hamilton southeastern schools, in demographic study ... · 10/4/2016 · 8. even if the district...

Hamilton Southeastern Schools, IN Demographic Study

October 2016

HAMILTON SOUTHEASTERN SCHOOLS, IN DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 1

Introduction 2

Data 3

Assumptions 3

Methodology 6

References 8

Appendix A: Enrollment Forecasts 9

Appendix B: Population Forecasts 14

Appendix C: Population Pyramids 21

Appendix D: Additional Tables 34


Executive Summary

1. The resident total fertility rate for Hamilton Southeastern Schools over the life of the forecasts is below replacement level. (1.91 vs. the replacement level of 2.1)

2. Most in-migration to the district continues to occur in the 0-to-9 and 25-to-44 year old age

groups. 3. The local 18-to-24 year old population continues to leave the district, going to college or

moving to other urbanized areas. This population group accounts for the largest segment of the district’s out migration flow.

4. The primary factors causing the district's enrollment to increase over the next five years is the

large number of new homes being constructed, a robust existing homes sales market in the district coupled with a high rate of in migration of young families.

5. Changes in year-to-year enrollment over the next six years will primarily be due to large

cohorts entering and moving through the school system in conjunction with smaller cohorts leaving the system.

6. The elementary enrollment will begin a persistent decline after the 2020-21 school year. This will be due primarily to the fact that the rising 4th grade cohorts will be greater the 1,600 students in size.

7. The median age of the population will increase from 33.0 in 2010 to 39.0 in 2025. 8. Even if the district continues to have a strong level of annual new home construction, the rate,

magnitude and price of existing home sales will become the increasingly dominant factor affecting the amount of population and enrollment change.

9. Total district enrollment is forecasted to increase by 215 students, or 1.0%, between 2016-17 and 2021-22. Total enrollment will decline by 594 students, or -2.8%, from 2021-22 to 2026-27.

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INTRODUCTION

By demographic principle, distinctions are made between projections and forecasts. A projection extrapolates the past (and present) into the future with little or no attempt to take into account any factors that may impact the extrapolation (e.g., changes in fertility rates, housing patterns or migration patterns) while a forecast results when a projection is modified by reasoning to take into account the aforementioned factors.

To maximize the use of this study as a planning tool, the ultimate goal is not simply to project the past into the future, but rather to assess various factors’ impact on the future. The future population and enrollment change of each school district is influenced by a variety of factors. Not all factors will influence the entire school district at the same level. Some may affect different areas at dissimilar magnitudes and rates causing changes at varying points of time within the same district. The forecaster’s judgment, based on a thorough and intimate study of the district, has been used to modify the demographic trends and factors to more accurately predict likely changes. Therefore, strictly speaking, this study is a forecast, not a projection; and the amount of modification of the demographic trends varies between different areas of the district as well as within the timeframe of the forecast.

To calculate population forecasts of any type, particularly for smaller populations such as a school district, realistic suppositions must be made as to what the future will bring in terms of age specific fertility rates and residents’ demographic behavior at certain points of the life course. The demographic history of the school district and its interplay with the social and economic history of the

area is the starting point and basis of most of these suppositions particularly on key factors such as the age structure of the area. The unique nature of each district's and attendance area’s demographic composition and rate of change over time must be assessed and understood to be factors throughout the life of the forecast series. Moreover, no two populations, particularly at the school district and attendance area level, have exactly the same characteristics.

The manifest purpose of these forecasts is to ascertain the demographic factors that will ultimately influence the enrollment levels in the district’s schools. There are of course, other non-demographic factors that affect enrollment levels over time. These factors include, but are not limited to transfer policies within the district; student transfers to and from neighboring districts; placement of “special programs” within school facilities that may serve students from outside the attendance area; state or federal mandates that dictate the movement of students from one facility to another (No Child Left Behind was an excellent example of this factor); the development of charter schools in the district; the prevalence of home schooling in the area; and the dynamics of local private schools.

Unless the district specifically requests the calculation of forecasts that reflect the effects of changes in these non-demographic factors, their influences are held constant for the life of the forecasts. Again, the main function of these forecasts is to determine what impact demographic changes will have on future enrollment. It is quite possible to calculate special “scenario” forecasts to measure the impact of school policy modifications as well as planned economic and financial changes. However in this case the results of these population and enrollment

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forecast are meant to represent the most likely scenario for changes over the next 10 years in the district and its attendance areas.

The first part of the report will examine the assumptions made in calculating the population forecasts for the Hamilton Southeastern Schools. Since the results of the population forecasts drive the subsequent enrollment forecasts, the assumptions listed in this section are paramount to understanding the area’s demographic dynamics. The remainder of the report is an explanation and analysis of the district's population forecasts and how they will shape the district's grade level enrollment forecasts.

DATA

The data used for the forecasts come from a variety of sources. The Hamilton Southeastern Schools provided enrollments by grade and attendance center for the school years 2010-2011 to 2016-17. Birth and death data for the years 2000 through 2014 were obtained from the Indiana Department of Health. The net migration values were calculated using Internal Revenue Service migration reports for the years 2000 through 2013. The data used for the calculation of migration models came from the United States Bureau of the Census, 2005 to 2010, and the models were designed using demographic and economic factors. The base age-sex population counts used are from the results of the 2010 Census.

Recently the Census Bureau began releasing annual estimates of demographic variables at the block group and tract level from the American Community Survey (ACS). There has been wide scale reporting of these results in the national, state and local media. However, due to the methodological problems

the Census Bureau is experiencing with their estimates derived from ACS data, particularly in areas with a population of less than 60,000, the results of the ACS are not used in these forecasts. For example, given the sampling framework used by the Census Bureau, each year only 1,000 of the over 33,000 current households in the district would have been included. For comparison 4,500 households in the district were included in the sample for the long form questionnaire in the 2000 Census. As a result of this small sample size, the ACS survey result from the last 5 years must be aggregated to produce the tract and block group estimates.

To develop the population forecast models, past migration patterns, current age specific fertility patterns, the magnitude and dynamics of the gross migration, the age specific mortality trends, the distribution of the population by age and sex, the rate and type of existing housing unit sales, and future housing unit construction are considered to be primary variables. In addition, the change in household size relative to the age structure of the forecast area was addressed. While there was a slight drop in the average household size in the Hamilton Southeastern Schools as well as most other areas of the state during the previous 20 years, the rate of this decline has been forecasted to slow over the next ten years.

ASSUMPTIONS

For these forecasts, the mortality probabilities are held constant at the levels calculated for the year 2010. While the number of deaths in an area are impacted by and will change given the proportion of the local population over age 65, in the absence of an extraordinary event such as a natural disaster or a breakthrough in the treatment of heart

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disease, death rates rarely move rapidly in any direction, particularly at the school district or attendance area level. Thus, significant changes are not foreseen in district’s mortality rates between now and the year 2025. Any increases forecasted in the number of deaths will be due primarily to the general aging of the district’s population and specifically to the increase in the number of residents aged 65 and older.

Similarly, fertility rates are assumed to stay fairly constant for the life of the forecasts. Like mortality rates, age specific fertility rates rarely change quickly or dramatically, particularly in small areas. Even with the recently reported rise in the fertility rates of the United States, overall fertility rates have stayed within a 10% range for most of the last 40 years. In fact, the vast majority of year to year change in an area’s number of births is due to changes in the number of women in child bearing ages (particularly ages 20-29) rather than any fluctuation in an area’s fertility rate.

The total fertility rate (TFR), the average number of births a woman will have while living in the school district during her lifetime, is estimated to be 1.91 for the total district for the ten years of the population forecasts. A TFR of 2.1 births per woman is considered to be the theoretical “replacement level” of fertility necessary for a population to remain constant in the absence of in-migration. Therefore, in the absence of migration, fertility alone would be insufficient to maintain the current level of population and enrollment within the Hamilton Southeastern Schools over the course of the forecast period.

A close examination of data for the Hamilton Southeastern Schools has shown the age specific pattern of net migration will be nearly constant throughout the life of the forecasts. While the number of in and out

migrants has changed in past years for the Hamilton Southeastern Schools (and will change again over the next 10 years), the basic age pattern of the migrants has stayed nearly the same over the last 30 years. Based on the analysis of data it is safe to assume this age specific migration trend will remain unchanged into the future. This pattern of migration shows most of the local out-migration occurring in the 18-to-24 year old age group as young adults leave the area to go to college or move to other urbanized areas. The second group of out-migrants is those householders aged 70 and older who are downsizing their residences. Most of the local in-migration occurs in the 0-to-9 and 25-to-44 age groups (the bulk of the which come from areas within 75 miles of the Hamilton Southeastern Schools) primarily consisting of younger adults and their children.

