h1-2012 results - valeo · 2019-05-14 · overperformance in europe and asia (excl. japan) asia now...
TRANSCRIPT
H1-2012 ResultsJacques ASCHENBROICH – CEO
July 26, 2012
Jacques ASCHENBROICH – CEO
HighlightsH1-2012 results demonstrate the strength of Valeo’s growth model
� High quality order intake at a record 8 bn€
� Sales at 6 bn€, up 12.5% (+4% organic growth), in challengingmarkets in Europe and in South America�OE Sales, up 13.5% (+5% organic growth)�Overperformance in Europe and Asia (excl. Japan)�Asia now at 24% of OE sales (18% in H1-2011)
H1 2012 results
�Asia now at 24% of OE sales (18% in H1-2011)�Aftermarket sales weaker in South Europe
� Operating margin* of 370 M€, up 7.2%� 6.2% of sales
� Net income down 9% at 198 M€ mainly due to higher interestexpenses
July 26, 2012 I 2
* Adjusted EBIT
� Free cash flow up 10%, at 148 M€�After CAPEX increase of 117 M€ to sustain order intake (1)
HighlightsH1-2012 results demonstrate the strength of Valeo’s growth model
H1 2012 results
� FY-2012 operating margin* level (in M€) in the same magnitudeof FY-2011
July 26, 2012 I 3
* Adjusted EBIT
Key figuresH1-2011 H1-2012 ▲▲▲▲
Total sales (M€) 5,334 5,999 +12.5% +4%*
OE Sales (M€) 4,510 5,118 +13.5% +5%*
Gross margin (M€)% of sales
91617.2%
1,00616.8%
+10%-0.4pt
Operating margin(2) (Adj. EBIT) (M€)% of sales
3456.5%
3706.2%
+7%-0.3pt
Operating income (EBIT)(3) (M€)% of sales
3446.4%
3485.8%
+1%-0.6pt
Net income (M€)% of sales
2184.1%
1983.3%
-9%-0.8pt
H1 2012 results
Total earning per share (€) 2.89 2.63 -9%
Capital turnover 5.5 5.0 na
ROCE(3) 36% 31% -5pts
ROA (4) 22% 19% -3pts
EBITDA (5)
% of sales602
11.3%655
10.9%+9%-0.4pt
Free cash flow(6) (M€) 134 148 +10%
Net cash flow(7) (M€) (183) 31 na
Net financial debt(8) (M€) 452 485 +7.3%
Gearing ratio 25% 25% na
*At same perimeter and exchange rates
July 26, 2012 I 4
Outlook 2012
Based on the following market scenario for FY 2012:
�Automotive production:
� World: +5 to 6%
� Europe: -6 to -7%
�Raw materials prices at current levels
H1 2012 results
Guidance
�FY-2012 operating margin* level (in M€) in the same magnitude of FY-2011
July 26, 2012 I 5
* Adjusted EBIT
Sales at 6 bn€, up 12.5%+4% organic growth
H1 2012 results
+4% organic growth
July 26, 2012 I 6
OE sales growth higher than the marketin Asia & Europe
Innovation30%
6.0
7.2
Record order intake (1) at 8.0 bn€out of which 2.9 bn€ in Asia
In bn€
10.09.2
12.5
10.1
14.9
% of order intake
CAGR+11.6%
7.7
9.7
H1 2012 results
4.3 4.8 5.0 5.03.1
6.57.7 8.0
3.44.9 5.0 5.1
6.1
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
H2 H1
7.7
July 26, 2012 I 7
36% of order intake in Asia 19% of total order intake in China
Asia36%
North America
16%
China 53%
Other Asian
countries47%
H1 2012 results
SouthAmerica
8%
Europe 40%
Asia: 2.9 bn€World: 8 bn€
47%
July 26, 2012 I 8
H1-11 H1-12
Sales of 6 bn€, up 12.5% (+4% like-for-like)OE sales up 13.5% (+5% like-for-like)
+12.5%
In M€
OE salesIn M€
Perimeter +6.0%Currencies +2.8%
Like-for-like +4,7%
+13.5%
4,846
275
4,510
5,118
316
5,999
H1 2012 results
H1-11 H1-12
5,334
Perimeter +5.9%
Currencies +2.6%
Sales* +4.0%
* At same perimeter & exchange rates
H1-11 H1-12
Perimeter +4.7%Currencies +1.4%
Like-for-like -4.3%
5,683
AftermarketIn M€
698719
+1.8%+1.8% 34732
July 26, 2012 I 9
EuropeValeo OE sales** -1%
Production -5%
North AmericaValeo OE sales** +18%
Production +22%Of which Detroit 3 +9%
53% of Valeo sales17% of Valeo sales
Performance higher than the market in Asia and Euro peWorld performance higher than the market excluding Japanese OEMs
Underperf.-4pts*
Outperf.+4pts*
WorldOE sales +5%
Production +9%
Underperf.-4pts*
World (w/o Japanese)OE sales +2%
Production +1%Outperf.
