heat map nov 19 - melbourne airport...aop pax nov 19 \ aop pax oct-mar 20 green bottom 10...

5
Passenger Forecast by Terminal Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total INTERNATIONAL 950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372 T1 800,104 791,770 718,689 659,276 717,598 784,257 4,471,694 T3 682,844 689,705 644,039 611,887 582,882 652,747 3,864,104 T4 828,235 771,635 866,810 924,954 723,917 765,307 4,880,858 Total International Pax Forecast 950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372 Total Domestic Pax Forecast 2,311,183 2,253,110 2,229,538 2,196,117 2,024,397 2,202,311 13,216,656 Total Pax Forecast 3,261,390 3,222,602 3,342,378 3,357,494 2,983,797 3,144,367 19,312,028 Oct AOP Variance Analysis - Forecast to Budget Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total 3+9 Pax Foreast (International) 950,207 948,943 1,111,560 1,138,956 930,344 937,485 6,017,495 3+9 Pax Forecast (Domestic) 2,317,149 2,231,388 2,198,260 2,220,595 1,942,596 2,193,477 13,103,465 Variance to 6+6 (International) - 20,549 1,280 22,421 29,056 4,571 77,877 Variance to 6+6 (Domestic) (5,966) 21,722 31,278 (24,478) 81,801 8,833 113,191 Total Variance to 3+9 (5,966) 42,271 32,558 (2,057) 110,857 13,404 191,067 Oct AOP Passenger Forecast by Airline Airline Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total QANTAS 179,689 176,935 187,384 186,978 162,679 170,281 1,063,946 JETSTAR 114,540 108,240 112,614 119,986 95,202 97,775 648,357 EMIRATES 57,291 55,761 72,165 70,076 55,924 56,995 368,212 SINGAPORE AIRLINES 66,820 72,320 78,353 82,559 63,929 64,873 428,854 AIR NEW ZEALAND 63,131 75,157 81,921 83,373 76,700 82,334 462,616 CATHAY PACIFIC 50,579 49,099 56,993 55,625 51,750 47,572 311,618 VIRGIN AUSTRALIA 55,778 47,826 59,554 60,113 48,088 52,862 324,221 ETIHAD 27,766 25,797 33,714 32,090 25,714 21,201 166,282 THAI AIRWAYS INTL 28,232 34,054 35,690 37,376 33,346 30,163 198,861 CHINA SOUTHERN AIR 30,144 38,278 50,213 64,519 47,958 39,401 270,513 MALAYSIA 30,724 31,651 38,478 39,093 35,632 27,910 203,488 QATAR AIRWAYS 22,214 20,235 26,436 28,640 21,681 21,293 140,499 GARUDA INDONESIA AIR 22,662 19,360 22,855 24,748 16,283 13,895 119,803 CHINA EASTERN 18,482 26,625 26,290 38,046 37,798 28,927 176,168 VIETNAM AIRLINES 13,484 13,224 16,176 15,755 14,469 15,045 88,153 OTHER INTERNATIONAL 168,671 174,930 214,004 222,400 172,247 171,531 1,123,783 TOTAL INTERNATIONAL PAX FORECAST 950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372 QANTAS DOMESTIC 800,104 791,770 718,689 659,276 717,598 784,257 4,471,694 VIRGIN AUSTRALIA DOMESTIC 682,844 689,705 644,039 611,887 582,882 652,747 3,864,104 JETSTAR AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 580,122 527,020 615,532 667,903 493,633 559,120 3,443,330 TIGER AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 224,888 222,572 226,105 235,093 209,159 240,648 1,358,465 REGIONAL EXPRESS 20,218 19,093 21,977 19,587 18,882 21,290 121,047 AIR NORTH REGIONAL 3,007 2,950 3,196 2,371 2,243 3,119 16,886 TOTAL DOMESTIC PAX FORECAST 2,311,183 2,253,110 2,229,538 2,196,117 2,024,397 2,261,181 13,275,526 Oct AOP Forecast pax Nov 19 Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight Airport Operations Plan - Whole of Airport November 19 COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19 Seat Capacity Trend HEAT MAP Nov 19 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19 Seat Load Factor (%) by Month Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19 SLF Nov 19 82.3% 3.22m Forecast Seats Nov 19 3.92m 125 91 96 95 85 107 109 119 89 107 110 96 109 115 123 91 111 114 103 111 119 129 97 111 113 102 110 117 125 93 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Aircraft Movements Passengers (THousands) Movements Passengers 4,025 127 - - 421 - 4,045 - 212 50 - 265 700 1200 1700 2200 2700 3200 3700 4200 4700 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period Forecast Seats Increase Decrease Base 80.6% 82.3% 80.9% 80.4% 79.4% 76.2% 65.0% 67.0% 69.0% 71.0% 73.0% 75.0% 77.0% 79.0% 81.0% 83.0% 85.0% - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 October November December January February March Seat Load Factor Seats and Passengers (Thousands) Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 28 Oct 50,900 45,991 50,743 55,198 60,951 43,133 46,363 4 Nov 50,234 49,931 55,657 56,977 60,545 46,079 53,544 11 Nov 54,461 48,446 54,896 58,723 63,262 45,961 55,457 18 Nov 55,480 50,047 54,724 58,486 64,001 47,189 53,532 25 Nov 54,104 49,271 54,394 58,947 63,655 48,603 54,053 Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 28 Oct 57,127 49,552 50,829 57,565 64,203 48,141 49,602 4 Nov 44,947 35,357 51,126 52,051 57,993 42,622 53,290 11 Nov 55,910 47,809 53,792 56,408 59,386 45,297 55,979 18 Nov 58,209 52,634 56,720 60,142 65,001 49,961 57,126 25 Nov 59,384 53,044 55,592 58,284 60,984 44,555 56,385

