home trends, buyer preferences & must-have features for...
TRANSCRIPT
IBS Education
Home Trends,
Buyer Preferences &
Must-Have Features for 2020
The material in this education session has not been reviewed, approved, or endorsed by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The topics discussed and the materials provided herein are for informational purposes only, are not intended to be an exhaustive presentation of information on a particular subject, and should not be treated as such. The speaker or speakers are not acting on behalf of or at the direction of NAHB.
NAHB specifically disclaims any liability, loss or risk, personal or otherwise, which may be incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, in the use or application of any of the materials presented in this or any other education session presented as part of the International Builders Show®.
NAHB Disclosure
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IBS Education |
Characteristics of New Homes Built in 2019
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Size of New Single-Family Homes Started(Sq. Ft.)
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
2,900
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
2,499 2,520Average
2,689
2,362
After peaking at 2,689 sq. ft. in 2015…
Average Size of New Homes has fallen FOUR years in a row.
In 2019, the average new home was 2,520 sq. ft. –the smallest since 2011.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
2,300
Median
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New Homes with 4+ Bedrooms(% of single-family homes started)
After peaking at 47% in 2015…
% of new homes with 4+ bedrooms has edged down in the past four years.
In 2019, the share was unchanged at 44% – the smallest since 2012.0
5101520253035404550
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
44%
34%
39%
47%
36%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
IBS Education |
New Homes with 3+ Full Bathrooms(% of single-family homes started)
After peaking at 37% in 2015…
% of new homes with 3+ full bathrooms has trended down in the past four years.
In 2019, the share was 33% – the smallest since 2012.0
510152025303540
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
37%
27%
23%
33%
20%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
IBS Education |
New Homes with 3+ Car Garage(% of single-family homes started)
After peaking at 23% in 2015…
% of new homes with a 3+ car garage has fallen for FOUR years in a row.
In 2019, the share was 18% – back to 2011 level & just slightly above recession level (16%).0
5
10
15
20
25
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20%
16%
23%
18%18%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
IBS Education |
TAKEAWAYS
Builders are working to meet demand for smaller homes.
The average new home in 2019 was the smallest since 2011 & only 20 sq. ft. larger than in 2007.
Why is it difficult to build small?
• Restrictive zoning/land use regulationsMin lot size; Min parking requirements; Design Standards; Inclusionary Zoning
• Lot prices
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BALA WinnersICON Ebony, Palm Springs, California
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
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BALA WinnersThe Binkley, St. Petersberg, Florida
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BALA WinnersThe Kiawah River Butterfly Cottage, Johns Island, North Carolina
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BALA WinnersTerra Luna Plan 1, Las Vegas, Nevada
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BALA WinnersAlastar, Douglas, Michigan
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BALA WinnersCrescendo at Central Park, Highlands Ranch, Colorado
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Must-Have Features in 2020
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Most Likely Features in Typical 2020 New Home(Avg. Rating, 1=Not at all likely, 5=Very Likely Builder will include)
4.94.84.8
4.74.7
4.64.64.64.6
4.44.4
4.34.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.2
Walk-in closet in master bedroomLow-e windows
Laundry roomEfficient lighting (< energy than traditional bulbs)
Great room (Kitchen-Family-Living room)Central Island in kitchen
Programmable thermostat9' feet+ ceilings in 1st floorENERGY STAR appliances
2-car garageFront porch
Exterior lightingPrivate toilet compartment in master bathroom
Water-conserving toiletsBathroom linen closet
Indoor fireplacePatio
Walk in pantryENERGY STAR windows
Granite countertop in kitchenSource: NAHB Economics.
IBS Education |
Most Unlikely Features in Typical 2020 New Home(Avg. Rating, 1=Not at all likely, 5=Very Likely Builder will include)
Source: NAHB Economics.
1.31.41.4
1.51.6
1.82.1
2.22.22.2
2.32.3
2.42.5
Cork flooring for living areas on main levelGeothermal heat pump
Solar water heating/electric systemDual toilets in master bath
Laminate countertop in kitchenPet washing station
Outdoor kitchen (cooking, refrigeration, & sink)Carpet flooring for living areas on main level
Whirlpool in master bathroomSunroom
Media roomOutdoor fireplace
Two-story family roomTwo-story foyer
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Home Buyer Preferences
1st Time Buyers
vs.
