hoefer to 2014 napeg pd conf vfinal - miningnorth · 2014-06-01 · update: mining and exploration...
TRANSCRIPT
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Update: Mining and Exploration in the NT & NU …plus
Mounting an attack on the bogeymanNAPEG Professional Development Conference – Navigating our Evolving North
Tom Hoefer: May 16, 2014
2
Key Messages
• Mining continues to be healthy,
• Advanced projects are advancing, but …
• The marketplace is challenging us.
• Why we need more mining – consequences
• We must kill the bogeyman
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Mining production today
• NWT 2013 diamond, tungsten & copper production ‐ $1,663 million • Nunavut gold & silver production ‐ $627 million
NWT, Nunavut and Yukon Mining Production
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013(p)
$C Millions
NWT
Nunavut
Yukon
Natural Resources Canada – March 2014
4
Current mine lives
• Mine lives generally healthy, with some options to sustain• Ekati has been extended to 2020 under Dominion Diamonds.
Mine lives ‐ years1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
Ekati
Diavik
Snap Lake
Cantung
Meadowbank
?
?
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Sustaining what we already have – EKATI
• EKATI is an economic anchor of the economy – A significant contributor to the NWT’s GDP
– Approximately 1,400 workers
– New owner, Dominion Diamonds is proposing a plan to extend the mine life by 10‐20 years
6
Advanced projects advancing, but …
Mary River(iron)
Hope Bay(gold)
Meliadine(gold)
Kiggavik(uranium)
Selwyn(base metals)
Prairie Creek (base metals, silver)
Gahcho Kue(diamonds)
Nechalacho(rare earths)
NICO(gold, cobalt, bismuth)
Courageous(gold)
Back River(gold)
High Lake(base metals)
Roche Bay(iron)
Hackett River (base metals)
Ulu(gold)
YK Gold (gold)
Pine Point (base metals)
Izok (base metals)
Lupin(gold)
Jericho(diamonds)
Angilak(uranium)
Chidliak(diamonds)
Many projects affected by market challenges
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Pioneering work NWT – Gahcho Kué
• Pioneering work has begun • 770 truckloads over ice road – 150 workers on site
• First production on schedule for Q3 2016
• Robust economics • Capital costs – $859 m / Annual operating costs – $218 m
• Average annual production 4.45 million carats @ $150/ct
• Mine life of 12 years; First production Q3 2016
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Pioneering work – Mary River, NU
• Marine sealift of fuel, dry cargo, equipment
• Weekly jet service to site
• Construction activities at port and mine site
• First ore production from early revenue phase planned for 2015
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2013 NWT Grassroots Exploration
• Difficult predicting where money will be invested this year
Diamonds
Gold
Gold
Gold, diamonds
Gold, copper
Diamonds
Gold
Industrial (sand)
Diamonds
Uranium
Base metals
Gold
Diamonds
DiamondsDiamonds
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Exploration is not what it should be
• NWT Investment uncertainty has chased away $ millions • Global markets now soft and affecting everyone
Exploration & Deposit Appraisal Expenditures
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$C M
illions
NWTNunavutYukon
NRCan – March 2014
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Why we need more mining
• At least 3 good reasons: – We don’t have many other economic options
– It generates the kind of money needed to pay the bills
– It makes idle hands busy creating personal success
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Good reason #1: what are our options?
• Forestry? Fishing? Farming? Ranching? Tourism? Manufacturing? Fur harvesting?
• Non‐renewable resources and their support industries dominate the GDP – they are the economic “heavy hitters” and our economic strength
• Or do we rely on the government welfare cheque?
