SU the last 7 vs FCS teams including 2-5 ATS. Two of Northern Iowa’s losses were by 4 to South Dakota St and by 3 to North Dakota St a couple of FCS powers. This is one where I disagree with my computer as it is calling for a 40-point win but NIU is 9-5 ATS their last 14 vs the FBS and none of the last 13 losses have not had one by more than 27 and in their last 11 they have won two and the average in their 9 losses was only by 10.7 ppg.

Category

Phil Steele

Liberty By 20.5Las Vegas Line


+/- RatingsLiberty By 49.8

Liberty by 31Liberty 48 Campbell 17

1st meeting. Fighting Camels joined BIg South Conference in ‘18, the year after the Flames left. Campbell was 0-4 last year (all vs FBS) but were a failed 2 pt conv away (w:15 left) from beating Georgia Southern when GS was missing 18 players. Liberty is off a phenominal season going 10-1 and upsetting #9 Coastal Carolina in the bowl and finished #17. This year they have 20 returning starters including QB Malik Willis. Since moving up to FBS sin 2018 Liberty is 6-0 vs FCS SU teams going 3-3 ATS with the average win by 26.1 ppg. Campbell is 0-8 vs FBS teams SU but an impressive 4-1 ATS as last year they played Wake Forest, App St, Geor Sthrn and Coastal Carolina and have covered 4 in a row vs the Group of 5. HC Mike Minter was a starter in the NFL for 10 years with the Carolina Panthers. Minter won five or more games every season from ’14-’19, including posting three-straight winning seasons from ’17-’19 before operating as an independent in ’20. Campbell was still able to churn out the seventh highest game grades in all of FCS given how well they played up to their competition. Still the number appears a little light here as my computer has the Flames by 5 TD’s and the spread is at just 3 TD’s.

Liberty 811--8

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Liberty By 18.0

Liberty 49-13

Game Grade



Las Vegas Line27th all-time meeting & Ark St trails 13-11-2. Last meeting was last year when Ark St won 50-27 (-15). The Red Wolves are 9-1 SU/6-4 ATS the last 10 years vs FCS foes with the lone SU coming to C.Ark in ‘16, 28-23. Last year Ark St was -15 at home. With heavy rain in 1H and high wind gusts all game Ark St trailed 6-2 early then outscored CArk 42-7 in 2Q & 3Q. Ark St had 86 yds first 5 drives and 407 on next 5 drives. CArk 63/5 & 53/4 4Q TD’s 43-27 Ark St 76/6 TD 5:14 left 50-27. The Bears have made the FCS playoffs 5 times in the past 10 seasons with their last trip coming in 2019 where they lost to Illinois St. UCA was picked to win the Southland Conference in 2020 but then the season was pushed to the Spring. However, UCA played 9 games in the fall and finished with a 5-4 record, winning 3 of their last 4 games. This season UCA will move out of the Southland and play the “AQ7” schedule before fully transitioning to the WAC in 2022. The Bears are coached by Nathan Brown, who enters his 4tth season here & holds a 20-13 record. They did lose top RB Kierre Crossley who transferred to Ark Pine-Bluff and DB Robert Rochell was drafted by the Rams. Arkansas St is going thru a coaching change with Butch Jones taking over and he has 17 returning starters to work with. Since their loss to Central Arkansas in 2016 they are 4-0 SU but overall are just 2-5 ATS vs FCS teams the last 7. UCA is 5-4 ATS their last 9 vs the FBS.

Arkansas St By 13.5

65.5 Points

Team & Margin

Arkansas St By 10.2+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Arkansas St 786-77Computer Yards

