honorary research fellow, csiro plant industry, canberra ... · trends of wa wheat yield on farms...

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The remarkable improvements in Australian mixed farming John Angus Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra and ‘Wattle Flat’, Stockinbingal Hector and Andrew Stewart Memorial Lecture, University of Western Australia, 18th March 2011

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Page 1: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

The remarkable improvements in Australian mixed farming

John Angus

Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberraand ‘Wattle Flat’, Stockinbingal

Hector and Andrew Stewart Memorial Lecture,University of Western Australia, 18th March 2011

Page 2: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Average dryland

farm –

land area, crop area and livestock number

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Land

are

a (h

a)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Shee

p nu

mbe

r

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Cat

tle n

umbe

r

0

100

200

300

Farm area

Crop area

Sheep number

Cattle number

ABARE data

Page 3: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Australian wheat yields, 1850-2010

Aust. J. Exp. Agric 41, 277-288

1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Nutrient exhaustion

SuperphosphateNew cultivars Fallowing

Milleniumdrought

Break crop (canola) in Sth. Aust

Legume nitrogenBetter rotationsMechanisation

Annual

5-year running mean

Trends

Selective grassherbicides

Semidwarfcultivars

N fertiliser in Sth. Aust

Break crop(lupin) in WA

Page 4: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Wheat yield gap below the water-limited potential

Evapotranspiration (mm)

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

n = 691

China Loess PlateauMediterranean BasinNorth American Great PlainsSE Australia

Aust. J. Agric. Res 57, 847-856

Page 5: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Contributions to increased wheat productivity

BreedingTimingDisease resistanceStress tolerance (www.patentlens.net

/ search: wheat & drought)

Stature –

semi dwarfsGrain quality

Crop managementTimingNutrition –

fertilisers and pasture-N

Crop sequences –

rotationTillage and stubble management Correcting soil acidity -

liming

Weed control –

herbicidesDisease control -

fungicides

Climate changeAdoption -

innovation

Page 6: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Studies evaluating the contribution of crop management to yield increase

Reference Region Percentage of yield improvement due to management

Warren (1971) Southern NSW 100Russell (1973) South Australia 78Greb

(1979 USA 70Ridley and Hedlin

(1980) Canada 85O’Brien (1982) Victoria 67Schmidt (1984) USA 47Perry and D’Antuono

(1989) Western Australia 71Bell et al (1994) Mexico 50Anderson and Impiglia

(2002) Western Australia 68Horie

(2004) Rice, Japan 100Mackay et al (2010) UK winter wheat ’48 -’82 40

Mackay et al. (2010) UK winter wheat ’83 -’07 0

Average 65

Page 7: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials

1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

WA wheat yields(5-year running mean)

Variety yields by year of release (Perry and D'Antuono 1989)

Page 8: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Western Australian wheat and barley yields, 1876-2010

1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020Yiel

d ra

tio (w

heat

/bar

ley)

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

WheatBarley

Page 9: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Wheat yields on farms and variety trials in the Victorian Wimmera

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0

1

2

3

4

Pinnacle

Summit

Summit

KewellGhurka

FederationFree Gallipoli

Ghurka

Pinnacle

Free Gallipoli

Federation

Meering

Cocamba

Meering

Page 10: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

BreedingSlice 2Management

Contributions to grain yield GRDC R&D investments

in 2005-06

Varieties $55.1mPractices $36.7mNew Products $11.2mCommunications $8.9mOthers $3.4m

.

Page 11: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Middle-distance speed of racehorses (selectively bred) and human males (not selectively bred)

1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

Tim

e (m

:s)

3

4

5

Melbourne Cup

World mile record

Page 12: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Adoption of N fertiliser in Australia is recent

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Wor

ld n

itrog

en fe

rtili

ser (

x 10

6 t N

)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Aus

tral

ian

nitr

ogen

fert

ilise

r (x

103

t N)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

World

Australia

Page 13: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

ShootDens vs YldResp

Shoots / m20 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Yiel

d re

spon

se to

40

kg N

/ha

topd

ress

ed

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1000

After break crop

No break crop

Wheat yield response to topdressed

nitrogen fertiliser

Page 14: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Can

ola

area

(mill

ion

ha)