As the Hamilton County area is not currently contemplating any major expansions or contractions, the forecasts also assume that the current economic, political, social, and environmental factors, as well as the transportation and public works infrastructure (with a few notable exceptions) of the Hamilton Southeastern Schools and its attendance areas will remain the same through the year 2026. Below is a list of assumptions and issues that are specific to the Hamilton Southeastern Schools These issues have been used to modify the population forecast models to more accurately predict the impact of these factors on each area’s population change. Specifically, the forecasts for the Hamilton Southeastern Schools assume that throughout the study period:

a. There will be no short term economic recovery in the next 18 months and the national, state or regional economy does

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not go into deep recession at any time during the 10 years of the forecasts; (Deep recession is defined as four consecutive quarters where the GDP contracts greater than 1% per quarter)

b. Interest rates have reached a historic low and will not fluctuate more than one percentage point in the short term; the interest rate for a 30 year fixed home mortgage stays below 5.0%;

c. The rate of mortgage approval stays at 1999-2003 levels and lenders do not return to “sub-prime” mortgage practices;

d. There are no additional restrictions placed on home mortgage lenders or additional bankruptcies of major credit providers;

e. The rate of housing foreclosures does not exceed 125% of the 2005-2007 average of Hamilton County for any year in the forecasts;

f. All currently planned, platted, and approved housing developments are built out and completed by 2024. All housing units constructed are occupied by 2025;

g. The unemployment rates for the Hamilton County and the Indianapolis Metropolitan Areas will remain below 6.5% for the 10 years of the forecasts;

h. The intra-district student transfer policy remains unchanged over the next 10 years;

i. The rate of students transferring into and out of the Hamilton Southeastern Schools will remain at the 2011-12 to 2015-16 average;

j. The Hamilton Southeastern Schools does not adopt an “open enrollment” policy any time over the next 10 years;

k. The inflation rate for gasoline will stay

below 5% per year for the 10 years of the forecasts;

l. There will be no building moratorium within the district;

m. Businesses within the district and the Hamilton Southeastern Schools area will remain viable;

n. The number of existing home sales in the district that are a result of “distress sales” (homes worth less than the current mortgage value) will not exceed 20% of total homes sales in the district for any given year;

o. Housing turnover rates (sale of existing homes in the district) will remain at their current levels. The majority of existing home sales are made by home owners over the age of 60;

p. Private school and home school attendance rates will remain constant;

q. The rate of foreclosures for commercial property remains at the 2004-2008 average for Hamilton County; If a major employer in the district or in

the Greater Indianapolis Metropolitan Area closes, reduces or expands its operations, the population forecasts would need to be adjusted to reflect the changes brought about by the change in economic and employment conditions. The same holds true for any type of natural disaster, major change in the local infrastructure (e.g., highway construction, water and sewer expansion, changes in zoning regulations etc.), a further economic downturn, any additional weakness in the housing market or any instance or situation that causes rapid and dramatic population changes that could not be foreseen at the time the forecasts were calculated.

The high proportion of high school graduates from the Hamilton Southeastern

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Schools that attend college or move to urban areas outside of the district for employment is a significant demographic factor. Their departure is a major reason for the extremely high out-migration in the 18 to 24 age group, and was taken into account when calculating these forecasts. The out-migration of graduating high school seniors is expected to continue over the period of the forecasts and the rate of out-migration has been forecasted to remain the same over the life of the forecast series. Finally, all demographic trends (i.e., births, deaths, and migration) are assumed to be linear in nature and annualized over the forecast period. For example, if 1,000 births are forecasted for a 5-year period, an equal number, or proportion of the births are assumed to occur every year, 200 per year. Actual year-to-year variations do and will occur, but overall year to year trends are expected to be constant. METHODOLOGY

The population forecasts presented in this report are the result of using the Cohort-Component Method of population forecasting (Siegel, and Swanson, 2004: 561-601) (Smith et. al. 2004). As stated in the INTRODUCTION, the difference between a projection and a forecast is in the use of explicit judgment based upon the unique features of the area under study. Strictly speaking, a cohort projection refers to the future population that would result if a mathematical extrapolation of historical trends. Conversely, a cohort-component forecast refers to the future population that is expected because of a studied and purposeful selection of the components of change (i.e., births, deaths, and migration) and forecast models are developed

to measure the impact of these changes in each specific geographic area.

Five sets of data are required to generate population and enrollment forecasts. These five data sets are:

1. a base-year population (here, the

2010 Census population for the Hamilton Southeastern Schools and its attendance areas);

2. a set of age-specific fertility rates for the district to be used over the forecast period and its attendance areas;

3. a set of age-specific survival (mortality) rates for the district and its attendance areas;

4. a set of age-specific migration rates for the district and its attendance areas; and;

5. the historical enrollment figures by grade.

The most significant and difficult aspect of producing enrollment forecasts is the generation of the population forecasts in which the school age population (and enrollment) is embedded. In turn, the most challenging aspect of generating the population forecasts is found in deriving the rates of change in fertility, mortality, and migration. From the standpoint of demographic analysis, the Hamilton Southeastern Schools is classified as a “small area” population (as compared to the population of the state of Indiana or to that of the United States). Small area population forecasts are more complicated to calculate because local variations in fertility, mortality, and migration may be more irregular than those at the regional, state or national scale. Especially challenging is the forecast of the migration rates for local areas, because changes

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in the area's socioeconomic characteristics can quickly change from past and current patterns (Peters and Larkin, 2002.)

The population forecasts for Hamilton Southeastern Schools were calculated using a cohort-component method with the populations divided into male and female groups by five-year age cohorts that range from 0-to-4 years of age to 85 years of age and older (85+). Age- and sex-specific fertility, mortality, and migration models were constructed to specifically reflect the unique demographic characteristics of each of the attendance areas in the Hamilton Southeastern Schools.

The enrollment forecasts were calculated using a modified average survivorship method. Average survivor rates (i.e., the proportion of students who progress from one grade level to the next given the average amount of net migration for that grade level) over the previous five years of year-to-year enrollment data were calculated for grades two through twelve. This procedure is used to identify specific grades where there are large numbers of students changing facilities for non-demographic factors, such as private school transfers or enrollment in special programs.

The survivorship rates were modified or adjusted to reflect the average rate of forecasted in and out migration of 5-to-9, 10-to-14 and 15-to-17 year old cohorts to each of the attendance centers in Hamilton Southeastern Schools for the period 2010 to 2016. These survivorship rates then were adjusted to reflect the forecasted changes in age-specific migration the district should experience over the next five years. These modified survivorship rates were used to project the enrollment of grades 2 through 12 for the period 2016 to 2021. The survivorship rates

were adjusted again for the period 2021 to 2026 to reflect the predicted changes in the amount of age-specific migration in the district for the period.

The forecasted enrollments for kindergarten and first grade are derived from the 5-to-9 year old population of the age-sex population forecast at the elementary attendance center district level. This procedure allows the changes in the incoming grade sizes to be factors of forecasted population change and not an extrapolation of previous class sizes. Given the potentially large amount of variation in Kindergarten enrollment due to parental choice, changes in the state's minimum age requirement, and differing district policies on allowing children to start Kindergarten early, first grade enrollment is deemed to be a more accurate and reliable starting point for the forecasts. (McKibben, 1996) The level of the accuracy for both the population and enrollment forecasts at the school district level is estimated to be ±2.0% for the life of the forecasts.

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REFERENCES McKibben, J.

The Impact of Policy Changes on Forecasting for School Districts. Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 15, No. 5-6, December 1996

McKibben, J., M. Gann, and K. Faust. The Baby Boomlet's Role in Future College Enrollment.American Demographics, June 1999.

Peters, G. and R. Larkin Population Geography. 7th Edition. Dubuque, IA: Kendall Hunt Publishing. 2002.

Siegel, J. and D. Swanson The Methods and Materials of Demography: Second Edition, Academic Press: New York, New York. 2004.

Smith, S., J. Tayman and D. Swanson State and Local Population Projections, Academic Press, New York, New York. 2001.