Arkansas St By 20.6

Las Vegas Total

Arkansas St 41 Central Arkansas 24

Arkansas St 44-24Computer Points

Phil SteeleArkansas St by 17


Las Vegas LineTroy By 26.5


+/- RatingsTroy By 51.2

Game GradeTroy By 42.0

Phil Steele

Troy 739--8

Troy 51 Southern 9

First meeting. Troy last faced a SWAC team back in ‘17 (Alabama St) and they won 34-7 (-43.5). The Jaguars have won 19 SWAC championships (last won SWAC in ‘13) & went 5-1 this past spring. Dawson Odums led Southern to an emphatic 49-7 victory on April 17th, 2020 over Grambling in the Bayou Classic for SU’s third consecutive victory in the series. Odums had just posted his best winning percentage since arriving in Baton Rouge (.833) and was a three-point defeat at the hands of Arkansas-Pine Bluff away from notching a third consecutive SWAC West title and earning his team yet another trip to the SWAC Championship Game. SU finished the season ranked #20 nationally. Shockingly, however, the SWAC’s longest-tenured HC resigned three days after the Grambling State victory on April 20th leaving for Norfolk State. Jason Rollins, who was previously an associate HC at FBS UTSA for two seasons, will assume the role of Interim HC while SU continues to try and find a replacement for Odums. They do return the nation’s best FCS defensive player, a very solid defense overall, an experienced and skilled OL, and a productive running game. Troy returns 18 starters but does have a big game vs Liberty on deck. Under coach Chip Lindsay, Troy has won 8 games vs FBS teams in his 2 years and all have been by big margins with the average win by 27.4 ppg! Surprisingly he is 0-2 ATS vs FCS teams beating Campbell 43-14 (-36’) in his first game and EKU 31-29 (-29’) last year. Coming off a pair of losing seasons I would expect him to put the hammer down like he normally does in wins and the unexpected coaching change may have Southern starting a little slow this year. Troy 46-13

Troy by 42

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Category

N Texas by 24 North Texas 48 Northwestern St 24Phil Steele

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

These 2 were actually Southland Conference rivals when they last met in 1994. HC Littrell is 5-0 SU 3-2 ATS vs FCS foes, winning by 29 ppg. The Demons went 1-5 in spring. NWSt is 3-8 ATS vs FBS foes. Coach Brad Laird inherited a 4-7 team that was -76 ypg (-64 ypg conf). In his first year he went 4-7 and was -56 ypg but cut it to -30 ypg in Southland play. In 2019 his second team went 4-7 and was -32 ypg and just -15 ypg in conference play. Last year they lost their QB, top two RB and top 2 WR. They lost their first 5 games of the spring but had losses by 7, 3, 8 and 8. They were -24 ypg in Southland play and did beat Incarnate Word in a shootout in the season finale 49-47 to finish 1-5. This year they have 7 starters back on offense and 9 on defense. Seth Littrell has guided North Texas to 4 bowls in 5 years but twice got there despite a losing season. They were 4-6 last year but have 19 returning starters. They did lose top RB Oscar Adaway in the fall but are still strong. NTexas does have a big game vs SMU on deck and is 6-11 ATS as a HF the last 3 years. NW St is 2-1 ATS their last 3 vs FBS but had dropped the previous 4 ATS.

N Texas By 24.6

64.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineN Texas By 17.5

+/- RatingsN Texas By 27.1

N Texas 49-17

N Texas 831-117Computer Yards

Computer Points

Category

Virginia 761--3

Virginia 56--4

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

+/- Ratings

Virginia by 17 Virginia 37 William & Mary 20Phil Steele

Computer Points

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Virginia By 36.1

UVA has won the last 4 meetings by 24 ppg but W&M’s last win over an FBS foe came in 2009 over the Cavs. UVA also lost to FCS Richmond in ‘16. In 2019 they brought in Mike London, who was the DL coach here from 1991-94. He led Richmond to their FCS Championship in 2008. He was the HC at Virginia from 2010-15 and spent the previous 2 years as HC at Howard. W&M opened up 2-0 vs FBS with a loss to London’s old team Virginia week 2. After a close loss to East Carolina (19-7) they lost their first 4 Colonial games and were -130 ypg. They beat Elon and spanked Rhode Island 55-19 before losing to Towson 31-10. The Tribe beat rival Richmond in the final 21-15 for a 5-7 season and were +9 ypg in those last 4 to finish -60 ypg in Colonial action. Last year the Tribe lost 8 of their top 9 tacklers on defense. They lost a close one to Richmond to open the year but then beat Elon 31-10. With their season disrupted by Covid they lost their QB after week 2 and were banged up and played just one more game. It was versus powerhouse James Madison and lost 38-10 being outgained 460-187 their 5th straight losing season. Virginia is 2-3 ATS vs William and Mary but has covered their last 3 vs FCS teams winning by 40, 35 and 29. W&Mary is 8-5 ATS vs FBS teams but did lose in 2019 here 52-17 (+34.5). I think W&M is much improved this year and this game will be special for head coach London after being fired after 2015.

