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Hampshire County Council Childcare Sufficiency Quarter 4 period and Annual Update for 2016/17 Area: New Forest Period: 1 April 2016 – 31 March 2017 Report by: Sarah Davey - sarah.davey@hants.gov.uk Childcare Development and Business Officer Services for Young Children (SfYC) 1. Area demographic profile

This information is provided by the Services for Young Children New Forest Local Development Team (LDT) and indicates any known changes in the demographic profile in the area. Some of the data may not be statistical but what is known locally from networking with agencies and settings.

Number and ages of children (Source: Small Area Population Forecast) Data last updated 1/4/16 http://www.hants.gov.uk/planning/factsandfigures/population-statistics/small-area-pop-stats.htm

According to Hampshire’s Small Area Population Forecast there are a total of: 8,075 children aged 0-4 year in 2017 and an anticipated 8,020 in 2020. This indicates a decrease of 55 children within this age range over the next 3 years and a decrease of this population by (0.6%). See detail 2015-2022 in Table 1 page 5 18,599 5-14 years and 18,961 in 2020. This indicates an increase of 362 within this age range over the next 3 years and an increase of 1.9% This in turn will have an impact on childcare and school places in the district which is outlined in the School Places Framework 2017 – 2021 http://documents.hants.gov.uk/childrens-services/HampshireSchoolPlacePlan2017-2021.pdf

Lone parents – worklessness data Source: Labour Market Bulletin http://www.hants.gov.uk/factsandfigures/figures-economics/hants_labour_market/archive.htm

According to the monthly Hampshire Labour Market Bulletin the percentage of benefit claimants in New Forest district during this reporting period are as follows: Over the year there has been a decrease of 50 claimants April 0.7% May 0.7% June 0.6% July 0.6% Aug 0.6% Sept 0.6% October 0.6% November 0.6% December 0.6%

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January 0.6% February 0.7% March 0.7% New Forest district’s level of Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) claimants have remained reasonably static during this reporting period but there was a very small decreased between June and January by (0.1%). Changes in the district often are influenced by the seasonal employment opportunities.

Total no. of lone parents in New Forest district claiming worklessness benefits: 640 this equates to 0 .6% of the working population in the district and shows a decrease of 50 claimants over the last year. Source: The Hampshire Labour Market Bulletin http://www.hants.gov.uk/factsandfigures/figures-economics/hants_labour_market.htm

Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) 2 year olds Source: HCC Spring 2017 Early Years Tool Headcount

DWP data set for autumn 2016 indicated that there were 385 children eligible for the two year old Early Years Education Funding. From the EYE take up data available for the spring funding period there have been 302 claims within this reporting period therefore 78% conversion of places. The majority of these eligible children are continuing to be from all ward areas of the district with the highest numbers in the Fawley, Fernhill Blackfield and Langley, Hythe, Holbury and North Blackfield, Milton, Pennington and Totton wards.

Employment profiles and income: Source: https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/1946157307/report.aspx?town=new forest)

Population 16-74 (2015) = 179,000 Number aged 16-64 in work 100,800 Percentage working = 83.5% New Forest Employment breakdown

Employed (full-time) 86,800 80%

Employees 67,100 63.8%

Self Employed 19,100 17.1%

Economically inactive 16,500 16.5%

Looking after home / family

6,200 37.3%

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Average gross weekly earning All workers £555.80 in 2016 (Source; NOMIS Official Labour Market Statistics https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/1946157307/report.aspx?town=new forest) Hampshire Labour Market Bulletin indicates 705 claiming unemployment benefits in the New Forest in March 2017. Job Creation and Planned Developments The job creation that may impact on the New Forest that has been included in the Hampshire market bulletin updates is as follows: March 2017 Blade Dynamics is looking to create up to 150 jobs at a new wind turbine plant due to be built in Southampton. [06-Apr-2017] Southampton City Council has unveiled proposals with Solent Local Enterprise Partnership to invest £6m in a new modular homes factory in Swaythling, which could create up to 400 jobs. [27-Mar-2017] February 2017 Stewarts Signs is planning to double the size of its Hampshire-based signage business by 2022 and create 50 new jobs, having undergone a management buy-out. [13-Feb-2017] Travelodge is planning to open seven new hotels in Hampshire, with the creation of more than 200 jobs. [08-Feb-2017] TGI Friday's is to create up to 90 jobs at a new restaurant due to open at Westquay in Southampton by March. [24-Jan-2017] British American Tobacco is to create more than 50 new jobs at its research and development division in Southampton. [23-Jan-2017]

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Bluebird Care is looking to create 100 home care jobs in Hampshire this year. [18-Jan-2017] The following have been included in previous Hampshire market bulletin updates: Away Resorts has acquired Sandy Balls Holiday Village, the Hampshire-based leisure resort, with backing from LDC. [11-Jan-2017] Yacht Projects International is planning to expand its superyacht communications business, having relocated to the Solent Refit site in Hythe. [17-Oct-2016] Solent Gateway is to create 50 new jobs in Hampshire, having won a contract to manage Marchwood Military Port. [19-Sep-2016] Meercat Workboats is to relocate its Hampshire-based shipbuilding business and 20 staff from Trafalgar Wharf to a 1,600 sq m site at Hythe Marine Park this September. [07-Jul-2016] Potential job losses Carnival UK is to set up a new cruise ship management business in Germany, casting doubt on the future of about 50 of the 1,000 jobs at its office in Southampton. [27-Jun-2016]

Housing Development

Source: Taken from New Forest

District Council Local Development

Framework Sites and Development

Management Development Plan

document 2012 (outside the National

Park)

http://www.newforest.gov.uk/media/adobe/e/l/Pre-_Sub_Section_1and_2.pdf

Developments both residential and commercial are taking place in the district and developments are largely included in the following Core Strategy documents 2006-2026 New Forest District Council Local Development Framework Sites and Development Management Development Plan document 2012 (outside the National Park) Consultation was held running between 15/7/16- 16/9/16 on Initial Proposals on the Local Plan Review 2016-2036 Part One: Planning Strategy http://www.newforest.gov.uk/localplan2016

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New Forest National Park Local Development Framework Core Strategy and Development Management Polices

http://www.newforestnpa.gov.uk/info/20040/planning_policy/23/core_strategy

The New Forest local plan review indicates significant additional residential development in the district with an estimated potential 6,890 homes on strategic sites http://www.newforest.gov.uk/CHttpHandler.ashx?id=32301&p=0

This includes approx. 2,000 homes in

Totton and the Waterside, 2,990 homes in

South Coastal Towns and 1,850 homes in

Avon Valley and Downlands

Table 1: SfYC Age Graphing from SAPF Source -Small Area Population Forecast (2016 version)

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Aged 0 1504 1499 1519 1514 1512 1516 1511 1502

Aged 1 1608 1516 1551 1564 1564 1567 1565 1557

Aged 2 1701 1626 1574 1593 1605 1612 1609 1604

Aged 3 1784 1702 1675 1617 1633 1648 1648 1643

Aged 4 1883 1830 1756 1715 1658 1677 1683 1680

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

New Forest area population trend forecast 2015-2022

Aged 0

Aged 1

Aged 2

Aged 3

Aged 4

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2. Childcare places analysis

2.1 Childcare mix known at 31/03/2017 This data is produced by the Services for Young Children Local Development Team (LDT) for Ofsted registered childcare from known changes in the childcare market that have occurred in the period 01/04/2016 - 31/03/2017.

