home cooking home field advantage in the four major professional sports by pat maher and mike...
TRANSCRIPT
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Home Cooking
Home field advantage in the four major professional sports
By Pat MaherAnd Mike Danziger
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Introduction
• In professional sports, games are played at the stadium of one particular team. For the purpose of this project, they will be referred to as the “home team.” The team who travelled to play the home team, and is therefore not playing at their home stadium will hereby be referred to as the “away team.”
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Introduction continued
• We have compared the home and away winning percentages for each team in the four major professional sports (football, baseball, basketball, and hockey).
• The data used for the project is from the most recent completed season for each league.
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NFL
• Home wp: Away wp– Mean: .5586 -Mean: .4414– Std dev: .2153 -Std dev: .2479– Min: .1250 -Min: 0– Q1: .375 -Q1: .250– Median: .625 -
Median: .375– Q3: .625 -Q3: .750– Max: 1 Max: .875
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NFL
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NBA
• Home Wp Away Wp– Mean: .5917 -Mean: .4057– Std Dev: .1812 -Std Dev: .1663– Min: .195 -Min: .098– Q1: .439 -Q1: .262– Median: .585 -Median: .427– Q3: .762 -Q3: .561– Max: .853 -Max: .659
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NBA
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MLB
• Home Wp Away Wp– Mean: .5587 -Mean: .4410– Std Dev: .0723 -Std Dev: .0873– Min: .432 -Min: .210– Q1: .494 -Q1: .376– Median: .5585 -Median: .444– Q3: .633 -Q3: .5217– Max: .691 -Max: .580
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MLB
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NHL
• Home Wp Away Wp– Mean: .561 -Mean: .439– Std Dev: .0971 -Std Dev: .1054– Min: .3902 -Min: .2195– Q1: .4817 -Q1: .3415– Median: .5732 -Median: .4634– Q3: .6159 -Q3: .5183– Max: .7317 Max: .5854
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NHL
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NHL
• PPG Home PPG Away– Mean: 1.2447 -Mean: 1.000– Std Dev: .1813 -Std. Dev: .1990– Min: .9756 -Min: .5366– Q1: 1.0732 -Q1: ..8476– Median: 1.2439 -Median: 1.0610– Q3: 1.3659 -Q3: 1.1585– Max: 1.6098 -Max: 1.3415
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NHL
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Postseason Comparison
• NFL: Postseason– N: 10– Home Wp: .400– Away Wp: .600
• NFL: Regular Season– N: 256– Home Wp: .558– Away Wp: .441
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Postseason Comparison
• NBA: Postseason– N: 82– Home Wp: .658– Away Wp: .341
• NBA: Regular Season– N: 1230– Home Wp: .592– Away Wp: .406
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Postseason Comparison
• MLB: Postseason– N: 32– Home Wp: .406– Away Wp: .593
• MLB: Regular Season– N: 2430– Home Wp: .559– Away Wp: .441
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Postseason Comparison
• NHL Postseason: – N: 89– Home Wp: .517– Away Wp: .483
• NHL Regular Season:– N: 1230– Home Wp: .561– Away Wp: .439
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Summary
• Our Study has shown that in this case, it is Home Court advantage that is strongest. The NBA has the largest home winning percentage in both the regular season and the postseason.
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Summary
• During the regular season, the home field advantage in the NFL, MLB, and NHL are nearly identical. The home team winning percentages are .559, .559, and .561 respectively.
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Sources
• Espn.com• Baseballreference.com• Basketballreference.com• Profootballreference.com• Hockeyreference.com