how robots conquer industry worldwide · pdf filehow robots conquer industry worldwide. ifr...
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Schedule
• Welcome and introduction of the panelists• Global robot market up to 2020
by Joe Gemma• Today‘s trends – tommorow‘s robots
by Steven Wyatt• Questions
International Federation of RoboticsRepresenting the global robotics industry
• Robotics turnover 2016: $40 billion• More than 50 members:
• National robot associations• R&D institutes• Robot suppliers• Integrators
• Sponsor of the International Symposium on Robotics (ISR)
• Co-sponsor of the IERA Award
• Primary resource for worldwide data on use of robotics – IFR Statistical Department
Speakers on the Panel
Joe GemmaIFR President
President and CEO,KUKA Robotics Corp., USA
Gudrun LitzenbergerIFR General SecretaryFrankfurt
Steven WyattIFR Executive Board Member
Group Vice President,and Head of Marketing & Sales Robotics, ABB, CH
1.7 million new industrial robots by 2020Double-digit average annual increase
11360
121166 159 178
221254
294346
378433
521
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual worldwide supply of industrial robots2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+16%
+15% on average per year
+18%
Continued increase in major industries
24
11
7
17
21
46
94
20
15
7
20
29
65
98
24
19
8
20
29
91
103
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Unspecified
Others
Food
Chemical, rubber and plastics
Metal
Electrical/electronics
Automotive industry
'000 of units
Estimated annual supply of industrial robots at year-endby industries worldwide 2014-2016
2016 2015 2014
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+6%
+41%
-3%
-4%
+20%
Main driver of the growth: Asia
161191
230257
296
354
50 56 61 64 71 83
38 41 48 51 5873
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated worldwide annual supply ofindustrial robots 2015-2016 and forecast for 2017*-2020*
Asia/Australia Europe America Source: IFR World Robotics 2017*forecast
2016: 5 markets account for 74% of total supply
2,02,32,62,62,6
3,94,2
5,96,57,6
20,031,4
38,641,4
87,0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Czech RepublicCanada
SingaporeIndia
ThailandSpain
FranceMexico
ItalyTaiwan
GermanyUnited States
JapanRepublic of Korea
China
'000 of units
Estimated worldwide annual supply of industrial robots15 largest markets 2016
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
China: 40% of the global supply by 2020
15 23 2337
5769
87
115
140
170
210
0
50
100
150
200
250
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robotsin China 2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+27%
+20% to +25% onaverage per year
+32%
Rep. of Korea: considerable increase since 2010
128
24 26
19 2125
3841 44 42 44
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robotsin the Rep. of Korea 2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+8%
+5% to +10% onaverage per year
+5%
Japan: significant recovery and continued growth
33
13
22
28 2925
29
3539
42 44 4548
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robotsin Japan 2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+10%
+5% onaverage per year
9%
USA: considerable increase since 2010
13
7
14
21 22 2426 28
3136 38
45
55
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robotsin the USA 2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
+14%
+15% onaverage per year
15%
Germany: moderate increase at record levels
15
9
14
2018 18
20 20 20 21 2224
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated annual supply of industrial robotsin Germany 2008-2016 and 2017*-2020*
Source: IFR World Robotics 2017
0%
+5% onaverage per year
+5%
2020: 3 million industrial robots in operation
1.035 1.021 1.059 1.153 1.235 1.3321.472
1.6321.828
2.0552.323
2.644
3.053
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated worldwide operational stock ofindustrial robots 2015-2016 and forecast for 2017*-2020*
Source:IFR World Robotics 2017
+12%+12%
+14% on averageper year
*forecast
2020: 1.9 million operating in Asian factories
8871.025
1.1861.380
1.618
1.912
433 460 493 527 563 612
274 300 326 359 397 453
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated worldwide operational stock ofindustrial robots 2015-2016 and forecast for 2017*- 2020*
Asia/Australia Europe America Source: IFR World Robotics 2017*forecast
2020: 950,000 robots operating in China
256340
451
585
748
950
287 287 285 292 301 316
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020*
'000
of u
nits
Estimated operational stock of industrial robotsin China and in Japan 2015-2016 and forecast for 2017*-2020*
China Japan Source: IFR World Robotics 2017*forecast
• Shift from high volume/low mix to low volume/high mix is having a profound impact on manufacturing.
• Many industries facing acute shortages of skilled labor.
• Quicker automation ROIs and rising wages bringing an end to labour arbitrage.
• Increasing focus on workplace safety.
The Changing Nature of Manufacturing & Work
Today’s Digital Generation doesn’t do “4D” Jobs!
Addressing these Realities : a Huge Opportunity
Low volume high mix
Shorter cycles, faster launches
Increased need for automation and scalability in SMEs
Rising cost of downtime
Automation complexity and unpredictability
Shop floor disruptions and high engineering costs
Lack of robot integration and programming expertise
Higher lifetime TCO due to increase in planned downtime
The Trends The Challenges
Increased and sporadichuman intervention
Lost productivity to maintain safety
Collaborative automation for greater flexibility
Better software for engineering efficiency
Easier to use robots with more intuitive programming
Advanced analytics and services for greater reliability
The Enablers
Collaborative automation to maintain safety and productivity
The Answers to these challenges lie in Simplification, Digitalisation and Collaboration
• Robots which are easier to install, program and operate will unlock entry barriers to the large, untapped market of small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
• Trend towards having production closer to the end consumer driving the importance of standardisation & consistency across global brands.
Simplification
Simplification critical to SMEs, but also important for large Global Manufacturers
• Industry 4.0, linking the real-life factory with a virtual one, will play an increasingly important role in global manufacturing.
• Vision and sensing devices, coupled with analytics platforms, will pave the way for new industry business models.
• Machine Learning will drive many robotics developments over the coming years.
Digitalisation
Big Data allowing People to make better Decisions about Factory Operations
• Collaborative robots are shifting the traditional limits of “what can be automated?”
• Collaborative robots increase manufacturing flexibility as ‘low volume high mix’ becomes the new normal
• Collaboration is also about productivity with increased human/robot interaction
Collaboration
Collaboration means different Things to Different People, but is changing the Face of Manufacturing
Self-programming Robots
Robotics : the Connected Future
Self-optimising Production
Robots doing the same task connect across all global locations so performance can be compared and improved at the click of a button.
Robots automatically download what they need to get started from a cloud library and then start to optimise through “self-learning”.
Connected & Collaborative Robots enable SMART Manufacturing for both SMEs & Global Enterprises
Thank you!
Contact:Gudrun LitzenbergerInternational Federation of Robotics IFRc/o VDMA Robotics+Automation60528 Frankfurt Main, GermanyEmail: [email protected]: +49 69 6603 1502Internet: https://ifr.org/