Table 2: Childcare Places – source Ofsted local authority download Provider type

Quarter period

Total number of providers gained or settings that have extended places

Total number of registered places gained (if known)

Total number of providers lost

Total number of registered spaces lost (if known)

Net growth or loss of places since the last quarter (- / + )

Child-minders

Q1 2 10 1 8 +2

Q2 0 0 0 0 0

Q3 3 17 7 38 -21

Q4 4 24 5 30 -6

Total 9 51 13 71 -25

Home child carers

Q1 4 4 0 0 4

Q2 0 0 1 1 -1

Q3 2 2 2 2 0

Q4 0 0 1 1 -1

Total 6 6 4 5 2

EYE Non-domestic premises – full day care

Q1 0 0 0 0 0

Q2 1 32 1 16 16

Q3 0 0 0 0 0

Q4 1 40 1 40 0

Total 2 72 2 56 16

EYE Non-domestic premises – term-time care

Q1 0 0 0 0 0

Q2 0 0 1 20 -20

Q3 0 0 1 30 -30

Q4 2 74 2 74 0

Total 2 74 4 124 50

Holiday play-schemes Before and After school clubs

Q1 1 0 0 0 0

Q2 2 0 2 0 0

Q3 0 0 1 16 -16

Q4 0 0 0 0 0

Total 3 0 3 16 -16

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Comment: The New Forest childcare and early years education market has few changes to the numbers of providers delivering services. During this reporting period there have been some changes of management in settings that has resulted in some closures; but also new registrations with new management and ownership taking over. With some changes in ownership there has been an expected increase in places being offered to the market and no loss in places. Childminding places Overall at the end of this reporting period there is a small loss in numbers of childminding places with numbers of minders leaving the market higher than those joining, however we are aware that some of those who have resigned registration have not been delivering services recently. Childminders who are joining the workforce often want to deliver EYE services and offer funded services in a flexible way across the year. Many of those providers who are currently delivering EYE services are anticipating offering families additional hours if they are eligible for 30 hours. Home child carers Numbers of home child carers in the New Forest remain small, overall at the end of the reporting period in the New Forest district there were two additional home child carers Generally these providers offer services within the employing family home and have responsibility of a very small number of children; so we use a figure of one place for each of these providers where registered numbers are not specified. EYE non-domestic premises The report shows no change in the market during the first quarter period of this annual report, however at the end of the quarter 2 period there were both new entrants and some closures and this fits into the end of one academic year and the start of the new one. One provider who took on management of a closing pre-school having made a decision to offer services around the year as well as increasing the number and age of places available to the market. One full day care closure at the end of quarter 2 was from a provider leaving the market with no new provision taking on the premises. Other opens and closures throughout the reporting period reflect the changes in ownership and management which in some cases have allowed increased capacity with additional places available. Out of School services The data available doesn’t have detail on the numbers of new places created by the new registrations opened therefore it is difficult to assess if there is any changes in the market volume as the numbers of settings remains constant with equal numbers of opens and closes. There has been some interest from the out of school sector in delivering services that will support families accessing 30 hours from September 2017. 2.2 New childcare and early years provision known at 31/03/2017

This is data that is known to the Local Development Team of childcare developments that have completed registration in the quarter 4 period.

The data includes all types of Ofsted registered provision.

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Table 3: New Provision - source Ofsted local authority download

Ward Postcode Age range

Registered places

Type of setting* FDC/SC/OSC/CM/HC

Ashurst, Copythorne South

& Netley Marsh

SO40 7BT 0-7 6 CM

Hythe West & Langdown

SO45 6ET 2-5 48 SC

Marchwood SO40 4YL 0-7 6 CM

Marchwood SO40 4XQ 0-7 6 CM

Milton BH25 5AR 2-5 26 SC

Totton East SO40 9DW 0-7 6 CM

Totton West SO40 3ZX 0-5 40 FDC

Total 138

*Key

FDC – full day care SC – sessional or preschool provision OSC – out of school care CM – childminder HC – home child carer

Comment: Newly registered group provision in the ward areas of Hythe, Milton and Totton all replace registered provision that has closed and the new owners are quickly seeing places being taken up due to effective marketing within communities where there is some pressure on places. Newly registered childminders are anticipating to be offering Early Years Education (EYE) services to local families and all are engaged with supplying services that will meet the needs of working families eligible for 30 hours EYE funding.

2.3 Proposed childcare and early years provision known at 31/03/17:

This is data known to the Local Development Team of childcare provision that is proposed. It is likely that these providers will have made application to Ofsted during quarter 4 Table 4: Proposed Provision - source Ofsted local authority download

Ward Postcode Age range Registered places

Type of setting FDC/SC/OSC/CM/HC

Fawley, Blackfield & Langley

SO45 1BN 0-7 6 CM

Hordle SO41 0GX 0-7 6 CM

Comment: These two proposed childminders will help to complement the existing provision in these wards. During the year from April 2016 one pre-school closed in Fawley and this new provision will add to the growing childminding supply in the ward to help parent choice in this ward. Providers in Hordle tend to also attract business from the New Milton area where there is limited supply.

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2.4 Early years and childcare provision under threat of closure known at up to 31/03/17

This data is provided by the Local Development Team to indicate areas where childcare organisations are known to have difficulty in the childcare market. Table 5: Provision under threat of closure -source Ofsted local authority download

Ward Postcode Age range Registered places

Type of setting FDC/SC/OSC/CM/HC

Downlands and Forest

0-4 26 SC

Holbury & North Blackfield

SO45 2LF 0-5 30 FDC

Boldre and Sway SO41 6AE 2-5 24 SC

Comment: During the last year the New Forest Local Development Team (LDT) has been working closely with several pre-school providers offering business support, including guidance on marketing, and to settings who have been experiencing financial challenges due to low occupancy. There were closures of setting at the end of the academic year with one pre-school and one full day care setting becoming no longer viable. Neither of these settings has been replaced in the market. The LDT are beginning to see the setting in Fawley has left a gap in supply as this is one of the wards with a low level of EYE take up during the spring 17 funding period., although the LDT were aware at the time of closure all families were able to secure alternative provision, including service families. Other settings that have closed have all been replaced in the market with the exception of one pre-school provision in the ward of Totton North where the selection for suitable provision continues currently. The setting in Holbury and Blackfield North has now made a decision to close the provision and the LDT have been offering support to the setting and families with the closure and to secure alternative provision.

2.5 Early Years and Childcare Provision closed at 31/03/17

This data is provided by the Local Development Team of known closures of childcare organisations in the quarter 4 period. Table 6: Provision Closed -source Ofsted local authority download

Ward Postcode Age range

Registered places

Type of setting FDC/SC/OSC/CM/HC

Furzedown & Hardley SO45 5UF 0-10 6 CM

Hythe West & Langdown

SO45 6ET 2-5 48 SC

Marchwood SO40 4XA 0-7 6 CM

Milford SO41 0RP 0-12 6 CM

Milton BH25 5AR 2-5 26 SC

Ringwood South BH24 3DL 0-7 6 CM

Totton North SO40 2TH 0-7 6 CM

Totton West SO40 3ZX 0-5 40 FDC

Note: Where a number is not indicated the assumption is that the carer has not provided childcare for some time. Ofsted inspections are resulting in removal from the Early Years register of childminders who are currently not supporting children. Where a childminder has no child under 5 years

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of age they are moved to the Childcare register (5 – 8 years). (Indications are that many hold on to their early years registration due the higher cost of the childcare register only option). Comment: The information in table 6 contains closures of five childminders in the New Forest district who have resigned their registrations. We are aware that some of these were providing Early Years Education (EYE) services. We do not know why all of these providers have chosen to no longer provide services. The Local Development Team have been working with one provider who has been wanting to expand her business but has not been able to secure premises and has made a decision to move to another position within the childcare workforce instead. The three group provisions within this table have all undergone management or ownership change and have re-registered. EYE services have been able to continue without break of service and been provided at these settings over the whole of the spring funding period (quarter 4). 2.6 Childcare Workforce From the data available to the Local Development Team the current number of people working in the early years and childcare sector in the New Forest consists of a workforce of 707 people. The qualification profile of these people indicates 84.3% have a level 3 or above. There are 141 (20%) people in the workforce with a qualification between a level 4 and level 7. There are 68 (9.6%) people with a qualification less than level 2 or have no current childcare qualification. The local authority provides a menu of training for those in the childcare workforce in Hampshire through a subscription scheme and through the sold service portfolio of Professional Options. There are regular update information and support sessions offered to practitioners in the county districts. Childcare and Early Years training courses are accessed through local colleges and other training providers.

