herbalife ir plan
DESCRIPTION
IR Plan for Herbalife. Created by Vera, Nirav and Danyu.TRANSCRIPT
Investor Relations Plan- Danyu Wang- Nirav Suchak- Qinqian Tang
Directory
Situation Analysis
IR Goals
Audience Messages
Strategies
Tactics Calendar
Budget
Measurement
Company Introduction
Company Introduction
• Healthcare multi-level marketing company
• Products – Weight management, Targeted nutrition, Energy & Fitness and Personal Care
• 2.5 Million distributors operate across 80 countries• Competes with companies in the Pharmaceutical and
Biotechnology industry
① Situation Analysis
Strengths Healthy pipeline of products Strong logistic footprint Supported by well known investors
like Carl Icahn Good financial performance and
steady growth
Weaknesses
Business model not well understood Business relies on employee
confidence about products Criticized as pyramid scheme
Opportunities
Multi-level marketing model is efficient Business has grown across 80
countries and still expanding Media is actively interested in the
company
Threats
Attacked publicly by investors like Bill Ackman
Possibly investigated by SEC for being a pyramid scheme
Negative news such like insider trading jeopardizes reputation
• SWOT Analysis
• Financial Performance
① Situation Analysis
Full Year 4Q 1Q
2012 2011 Change 2012 2011 Change 2013 2012 Change
Revenue $4.07B $3.45B 17.88% $1.06B $884.57M 19.76% $952M $822M 15.82%
Earning $477.19M $412.58M 15.66% $117.88M $105.36M 11.89% $119M $108M 10.19%
Operating Margin 16.40% 16.50% -10BP 15.30% 15.40% -10BP 17.75% 18.76% -1.01P
EPS 4.05 3.3 22.72% 1.04 0.86 20.93% 1.10 0.88 25%
Positive change in revenues and earnings compared to the previous year indicates that Herbalife enjoys good financial health.
① Situation Analysis• Financial Performance
2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
1
2
3
4
5
6
Financial Growth Trend
Revenue(B)
EPS
Operating Margin(10%)
Earning(100M)
① Situation Analysis
• Financial Performance Insight
Strong financial
performance
Increasing growth rate
Insight:
Profitable company
• Stock Performance (1 year)
① Situation Analysis
① Situation Analysis
• Stock Performance
Since the previous year, stock price of the market and Herbalife’s peers has increased.
But Herbalife’s stock price decreased significantly, especially around January when Ackman’s criticism came out.
Negative media attention has impacted the stock price significantly.
• Relative Evaluation
① Situation Analysis
HLF PG CL GNC Industry S & P 500
P/E(ttm)
8.82 18.08 22.69 18.43 24.13 17.94
PEG 0.55 2.50 2.12 0.84 - -
P/BV 9.05 3.34 25.30 4.87 - -
P/S(ttm)
0.95 2.63 3.24 1.77 - -
① Situation Analysis
Dividend history &
dividend yield HLF maintains a high dividend
and dividend yield
Good ROI for stockholders
Considering dividend history, stock is attractive for yield investors
Herbalife Dividend – 1.20 Dividend yield – 3.09
① Situation Analysis
• Evaluation Insights Herbalife shows a consistent increase in revenues and sales. Its
performance in this year compared to the previous also indicates a steady positive growth.
In comparison to the industry and the overall market, the P/E ratio of Herbalife is quite low.
Compared with peers like P&G and GNC, Herbalife’s P/E, P/S and PEG Ratio are lower.
Herbalife is undervalued when compared to peer companies, industry and the overall stock market.
Herbalife offers good dividend yield. Growth, Value and Yield investors would be interested in the
company.