+1pt*
H1 2012 results
AsiaValeo OE sales** +20%
Production +15%South AmericaValeo OE sales** -11%
Production -8%
24% of Valeo sales6% of Valeo sales
Outperf.+5pts*
*At same perimeter and exchange rates** Valeo sales by destination
Underperf.-3pts*
July 26, 2012 I 10
AsiaValeo OE sales** +20%
Production +15%
24% of Valeo salesJapan
OE sales** +26%Production +54%
31% of Asian salesKorea
Outperf.+5pts*
Outperf.+12pts*
Underperf.-28pts*
Performance higher than production in AsiaAbove-market growth in China, India & Korea, more than offsetting below market growth in Japan
H1 2012 results
OE sales** +15%Production +3%
20% of Asian sales
IndiaOE sales** +15%Production +9%
4% of Asian sales
ChinaOE sales** +25%Production +7%
39% of Asian sales
Outperf.+6pts*
Outperf.+18pts*
*At same perimeter and exchange rates** Valeo sales by destination
July 26, 2012 I 11
OE sales performance impacted by strong Japanese re covery A temporary consequence of 2011 earthquake
+7
+1+2
+5
+10
+13
+8
+7
0
JapaneseOEMs
downturn
H1 2012 resultsJuly 26, 2012 I 12
-4 -4-2
-11
-4-3 -3
0
-10
Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 Q3-09 Q4-09 Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12
Valeo OE sales on a like-for-like basis vs light vehicle production (in pts)
JapaneseOEMsrecovery
Strong development in Asiathrough organic & external growth
+100
-35
+144
Perimeter +227
Perimeter +56
Geographical contribution to sales evolution(in €M)
Perimeter +4
H1 2012 results
H1-11 Europe Asia NA SA Currencies H1-12
5,334
5,999
-41
+190Perimeter +20
Perimeter Organic
July 26, 2012 I 13
Positioning in Asia & emerging countries at 53% of O E sales Strong improvement in Asia
Western Europe
39%
Asia26%
53% in Asia& emerging
OE sales by production region
Western Europe
47%
Mexico7%
Asia18%
47% in Asia& emerging
H1 2012 results
H1-2012
US8%SA
5%
Eastern
Europe
& Africa
14%
Mexico8%
countries47%
US6%
SA7%
Eastern
Europe
& Africa
15%
& emergingcountries
H1-2011
July 26, 2012 I 14
German 28%
American 18%
Others6%
Asian & German customers at 29% & 28% respectivelyvs 21% & 29% in H1-2011
German 29%
American18%
Others 9%
(in % of OE sales)
H1 2012 results
Asian** 29%
French* 19%
H1-2012
Asian** 21%
French* 23%
H1-2011
* Excluding Nissan** Including Nissan
July 26, 2012 I 15
Operating margin(2)
(adj. EBIT) up 7.2%,
H1 2012 results
(adj. EBIT) up 7.2%,at 370 M€ or 6.2% of sales
July 26, 2012 I 16
+0,4pt -0,3pt-0.2pt
-0,1pt -0,2pt
Gross margin at 1,006 M € or 16.8% of sales mainly impacted by aftermarket, exchange rates & new production sites startup costs
H1 2012 results
17.2%16.8%
H1-2011 H1-2012OEM/Aftermarket
mix
Currencies(Real+Rupee)
Volume Startup ofnew production
sites
Others
July 26, 2012 I 17
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
1500
1700
1900
2100
2300
2500
2700
2900 Copper€/T
Aluminum€/T
Stable raw material pricesRare earth action plan on track