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Appendix A: Census Data

2010 2015

2010-2015

Change 2020

2015-2020

Change

2010-2020

Change

Brooks School 7,486 8,080 7.4% 8,500 5.2% 13.5%

Cumberland Road ES 8,695 9,370 7.2% 9,860 5.2% 13.4%

Durbin ES 4,214 4,630 9.0% 5,090 9.9% 20.8%

Fall Creek ES 5,930 6,570 9.7% 6,960 5.9% 17.4%

Fishers ES 9,146 9,690 5.6% 10,100 4.2% 10.4%

Geist ES 4,654 5,390 13.7% 5,890 9.3% 26.6%

Harrison Parkway ES 7,694 8,440 8.8% 9,020 6.9% 17.2%

Hoosier Road ES 6,508 7,230 10.0% 7,680 6.2% 18.0%

Lantern Road ES 13,168 13,760 4.3% 14,060 2.2% 6.8%

New Britton ES 12,388 13,110 5.5% 13,740 4.8% 10.9%

Sand Creek ES 5,147 5,940 13.4% 6,570 10.6% 27.6%

Thorpe Creek ES 5,086 6,020 15.5% 6,960 15.6% 36.8%

Total 90,116 98,230 8.3% 104,430 6.3% 15.9%

Table 1: Forecasted Elementary Area Population Change, 2010 to 2020

HH w/ Pop

Under 18

% HH w/ Pop

Under 18

Total

Households

Household

Population

Persons Per

Household

Brooks School 1399 61.1% 2291 5195 3.27

Cumberland Road ES 1496 48.0% 3116 5579 2.79

Durbin ES 597 38.0% 1569 2644 2.69

Fall Creek ES 1184 68.7% 1724 4206 3.44

Fishers ES 1177 28.0% 4203 4944 2.18

Geist ES 864 63.2% 1368 3286 3.40

Harrison Parkway ES 1418 53.8% 2637 5056 2.92

Hoosier Road ES 1220 57.6% 2119 4389 3.07

Lantern Road ES 2150 45.6% 4718 8450 2.79

New Britton ES 1833 38.0% 4822 7566 2.57

Sand Creek ES 921 49.7% 1853 3294 2.78

Thorpe Creek ES 844 45.0% 1875 3211 2.71

Total 15101 46.8% 32296 57820 2.79

Table 2: Household Characteristics by Elementary Area, 2010 Census

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Percentage of

Householders aged

35-54

Percentage of

Householders aged 65+

Percentage of

Householders Who

Own Homes

Brooks School 62.3% 5.6% 92.1%

Cumberland Road ES 55.7% 7.7% 77.7%

Durbin ES 42.6% 17.1% 84.2%

Fall Creek ES 70.3% 4.6% 95.3%

Fishers ES 40.9% 12.0% 66.3%

Geist ES 69.0% 7.9% 96.3%

Harrison Parkway ES 54.3% 5.5% 84.2%

Hoosier Road ES 55.1% 7.1% 85.4%

Lantern Road ES 55.0% 13.2% 85.1%

New Britton ES 47.6% 13.5% 74.9%

Sand Creek ES 43.0% 4.7% 86.1%

Thorpe Creek ES 45.4% 14.8% 80.9%

Total 52.2% 10.1% 81.6%

Table 3: Householder Characteristics by Elementary Area, 2010 Census

Percentage of Single

Person Households

Percentage of Single Person

Households and are 65+

Brooks School 9.4% 1.1%

Cumberland Road ES 22.9% 3.5%

Durbin ES 18.2% 5.8%

Fall Creek ES 7.5% 1.1%

Fishers ES 36.4% 5.8%

Geist ES 7.3% 1.5%

Harrison Parkway ES 17.6% 2.0%

Hoosier Road ES 15.8% 3.2%

Lantern Road ES 17.6% 5.4%

New Britton ES 23.8% 5.5%

Sand Creek ES 20.5% 1.5%

Thorpe Creek ES 19.3% 5.2%

Total 20.1% 3.9%

Table 4: Percentage of Households that are Single Person Households and Single

Person Households that are over age 65 by Elementary Area , 2010 Census

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Under 1

year1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years 10 years

Brooks School 128 130 147 155 160 174 194 188 175 172 199

Cumberland Road ES 128 141 166 173 156 181 188 174 208 190 185

Durbin ES 64 78 74 72 71 77 78 64 78 67 65

Fall Creek ES 99 128 150 142 146 167 189 152 166 174 145

Fishers ES 132 133 116 126 115 107 128 119 118 126 121

Geist ES 72 66 68 79 86 107 116 121 111 120 123

Harrison Parkway ES 137 157 143 158 161 156 187 162 186 166 143

Hoosier Road ES 135 172 170 163 181 175 171 161 145 135 115

Lantern Road ES 193 157 172 192 202 207 225 231 256 241 260

New Britton ES 178 159 165 168 155 181 191 172 180 173 189

Sand Creek ES 133 129 135 117 117 113 101 101 93 77 83

Thorpe Creek ES 106 114 143 109 118 118 83 89 89 89 81

Total 1506 1563 1649 1655 1667 1762 1850 1735 1806 1730 1709

Table 6: Age Under One to Age Ten Population Counts, by Year of Age, by

Elementary Area: 2010 Census

2016 20212016-2021

Change2026

2021-2026

Change

2016-2026

Change

Brooks School 718 691 -3.8% 668 -3.3% -7.0%

Cumberland Road ES 656 619 -5.6% 582 -6.0% -11.3%

Durbin ES 379 433 14.2% 467 7.9% 23.2%

Fall Creek ES 685 660 -3.6% 604 -8.5% -11.8%

Fishers ES 487 460 -5.5% 444 -3.5% -8.8%

Geist ES 780 788 1.0% 749 -4.9% -4.0%

Harrison Parkway ES 615 591 -3.9% 555 -6.1% -9.8%

Hoosier Road ES 724 648 -10.5% 608 -6.2% -16.0%

Lantern Road ES 762 772 1.3% 721 -6.6% -5.4%

New Britton ES 715 731 2.2% 688 -5.9% -3.8%

Sand Creek ES 642 549 -14.5% 512 -6.7% -20.2%

Thorpe Creek ES 776 916 18.0% 875 -4.5% 12.8%

District Total 7939 7857 -1.0% 7473 -4.9% -5.9%

Table 5: Elementary Enrollment, 2016, 2021, 2026

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2010 CensusUnder 1

year1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years 10 years 11 years 12 years 13 years

2016 Enrollment 1556 1622 1619 1672 1666 1704 1743 1664 1682 1600 1642 1472

103.32% 103.77% 98.18% 101.03% 99.94% 96.71% 94.22% 95.91% 93.13% 92.49% 96.08% 87.26%

2015 Enrollment 1459 1572 1611 1642 1659 1676 1716 1659 1676 1599 1643 1448 1470

96.88% 100.58% 97.70% 99.21% 99.52% 95.12% 92.76% 95.62% 92.80% 92.43% 96.14% 85.83% 92.51%

2014 Enrollment 1450 1599 1611 1646 1664 1728 1634 1670 1611 1665 1456 1477 1362

92.77% 96.97% 97.34% 98.74% 94.44% 93.41% 94.18% 92.47% 93.12% 97.43% 86.31% 92.95% 85.28%

2013 Enrollment 1510 1578 1609 1642 1657 1577 1656 1580 1647 1467 1475 1376

91.57% 95.35% 96.52% 93.19% 89.57% 90.89% 91.69% 91.33% 96.37% 86.96% 92.83% 86.16%

2012 Enrollment 1502 1556 1606 1677 1544 1620 1567 1632 1494 1486 1391

90.76% 93.34% 91.15% 90.65% 88.99% 89.70% 90.58% 95.49% 88.56% 93.52% 87.10%

2011 Enrollment 1293 1595 1675 1532 1597 1553 1592 1483 1511 1387

77.56% 90.52% 90.54% 88.30% 88.43% 89.77% 93.15% 87.91% 95.09% 86.85%

2010 Enrollment 1320 1680 1536 1576 1521 1570 1445 1485 1424

74.91% 90.81% 88.53% 87.26% 87.92% 91.87% 85.66% 93.46% 89.17%

Table 7: Comparison of District Enrollment by Grade with 2010 Census Counts by Age, 2011-2016

1597Hamilton Southeastern

Schools Total 1506 1563 1649 1655 1667 1762 1850 1735 1806 1730 1709 1687 1589

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Fishers, IN Building Permits by Year

Single Family BuildingPermits

Total Units

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

Single Family Building Permits 1254 1301 1368 1288 1190 1086 880 742 482 469 481 459 517 633 564 503 389

Total Units 1254 1301 1368 1288 1198 1262 1054 913 597 526 770 504 546 1314 1112 764 428

Table 8: Fishers, IN Building Permits By Year

*2016 Building Permits as of August 2016

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Appendix B: Population Forecasts

Males 2010 2015 2020 2025 Females 2010 2015 2020 2025 Total 2010 2015 2020 20252010 to

2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 369 290 280 250 0-4 352 280 270 240 0-4 720 570 550 490 Births 540 440 390

5-9 444 470 460 430 5-9 460 450 450 420 5-9 904 920 910 850 Deaths 100 130 170

10-14 427 440 460 460 10-14 433 460 450 450 10-14 860 900 910 910 Natural Increase 440 310 220

15-19 261 360 370 400 15-19 251 360 390 380 15-19 511 720 760 780 Net Migration 140 100 90

20-24 82 80 60 100 20-24 98 70 60 120 20-24 179 150 120 220 Change 580 410 310

25-29 153 140 120 90 25-29 204 150 110 100 25-29 356 290 230 190

30-34 279 250 240 210 30-34 319 300 250 200 30-34 598 550 490 410

35-39 370 330 310 290 35-39 412 370 360 310 35-39 782 700 670 600

40-44 399 370 330 300 40-44 414 410 370 360 40-44 813 780 700 660

45-49 323 390 360 320 45-49 308 410 410 370 45-49 631 800 770 690

50-54 208 320 390 350 50-54 201 310 410 400 50-54 408 630 800 750

55-59 138 200 310 380 55-59 119 200 300 400 55-59 257 400 610 780

60-64 105 130 190 290 60-64 100 120 190 290 60-64 205 250 380 580

65-69 62 100 120 180 65-69 55 100 110 180 65-69 117 200 230 360

70-74 28 60 90 110 70-74 35 50 90 110 70-74 63 110 180 220

75-79 23 20 50 80 75-79 18 30 50 90 75-79 40 50 100 170

80-84 10 20 20 50 80-84 9 20 30 50 80-84 19 40 50 100

85+ 10 10 20 20 85+ 11 10 20 30 85+ 21 20 40 50

Total 3,689 3,980 4,180 4,310 Total 3,797 4,100 4,320 4,500 Total 7,486 8,080 8,500 8,810

Median Age 31.8 34.5 37.1 39.6

Brooks School Elementary

Differences between period Totals may not

equal Change due to rounding.