Virginia By 33.5

49.5 Points

Virginia By 14.2

Computer Yards

Category

Hawaii 777--9

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineThese two have met 5 times, with Hawaii holding 4-1 record. Last met in 2000 when UH opened at home and lost 45-20. The Vikings only played 1 gm last year & last made the FCS playoffs in 2015. Portland St was led by run and shoot architect Mouse Davis from 1975-80, Jerry Glanville from 2007-09, Pac 12 commentator Nigel Burton from 2010-’14 and Bruce Barnum since 2015. Portland St was just 5-7 in 2019 losing to Boise St 45-10 and they have just 9 starters back from that squad. They only played one game in the spring which was a 48-7 loss to Montana. Hawaii is being bashed as not being a very good team this year after their TV loss to UCLA. Special teams really hurt them in that as they allowed a blocked punt for a TD and their P went to a knee scooping up a low snap and UCLA got the ball at the Hawaii 15 early. They strugged to run the ball but will have more success here vs a Vikings squad that has allowed 222 ypg rush and 7.1 ypc the last 3 games. Hawaii will not have fans in attendance for this but needs a feel good game and are a much stronger team than they showed last Saturday.

Computer Yards

Hawaii by 35Best Bet: H Hawaii 45 Portland St 10

Phil Steele

Computer PointsHawaii 45-10

Hawaii By 29.6

Hawaii By 43.1

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Hawaii By 21.5


Team & Margin

Category

Ga Southern By 53.8

Ga Southern By 39.1

+/- Ratings

Game Grade


Ga Southern 49-3

Phil Steele

Las Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:

Ga Southern By 32.5

Team & Margin

Georgia Southern 38 Gardner-Webb 3

These two meet for the 4th time, with the last meeting back in ‘02 when GSthrn won 56-0. GSthrn has won 6 FCS national titles. The Runnin’ Bulldogs have been an FCS team since ‘02 & have never made the playoffs. Georgia Southern offered GW HC Tre Lamb a scholarship out of HS. HC Tre Lamb, who was a decorated QB at Tennessee Tech (’08-’12), is entering his second season with Gardner-Webb. Lamb enjoyed a terrific start to his tenure, as his very first game as a HC at any level was an impressive 42-20 upset win over #24 Elon. GW has not experienced at least a .500 season since ’13, and while only finishing the truncated spring season at 2-2, the ’20-’21 season was a major building block for a program looking to establish credibility under the guise of a rookie HC. Georgia Southern has 8 starters back on both offense and defense but starting QB Justin Tomlin will miss the first two games. They lost outright to New Hampshire in 2017 but are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS vs FCS teams since 2014. Gardner Webb despite their losing seasons are a solid 5-2 ATS vs FBS teams but does lose their QB from the spring (only 3-7 ratio).