0

1

2

Fert

ilise

r N u

se (m

illio

n to

nnes

)

0.0

0.5

1.0

Lim

e in

NSW

(mill

ion

tonn

es)

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

Canola area

Fertiliser N use

NSW lime use

Canola triggered the use of lime and nitrogen fertiliser

Page 15: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

NSW canola and lime use

1980 1990 2000 2010

Lim

e ( '

000

tonn

es)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Can

ola

area

('00

0 ha

)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Page 16: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

MullawaMoree

GulargamboneGilgandra

AriahPark

Condobolin

MorawaKalannic

Mukinbudin

Lake Grace CascadeSalmon Gums

VarleyMerredin

Dalwallinu

ThuddungraNangus

Horsham

Loxton

Minnipa

Walpeup Kyalite

Prime hard wheat experimental sites

Page 17: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Grain protein (%)

0 5 10 15 20 25

Scre

enin

gs (%

)

0

10

20

30

40

50

NorthSEWest

Grain quality: screenings of wheat grain in 3 regions

Page 18: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Increased wheat production per farm since 1990Rotations

Crop sequences

Break crops

Page 19: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Wheat after wheat2 t/ha

Wheat after canola5 t/ha

One of 700 assessments of break crops

Page 20: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Possible mechanisms of the break-

crop effect

Root disease –

absence of host or biofumigation

?•

Foliar disease

Residual water•

Residual nutrients

Biologically fixed N residues•

Hydrogen fertilisation

Suppression of arbuscular

mycorrhizal

fungi (AMF)•

Better weed control / earlier sowing

Page 21: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Take-all fungus in wheat roots

Page 22: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Suppression of take-all by brassica

and linseed tissue ‘biofumigation’

Plant and Soil 162, 107-112

Page 23: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Hydrolysis of glucosinolates

releases isothiocyanates

N -

OSO3-

Glu

|| Glu

-

S -

C R-N=C-S

\ R Glucosinolate

Isothiocyanate

R = phenylethyl

(generally present in Brassica

roots)

= propenyl

(present in mustard roots)

Page 24: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

N2

+6H+ 6e-12

ATP12

ADP 2NH3

3e- 6ATP

6ADP

3H+ 1.5H2

Hydrogen fertilisationNodule

Nitrogenase

Uptake Hydrogenase(HUP+)

3H+

3e-

Page 25: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

N2

+6H+ 6e-12

ATP12

ADP 2NH3

3e- 6ATP

6ADP

3H+ 1.5H2

Nodule

Nitrogenase

Many symbioses are HUP-

Energy = 5-6% of daily photosynthesis HH22

Diffuse

Hydrogen fertilisation

Page 26: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

.

.

Previous crop

Δ

wheat□

field pea

canola

Filled symbols no POpen symbols 17 kg P/ha

Plant and Soil (2005) 270: 275–286

.

Break crops regulate mycorrhizal colonisation of wheat

Page 27: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Break-crop effect of oats (0.47 t/ha)

Yield of wheat after wheat (t/ha)0 2 4 6 8 10

Yiel

d of

whe

at a

fter o

ats

(t/ha

)

0

2

4

6

8

10

SwedenAustraliaOther

Australian Agronomy Society 2008

Page 28: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Break-crop effect of canola (0.8 t/ha)

Yield of wheat after wheat (t/ha)0 2 4 6 8 10

Yiel

d of

whe

at a

fter c

anol

a (t/

ha)

0

2

4

6

8

10

AustraliaOther countries

Australian Agronomy Society 2008

Page 29: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Break cropsYields benefits of break crops for wheat

Barley +0.19 3.52 60Oats +0.50 3.68 150Canola +0.79 3.45 180Mustard +0.58 3.03 59Flax +0.91 3.20 38Field pea +1.00 2.63 82Fababean +1.10 4.00 41Lupin +1.46 2.24 53Chickpea +0.98 1.73 54Lentil +0.71 2.24 32

Break crop Yield benefit (t/ha)

Wheat yield

No. of obs.

