how to generate organic growth in retail business roberto nicastro head of retail division
DESCRIPTION
HOW TO GENERATE ORGANIC GROWTH IN RETAIL BUSINESS Roberto Nicastro Head of Retail Division. Italian Investor Conference New York - April 11 th , 2005. UCI AT A GLANCE. ROE 17.9%, Cost/Income Ratio 57.3%. Home markets in Italy and Central Europe. Global player in Asset Management - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
HOW TO GENERATE ORGANIC GROWTH IN RETAIL BUSINESS
Roberto NicastroHead of Retail Division
Italian Investor Conference
New York - April 11th, 2005
2
UCI AT A GLANCE
Current market cap around Euro 29 bn
Home markets in Italy and Central Europe
Global player in Asset Management Euro 128 bn AUM
Main market shares in Italy: customer loans
10.8% household mortgages
17.7% customer deposits
10.1% mutual funds
13.8%
Main market shares in New Europe:Deposits Mutual
funds Poland 12.7% 34.5% Croatia 29.2% 39.8% Turkey 4.7% 12.1%
70,543 employees (29,540 in New Europe)
4,528 branches (1,373 in New Europe)
ROE 17.9%, Cost/Income Ratio 57.3%
Private & AM11%
New Europe18%
Corporate29%
Retail42%
TOTAL 2004 REVENUES: Euro 10.4 bn
2004 data
3
ORGANIZATION BUILT TO LEVERAGE OPPORTUNITIES IN ALL OUR CUSTOMER SEGMENTS AND MARKETS
(1) Consumer Finance(2) Retail residential mortgages(3) Leasing(4) Asset Gathering from affluent clients
New EuropeNew Europe
Pekao (Poland)
Zagrebacka (Croatia)
Bulbank (Bulgaria)
KFS (Turkey)
UniBanka (Slovakia)
UC Romania
Zivnostenska (Czech Rep.)
CorporateCorporate
UBM
Locat(3)
Clarima(1)
UBCasa(2)
RetailRetail Private & AMPrivate & AM
Pioneer
Xelion(4)
Global Banking Global Banking Services divisionServices division
Human Resources
Processes and organization
Central operations (UPA)
IT
Real Estate
Purchasing process
4
A SUCCESSFUL GROWTH PATH
INTERNATIONALIZATION
1998
0%
2004
17.6%
Weight of New Europe on Group Revenues
STATURE
1998
83.5
2004
149.7
Risk weighted assets, Euro bn
CAGR 98-04
+10%
PROFITABILITY
1998
0.193
2004
0.336
EPS, Euro
CAGR 98-04
+10%
PRODUCTIVITY
1998
26.3
2004
31.3
Net Income per employee, Euro x 000
5
VISIBILITY AND SUSTAINABILITY OF EARNINGS BOLSTERED BY DIVERSIFICATION OF REVENUE MIX AND BUSINESS PORTFOLIO
STRONG VOLUME GROWTH
Assets under management up 9.0%
Customer loans up 10.8%
STRENGTHENED COMPETITIVE POSITION
Lending market share in Italy (1) up 37 bp
Mutual funds market share in Italy (2) up 39 bp
ENHANCED REVENUE MIX
Interest income excl. dividends up 3.7%
EFFECTIVE COST MANAGEMENT
Headcount down 677 in 2H04
2004 ACHIEVEMENTS
(1) Pro-forma, including Euro 2.5 bn relative to the Locat securitization and Euro 0.5 bn relative to the District Bonds(1) Calculated according to the “old” classification methodology adopted by Assogestioni
6
GROUP RESULTS BENEFITING FROM BUSINESS DIVERSIFICATION
CONTRIBUTION TO GROUP NET INCOME BY DIVISION
y/y % ch.
