heartland championship round 7

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HEARTLAND Championship Round Seven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D Last Met Win % TAB Odds Value Odds ASAP Margin Ratings Trend Match Day Form 30-07-08 03-10-09 Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton This looks a possible final again. Wanganui found the full team effort they’d threatened v S Canty. They broke the latter with Middleton, Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will. Mid Canty’s committed and abrasive pack held the territory their pivots gained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton this could be close, but you get the feeling MC will be better still in a few weeks. Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne Poverty Bay are hard to measure. They struggled v W Bush but turned on a traditional late running attack and got up on the whistle. You’d think in Gisborne they could get H-Kapiti as well but it wont be easy. The latter were to loose against a tremendously determined Mid Canty team. If they can better respect possession their own pack can match P Bay. Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru W-Bush went down on the gong to P Bay. With the points carry through this is a must win. They’ve got will and team ethic and Karaitiana is finding good position. They’ll need to tighten the defence and close S Canty’s excellent half back Sekope Maea. S Canty were exposed by Wanganui but they were served a ‘day of’ trip to Wanganui. They should compete better here. Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Both have lost all 6 this season and in the Heartland Cship TV are on 11 straight losses having not won since this meeting last season. EC’s streak is 14. TV contested up front in the rain, but failed at the loose ball v W Coast. They’re favoured to get this. EC were flattened by a resurgent N Otago but that fate waits others as well. Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru North Otago got going to late. That’s why they’re in the Lochore Cup. According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ the division is a no contest. They opened up E Coast, winning by over 50 with ten players scoring. Buller have been close often this season. They finally got there second, tipping up K Country. Higginson and Tafua deliver decent work rates but its hard to see them turning NO who are peaking. Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti The merit of K Country’s win over S Canty the previous week was exposed when Wanganui beat the latter by over 40 points. As it proved KC couldn’t repeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done by greater desire. W Coast’s pack stood up in tough conditions v TV and they found some space later. Hughes and Merritt offer plenty of skills and even up north WC should have too much. -WWLWWW Mid Cbury W 34-19 v H-Kapiti 6 5 1 0 12 - 27 83% $3.20 $2.60 -WLWWWW Wanganui W 59-14 v S Canty 6 5 1 0 25/10/08 83% $1.55 $1.70 W by 4 -WWWLWW Poverty Bay W 18-17 v W Bush 6 5 1 0 26 - 5 83% $1.55 $1.90 W by 2 -WWLWWL H-Kapiti L 19-34 v Mid Canty 6 4 2 0 25/10/08 67% $2.30 $2.10 -WLWWLL Sth Cbury L 14-59 v Wanganui 6 3 3 0 19 - 27 50% $1.85 $2.60 -LWWLWL Wair-Bush L 17-18 v Poverty Bay 6 3 3 0 30/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.70 W by 10 -LLLLLL Thames Val L 3-27 v West Coast 6 0 6 0 20 - 3 0% $1.16 $1.70 W by 7 -LLLLLL East Coast L 8-63 v North Otago 6 0 6 0 6/9/08 0% $4.50 $2.60 -LLWWLW North Otago W 63-8 v Est Cst 6 3 3 0 22 - 18 50% $1.11 $1.15 W by 22 -LWLLLW Buller W 20-17 v K Country 6 2 4 0 13/9/08 33% $5.50 $8.50 -LWLLWL K Country L 17-20 v Buller 6 2 4 0 22 - 24 33% $1.40 $2,60 -WLWWLW West Coast W 27-3 v Thames V 6 4 2 0 11/10/08 67% $2.70 $1.70 W by 1

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Get into all of the action of the Heartland Championship with this straightforward guide with sports results and predictions for round 7 of the rugby union game.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Heartland Championship Round 7

Ratings Performance Meter

HEARTLAND Championship Round Seven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-08 03-10-09

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton

This looks a possible final again.Wanganui found the full team effortthey’d threatened v S Canty. Theybroke the latter with Middleton,Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will.Mid Canty’s committed and abrasivepack held the territory their pivotsgained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton thiscould be close, but you get the feelingMC will be better still in a few weeks.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne

Poverty Bay are hard to measure.They struggled v W Bush but turnedon a traditional late running attack andgot up on the whistle. You’d think inGisborne they could get H-Kapiti aswell but it wont be easy. The latterwere to loose against a tremendouslydetermined Mid Canty team. If theycan better respect possession theirown pack can match P Bay.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru

W-Bush went down on the gong to PBay. With the points carry through thisis a must win. They’ve got will andteam ethic and Karaitiana is findinggood position. They’ll need to tightenthe defence and close S Canty’sexcellent half back Sekope Maea. SCanty were exposed by Wanganui butthey were served a ‘day of’ trip toWanganui. They should competebetter here.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha

This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Bothhave lost all 6 this season and in theHeartland Cship TV are on 11 straightlosses having not won since thismeeting last season. EC’s streak is 14.TV contested up front in the rain, butfailed at the loose ball v W Coast.They’re favoured to get this. EC wereflattened by a resurgent N Otago butthat fate waits others as well.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru

North Otago got going to late. That’swhy they’re in the Lochore Cup.According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ thedivision is a no contest. They openedup E Coast, winning by over 50 withten players scoring. Buller have beenclose often this season. They finallygot there second, tipping up KCountry. Higginson and Tafua deliverdecent work rates but its hard to seethem turning NO who are peaking.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti

The merit of K Country’s win over SCanty the previous week was exposedwhen Wanganui beat the latter by over40 points. As it proved KC couldn’trepeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done bygreater desire. W Coast’s pack stoodup in tough conditions v TV and theyfound some space later. Hughes andMerritt offer plenty of skills and evenup north WC should have too much.

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 2 Wanganui 6 5 1 0 W4 205 85 34 83% 5 25 1 25.5 $1.652 4 Mid Cbury 6 5 1 0 W3 149 113 25 83% 2 22 2 16.1 $3.753 5 Wair-Bush 6 3 3 0 L1 121 84 20 50% 3 15 3 10.6 $25.004 6 H-Kapiti 6 4 2 0 L1 154 108 26 67% 2 18 4 10.1 $40.005 3 Poverty Bay 6 5 1 0 W2 127 104 21 83% 2 22 3 9.7 $4.256 7 Sth Cbury 6 3 3 0 L2 102 153 17 50% 1 13 6 -0.6 $25.00

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 W1 206 95 34 50% 4 16 1 23.7 n/a2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 W1 118 120 20 67% 0 16 2 5.0 n/a3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0 W1 120 110 20 33% 4 12 3 1.9 n/a4 10 K Country 6 2 4 0 L1 117 131 20 33% 3 11 4 1.0 n/a5 12 Thames Val 6 0 6 0 L11 84 190 14 0% 3 3 5 -6.6 n/a6 11 East Coast 6 0 6 0 L14 57 267 10 0% 0 0 6 -13.4 n/a

-WWLWWW Mid Cbury W 34-19 v H-Kapiti 6 5 1 0 12 - 27 83% $3.20 $2.60

-WLWWWW Wanganui W 59-14 v S Canty 6 5 1 0 25/10/08 83% $1.55 $1.70 W by 4

-WWWLWW Poverty Bay W 18-17 v W Bush 6 5 1 0 26 - 5 83% $1.55 $1.90 W by 2

-WWLWWL H-Kapiti L 19-34 v Mid Canty 6 4 2 0 25/10/08 67% $2.30 $2.10

-WLWWLL Sth Cbury L 14-59 v Wanganui 6 3 3 0 19 - 27 50% $1.85 $2.60

-LWWLWL Wair-Bush L 17-18 v Poverty Bay 6 3 3 0 30/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.70 W by 10

-LLLLLL Thames Val L 3-27 v West Coast 6 0 6 0 20 - 3 0% $1.16 $1.70 W by 7

-LLLLLL East Coast L 8-63 v North Otago 6 0 6 0 6/9/08 0% $4.50 $2.60

-LLWWLW North Otago W 63-8 v Est Cst 6 3 3 0 22 - 18 50% $1.11 $1.15 W by 22

-LWLLLW Buller W 20-17 v K Country 6 2 4 0 13/9/08 33% $5.50 $8.50

-LWLLWL K Country L 17-20 v Buller 6 2 4 0 22 - 24 33% $1.40 $2,60

-WLWWLW West Coast W 27-3 v Thames V 6 4 2 0 11/10/08 67% $2.70 $1.70 W by 1

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

Page 2: Heartland Championship Round 7

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.

