homeownership and happiness: empirical evidence for switzerland... · 2019-04-08 · capturing...

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Roland Hofmann, MScBF, CFP, CAIA Swiss Real Estate Research Congress [email protected] Zurich, Friday, March 29, 2019 Homeownership and Happiness: Empirical Evidence for Switzerland Roland Hofmann & Rafael Umbricht Building Competence. Crossing Borders.

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Page 1: Homeownership and Happiness: Empirical Evidence for Switzerland... · 2019-04-08 · capturing heterogeneity across households (Pedroni, 1999; Philipps, 1995). Pooled OLS and FMOLS

Roland Hofmann, MScBF, CFP, CAIA Swiss Real Estate Research Congress

[email protected] Zurich, Friday, March 29, 2019

Homeownership and Happiness:

Empirical Evidence for Switzerland

Roland Hofmann & Rafael Umbricht

Building Competence. Crossing Borders.

Page 2: Homeownership and Happiness: Empirical Evidence for Switzerland... · 2019-04-08 · capturing heterogeneity across households (Pedroni, 1999; Philipps, 1995). Pooled OLS and FMOLS

Introduction and Motivation

2

Research question: are homeowners

in Switzerland more satisfied with

their lives than tenants are?

Why Switzerland? Most studies focus

on the United States, the European

Union, or Asia. The specific situation in

Switzerland (low homeownership

rates, high living standard) make it an

uncommon and therefore interesting

case for research.

source: beobachter.ch

Mixed empirical evidence for a positive relationship between homeownership and

life satisfaction (Zumbro, 2014; Hu, 2013; Bucchianeri, 2011; Rossi and Weber,

1996; Rohe and Basolo, 1997; Rohe and Stegman, 1994).

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Empirical Approach

3

Data: Swiss Household Panel (SHP); years 2012 and 2016 (only these two waves

collected data on household wealth); 4,957 observations.

Methodology: pooled ordinary least square (POLS) regression

ො𝑦𝑖 = ො𝛼0 + መ𝛽1 ⋅ 𝑂𝑤𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑖 + መ𝛽2 ⋅ 𝑊𝑒𝑎𝑙𝑡ℎ𝑖 + መ𝛽3 ⋅ 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑖 + መ𝛽4 ⋅ 𝛿𝑖 + መ𝛽𝑌 ⋅ 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟2016 + Ƹ휀𝑖

Further approaches:

difference in difference calculation;

reserve causality test;

ordered logistic regressions;

fully modified OLS;

other robustness tests.

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Results - POLS

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Results - POLS

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Results – Difference in Difference

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Discussion and Conclusion

7

What is the answer to the question?

Advanced models with additional variables showed that homeownership alone cannot

explain the reported happiness in Switzerland. Since homeowners tend to be wealthier

than tenants are, we assume that the household financial situation must be a factor when

explaining happiness. However, we should not overstate the financial effect on

happiness and gloss over other evidence. In most models, the core variables age, health

and partnership remain significant.

Several robustness tests confirm the above results and strengthen the evidence in support

of our hypothesis. The results support that it is the financial situation rather than the

homeownership per se which explains reported happiness. The findings are robust in a

variety of econometric estimation settings.

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Management and Law  zhaw

School of

Thank you.

Page 9: Homeownership and Happiness: Empirical Evidence for Switzerland... · 2019-04-08 · capturing heterogeneity across households (Pedroni, 1999; Philipps, 1995). Pooled OLS and FMOLS

Introduction and Motivation

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“My home is my castle.”

“Build a house, plant a tree, father a child.”

A natural preference for homeownership (Saunders, 1990).

“American Dream” (Bucchianeri, 2011).

Besides pension wealth, the house is the most important asset for most households.

Widespread Government programs to promote homeownership.

Article 108 of the Swiss Federal Constitution the possibility of withdrawal of pension

funds for the purchase of a home and special tax treatments of residential property

(Federal Department of Finance Switzerland, 2010).

Why Promotion of Homeownership? First, homeowners are supposed to be “better”

citizens; and second, life satisfaction, in general, is likely to increase.

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Theoretical Considerations and Literature Review

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Being happy = probably the most essential goal in life

Various scientific disciplines have investigated “what makes people happy.”

Happiness research has become an important topic in economics when investigating

preferences and utilities. Happiness (an overall subjective well-being in all aspects of

life) is a useful proxy for the theoretical term utility (Frey, 2017).

Since homeownership is also an important goal for many people, there may be a link

between homeownership and happiness.

Economic research on the determinants of happiness (Powdthavee and Stutzer, 2014;

Frey, 2017): satisfying personal relationships, good health, employment, also a

good financial situation (income) or democratic participation promote happiness

Consequences of happiness: happy individuals are more productive, healthier, and

more intrinsically motivated to engage in work.