Computer YardsGa Southern 747--67

Ga Southern by 35

Computer Points

Category

Phil Steele

S Carolina By 35.6

S Carolina 50-7Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineNL

NL

+/- Ratings

S Carolina by 41South Carolina 47 Eastern Illinois 6

First meeting. South Carolina has hosted an FCS school each season from ‘08-’19. They lost to The Citadel in ‘15. The Panthers went 1-5 in spring and were 1-11 in ‘19 including a 55-0 loss to Indiana. Heading into the 2018 season, E.Illinois was off a 6-5 season and brought back 13 starters but finished 3-8. This forced a coaching change & EIU brought in long-time Northwestern assistant coach Adam Cushing. The first-year HC got back 11 starters in ’19 but the Panthers went just 1-11. Last season the Panthers played 6 games in the spring and finished just 1-5 with their lone win coming against Tennessee Tech 28-20. Last week Eastern Illinois was +14 at Indiana St and trailed 10-0 early but it was 10-7 at the half. Ind St drove for a TD to open the 3Q 17-7 but Eastern went 87/4 for TD to pull back within 3. EIll missed a FG then drove to the Ind St 28 but gave up a 75 yard IR TD with 13:16 left. The Panthers went 75/19/10:20 for a TD with 2:56 left in a 24-21 loss. New QB Otto Kuhns hit 14-29-253 and Eastern Illinois had a 21-13 FD edge and 378-245 yard edge in the loss. South Carolina lost starting QB Luke Doty to injury in the fall and will start Zeb Noland who only hit 51% with a 5-5 ratio with North Dakota St before losing his job the last 3 games and was hired as a grad asst here in June. SC does have solid talent especially at RB. The Gamecocks are 10-1 SU their last 11 vs FCS teams but had lost 9 in a row ATS until beating Chatanooga 49-9 (-31) and Charleston Southern 72-10 (-36) the last two years. Eastern did upset Miami Ohio in 2016 and San Diego St in 2013 but is 0-6 SU and ATS in their other 6 matchups vs FBS foes since 2014.

Game GradeS Carolina By 45.0

S Carolina 775--38


Las Vegas Line

First meeting. Middle Tenn has won 6 straight against FCS opponents by 38 ppg and are 4-1 ATS. The Hawks went 3-1 in. They are 0-4 ATS vs FBS foes losing by an average of 27.5 ppg. Kevin Callahan is the only HC the program has ever known and is entering his 29th season. Callahan has compiled a record of 166-125 at Monmouth with seven conferences titles and three FCS playoff appearances. The last two seasons have seen Monmouth and Callahan hit another gear, as they have not lost a conference game, won their first FCS playoff game in ‘19, made the FCS playoffs back-to-back for the first time, and lost by just six points in the opening round of the playoffs this past spring to eventual national champion Sam Houston St. With 21 starters back from the spring they are a FCS title contender and almost unanimous selection to win the Big South. Middle is off a couple of disappointing seasons but add in two P5 RB’s that opted out last year and just added a WR from Gardner Webb who had 1,000+ yards in 2019 and Charleston Southern K who hit 20-28 and was all Big South. Monmouth lost to Western Michigan 48-13 and Eastern Michigan 51-17 in their last 2 FBS matchups. Stockstill’s offense is at its best with a passing QB and has had a running QB the last 2 years. Middle Tenn needs to gain some confidence and they get it with a solid win over a very good FCS team.

Middle Tenn By 7.5

Game Grade

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Middle Tenn By 4.3

Middle Tenn By 5.2

+/- Ratings

59.5 Points

Middle Tenn by 20Middle Tennessee 44 Monmouth 24

Middle Tenn 44-24

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Computer YardsMiddle Tenn 727-94


Las Vegas Line

Oklahoma St By 43.8Game Grade

Oklahoma St 796--69

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Oklahoma St 48-7

Oklahoma St By 29.8

Phil SteeleOklahoma St by 42

Oklahoma St 49 Missouri St 7

Bobby Petrino enters year #2 with Missouri State. This will be the 9th time the Pokes have hosted Missouri St in Stillwater. Most recent meeting was in ‘18, a 58-17 victory. Missouri St plays in the MVFC and went 5-5 last year, losing 1st Rd of FCS Playoffs. Missouri St played 3 games in the fall losing to Oklahoma 48-0 then dropping a pair of games to Central Arkansas by 7 and 6 points despite having a 37-26 FD edge and being +176 yards in the two games. The fall play gave them a step up when Spring came around and they took advantage beating Western Illinois 30-24 in the opener. After an expected loss to North Dakota St (25-0) they beat South Dakota on the road 27-24, upset Northern Iowa on the road 13-6 and got past Southern Illinois at home 30-27. They beat Youngstown St 21-10 which earned them their first conference title since 1990 at 5-1 tied for first with South Dakota St. Despite that they were on the road at North Dakota and were whipped 44-10 with just 185 yards offense finishing 5-5. Missouri St was 7-33 in MVFC play the 5 years prior to Petrino but amazingly earned a share of the MVFC title for the first time in 30 years! Naturally they rate a -4 on my Stock Market Indicator and did have 3 Net Close Wins last year and was -43 ypg in MVFC play so they were probably not as good as their record and it showed in the playoff game. They do however bring in some major transfers to bolster the team and some should have some big impacts like LB Dimitri Moore from Vandy, QB Jason Shelly from Utah/Utah St, WR Terique Owens from Florida Atlantic, DL Allen Love from Miss St, etc and should have a much improved offense, top notch defense and one of the MVFC’s top ST units. Oklahoma St loses RB Chuba Hubbard, WR’s Tylan Wallace and Dylan Stoner but did a lot of hitting in the spring and have a chip on their shoulder. OSU is 15-0 vs FCS teams winning the last 11 SU by 44.5 ppg. Gundy is 7-2 ATS in these games 43-28-3 ATS as a HF overall. Missouri St has lost their last 7 vs FBS teams by 46.2 ppg. Gundy should be motivated to match wits with Petrino.