From: TBA

From: Glen Atkin , Hein Gerber  , Phil Beveridge  , Clark Nelson , Craig Moore , Ryan Hughes , Ben Coman  , Jamie Paul  , Brad Walters , Louis Roache , Luke Brownlee , Matt Parata  , Jay Smith  , Nick Makea , Nathan Thompson , Sam Marris , Daniel Hooper  , Mitieli Kaloudigibeci  , Marcus Taylor , Matt Bonisch , Stu Neigh-bours , Tema Faifua  , Peni Nabainavalu , Kevin Moore , Michael Mumm

From: Daniel Bokser, Jon Dampney, Paddy Davis, James Carr, Richard Fridd, Jason Gill, Joel Hewson, Jason Rickard, Travis Thompson (Southern), Michael Connell, Malcolm Cairns, Hayden Dwyer, Daniel Maw, Peter McAndrew, Matt Ryan, Tim O’Sullivan (Methven), James Buchanan, Jason Feutz (Celtic), Siaola Fifita, Siale Lolohea, Manase Nonu, Tokulua Tolu (Hampstead), Jeff Naish, Chad Stewart (Collegiate), Craig Dunlea (Rakaia)

From: Matt Gray, Josh Maynard, Colin Hovell, Murray Hewson, Chris Bell, Sione Ngatu, Ryan Sayer, Tavita Maka, Kele Bola, Scott Leighton (captain), John Stewart, Campbell Te Rito, Wade Owen, Josh Mahoni, Kahu Tamatea. Bench: Ralph McInally, Warwick Knox, Petelo Piliu, Jono Naoupu, Brent Ingram, Sam Bunny, Clayton Kiwara.

From: Glen Townsend, Duncan Leask, Jamie Gifkin, Klinton Wade, Sean Bagshaw (Waihou), Hayden Rasmus-sen, Dion Silvester, Chris Doak, Bevan Robinson, Brendan Firth, Blair Rawlins (Paeroa West), Gavin Brewster, Simon Adams, David Harrison (Hauraki North), Mike Nation, Luke McFarland (Tairua), Jarod Nel, Joe Murray (Thames), Hayden Cullen, Jarrad Hill (Mercury Bay), Esau Uiesi (Paeroa Old Boys), Vesi Raulini, Ben Titoko (Morrinsville Sports), Sam Clarke (East Coast Bays)

From: Matt Gilbert (Utiku), Sheldon O’Hagen (Ruapehu), Shaun McDonough (Ruapeheu), Justin Lock (Marist), Shane Ratima (Hunterville), Cole Baldwin (Pi-rates), Jon Smyth (Pirates), Nick Cranston (Ruapeheu), Fraser Hammond (Ruape-hu), Peter Rowe (Ruapehu), David Gower (Ruapehu), Darren Munro (Kaierau), Denning Tyrell (Kaierau), Ricky Alabaster (Taihape), Leon Mason (Ratana), Steelie Koro (Marist), Vance Pereka (Ratana), Lasa Ulukuta (Kaierau), Waisake Ratuni-deuba (City College), Cameron Crowley (Marist), Sam Scown (Marist), Asaeli Tikoirotuma (Kaierau), Fraser Middleton (Petone)

From: TBA

From: TBA

From: Palenapa Mafi, Mike Essex, Tavite Mafi, Cowan Finch, Seko Kalou, Viliami Leo, Ross Hay (captain), Joe Mamea, Nick Webster, Daniel Waenga, Lemi Masoe, Mike Mullins, Ekeroma Sefo, Ofa Fatai, Peter Breen. Reserves: Fraser Fletcher, Tokelau Tatafu, Lei’ataua Limuloa, Samisoni Tongotongo, Paula Fonokalafi, Jason Forrest, Hamish Clare.

From: Matt Fetu, Tenari Fagalima, Ben Hewitson, Simana Paea, Fainga’a Savi-ete, Andrew Scarlett, Brad Mori, Shan-non McRae, Maikara Deer, Eric Smith, Jarrod Hayman, Sekope Maea, Phil Candy, Scott Norton, Tristran Johnston, Tanu Suavine, Ewen Campbell, Kalifi Latu, Pat Tupuola, Malakai Fonua, James Owen, Ritchie Preston, Gideon Snow

From: Kurt Simmonds Jared Brock, Nick Beavon, Brett Rudman, Ben Pereira, Richard Puddy, Adam Marshall, Tomasi Kedrabuka, Andrew McLean, Brandon Young, Nathan Rolls, Duncan Law, Joe Feast, Joss Tua-Davidson, Jared Hawkins, Chris Senior, Nick Risdon, Api Matenga, Byron Karaitiana, Nathan Couch, Sili Tugaga, Sam Mitchell, Tommy Harmon, Heemi Tupaea, Jordan Watene, Junior Togia, Nick Olson, Siaosi Anamani

From: TBA

Buller

Horowhenua-Kapiti

Mid Canterbury Poverty Bay

Thames Valley

Wanganui

East Coast

King Country

North Otago

South Canterbury

Wairarapa-Bush

West Coast

Competion Ratings and Performance

Teams

Ratings Performance Meter

HEARTLAND Championship Round Seven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-08 03-10-09