Page 30: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Lupins give a greater break-crop benefit than field pea

Yield of wheat after wheat (t/ha)0 2 4 6 8

Yiel

d of

whe

at a

fter l

egum

e (t/

ha)

0

2

4

6

8

After field peaAfter narrow-leaf lupin

Page 31: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Effect of 3 different break crops on wheat yield

Barley Oats Canola Mustard Flax Field pea

Lupin Wheat Number

+0.21 +0.60 3.59 59

+0.60 +0.62 3.12 36

+1.08 +1.07 3.54 38

+1.55 +1.82 3.25 31

Page 32: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Sources of the break-crop effect and estimates of their contribution to additional yield for a 4 t/ha wheat crop

Mechanism Additional yield (t/ha)

Take-all suppression 0.5Suppression of other root diseases 0.3Net N benefit of canola 0.1Hydrogen fertilisation by legumes 0.4Suppression of AMF by non-hosts 0-0.1?Net N benefit of legumes 0.5

Page 33: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Adoption of break crops (particularly canola) triggered:

LimingIncreased yield of following cerealsMore extraction of soil water and N by wheatMore reliable cereal response to N fertiliserLime helped the return of lucerne and barley

Page 34: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Twenty-years of conservation cropping at Harden

Page 35: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Yield response to direct drilling in relation to seasonal rainfall

Growing season rainfall (mm)

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Yiel

d di

ff (R

DD

-BC

) (t/h

a)

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0Longterm AverageYield gain

Yield loss

Page 36: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Wheat response to conservation cropping at Harden

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2007 2008

DC

30 B

iom

ass

(g/m

2 )

050

100150200250300

* ** * * *

**

*

Burn/Cult Retain/DD

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2007 2008

Yiel

d (t/

ha)

0

2

4

6

8

10

*

*

*

**

*

Page 37: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Burn No burn

Till 4.8 4.4

No till 4.6 4.3

Yield (t/ha) of wheat grown every second year, Harden 1990-2008

Page 38: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Grazing vegetative crops

Page 39: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Effects of grazing vegetative crops with sheep (~20 dse /ha for 30-50 days)delayed maturity (1 day’s flowering delay per ~4 grazing days

deferred water usepoor nitrogen uptake after grazing?reduced lodging of early-sown cropsyield response -

4 ±

25%

Page 40: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

2.27 t/ha 2.80 t/ha

Wheat yield increased by grazing because water use is deferred until after flowering

Page 41: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Reintegrating livestock with croppingOpportunities

Perennial pasturesGrazed crops Failed crops as a feed sourceWool-shedding sheep (Dorper & Wiltipolls)

Fewer pests (flies, worms, PETA)Transporting northern cattle south?

ProblemsBreeding stock on grazed cropsExcess paddock sizeLess shade

Page 42: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

‘The County Agent’, Norman Rockwell, 1948

Innovation and adoption

Page 43: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Adoption:

Delay of ~30 years between research andadoption on farms. Alston et al. 2010.

Innovation:

users of products and services—both firms and individual consumers—are increasingly able to innovate for themselves. von Hippel

2005

Page 44: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

AcknowledgementsWal

Anderson

Bill Bowden

John Passioura

Tony Fischer Mark Peoples

Tony Good

Megan Ryan

John Kirkegaard

Victor Sadras

Lars Ohlander

Anthony van Herwaarden

John Oliver

Jim Virgona

Page 45: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

N s

uppl

y an

d de

man

d (k

g ha

-1 d

ay-1

)

0

1

2

3

J F M A M J J A S O N D

Demand

Supply

Nitrogen supply and demand by a wheat crop

Page 46: Honorary Research Fellow, CSIRO Plant Industry, Canberra ... · Trends of WA wheat yield on farms and in variety trials. 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020. Yield (t/ha)

Grain protein (%)

0 5 10 15 20 25

Test

wei

ght (

kg/h

L)

50

60

70

80

90

100

NorthSEWest

Grain quality: test weight of wheat grain in 3 regions