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HORIZON SCANNINGThe Investment Litmus Test

Aerospace & DefenseIndustries

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An orderly methodHere we use the SATERPLIDE acronym to prompt the scan for future events and

their consequences. The segments are:

• Social (See Maslows’s Hierarchy of Human Needs)• Approach (First response to an issue)• Technology (Applying our innovation to reliable approaches)• Economic (The benefits in productivity from technology)• Resources (Human and Natural, required and consumed)• Political (Ownership rights of tribes to resources)• Legal (Administration of political resolutions)• International (Resolution of international differences)• Demographic (Population shift to better circumstances)• Environment (Built by Humans and by Nature, our impact)

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An orderly method

• Note that there is a series of cause-and-effect relationships going around the circle.

• This discovery

technique ensures thorough scanning in our due diligence process.

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SOCIAL SegmentMaslow’s Hierarchy of Human Needs

Creativity

Respect

Acceptance

Comfort

Survival

If your life is at risk, you may compromise on the items above survival

A roof over your head

Observing local customs

What do you know?

Problem Solving

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Human Need: Early warning of natural disasterse.g. Japan earthquake / tsunami 2011

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APPROACH Segment

What to do if your human needs are being frustrated?

NEED APPROACHSurvival Flee, Fight,

Comfort Build, Adapt

Acceptance Join, Communicate

Respect Learn, Teach

Creativity Design, Invent

Build a better early warning system

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TECHNOLOGY Segment

How to make a successful approach re-useable & reliable?

Use earth observation satellites

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ECONOMIC Segment

How does the technology improve the quality of life?

Early warning systems – People get to safety sooner

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RESOURCES SegmentWhat are the human and natural resources required to sustain the

economic activity?

The industry requires a large and skilled workforce

Precision weapons, Priuses and iPhones depend on components made from rare earths like terbium, dysprosium

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POLITICAL Segment

Who owns the resources being applied? What gender are they from?

Nicole Stott, NASA AstronautThe International Space Station pools resources

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LEGAL SegmentHow are agreements for sharing resources administered?

What are the safety regulations for small and large aircraft?

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INTERNATIONAL Segment

How are differences between international systems resolved?

Observation from space raises issues of privacy

Very small countries like Singapore and Switzerland have airlines with global networks

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DEMOGRAPHIC Segment

What is the impact of economic success on population mix and location?

In the case of China, issues of defense of natural resources are being raised.

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ENVIRONMENT Segment

What is the impact of economic success on the environment, both natural and the built infrastructure?

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Next steps: Identify the future event labels