H1-2011 H1-2012 H1-2011 H1-2012
H1 2012 results
*of which copper 51%, aluminum 43% and zinc 6%** Rare earth rates increase by +100% mitigated by consumption reduction
H1-2012 % of consumption
Impact ▲ %
H1-2012 / H1-2011
39% LME* -6%
35% Steel +3%
23% Plastic +6%
3% Rare earth +10%**
100% Total 0%
July 26, 2012 I 18
EBITDA by Business GroupPowertrain action plan on track, Visibility impacted by aftermarket
8%
10%
12%
14%H1-2012
Powertrainas % of sales 9.2 %
Thermalas % of sales 12.0%
Visibilityas % of sales 9.3%
Comfort & Driving Assistance11.9 %
H1 2012 results
4%
6%
H1-08 H2-08 H1-09 H2-09 H1-10 H2-10 H1-11 H2-11 H1-12
Comfort and Driving Assistance Systems Powertrain SystemsThermal Systems Visibility SystemsGroup
Comfort & Driving Assistanceas % of sales 11.9 %
TOTAL 10.9 %
July 26, 2012 I 19
+0.1pt 0.0pt-0.4pt
Operating margin (Adj. EBIT ) up 7.2% at 370M€ or 6.2% of sales
+0.6pt
H1 2012 results
6.5% 6.2%
H1-11 Gross margin R&D SG&A H1-12
July 26, 2012 I 20
285313
+10%
In M€& % of sales
Net R&D at 313 M €, up 10%to sustain order intake growth
3.16.5 7.7 8.0
6.1
6.07.2
2009 2010 2011 2012
S1 S2
Order intakeIn bn€
9.2
12.5
14.9
H1 2012 results
H1-11 H1-12
5.3% 5.2%
July 26, 2012 I 21
H1-11 H1-12
SG&A under strict controlStable at 5.4% of sales
5.4% 5.4%
% of sales
286
323+13%
In M€
SellingExpenses
88
SellingExpenses
98
Admin.Expenses
198
Admin.Expenses
225
H1 2012 results
3.7% 3.8%
1.7% 1.6%
H1-11 H1-12
July 26, 2012 I 22
88%
91%
95%
79%
Break even point% sales
Higher break even point due to investment in Asia
H1 2012 results
79%76%
78%
75%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 H1-2012 2015In line withstrategic plan
July 26 th, 2012 I 23
Flexibility assured thanks to high level of temporary contracts
Net income of 198 M €, mainly impacted by cost of debt
H1-11 H1-12 ▲
Total sales (M€) 5,334 5,999 +12.5%
Operating margin (adj. EBIT) (M€)% of sales
3456.5%
3706.2%
+7%-0.3pt
Other income & expenses (M€)% of sales
(1)0.0%
(22)0.4%
na+0.4pt
Operating income (EBIT) (M€)% of sales
3446.4%
3485.8%
+1%+0.6pt
Cost of net debt (M€)Other financial expenses (M€)
(29)(17)
(50)(16)
+72%-6%
H1 2012 results
Other financial expenses (M€)Associates (M€)
(17)4
(16)11
-6%Na
Income before taxes (M€) 302 293 -3%
Taxes (M€)Effective tax rateNon strategic activities (M€)Minority interest and others(M€)
(77)26%
0(7)
(78)28%(2)
(15)
+1%+2ptsnana
Net income (M€)% of sales
2184.1%
1983.3%
-9%-0.8pt
Earning per share (€) 2.89 2.63 -9%
July 26, 2012 I 24
Free cash flow up 10%, at 148 M€after CAPEX increase of 117 M€
H1 2012 results
Free cash flow up 10%, at 148 M€after CAPEX increase of 117 M€
July 26, 2012 I 25
224
310
307
426
4.2%5.2%
H1-11 H1-12
Capex excl. capitalized R&D
Capex excl. capitalized R&D(% of sales)
+39%M€
Capex increase to sustain order intake
H1 2012 results
83 116
224
H1-11 H1-12
capitalized R&D
Capitalized R&D
1.6%1.9%
H1-11 H1-12
Capitalized R&D(% of sales)
