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Residence Inn Kensington (Opening Q4 2017) Hotel Quarterly Bulletin Q3, 2017 Optimism in the UK Serviced Apartment Sector

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Residence Inn Kensington (Opening Q4 2017)

HotelQuarterly Bulletin

Q3, 2017

O p t i m i s m i n t h e U K S e r v i c e d A p a r t m e n t S e c t o r

In 2017, the supply of serviced apartments and

aparthotels will witness a year of phenomenal growth

for both London and regional UK, with supply

forecast to grow by 10% and 10.4% respectively.

The serviced apartment sector is one of the fastest

growing sectors in the UK, with a compound annual

average growth rate of 6.8% per annum between

2013 and forecast year end supply 2017, with the

total units rising to over 21,500 units.

With supply in London set to increase by over

1,000 units, London’s share of the market is set

to rise closer to its five-year average of 53%, with

supply growth in regional UK having outperformed

the capital in 2016. Edinburgh, Manchester,

Liverpool, Birmingham and Aberdeen are the top 5

regional cities, accounting for approximately 5,000

serviced apartment units, representing 24% of the

total supply.

During the past few years the serviced apartment

sector has gained significant momentum in terms

of development and branding. Alongside a number

of specialist extended stay operators, the rollout

of the extended stay concept by a number of the

global hotel operators, has reinforced the sector’s

position as a mainstream asset class within the wider

hotel market. To date, international branded supply

accounts for 40% of the serviced apartment stock in

London and 30% in regional UK. Significant scope

for consolidation exists, with the market remaining

highly fragmented, with a plethora of regional brands,

representing 20% of the UK market.

100%

Nu

mb

er o

f u

nit

s

Ave

rag

e si

ze

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

Other UK City

Manchester

York

Bristol

Number of Apartments Average Apartment Size

Birmingham

Edinburgh

Aberdeen

Liverpool

London2

01

3

Staycity

20

17

Citad

ines

Locke by S

AC

O

20

15

SA

CO

Prem

ier Suites

Due 2

01

8

Cheval R

esidences

Go N

ative

20

14

Marlin A

partm

ents

Room

zzz

Due 2

01

7

Living by B

ridge S

treet

Macd

onald H

otels

20

16

Stayb

ridge S

uites

Ad

agio

Due 2

01

9

Sp

eculative

New Supply by City 2013-2019 (Units)

Leading UK Serviced Apartments Brands (as at September 2017)

1,600 160

120

80

40

140

100

60

20

0

800

1,300

400

1,400

600

1,000

200

0

London leads the way in the supply boom of the UK serviced apartment sector – evidence that the sector is fast becoming a mainstream competitor in the UK hotel market.

The UK Serviced Apartment Sector

As the sector continues to grow, competing brands

will contribute to the heightened blurring of a

traditional serviced apartment and a select service

product. Brands will increasingly seek to develop

their distinctive style and personality, through the

design and product offering. Whilst offering the

comfort and space of a home-away-from-home

product remains at the core, evidence exists of

operators becoming more creative in terms of

product offering with self-service communal dining

areas and enhanced in-room technology becoming

increasingly the norm.

The sector is set to expand by 21% between 2017 and 2020, equating to approximately 23,500 apartment units. 900 new apartments have opened to September YTD 2017, with a further 1,000 apartments forecast to open by the year end.

Of particular prominence is the acceleration of

growth planned by the existing operators, with

approximately 2,000 branded apartments scheduled

to open by the end of 2019 and a further 2,000

units in the pipeline. For example, luxury apart-hotel

operator Roomzzz have an extensive pipeline of

seven UK developments, some 650 rooms in city-

centre destinations nationwide. Meanwhile, Cycas

Hospitality continue to foster partnerships by signing

their third deal with Marriott, continuing the trend to

operate dual-branded hotel projects, with the signing

of a 92-room Residence Inn and 144-room boutique

Moxy hotel, to be operated under a single lease

agreement in the same building.

Operators such as Staycity, Cycas Hospitality,

Roomzzz and Go Native are some of the most active

players in the market and will likely become pan-

European extended stay specialists in their bid to

achieve ambitious development plans. The launch of

new innovative brands, are becoming an increasingly

common occurrence, meanwhile consolidation

amongst international operators, such as Mapletree

Investments’ recent acquisition of Oakwood is

expected to further strengthen certain established

global brands in the UK and European market.

