HE Statistics from SFC

John Duffy

HE stats

SFC collections Early Stats (aggregate) Final figures (aggregate) Other activity (previously called Minor

Volume Indicators – data for research funding formulae)

Knowledge transfer metrics (unlikely to continue – data for KT funding formula)

HESA collections

Student record Staff record Finance record DLHE surveys

Student record

Participation report Retention report PIs

Participation report

Post-compulsory school age participation FES HESA Some school data from pupil census

Detailed geographical breakdown Intermediate zones (rates are smoothed)

Retention report

Logistic regression analysis producing ‘expected values’ by subject and institution Adjusted for qualifications,

demographics etc Cross-validation (excludes the institution

and subject category data) Compare with actual outcomes

PIs

Produced by HESA – ‘owned’ by HEFCE

Problems Access PI - low participation based on

UK levels and all entrants NS-SEC PI – again based on all entrants Scotland has few low-participation areas

on a UK basis 11% of all UK entrants in 2008-09 were

from outside Scotland

Scottish domiciled students

Access PI based on SIMD and datazones Most deprived 40% Most deprived 20%

SEC PI Entrants from elsewhere in the UK tend

to be of higher social class than entrants from Scotland

PI for all young u/g entrants from SC 4 5 6 7 UK 30.1 Sc26.6 Sc Sc dom 29.0

Lighter touch?

Not so far One-off WARP collection

Entrants in 2008-09 Did they come back in 2009-10?

Single collection Replace Early Stats, HESA SR, Final

figures One retimed collection

Problem of divergence from UK system

Participation Report

Zeg AshrafSFC Statistics26 March 2010

Aims

To summarise participation in FE and HE amongst Scottish domiciled 16+ year olds

Examine variation in participation by geography time student subgroups population subgroups

Data

FESHeadcount derived by matching

enrolments

HESA student recordsStudents at UK HEIs

School pupil census (September)By age on 1st March State schools only

Exclusions

FE enrolments on non-funded courses Students under 16 on 28th February

But includes Postgraduate students College school link courses in FE All FE students regardless of length of

study

Calculating FTE’s

HESA with reference to a full-time, full-year

student (1)

FES For comparability:

Full-time: 1 Part-time: hours studied / expected hours

for full-time course Adjusted for non-completion

FE ParticipationHeadcount FTE

© Crown Copyright. All rights reserved.Scottish Funding Council OSKW9912 (2009).

Glasgow area

Edinburgh area

Aberdeen area

Dundee area

Forth Valley

FE SPR 2007-08

> 1.51.3 - 1.51.1 - 1.30.9 - 1.10.7 - 0.90.5 - 0.7< 0.5Local Authority © Crown Copyright. All rights reserved.

Scottish Funding Council OSKW9912 (2009).

Glasgow area

Edinburgh area

Aberdeen area

Dundee area

Forth Valley

FE SPR for FTEs2007-08

> 1.5

1.3 - 1.5

1.1 - 1.3

0.9 - 1.1

0.7 - 0.9

0.5 - 0.7

< 0.5

Local Authority

Missing postcodes

Data zones imputed for students with no valid postcode

Use matching characteristics related to home location

HESA – local authority and previous institution (1.2 %)

FES - local authority, campus, college (1.2 %)

Population estimation

Mid-year population estimates from GROS by datazone, age, gender

Students recorded at term-time address

As FES and HESA record students at home address, useful if population estimates can be ‘corrected’ to do the same.

Population estimation 2

Two census tables used to adjust estimates: CAS012 - the number of schoolchildren

and students in full-time education living away from home in term-time.

T17 - the number of full-time students and schoolchildren in an area by their accommodation type.

Measuring participation

Rates in population Student sub-groups

Age-gender standardised rates Geographical comparisons Standardised Participation Ratio (SPR):

Observed / Expected if national rates applied

National SPR=1

Key findings from current report the total number of individuals studying in college

or university education has fallen between 2003-04 and 2007-08.

there is substantial geographical variation in levels of participation. Many areas that have relatively low participation in further education have relatively high participation in higher education, and vice versa

In college further education participation in the most deprived areas is 40 per cent higher than that in the less deprived in 2007-08

In college and university higher education participation is higher for women than men in all age groups. In 2007-08, among those aged 16-20, 24 per cent of women were in higher education, compared with 19 per cent of men

Participation Report on SFC Website www.sfc.ac.uk

Reports and PublicationsNov 2008

Next report (2004-05 to 2008-09) due in May 2010

Copies of Technical Report can be provided on request