Repeat Buyers
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Preference for Type of Home to Buy
Single-family Detached
Townhome MultifamilyUnit
Manufactured Home
1st Time 77% 9% 6% 5%Buyers
Repeat 77% 13% 4% 3%Buyers
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Preference for New vs. Existing Home
New Home Existing Home
1st Time 41% 59%Buyers
Repeat 56% 44%Buyers
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Preference for Home Size
Current Home Size
1st Time 1,268 sq. ft. 1,977 sq. ft. (56%)Buyers
Repeat 1,926 sq. ft. 2,066 sq. ft. (7%)Buyers
Desired Home Size
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Preference for Location
Suburbs Rural
1st Time 59% 26% 15%Buyers
Repeat 65% 24% 11%Buyers
Central City
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BALA WinnersRay Meadows R270, Redmond, Washington
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BALA WinnersAvance, Phoenix, Arizona
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BALA WinnersMiraval II, Costa Mesa, California
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BALA WinnersAzure Residence 1, Paradise Valley, Arizona
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BALA WinnersUrban Costal Farmhouse, Franklin, Tennessee
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BALA WinnersEstancia at Yorba Linda Olimpico, Yorba Linda, California
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BALA WinnersRouge at Pivot, Edmonton, Alberta and 81 Crain Square Boulevard, Houston, Texas
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Preference for Parking Facility
2-Car Garage 3-Car Garage
1st Time 40% 4% 12%Buyers
Repeat 50% 16% 4%Buyers
None
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Preference for Number of Stories
1-Story 2-Story
1st Time 48% 42% 4%Buyers
Repeat 67% 27% 3%Buyers
Split Level
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Preferences to Keep in Mind
Open Kitchen-Family Room
Three Bedrooms
Laundry on the 1st Floor
1st Time 76% 48% 57%Buyers
Repeat 81% 49% 72%Buyers
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Preference for Color of Kitchen Cabinets
White
1st Time 21% 27%Buyers
Repeat 33% 26%Buyers
Medium Brown
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Preference for Color of Kitchen Appliances
Stainless Steel
1st Time 70% 18%Buyers
Repeat 67% 15%Buyers
Black
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Preference for Kitchen Countertop Material
Granite/Natural Stone
1st Time 64% 11% 11%Buyers
Repeat 56% 22% 8%Buyers
Quartz/Engineered Stone
Laminate
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Most Wanted Features
1st TimeBuyer
Laundry room
Hardwood flooring (main level)
ENERGY STAR windows
Walk-in pantry
Patio
Ceiling fan
Table space for eating in kitchen
Kitchen double sink
Both shower stall/tub in master bath
Dining room
RepeatBuyer
Laundry room
ENERGY STAR windows
Patio
ENERGY STAR appliances
Ceiling fan
Exterior lighting
Garage storage
Hardwood flooring (main level)
Walk-in pantry
Kitchen double sink
Common to both
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Most UNWANTED Features
1st TimeBuyer
Elevator
Charging station for electric car
Cork flooring (main level)
Wine cellar
Golf course community
Pet washing station
Only a shower stall in master bath
Wine cooler
Roof covered by plants
High density community
RepeatBuyer
Elevator
Wine cellar
Roof covered by plants
Daycare center nearby
Pet washing station
Dual toilets in master bath
Two-story family room
Cork flooring (main level)
High density community
Laminate kitchen countertops
Common to both
IBS Education |
BALA WinnersLakemore Residence, Austin, Texas
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BALA WinnersModern on the North End, Anna Maria, Florida
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BALA WinnersKingfield, Rye Brook, New York and Kirkwood Terrace, Sammamish, Washington
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BALA WinnersLakemoore Residence, Austin, Texas
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BALA WinnersWedgewood Plan 2, Yorba Linda, California
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BALA WinnersIn Plane Sight, Paradise Valley, Arizona and Sennette Residence, Asheville, No. Carolina
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Which Would You Prefer for Same Amount of Money?
Bigger house w/ fewer amenities
Smaller house w/ high quality products & amenities
1st Time 62% 38%Buyers
Repeat 67% 33%Buyers
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BALA WinnersTrend at Novel Park, Irvine, California
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BALA WinnersSurf Betty, Port Aransas, Texas
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BALA WinnersHickory Hill, Gull Lake, Michigan
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BALA WinnersMercer Island Residence, Mercer Island, Washington
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BALA WinnersPhoenician Modern, Scottsdale, Arizona
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BALA WinnersHarbor Island, Newport Beach, California
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BALA WinnersVail, Vail, Colorado
Speaker Contact Information
Rose [email protected], DC
Donald J. Ruthroff, AIADAHLIN GROUP ARCHITECTURE | [email protected], California