hobsbawm-1996

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    HOBSBAWM, Eric J. The age of extremes: a history of the world, 1914-1991. New

    York: Vintage, 1996. 627p.

    The history of the twenty years after 1973 is that of a world which lost its bearings and

    slid into instability and crisis. p. 403.

    Nobody seriously doubted that for these parts of the world [terceiro mundo] the 1980s

    were an era of severe depression. p. 405.

    Between 1990 and 1993 few attempts were made to deny that even the developed

    capitalist world was in depression. p. 408.

    Nevertheless, the central fact about the Crisis Decades is not that capitalism no longer

    worked as well as it had done in the Golden Age, but that its operations had become

    uncontrollable. Nobody knew what to do about the vagaries of the world economy or

    possessed instruments to manage them. p. 408

    The crisis decades were the era when the national state lost its economic powers. p.

    408.

    The only alternative offered was that propagated by the minority of ultra-liberal

    economic theologians. Even before the crash, the long-isolated minority of believers in

    the unrestricted free market had begun their attack on the domination of the Keynesians

    and other champions of the managed mixed economy and full employment. p. 409.

    Champions of absolute individual freedom were unmoved by the evident social

    injustices of unrestricted market capitalism, even when (as in Brazil for most of the

    1980s) it did not produce economic growth. p. 410.

    However, the model [Swedish Model] was also, and perhaps even more

    fundamentally, undermined by the globalization of the economy after 1970, which put

    the governments of all states except perhaps the U.S.A., with its enormous economy

    at the mercy of an uncontrollable world market. p. 411.

    There were good grounds for some of the disillusion with state-managed industries and

    public administration that became so common in the 1980s. p. 412.

    In any case most neo-liberal governments were obliged to manage and steer their

    economies, while claiming that they were only encouraging market forces. p. 412.

    The historic tragedy of the Crisis Decades was that production now visibly shed human

    beings faster than the market economy generated new jobs for them. p. 414.

    The massive entry of the U.S.S.R. on the international grain market, and the impact of

    the oil crises of the 1970s dramatized the ending of the socialist camp as a virtually

    self-contained regional economy protected from the vagaries of the world economy. p.

    418.

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    Only one generalization was fairly safe: since 1970 almost all the countries in this

    region [third world] had plunged deeply into debt. p. 422.

    There was a moment of genuine panic in the early 1980s when, starting with Mexico,

    the major Latin American debtors could no longer pay, and the Western banking system

    was on the verge of collapse, since several of the largest banks had lent their moneywith such abandon in the 1970s (when petro-dollars flooded in, clamouring for

    investment) that they would now be technically bankrupt. p. 423.

    The main effect of the Crisis Decades was thus to widen the gap between rich and poor

    countries. p. 424.

    During the heyday of the free-market theologians, the state was further undermined by

    the tendency to dismantle activities hitherto conducted by public bodies on principle,

    leaving them to the market. p. 425.

    The triumph of neo-liberal theology in the 1980s was, in effect, translated into policiesof systematic privatization and free-market capitalism which were imposed on

    governments too bankrupt to resist them, whether they were immediately relevant to

    their economic problems or not [] p. 431.

    The other apparently fortunate consequences of the oil crises was the flood of dollars

    which now spurted from multi-billionaire OPEC states, often with tiny populations, and

    which was distributed by the international banking system in the form of loans to

    anyone who wanted to borrow. Few developing countries resisted the temptation to take

    millions thus shoveled into their pockets, and which were to provoke the world debt

    crisis of the early 1980s. p. 474

    What drove the Soviet Union with accelerating speed towards the precipice, was the

    combination ofglasnostthat amounted to the disintegration of authority, with a

    perestroika that amounted to the destruction of the old mechanisms that made the

    economy work, without providing any alternative; and consequently the increasingly

    dramatic collapse of the citizens standard of living. p. 483.

    The attempt to save the old structure of the Soviet Union had destroyed it more

    suddenly and irrevocably than anyone had expected. p. 495.

    Thus, for the first time in two centuries, the world of the 1990s entirely lacked anyinternational system or structure. p. 559

    It was therefore likely that the fashion for economic liberalization and marketization,

    which had dominated the 1980s, and reached a peak of ideological complacency after

    the collapse of the Soviet system, would not last long. p. 574.

    The immediate reaction of Western commentators to the collapse of the Soviet system

    was that it ratified the permanent triumph of both capitalism and liberal democracy, two

    concepts which the less sophisticated of North American world-watchers tended to

    confuse. p. 575.

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    Increasingly, however, governments took to by-passing both the electorate and its

    representative assemblies, if possible, or at least to taking decisions first and then

    challenging both to reverse afait accompli, relying on the volatility, divisions or

    inertness off public opinion. p. 580.