② IR Goals
• Increase Institutional investors
• Increase analyst coverage
• Achieve fair valuation
• Attain positive visibility in media
③ Audiences
Institutional investors Value investors Growth investors Yield investors Analysts Financial media Board of Directors Senior Management
③ Audiences – Institutional Investors
Current Investor Investment Style
Investec Asset Management Renaissance TechnologiesTimesSquare Capital Mgmt. Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt.Schroder Investment Mgmt.Columbia Mgmt. AdvisorsD. E. Shaw & CompanyNorges Bank Investment Mgmt.Mason Capital ManagementEagle Asset ManagementBlackRock Financial Mgmt.Freshford Capital Management
GrowthHedge FundGrowthGrowthGrowthGrowthHedge FundValueHedge FundGrowthGrowthHedge fund
Current Investor Investment Style
Icahn Associates CorporationFidelity Management Third Point LLCMorgan Stanley Inv. Mgmt.Wellington ManagementCapital Growth ManagementEast side Capital GroupJennison AssociatesBNP Paribas Investment (France)Munder Capital ManagementHerndon Capital ManagementTiger Consumer ManagementVisium Asset Management
Hedge FundGARPHedge FundValueValueGrowthHedge FundGrowthGrowth GrowthGARPHedge FundHedge Fund
③ Audiences – Institutional Investors
Target Investor Investment Style
Capital World InvestorsYacktman AssetCedar Rock CapitalM&G InvestmentState Farm InsuranceJanus Capital ManagementFirst Eagle InvestmentJensen InvestmentIndependent FranchiseCapital Research GlobalWells CapitalSystematic Financial
ValueValueValueValueGrowthGrowthValueValueYieldValueValueValue
③ Audiences - Analysts
Company Current Analyst
Avondale PartnersBank of America/Merrill LynchBarclays CapitalCanaccord AdamsCaris & Co.D.A. Davidson & Co.Janney Montgomery ScottSunTrust Robinson HumphreyWedbush Morgan Securities
Anand VankawalaChris FerraraBrian WangScott Van WinkleLinda Bolton WeiserTim RameyJohn San MarcoMike SwartzRommel T. Dionisio
③ Audiences - Analysts
Company Target Analyst
BMO Capital MarketsCredit SuisseDeutsche BankGoldman SachsGreat Lakes ReviewJP MorganMorgan StanleyWells FargoWilliam Blair
Karen ShortGary BalterCharles GromMatt FasslerElliott SchlangChris HorversMark WiltamuthKate WendtMark Miller
The New York TimesWall Street JournalFox BusinessMarket WatchBloomberg NewsThe Business Journal
③ Audiences – Financial Media
④ Message Triangle Healthcare industry is
going through a boom Sales volumes for the industry
are constantly increasing Consistent launch of new
products helps the industry prosper
Healthy product pipeline
Strong distribution network
Presence across 80 countries
Supported by well-known investors
EPS to grow by 16% (5 year est.) CAGR (5 years) – 31.95%, company is growing
steadily
High dividend yield and operating margin among peers
Highest revenue growth and P/BV ratio compared to competitors
⑤ Strategies
• Target 12 new institutional investors (Value, Growth & Yield)• Target more analysts to cover Herbalife• Enhance coverage in Financial media • Improve internal communication (primarily distributors)• Enhance business model understanding among stakeholders
⑥ Tactics: Events• Investor Day (Annual event) – March 23rd Attendees: CEO, COO, CFO and unit heads Provide live webcast• Annual Shareholders meeting – April 29th
Give a presentation on business model to shareholders• Quarterly Earnings – Webcasts (Q1-May 1, Q2-Jul 31, Q3-Oct 30, Q4-Feb
20) • Media Relations: Pitch distributor personal stories (showcasing the success after working
with Herbalife) to Financial and conventional media Set up monthly media interview with various board members and senior
management to answer media’s questions Dispel myths about the business model by clearly communicating to the
media. Presentation on the business model will be shared with the media.
⑥ Tactics: Events• Company Field Trip (Annual Event) Invite analysts and investors New Product and Science Center (Torrance, California) Provide detailed update on product pipeline Business model will be explained to investors and analysts to remove any
skepticism about Herbalife being a pyramid scheme. Interaction between distributors and senior management will be reinforced.
