herman schepers senior director, spectrum … schepers senior director, spectrum campaign gsm...
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Herman Schepers Senior Director, Spectrum Campaign GSM Association
At the GSMA, Herman and his team of policy professionals, technical experts and external advisors are responsible for the execution of a critical global campaign to secure additional future spectrum for the mobile industry. The end goal is to deliver a successful outcome at the World Radiocommunication Conference 2015 (WRC-15) in Geneva. This is a multi-faceted campaign bringing together leaders and experts from the wider mobile ecosystem (such as vendors and content), NGOs and research institutions to build consensus and advise governments / regulators across regions on the mobile industry's position.
Herman has more than a decade of experience as a business and policy advisor to multinational companies and trade associations in the ICT sector. Previously he was vice-president and public affairs leader for EMEA at Waggener Edstrom Worldwide—a global communications’ agency. Before joining Waggener Edstrom, Herman worked for British Telecom in a variety of roles ranging from product operations to sales and European public affairs. In 2008 Herman acted as interim Director of GSMA Europe. Herman has an MBA from Henley Management College, UK and a Masters in Political Science and International Relations from the University of Groningen, Netherlands.
11 APRIL 2013
© GSMA 2013
WRC-15: SECURING SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband
28th March 2014
Herman Schepers, Senior Director Global Spectrum Campaign, Government & Regulatory Affairs, GSMA
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
AGENDA
GSMA overview
Evolving network requirements
The need for more spectrum
WRC-15 target bands
The cost of failure
GSMA OVERVIEW
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
ROLE OF THE GSMA
WE ARE THE GLOBAL INDUSTRY VOICE SHAPING THE FUTURE OF MOBILE
INDUSTRY FORUM
Enabling industry collaboration
and consensus
POLICY ADVOCATE
Promoting policies that foster growth and
investment
MARKET THINK TANK
Delivering insight and analysis from global
industry data
BUSINESS CATALYST
Serving the global mobile ecosystem through
events such as Mobile World Congress
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
GSMA BY THE NUMBERS
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
WRC-15: SECURING THE FUTURE OF MOBILE BROADBAND
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
SUBSCRIBERS INCREASING
Source: Mobile Economy, GSMA 2014
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
MOBILE BROADBAND GROWING
Source: Mobile Economy, GSMA 2014
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
DATA SPEEDS INCREASING
Source: Mobile Economy, GSMA 2014
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
IN INDIA….. The market is undergoing a major transformation
– 2nd largest mobile market globally by subscribers BUT until 2010 it was 2G-only– By 2013, 12% were mobile broadband subscribers – in 2017 this is expected to be 35%
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
THIS IS HAVING A BIG IMPACT
Mobile data usage doubled in 2013– Bharti Airtel: mobile data grew 112% between 3Q 2012 and 3Q 2013*– Reliance Communications: mobile data grew 116% between 3Q 2012 and 3Q 2013*– Follows news from NSN that mobile data in India increased 87% in 2013
Smartphone adoption almost tripled in 2013– IDC: sales grew to 44 million units in 2013 – up from 16.2 million in 2012– CyberMedia Research: year-on-year smartphone sales grew 172 percent in 2013– This makes India one of the fastest growing smartphone markets in the world
*Source: Cisco VNI report
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
MORE DATA = MORE SPECTRUM On average 600-800MHz additional mobile spectrum needed by 2020 globally– Not including existing ITU mobile bands (e.g.1800MHz & 2.1GHz) that India should license – Coverage and capacity bands required for fast, low-cost, ubiquitous services – New low frequency bands essential for markets like India with large rural populations
Allocations at WRC-15 could licensed around 2020-2025 – Would meet the vision outlined in India’s National Telecom Policy 2012 – Otherwise costs and consumer prices will increase as lots more base stations will be required
Some administrations may not support new allocations due to the belief they currently have sufficient mobile spectrum
Spectrum needs will be much higher in 2025 AND admins that support major allocations in 2015 will benefit from lower cost equipment for their later roll-outs
– India benefits from low-cost smartphone chipsets driven by mass roll-outs in other markets
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
NEW BANDS FOR MOBILE
RADIO SPECTRUM: IDENTIFIED MOBILE BANDS
450–
470M
Hz
Digit
al Di
viden
d (7
00/80
0MHz
)90
0MHz
1.8GH
z
2.1GH
z
2.3GH
z
2.6GH
z
3.4–3
.6 GH
z
470–790MHz
3.4–3.8GHz
CANDIDATE BANDSFOR WRC-15
2.7–2.9 GHz
1427–
1527MHz
3.8–4.2GHz
1300–
1400MHz
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
TARGET BANDSTarget Band Benefit for mobile Existing Usage (India) How to accommodate mobile
Sub-700 MHz(470-694/698MHz)
–Extremely important for bringinghigh speed mobile broadband everywhere
–Mostly broadcast–Defence
–Broadcasters can use more spectrum-efficient tech
–LTE broadcast will complement
L-band (1300-1527MHz)
–Good general purpose band for coverage and capacity
–TRAI advocating part of this band for WRC-15
–Department of Space–Defence –BSNL (Point to Point & captive networks)
–1452-1492MHz largely unused worldwide so good for harmonisation
–Radar and aeronautical mobile telemetry services could use spectrum more efficiently
2.7-2.9GHz –Excellent capacity band –Could use 2.6GHz BTS
–Air traffic control–Military radar
–Band is mostly under-used globally so could support mobile in a portion especially as large exclusion zones not needed
C-band (3.4-4.2GHz)
–Excellent capacity band –Supports fastest services - Only suitable for urban areas or small cells
–Defence–Department of Space–Point-to-point links for broadband services
–Satellite services could be moved to a smaller portion
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE© GSMA 2014
WHAT’S AT STAKE: MORE THAN JUST MHz Mobile delivers major – and growing – socio-economic benefits which will be restricted without additional spectrum
GDP: 5.3 LAKH CRORE to the Indian economy in 2012, this should rise to 21. LAKH CRORE in 2020 – a 408% increase
PUBLIC FUNDING: 48,000 CRORE in 2012, this is expected to rise to 1.8LAKH CRORE in 2020
JOBS: 2 million in 2012 rising to 4.1 million in 2020 HEALTHCARE: Expanded access to healthcare through mHealth
and telemedicine AGRICULTURE: Improved supply chain efficiency, weather info
and online trading FINANCIAL SERVICES: Potential to serve 250 million by 2020 EDUCATION: Improved services could help 300,000 students gain
employment