Increase of capitalized R&D drivenby higher profitability of order intake
July 26, 2012 I 26
H1-11 H1-12
EBITDA(M€) 602 655
Operating working capital (M€) (11) 59
Restructuring & social costs (M€) (27) (22)
Other operational items (inc. taxes) (M€) (123) (120)
Capex (inc. capitalized R&D) (M€) (307) (424)
Free cash flow up 10%, at 148 M €Due to strong EBITDA and favourable working capital
Taxes: (93) m€
Pensions: (13) m€
H1 2012 results
Capex (inc. capitalized R&D) (M€) (307) (424)
Free cash flow(M€)(before interest payments)
134 148
Interest (M€) (42) (56)
Other financial items (M€) (275) (61)
Net cash flow (M€) (183) 31
Net financial debt(M€) 452 485
July 26, 2012 I 27
Strong financial structure
H1 2012 results
Strong financial structure
July 26, 2012 I 28
Shareholders’ equity (M€)excluding minority interests
Net debt (M€)
Shareholders’ equity and net debt
1,956
485
1,784
452
1,936
523
Net financial debt over EBITDA
Strong financial structureKeeping our “investment grade” status as a high priority
Net debt (M€) EBITDA 12 months rolling according to bank definition(M€)
1,172 1,216 1,265
H1 2012 results
December 30, 2011
Gearing
25%
Gearing
27%
June 30, 2011
Gearing
25%
Covenant net financial debt / EBITDA of 3.25
June 30, 2011
June 30, 2012
June 30, 2012
December, 312011
July 26, 2012 I 29
452 523 485
Leverage
0.4x
Leverage
0.4x
Leverage
0.4x
2000
2250
2500
2750 in M€
Strong cash position to cope with challenging environme ntDebt profile as of June 30, 2012
Liquidity secured by
Cash and cash equivalents: 1,4 Bn€
Undrawn credit lines: 1,2 bn€Weighted Average Maturity: 3,8years
New bond issue500 M€ - January 2017
Long – term debt management
Weighted average Financing Rate: 4.9 %
Repurchase EMTN 2013: 89 M€Reimbursement syndicated loan : 225M€
H1 2012 results
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
cash and cash equivalents (30/06/2012)
Undrawn credit lines (30/06/2012)
short term debt 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
311 M€June 2013 56 M€/year 2013 / 2014
76M€ 2015 / 2016 20M€ 2017 / 2018
500M€May 2018
250M€June 2016Swap in JPY
500M€Jan. 2017
EMTN BEI financing Syndicated loan
July 26, 2012 I 30
Valeo Access Mechanisms
H1 2012 results
Valeo Access Mechanisms planned disposal
July 26, 2012 I 31
Valeo Access Mechanisms Planned disposal
Key figures � Part of Comfort & Driving Assistance Business Group
� Sales: 620 m€ in 2011
� 90% of sales in Europe and South America
� Main exposure to European customers
� Operating margin (Adj. EBIT) slightly lower than the Group
� Employees: 4,400 (end of June 2012)
H1 2012 results
Employees: 4,400 (end of June 2012)
� Industrial footprint: 12 manufacturing sites out of which 10 sites located in Europe and Latin America
Product portfolio, primarily mechanical based
Latches Locksets HandlesClosuresystems
Steeringcolumn locks
July 26, 2012 I 32
Rationale