3. Early Years Education – Free Entitlement

Hampshire County Council keeps a register of all approved childcare and early years provision that delivers the Government’s free early years education entitlement. Free early years education places are available in independent school nursery classes, state or private nursery schools, day nurseries, playgroups or pre-schools and with approved child-minders. Free early years education is available from the funding period after a child’s third and fourth birthday. Some children, whose circumstances or family circumstances meet eligibility criteria, can also receive free early years education in the funding period after their second birthday.

3.1 Early Years Education for Two Year Olds

This is part of a national offer from the Department for Education (DfE) and has been developed to improve outcomes for identified two year olds who meet or their family’s income or circumstances meet, certain eligibility criteria. Further details can be found at https://www.hants.gov.uk/socialcareandhealth/childrenandfamilies/childcare/payingforchildcare/freechildcare/2yearoldoffer

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3.2 Number of settings able to provide early years education to 2, 3 and 4 Year olds in the Private, Voluntary and Independent sector at 31/03/2017:

This is based on the settings that are approved to deliver early years funding: Table 7: List of approved group and childminder early years education providers –source Hampshire County Council EYNFF census return January 2017

Ward Postcode Provider

type

max childr

en registered

No 2 year olds

No 3 year olds

No 4

year olds

Hours Open per

week

Weeks Open per year

EY Fundi

ng Week

s

Ashurst, Copythorne South & NM

SO40 7ED

Pre-school 30 26 45 19 50 38 38

SO51 6AG

Day Nursery 60 28 15 5 53 51 51

SO40 7GL

Pre-school 26 19 33 7 27 38 38

Barton BH25 7PA

Pre-school 26 3 13 4 16 38 38

BH25 5SU

Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

76 19 27 17 45 35 34

BH25 5SB

Pre-school 19 15 18 7 22.5 38 38

Becton BH25 7AQ

Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

26 10 17 21 48 35 35

BH25 5FN

Pre-school 18 6 5 3 20 34 34

BH25 8 Childminder 6

47.5

BH25 5AA

Pre-school 20 23 33 20 30 38 38

Boldre and Sway

SO41 5QG

Pre-school 26 6 8 2 26 38 38

SO41 5RP

Day Nursery 72 26 32 9 45 51 51

SO41 6BB

Pre-school 14 11 15 6 39 48 48

SO41 6AB

Pre-school 26 17 13 10 32.5 38 38

SO41 6AE

Pre-school 24 0 4 4 15 38 38

SO41 6FR

Pre-school 24 3 13 6 29 38 38

SO41 5ZG

Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

45 0 18 30 38 34 34

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Bramshaw, Copythorne N & Minst

SO40 2NZ

Pre-school 30 1 12 4 23 38 38

SO40 2PB

Pre-school 24 3 13 5 17 38 38

Bransgore and Burley

BH23 8AY

Pre-school 28 1 19 11 25 38 38

BH24 4BU

Day Nursery 26 10 17 7 50 50 50

BH23 8 Childminder 6 1 6 2 50 52 52

BH23 7DU

Pre-school 24 3 29 13 21 38 38

Brockenhurst & Forest SE

SO42 7RY

Pre-school 26 2 10 7 24 39 39

SO42 7ZE

Day Nursery 70 40 37 13 51 50 50

SO42 7 Childminder 6

SO42 7WD

Pre-school 18 1 4 5 30 38 38

Buckland SO41 9GP

Pre-school 18 3 23 10 26 38 38

Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu

SO45 3QR

Pre-school 18 4 14 2 22 39 39

SO45 4 Childminder 6 2 0 2 45 49 39

SO45 3 Childminder 5 0 3 0 50 50 50

SO45 3 Childminder 6 1 3 3 55 50 50

SO45 3 Childminder 6 1 3 1 52 50 48

SO45 4 Childminder 4 2 3 1 48 39 39

SO45 4PT

Pre-school 24 9 36 12 30 38 38

SO45 4 Childminder 6 1 0 1 50 45 38

SO45 4JX Pre-school 24 15 30 14 30 39 39

Dibden and Hythe East

SO45 5TN

Pre-school 26 3 18 17 18 39 39

SO45 6DU

Pre-school 26 11 31 10 31.25 38 38

SO45 5 Childminder 6

35

SO45 6 Childminder 4 1 2 44 46 38

Downlands and Forest

SP6 2NE Pre-school 12 6 2 1 16 38 38

SP6 2AQ Pre-school 26 2 7 5 17 38 38

13

Fawley, Blackfield and Langley

SO45 1XA

Pre-school 28 18 26 15 33 39 38

SO45 1 Childminder 3

SO45 2GD

Day Nursery 78 24 12 9 50 52 38

SO45 1 Childminder 6 0 0 1 50 49 38

SO45 1 Childminder 6 1 0 2 55 48 38

SO45 1EB

Day Nursery 24 7 1 6 31.5 38 38

Fernhill BH25 6 Childminder 4 2 2 0 50 48 48

BH25 5 Childminder 6 5 2 1 60 48 48

BH25 5 Childminder 5 5 2 1 60 50 48

BH25 5 Childminder 6 4 4 0 55 48 38

BH25 5 Childminder 6 4 4 0 55 48 38

BH25 5NY

Pre-school 26 4 12 3 15 39 39

BH25 5 Childminder 4

Fordingbridge SP6 1LX Day Nursery 60 16 32 9 60 51 51

SP6 1NS Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

34 0 7 7 34 34 34

SP6 1JF Pre-school 35 4 15 8 25 38 38

Forest North West

BH24 3 Childminder 6 0 2 2 45 48 46

BH24 3PJ Day Nursery 86 49 51 25 70 51 38

SP6 2QH Pre-school 26 1 18 6 20 38 38

BH24 3NF

Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

30 2 16 3 50 38 38

SP6 2PP Day Nursery 30 13 16 7 51 51 51

Furzedown and Hardley

SO45 2 Childminder 6 1 1 52 48 38

Holbury and North Blackfield

SO45 1DZ

Pre-school 30 6 11 4 35 39 39

SO45 2JP Pre-school 24 7 12 11 26 38 38

14

SO45 2LF Day Nursery 30 9 5 7 50 50 50

SO45 2HW

Day Nursery 42 19 31 7 45 39 38

SO45 2QG

Pre-school 24 18 20 7 38 38 38

Hordle SO41 0JY Pre-school 24 7 13 1 23 38 38

SO41 0 Childminder 6 1 2 1 50 48 48

SO41 0 Childminder 6 1 0 1 50 44 37

SO41 0FB

Pre-school 24 11 32 34 35 39 39

SO41 0 Childminder 4 3 0 2 50 48 48

SO41 0 Childminder 3 1 2 1 50 50 50

SO41 0 Childminder 5

57.5 50 38

SO41 0 Childminder 6 1 2 1 50 48 48

SO41 0 Childminder 4

50

SO41 0 Childminder 4 2 2 0 60 50 39

SO41 0 Childminder 5 5 5 6 46 49 38

SO41 0 Childminder 6 42 47 38

Hythe West and Langdown

SO45 5 Childminder 6 3 4 3 48 48 47

SO45 5DB

Day Nursery 50 45 47 13 50 51 51

SO45 6ET

Pre-school 48 7 25 11 31 41 41

SO45 5 Childminder 6 1 4 0 42 47 47

Lymington Town

SO41 9 Childminder 9

47.5 48 47

SO41 9BQ

Pre-school 24 17 14 7 32.5 38 38

SO41 8FD

Day Nursery 32 4 1 1 60 52 51

SO41 9 Childminder 6

50 48 38

Lyndhurst SO43 7BB

Pre-school 20 1 19 11 33 38 38

SO43 7BU

Nursery Unit of Ind. Sch.