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Theoretical Considerations and Literature Review

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The literature on homeownership usually

describes four channels positively influencing

life satisfaction (Zumbro, 2014): housing

quality, economic effects (accumulation of

wealth, tax effects), prestige, and freedom.

Bucchianeri (2011) and Diaz-Serrano (2009):

“pride of homeownership”

The purchase of a house regularly requires a

high financial commitment (mortgages =

long-term financial liabilities). Tenants have no

comparable financial obligations (Dietz and

Haurin, 2003).

source: Hausmagazin.com

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Theoretical Considerations and Literature Review

12

Mixed empirical evidence for a positive relationship between homeownership and life

satisfaction (Zumbro, 2014; Hu, 2013; Bucchianeri, 2011; Rossi and Weber, 1996; Rohe

and Basolo, 1997; Rohe and Stegman, 1994).

Overall, there seems to be no clear connection in the literature between

homeownership and life satisfaction.

For Switzerland, Seiler Zimmermann and Wanzenried (2016) report empirical evidence

for 2000 to 2014 that homeowners are happier than tenants are.

Hypothesis: From the current state of research, we assume that homeowners are

happier than tenants are. However, this effect diminishes when further control

variables, especially the wealth of a household is considered. As a new aspect and a

contribution to the field of homeownership and happiness research, we will include the

effect of wealth in the empirical model, which we test on Swiss data.

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Results

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Interpretation model 3:

Homeownership becomes significant, but that the sign changes to a negative value

(coefficient -0.1003 at p < 0.05).

The wealth and income variables remain significant (coefficients 0.0536 with p <

0.01 and 0.1048 with p <0.05).

All variables of the control set are significant at p < 0.05 or higher, except for length

of residence and housing costs.

The year dummy shows a significant increase in happiness by 0.13 points between

2012 and 2016.

The standardized beta coefficients show that the variables health (coefficient 0.3045),

partnership (0.1318), and age (0.1029) have the most significant effect on

happiness in our analysis (together prognosis contribution of around 53%)

The explanatory contribution of homeownership (-0.0382), log wealth (0.074), and log

income (0.0449) is modest.

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Results – Reverse Causality

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Robustness Analysis

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Yearly Estimations:

2012: homeownership and income are no longer significant, as are some other control

variables. The signs do not change compared to the pooled estimation. 2016 largely

corresponds to the pooled estimation, data influence the results of the pooled regression.

Weighted OLS (WLS):

The weighted households are slightly less happy (0.082), less frequent homeowners (0.081),

less wealthy (186.2), have a lower income (1.700), younger (3.24), and less frequent Swiss

citizens (0.114). Pooled OLS and WLS hardly differ in terms of sign, significance, co-

efficients and variance explanation. Only income and recent mover lose significance.

Ordered Logistic Regression:

The coefficients of almost all variables are (sometimes up to half of the magnitude) larger

than those of the pooled OLS estimation. However, their signs, and their significance levels

barely differ from the results of the previous estimations. Only income loses its variance.

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Robustness Analysis

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Fully Modified OLS:

The fully modified OLS (FMOLS) method estimates co-integrated panels and is capable of

capturing heterogeneity across households (Pedroni, 1999; Philipps, 1995).

Pooled OLS and FMOLS results are similar but not identical. The estimations barely differ

in terms of sign and coefficients. However, homeownership, income, kids and recent movers

fall out of significance in FMOLS.

The basic variables that make people happy (age, health, living with partner) remain highly

significant in all models. Likewise, wealth always remains significant with similar

coefficients. Both homeownership (with negative sign) and income are not always significant.

We conclude that for happiness especially wealth is important, but not directly owning a

house or the income, as wealth can stabilize income over time.

Financial Satisfaction (replaces happiness):

The predicted financial satisfaction score would be at -0.3032 (from -0.1003) for

homeownership. Moreover, for every unit increase in log wealth and log income, we would

expect a 0.2191 and a 0.7031 increase in financial satisfaction.

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Robustness Analysis

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Financial Satisfaction (cont):

The coefficients of the control variables are usually much larger than in the baseline

model.

Overall, the influence of the variables on financial satisfaction is much more pronounced

than on happiness in general. Apparently, financial factors have more impact on financial

satisfaction than on happiness, and the effect of homeownership is even worse in

financial terms. Homeownership has a negative impact on financial satisfaction.

Age Groups and Wealth Classes:

The results for the different age groups show some differences. Homeownership is not

significant in any of the four groups, wealth only in the group 30-50 and income in the

groups under 30 and 51-70. Health and partnership remain significant in all groups, but age

does not. We conclude that results from baseline model should not be applied to age groups.