� In line with Valeo strategy focused on CO2 emission reduction, Asia & emerging countries
� Expected to be accretive to earnings
� EBITDA multiple in line with the average of multiples observed in similar transactions in the industry in 2011
Valeo Access MechanismsPlanned disposal
H1 2012 results
Status
� Submitted to employee representatives for consultation
� Subject to approval by the competition authorities
July 26, 2012 I 33
Geographical fit
U-Shin + Valeo Access Mechanismsa leader with diversified geography and customer base
Customer fit
� Valeo Access Mechanisms: strong position with European customers
� U-Shin: strong position with Asian customers
H1 2012 results
� 90% of Valeo Access Mechanisms sales in Europe and South America
� 90% of U-Shin sales in Asia
Valeo Access Mechanisms + U-Shin would become :� leader in Asia, Europe and South America� a strong player in North America with huge growth opportunities
July 26, 2012 I 34
2012 outlook
H1 2012 results
2012 outlook
July 26, 2012 I 35
Outlook 2012
Based on the following market scenario for FY 2012:
�Automotive production:
� World: +5 to 6%
� Europe: -6 to -7%
�Raw materials prices at current levels
H1 2012 results
Guidance
�FY-2012 operating margin* level (in M€) in the same magnitude of FY-2011
July 26, 2012 I 36
* Adjusted EBIT
Contact
Investor Relations
Thierry Lacorre43, rue BayenF-75848 Paris Cedex 17FranceTel.: +33 (0) 1.40.55.37.93
H1 2012 results
Tel.: +33 (0) 1.40.55.37.93Fax: +33 (0) 1.40.55.20.40E-mail: [email protected] site: www.valeo.com
July 26, 2012 I 37
Share Information
FR FPVLOF.PAFR 00013033879,311,067
Share Data
� Bloomberg Ticker� Reuters Ticker� ISIN Number� Shares outstanding as per 30.06.2012
H1 2012 results
ADR Data
� Ticker/trading symbol� CUSIP Number� Exchange� Ratio (ADR: ord)� Depositary Bank� Contact at J.P. Morgan – ADR
broker relationship desk
VLEEY919134304OTC1:2J.P. MorganJim Reeves+1 212-622-2710
July 26, 2012 I 38
Glossary
(1) Order intake : Order intake corresponds to business awarded by automakers (less any cancellations) during the period, based on Valeo's best and reasonable estimates in terms of volumes, sale prices and project lifespans.
(2) Operating margin (adj. EBIT) corresponds to operating income (EBIT) less other income and expenses
(3) ROCE corresponds to operating margin (adj. EBIT) /capital employed less goodwill calculated over the last 12 months
(4) ROA corresponds to operating margin (adj. EBIT) / committed capital plus goodwill
H1 2012 results
(5) EBITDA corresponds to operating income (EBIT) before amortization of tangible and intangible assets and depreciation.
(6) Free cash flow corresponds to net operating cash flow less net disbursements on tangible/intangible assets.
(7) Net cash flow corresponds to free cash flow less financial expenses and after taking into account the payment of dividends and financial flows relating to mergers and acquisitions.