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Page 1: HEAT MAP Nov 19 - Melbourne Airport...AOP Pax Nov 19 \ AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passenger Forecast by Terminal

Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

INTERNATIONAL 950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372

T1 800,104 791,770 718,689 659,276 717,598 784,257 4,471,694

T3 682,844 689,705 644,039 611,887 582,882 652,747 3,864,104

T4 828,235 771,635 866,810 924,954 723,917 765,307 4,880,858

Total International Pax Forecast950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372

Total Domestic Pax Forecast2,311,183 2,253,110 2,229,538 2,196,117 2,024,397 2,202,311 13,216,656

Total Pax Forecast3,261,390 3,222,602 3,342,378 3,357,494 2,983,797 3,144,367 19,312,028

Oct AOP

Variance Analysis - Forecast to Budget

Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

3+9 Pax Foreast (International) 950,207 948,943 1,111,560 1,138,956 930,344 937,485 6,017,495

3+9 Pax Forecast (Domestic) 2,317,149 2,231,388 2,198,260 2,220,595 1,942,596 2,193,477 13,103,465

Variance to 6+6 (International) - 20,549 1,280 22,421 29,056 4,571 77,877

Variance to 6+6 (Domestic) (5,966) 21,722 31,278 (24,478) 81,801 8,833 113,191

Total Variance to 3+9 (5,966) 42,271 32,558 (2,057) 110,857 13,404 191,067

Oct AOP

Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

QANTAS 179,689 176,935 187,384 186,978 162,679 170,281 1,063,946

JETSTAR 114,540 108,240 112,614 119,986 95,202 97,775 648,357

EMIRATES 57,291 55,761 72,165 70,076 55,924 56,995 368,212

SINGAPORE AIRLINES 66,820 72,320 78,353 82,559 63,929 64,873 428,854

AIR NEW ZEALAND 63,131 75,157 81,921 83,373 76,700 82,334 462,616

CATHAY PACIFIC 50,579 49,099 56,993 55,625 51,750 47,572 311,618

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA 55,778 47,826 59,554 60,113 48,088 52,862 324,221

ETIHAD 27,766 25,797 33,714 32,090 25,714 21,201 166,282

THAI AIRWAYS INTL 28,232 34,054 35,690 37,376 33,346 30,163 198,861

CHINA SOUTHERN AIR 30,144 38,278 50,213 64,519 47,958 39,401 270,513

MALAYSIA 30,724 31,651 38,478 39,093 35,632 27,910 203,488

QATAR AIRWAYS 22,214 20,235 26,436 28,640 21,681 21,293 140,499

GARUDA INDONESIA AIR 22,662 19,360 22,855 24,748 16,283 13,895 119,803

CHINA EASTERN 18,482 26,625 26,290 38,046 37,798 28,927 176,168

VIETNAM AIRLINES 13,484 13,224 16,176 15,755 14,469 15,045 88,153

OTHER INTERNATIONAL 168,671 174,930 214,004 222,400 172,247 171,531 1,123,783

TOTAL INTERNATIONAL PAX FORECAST 950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372