Mining, oil and gas
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Good Reason #2: increased self reliance
• Devolution means more independence and increased self‐reliance
• We are now more responsible for our future wealth
• We have the tools to do so: – a new regulatory environment
– robust financials
– tremendous resource potential
• Mining, oil and gas will help pay the bills
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Witness the Yukon after Devolution
• Yukon investment and production increased post devolution
Yukon Exploration Investment & Mineral Production
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$C M
illions
Exploration
Mining
Yukon devolves & YESA Act passed
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Good reason #3: addressing the need
• Nunavut’s Baby Boom demands employment opportunities – a ticking time bomb
Distribution of Nunavut Population, By Single Age Cohort, 2013
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But wait, there’s more …
• Many Positive Consequences of Mining
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Mining has been good to us– Over C$60 billion since 1932 –
Silver2%
Gold18%
Diamonds38%
Zinc30%
Tungsten3%
Lead8%
Uranium1%
Current & Past Producing Mines: Ekati • Diavik • Snap Lake • Meadowbank • Con • Giant • Lupin • Polaris • Nanisivik • Pine Point • Cantung • Discovery • Rankin Nickel • Rayrock • Outpost Island • Supercrest • Eldorado • Ruth • Terra • Norex • Silver Bay • Colomac • Tundra • Camlaren • Contact Lake • Ptarmigan • Tom • Mon • Cullaton Lake • Salmita • Hope Bay • Negus •Thompson‐Lundmark • Rich • El Bonanza • Rycon • Bullmoose
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Mining can help supply Infrastructure
• Highways, eg, to Yellowknife, Pine Point & Ft. Resolution
• Railway (to Hay River & Pine Point)
• All 3 NWT hydro‐electric facilities
• Microwave communications
• Ports (at Nanisivik and Polaris)
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Mining brings new Technology
• High efficiency diesel power
• Innovative wind energy
• Dikes
• Ice roads
Diavik’s wind turbines
Engineered ice road “highways “National award winning Diavik dikes
Heat recovery on diesel powerplants
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A major consequence: “people success”
• Over 19,000 person years of new diamond jobs
• Significant training investment
• $100 million plus to communities
• $ millions in scholarships, donations
• Nunavut’s gold mine is providing similar benefits
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A brand new generation of Business Capacity
• Diamond expenditures: Over $9.3 billion northern business ‐ $4 billion Aboriginal
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Nunavut Business Opportunities growing too
Selection of Inuit companies supporting the mining & exploration industry in Nunavut
• Peter’s Expediting• Jago Services• Qillaq Innovations• Toromont Arctic• Kitnuna• Kivalliq Expediting & Storage• Oomilik Enterprises• Akhaliak Consulting• Kitikmeot Cementation Mining
& Development • Kitikmeot Blasting Services • Qillaq Innovations
• Baker Lake Contracting & Supply• Forest North Aviation & Logistics• Eskimo Point Lumber & Supply• M & T Enterprises• Kiluk Ltd.• Kusugak Consulting• Qikiqtani Industry Ltd.• Nuna Group of Companies• AGLU Consulting & Training• Kasuk Exploration• Kitikmeot Caterers Ltd. • Medic North Nunavut
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Our mines pay significant taxes
Diamond Mining Taxes
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
$C millions
Mining royalties
NWT Corporate Taxes
Federal Corporate Taxes
Source: GNWT – ITI Economic Model
• AND THAT’S NOT ALL! • Additional taxes include payroll, income taxes, fuel & property taxes• Help pay for schools, hospitals, highways, social services, and more
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Diamond mines pay Fuel and property taxes too!
$0
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Total Fuel Taxes ‐ 3 mines
Total Property Taxes ‐ 3 mines
• $144 million in property taxes to 2012 • $83 million in fuel taxes • Double that to the end of mine lives
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And a new twist – Tlicho Government taxes
• The Tlicho Government receives 95% of the federal income taxes collected from residents in Tlicho communities.
• A natural consequence? – The more the Tlicho retains and grows its resident population, the more taxes it receives
– The more high paying mining jobs it gets, then the larger the income tax collected
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Diamond royalties shared with Aboriginal groups
• Over $39 million in diamond resource royalties have been shared with settled NWT Aboriginal claimants.
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$C ('000s)
Tlicho Government
Sahtu Dene Council
Gwich’in Tribal Council
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Royalties paid to the Nunavut Trust
• $11 million shared from Crown lands over the period • New royalty stream has begun from mining on Inuit Owned Lands
$0
$500,000
$1,000,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$2,500,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Nunavut mines closed
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Building a heritage trust for our grand children
• The nest building has begun in the NWT!
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Killing the bogeyman
• The Bogeyman: – FEAR
– and the Ignorance – or lack of knowledge – that creates it
• This Bogeyman can hold us back unnecessarily
• Killing the Bogeyman requires education and transparency
Boo?
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Mining is a pin prick on the map
Area of NWT + Nunavut = Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, France, Germany, Poland, Spain, Portugal, Italy combined.
• The North is a large area.
• If we assume all 37 mines are 10 sq.km. like Diavik, and
• If we assume no reclamation is done,
• Then the actual footprint of all of our past and current mines is only 0.01%
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The Giant mine bogeyman
• In today’s regulatory world, the Giant mine should be an artifact
• Across town, the Con Mine owners are already reclaiming their mine site on their own
• The current mine site reclamation policies require appropriate security be in place, eg: – Ekati ‐ $ 263 million
– Diavik ‐ $ 159 million
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Our mines operate to high standards
• Global performance standards of: – ISO 14001 – Environmental Management – ISO 9001 – Quality Management, – OHSA 18001 – Occupational Health & Safety
• Accountability standards: Towards Sustainable Mining• High safety performance
– Multiple John T. Ryan Safety Regional & National Awards
• Achieve many awards
Canadian Council of Professional Engineers
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Killing the bogeyman, cont’d
• Remove the fear through Education – a campaign – Public
– And Technical
• Motivate through Pride – In self reliance
– Through Celebration of our achievements
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Norway – a model?
• Global experts in oil & gas production – the world’s deep‐sea drilling capital – Significant LNG technology, including production & shipping – Largest sovereign wealth fund in the world
• Home to the world’s most advanced fish‐farming industry
• Advanced bio‐refining technology from its forests • Economic success from well‐educated labour force• Norwegian axiom: “We live off what we find in nature”
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Conclusion
• Mining is good for us
• We will need more mining
• The consequences can be great
• But we need to take action – kill the Bogeyman
• People are counting on us!