MARKET DRAYTON PLANNING AREA

The Market Drayton school place planning area is a lowland area situated in the north-east of the county, close to the Cheshire and Staffordshire borders. Its transport network is best served by the primary A41 and A53 routes, which provide good links to the Potteries, Crewe, Whitchurch and Chester. It also has a canal network running across the area. The main settlement is Market Drayton, a market town. The other settlements are all villages, which include Hinstock, Hodnet and Woore.Some light industry and commercial business exists and Market Drayton is a local shopping destination for the area. Tern Hill army barracks, a main military base is situated within the area, and its personnel movement can cause some issues with local school pupil numbers.The LA’s robust forecasting models indicate that sufficient school capacity exists in the rural primary schools to meet demand in the short, medium and longer term, although numbers at Hinstock Primary School will need to be closely monitored. The Market Drayton town primary schools are forecast to require expansion in the short to medium term to meet increased demand for places. Further increases in demand are forecast in the longer term resulting from new housing requirement identified in the Local Plan and these will be managed at the appropriate time. A paper will follow outlining options. Sufficient capacity exists at secondary level in the short, medium and longer-term. The LA’s regular primary and secondary forecasts have been translated into the following charts and tables to help explain the school place planning proposals the LA intends to take forward. Longer term forecasting methods have also been used in order to take account of the level of new housing investment identified in the current Local Plan to 2026.

Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-220

200400600800

100012001400160018002000

Market Drayton Planning AreaTotal Number on Roll 2010-15 and Forecast to 2023

Primary Age Range 4-11 (7 year groups)Secondary Age Range 11-18 (5 year groups + 6th form)Primary Schools Total Net CapacitySecondary School Net Capacity

Schools

Current Forecasts

Net Capacit

y

Admission Number

Number on Roll

October 2015 20

16/1

7

2017

/18

2018

/19

2019

/20

2020

/21

2021

/22

2022

/23

Primary 1 56 8 37 30 31 41 40Primary 2 90 15 72 72 71 70 70Primary 3 84 12 84 77 80 78 71Primary 4 105 15 113 112 117 111 111Primary 5 203 29 162 159 160 162 164Primary 6 210 30 205 203 219 224 220Primary 7 270 90 262 267 273 277 260Primary 8 360 90 352 350 362 366 371Primary 9 84 15 78 62 72 71 64Primary 10 105 15 70 69 69 62 54Primary 11 140 20 120 128 136 140 141Primary 12 56 8 64 62 68 68 72

Total Primary Group 1763 257 1619 1591 1658 1670 1638

Secondary 1 1206 208 908 916 919 940 977 1008103

6 1076

Total Secondary 1206 208 908 916 919 940 977 1008 1036 1076

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

Secondary School - Pupil Numbers Forecast

Grove Total Pupil ForecastSchool Net CapacityOctober 2015 Numbers on Roll

Academic Year

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/201500

1550

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800Market Drayton Primary Group - Total Pupil Numbers

Forecast

Total Schools' Net Capacity

October 2015 Numbers on Roll

Total Pupil Numbers Fore-cast

Academic Year

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/200

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Primary School Group - Total Pupil Numbers Forecast by School

Primary 1Primary 2Primary 3Primary 4Primary 5Primary 6Primary 7Primary 8Primary 9Primary 10Primary 11Primary 12

Academic Year

Summary

Forecast numbers in the above charts and tables demonstrate that the Market Drayton school place planning area has sufficient capacity overall, at both primary and secondary level, to meet the demand in the short and medium term, and in the longer term at secondary level and in the rural schools. However, capacity pressures are forecast in the short to medium term in Market Drayton town primary schools. Options for addressing these issues will be provided in due course, along with options for addressing longer term capacity pressures at primary schools in the town resulting from new housing requirement identified in the Local Plan.