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IBS Education Home Trends, Buyer Preferences & Must-Have Features for 2020

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Page 1: Home Trends, Buyer Preferences & Must-Have Features for 2020eyeonhousing.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Home... · Builders are working to meet demand for smaller homes. The average

IBS Education

Home Trends,

Buyer Preferences &

Must-Have Features for 2020

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The material in this education session has not been reviewed, approved, or endorsed by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The topics discussed and the materials provided herein are for informational purposes only, are not intended to be an exhaustive presentation of information on a particular subject, and should not be treated as such. The speaker or speakers are not acting on behalf of or at the direction of NAHB.

NAHB specifically disclaims any liability, loss or risk, personal or otherwise, which may be incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, in the use or application of any of the materials presented in this or any other education session presented as part of the International Builders Show®.

NAHB Disclosure

IBS Education |

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IBS Education |

Characteristics of New Homes Built in 2019

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IBS Education |

Size of New Single-Family Homes Started(Sq. Ft.)

1,500

1,700

1,900

2,100

2,300

2,500

2,700

2,900

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

2,499 2,520Average

2,689

2,362

After peaking at 2,689 sq. ft. in 2015…

Average Size of New Homes has fallen FOUR years in a row.

In 2019, the average new home was 2,520 sq. ft. –the smallest since 2011.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

2,300

Median

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IBS Education |

New Homes with 4+ Bedrooms(% of single-family homes started)

After peaking at 47% in 2015…

% of new homes with 4+ bedrooms has edged down in the past four years.

In 2019, the share was unchanged at 44% – the smallest since 2012.0

5101520253035404550

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

44%

34%

39%

47%

36%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

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IBS Education |

New Homes with 3+ Full Bathrooms(% of single-family homes started)

After peaking at 37% in 2015…

% of new homes with 3+ full bathrooms has trended down in the past four years.

In 2019, the share was 33% – the smallest since 2012.0

510152025303540

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

37%

27%

23%

33%

20%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

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IBS Education |

New Homes with 3+ Car Garage(% of single-family homes started)

After peaking at 23% in 2015…

% of new homes with a 3+ car garage has fallen for FOUR years in a row.

In 2019, the share was 18% – back to 2011 level & just slightly above recession level (16%).0

5

10

15

20

25

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

20%

16%

23%

18%18%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

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IBS Education |

TAKEAWAYS

Builders are working to meet demand for smaller homes.

The average new home in 2019 was the smallest since 2011 & only 20 sq. ft. larger than in 2007.

Why is it difficult to build small?

• Restrictive zoning/land use regulationsMin lot size; Min parking requirements; Design Standards; Inclusionary Zoning

• Lot prices

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersICON Ebony, Palm Springs, California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersThe Binkley, St. Petersberg, Florida

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersThe Kiawah River Butterfly Cottage, Johns Island, North Carolina

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersTerra Luna Plan 1, Las Vegas, Nevada

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersAlastar, Douglas, Michigan

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersCrescendo at Central Park, Highlands Ranch, Colorado

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IBS Education |

Must-Have Features in 2020

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IBS Education |

Most Likely Features in Typical 2020 New Home(Avg. Rating, 1=Not at all likely, 5=Very Likely Builder will include)

4.94.84.8

4.74.7

4.64.64.64.6

4.44.4

4.34.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.2

Walk-in closet in master bedroomLow-e windows

Laundry roomEfficient lighting (< energy than traditional bulbs)

Great room (Kitchen-Family-Living room)Central Island in kitchen

Programmable thermostat9' feet+ ceilings in 1st floorENERGY STAR appliances

2-car garageFront porch

Exterior lightingPrivate toilet compartment in master bathroom

Water-conserving toiletsBathroom linen closet

Indoor fireplacePatio

Walk in pantryENERGY STAR windows

Granite countertop in kitchenSource: NAHB Economics.

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IBS Education |

Most Unlikely Features in Typical 2020 New Home(Avg. Rating, 1=Not at all likely, 5=Very Likely Builder will include)

Source: NAHB Economics.

1.31.41.4

1.51.6

1.82.1

2.22.22.2

2.32.3

2.42.5

Cork flooring for living areas on main levelGeothermal heat pump

Solar water heating/electric systemDual toilets in master bath

Laminate countertop in kitchenPet washing station

Outdoor kitchen (cooking, refrigeration, & sink)Carpet flooring for living areas on main level

Whirlpool in master bathroomSunroom

Media roomOutdoor fireplace

Two-story family roomTwo-story foyer

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IBS Education |

Home Buyer Preferences

1st Time Buyers

vs.