A meeting will be held where key distributor issues will be discussed and addressed by senior management members.
• Brokerage conferences Jan 7-10, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, San Francisco May 12, Goldman Sachs Consumer Products Symposium, New York May 23, Citi 2012 Global Consumer Conference, New York Sept 14, America Merrill Lynch Investment Conference, San Francisco Nov 14, Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retailer Conference, New York
⑥ Tactics: Events
• Investor Meetings (Prospective & Current) Los Angeles - May – Target Investors: Capital World Investors, Capital Research
Global (Clubbed with Non-deal Road Show) San Francisco - January – Target Investors: Wells Capital (This will be arranged
after the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference) New York - November – Target Investors: First Eagle Investment, Systematic
Financial (This will be arranged after the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retailer Conference). Current investors: Jennison Associates, TimesSquare Capital Management, Goldman Sachs Assert Management.
London - April – Target Investors: Cedar Rock Capital, M&G Investment, Independent Franchise. Current Investors: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investec Asset Mgmt., Schroeder Investment Mgmt.
Boston - September – Current Investors: Fidelity Management, Wellington Management, Capital Growth Mgmt., Columbia Mgmt. Investment Advisors. (Clubbed with Non-deal Road Show)
⑥ Tactics: Events
• Analyst society presentations Potential partners: CFA Institute(Seminars), NYSSA (Anniversary Dinner)
• Non-deal Road shows Chris Ferrera – Bank of America/ Merill Lynch (January) Brian Wang – Barclays Capital (May) Tim Ramey – D. A. Davidson & Co. (June) John San Marco – Janney Montgomery Scott (September) Mike Schwartz – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey (December)
⑥ Tactics: Online• Website: Add interactive graphs on Financial and MLM page Show more information about products Regulate IR files in clear categories Add a specific section on the website about the business model. Presentation
about the business model will be provided. Content and testimonials from customers and distributors should be shared there.
• Social Media: Give link of updated information on official website Update information in English (currently some is in Spanish) Give more introduction of products Explain business model on social media Set up online community or BBS for employees (distributors)
⑦ CalendarCalendar Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Annual Meeting ✔
QuarterlyMeetings, Surveys & Board updates
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Investor Day ✔
Media interviews/ Sr. Management updates
✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔
Non-deal Road shows
4 44 4 44 ✔
Investor Meetings
✔4 ✔ 44 44 ✔4
Company Field Trip
✔
Analyst society presentations
✔NYSSA
44CFA
Brokerage conference
4✔ 4✔ 4✔ 4✔
✔✔- Tactics clubbed together
⑧BudgetBudget Category Expense
Website and social media changes $2,000
Annual Report $2,000
Salaries (IRO) $200,000
Investor Day (Annual event) $50,000
Annual Meeting $30,000
Quarterly Meeting (4 times/ year) $40,000
Investor Meetings (5 times/year) $50,000
Non-deal Road Shows (5 times/ year) $20,000
Company Field Trip $25,000
Analyst society presentation $10,000
Surveys $1,000
Brokerage conference (5 times/ year) $75,000
Total yearly budget $505,000 (Approx.)
⑨Measurement
Periodic reports
toboard
Better stock performance
Improved valuation (P/E; P/BV; PEG)
Growth in Institutional investors
Positive Media coverage
Increase in analysts covering Herbalife
Surveys (investors & analysts)
• 1) How would you rate the access to senior management?• 2) How would you rate investor and financial info on website? • 3) How would you rate your confidence in the company's business model?• 4) How would you rate the company managements response to investor
issues? • 5) Are you happy with the quality of events we have held? How would you rate
us?• 6) How would you rate the frequency of investor events we conduct?• 7) How would you rate the frequency of updates about important financial info?• 8) How would you rate the channels used to inform investors about updates?
Any comments on channels to be used?• 9) Among our peers and competitors, how would you rank Herbalife?• 10) How would you rate our social media channels, for informing investors
about company info?
⑩Survey
Thank You!