how has/is/will climate change impact(ed)/ing people living in the western us?

20
How has/is/will climate change impact(ed)/ing people living in the Western US?

Post on 19-Dec-2015

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

How has/is/will climate changeimpact(ed)/ing people living

in the Western US?

What’s the Problem?

Water

http://drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html

Lake Mead

Urban Sprawl in the LV Valley

Changing Ecosystems

http://www.kqed.org/quest/radio/disappearing-plants

How has/is/will climate changeimpact(ed)/ing people living

in the Western US?

What’s the Question?

Has Is WillHistoric Current Future

Knowing and Predicting

What’s the Question?

Has Is WillHistoric Current Future

Knowing and Predicting

Forecasting

Weather vs. Climate

• Weather - a set of all the phenomena occurring in a given atmosphere at a given time.

• Climate – the average set of all phenomena occurring in a given atmosphere over periods of at least 30 years.

Can we?

Knowing PredictingWeather Good So-So (7-10 days)Climate Somewhat ?????

Scientific Issues• Systems Thinking

– Human nature– Silos– Socio-political influences– Power

• Modeling– Consensus– Tools

• Data– Quality and Integrity– Storage

• Complexity

Data vs. Information

• Data - Raw, unprocessed measurements.• Information - Data + Context

Spatial vs. Temporal

• Spatial data - Data that that is linked to locations in geographic space, usually via features on a map.

• Temporal data - Data that can be linked to a certain time or period between two moments in time.

What does this tell us?Precipitation (inches)

0.716

0.493

1.591

0.388

0.570

1.708

0.903

0.739

0.881

0.876

Average Precipitation in Nevada During March (1895-1940)

YearMonth

Precipitation (inches)

1895 3 0.716

1900 3 0.493

1905 3 1.591

1910 3 0.388

1915 3 0.570

1920 3 1.708

1925 3 0.903

1930 3 0.739

1935 3 0.881

1940 3 0.876

Metadata

YearMonth

Precipitation (inches)

# of sitesReporting

Locations

Instrument

Tolerance

Calibration File Used

1895 3 0.716

1900 3 0.493

1905 3 1.591

1910 3 0.388

1915 3 0.570

1920 3 1.708

1925 3 0.903

1930 3 0.739

1935 3 0.881

1940 3 0.876

Inscriptions as Data

1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 19500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Average Annual Precipitation in Nevada during March (1895-1940)

Year

Prec

ipita

tion

in In

ches

How has/is/will climate changeimpact(ed)/ing people living

in the Western US?