949Corporate -2.7%
545Retail -6.7%
2,131TOTAL GROUP +8.7%
398New Europe +29.2%
390Private & AM +58.5%
Euro mln Marginal RARORAC
36.9%
30.8%
19.8%
17.4%
17.7%
Private & AM
New Europe
Retail
Corporate
TOTAL GROUP
Cost of equity 8.58%
2004 RORAC(4) BY DIVISION
7
RETAIL DIVISION IDENTITY CARD
2004 data, Euro bn
UniCredit Banca
Customer Loans
40.1
Clarima 2.6
Total Division (2) 56.7
Customer Deposits
42.0
-
44.4
2,591
9
2,742
Branches
UniCredit Banca per la Casa 9.7
Other banks (1) 4.2
-
2.4
15
127
23,413
299
25,136
Employees
336
1,088
RETAIL DIVISION KEY HIGHLIGHTS
(1) CR Carpi and Banca dell’Umbria(2) Delta due to elisions and rounding
3,848
150
4,323
Total revenues
125
240
8
RETAIL DIVISION
GROW MARKET SHARE
Focus on products with longer revenue streams
FOCUS ON SUSTAINABLE REVENUES
IMPROVE EFFICIENCY THROUGH ACTIVE COST MANAGEMENT
Leverage the skills of “Category Killers” (mortgages and consumer credit)
Enhance product innovation/redesign
Pursue additional cross selling opportunity
Increase customer satisfaction
Redesign processes to facilitate headcount reduction
Rationalize branch network
OBJECTIVES MAIN ACTIONS
Focus on small business customers(1)
(1) Turnover < 3 mln Euro
“HARD” THEMES
“SOFT” THEMES
Invest in our people
9
ABOVE MARKET GROWTH THROUGH CATEGORY KILLERS
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGES CONSUMER LENDING
Leadership in New Product Development
Speed of response / Specialised IT platform
Own networks
Successful partnerships
100% owned
Good cooperation with the retail bank
10
THE “BIG” SMALL BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY
(1) Source Infocamere 31 12 2004(2) Source: UCB estimate on Bank of Italy data December 2004
WIDE AND WELL SPREAD MARKET… 6,0 mln businesses(1), Euro 150 bn of loans(2)
Italy peculiarity (20% of European Small Businesses)
Very diversified by sub-sectors
… WITH A HIGH RETURN … High revenues per customer (~ Euro 1,800)
Cost/income ratio <60%
Cost of risk of 100-125 bp
Capital absorption decrease with Basel II
SB owners are also potential customers for our Personal Banking business
… AND NOT EASY TO MANAGE FOR BIG AND MEDIUM-SIZE BANKS Lack of clear focus for banks (squeezed between Corporate and asset gathering)
Difficult trade-off between the need of a fast response and Basel II requirements
11
OUR SMALL BUSINESS PROPOSITION
DEDICATED CHANNELS 270 Small Business Centers + specialized branches
2.000 Specialized Account Managers
925 Developers (Hunters)
Heavy training investments (e.g. Sector Specialists)
ADVANCED FOCUS SYSTEMS Compulsory centralized scoring system (fully operational since 2002) (Basel II)
Risk-adjusted pricing
Global and sophisticated customer view available
Prompt credit response
CUSTOMIZED PRODUCT OFFER Imprendo 2004 (200,000 customers)
CelerCredit (5 days guaranteed response time for credit requests)
Specialty sector products
Tailor-made on-line banking (130,000 customers)
New “Start-Up” product
12
SIGNIFICANT X-SELLING OPPORTUNITIES ON VARIOUS PRODUCT AREAS
AFFLUENTMASS
MARKET
CURRENT ACCOUNT PACKAGE 49% 47%
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE 5% 12%
PERSONAL LOANS 2% 8%
BANCASSURANCE (recurring premium) 11% 5%
CLARIMA REVOLVING CARD 4% 7%
ASSET MANAGEMENT 55% 13%
Data as of December 2004
13
UCB Penetration of main lending products to private customers
• 8.9% excluding South** 16.3% excluding Lombardia
MORTGAGES
PERSONAL LOANS
REVOLVING