12 0 8 7 30 35 35

Marchwood SO40 4 Childminder 6 2 0 0 50 52 52

15

Marchwood SO40 4ZH

Day Nursery 55 26 42 14 50 50 50

SO40 4 Childminder 6 0 2 0 48 50 38

SO40 4 Childminder 5

50

SO40 4WB

Pre-school 29 19 16 5 35 39 39

SO40 4ZE

Pre-school 20 8 27 15 37.5 39 39

Milford SO41 0QF

Day Nursery 30 7 2 4 50 50 50

SO41 0RF

Pre-school 26 11 29 14 30 38 38

Milton BH25 6BE

Pre-school 30 8 11 5 26 38 38

BH25 6DQ

Pre-school 26 10 11 5 18 38 38

BH25 5AR

Pre-school 40

30 38 38

Pennington SO41 8HF

Day Nursery 46 17 25 14 53 50 50

SO41 8HH

Pre-school 38 7 15 4 50 38 38

SO41 8HX

Pre-school 48 6 24 14 33 38 38

Ringwood East and Sopley

BH24 3 Childminder 6 1 1 1 60 50 50

BH23 8DD

Pre-school 26 19 17 8 50 50 37

Ringwood North

BH24 1 Childminder 6

50

BH24 1 Childminder 6

50 48 38

BH24 1 Childminder 6 1 1 0 50 50 38

BH24 1UG

Childminder 6

50

BH24 1 Childminder 6 2 1 1 41 47 38

BH24 1 Childminder 6 0 1 0 51 49 38

BH24 1JQ

Pre-school 40 8 3 0 35 39 39

BH24 1RR

Day Nursery 74 39 26 12 51 51 51

BH24 1 Childminder 6 1 1 55 47 47

BH24 1 Childminder 5 1 1 1 52 48 39

BH24 1TY

Pre-school 26 7 20 12 24 38 38

Ringwood South

BH24 1EE

Pre-school 24 2 11 7 15 38 38

16

BH24 1 Childminder 6 6 8 2 60 50 50

BH24 1DW

Pre-school 28 23 28 19 30 38 38

BH24 1UR

Pre-school 26 4 13 8 18 38 38

BH24 1 Childminder 6 2 1 1 59 48 39

BH24 1 Childminder 6 3 0 0 55 49 38

BH24 1 Childminder 6 1 1 0 50 50 50

Totton Central SO40 8 Childminder 6 2 1 48 47 38

SO40 8 Childminder 6 3 0 0 30 47 48

SO40 8 Childminder 6 0 2 0 42 46 38

SO40 7 Childminder 6 0 2 1 50 48 38

SO40 3DW

Pre-school 28 18 32 11 31 38 38

SO40 3JX Childminder 6 3 0 0 50 48 48

SO40 3 Childminder 6 1 1 0 55 48 44

Totton East SO40 3BA

Pre-school 28 20 20 9 23 38 38

SO40 3 Childminder 6 2 2 2 52 46 46

SO40 8DA

Day Nursery 26 5 9 4 50 50 50

SO40 3LZ Pre-school 24 9 7 4 24 39 38

SO40 3 Childminder 5 0 2 0 60 52 38

SO40 3 Childminder 4 1 1 1 40 44 39

SO40 9HL

Day Nursery 27 15 13 4 50 52 52

SO40 9HL

Day Nursery 122 50 49 21 55 51 38

SO40 3LZ Pre-school 26 15 15 0 28 39 38

Totton North SO40 8 Childminder 6 2 2 0 55 48 48

SO40 2ZZ

Pre-school 50 20 45 12 35 38 38

SO40 2 Childminder 6 2 4 0 45 48 48

SO40 2 Childminder 5 1 3 0 40 48 48

Totton South SO40 7 Childminder 3 1 0 0 45 39 39

SO40 7 Childminder 6 0 2 0 45 39 39

17

SO40 7 Childminder 3 0 2 2 60 48 48

SO40 9HX

Pre-school 16 10 13 6 26 39 39

SO40 9FG

Pre-school 30 7 6 5 23 39 39

SO40 7 Childminder 6

54 47 47

SO40 7 Childminder 6 2 3 1 55 51 39

SO40 9GF

Day Nursery 30 23 17 6 50 50 38

Totton West SO40 8 Childminder 6 2 2 0 45 48 38

SO40 8 Childminder 6 2 2 1 50 48 39

SO40 8 Childminder 15 2 4 5 60 47 38

SO40 3 Childminder 4 2 1 0 69 48 48

SO40 8 Childminder 6 1 1 0 48 48 38

SO40 3ZX

Day Nursery 40 1 1 0 50 48 38

SO40 8WU

Pre-school 38 21 50 14 35 43 39

3.3 Development of Childminder EYE Provision

In the New Forest district at the end of quarter 4 there were 74 Ofsted registered child minders who had been approved to deliver early years education. The New Forest district area had a total of 111 registered childminders and 90 (81%) of these had been graded by Ofsted as “Good or Outstanding”. The local authority is putting into place support for new childminding entrants to the market and those who wish to provider EYE services. There has been information available and briefings held to advise and support childminders in development of a 30 hour friendly offer. There has been events held in the district and across the county by Services for Young Children to facilitate childminder and group provision in communities to work together to provide services in collaboration. The Childcare Development and Business Officer (CDBO) continues to encourage new childminding services to be developed to offer early years education funding in all areas of the district but specifically in the priority wards where there is pressure on places including the New Milton wards, Lymington, Pennington, Marchwood, Brockenhurst and some of the more rural communities of the district. 3.4 Development of Group EYE provision

At the end of quarter 4 there were 87 childcare settings delivering early years education in the district who are a mix of private, voluntary and Independent school settings. There has been one full day care setting open and one close during quarter 4; the overall number of places offered in the district remained the same as these changes related to the same setting. There were two sessional settings close and two opened with a balance of places as these again were re-registrations.

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3.5 Take-up of the free Early Years Education entitlement by two, three and four year olds

Table 8 below provides the numbers of children in the New Forest district that access their early years education and this is assessed against the small area population forecast to provide a proxy level of take up. Table 8: Early Years Education take-up of 2 & 3 year olds in New Forest spring 2017 source: HCC New Forest district EYE take up data

Hampshire children only

2 Yr Old

Claims

2Yr Old

SAPF % 2 YrOld Take Up

3 Yr Old

Claims

3Yr Old

SAPF % 3 YrOld Take Up

New Forest

Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh 2 31 6 51 37 138

Barton 2 23 9 21 29 72

Bashley 3 18 17 15 25 60

Becton 4 37 11 31 34 91

Boldre and Sway 4 34 12 44 37 119

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead 1 21 5 11 12 92

Bransgore and Burley 1 35 3 38 53 72

Brockenhurst and Forest South East 5 38 13 37 45 82

Buckland 6 36 17 42 37 114

Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu 14 54 26 73 62 118

Dibden and Hythe East 4 65 6 55 51 108

Downlands and Forest 1 16 6 12 20 60

Fawley, Blackfield and Langley 11 49 22 29 45 64

Fernhill 19 61 31 52 59 88

Fordingbridge 8 62 13 59 68 87

Forest North West 0 12 0 14 14 100

Furzedown and Hardley 14 47 30 35 30 117

Holbury and North Blackfield 31 81 38 70 84 83

Hordle 4 38 11 33 45 73

Hythe West and Langdown 17 66 26 79 73 108

Lymington Town 6 48 13 39 46 85

Lyndhurst 3 19 16 27 25 108

Marchwood 9 69 13 81 82 99

Milford 3 28 11 29 28 104

Milton 13 55 24 43 61 70

Pennington 14 61 23 47 55 85

Ringwood East and Sopley 0 20 0 14 21 67

Ringwood North 6 49 12 46 59 78

Ringwood South 14 64 22 49 73 67

Totton Central 12 61 20 48 55 87

Totton East 20 67 30 61 72 85

Totton North 22 97 23 84 99 85

Totton South 12 58 21 55 75 73

Totton West 17 52 33 52 63 83

Grand Total 302 1572 19 1476 1674 88

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Table 9: EYE take up by age over the annual period April 2016-March 2017 Source -HCC EYE take up data

EYE funding 2 year old

New Forest district

Total number

Average hourly take

up

Stretched offer

numbers

Stretched offer

average hourly take up

Additional hours (for those on stretched

offer )

