hans burchard baltic sea research institute warnemünde, germany [email protected]

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Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany [email protected] The invisible extremes: he dynamics of Baltic Sea inflow even

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The invisible extremes: The dynamics of Baltic Sea inflow events. Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany [email protected]. Let us first have a look into the observed long-term surface salinity in the Central Baltic Sea. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Hans Burchard

Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany

[email protected]

The invisible extremes:The dynamics of Baltic Sea inflow events

Page 2: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Let us first have a lookinto the observed long-termsurface salinity in the Central Baltic Sea

Page 3: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Sea surface salinity in the Central Baltic Sea

Feistel et al., 2006

How to attribute this to a certain process ?

Page 4: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Bottom salinity in the Central Baltic Sea

Feistel et al., 2006

Page 5: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

A century of salinity in the Central Baltic Sea

Graphics: Courtesy to Markus Meier

Page 6: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de
Page 7: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de
Page 8: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

All inflows have to pass the Western Baltic Sea

Page 9: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Western Baltic Sea monitoring stations

Darss Sill: 19 m

+

Drogden Sill: 8 m

+MARNET (IOW/BSH)

Farvandsvæsenet

Arkona Sea: 48 m

+

Page 10: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Three types of Baltic Sea inflow events:

Major Baltic inflows – barotropic (wind driven)

Strong Baltic inflows – baroclinic (density driven)

Medium Baltic inflows – mixed (typically through Sound)

Page 11: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Baltic Inflows over Darss Sill: the year 2003

Major barotropic inflow

Strong baroclinic inflow

Source: IOW

Page 12: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

baroclinic barotropic

Inflows over Drogden Sill (through Sound)

surface

bottom

Graphics: Frank Janssen (BSH)

Page 13: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Where does the Sound plume go ?

?

Page 14: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

GETM is a 3D numerical model for estuarine,coastal and shelf sea hydrodynamics with applications to the

• Tidal Elbe • Wadden Sea• Limfjord• Lake of Geneva, • Western Baltic Sea,• North Sea – Baltic Sea system• …

Page 15: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

5 days

15 days

31 days

Sound lock-exchange experiment with GETM

Main plume goes via northof Kriegers Flak: Is this real ?

Bottom salinity: 8 – 25 psu

Burchard et al., OD, 2005.

Page 16: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Plume passing Kriegers Flak (Feb 2004)

Burchard et al., OD, 2005.

Page 17: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Current east [cm /s] / Salin ity [psu]

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

Dep

th [m

]

-30-20-12-8-404812203040506070

12/05 01/06 02 /06 03/06 04/06 05 /06 06/06Current north [cm /s]

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

Dep

th [m

]

-30-20-12-8-404812203040506070

12/05 01/06 02 /06 03/06 04/06 05 /06 06/06

Inflows north of Kriegers Flak

Page 18: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

GETM Western Baltic Sea hindcast

Page 19: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

GETM Western Baltic Sea hindcast

Page 20: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

GETM Western Baltic Sea hindcast

Page 21: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Model validation: Darss Sill

Page 22: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Model derived monthly mean vertically integrated physically and numerically induced salinity variance decay

Physical mixing Numerical mixing

Burchard et al., 2007 (submitted), Burchard and Rennau, 2007 (submitted)

Page 23: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Nov 2005: Velocity structure of dense bottom current

Ship A:TL-ADCP

Ship B: Microstructure

View

1 km

Flow

Eastcomp.

Northcomp.

Can we explain the flow structure ?

Umlauf et al., GRL, 2007

Page 24: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

GETM 2DV Slice Model: Transverse gravity current structure

Page 25: Hans Burchard Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Germany hans.burchard@io-warnemuende.de

Conclusion:

Even after decades of intensive Baltic Sea research, there are still many miracles to be understood.

The major physical process question is:

How does the Baltic Sea overturn work ?

This includes the understanding of the entire pathway (in time and space) of water and its contentsfrom entering to exiting the Baltic Sea.