2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 4,068 4,160 3,720 3,450 0-4 3,972 4,020 3,590 3,360 0-4 8,040 8,180 7,310 6,810 Births 6,840 5,970 5,320

5-9 4,518 4,640 4,700 4,460 5-9 4,365 4,560 4,560 4,340 5-9 8,883 9,200 9,260 8,800 Deaths 1,570 1,990 2,480

10-14 4,052 4,570 4,690 4,760 10-14 4,060 4,390 4,580 4,580 10-14 8,112 8,960 9,270 9,340 Natural Increase 5,270 3,980 2,840

15-19 2,985 3,180 3,720 3,910 15-19 2,771 3,190 3,550 3,810 15-19 5,756 6,370 7,270 7,720 Net Migration 3,020 2,150 1,920

20-24 1,412 1,540 1,480 1,680 20-24 1,672 1,310 1,490 1,510 20-24 3,084 2,850 2,970 3,190 Change 8,290 6,130 4,760

25-29 2,986 2,950 2,720 2,570 25-29 3,609 3,220 2,530 2,580 25-29 6,595 6,170 5,250 5,150

30-34 3,614 3,720 3,660 3,500 30-34 4,012 4,360 3,960 3,310 30-34 7,626 8,080 7,620 6,810

35-39 4,134 3,890 4,130 4,110 35-39 4,469 4,290 4,790 4,420 35-39 8,603 8,180 8,920 8,530

40-44 4,032 4,110 3,910 4,120 40-44 4,163 4,490 4,330 4,820 40-44 8,195 8,600 8,240 8,940

45-49 3,587 3,960 4,070 3,850 45-49 3,801 4,120 4,480 4,320 45-49 7,388 8,080 8,550 8,170

50-54 2,680 3,520 3,930 3,980 50-54 2,723 3,770 4,110 4,410 50-54 5,403 7,290 8,040 8,390

55-59 1,962 2,610 3,430 3,800 55-59 2,072 2,700 3,700 4,030 55-59 4,034 5,310 7,130 7,830

60-64 1,430 1,820 2,490 3,240 60-64 1,689 1,990 2,580 3,580 60-64 3,119 3,810 5,070 6,820

65-69 923 1,280 1,690 2,240 65-69 1,119 1,560 1,850 2,430 65-69 2,042 2,840 3,540 4,670

70-74 581 840 1,130 1,460 70-74 704 1,060 1,450 1,710 70-74 1,285 1,900 2,580 3,170

75-79 379 490 700 960 75-79 514 670 970 1,370 75-79 893 1,160 1,670 2,330

80-84 283 360 490 670 80-84 353 300 670 970 80-84 636 660 1,160 1,640

85+ 146 220 290 380 85+ 276 370 290 710 85+ 422 590 580 1,090


Median Age 33.0 34.6 36.8 39.0

Hamilton Southeastern Schools



14 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 186 220 230 230 0-4 174 220 220 220 0-4 360 440 450 450 Births 310 300 280

5-9 169 210 250 260 5-9 195 200 240 250 5-9 364 410 490 510 Deaths 100 130 150


15-19 107 110 120 150 15-19 110 90 140 140 15-19 217 200 260 290 Net Migration 230 250 290

20-24 82 60 60 60 20-24 82 60 40 90 20-24 164 120 100 150 Change 440 420 420

25-29 137 130 140 150 25-29 193 130 140 120 25-29 330 260 280 270

30-34 178 180 180 190 30-34 169 240 180 200 30-34 347 420 360 390

35-39 173 200 210 200 35-39 162 190 260 210 35-39 335 390 470 410

40-44 142 190 200 200 40-44 142 180 190 260 40-44 285 370 390 460

45-49 141 140 190 190 45-49 148 140 180 190 45-49 289 280 370 380

50-54 171 140 140 190 50-54 149 150 140 180 50-54 320 290 280 370

55-59 139 170 130 130 55-59 128 150 140 140 55-59 267 320 270 270

60-64 107 120 150 110 60-64 120 110 130 130 60-64 227 230 280 240

65-69 87 90 100 120 65-69 88 100 100 110 65-69 175 190 200 230

70-74 50 80 80 90 70-74 48 80 100 90 70-74 98 160 180 180

75-79 22 40 70 70 75-79 41 50 80 90 75-79 63 90 150 160

80-84 28 20 40 60 80-84 19 40 50 80 80-84 47 60 90 140

85+ 13 20 20 30 85+ 20 20 40 50 85+ 33 40 60 80


Median Age 35.5 36.3 37.1 37.3

Durbin Elementary




2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 405 370 350 290 0-4 359 350 330 280 0-4 764 720 680 570 Births 700 580 480

5-9 493 410 390 370 5-9 448 370 370 360 5-9 941 780 760 730 Deaths 120 160 210


15-19 278 360 440 360 15-19 269 350 390 320 15-19 546 710 830 680 Net Migration 100 70 60

20-24 121 150 150 190 20-24 142 140 140 150 20-24 264 290 290 340 Change 680 490 330

25-29 309 280 230 220 25-29 353 300 220 220 25-29 663 580 450 440

30-34 363 350 360 330 30-34 425 390 390 320 30-34 789 740 750 650

35-39 432 400 390 430 35-39 479 460 430 450 35-39 912 860 820 880

40-44 470 430 420 390 40-44 478 480 480 440 40-44 947 910 900 830

45-49 346 460 420 410 45-49 323 470 470 480 45-49 669 930 890 890

50-54 204 340 460 410 50-54 212 320 470 470 50-54 416 660 930 880

55-59 130 200 330 440 55-59 173 210 310 460 55-59 303 410 640 900

60-64 95 120 190 320 60-64 124 170 200 310 60-64 219 290 390 630

65-69 61 90 120 180 65-69 89 120 160 200 65-69 151 210 280 380

70-74 38 60 80 110 70-74 61 90 110 150 70-74 99 150 190 260

75-79 29 30 50 70 75-79 33 60 80 110 75-79 63 90 130 180

80-84 19 30 30 50 80-84 24 30 60 80 80-84 43 60 90 130

85+ 10 10 20 30 85+ 24 30 40 60 85+ 34 40 60 90


Median Age 31.9 34.5 37.4 40.4



Cumberland Road Elementary

15 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 322 300 260 250 0-4 343 290 260 250 0-4 665 590 520 500 Births 480 390 300

5-9 436 360 360 320 5-9 412 380 350 310 5-9 848 740 710 630 Deaths 70 90 120


15-19 180 210 340 310 15-19 195 230 320 330 15-19 375 440 660 640 Net Migration 180 130 100

20-24 57 40 30 60 20-24 55 50 40 40 20-24 113 90 70 100 Change 590 430 280

25-29 74 110 70 70 25-29 111 110 90 80 25-29 184 220 160 150

30-34 193 250 240 190 30-34 259 290 240 210 30-34 452 540 480 400

35-39 369 230 300 280 35-39 389 290 340 280 35-39 758 520 640 560

40-44 328 360 220 300 40-44 363 390 290 340 40-44 691 750 510 640

45-49 238 320 360 220 45-49 232 360 390 290 45-49 470 680 750 510

50-54 155 230 320 350 50-54 119 230 360 380 50-54 274 460 680 730

55-59 91 150 230 310 55-59 81 120 230 350 55-59 172 270 460 660

60-64 62 90 140 220 60-64 41 80 110 220 60-64 104 170 250 440

65-69 32 50 80 130 65-69 38 30 70 110 65-69 69 80 150 240

70-74 19 30 40 70 70-74 25 40 30 70 70-74 43 70 70 140

75-79 15 20 20 40 75-79 16 20 30 30 75-79 31 40 50 70

80-84 5 10 20 20 80-84 9 20 20 30 80-84 14 30 40 50

85+ 6 10 10 10 85+ 5 10 10 20 85+ 11 20 20 30


Median Age 31.4 33.2 36.1 39.0

Fall Creek Elementary




2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 301 340 290 270 0-4 320 330 280 260 0-4 621 670 570 530 Births 600 510 480

5-9 297 260 280 270 5-9 300 280 270 260 5-9 597 540 550 530 Deaths 210 260 290


15-19 233 220 270 240 15-19 215 250 270 260 15-19 449 470 540 500 Net Migration 180 140 110

20-24 222 270 240 290 20-24 300 250 280 290 20-24 522 520 520 580 Change 570 390 300

25-29 528 580 550 470 25-29 589 660 530 510 25-29 1,117 1,240 1,080 980

30-34 407 380 460 460 30-34 464 440 550 440 30-34 872 820 1,010 900

35-39 356 310 310 410 35-39 394 370 370 490 35-39 750 680 680 900

40-44 321 330 310 290 40-44 334 370 370 360 40-44 655 700 680 650

45-49 317 320 330 310 45-49 425 330 370 370 45-49 742 650 700 680

50-54 296 310 310 310 50-54 318 420 330 360 50-54 614 730 640 670

55-59 254 290 300 300 55-59 265 310 410 320 55-59 519 600 710 620

60-64 161 240 280 290 60-64 243 260 300 400 60-64 404 500 580 690

65-69 114 140 230 250 65-69 134 220 250 290 65-69 247 360 480 540

70-74 61 90 130 200 70-74 93 120 210 230 70-74 154 210 340 430

75-79 54 50 80 110 75-79 98 90 110 200 75-79 153 140 190 310

80-84 52 50 50 80 80-84 69 100 90 110 80-84 121 150 140 190

85+ 26 40 50 50 85+ 44 70 100 110 85+ 70 110 150 160


Median Age 34.2 34.9 36.8 38.5

Fishers Elementary



16 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 177 300 230 220 0-4 194 290 220 220 0-4 371 590 450 440 Births 280 260 230