Summer 2016

273 12.15 34 10.43 4.74

Autumn 2016

327 12.65 46 10.35 1.49

Spring 2017

302 12.92 41 10.35 5.82

EYE funding 3 year old New Forest district

Total number

Average hourly take up

Stretched offer numbers

Stretched offer average hourly take up

Additional hours (for those on stretched offer )

Summer 2016

1635 12.54 154 10.77 7.12

Autumn 2016

1528 12.66 189 10.74 5.98

Spring 2017

1400 12.62 186 10.74 6.10

EYE funding 4 year old New Forest district

Total number

Average hourly take up

Stretched offer numbers

Stretched offer average hourly take up

Additional hours (for those on stretched offer )

Summer 2016

1008 13.37 69 10.62 10.22

Autumn 2016

104 13.66 0 0 11.17

Spring 2017

666 13.11 58 10.98 8.64

3.6 Provider Types

The take up of EYE funding by provider type in the New Forest district for the spring funding period 2017 has been as follows:

Childminder 4.6%

Pre-school

62.4%

Day Nursery

26.9%

Nursery Units of Independent Schools

6.0%

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Comment: Table 8 highlights that the wards have a higher proportion of eligible two year olds who are claiming the funding continues to be Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu, Fernhill, and Hythe West and Langdown ward areas, but in the quarter 4 period also includes high numbers of claims from Furzedown, Holbury and North Blackfield as well as Totton South and Totton West. It is noted that some percentages in this table are greater than 100% this is due to SAPF being a modelled population forecast and the numbers of actual children is greater than the prediction made at that time. From the information in table 8 and analysis of the trends of take up of early years education funding in the New Forest districts there are some ward areas that are showing lower take up of places based on the SAPF (small area population forecasts) for that ward. There has been a lower take up of early years education hours than anticipated continuing in Barton, but also in Downland and Forest, Fawley Blackfield and Langley and two Ringwood wards -East and South. In the previous report low take up was noted in Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead, and Forest North West wards for 3 year olds, however take up in these wards during this reporting period shows good take up in both of these wards. For the spring funding period the Hampshire Early Years Education (EYE) take up data shows there has been an increase in numbers of children taking EYE funding in New Forest with an additional 453 children claims made. Numbers of two and three year old children have decreased as a number of children have had birthdays and almost another 600 claims made for four year old children. The average hourly take up and additional hours taken remains similar with an average of 13.47 EYE hours taken weekly and an average of 3.37 additional hours being taken up during the spring funding period. The take up of EYE provision is largest within the pre-school or sessional provision within the New Forest district. From the last report there is a small decrease in take up of EYE funding at childminding settings. We are aware that many New Forest families travel both inside and outside the district for their early year and childcare needs, there is some movement of children coming into this local authority for early years education and childcare provision and some New Forest resident children taking up provision in other local authorities. Over the spring funding period there were 204 two, three and four year olds resident in other local authorities taking up both early years education and childcare provision in New Forest settings. These children came from eight other authorities. They took a total of 3,688.99 hours with the EYE funding hours totalling 2,423.82. The Childcare Development and Business Officer is working with neighbouring local authorities to track data on EYE take up by New Forest children out of the authority. However the following table indicates the location of take up within districts of the local authority from children resident in the New Forest. While we are aware that many families travel within the district of approximately 7 miles for their childcare and early years education services table 10 shows the take up of provision for children resident in New Forest but accessing provision in another district of Hampshire, indicates one family travelling a distance of 57 miles for their childcare provision. Currently there doesn’t appear to be any pattern of travel for

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families living in wards where there is a pressure on places and most families appear to take provision in their ward of residence or a neighbouring ward. Table 10: Travel of New Forest Families for EYE provision out of district but within Hampshire Source – Hampshire EYE take up data

Child’s home ward in New Forest

Attending district

Attending ward Number of

children autumn 2016

Number of children

spring 2017

Lymington Basingstoke Kingsclere 0 2

Woodhay 0 1

Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh

Eastleigh

Chandler's Ford West

1 1

Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh

Fair Oak and Horton Heath

1 1

Brockenhurst and Forest South East

West End South

0 1

Dibden and Hythe East Chandler's Ford East

Dibden and Hythe East Hiltingbury East 1 1

Marchwood Eastleigh Central 1 1

Marchwood Hiltingbury West 1 1

Totton Central Eastleigh Central 2 2

Totton North Hiltingbury West 1 1

Totton West Eastleigh Central 1

Totton West Hedge End Grange Park 1

Boldre and Sway

Fareham

Locks Heath 1 1

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Park Gate 1 1

Boldre and Sway

Hart Crookham West and Ewshot 1

Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu

Havant

Hart Plain 2

Milton Battins 1

Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh

Test Valley

Blackwater 5 5

Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh

Romsey Extra 2 2

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Ampfield and Braishfield 1 1

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Anna 1 1

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Blackwater 2 1

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Chilworth, Nursling and Rownhams

1 1

Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead

Romsey Extra 2 2

Brockenhurst and Forest South East

Romsey Extra 1 1

Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu

Ampfield and Braishfield 1

Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu

Chilworth, Nursling and Rownhams

1 1

Dibden and Hythe East Blackwater 1

Forest North West Blackwater 1 1

Furzedown and Hardley Blackwater 1 1

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3.7 Percentage of two year olds taking up the free offer against Department for Education DWP proxy target The Department for Education in partnership with the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) provides the local authority with numbers of families who are most likely to meet eligibility criteria for two year old funding. This data is used as a proxy measure to assess the take-up of the offer by eligible families. The details below outline the position. Hampshire has an indicative number of 3600 children to reach.

Table 11: Take-up of early years education by eligible two year olds Source - HCC EYE take up data

EYE Funding Period:

Spring 2017

DWP List New Forest

Confirmed Eligible

Percentage reach

Two Year old claims

Percentage take-up

385 327 84.9 302 78.4%

Comment: There are still some eligible 2 year olds who are not accessing the full entitlement of 15 hours weekly. The Childcare Development and Business Officer is aware of some settings who are offering families the 2 year old funding on a stretched offer and there has been a good take up of 11 hours over 51 weeks for those eligible. During the spring funding period 302 eligible 2 year olds accessed EYE provision for an average of 12.92 hours weekly. 41 of these eligible 2 year olds accessed EYE funding as a stretched offer, accessing an average of 10.35 hours. This shows a small increase on numbers accessing a stretched offer and the hours taken from this period last year. 3.8 Early Years Pupil Premium (EYPP) This additional funding is available to three and four year old children if parents receive specific benefits. Early years education providers may be entitled to claim EYPP funding for a 3 or 4 year old child in receipt of early years education funding. The funding is currently is 53p per EYE hour taken up with a maximum of £302

Lyndhurst Blackwater 2 2

Marchwood Chilworth, Nursling and

Rownhams 1 1

Totton Central Blackwater 1

Totton East Blackwater 1 1

Totton East Chilworth, Nursling and

Rownhams 2 4

Totton North Blackwater 2 3

Totton North Chilworth, Nursling and

Rownhams 1 2

Totton South Romsey Extra 1

Totton West

Ampfield and Braishfield 1 1

Totton West Chilworth, Nursling and

Rownhams 1 1

Furzedown and Hardley

Winchester

St Paul 1 1

Pennington Whiteley and Shedfield

Ringwood East and Sopley

St Paul 1 1

Totals 44 55

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annually. The funding can be used by the childcare provision to support the funded child to make good levels of progress to keep up with peers.

During the quarter 4 period in the New Forest district 234 children have been supported at 69 settings by EYPP payments to a value of £19,220.19 (147 three year olds and 87 four year olds)

Table 12: EYPP payments in New Forest April 2016-March 2017

Source- Hampshire EYE take up data

EYPP payments in New Forest

Total 3 year olds 4 year olds Total EYPP

amount

Summer funding period 2016

138 115 45 £12,710.40

Autumn funding period 2016

183 166 17 £19,918.99

Spring funding period 2017

234 147 87 £19,220.19

3.9 Deferred and Decelerated

During this reporting year there have been a number of parents who have made a choice for their child/children to defer starting into the key stage 1 reception class in infant school. They have arranged with the school for their child or children to start at a later point during the school year rather than at the start of the academic year. There are also families who have made a choice for their child to decelerate and start key stage 1 in mainstream school in the year after they become eligible. These children have continued to access provision in early years settings. The Local Development Team liaises with the early years provision to ensure that these children are supported appropriately in their transition into school. Over the year 2016-17 there have been nine children deferred in New Forest district. During the same period there have been twenty three children decelerated in New Forest district.