SIGNIFICANT CROSS-SELLING OPPORTUNITIES ON LENDING PRODUCTS FROM ALIGNMENT OF PERFORMANCE TO INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL BENCHMARKS
7.6%
12.8%*
5.6%
6.7%
8.2%
5.5%
2004 UCB
11.7%
7.9%
UCB Best/Worst Regions
20.2%**
15-20%
Comparable Best practices
in Europe
10-15%
30-40%
2 FACILITATING FACTORS
CLEAR ROOM FOR FURTHER CROSS SELLING
Clarima’s specialization and 100% ownership boost the X-selling opportunity
S3 merger
14
HIGHER FOCUS ON PRODUCTS WITH LONGER TERM REVENUE STREAMS
~20
~4
~5-7
~5
~6-10
~8
~20
PRODUCTGROSS REVENUES
1° YEAR (%)1
GROSS REVENUES FOLLOWING YEARS (%)
AVG DURATION
(YEARS)
FUTURE REVENUESTREAMS
2003 FLOWS(€ mln)
2004 FLOWS(€ mln)
0,65
10,00
4,50
0,46
2,50 – 3,00
4,00
2,50
BancassuranceRecurring Premium
BancassuranceSingle Premium
Segr. Acc. In Funds (Net group contrib.)2
Structured Bonds
SB Short-term Loans
Personal Loans
Mortgages 1,30
0,50
0,50
0,92
0,00
5,00693
1,163
6,3557,345
8,1615,150
125
3,519
4,850 4,163
172106
1. Assuming equal distribution of sales during the year2. The contribution of the Division to the Group for the first and the following years amounts to 0,78% in mgmt fees + 0,14% in amortization of
anticipations on 2004 sales. From the fifth year it changes into 1,14% due to the increase of the sales fees returned ti the Division. The value for the Bank is about 2,78% for the first year, and 0,78% in the following years.
8,00
AVG TRANSACTION
AMOUNT(€ 000)
103
10
12
20
37
28
2
7,459 9,022
15
RESULTS SO FAR ARE VERY ENCOURAGING: THE FOCUS ON MARKET SHARE IS PAYING BACK…
EXCELLENT LENDING GROWTH (+16.1% Y/Y) …
Mortgages +22.9% y/y
Consumer credit +31.2% y/y
Small Business +10.8% y/y
… AND GOOD SPREAD RESILIENCE IN ALL KEY MARKETS
4Q average spread(3) on:
new mortgages at 1.28% for UCB (stable q/q) and 1.43% for UBCasa (-3 bp q/q)
small business(4) s/term loans at 8.37% (+5 bp q/q)
revolving cards at 10.62% (+6 bp q/q)
… WITH HIGHER MARKET SHARES…
Market share on:
household mortgages(1) at 17.71% (+54 bp)
new flows of consumer credit(2) at 4.3% (+395 bp)
(3) Management accounts(4) Management accounts, includes also maximum
overdraft charges
(1) Group market share, related to mortgages to households as of Bank of Italy definition in table TDME0070 of the monthly bulletin
(2) Calculated on ASSOFIN data
16
… AND UCI IS SHOWING A FAVORABLE TREND VS. THE BIG COMPETITORS ALSO IN TOTAL FINANCIAL ASSETS IN ITALY
+0.2%UCI
-2.8%Top 5 banks ex UCI
-3.2%6-10 banks
+3.3%Local banks
1H04 vs. 2003, %ch. of market share on total financial assets in Italy
MIB 30 banks, -2.3%
Source: Banca d’Italia Conti Finanziari e Bollettino Statistico; Prometeia “Le azioni delle banche quotate”
17
KEEP CUTTING THE “RIGHT” COST
Merger of not yet unified retail banking subsidiaries
Leadership in multi-channel banking
Migration of cash deposits to low-cost/high-quality channels
Rationalisation of the branch network (over 300 closures in 3 years) and optimisation of its governance structure
2,000 redundancies during 2005/07, to be achieved by focusing on low added-value activities, increase in back-office productivity and process re-engineering
“No-Tie” approach to costs
18
-610 vs. June 04
COST MANAGEMENT EFFORT ALREADY PRODUCING TANGIBLE RESULTS WITH FURTHER BENEFITS EXPECTED IN 2005
TOTAL STAFF
EFFECTIVE COST MANAGEMENT ALREADY TANGIBLE…
… WITH BENEFITS FROM STAFF REDUCTION EXPECTED IN 2005
OPERATING COSTS, Euro mln
2002(1)
2,956
2003(1)
2,930
2004
2,957
1H04
25,467
2004