5-9 286 380 420 410 5-9 289 400 420 400 5-9 575 780 840 810 Deaths 70 90 120


15-19 214 180 220 320 15-19 181 180 230 340 15-19 395 360 450 660 Net Migration 520 310 260

20-24 52 60 40 40 20-24 47 20 40 40 20-24 99 80 80 80 Change 730 480 370

25-29 54 100 90 70 25-29 52 100 60 70 25-29 106 200 150 140

30-34 91 160 150 140 30-34 124 160 150 110 30-34 215 320 300 250

35-39 211 90 200 170 35-39 242 120 200 170 35-39 453 210 400 340

40-44 264 210 90 200 40-44 267 240 120 200 40-44 531 450 210 400

45-49 247 260 210 90 45-49 231 270 240 120 45-49 478 530 450 210

50-54 167 240 260 200 50-54 152 230 260 240 50-54 319 470 520 440

55-59 113 160 240 250 55-59 90 150 230 260 55-59 203 310 470 510

60-64 66 110 160 230 60-64 67 90 150 220 60-64 133 200 310 450

65-69 40 60 100 150 65-69 48 60 80 140 65-69 88 120 180 290

70-74 21 40 60 90 70-74 29 50 60 80 70-74 50 90 120 170

75-79 18 20 30 50 75-79 15 30 40 60 75-79 33 50 70 110

80-84 12 20 20 30 80-84 13 10 30 40 80-84 25 30 50 70

85+ 3 10 10 10 85+ 3 10 10 20 85+ 6 20 20 30


Median Age 34.8 31.6 32.6 33.0

Geist Elementary




2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 390 370 340 300 0-4 366 350 320 290 0-4 756 720 660 590 Births 700 620 550

5-9 442 400 370 340 5-9 415 380 350 330 5-9 857 780 720 670 Deaths 90 120 160


15-19 262 320 350 330 15-19 248 300 330 310 15-19 510 620 680 640 Net Migration 130 100 80

20-24 114 110 150 150 20-24 167 90 130 130 20-24 281 200 280 280 Change 740 600 470

25-29 309 260 240 260 25-29 365 310 230 240 25-29 675 570 470 500

30-34 390 360 340 340 30-34 397 420 400 330 30-34 787 780 740 670

35-39 395 430 400 390 35-39 431 440 460 450 35-39 827 870 860 840

40-44 347 390 440 420 40-44 366 430 450 480 40-44 713 820 890 900

45-49 303 340 390 440 45-49 279 360 430 450 45-49 583 700 820 890

50-54 166 300 340 380 50-54 188 280 360 420 50-54 355 580 700 800

55-59 119 160 290 330 55-59 112 190 270 360 55-59 231 350 560 690

60-64 78 110 150 280 60-64 82 110 180 270 60-64 160 220 330 550

65-69 38 70 110 140 65-69 60 80 100 170 65-69 99 150 210 310

70-74 31 30 70 100 70-74 31 60 70 100 70-74 62 90 140 200

75-79 16 30 30 60 75-79 18 30 50 70 75-79 34 60 80 130

80-84 13 20 30 30 80-84 15 10 30 50 80-84 28 30 60 80

85+ 4 10 10 20 85+ 10 10 10 30 85+ 14 20 20 50


Median Age 30.3 32.9 35.9 39.0

Harrison Parkway Elementary



17 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 404 340 260 250 0-4 416 330 260 250 0-4 820 670 520 500 Births 570 440 300

5-9 415 400 360 340 5-9 372 410 350 340 5-9 787 810 710 680 Deaths 90 110 140


15-19 179 170 370 360 15-19 150 150 320 360 15-19 329 320 690 720 Net Migration 230 140 100

20-24 81 90 110 100 20-24 99 60 90 50 20-24 180 150 200 150 Change 710 470 260

25-29 206 200 130 140 25-29 288 210 100 120 25-29 494 410 230 260

30-34 324 300 250 200 30-34 380 380 270 170 30-34 704 680 520 370

35-39 429 370 320 320 35-39 410 430 410 340 35-39 839 800 730 660

40-44 297 420 360 340 40-44 262 410 420 430 40-44 559 830 780 770

45-49 184 290 420 360 45-49 206 260 410 420 45-49 390 550 830 780

50-54 129 180 290 410 50-54 138 200 260 400 50-54 267 380 550 810

55-59 88 130 180 280 55-59 92 140 200 250 55-59 179 270 380 530

60-64 61 80 120 170 60-64 83 90 130 200 60-64 143 170 250 370

65-69 45 60 80 110 65-69 70 80 90 130 65-69 115 140 170 240

70-74 31 40 50 70 70-74 34 70 80 80 70-74 65 110 130 150

75-79 11 30 30 40 75-79 27 30 60 70 75-79 38 60 90 110

80-84 12 10 30 30 80-84 20 10 30 60 80-84 32 20 60 90

85+ 5 10 10 20 85+ 17 20 10 40 85+ 22 30 20 60


Median Age 30.7 33.1 36.0 39.4

Hoosier Road Elementary




2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 465 470 480 450 0-4 451 460 460 440 0-4 916 930 940 890 Births 850 760 720

5-9 602 470 480 460 5-9 558 460 470 450 5-9 1,160 930 950 910 Deaths 290 350 440

10-14 614 600 480 490 10-14 686 560 470 470 10-14 1,299 1,160 950 960 Natural Increase 560 410 280

15-19 532 500 430 300 15-19 437 580 390 290 15-19 969 1,080 820 590 Net Migration 110 -100 -110

20-24 171 310 200 210 20-24 195 220 270 170 20-24 366 530 470 380 Change 670 310 170

25-29 260 300 410 310 25-29 360 330 320 380 25-29 620 630 730 690

30-34 364 350 400 520 30-34 393 450 430 430 30-34 757 800 830 950

35-39 452 440 430 510 35-39 558 470 540 540 35-39 1,010 910 970 1,050

40-44 620 480 460 430 40-44 678 590 490 540 40-44 1,298 1,070 950 970

45-49 690 610 470 450 45-49 719 670 590 490 45-49 1,409 1,280 1,060 940

50-54 504 680 600 470 50-54 524 710 670 580 50-54 1,028 1,390 1,270 1,050

55-59 376 490 660 580 55-59 396 520 700 660 55-59 772 1,010 1,360 1,240

60-64 272 360 470 610 60-64 309 390 500 660 60-64 581 750 970 1,270

65-69 168 250 340 420 65-69 183 300 370 460 65-69 351 550 710 880

70-74 128 150 230 280 70-74 115 170 280 330 70-74 244 320 510 610

75-79 62 110 130 180 75-79 98 110 160 250 75-79 159 220 290 430

80-84 45 60 110 120 80-84 71 10 110 160 80-84 115 70 220 280

85+ 37 40 50 80 85+ 77 90 10 130 85+ 114 130 60 210


Median Age 37.5 39.5 41.9 43.8

Lantern Road Elementary



18 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 420 480 430 400 0-4 405 460 420 390 0-4 825 940 850 790 Births 840 770 720

5-9 449 500 520 490 5-9 448 490 500 470 5-9 897 990 1,020 960 Deaths 280 360 430

10-14 525 460 510 530 10-14 468 430 470 490 10-14 993 890 980 1,020 Natural Increase 560 410 290

15-19 472 470 420 470 15-19 432 410 390 440 15-19 904 880 810 910 Net Migration 270 210 190

20-24 227 200 260 230 20-24 257 160 200 200 20-24 484 360 460 430 Change 830 620 480

25-29 489 470 390 430 25-29 505 500 350 370 25-29 994 970 740 800

30-34 499 540 510 420 30-34 457 560 540 390 30-34 956 1,100 1,050 810

35-39 448 520 580 520 35-39 461 480 600 560 35-39 909 1,000 1,180 1,080

40-44 473 440 520 570 40-44 477 460 480 600 40-44 950 900 1,000 1,170

45-49 518 470 440 510 45-49 625 470 460 480 45-49 1,144 940 900 990

50-54 480 510 460 430 50-54 511 620 470 450 50-54 990 1,130 930 880

55-59 342 470 490 450 55-59 400 500 610 460 55-59 741 970 1,100 910

60-64 264 330 450 470 60-64 325 390 490 590 60-64 590 720 940 1,060

65-69 153 250 310 420 65-69 194 310 370 470 65-69 347 560 680 890

70-74 104 140 220 280 70-74 135 180 300 360 70-74 239 320 520 640

75-79 84 90 120 190 75-79 107 130 170 280 75-79 192 220 290 470

80-84 67 80 90 110 80-84 84 10 130 170 80-84 151 90 220 280

85+ 28 50 60 70 85+ 54 80 10 140 85+ 82 130 70 210


Median Age 35.8 37.1 39.1 41.5

New Britton Elementary




2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 337 330 280 260 0-4 295 320 270 250 0-4 632 650 550 510 Births 510 440 420

5-9 236 400 330 300 5-9 248 360 320 290 5-9 484 760 650 590 Deaths 60 70 100


15-19 138 150 190 370 15-19 143 160 210 330 15-19 281 310 400 700 Net Migration 340 270 230

20-24 117 100 110 160 20-24 140 110 120 170 20-24 257 210 230 330 Change 790 640 550