4. Development of 30 hours Childcare From September 2017 some working families will be eligible for an additional 15 hours Early Years Education (EYE) for their 3 and 4 year old children. To qualify for the full 30 hours of free childcare, each parent (or the sole parent in a single parent family) will need to earn, on average, the equivalent of 16 hours on the national minimum wage per week, (currently £111 per week for those aged 21 or over), and no more than £100,000 per year. A couple both working with an annual household income of £199,998 would be eligible if each, i.e. both parent earns just under £100,000. (In a couple if one parent earns over this threshold they are not eligible. In a couple if one parent earns less than the minimum equivalent of 16 hours on national minimum/living wage they are not eligible). Self-employed parents and those on zero-hours contracts will be eligible if they meet the average earnings threshold as defined by Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC).

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The local authority of Hampshire has been part of a number of local authorities working with the Department for Education (DfE) to prepare the market for this expansion, with a particular focus on evaluating parent engagement and meeting the ‘30 hour’ needs of SEND children. The Local Development Team has been working closely with providers to consider how the market can meet the anticipated increase in demand. The local authority has used a variety data in order to make estimates of anticipated demand and work with the market. The local authority has been updating the market on the development of the 30 hours by use of web and blog articles, termly briefings and workshop sessions. Table 13: Anticipated numbers of children in New Forest eligible for 30 hours from

September 2017

Source- a variety of sources including DWP, DfE, SAPF

30 hour eligibility

Child Population (dependent on age selection)

Population in Working Family (dependent on age selection)

Earnings Eligible (89% of Hampshire)

Children with SEND (6.2%)

SEND Support Claimants (1.9%)

New Forest

3344

1608

1431

100

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In the New Forest district providers are reflecting on their current models of delivery, discussing with parents using their services and having discussions with other local provision to enable parents to use provision collaboratively to prepare for delivering the 30 hours to families using services. In the New Forest district it is estimated that approx. 59% of working families with a three year old child will meet the eligibility criteria and 20% of parents of four year olds; based on the premise that 66% of four year olds will be in school. Therefore based on SAPF figures between 1370 and 1431 children in the district may be eligible for 30 hours provision. The Childcare Development and Business Officer (CDBO) continues to be offering support to the market to develop 30 hour friendly offers within the local communities; this includes some settings working collaboratively to offer a mix of services to families so they can offer the whole entitlement. From recent provider updates we are aware that 35 group settings plan to deliver 30 hours at their settings. 26 group settings are continuing to work on their business modelling and forming effective partnerships with other local provision in order to be 30 hour friendly. The CDBO continues to be in touch with providers in the New Forest market and has further events planned to facilitate collaborative modelling as well as offering Business Support.

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5. Quality of the Ofsted Registered provision:

This includes the data on the Ofsted outcomes for the New Forest district. Table 14: Quality of all provision within the New Forest district as at 31/3/17 Source: Ofsted inspection reports

Type of setting Outstanding Good Requires

improvement Inadequate

Awaiting inspection

EYE Providers

17 21% 45 55.6% 2 2.5% 1 1.2% 16

EYE

Childminders

16 21.6% 51 68.9% 3 4% 0 0 4

Other

Childminders

3 8.1% 20 54.1% 5 13.5% 0 0 9

Independent

Schools (Nursery

Provision)

4 66.6% 1 16.6% 1 16.6% 0 0% 0

Holiday – After

school provision

1 4% 17 68% 1 4% 0 0% 6

Table 15: New reports received during Q4 as at 31/03/17 Source: Ofsted inspection reports

Outstanding Good Requires Improvement

Inadequate

EYE providers 0 1 0 1

EYE childminders 0 2 2 0

Other Childminders 0 4 0 0

Independent Schools 0 0 0 0

Holiday/After School provision

0 2 1 0

Infant and primary Schools

0 1 2 0

Comment: New Forest district currently has 16 group settings waiting their first Ofsted grading inspection. The overall picture for Ofsted outcomes for the district is positive with 62 (76.5%) of group EYE childcare settings with an Ofsted outcome achieving an Ofsted grading of “Good” or “Outstanding” with 17 (21%) achieving an “Outstanding” grade. Support is offered to settings that have an Ofsted outcome of less than “Good” through the Hampshire Improvement Support Programme on an individual basis to assist their quality developments to address the Ofsted actions and

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recommendations. There is also support offers made to new settings and those who have been alerted to the Local Development Team (LDT) who may benefit from some specialist support from the local authority for specific issues such as a serious safeguarding issue or premises challenges. Currently the LDT is providing support to 18 group settings and 7 childminders. Free entitlement for 2 year olds is expected to be provided through Ofsted Early Years registered provision that has an inspection outcome of “Good” or “Outstanding”. The local authority will only fund 2 year olds in provision less than “Good” where continuity of care for children is required or there is insufficient choice in the market. Such providers are required to have appropriate local authority support in place. All the providers in Table 16 are working with the LDT to improve quality of provision as indicated by Ofsted at inspection and have active support plans in place. Table 16: Number of funded two year olds in Ofsted rated less than ‘good’ provision. 31/3/17 Source- Ofsted inspection reports

Select Term Spring 2017 Age Type 2

Number of child claims Ofsted Results

Provider Location Requires

Improvement Inadequate

Holbury and North Blackfield

6 1

Totton East 3 0

Total 9 1

Comment: The Local Development Team continue to provide support to settings that currently have an Ofsted grading lower than “Good” to ensure that the settings continue to provide early years education and childcare that meet the development needs of all children so that they can make progress including any funding 2 year olds. 6. Development of provision for Special Educational Needs

The Services for Young Children Inclusion Team is committed to ensuring that all eligible children are able to attend an early years or childcare setting irrelevant of any disability or additional support need. Ideally we would see this happening in the child’s local setting or parents choice of setting, however where a child’s needs cannot be met by this provider we will work with partners to support the identification of an appropriate alternative.

The Inclusion Team will use a range of resources to support settings to be able to provide quality care for all children. This will include:

the provision of additional funding through the Inclusion Fund process

direct support from the Area Inclusion team,

outreach support from one of the contracted expert providers

support from the Portage Service, and

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training or support groups. Table 17: SEND support: Support provided for SEN children for the year 16/17 Source- Hampshire SEND data

Number of children supported by New Forest Inclusion team Total of 100 children supported by an Area InCo: No. %

Developmental delay 6 6

Social emotional needs inc. behaviour 20 20

Social communication needs/autism 20 20

Speech and language communication needs (SLCN)

46 46

Other needs (inc VI, HI, PD) 8 8

Inclusion Support Funds awarded 0

EYE SEND Single funding awarded Not available

EYE SEND Enhanced funding awarded Not available

Location of specialist provision Forest Park School - Totton Holly Class - Ashley Infant

School, ELG Wildground, New Milton,

Ringwood

Settings receiving Early Years Portage Outreach

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Children and settings receiving EY SEN P 17 children at 16 settings

Families & settings receiving Portage Plus 18 children at 12 settings

Families receiving Core Portage 69

Families receiving Early Support 62

Service impacts & trends The New Forest team has experienced some long term illness over the year plus the recruitment and induction of 2 new team members. This has meant that there have been periods where the team was not working to full capacity. There has been a jointly led ‘Keep on Talking’ project delivered to 5 settings and 3 schools in Totton. Interim data shows percentages of children at risk of delay has halved for Listening & Attention, Understanding, Talking and Social Communication Portage waiting list – At 01/04/2017 - 15 with additional 4 waiting initial visit.