(8) Net financial debt includes all long-term financial debts, short-term credits and bank overdrafts, less loans and other long-term financial assets, cash and cash equivalents
July 26, 2012 I 39
Back-up
H1 2012 resultsJuly 26, 2012 I 40
Quarterly informationin M€
Sales by segmentsQ1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12
Comfort & DrivingAssistance
408 440 418 438 481 489 567 620 657 634
Powertrain Systems 636 708 625 714 767 782 743 834 855 826
Thermal Systems 693 754 735 751 783 776 777 804 864 855
Visibility Systems 591 595 547 621 664 640 597 648 685 672
Total sales 2,309 2,478 2,342 2,503 2,669 2,665 2,662 2,872 3,033 2,966
H1 2012 results
Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12
OE Sales 1,898 2,059 1,929 2,066 2,263 2,247 2,262 2,435 2,602 2,516
Aftermarket 351 371 360 363 361 358 336 357 369 363
Miscellaneous 60 48 53 74 45 60 64 80 62 87
Total sales 2,309 2,478 2,342 2,503 2,669 2,665 2,662 2,872 3,033 2,966
OE & aftermarket sales
Total sales 2,309 2,478 2,342 2,503 2,669 2,665 2,662 2,872 3,033 2,966
July 26, 2012 I 41
2009 2010 2011 2012
(in € million) H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1
Total sales 3,472 4,027 4,787 4,845 5,334 5,534 5,999
Gross margin 453 685 856 879 916 927 1,006
as % of sales 13.0% 17.0% 17.9% 18.1% 17.2% 16.8% 16.8%
R&D expenditures (234) (239) (267) (270) (285) (276) (313)
Selling & administrative expenses (270) (262) (297) (284) (286) (292) (323)
Other income & expenses (37) (12) (31) 4 (1) 1 (22)
Operating income (EBIT) (88) 172 261 329 344 360 348
as % of sales -2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8%
Half year P&L
H1 2012 results
as % of sales -2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8%
Cost of net debt (21) (39) (32) (35) (29) (42) (50)
Other financial income and expenses (37) (20) (14) (18) (17) (18) (16)
Equity in net earnings of associates (40) 6 11 (12) 4 (2) 11
Income before income taxes (186) 119 226 264 302 298 293
Income taxes (26) (53) (47) (57) (77) (71) (78)
Income from continuing operations (212) 66 179 207 225 227 215
Non-strategic activities 1 (1) (2) 0 0 (1) (2)
Net income for the period (211) 65 177 207 225 226 213
Minority interest (2) (5) (9) (10) (7) (17) (15)
Net income (213) 60 168 197 218 209 198
July 26, 2012 I 42
Half year segment informationH1-11 and H1-12
Net sales
• segment (excluding Group) 956 1 537 1 545 1 284 12 5 334
• intersegment (Group) 14 12 14 20 (60) -
EBITDA 107 164 173 140 18 602
Research & Development expenditure, net (72) (71) (79) (65) 2 (285)
88 97 56 66 1 308
Segment assets 897 1 186 997 907 22 4 009
Investments in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets
Comfort and Driving
Assistance Systems
(in €m) Powertrain Systems
Thermal Systems
Visibility Systems
Others TOTAL
First-half 2011
H1 2012 results
(in €m)
Net sales
• segment (excluding Group) 1,278 1,667 1,704 1,337 13 5,999
• intersegment (Group) 13 14 15 20 (62) -
EBITDA 154 155 206 126 14 655
Research & Development expenditure, net (88) (82) (78) (65) - (313)
107 125 67 113 14 426
Segment assets 1,402 1,427 1,094 1,079 36 5,038
Investments in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets
Comfort and Driving
Assistance Systems
Powertrain Systems
Thermal Systems
Visibility Systems Others TOTAL
First-half 2012
July 26, 2012 I 43
Safe Harbor Statement
Statements contained in this report, which are not historical fact, constitute « Forward-LookingStatements. » Even though Valeo’s management feels that the Forward-Looking Statements arereasonable, investors are put on notice that actual results may differ materially due to numerous importantfactors, risks and uncertainties to which Valeo is exposed. Such factors include, among others, thecompany’s ability to generate cost savings or manufacturing efficiencies to offset or exceed contractually orcompetitively required price reductions. The risks and uncertainties to which Valeo is exposed are mainlycomprised of the risks resulting from the investigations currently being carried out by the antitrustauthorities as they have been identified in the Registration Document, operational risks which relate tobeing a supplier in the automotive industry, to the marketing and sales of the types of vehicles produced
H1 2012 results
and to the development of new products and risks due to certain global and regional economic conditions.Also included are environmental and industrial risks as well as risks and uncertainties described oridentified in the public documents submitted by Valeo to the French “Autorité des Marchés Financiers”(AMF), including those set out in the “Risk Factors” section of Valeo’s Registration Document registered atthe AMF on March 29, 2012 (ref. no. D.12-0237).
The company assumes no responsibility for any estimates made by analysts and any other informationprepared by third parties which may be used in this report. Valeo does not intend or assume any obligationto review or to confirm the estimates of analysts or to update any Forward-Looking Statements to reflectevents or circumstances which occur after the date of this report.
July 26, 2012 I 44
H1 2012 results