QANTAS DOMESTIC 800,104 791,770 718,689 659,276 717,598 784,257 4,471,694

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA DOMESTIC 682,844 689,705 644,039 611,887 582,882 652,747 3,864,104

JETSTAR AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 580,122 527,020 615,532 667,903 493,633 559,120 3,443,330

TIGER AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 224,888 222,572 226,105 235,093 209,159 240,648 1,358,465

REGIONAL EXPRESS 20,218 19,093 21,977 19,587 18,882 21,290 121,047

AIR NORTH REGIONAL 3,007 2,950 3,196 2,371 2,243 3,119 16,886

TOTAL DOMESTIC PAX FORECAST 2,311,183 2,253,110 2,229,538 2,196,117 2,024,397 2,261,181 13,275,526

Oct AOP

Forecast pax Nov 19

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Airport Operations Plan - Whole of Airport November 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19

Seat Capacity Trend

HEAT MAP Nov 19Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by MonthAverage Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19

SLF Nov 19

82.3%3.22m

Forecast Seats Nov 19

3.92m

125

91

96 95

85

107 109

119

89

107 110

96

109

115

123

91

111 114

103

111

119

129

97

111 113

102

110

117

125

93

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

nts

Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

san

ds)

Movements Passengers

4,025

127 - -

421 -

4,045

- 212 50 -

265

700

1200

1700

2200

2700

3200

3700

4200

4700

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

80.6%

82.3%

80.9% 80.4%

79.4%

76.2%

65.0%

67.0%

69.0%

71.0%

73.0%

75.0%

77.0%

79.0%

81.0%

83.0%

85.0%

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

s an

d P

asse

nge

rs (

Tho

usa

nd

s)

Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 50,900 45,991 50,743 55,198 60,951 43,133 46,363

4 Nov 50,234 49,931 55,657 56,977 60,545 46,079 53,544

11 Nov 54,461 48,446 54,896 58,723 63,262 45,961 55,457

18 Nov 55,480 50,047 54,724 58,486 64,001 47,189 53,532

25 Nov 54,104 49,271 54,394 58,947 63,655 48,603 54,053

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 57,127 49,552 50,829 57,565 64,203 48,141 49,602

4 Nov 44,947 35,357 51,126 52,051 57,993 42,622 53,290

11 Nov 55,910 47,809 53,792 56,408 59,386 45,297 55,979

18 Nov 58,209 52,634 56,720 60,142 65,001 49,961 57,126

25 Nov 59,384 53,044 55,592 58,284 60,984 44,555 56,385

Page 2: HEAT MAP Nov 19 - Melbourne Airport...AOP Pax Nov 19 \ AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

