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#HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. [email protected]

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Page 1: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Session #5:Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven

by Profound Change

Vi ShafferResearch Vice PresidentGartner, Inc.

[email protected]

Page 2: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Gartner Viewpoint: ACOs and Shifting Services Demand Create Major Stresses

Through 2020, tensions in the healthcare industry will be very high due to the extreme nature of the challenge and the magnitude and pace of change.

Page 3: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Key Issues

What market and technology forces will most impact healthcare?

What does this mean for analytics?

How can leaders best leverage analytics to drive important change?

Page 4: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Merge hospitals, acquire physician practices,merge into mega-systems

Stronger negotiating positions with private payers

Seek economies of scale

Evidence-based medicine, standardization, and agility

Does bigness compound or overcome silos, politics, and bureaucracy?

Healthcare of E p i c Proportions !!

Page 5: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Healthcare of E p i c Proportions !!?? Now What ??

Seeking Systemness, Part 1

Page 6: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Poster in the Newark, NJ Airport, 2014Note: in mid-1800s US lifespan was 47

The MASSIVE Impact of Public Health and Medical Advancement on Population Demographics

Page 8: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Poster in the Houston, TX Airport, 2014

Turning Services into Systems, Part 2: Integrated Service Lines

Page 9: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Market Forces Have Created TheseBusiness Priorities for Health SystemsGrow and Manage Growth: High-growth services/lines, geographies, standard practices, economies of scale; future market relevance and dominance.

Care Transformation to Evidence-based Medicine and Standards of Care: A business priority deeply aligned with a specific technology, the Gen 3 EHR, and related content/decision support.

Business Transformation to a Population Health Management Model: Accountability through value-based contracting; Patient-centric design vs. Physician/Setting-centricity; Team-based delivery/service, continuum of care perspective. Patient is The First Mile, Not The Last.

Control Cost/Improve Operating Margin: Standardization, economies of scale, automation.

Patient and Consumer Engagement, Relationship: Create brand stickiness/loyalty for satisfaction and additional business. Impact the social and personal determinants of health. The “wicked” problem.

Also for some:

Solve problems of rural/remote access to equal care.

Support clinical research in new ways.

Page 10: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Addressing the Explosion of “Theranostics” Breakthroughs and Rapid Approval

Cognitive genomics Comparative genomics Functional genomics

Metagenomics Personal genomics Epigenomics

Lipidomics Proteomics Immunoproteomics

Nutriproteomics Proteogenomics Structural genomics

Transcriptomics Metabolomics Nutrigenetics Nutrigenomics

Pharmacogenomics Toxicogenomics

Pharmacomicrobiomics Psychogenomics Stem cell

genomics

Page 11: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Poll Question #1

What are the top priorities for your healthcare organization?

a) Growth, Growth, Growth

b) Control/Cut Cost

c) Evidence-based Medicine and Reduce Variance

d) Effectively Move to a Population Health Management Model

e) Consumer Engagement and the Patient Experience

Page 12: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

2015: How would you characterize the general mood or attitude of the physicians you work with?

Page 13: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Key Issues

What market and technology forces will most impact healthcare?

What does this mean for analytics?

How can leaders best leverage analytics to drive important change?

Page 14: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Poll Question #2

How ready do you feel your organization is for succeeding under value-based payment and population health management models?

a) Very ready, we are leading edge

b) Moderately ready; more than just talk

c) We’re in the planning stages

d) We’re on the sidelines right now

e) We’re not going to pursue this model

Page 15: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Changing Focus for Champions of ChangeWhat three words come to mind when you think of the CMIO's job in 2013?

Source: AMDIS-Gartner CMIO Survey, 2013

CMIO: 2013

Page 16: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

2014: Hijacked!!What three words come to mind when you think of the CMIO's job in 2014

Source: AMDIS-Gartner CMIO Survey, 2014

CMIO: 2014

Page 17: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

2015: Shift to Future-Focused PrioritiesWhat three words come to mind when you think of the CMIO's job in 2015?

Source: AMDIS-Gartner CMIO Survey, June 2015

CMIO: 2015

Page 18: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

How Different Will Healthcare BeWhen:

2015 2030

Technology Trigger

Peak ofInflated Expectations

Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

PositiveHype

NegativeHype

Page 19: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

The Transformation of Healthcareis Fueled By Advanced Analytics

2030 2015

Technology Trigger

Peak ofInflated Expectations

Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

PositiveHype

NegativeHype

Evidence-based Medicine: The EHR

PersonalizedPrecision Medicine

The Real-timeHealthcare System

Population Health Management

Telemedicine and Virtual Care

OperationalIntelligence

Page 20: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

The Transformation of Healthcareis Fueled By Advanced Analytics

2030 2015

Technology Trigger

Peak ofInflated Expectations

Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

PositiveHype

NegativeHype

Evidence-based Medicine: The EHR

PersonalizedPrecision Medicine

The Real-timeHealthcare System

Population Health Management

Telemedicine and Virtual Care

OperationalIntelligence

This is Digital Healthcare

Page 21: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Future

Past

Analytics Capabilities Are an Increasing Part of Healthcare’s Decision-Making Process

Create Awareness: a Decision

Must be Made

Understand the Scope

and Context of the

Decision

Identify Likely

Outcomes

Identify the Best

Course of Action

Report on the Results

of the Action

ACT

Present

Descriptive

Predictive

Prescriptive

Diagnostic

Page 22: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Cohesive Population HealthManagement is Really Tough

• The overarching organizing principle of the 2020 integrated health system.