Oklahoma St By 36.5


+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Category

Las Vegas Line

Phil Steele

Memphis 808-50

Phil's Forecast:

Memphis has won eight straight vs FCS opponents since being upset by UT Martin 20-17 in ‘12. The Tigers added a game late last year against Stephen F. Austin and cruised to an easy 56-14 (-31) win. Nicholls entered 2019 off back-to-back winning seasons after going a decade without a winning season (6-5 in 2007). The Colonels went 14-4 in conference play in ’18 & ‘19 and had come close to beating teams like Texas A&M (24-14 loss) in ’17 and Georgia (26-24 loss) in ’16. Nicholls did beat Kansas in ‘18 26-23 and finished 9-4 after a 41-24 second-round playoff loss to Eastern Washington. Expectations were high under 5th year HC Tim Rebowe (25-22), who had truly turned this program around in his time here. In ’19, at 4-4 they reeled off 4 straight wins to make the playoffs then beat North Dakota in round one 24-6. Unfortunately, they ran into North Dakota St the next week and lost 37-13. Last year Nicholls lost their QB and top RB Julien Gums was banged up. They still opened 3-0 including wins over Lincoln (87-3) and Lamar (55-0). They only beat NW St 31-24 despite a 29-12 FD edge and +241 in yards and appeared ready for their showdown with Sam Houston St. Despite only being out FD’d 23-19 they were pounded 71-17. Nicholls recovered and beat Incarnate Word to move to 4-1 but lost their last two to finish 4-3. They had a 3-0 start where the Colonels were +385 ypg but they were actually -47 ypg in their 1-3 finish. Lindsay Scott stepped into the starter’s role at QB last year and was dynamic with 1684 pass (58.1%) with a 18-7 ratio and was also the team’s leading rusher with 557 (6.1). Julien Gums rushed for 1232 (5.8) in 2019 and was banged up last year but both return. Memphis was 8-3 last year and returns 8 starters on both offense and defense. Ryan Silverfield was just 1-4 ATS as a favorite last year and Memphis is 2-3 ATS their last 5 vs FCS teams. Nicholls did lose to Kansas St 49-14 (+21) and Texas St 24-3 (+4) in 2019 but were 4-1 ATS their previous 5 vs FBS. They did add 7 P5 transfers.

Memphis By 24.5

Memphis By 9.2

Memphis By 25.5

69.5 Points

Game Grade

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Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Memhis by 24

Memhpis 48 Nicholls 24

Memphis 51-23


SMU will open with an FCS opponent for the first time since ‘17 when they beat Stephen F. Austin 58-14 (-29). Ponies have won 4 of their last 5 vs FCS opponents but are only 2-3 ATS in those matchups. Adam Dorrell is entering his 5th season as the HC of the Wildcats and has gone 14-26 in those 4 seasons. Last season the Wildcats opened with road games at UTEP (nearly won in 17-13 loss) and at Army (lost 55-23). ACU lost to SF Austin before picking up their lone win of the season against Mercer 20-17. ACU would fall to D-II Angelo St and then dropped the finale at Virginia 55-15. Dorrell is 9-9 the previous 2 seasons in Southland Conference games & now the Wildcats are headed to the WAC & will play the “AQ7” teams this year before fully transitioning to WAC games in 2022. The biggest concern looking at the 2021 ACU Wildcats is their OLine. While they didn’t produce great rush numbers and sacks were an issue at times, it is tough to replace losing 4 starters with experience. Since a loss to James Madison in 2015 is 3-0 vs FCS here with SMU and won those games by 42.6 ppg. Dykes is 6-4 ATS as a HF with SMU. Abeline Christian is a solid 7-2 ATS when facing an FBS school.