179,689 176,935 187,384 186,978 162,679 170,281 1,063,946

114,540 108,240 112,614 119,986 95,202 97,775 648,357

57,291 55,761 72,165 70,076 55,924 56,995 368,212

66,820 72,320 78,353 82,559 63,929 64,873 428,854

63,131 75,157 81,921 83,373 76,700 82,334 462,616

50,579 49,099 56,993 55,625 51,750 47,572 311,618

55,778 47,826 59,554 60,113 48,088 52,862 324,221

27,766 25,797 33,714 32,090 25,714 21,201 166,282

28,232 34,054 35,690 37,376 33,346 30,163 198,861

30,144 38,278 50,213 64,519 47,958 39,401 270,513

30,724 31,651 38,478 39,093 35,632 27,910 203,488

22,214 20,235 26,436 28,640 21,681 21,293 140,499

22,662 19,360 22,855 24,748 16,283 13,895 119,803

18,482 26,625 26,290 38,046 37,798 28,927 176,168

13,484 13,224 16,176 15,755 14,469 15,045 88,153

13,046 12,092 18,670 20,946 13,184 13,611 91,549

16,957 21,830 32,809 34,471 16,977 17,300 140,344

8,850 8,502 12,536 13,248 10,755 8,624 62,515

7,287 14,320 15,610 14,946 14,044 14,723 80,930

8,288 8,722 11,235 7,008 5,774 7,013 48,040

7,492 4,192 4,285 5,193 5,347 5,070 31,579

8,064 9,514 13,316 14,456 10,900 9,958 66,208

5,928 6,135 6,379 6,474 6,161 6,059 37,136

9,316 7,727 7,766 8,500 7,269 7,598 48,176

6,338 7,369 9,004 9,679 8,474 7,282 48,146

4,682 4,657 4,797 5,227 4,225 4,173 27,761

7,292 8,093 7,911 8,904 7,961 8,172 48,333

10,749 10,433 10,327 11,157 10,529 10,131 63,326

2,791 2,304 3,018 3,561 2,670 1,976 16,320

8,833 5,515 5,595 5,452 5,397 5,590 36,382

14,312 14,521 17,361 16,226 14,174 14,663 91,257

2,255 3,780 4,664 6,721 3,628 3,898 24,946

6,459 7,876 8,170 9,139 7,779 8,094 47,517

8,602 7,558 8,559 9,147 8,242 7,349 49,457

7,728 6,462 8,664 8,617 7,221 6,845 45,537

3,402 3,328 3,328 3,328 1,536 3,401 18,323

- - 300 1,950 1,080 - 3,330

Total Pax Forecast950,207 969,492 1,112,840 1,161,377 959,400 942,056 6,095,372

3+9 Pax Forecast/Budget950,207 948,943 1,111,560 1,138,956 930,344 937,485 6,017,495

Variance- 20,549 1,280 22,421 29,056 4,571 77,877

OCT AOP Actual Actual Actual Sep AOP

AOP Pax Nov 19

\

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passengers

6.10m

969k 4.3k

Seats Oct- Mar 20

7.51m

1.20m

Seats Nov 19

HEAT MAP Nov 19

November 19Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 2

27.1k

AC Mov Nov 19

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

T2 Seat Capacity Trend

Terminal 2 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19

Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19

35

34 34

29

27

29 30

32

34 34

32

27

30

32

33

34

36

33

30

32 31

34 35

36

33

29

31

33

36 35

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

nts

Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

san

ds)

Movements Passengers

1,221

-

-

-

179

-

1,196

8

126

39 -

31

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

79%

81%

84%

85%

81%

77%

65%

67%

69%

71%

73%

75%

77%

79%

81%

83%

85%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

ad F

acto

r

Seat

s an

d P

asse

nge

rs (

Tho

usa

nd

s)

Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 15,495 14,544 15,503 16,432 17,316 16,914 17,839

4 Nov 15,694 15,314 15,375 15,580 16,531 17,288 18,234

11 Nov 15,707 13,665 14,511 15,911 16,901 16,891 18,388

18 Nov 15,789 13,996 15,165 14,568 16,091 16,470 17,362

25 Nov 14,776 13,158 14,162 15,397 17,250 17,342 18,185

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 13,802 13,768 13,884 15,837 17,660 16,770 15,815

4 Nov 13,712 11,937 14,103 14,092 15,157 16,664 16,037

11 Nov 15,895 13,331 15,012 15,883 16,564 17,364 17,385

18 Nov 17,178 15,732 16,504 16,831 18,153 18,243 18,641

25 Nov 17,915 16,254 16,856 17,786 18,351 18,082 18,240

Page 3: HEAT MAP Nov 19 - Melbourne Airport...AOP Pax Nov 19 \ AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 226,918 233,137 206,958 192,848 186,449 215,350 1,261,660

BRISBANE 108,722 110,520 96,295 90,243 83,522 98,825 588,127

ADELAIDE 78,136 79,369 78,036 72,665 73,258 78,120 459,584

PERTH 53,920 55,661 58,292 58,649 46,896 54,972 328,390

GOLD COAST 56,816 57,700 59,011 62,210 52,188 56,111 344,036

HOBART 36,200 36,372 39,520 36,956 36,931 38,301 224,280

CANBERRA 38,273 35,939 28,521 22,950 32,084 33,605 191,372

LAUNCESTON 25,266 23,711 23,573 22,057 24,286 23,949 142,842

SUNSHINE COAST 19,567 19,404 19,783 20,692 16,707 19,445 115,598

CAIRNS 10,705 8,802 7,788 7,724 6,977 7,498 49,494

DARWIN 8,209 6,543 6,664 6,493 6,181 7,406 41,496

WILLIAMTOWN 9,094 10,485 7,447 7,458 7,200 8,073 49,757

HAMILTON ISLAND 4,961 5,520 5,338 4,765 4,933 4,974 30,491

MILDURA 5,310 5,544 5,809 5,309 4,678 5,406 32,056

KALGOORLIE 747 998 1,004 868 592 713 4,922

OTHER - - - - - - -

TOTAL 682,844 689,705 644,039 611,887 582,882 652,747 3,864,104

OCT AOP

AOP Pax Nov 19

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Nov 19

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19

Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 3 November 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCEPassengers

Terminal 3 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

AOP Passengers Nov 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20 Seats Oct- Mar 20

T3 Seat Capacity Trend

AC Mov Nov 19 Seats Nov 19

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19

3.9m 28.6k 5.1m

690k 4.8k 859k

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20

80% 76%

28

17

18

19

18

23

24

27

17

24 24

21

23

26

28

17

25 25

22

24

26

30

19

24

24

22

24

25

27

18

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

nts

Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

san

ds)

Movements Passengers

77%

80%

75%

73% 74% 74%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

ad F

acto

r

Seat

s an

d P

asse

nge

rs (

Tho

usa

nd

s)

Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

888

23

-

22

47

-882

-

0 -

- 98

700

720

740

760

780

800

820

840

860

880

900

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 13,097 10,402 10,882 12,615 14,948 9,422 9,763

4 Nov 9,016 6,582 10,875 11,737 13,415 7,855 12,423

11 Nov 12,254 10,572 11,446 12,487 13,262 8,439 12,520

18 Nov 12,591 11,089 12,296 13,449 15,005 9,872 12,527

25 Nov 12,359 11,088 11,777 12,150 12,997 8,050 12,425

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 10,564 8,889 10,292 11,034 13,051 7,192 7,849

4 Nov 10,277 11,454 11,883 12,660 13,918 8,829 11,449

11 Nov 12,093 10,462 12,020 13,202 14,779 8,783 11,981

18 Nov 12,037 10,783 11,612 13,020 15,433 9,123 11,158

25 Nov 12,113 11,067 12,019 12,908 14,468 9,816 11,405

Page 4: HEAT MAP Nov 19 - Melbourne Airport...AOP Pax Nov 19 \ AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

SYDNEY 351,088 341,540 299,025 277,277 325,474 345,308 1,939,712

BRISBANE 123,504 124,331 115,218 105,115 101,569 115,817 685,554

CANBERRA 59,822 59,775 52,233 36,256 56,072 64,814 328,972

ADELAIDE 86,555 84,981 74,758 65,909 76,574 83,021 471,798

PERTH 70,772 73,157 76,494 76,514 63,142 71,923 432,002

HOBART 28,694 28,530 26,901 27,387 28,344 29,329 169,185

LAUNCESTON 14,686 13,691 12,362 11,826 12,980 13,692 79,237

DEVONPORT 13,311 12,504 12,177 11,451 11,531 12,351 73,325

MILDURA 10,348 10,379 9,005 8,616 9,436 11,204 58,988

CAIRNS 10,050 11,914 11,238 10,213 9,355 10,994 63,764

GOLD COAST 10,396 12,550 12,039 12,896 9,477 11,060 68,418

ALICE SPRINGS 8,271 6,398 5,668 5,283 4,075 4,264 33,959

DARWIN 8,580 8,091 7,205 6,232 6,130 7,882 44,120

HAMILTON ISLAND 2,936 3,929 3,138 3,096 2,843 2,596 18,538

KINGSCOTE AIRPORT - - 569 746 - - 1,315

BROOME 1,091 - 394 162 - - 1,647

OTHER - - 265 297 596 - 1,158

TOTAL 800,104 791,770 718,689 659,276 717,598 784,257 4,471,694

OCT AOP

l

AOP Pax Nov 19

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Nov 19

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Terminal 1 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19

Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 1 November 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCEPassengers

HEAT MAP Nov 19

T1 Seat Capacity TrendAverage Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19

792k 5.7k 970kSeat Load Factor (%) by Month

AC Mov Nov 19 Seats Nov 19

Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20 Seats Oct- Mar 20

82% 78%

4.5m 33.6k 5.7m

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20

33

17

19

20

19

30 30

31

15

22

28

26

31 31 32

16

23

29

28

32

34 35

18

23

29

28

32

33 33

16

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

12

17

22

27

32

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

nts

Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

san

ds)

Movements Passengers

79.9%

81.6%

78.3%

74.5%

77.5%

70.8%

64.0%

66.0%

68.0%

70.0%

72.0%

74.0%

76.0%

78.0%

80.0%

82.0%

84.0%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

s an

d P

asse

nge

rs (

Tho

usa

nd

s)

Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

1,001

31

53

32

0

0

1,001

0

0

0

40

75

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 15,968 13,901 13,895 15,668 16,515 9,618 10,257

4 Nov 9,538 7,140 14,275 13,980 15,356 7,015 11,219

11 Nov 14,397 12,977 15,377 15,102 15,125 7,803 11,846

18 Nov 14,871 14,157 15,720 16,714 16,971 9,553 11,732

25 Nov 15,411 14,461 15,176 15,616 15,325 7,343 11,967

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 12,145 12,044 14,267 15,136 16,639 7,338 8,549

4 Nov 10,961 11,378 15,608 15,845 16,089 7,886 10,814

11 Nov 13,195 12,729 16,067 16,068 16,880 7,824 11,468

18 Nov 13,924 13,478 15,973 17,611 17,694 8,693 11,517

25 Nov 13,808 13,282 16,479 17,173 17,452 8,758 11,336

Page 5: HEAT MAP Nov 19 - Melbourne Airport...AOP Pax Nov 19 \ AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20 Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 231,809 220,646 248,823 268,727 224,990 237,994 1,432,989

GOLD COAST 107,698 88,954 106,974 115,143 74,030 77,895 570,694

BRISBANE 91,630 79,539 93,522 99,481 72,034 78,672 514,878

HOBART 66,710 74,124 86,743 97,406 79,182 80,377 484,542

ADELAIDE 55,400 55,115 58,740 60,600 54,716 58,706 343,277

LAUNCESTON 38,054 43,739 52,197 60,785 44,453 44,741 283,969

CAIRNS 55,360 43,837 44,595 43,475 29,900 31,839 249,006

PERTH 33,427 35,489 38,885 41,295 34,098 35,616 218,810

WILLIAMTOWN 33,643 29,262 31,287 30,938 28,005 29,205 182,340

SUNSHINE COAST 31,759 26,867 25,599 26,762 18,361 20,260 149,608

TOWNSVILLE 11,512 8,855 11,261 11,216 5,048 5,510 53,402

CANBERRA 10,257 11,234 9,415 11,148 10,105 10,832 62,991

BYRON BAY 8,037 9,697 9,464 10,166 8,052 8,790 54,206

DARWIN 9,396 5,216 7,371 8,036 4,977 5,745 40,741

AYERS ROCK 9,171 6,551 6,436 6,467 6,170 6,931 41,726

COFFS HARBOUR 5,366 4,862 4,658 5,653 3,764 4,258 28,561

OTHER 29,006 27,648 30,840 27,656 26,032 27,935 169,117

TOTAL 828,235 771,635 866,810 924,954 723,917 765,307 4,880,858

Oct Aop

AOP Pax Nov 19

0

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Nov 19

Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 4 November 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCEPassengers

772k 5.4k 885k

Terminal 4 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Nov 19

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Nov 19

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

HEAT MAP Nov 19

T4 Seat Capacity Trend

AC Mov Nov 19 Seats Nov 19

Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Nov 19 Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

87% 85%

4.9m 34.9k 5.7m

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20 Seats Oct- Mar 20

29

24

26 26

21

25 25

28

23

27 27

23

24

26

29

24

28 27

23 24

26

30

25

28 27

23 24

26

29

24

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

nts

Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

san

ds)

Movements Passengers

86%

87%

85% 85%

85%

84%

79%

80%

81%

82%

83%

84%

85%

86%

87%

88%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

s an

d P

asse

nge

rs (

Tho

usa

nd

s)

Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

915

81

-

-

235

-

966

-139

65

-

61

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 12,696 10,514 10,681 12,596 13,945 11,689 12,126

4 Nov 13,302 11,785 12,791 12,892 14,007 12,076 13,047

11 Nov 13,466 11,590 12,298 13,542 14,702 12,463 13,620

18 Nov 13,730 11,790 11,974 13,287 14,783 12,903 13,495

25 Nov 13,407 11,764 11,734 13,469 14,485 12,687 13,127

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun28 Oct 14,260 11,481 12,168 13,445 15,080 12,331 13,767

4 Nov 12,681 9,698 11,873 12,242 14,065 11,088 13,611

11 Nov 13,364 10,929 11,957 12,936 14,435 11,691 14,228

18 Nov 13,569 11,656 12,200 13,148 14,872 12,293 14,226

25 Nov 13,699 11,241 11,783 12,732 14,311 11,080 13,753