7. Development of out of school and holiday provision

The data for the period January - March 2017 highlights that there are 40 registered breakfast club, after school and holiday provision in the New Forest district. However these provisions are delivered by 21 providers some of whom deliver more than one service as part of their registration. There may also be other provision that is run by schools not known to the Local Development Team. Most of the settings in the district are managed by third party providers using schools and community centres as venues. Childminders do also contribute an amount of out of school care in the area. The New Forest district requires further childminder growth to accommodate the increasing numbers generally.

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During this annual reporting period 2016-17 in the New Forest district there has been no out of school settings that have had an inadequate Ofsted outcome. During the quarter 4 period one setting has had “Requires Improvement” outcome and two settings have had a “Good” outcome. There has been some interest from the Out of School sector with the new Tax-Free Childcare and 30 hour initiatives to support the market and the needs of working families. The out of school sector are signposted to guidance on the Services for Young Children website and other websites for setting up and quality improvement of services. http://www.hants.gov.uk/childrens-services/childcare/providers/outofschool-2.htm

There are often changes to the numbers of registered provision that delivers out of school services in the New Forest and demand for these services does fluctuate. There are usually some additional registrations for holiday provision which provides services for the summer holiday periods. There are a few day nursery providers who are also able to provide regular after school services alongside local schools. 8. Housing Developments, Hampshire

New Forest Medium and Large Building Development

The follow list includes the building plans that may impact on the childcare and

early years market in the New Forest district:

Lyndhurst

GOSPORT LANE PERMISSION COMPLETED ERECTION OF 26 FLATS

Ringwood

THE FURLONG CENTRE PERMISSION NOT STARTED ERECTION OF 12 FLATS

BUS DEPOT ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 10 DWELLINGS

CROW LANE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 175 DWELLINGS 2018-2022

Sopley

DERRITT LANE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 80 DWELLINGS

Fordingbridge

WHITSBURY ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 100 DWELLINGS

BARTONS ROAD PERMISSION NOT STARTED CONVERSION OF HOSPITAL TO 15 FLATS

New Milton

KENNARD ROAD PERMISSION SITE CLEARED REDEVELOP WITH 18 DWELLINGS 2017-2018

HOLLANDS WOOD DRIVE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 15 AFFORDABLE DWELLINGS

CAIRD AVENUE PERMISSION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 90 DWELLINGS

SCHOOL LANE MILFORD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 30 DWELLINGS

GORE ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 20 DWELLINGS

MOORE CLOSE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 15 DWELLINGS

PARK ROAD ASHLEY ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 20 DWELLINGS 2019-2021

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NORTH MILTON ESTATE PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION 21 AFFORDABLE DWELLINGS

WHITEFIELD ROAD PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION ERECTION OF 15 FLATS IN 2 BLOCKS

Lymington

QUEEN KATHERINE ROAD PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION ESTIMATED 22 DWELLINGS

ALEXANDER ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 80 DWELLINGS 2018-2021

BRIDGE ROAD PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION MIXED USES INCLUDING 168

DWELLINGS

RAMLEY ROAD PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION ERECTION OF 47DWELLINGS

MILFORD ROAD PENNINGS ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 14 DWELLINGS

Hordle

HORDLE LANE PERMISSION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 15 DWELLINGS 2018-2019

Hythe

SHORE ROAD PERMISSION 164 COMPLETE RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF 181

DWELLINGS

MARSH PARADE PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION CREATION OF 12 FLATS FROM

EXISTING FIRST FLOOR ABOVE SHOPS 2019-20

FAWLEY ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 45 DWELLINGS 2018-20

Fawley

BLACKFIELD SCHOOL ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 30 DWELLINGS

Marchwood

CRACKNORE HARD LANE ALLOCATION NOT AVAILABLE ESTIMATED 12 DWELLINGS

PARK FARM ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 100 DWELLINGS

SOUTH OF HYTHE ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 15 DWELLINGS

MULBERRY ROAD ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 15 DWELLINGS

Eling

ELING LANE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ESTIMATED 150 DWELLINGS

DURLEY FARM ALLOCATION NOT AVAILABLE ESTIMATED 80 DWELLINGS

Totton

BROKENFORD LANE PERMISSION NOT STARTED RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT - 48

DWELLINGS

SALISBURY ROAD PERMISSION NOT STARTED ERECTION OF 15 DWELLINGS

OLEANDER DRIVE PERMISSION UNDER CONSTRUCTION ERECTION OF 18 DWELLINGS

HAZEL FARM PERMISSION NOT STARTED ERECTION OF OF 10 DWELLINGS.

AIKMAN LANE PERMISSION NOT STARTED ERECT 11 HOUSES AND 1 FLAT AND

CONVERT FARMHOUSE TO 2 HOUSES

AIKMAN LANE PERMISSION PART BUILT/OCCUPIED; REST NOT STARTED RESIDENTIAL

DEVELOPMENT - 432 DWELLINGS COMPLETED 101 (331 POTENTIAL GAIN) 2018=2022

LOPERWOOD FARM PERMISSION COMPLETE ERECTION OF 24 DWELLINGS

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CALMORE DRIVE ALLOCATION NOT STARTED ERECTION OF 15 DWELLINGS

9. Parental demand

The following requests have been made to the New Forest Local Development (LDT) Team for support to find suitable EYE or childcare services in the district.

Table 18: Parental demand New Forest Q4 2016/17

Source- HCC childcare enquiries

Ward Brokerage Reason Brokerage Outcome

Holbury and North Blackfield

Support offered to families to find alternative provision as FDC setting closes at the end of quarter 4.

Families have all been able to find alternative provision locally

Comment: Support has been put into place for a local provider and families during this reporting period when a setting planned to close at the end of the spring term. . Information has been supplied of local provision that may have availability that will meet demand once the setting closes. The LDT are aware from population data, pressure on places and from providers and other agencies of the need for additional early years education and childcare places in several ward areas of the New Forest. This is particular apparent where we are aware of a potential high number of eligible 2 year olds and families who may well be eligible for 30 hours entitlement. Regular contact is made with providers in areas of limited supply to consider changes in delivery to manage the market. During a period of changes in management at local settings families reported to us limited availability around the Waterside area for 2, 3 and 4 year old EYE places and some difficulties to be able to access the full EYE entitlement. Over the quarter 4 period the Childcare Development and Business Officer (CDBO) has developed liaison with the JCP work coaches to provide signposting and support to families as parents return to work or training. There has been limited interest from potential providers over the quarter 4 reporting period to developing early years or childcare services including childminding in the district. The CDBO has been working with new providers who are interested in taking over existing business in the district. There has also been business support provided for provision to support sustainability.

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10. Conclusion

Table 19: Position statement of all registered provision in New Forest district at end of reporting period 31/3/17

Source- Ofsted registered provision download to local authority

Provider type

Total number of registered providers

Total number of places if known

Child-minders 111 450

Home child carers 32 32

EYE Non-domestic premises – full day care

22 1046

Nursery units of Independent School

6 223

EYE Non-domestic premises –sessional care

61 1607

Holiday /After school clubs (inc Before school) clubs)

40 650

After analysis of the data available for this quarter reporting period 1 January to 31 March 2017, the New Forest district shows a loss of places in the district with a loss of 6 childminding places; this follows the larger loss in quarter 3 when 21 childminding places were lost. There remained a balance of places in the Home Child Carer, full day care and sessional sectors of the market as the numbers of places that closed and open were the same due largely to management take overs. There were no opens or closes in the out of school sector during quarter 4 and over the year the number of places can be assumed to be similar as one 16 place setting closed in quarter 3, but the provision that opened in quarter 1 we understand has a similar number of places available. There are areas in the district where supply is limited these include New Milton, Lymington and Ringwood where the hourly take up may be lower due to places being limited. The market has become more settled over this quarter since the changes in management at some settings being completed with rebranding and advertising encouraging increased occupancy The impact of the demand for funded two year old places remains a focus for the Local Development Team (LDT) with training support and guidance available to help settings support the growth of this sector of childcare places. The childcare workforce are also being supported by the local authority in preparations for the current and future cohorts taking up additional hours as eligible working families of the three and four year old children become entitled to 30 hours from September 2017. During this year there has been an increase in providers approved to take funded two year olds which now equates to 79 private, voluntary and independent (PVI) providers and 67 EYE providing child minders.