Repeat Buyers

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IBS Education |

Preference for Type of Home to Buy

Single-family Detached

Townhome MultifamilyUnit

Manufactured Home

1st Time 77% 9% 6% 5%Buyers

Repeat 77% 13% 4% 3%Buyers

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IBS Education |

Preference for New vs. Existing Home

New Home Existing Home

1st Time 41% 59%Buyers

Repeat 56% 44%Buyers

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IBS Education |

Preference for Home Size

Current Home Size

1st Time 1,268 sq. ft. 1,977 sq. ft. (56%)Buyers

Repeat 1,926 sq. ft. 2,066 sq. ft. (7%)Buyers

Desired Home Size

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IBS Education |

Preference for Location

Suburbs Rural

1st Time 59% 26% 15%Buyers

Repeat 65% 24% 11%Buyers

Central City

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersRay Meadows R270, Redmond, Washington

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersAvance, Phoenix, Arizona

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersMiraval II, Costa Mesa, California

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersAzure Residence 1, Paradise Valley, Arizona

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersUrban Costal Farmhouse, Franklin, Tennessee

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersEstancia at Yorba Linda Olimpico, Yorba Linda, California

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersRouge at Pivot, Edmonton, Alberta and 81 Crain Square Boulevard, Houston, Texas

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IBS Education |

Preference for Parking Facility

2-Car Garage 3-Car Garage

1st Time 40% 4% 12%Buyers

Repeat 50% 16% 4%Buyers

None

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IBS Education |

Preference for Number of Stories

1-Story 2-Story

1st Time 48% 42% 4%Buyers

Repeat 67% 27% 3%Buyers

Split Level

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IBS Education |

Preferences to Keep in Mind

Open Kitchen-Family Room

Three Bedrooms

Laundry on the 1st Floor

1st Time 76% 48% 57%Buyers

Repeat 81% 49% 72%Buyers

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IBS Education |

Preference for Color of Kitchen Cabinets

White

1st Time 21% 27%Buyers

Repeat 33% 26%Buyers

Medium Brown

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IBS Education |

Preference for Color of Kitchen Appliances

Stainless Steel

1st Time 70% 18%Buyers

Repeat 67% 15%Buyers

Black

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IBS Education |

Preference for Kitchen Countertop Material

Granite/Natural Stone

1st Time 64% 11% 11%Buyers

Repeat 56% 22% 8%Buyers

Quartz/Engineered Stone

Laminate

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IBS Education |

Most Wanted Features

1st TimeBuyer

Laundry room

Hardwood flooring (main level)

ENERGY STAR windows

Walk-in pantry

Patio

Ceiling fan

Table space for eating in kitchen

Kitchen double sink

Both shower stall/tub in master bath

Dining room

RepeatBuyer

Laundry room

ENERGY STAR windows

Patio

ENERGY STAR appliances

Ceiling fan

Exterior lighting

Garage storage

Hardwood flooring (main level)

Walk-in pantry

Kitchen double sink

Common to both

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IBS Education |

Most UNWANTED Features

1st TimeBuyer

Elevator

Charging station for electric car

Cork flooring (main level)

Wine cellar

Golf course community

Pet washing station

Only a shower stall in master bath

Wine cooler

Roof covered by plants

High density community

RepeatBuyer

Elevator

Wine cellar

Roof covered by plants

Daycare center nearby

Pet washing station

Dual toilets in master bath

Two-story family room

Cork flooring (main level)

High density community

Laminate kitchen countertops

Common to both

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersLakemore Residence, Austin, Texas

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersModern on the North End, Anna Maria, Florida

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersKingfield, Rye Brook, New York and Kirkwood Terrace, Sammamish, Washington

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersLakemoore Residence, Austin, Texas

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersWedgewood Plan 2, Yorba Linda, California

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersIn Plane Sight, Paradise Valley, Arizona and Sennette Residence, Asheville, No. Carolina

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IBS Education |

Which Would You Prefer for Same Amount of Money?

Bigger house w/ fewer amenities

Smaller house w/ high quality products & amenities

1st Time 62% 38%Buyers

Repeat 67% 33%Buyers

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersTrend at Novel Park, Irvine, California

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersSurf Betty, Port Aransas, Texas

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersHickory Hill, Gull Lake, Michigan

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersMercer Island Residence, Mercer Island, Washington

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersPhoenician Modern, Scottsdale, Arizona

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersHarbor Island, Newport Beach, California

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IBS Education |

BALA WinnersVail, Vail, Colorado

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Speaker Contact Information

Rose [email protected], DC

Donald J. Ruthroff, AIADAHLIN GROUP ARCHITECTURE | [email protected], California