25-29 311 180 180 180 25-29 380 210 190 190 25-29 690 390 370 370

30-34 304 330 220 220 30-34 347 400 250 220 30-34 651 730 470 440

35-39 261 320 360 230 35-39 260 360 440 260 35-39 521 680 800 490

40-44 194 260 310 360 40-44 190 260 360 430 40-44 384 520 670 790

45-49 133 190 250 310 45-49 135 190 260 360 45-49 268 380 510 670

50-54 86 130 190 250 50-54 93 130 190 260 50-54 179 260 380 510

55-59 65 80 130 180 55-59 83 90 130 180 55-59 148 170 260 360

60-64 52 60 80 120 60-64 69 80 90 130 60-64 120 140 170 250

65-69 30 50 60 70 65-69 44 70 80 90 65-69 74 120 140 160

70-74 17 30 40 50 70-74 19 40 60 70 70-74 36 70 100 120

75-79 10 10 20 40 75-79 13 20 40 60 75-79 22 30 60 100

80-84 4 10 10 20 80-84 8 10 20 40 80-84 12 20 30 60

85+ 3 0 10 10 85+ 4 10 10 20 85+ 7 10 20 30


Median Age 28.9 31.1 33.5 34.7

Sand Creek Elementary



19 Revised: 10/04/2016



2015

2015 to

2020

2020 to

2025

0-4 293 350 290 280 0-4 297 340 280 270 0-4 590 690 570 550 Births 460 460 450

5-9 249 380 480 470 5-9 220 380 470 460 5-9 469 760 950 930 Deaths 90 120 150


15-19 129 130 200 300 15-19 141 130 170 310 15-19 270 260 370 610 Net Migration 590 530 520

20-24 86 70 70 90 20-24 88 80 80 60 20-24 174 150 150 150 Change 960 870 820

25-29 157 200 170 180 25-29 209 210 190 180 25-29 366 410 360 360

30-34 221 270 310 280 30-34 277 330 310 290 30-34 498 600 620 570

35-39 237 250 320 360 35-39 270 310 380 360 35-39 507 560 700 720

40-44 177 230 250 320 40-44 192 270 310 380 40-44 369 500 560 700

45-49 147 170 230 240 45-49 171 190 270 300 45-49 318 360 500 540

50-54 115 140 170 230 50-54 118 170 190 270 50-54 233 310 360 500

55-59 107 110 140 170 55-59 134 120 170 190 55-59 241 230 310 360

60-64 106 70 110 130 60-64 125 100 110 160 60-64 231 170 220 290

65-69 94 70 40 70 65-69 116 90 70 80 65-69 210 160 110 150

70-74 51 90 40 10 70-74 79 110 60 40 70-74 130 200 100 50

75-79 35 40 70 30 75-79 31 70 100 60 75-79 66 110 170 90

80-84 17 30 40 70 80-84 13 30 70 100 80-84 30 60 110 170

85+ 2 10 20 30 85+ 8 10 20 60 85+ 9 20 40 90


Median Age 33.0 32.3 32.6 33.0

Thorpe Creek Elementary



20 Revised: 10/04/2016


Appendix C: Population Pyramids

Hamilton Southeastern Schools Total Population – 2010 Census

5,000 2,500 0 2,500 5,000

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

21 Revised: 10/04/2016


Brooks School Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

22 Revised: 10/04/2016


Cumberland Road Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

23 Revised: 10/04/2016


Durbin Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

24 Revised: 10/04/2016


Fall Creek Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

25 Revised: 10/04/2016


Fishers Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

600 300 0 300 600

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

26 Revised: 10/04/2016


Geist Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

27 Revised: 10/04/2016


Harrison Parkway Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

28 Revised: 10/04/2016


Hoosier Road Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

29 Revised: 10/04/2016


Lantern Road Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

800 400 0 400 800

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

30 Revised: 10/04/2016


New Britton Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

800 400 0 400 800

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

31 Revised: 10/04/2016


Sand Creek Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

32 Revised: 10/04/2016


Thorpe Creek Elementary Total Population – 2010 Census

500 250 0 250 500

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Males Females

33 Revised: 10/04/2016


Appendix D: Enrollment Forecasts

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 1320 1293 1502 1510 1450 1459 1470 1462 1461 1460 1472 1455 1436 1418 1402 1380 1393

1 1680 1595 1556 1578 1599 1572 1556 1571 1568 1568 1568 1554 1536 1516 1498 1480 1457

2 1536 1675 1606 1609 1611 1611 1622 1587 1603 1600 1593 1593 1579 1560 1539 1521 1503

3 1576 1532 1677 1642 1646 1642 1619 1647 1613 1629 1617 1611 1611 1597 1577 1556 1538

4 1521 1597 1544 1657 1664 1659 1672 1649 1675 1642 1657 1644 1639 1641 1626 1604 1582

Total: K-4 7633 7692 7885 7996 7970 7943 7939 7916 7920 7899 7907 7857 7801 7732 7642 7541 7473

5 1570 1553 1620 1577 1728 1676 1666 1678 1657 1682 1649 1663 1652 1646 1648 1633 1610

6 1445 1592 1567 1656 1634 1716 1704 1668 1679 1659 1682 1650 1664 1654 1648 1650 1635

Total: 5-6 3015 3145 3187 3233 3362 3392 3370 3346 3336 3341 3331 3313 3316 3300 3296 3283 3245

7 1485 1483 1632 1580 1670 1659 1743 1700 1664 1675 1665 1688 1656 1671 1661 1654 1656

8 1424 1511 1494 1647 1611 1676 1664 1735 1691 1655 1667 1657 1679 1648 1663 1653 1646

Total: 7-8 2909 2994 3126 3227 3281 3335 3407 3435 3355 3330 3332 3345 3335 3319 3324 3307 3302

9 1325 1387 1486 1467 1665 1599 1682 1692 1765 1721 1688 1700 1690 1713 1681 1696 1686

10 1365 1331 1391 1475 1456 1643 1600 1674 1683 1756 1712 1679 1691 1681 1704 1672 1687

11 1158 1346 1327 1376 1477 1448 1642 1588 1662 1670 1743 1699 1666 1678 1668 1691 1658

12 1060 1130 1359 1331 1362 1470 1472 1634 1580 1654 1662 1734 1690 1657 1669 1660 1682

Total: 9-12 4908 5194 5563 5649 5960 6160 6396 6588 6690 6801 6805 6812 6737 6729 6722 6719 6713

Total: K-12 18465 19025 19761 20105 20573 20830 21112 21285 21301 21371 21375 21327 21189 21080 20984 20850 20733

Total: K-12 18465 19025 19761 20105 20573 20830 21112 21285 21301 21371 21375 21327 21189 21080 20984 20850 20733

Change 560 736 344 468 257 282 173 16 70 4 -48 -138 -109 -96 -134 -117

%-Change 3.0% 3.9% 1.7% 2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% -0.2% -0.6% -0.5% -0.5% -0.6% -0.6%

Total: K-4 7633 7692 7885 7996 7970 7943 7939 7916 7920 7899 7907 7857 7801 7732 7642 7541 7473

Change 59 193 111 -26 -27 -4 -23 4 -21 8 -50 -56 -69 -90 -101 -68

%-Change 0.8% 2.5% 1.4% -0.3% -0.3% -0.1% -0.3% 0.1% -0.3% 0.1% -0.6% -0.7% -0.9% -1.2% -1.3% -0.9%

Total: 5-6 3015 3145 3187 3233 3362 3392 3370 3346 3336 3341 3331 3313 3316 3300 3296 3283 3245

Change 130 42 46 129 30 -22 -24 -10 5 -10 -18 3 -16 -4 -13 -38

%-Change 4.3% 1.3% 1.4% 4.0% 0.9% -0.6% -0.7% -0.3% 0.1% -0.3% -0.5% 0.1% -0.5% -0.1% -0.4% -1.2%

Total: 7-8 2909 2994 3126 3227 3281 3335 3407 3435 3355 3330 3332 3345 3335 3319 3324 3307 3302

Change 85 132 101 54 54 72 28 -80 -25 2 13 -10 -16 5 -17 -5

%-Change 2.9% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 0.8% -2.3% -0.7% 0.1% 0.4% -0.3% -0.5% 0.2% -0.5% -0.2%

Total: 9-12 4908 5194 5563 5649 5960 6160 6396 6588 6690 6801 6805 6812 6737 6729 6722 6719 6713

Change 286 369 86 311 200 236 192 102 111 4 7 -75 -8 -7 -3 -6

%-Change 5.8% 7.1% 1.5% 5.5% 3.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% -1.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% -0.1%

Forecasts Developed October 2016

Green Cells (2016-17 and earlier) are historical data

Blue Cells (2017-18 and later) are forcasted years

Hamilton Southeastern Schools: Total District Enrollment

34 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 121 100 133 102 87 113 114 113 112 111 111 110 108 107 106 104 105

1 132 139 117 132 108 118 121 124 123 122 121 119 118 116 115 114 112

2 128 134 131 114 129 124 128 126 129 128 126 125 123 122 119 118 117

3 142 125 131 142 116 160 131 134 132 135 133 131 130 128 127 124 123

4 139 137 128 126 142 141 162 134 137 135 136 134 132 131 129 128 125

Total: K-4 662 635 640 616 582 656 656 631 633 631 627 619 611 604 596 588 582

Total: K-4 662 635 640 616 582 656 656 631 633 631 627 619 611 604 596 588 582

Change -27 5 -24 -34 74 0 -25 2 -2 -4 -8 -8 -7 -8 -8 -6

% Change -4.1% 0.8% -3.8% -5.5% 12.7% 0.0% -3.8% 0.3% -0.3% -0.6% -1.3% -1.3% -1.1% -1.3% -1.3% -1.0%