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton

This looks a possible final again.Wanganui found the full team effortthey’d threatened v S Canty. Theybroke the latter with Middleton,Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will.Mid Canty’s committed and abrasivepack held the territory their pivotsgained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton thiscould be close, but you get the feelingMC will be better still in a few weeks.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne

Poverty Bay are hard to measure.They struggled v W Bush but turnedon a traditional late running attack andgot up on the whistle. You’d think inGisborne they could get H-Kapiti aswell but it wont be easy. The latterwere to loose against a tremendouslydetermined Mid Canty team. If theycan better respect possession theirown pack can match P Bay.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru

W-Bush went down on the gong to PBay. With the points carry through thisis a must win. They’ve got will andteam ethic and Karaitiana is findinggood position. They’ll need to tightenthe defence and close S Canty’sexcellent half back Sekope Maea. SCanty were exposed by Wanganui butthey were served a ‘day of’ trip toWanganui. They should competebetter here.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha

This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Bothhave lost all 6 this season and in theHeartland Cship TV are on 11 straightlosses having not won since thismeeting last season. EC’s streak is 14.TV contested up front in the rain, butfailed at the loose ball v W Coast.They’re favoured to get this. EC wereflattened by a resurgent N Otago butthat fate waits others as well.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru

North Otago got going to late. That’swhy they’re in the Lochore Cup.According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ thedivision is a no contest. They openedup E Coast, winning by over 50 withten players scoring. Buller have beenclose often this season. They finallygot there second, tipping up KCountry. Higginson and Tafua deliverdecent work rates but its hard to seethem turning NO who are peaking.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti

The merit of K Country’s win over SCanty the previous week was exposedwhen Wanganui beat the latter by over40 points. As it proved KC couldn’trepeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done bygreater desire. W Coast’s pack stoodup in tough conditions v TV and theyfound some space later. Hughes andMerritt offer plenty of skills and evenup north WC should have too much.

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 2 Wanganui 6 5 1 0 W4 205 85 34 83% 5 25 1 25.5 $1.652 4 Mid Cbury 6 5 1 0 W3 149 113 25 83% 2 22 2 16.1 $3.753 5 Wair-Bush 6 3 3 0 L1 121 84 20 50% 3 15 3 10.6 $25.004 6 H-Kapiti 6 4 2 0 L1 154 108 26 67% 2 18 4 10.1 $40.005 3 Poverty Bay 6 5 1 0 W2 127 104 21 83% 2 22 3 9.7 $4.256 7 Sth Cbury 6 3 3 0 L2 102 153 17 50% 1 13 6 -0.6 $25.00

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 W1 206 95 34 50% 4 16 1 23.7 n/a2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 W1 118 120 20 67% 0 16 2 5.0 n/a3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0 W1 120 110 20 33% 4 12 3 1.9 n/a4 10 K Country 6 2 4 0 L1 117 131 20 33% 3 11 4 1.0 n/a5 12 Thames Val 6 0 6 0 L11 84 190 14 0% 3 3 5 -6.6 n/a6 11 East Coast 6 0 6 0 L14 57 267 10 0% 0 0 6 -13.4 n/a

-WWLWWW Mid Cbury W 34-19 v H-Kapiti 6 5 1 0 12 - 27 83% $3.20 $2.60

-WLWWWW Wanganui W 59-14 v S Canty 6 5 1 0 25/10/08 83% $1.55 $1.70 W by 4

-WWWLWW Poverty Bay W 18-17 v W Bush 6 5 1 0 26 - 5 83% $1.55 $1.90 W by 2

-WWLWWL H-Kapiti L 19-34 v Mid Canty 6 4 2 0 25/10/08 67% $2.30 $2.10

-WLWWLL Sth Cbury L 14-59 v Wanganui 6 3 3 0 19 - 27 50% $1.85 $2.60

-LWWLWL Wair-Bush L 17-18 v Poverty Bay 6 3 3 0 30/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.70 W by 10

-LLLLLL Thames Val L 3-27 v West Coast 6 0 6 0 20 - 3 0% $1.16 $1.70 W by 7

-LLLLLL East Coast L 8-63 v North Otago 6 0 6 0 6/9/08 0% $4.50 $2.60

-LLWWLW North Otago W 63-8 v Est Cst 6 3 3 0 22 - 18 50% $1.11 $1.15 W by 22

-LWLLLW Buller W 20-17 v K Country 6 2 4 0 13/9/08 33% $5.50 $8.50

-LWLLWL K Country L 17-20 v Buller 6 2 4 0 22 - 24 33% $1.40 $2,60

-WLWWLW West Coast W 27-3 v Thames V 6 4 2 0 11/10/08 67% $2.70 $1.70 W by 1

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key