The results for the wealth classes also show results that deviate from baseline model.

Homeownership is only significant in the wealth group below 100,000 francs.

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Robustness Analysis

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Age Groups and Wealth Classes (cont.):

Wealth and income are significant for all groups except the group 400,000 - 820,000

francs. The variables age, health and living with partner remain are significant for all groups.

The regressions of the wealth groups are generally more similar to the baseline model

than the regressions with the age groups.

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Discussion and Conclusion

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What is the topic of the paper?

Achieving homeownership is often stated as one of the primary objectives in life and is still

part of the American Dream, and relevant in Switzerland too (Bourassa et al., 2010).

Governments usually promote homeownership, arguing that homeowners are “better”

citizens. Such incentive schemes also exist in Switzerland (Federal Department of Finance

Switzerland, 2010). It is commonly agreed that purchasing a home is worth promoting

and makes people happier. However, are homeowners really happier than tenants are?

What is the question?

The main objective of this paper is to examine the relationship between homeownership

and happiness for the first time in a Swiss context using data from the Swiss Household

Panel (SHP). There are some indications that other variables could influence this

relationship. We started with the hypothesis that homeowners are happier than tenants

are, but this effect disappear when control variables were taken into account.

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Discussion and Conclusion

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What does that mean for other comparable cases and what can we learn from that

study, given the limitations that it has?

Our results in the Swiss context are in line with those of Bucchianeri (2011) for the US. The

more comprehensive the econometric control, the less homeownership appears to

affect happiness directly. We contend that the findings of Zumbro (2014) and Hu (2013), as

with the results of some older publications, should be reconsidered. If the household

financial situation is not included in the econometric estimation, the results are distorted.

Our findings show that while homeownership can be a dream for many, it can also be a

considerable financial burden. In addition, renting in Switzerland remains an attractive

alternative (Bourassa et al., 2010).

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Discussion and Conclusion

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Our findings should not be generalized. The economic, political, and cultural

conditions in Switzerland do not allow direct comparisons with our countries without

considering these factors.

Finally, we must emphasize that homeownership has other social advantages that

may explain why households want to become homeowners and the government

wishes to subsidize homeownership. The effects of homeownership on financial

aspects of retirement (Müller, 2019) may well be an interesting area for future

research.

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Author / Contact

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Roland Hofmann (1969) gained in 1996 the diploma as business economist at the school of economics and

business administration (HWV) in Zurich. In 2000, he acquired the designation of a CFP ® certified financial

planner. 2010 he graduated to Master of Science in Banking & Finance at the ZHAW School of Management

and Law. Since 2012, he holds the designation of CAIA Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst. Currently,

he complete his PhD studies at the University of Lucerne, under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Christoph A.

Schaltegger.

After serving at the Swiss Armed Forces as a non-commissioned officer (Medical Sergeant), he served

several years as Chief Financial Officer and member of the Executive Board at Swiss Red Cross Canton of

Zurich. Later he was responsible as a financial planner for the income and asset structuring of private clients

at the Zurich Cantonal Bank. Since 2005 he serves at the ZHAW School of Management and Law in

Winterthur (Switzerland) as a senior lecturer in Banking & Finance and has responsibilities in teaching,

training, research and consultancy. He lives with his family in Winterthur.

Research interests:

Financial Planning, Financial Consulting, Wealth Management

Banking and Finance, Alternative Investments

Public Economics

Contact:

ZHAW School of Management and Law

Technoparkstrasse 2

Postfach

CH-8401 Winterthur

Phone +41 58 934 78 21

Email [email protected]

www.zhaw.ch/abf

.

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Author / Contact

25

Rafael Umbricht (1989) gained his bachelor degree (BSc in Banking & Finance) in 2015 from ZHAW School

of Management and Law in Winterthur. In 2017 he graduated to Master of Science (MSc) in Banking &

Finance at the ZHAW School of Management and Law and IFZ at Hochschule Luzern (HSLU).

After completing his bank entry internship for secondary graduates, he worked in different roles at

Swissquote Bank SA. Between 2015 and 2018 he worked as a scientific assistant at the Institute of Wealth &

Asset Management at ZHAW School of Management and Law and since 2019 he is employed as a Software

Developer at Alphasys IT Services AG in Winterthur.

Research interests:

Employment in the banking sector

Household Finances

Financial Technologies

Contact:

ZHAW School of Management and Law

Technoparkstrasse 2

Postfach

CH-8401 Winterthur

Phone +41 79 739 01 46

Email [email protected].