Cumberland Road Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 76 84 90 68 96 83 76 80 81 81 84 85 87 88 89 89 90

1 99 82 84 83 72 82 80 81 82 83 84 86 87 89 90 91 91

2 79 92 77 88 81 61 81 81 82 83 85 86 88 89 91 92 93

3 82 74 87 78 90 76 65 83 83 84 85 88 89 91 92 94 95

4 63 89 69 73 83 77 77 67 85 85 87 88 92 93 95 96 98

Total: K-4 399 421 407 390 422 379 379 392 413 416 425 433 443 450 457 462 467

Total: K-4 399 421 407 390 422 379 379 392 413 416 425 433 443 450 457 462 467

Change 22 -14 -17 32 -43 0 13 21 3 9 8 10 7 7 5 5

% Change 5.5% -3.3% -4.2% 8.2% -10.2% 0.0% 3.4% 5.4% 0.7% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1%

Durbin Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 131 109 132 135 133 142 122 129 131 134 134 132 132 130 129 127 128

1 161 156 147 137 141 141 154 133 136 138 141 140 138 137 135 134 132

2 151 168 156 147 144 125 152 157 136 139 139 142 141 139 138 136 135

3 163 149 170 148 148 165 121 155 160 139 140 140 143 142 140 139 137

4 154 157 147 165 151 144 169 120 153 158 136 137 137 140 139 137 136

Total: K-4 760 739 752 732 717 717 718 694 716 708 690 691 691 688 681 673 668

Total: K-4 760 739 752 732 717 717 718 694 716 708 690 691 691 688 681 673 668

Change -21 13 -20 -15 0 1 -24 22 -8 -18 1 0 -3 -7 -8 -5

% Change -2.8% 1.8% -2.7% -2.0% 0.0% 0.1% -3.3% 3.2% -1.1% -2.5% 0.1% 0.0% -0.4% -1.0% -1.2% -0.7%

Brooks School Elementary




35 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 133 143 143 125 122 102 132 126 122 120 120 118 115 113 111 109 111

1 167 141 157 167 130 117 116 139 134 130 128 126 124 121 119 117 115

2 153 172 146 161 182 147 127 122 146 141 138 136 134 131 128 126 124

3 150 145 169 146 160 158 143 123 118 142 138 135 133 131 128 125 123

4 145 153 151 182 153 170 167 149 128 123 149 145 142 140 138 134 131

Total: K-4 748 754 766 781 747 694 685 659 648 656 673 660 648 636 624 611 604

Total: K-4 748 754 766 781 747 694 685 659 648 656 673 660 648 636 624 611 604

Change 6 12 15 -34 -53 -9 -26 -11 8 17 -13 -12 -12 -12 -13 -7

% Change 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% -4.4% -7.1% -1.3% -3.8% -1.7% 1.2% 2.6% -1.9% -1.8% -1.9% -1.9% -2.1% -1.1%

Fall Creek Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 71 76 77 102 77 74 87 83 82 82 84 83 82 81 81 80 81

1 105 93 95 91 116 100 92 99 98 97 96 96 95 94 93 93 92

2 113 108 89 93 93 106 100 90 97 96 96 95 95 94 93 92 92

3 102 110 107 89 96 101 103 98 88 95 94 94 93 93 92 91 90

4 87 106 113 96 89 90 105 100 95 85 93 92 92 91 91 90 89

Total: K-4 478 493 481 471 471 471 487 470 460 455 463 460 457 453 450 446 444

Total: K-4 478 493 481 471 471 471 487 470 460 455 463 460 457 453 450 446 444

Change 15 -12 -10 0 0 16 -17 -10 -5 8 -3 -3 -4 -3 -4 -2

% Change 3.1% -2.4% -2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% -3.5% -2.1% -1.1% 1.8% -0.6% -0.7% -0.9% -0.7% -0.9% -0.4%

Fishers Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 112 98 132 137 142 131 140 131 132 133 136 135 133 130 128 126 127

1 148 146 146 158 158 141 155 151 152 154 155 155 153 151 148 146 143

2 135 140 159 166 166 141 163 163 159 160 160 161 161 159 157 154 152

3 151 132 151 178 181 156 158 170 170 165 165 165 166 166 164 162 159

4 163 162 142 158 187 169 164 166 179 179 172 172 172 173 173 171 168

Total: K-4 709 678 730 797 834 738 780 781 792 791 788 788 785 779 770 759 749

Total: K-4 709 678 730 797 834 738 780 781 792 791 788 788 785 779 770 759 749

Change -31 52 67 37 -96 42 1 11 -1 -3 0 -3 -6 -9 -11 -10

% Change -4.4% 7.7% 9.2% 4.6% -11.5% 5.7% 0.1% 1.4% -0.1% -0.4% 0.0% -0.4% -0.8% -1.2% -1.4% -1.3%

Geist Elementary




36 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 100 106 102 109 96 111 118 112 111 110 110 109 107 106 105 103 104

1 137 109 123 115 107 138 112 121 120 119 118 116 115 113 112 110 108

2 122 134 119 118 130 124 126 114 123 122 120 119 117 116 114 113 111

3 122 116 141 127 120 150 119 130 117 127 124 122 121 119 118 116 115

4 142 120 112 131 121 137 140 120 131 118 128 125 123 122 120 119 117

Total: K-4 623 585 597 600 574 660 615 597 602 596 600 591 583 576 569 561 555

Total: K-4 623 585 597 600 574 660 615 597 602 596 600 591 583 576 569 561 555

Change -38 12 3 -26 86 -45 -18 5 -6 4 -9 -8 -7 -7 -8 -6

% Change -6.1% 2.1% 0.5% -4.3% 15.0% -6.8% -2.9% 0.8% -1.0% 0.7% -1.5% -1.4% -1.2% -1.2% -1.4% -1.1%

Harrison Parkway Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 131 134 149 150 168 133 130 125 124 123 124 123 121 120 118 115 116

1 157 170 159 154 149 154 134 135 133 132 131 129 128 126 125 123 120

2 146 159 162 158 145 166 160 137 138 136 133 132 130 129 127 126 124

3 155 143 161 157 156 141 154 158 136 137 133 130 129 127 126 124 123

4 133 149 144 159 156 158 146 156 160 137 138 134 131 130 128 127 125

Total: K-4 722 755 775 778 774 752 724 711 691 665 659 648 639 632 624 615 608

Total: K-4 722 755 775 778 774 752 724 711 691 665 659 648 639 632 624 615 608

Change 33 20 3 -4 -22 -28 -13 -20 -26 -6 -11 -9 -7 -8 -9 -7

% Change 4.6% 2.6% 0.4% -0.5% -2.8% -3.7% -1.8% -2.8% -3.8% -0.9% -1.7% -1.4% -1.1% -1.3% -1.4% -1.1%

Hoosier Road Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 86 85 111 106 94 169 152 153 152 151 151 148 146 144 142 140 141

1 131 124 106 98 105 141 173 159 158 157 156 154 151 149 147 145 143

2 130 124 120 102 98 161 138 171 157 156 154 153 151 148 146 144 142

3 150 135 123 117 106 139 154 141 174 160 158 156 155 153 149 147 145

4 125 148 127 116 117 141 145 159 145 179 163 161 159 158 156 152 150

Total: K-4 622 616 587 539 520 751 762 783 786 803 782 772 762 752 740 728 721

Total: K-4 622 616 587 539 520 751 762 783 786 803 782 772 762 752 740 728 721

Change -6 -29 -48 -19 231 11 21 3 17 -21 -10 -10 -10 -12 -12 -7

% Change -1.0% -4.7% -8.2% -3.5% 44.4% 1.5% 2.8% 0.4% 2.2% -2.6% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.6% -1.6% -1.0%

Lantern Road Elementary




37 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 109 119 122 104 110 126 138 136 138 139 140 137 135 133 131 130 131

1 158 130 122 126 126 152 130 144 145 147 148 146 143 141 139 136 135

2 116 153 133 130 127 147 151 133 147 148 148 149 147 144 142 140 137

3 134 122 140 120 132 147 155 154 136 150 149 149 150 148 145 143 141

4 122 135 122 143 125 152 141 157 156 137 152 150 150 152 149 146 144

Total: K-4 639 659 639 623 620 724 715 724 722 721 737 731 725 718 706 695 688

Total: K-4 639 659 639 623 620 724 715 724 722 721 737 731 725 718 706 695 688

Change 20 -20 -16 -3 104 -9 9 -2 -1 16 -6 -6 -7 -12 -11 -7

% Change 3.1% -3.0% -2.5% -0.5% 16.8% -1.2% 1.3% -0.3% -0.1% 2.2% -0.8% -0.8% -1.0% -1.7% -1.6% -1.0%

New Britton Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 146 120 139 170 160 131 108 112 111 110 109 108 106 105 103 101 102