Roomzzz Manchester City (individually designed aparthotel, 59 apartments)

The basic premise of an apart-hotel product is

that with a longer average length of stay, the

impact of room vacancies is reduced. Based

upon data provided by STR, the RevPAR

performance for a sample of London serviced

apartments achieves a significant uplift in

performance compared to a sample set of London

upscale and upper upscale hotels. This enhanced

performance is achieved through strong occupancy

and a significant premium in the average room rate.

In particular, serviced apartments benefit from the

high yielding corporate market and stability

throughout the entire week in the average daily

rate achieved.

With specialist operators’ willingness to offer

leases, combined with the perception of improved

covenant strength associated with increased brand

awareness, and the sector’s high margin / low cost

operating model having the potential to generate

attractive income and capital returns, combined

these factors serve to deliver increased investment

appetite from institutional and private equity

investors seeking to diversify their portfolios.

To date one of the biggest barrier to institutional

investment in the sector has been a lack of sizeable,

purpose built stock. As such, the growing trend for

institutional investors to participate in forward funding

transactions or commit to development opportunities

is expected to continue in order to benefit from a

high yielding return post development.

Nevertheless, the opportunity to build a scalable,

recognisable and established brand, with the

forthcoming disposal of SACO, the UK’s second

largest extended stay operator, is expected to result

in a new wave of investment activity and interest in

the sector. Furthermore, with specialist operators

such as Go Native exploring a diversified operating

model in order to underpin long-term value creation,

the opportunities presented through the embryonic

Private Rental Sector and Build to Rent Sector are

significant and expected to further enhance the

sector’s investment appeal.

Source: STR

Staycity

SACO

BridgeStreet Global Hospitality

Cycas Hospitality

Ascott Group

Marlin Apartments

Frasers Hospitality

Go Native

Nadler Hotels

Roomzzz

PREM Group

Accor HotelServices

Existing Stock 2017London Upscale &

Upper Upscale Hotels

Total Pipeline 2017-2020Serviced Apartments

– London

SpeculativeServiced Apartments %

RevPAR uplift

Top UK Serviced Apartment Operators

Rev

PA

R £

Ser

vice

d A

par

tmen

t

% R

evP

AR

U

plif

t

RevPAR Performance London Serviced Apartments v London Upscale & Upper Upscale Hotels

2015 2016 July YTD 2016 July YTD 2017

180

160

60

140

40

120

20

100

0 24%

26%

25%

27%

28%

29%

30%

31%

32%

80

Staycity Aparthotels London Heathrow

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Julian Evans, FRICSHead of Healthcare. Hotels & Leisure

T: +44 207 861 1147

E: [email protected]

Alex Sturgess, FRICSPartner

T: +44 207 861 1164

E: [email protected]

Ian Elliott, FRICS Partner

T:+44 207 861 1082

E: [email protected]

Henry Jackson, FRICS Partner

T: +44 207 861 1085

E: [email protected]

Philippa GoldsteinHotel Analyst

T:+44 203 826 0600

E: [email protected]

Residence Inn London Bridge (Opened August 2017)

PEOPLE

418 OFFICES

60 COUNTRIES15,020 PEOPLE

PEOPLE

2,14585

OFFICES

1,035 80

OFFICES

PEOPLE

70023

OFFICES

PEOPLE

503

OFFICES

PEOPLE

5,61558

OFFICES

PEOPLE

OFFICES

5,475169

Continental Europe

16 Countries Austria / Belgium / Cyprus Czech Republic / FranceGermany / Ireland / Italy / Monaco The Netherlands / Poland / Portugal Romania / Russia / Spain Switzerland

The Middle East

2 CountriesThe Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaThe United Arab Emirates

Asia Pacific

14 Countries Australia / Cambodia

China / Hong KongIndia / Indonesia Japan / Malaysia

New Zealand / PhilippinesSingapore / South Korea

Taiwan / Thailand

United Kingdom

Africa

10 CountriesBotswana / Kenya / Malawi Nigeria / Rwanda / South Africa Tanzania / Uganda / Zambia Zimbabwe

The Americas

15 CountriesArgentina / Brazil 

Canada / Chile / Colombia Costa Rica / Dominican Republic

Mexico / PeruPuerto Rico / The Caribbean (4)

USA

PEOPLE

© Knight Frank LLP 2017 - Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.