hera group 9m 2012 results

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Resilient through the storm Hera Group 9M 2012 results Analyst presentation 13 th November 2012 www.gruppohera.it

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Hera Group senior management presents and discuss Hera 9M financial results: related web cast and conference call is scheduled on 13 November 2012 at 16.00 CET.

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Page 1: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Resilient through the stormHera Group 9M 2012 results

Analyst presentation13th November 2012

www.gruppohera.it

Page 2: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

1

Business mix allows EPS up by +3.7% in 9months despite persistent difficult macroenvironment.

Energy and Network underpin growth morethan compensating Waste performanceaffected by Cip6 incentive expired in 2011 onBologna WTE and by negative effects ofcontracted manufacturing production.

Cash generation fully funding capex andchange in working capital.

Net debt at 2,115m€ following Group’s dividendpayments.

Q3 less performing of H1 because of change infair values and seasonal lower contribution fromEnergy due to summer period.

Sound and growing results despite difficult environment

467

241

68 70

243

474

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Ebitda Ebit Net profit post min.

9M '11 9M '12

+1.5%

+0.9%

+3.7%

Page 3: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Confirming bottom line positive growth

All up: Tariffs,volumes, energyprices, customers.

Financial chargesreflect change indebt and creditspreads.

2

Avg. tax rate 45.9%(vs 46.2% in 9m ’11)

End of Cip6incentive on FEAWTE (Bologna).

Ebitda growth notaccounting effect ofCip6 expiry: +4.0% .

Page 4: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

473.6466.7 +7.9

(12.0)

+11.0

200

300

400

500

9M '11 Cip6 FEA Syn. &Org.G.

M&A 9M '12

Ebitda further enhance despite all

Balanced mix offsets recession impact

Ebitda still posting a positive growth

Ebitda growth drivers

Ebitda by strategic area

3

• Waste affected by recession impact and byCip6 expiry. Q3 highlights a slow down inspecial waste negative volume trend (-0.7%in Q/Q).

• Network Ebitda increase relates to tariffenhancements and efficiency gains, mainlyin water services.

• Energy posted positive contribution, despitenegative impact of change in fair values,benefitting from trading margins, volumesdelivered and customer expansion.

• Organic growth driven by gas supply andwater tariff increase.

• Market expansion progressed, reaching535k costumers in electricity and 1.12m ingas.

• M&A relates to Sadori Gas (July 2011), 4MWFV acquisition (Feb. 2012) and a plus on realestate sale (6m€).

Page 5: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Cash flows in line with expectation

9M ’12 cash generation fully funded change in working capital and capex (net of 17 m€dismissions) confirming positive free cash flows (excluding dividends and M&A)

M&A mainly relates to acquisition of 4 solar plants and the majority stake in a landfill in Modena (Feronia).

Net debts at 2,115 m€ following dividend payments (vs. 1,987m€ as at 31/12/2011) substantially confirming H1 levels.

Solid financial debt profile confirmed:Fixed Rate: 62.5%Maturities by the end of 2013: 258m€Committed credit lines: 420m€

4

9M 2012 cash flows(m€)

+13.6

+265

(127.8)

(114)

(27)

(12)(73)

(167)

-180

-130

-80

-30

20

70

120

170

220

270

Oper.CF*

NetCapex

NWC Prov. &Other

FreeCF

M&A Other

Divid.&Min.

Ch.Debt

0

FCF pre-extra

* Net profit pre-minorities+Depreciations+ IAS non cash interest expenses

Page 6: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

(6.0)

+0.4+0.9

Revenues mainly affected by change in energy

incentives (Cip6 expiry of about -12m€).

EBITDA highlight a progressive enhancement

since Q1*.

Green energy production posted a slightincrease (from 520 to around 540 Gwh).

Sorted collection confirmed at 50% of urbanwaste.

Two new dry fermentation plants underconstruction planned on stream by year end.

Q3 volume of special waste confirmed stablearound 361k tons (vs. 365k ton in Q3 2011).

Sales & volume treated

Financial highlights

5

Waste: proactive mgmt progressively curb Q1 negative trends

Ebitda trend by 2012 quarters (m€)(excluding effect of Cip6 incentive expiry)

Q1 Q2 Q3

0

*In Q1 2012 extraordinary snowfall effects, lower capitalisation of costs and fewer green certificates were booked

Page 7: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Water: strong results

Volumes

Financial highlights Revenues growth, mainly driven bytariffs increase.

Third parties works/new connectionsstill affected by weak real estateindustry (-2.6m€ Ebitda vs 2011).

ATO contracts in force until the end ofthe year on ~100% of areas served. Newtariff framework expected to be releasedby AEEG within year end.

EBITDA increase, mainly driven byrevenue growth, despite higher costs(+2.4% vs 2011) of electricity, of freshwater (+1.4m€ Ebitda vs 2011) andextraordinary one-off costs related to thedrought summer.

6

Page 8: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Gas: still benefitting from competitive positioning

Volumes

Financial highlights Revenues growth mainly driven by highercommodity prices, favourable climateconditions and additional trading volumes.

Trading activities still expanding thanks tothe activity in “mercato di bilanciamento”and additional sales to power generationplants.

Gas distribution activities posted positivecontribution (+3m€ Ebitda vs 2011) followingnetwork expansion and favourable climateconditions.

Results affected by change in fair values

Procurement contracts 2012-2013 thermalseason provide room to further enhanceresults in Q4.

7

Page 9: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Electricity: business fundamentals still reasonably sound

Volumes

Financial highlightsRevenues growth mainly driven by highercommodity prices. Volumes sold reflectingrecession effects (-2.3% electricityconsumptions in Italy*).

Good commercial performance brought anet increase of cutomer base by (+53Kreaching 534K clients).

EBITDA comparison with 2011 biased by thepositive contribution from fair values ofhedging derivatives accounted as at30/09/2011.

Positive contribution came from distributionactivities and from solar power gen.

8*Data released by Terna

Page 10: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Energy sales & trading activities and Water posting sound results.

Waste confirmed positive trend of results in last two quarter (when excludingeffect of Cip6 expiry) and marked a progressive reduction of negative trendsin volumes.

Economic downturn not tangibly affecting financial structure (confirmed inline with H1 2012).

Energonut acquisition executed in November the 5th and Acegas APS mergerproject is progressing as scheduled.

9

In summary

9M 2012 in line with management expectations.

Page 11: Hera Group 9M 2012 results

Q&A session