66.5 Points

Team & Margin

Smu 835-11

+/- RatingsSmu By 45.3

Smu By 40.7

SMU 48 Abilene Christian 6Phil Steele

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Smu By 30.5

Game Grade

Smu by 42

Smu 54-10

Category

Las Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Toledo By 37.5


Toledo By 99.7

+/- RatingsToledo By 35.9

Computer Yards

Toledo 55 Norfolk St 6

Toledo 53-6

Phil Steele

Computer Points

1st meeting. Spartans were supposed to play in the spring but opted out in February & their HC left in March. NSU finished 5-7 but that included a 24-21 loss to Old Dominion & 46-7 loss to Coastal Carolina. Norfolk St. has been mired in mediocrity since their last winning season in ’11. NSU had posted a record of 4-7 in five of the previous seven seasons headed into ’19. NSU went 5-7 in ’19 and Dawson Odums (63-32 at Southern) took over in 2021 after Norfolk did not play in either last fall or this past spring. When not playing nearby rival Old Dominion, Norfolk is 0-10 vs FBS schools (4-4 ATS) with the average loss by 37.3 ppg. Toledo has won 11 in a row vs FCS schools (6-1 ATS) with the average win by 39.7 ppg. Toledo 836--49

Toledo by 49

Category

Washington by 35Washington 45 Montana 10

Phil Steele

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Washington 48-8

Washington By 23.8

Team & Margin

Washington 786--98

Washington By 23.5

54.5 Points

Washington By 36.2

Computer Yards

Computer Points

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Washington leads the series 17-1-1 (lone loss was 1st gm in 1920). Last time here (‘17), UW rolled as they outgained Montana 506-163, out-FD’d them 25-10, had 6 sacks & scored 28 pts off of 4 TO’s in a 63-7 win (-38’). The Grizzlies have not had a losing season since going 5-6 in 2012 but from 2016-2018, their seasons ended on with a loss to rival Montana St. That loss contributed to them missing the playoffs those 3 years. In 2019, they came into the Brawl of the Wild, at 9-3 off an upset of #3 Weber St but trailed 24-0 2Q and lost 48-14.They still made the playoffs and had a 1st week bye. They took their frustrations out on SE Louisiana winning 73-28. They then had a rematch with Weber St, in a defensive struggle in weather that included rain, fog & snow. They threw 5 int’s & gave up a blocked punt TD in the 4Q to lose 17-10. They originally decided to sit out the spring season but scheduled 2 games in late, which increased their number of practices allowed from 15 to 29. They beat DII Central Washington 59-3 and beat Portland St 48-7. HC Bobby Hauck led Montana to 7 straight Big Sky Titles from 2003-’09 before becoming the HC at UNLV for 5 yrs. He then spent 3 yrs at SDSt as STC before returning as HC at 2018. In ’19 Montana was +39.5 and only lost at Oregon 35-3. Washington beat EWash 47-14 in ’19 (-22.5) and they are 16-0 vs FCS since 2000 and are 10-6 ATS. Washington is my #1 Surprise team this year but they do have a big game vs Michigan on deck.