1 143 163 154 152 177 146 123 116 115 114 113 111 110 108 107 105 103

2 134 142 173 164 146 157 141 122 115 114 112 111 109 108 106 105 103

3 131 143 142 178 166 127 150 140 121 114 112 110 109 107 106 104 103

4 126 131 147 150 175 129 120 147 137 119 111 109 107 106 104 103 101

Total: K-4 680 699 755 814 824 690 642 637 599 571 557 549 541 534 526 518 512

Total: K-4 680 699 755 814 824 690 642 637 599 571 557 549 541 534 526 518 512

Change 19 56 59 10 -134 -48 -5 -38 -28 -14 -8 -8 -7 -8 -8 -6

% Change 2.8% 8.0% 7.8% 1.2% -16.3% -7.0% -0.8% -6.0% -4.7% -2.5% -1.4% -1.5% -1.3% -1.5% -1.5% -1.2%

Sand Creek Elementary




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

K 104 119 172 202 165 144 153 162 165 166 169 167 164 161 159 156 157

1 142 142 146 165 210 142 166 169 172 175 177 176 174 171 168 166 163

2 129 149 141 168 170 152 155 171 174 177 182 184 183 181 178 175 173

3 94 138 155 162 175 122 166 161 178 181 186 191 193 192 190 187 184

4 122 110 142 158 165 151 136 174 169 187 192 197 202 205 204 201 198

Total: K-4 591 658 756 855 885 711 776 837 858 886 906 915 916 910 899 885 875

Total: K-4 591 658 756 855 885 711 776 837 858 886 906 915 916 910 899 885 875

Change 67 98 99 30 -174 65 61 21 28 20 9 1 -6 -11 -14 -10

% Change 11.3% 14.9% 13.1% 3.5% -19.7% 9.1% 7.9% 2.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% -0.7% -1.2% -1.6% -1.1%

Thorpe Creek Elementary




38 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

5 531 507 553 531 618 494 467 494 485 492 446 448 439 431 427 420 416

6 483 540 513 540 525 523 503 465 492 483 487 442 444 435 427 423 416

Total 5-6 1014 1047 1066 1071 1143 1017 970 959 977 975 933 890 883 866 854 843 832

Total 5-6 1014 1047 1066 1071 1143 1017 970 959 977 975 933 890 883 866 854 843 832

Change 33 19 5 72 -126 -47 -11 18 -2 -42 -43 -7 -17 -12 -11 -11

% Change 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 6.7% -11.0% -4.6% -1.1% 1.9% -0.2% -4.3% -4.6% -0.8% -1.9% -1.4% -1.3% -1.3%

Sand Creek Intermediate




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

5 507 575 574 566 608 396 418 441 369 397 394 398 396 396 398 397 392

6 492 537 581 608 618 426 403 414 437 365 395 392 396 394 394 396 395

Total 5-6 999 1112 1155 1174 1226 822 821 855 806 762 789 790 792 790 792 793 787

Total 5-6 999 1112 1155 1174 1226 822 821 855 806 762 789 790 792 790 792 793 787

Change 113 43 19 52 -404 -1 34 -49 -44 27 1 2 -2 2 1 -6

% Change 11.3% 3.9% 1.6% 4.4% -33.0% -0.1% 4.1% -5.7% -5.5% 3.5% 0.1% 0.3% -0.3% 0.3% 0.1% -0.8%

Fall Creek Intermediate




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

5 532 471 493 480 502 484 460 446 466 448 445 455 450 447 447 441 432

6 470 515 473 508 491 509 486 465 450 471 450 447 457 452 449 449 443

Total 5-6 1002 986 966 988 993 993 946 911 916 919 895 902 907 899 896 890 875

Total 5-6 1002 986 966 988 993 993 946 911 916 919 895 902 907 899 896 890 875

Change -16 -20 22 5 0 -47 -35 5 3 -24 7 5 -8 -3 -6 -15

% Change -1.6% -2.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% -4.7% -3.7% 0.5% 0.3% -2.6% 0.8% 0.6% -0.9% -0.3% -0.7% -1.7%

Riverside Intermediate




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

5 0 0 0 0 0 302 321 297 337 345 364 362 367 372 376 375 370

6 0 0 0 0 0 258 312 324 300 340 350 369 367 373 378 382 381

Total 5-6 0 0 0 0 0 560 633 621 637 685 714 731 734 745 754 757 751

Total 5-6 0 0 0 0 0 560 633 621 637 685 714 731 734 745 754 757 751

Change 0 0 0 0 560 73 -12 16 48 29 17 3 11 9 3 -6

% Change 13.0% -1.9% 2.6% 7.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% -0.8%

Hamilton Southeastern Intermediate




39 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

7 472 505 541 512 555 463 522 498 460 487 481 485 440 442 433 425 421

8 445 480 500 542 518 502 459 514 491 453 482 476 480 436 438 429 421

Total: 7-8 917 985 1041 1054 1073 965 981 1012 951 940 963 961 920 878 871 854 842

Total: 7-8 917 985 1041 1054 1073 965 981 1012 951 940 963 961 920 878 871 854 842

Change 68 56 13 19 -108 16 31 -61 -11 23 -2 -41 -42 -7 -17 -12

% Change 7.4% 5.7% 1.2% 1.8% -10.1% 1.7% 3.2% -6.0% -1.2% 2.4% -0.2% -4.3% -4.6% -0.8% -2.0% -1.4%

Fishers Junior High




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

7 488 505 569 588 625 269 288 315 327 303 345 355 375 373 379 384 388

8 452 503 502 599 612 297 277 287 313 325 300 342 351 371 369 375 380

Total: 7-8 940 1008 1071 1187 1237 566 565 602 640 628 645 697 726 744 748 759 768

Total: 7-8 940 1008 1071 1187 1237 566 565 602 640 628 645 697 726 744 748 759 768

Change 68 63 116 50 -671 -1 37 38 -12 17 52 29 18 4 11 9

% Change 7.2% 6.3% 10.8% 4.2% -54.2% -0.2% 6.5% 6.3% -1.9% 2.7% 8.1% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.2%

Hamilton Southeastern Junior High




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

7 525 473 522 480 490 509 508 488 467 452 476 455 451 462 457 453 453

8 527 528 492 506 481 514 511 511 490 469 454 478 457 453 464 459 455

Total: 7-8 1052 1001 1014 986 971 1023 1019 999 957 921 930 933 908 915 921 912 908

Total: 7-8 1052 1001 1014 986 971 1023 1019 999 957 921 930 933 908 915 921 912 908

Change -51 13 -28 -15 52 -4 -20 -42 -36 9 3 -25 7 6 -9 -4

% Change -4.8% 1.3% -2.8% -1.5% 5.4% -0.4% -2.0% -4.2% -3.8% 1.0% 0.3% -2.7% 0.8% 0.7% -1.0% -0.4%

Riverside Junior High




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

7 0 0 0 0 0 418 425 399 410 433 363 393 390 394 392 392 394

8 0 0 0 0 0 363 417 423 397 408 431 361 391 388 392 390 390

Total: 7-8 0 0 0 0 0 781 842 822 807 841 794 754 781 782 784 782 784

Total: 7-8 0 0 0 0 0 781 842 822 807 841 794 754 781 782 784 782 784

Change 0 0 0 0 781 61 -20 -15 34 -47 -40 27 1 2 -2 2

% Change 7.8% -2.4% -1.8% 4.2% -5.6% -5.0% 3.6% 0.1% 0.3% -0.3% 0.3%

Fall Creek Junior High




40 Revised: 10/04/2016


2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

9 730 774 726 715 804 780 838 911 928 920 939 931 912 944 959 966 968

10 746 747 772 732 723 796 779 834 906 923 915 934 926 907 939 954 961

11 662 725 751 760 730 713 793 771 826 897 914 906 925 917 898 930 944

12 561 654 750 762 758 729 735 789 767 822 893 909 901 920 912 894 925

Total: 9-12 2699 2900 2999 2969 3015 3018 3145 3305 3427 3562 3661 3680 3664 3688 3708 3744 3798

Total: 9-12 2699 2900 2999 2969 3015 3018 3145 3305 3427 3562 3661 3680 3664 3688 3708 3744 3798

Change 201 99 -30 46 3 127 160 122 135 99 19 -16 24 20 36 54

% Change 7.4% 3.4% -1.0% 1.5% 0.1% 4.2% 5.1% 3.7% 3.9% 2.8% 0.5% -0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4%

Hamilton Southeastern High




2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27

9 595 613 760 752 861 819 844 781 837 801 749 769 778 769 722 730 718

10 619 584 619 743 733 847 821 840 777 833 797 745 765 774 765 718 726

11 496 621 576 616 747 735 849 817 836 773 829 793 741 761 770 761 714

12 499 476 609 569 604 741 737 845 813 832 769 825 789 737 757 766 757

Total: 9-12 2209 2294 2564 2680 2945 3142 3251 3283 3263 3239 3144 3132 3073 3041 3014 2975 2915

Total: 9-12 2209 2294 2564 2680 2945 3142 3251 3283 3263 3239 3144 3132 3073 3041 3014 2975 2915

Change 85 270 116 265 197 109 32 -20 -24 -95 -12 -59 -32 -27 -39 -60

% Change 3.8% 11.8% 4.5% 9.9% 6.7% 3.5% 1.0% -0.6% -0.7% -2.9% -0.4% -1.9% -1.0% -0.9% -1.3% -2.0%

Fishers High




41 Revised: 10/04/2016

hamilton southeastern schools, in demographic study ... · 10/4/2016 · 8. even if the district...

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