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Demographic and population changes According to Hampshire’s Small Area Population Forecast (2016 version) there are a total of 8,075 0-4 year olds in 2017 and 8,020 in 2020. This indicates a decrease of 55 children within this age range over the next three years. (0.6%) http://www.hants.gov.uk/factsandfigures/population-statistics/pop-estimates/small-area-pop-stats.htm New Forest district will have some additional new housing built by within the period of the core strategy, which ends in 2026, but is likely to be superseded by a new plan which has been consulted on from July to September 2016. The current programme of development includes a number of small and medium developments in Totton, Fordingbridge, Ringwood, Lymington and New Milton. From the latest Small Area Population Forecast data which was updated in August 2015 and showed some ward area of the New Forest decreasing in growth but due to the anticipated growth from the residential and commercial developments the LDT is aware of potential pressure on places in many areas including New Milton, Lymington the Totton ward areas particularly in Totton South as well within Ringwood ward areas. The new district development plans indicates a large volume of residential growth over the period of the new plans 2016-2036. The New Forest local plan review indicates significant additional residential development in the district with an estimated potential 6,890 homes on strategic sites http://www.newforest.gov.uk/CHttpHandler.ashx?id=32301&p=0 Services for Young Children continues to liaise with the county and district planning departments to ensure that the early years education and childcare needs of communities are recognised within developments. Childcare places and trends Strategic planning continues to be developed to address the childcare gaps in some wards and focus on identifying future pressure areas as the impact of changes in demand are influenced by 30 hour eligibility for working families of three & four year olds and the tax-free incentives for families with children up to 12 years old. EYE entitlement places and trends in take up The Childcare Development and Business Officer has identified supply and demand of places and undertaken further research using Free School Meal and current sufficiency data and other data provided from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) regarding the potential numbers of families who may be eligible for 30 hours and who may wish to take up additional hours from Sept 2017. The research has highlighted that there would be a capacity issue for Early Years Education (EYE) places across the whole district within the following areas and wards: New Milton, Lymington/Pennington, Ringwood, and in some of the more rural communities of the district. Providers have shown an interest in developing collaborative models of delivery so that 30 hour friendly offers can be available in local communities.

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The EYE take up of childcare places within the district has continued to show a good level of for three & four year old children in the New Forest with 2,368 children taking up provision, with 285 of these had taken provision as a stretched offer during the spring 2017 funding period. The trends in childcare take up have increased as provision in the district has opened or expanded provision with additional hours available, by settings reviewing their opening hours and some more now offering stretched offer. It has been noted that the numbers of children coming into the district for early years education and childcare from other local authorities along with numbers of decelerated and deferred children may make an impact on the availability of places in the district. This could be an additional pressure on places as families become eligible for three and four year old children to take funded places for up to 30 hours. The LDT will continue to review and link with neighbouring local authorities. Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) list and take up challenges According to the Hampshire Labour Market Bulletins the benefit claimants in the New Forest district have remained reasonably constant over this reporting period. According to the Hampshire market bulletin and 2011 economic analysis, the district matches the county average numbers of Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) claimants in the county. Quality of provision There are currently 161 early years education approved providers within the New Forest district and 16 of these are settings waiting for their first Ofsted grading. Ofsted outcomes for the district are positive with (80%) of EYE childcare settings achieving an Ofsted grading of “Good” or “Outstanding” with (20%) of these achieving an “Outstanding” grade. There are currently 79 PVI settings and 67 childminders who are approved to take children who are in receipt of two year old funding. Special Educational Needs and Disabilities SEND development Information from the monitoring report/s indicated that there were 100 children supported by the New Forest Inclusion team, there are also 149 families being supported from the Early Years Portage team. The monitoring reports across the year have highlighted that speech and language issues have been the highest request for support from settings from the Area Inclusion teams. Over this reporting year there has been support to the market from the local authority that have provided an effective targeted ‘Keep on Talking’ project which has tracked and provided training, resources and tools to enhance the progress of learning for children. This project will complete at the end of the academic year 2016-2017 but the mid-project data tracking indicates that the numbers of children at risk of delay has halved within those taking part in this project group. Developments and any changes in the locality that affect childcare The balance of childcare places in this quarter period shows balance in the number of places available in the market with the stabilising of provision after ownership changes and new registration have occurred.

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There continues to be good take up within new provision that has opened that is offering EYE funding places in the specific ward areas of the New Forest where there was previous limited supply. Some of the provision that opened from September 2016 is still building business with the occupancy levels and take up of EYE places is rising. The LDT have been advised that the demand has been highest for full day care and for children 2 years and younger. The LDT have been offering support to families affected the closure of a setting during the spring term period, assisting them in finding alternative provision. As far as we are aware those families who need alternative provision have been able to find this locally. The LDT continue to work with parents who request help finding placements for their children. The LDT will continue to work with provision to ensure that families with eligible two, three and four year olds can access local provision. There will be particular focus in the ward areas where the take up of EYE hours tends to be lowest, in the past these have including Barton, Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead and Forest North West but within the current EYE take up data these three wards all have take up of 72% - 100% by 3 year old children. The current focus is in the ward areas of Bashley, Downland and Forest and Fawley Blackfield and Langley where take up in under 70%. One setting in Fawley has closed within the past year and this may be a reason for the lower take up, although the LDT are have not been made aware of any families not able to secure provision. The LDT continue to work with a premises owner to explore the possibility of change of use of their premises for childcare purposes. The support for this premises owner will continue as this project will take a significant time to complete. Work continues to promote the childcare opportunities within the New Forest district to new and existing provision so that the district has sufficient places available to meet the market demand. The LDT continue to support capacity growth and have been working with some settings that have been considering expansion through offering a stretched offer model. The LDT continues to work with schools who have expressed interest in developing preschool provision within their infant school sites. We are also working with schools in the New Forest who are planning to take on the management of the on site pre-school provision. Services for Young Children have been working with the DfE as an early innovator for the 30 hour funding that forms part of the Childcare Bill 2015 and will be available for eligible families from September 2017. The LDT has continued to work with individual and groups of providers in the district to explore the 30 hour modelling for their settings as well as possibilities of collaboration and partnership between provisions to meet the needs of families in local communities. Providers of EYE funding have been kept informed of the developments and discussions have taken place local to identify issues and find solutions to the challenges for the market. A bid has been successful for capital grant funding from the DfE to support the development of a new provision within the Lymington area to support the capacity growth needed to meet the 30 hour entitlement of families within this community, the LDT continues to work with the premises owner and the childcare provider on this project which has been awarded an extension on completion date into 2018.

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11. Review of Annual priorities for 2016/17 Ensure that there are sustainable and sufficient childcare and early childhood services by:

Increase the % take up of DWP eligible children taking up 2 year old offer To meet the Hampshire county target of 74% - Take up in Q1 = 64% Take up in Q2 = 73% Take up in Q3 = 83%

Take up in Q4 = 78.4%

Increase the % of 3 & 4 year olds taking up EYE funding in Bramshaw Copythorne North and Minstead ward. To meet 65% minimum each of the 3 terms - Take up in Q1 = 67.6% Take up in Q2 = 85.2 % Take up in Q3 = 133%

Take up in Q4 = 92%

Capacity building in New Milton and Lymington To have addition 50 additional places available by March 2018. - Bid made for capital funds for 70 places full day care (FDC) in August

2016. - Q3 No change. - Q4 Project redefined and change request made to DfE to extend time

scale due to premises challenges this was agreed. Annual Priorities for 2017/18 Continue to ensure that there are sustainable and sufficient childcare and early childhood services to meet the needs of local communities by:

Increase the % of 3 & 4 year olds taking up universal offer EYE (15 hours) in Bashley ward To meet 65% minimum for each term

Capacity building in New Milton and Lymington To have addition 50 additional places available by March 2018.

To have places available in all communities for EYE funded places to meet needs of communities for universal and 30 hours. - to have take up of places for 700 children to access some or all of their

30 hour entitlement