Vanderbilt 710-11


+/- Ratings

Las Vegas LineVanderbilt By 21.5

These two had never met until 2019 when Vandy won 38-3 (-20.5)on Senior Day. Vandy is 5-2 ATS when home opener is non-conf. The Buccanneers went 4-2 in spring. They were dormant from ‘03-’15. They were an Independent tin 2015 going 2-9 that first year and -335 ypg vs SoCon foes. They were back in the SoCon in 2016 and went a respectable 5-6 and -150 ypg. They were 4-7 and -95 ypg in 2017. In Sanders first year they made GREAT strides going 8-2 before dropping a game vs Samford but still made the playoffs. They lost in the first round to Jacksonville St 34-27 despite a 436-421 yard edge. Surprisingly they fell to just 2-10 in 2019 going winless in the SoCon but were just -63 ypg. This spring they went 4-2 and were TRI-Champs in the SoCon and +30 ypg. All their games were close with wins by 7, 7, 7 and 4 and losses by 4 & 8. The shared title was their first since 1969 when they were in the OVC. They did defeat VMI the team that took the title and made the playoff. QB play will be the key this year as they have arguably the best run game and defense combo of any team in the league. You would think that Vandy would not overlook a FCS foe and they are 18-0 SU since 1999 vs FCS teams but just 1-6 ATS the last 7. ETST is 0-6 SU and 0-3 ATS vs FBS teams losing the last 3 by 43 ppg. Vandy has 17 returning starters led by QB Ken Seals but a new HC. This is the first home game for Clark Lea so he should be excited.

Vanderbilt By 15.3

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Team & Margin

Vanderbilt 34 East Tennessee St 10

Vanderbilt 34-10

Vanderbilt By 23.7

Vanderbilt by 24

Category

Tcu by 49 TCU 52 Duquesne 3

Tcu 54-3

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Prior to last year’s loss to Iowa St, TCU had won 18 straight home openers. Horned Frogs have won 12 straight vs FCS foes s/’06. Duquense is a member of the NEC & went 4-1 in the FCS Spring season. Jerry Schmitt enters his 17th season at the helm of Duquesne. The Dukes have won 8 conference titles under Schmitt including 5 in the NEC and 2 playoff berths (’15 & ’18). In ’18 the Dukes went 8-3 in the regular season (+80 ypg vs FCS) with 2 losses vs FBS foes and a 1 pt loss. They won their first FCS playoff game vs Towson then were blown out by SDSU, finishing 9-3. In ’19 the Dukes started 2-2, won 4 straight then lost their final 3, their 6-5 record was their worst since 2014. They won their first 4 games in spring but lost the NEC Title game to Sacred Heart, who they beat in the opener, despite a +91 yd edge. Only 7 starters returned in the spring for Duquesne, yet they were 4-0 before losing the NEC Title game despite a +91 yd edge. HC Schmitt is a veteran and has loaded his roster with 14 FBS transfers and with 16 starters back including 10 on defense, they will make another run at an NEC Title. They are 2-1 ATS vs FBS teams but only have faced Buffalo in ’14, UMass and Hawaii. TCU is 12-0 SU vs the FCS since a loss to Northwestern St in 2001. They have won by 48.1 ppg but are just 5-5-1 ATS. TCU does have Cal on deck but are much better than most expect and are just 11-11 SU the last 2 years and need to gain confidence.

Game Grade

Las Vegas Line



Tcu By 43.7

Tcu By 51.6

Tcu By 49.5

+/- Ratings

Tcu 838--106Computer Yards


First meeting. UTEP is 2-6 ATS vs FCS opponents and last 3 wins were by combined 16 pts. UTEP played New Mexico St last week and was impressive. UTEP led 20-3 at half with 50, 72, 36, and 59 yard passes they rolled to a 30-3 win with a 452-190 yard edge. Bethune was projected to finish 2nd in the MEAC in 2019 but dropped 3 straight at the end of the. Year and finished 4th. The Wildcats didn’t play in ‘20. Bethune Cookman lost 63-0 at Miami in ‘19 but did cover 3 straight vs FBS in ‘17-’18. They lose their QB top 2 RB and top 2 receivers and return just 4 of the top 15 tacklers from ’19. My computer has UTEP rolling to a 48-6 win and the spread is very manageable at 19.5. UTEP needs to flex their muscles early and with New Mexico and Old Dominion upcoming could open up 4-1. QB Hardison has an NFL caliber arm and WR’s Cowing and Garrett can deliver the big plays. UTEP should have a decent crowd and enthusiasm and are taking on a team that has not played in two years and is down a lot of major weapons from that ’19 squad.

Utep by 36 Utep 42 Bethune Cookman 6Phil Steele

Team & Margin

Utep By 39.5

Game GradeUtep By 76.3

Las Vegas Line


+/- Ratings

Utep By 19.5

Utep 709--22

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Utep 42-6

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