• Enable provider-led organizations to manage populations of patients and achieve specific quality and cost outcomes.

• Build successive breakthrough combinations of analytics, coordinated care management, and patient engagement.

Page 23: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Real-time Healthcare System: Population Health Management

Requires defined, coordinated, and efficient processes across the continuum of care and life

Page 24: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Real-time Healthcare System:Operational Intelligence

Business& Clinical

Applications

Processes

Data

Event-Handler Applications

Event-Handler Processes

Clinical and Business Activity Monitoring

Alerts, dashboards

Sensors

The Internet

Filtering, Correlation, Aggregation,

Dissemination

Analytics and business process modeling

Mobile Devices

SituationalAwareness

AdaptiveDecision-Making

De-Siloed

Visibility

Healthcare’s “OODA-Loop”: Observe, Orient, Decide, Act

Page 25: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Page 26: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

The Under-appreciated Importance and Challenges of Predictive Modeling

I can live.

Page 27: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Key Issues

What market and technology forces will most impact healthcare?

What does this mean for analytics?

How can leaders best leverage analytics to drive important change?

Page 28: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Healthcare Must Boldly GoWhere No Enterprise Information Architecture

Has Gone Before….

Page 29: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

What Does This Mean For You? Executives Will Struggle with this New Information Age.

• From systemness to organizational agility to organizational liquidity.

• To stay competitive, providers must hone their adaptability and their competence regarding information-driven change.

• Detect domain changes more quickly and take action more adeptly than the competition.

Page 30: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

What Does This Mean For You?Professional Growth and Opportunity.

Wanted: Millions of humans to design, build, install, operate, manage, and maintain the internet of everything

Wanted: Anywhere, anytime access in context to Health Knowledge Clouds

Wanted: People who can bridge the tech-med and ops-pops-IT-speak divide: process and information context

Wanted: Everything agile

Page 31: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Lessons Learned

1. Information and Data Governance are beyond critical.

2. To even be at par, health systems must leverage information with a business model and outcome focus to guide investment decisions.

3. Information leaders need an EIA that is outside-in and focused on orchestrating across defined ecosystems of known customers and partners to enable progression toward open business.

4. Information leaders need an EIA with an outside-out focus that orchestrates across undefined ecosystems of customers and partners to enable complete open-business transformation.

Page 32: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Analytic Insights

AQuestions &

Answers

Page 33: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Choose one thing…

Write down one thing will you do differently after hearing this presentation

Page 34: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14

Thank You

Page 35: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit1435

Session Feedback Survey

1. On a scale of 1-5, how satisfied were you overall with this session?

1) Not at all satisfied

2) Somewhat satisfied

3) Moderately satisfied

4) Very satisfied

5) Extremely satisfied

2. What feedback or suggestions do you have?

Page 36: #HASummit14 Session #5: Health Analytics: Driving and Being Driven by Profound Change Vi Shaffer Research Vice President Gartner, Inc. Vi.Shaffer@gartner.com

#HASummit14 36

Upcoming SessionsBreakout Sessions – Wave 2 (2:30 PM – 3:15 PM)

10) Is Big Data a Big Deal…or Not?Dale Sanders, Senior Vice President, Health CatalystRichard Proctor, General Manager, Global Healthcare & Life Sciences, Hortonworks

11) Partners Healthcare Analytic Strategy for bundled Payments and Risk ManagementSreekanth Chaguturu, MD, Vice President for Population Health Management, Partners HealthCareHelen Chan, Senior Manager, Business Planning, Partners HealthCare

12) Sneak Peek: Improving Patient Engagement and Outcomes with Predictive AnalyticsGregory A. Spencer, MD, CMO & CMIO, Crystal Run HealthcareLouis G. Cervone, Jr., Director of Business Intelligence, Crystal Run Healthcare

13) How a Pioneer ACO is Using Analytics to Change Heart FailureSpencer H. Kubo, MD, CMO of BioControl Medical, United Heart &Vascular Clinic, Allina Integrated Medical Network

14) Entering Shared Risk for Community Hospitals Through Physician EngagementGreg Stock, CEO, Thibodaux Regional Medical CenterMark F. Hebert, MD, FACS, Surgical Specialist, Thibodaux Regional Medical Center

15) Panel – Children’s Hospitals: “Tike-mares”…Are the Monsters Under the Bed For Real?

Location

Grand Salon

Grand Ballroom A

Grand Ballroom D

Savoy

Murano

Venezia