25,136
FEB 05
24,857
(1) Pro-forma to make perimeter comparable with 2004
128 more branches to be closed in
2005
UCB BRANCHES
BRANCH NETWORK REORGANIZATION ALREADY UNDERGOING, IN LINE WITH 3 YEAR PLAN TARGETS
2003
2,754
Branches closed
-163
2004
2,591
19
AS A RESULT OPERATING INCOME HAS POSTED A SIGNIFICANT Q/Q GROWTH IN 2004
419
391
343312
296 310345
414
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
STEADY GROWTH OF OPERATING INCOME
Avg. Euribor 2.46%
2.78%
2.14% 2.09%2.16%
2.09% 2.11% 2.15%
20
SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS IN OUR PEOPLE
HEAVY INVESTMENTS IN TRAINING
> 1 mln training hours in 2005, of which 800,000 classroom training
“Leadership for Results” Project, ~3.000 managers involved in 2005
FOCUS ON PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND CAREER PATHS (STEP PROJECT)
Transparency and clarity on career options and required skills for each level
Employee and manager empowerment for design and implementation of growth path (self-evaluation tool)
Opportunity to self-determinate the training path
21
STRONG FOCUS ON CUSTOMER SATISFACTION
CUSTOMER SATISFACTION MEASUREMENT (TRI*M INDEX)
210.000 yearly customer interviews
30.000 yearly competitors’ customers interviewed
INCLUSION OF CUSTOMER SATISFACTION IN THE MBO SCHEME
The TRI*M Index is a solidarity factor, amounting to 25% of incentive for 10,000 people
MONITORING AND IMPROVEMENT OF IT PLATFORM AND ITS USAGE Availability of ATM from 89% (2003) to 96% (2004)
Operational errors down 39% (2004 vs. 2003)
MYSTERY SHOPPING AND MYSTERY CLIENT In 2004 50 UCB branches and 50 competitors branches
22
2004 RECORDED SOLID AND SUSTAINABLE RESULTS ALSO IN THE SOFT ASPECTS
36
Top 3 Competitors
IVQ 04Local banks
42
2003
48
IVQ 04
4751
39
65
2003 IVQ 04 IVQ 04 IVQ 04 IVQ 04
IVQ 04IVQ 04
56
Mid-sizebanks
CUSTOMER SATISFACTION INDEX (TRI*M INDEX)
EMPLOYEE SATISFACTION2004 vs. 2003 (%)
IMPROVEMENT SPREAD ACROSS THE WHOLE NETWORK
1
2
7
8
13
26
COMPENSATION
COLLABORATION
INVOLVEMENT
PERSONAL ENGAGEMENT
BANK’S IMAGE
CUSTOMER ORIENTATION
43
SM
AL
L B
US
INE
SS 44
HO
US
EH
OL
DS
Top 3 Competitors
Mid-sizebanks
Local banks
23
ENTERING 2005 WITH A STRONG MOMENTUM…
Building on 2004 achievements:
Grow revenues through market share gains in lending and financial assets:
Increase volumes in mortgages, consumer credit and small business
Cross-sell asset-gathering products to existing small business customers
Deliver efficiency improvement in line with 3-year plan
Continue headcount reduction thanks to processes redesign and branch network rationalization
Maintain strict control over cost of risk
… IN LINE WITH 3 YEAR PLAN TARGETS
24
PRELIMINARY COMMERCIAL RESULTS SHOW A GOOD START IN 1Q05
HOUSEHOLD MORTGAGES NEW FLOWS, bn
NEW FLOWS OF PERSONAL LOANS, mln
1Q04 1Q05
52
~70
REVOLVING CARDS TOTAL SPENDING(3), mln
1Q04 1Q05
1.92.0
+3% +33%
1Q04 1Q05
195
~450 +130%
SALES OF SEGR. ACCOUNTS INVESTING IN FUNDS, bn
2004 1Q05
3.5
~1.9
Growth continues even after an excellent 2004 Excellent growth, in line with all recent quarters
Best quarter ever More than 50% of total 2004 sales in 1Q
25
Annex
26
RETAIL DIVISION: P&L
Interest income (incl. div.)
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating costs (incl. dep.)
Net operating income
Net income
Cost/income ratio, %
Y/y% ch.
Q/q% ch.
4Q04
Net provisions
mln
Net income for the Group(2)
Y/y% ch.
- of which: Staff costs
- of which: Other adm. expenses
- o/w: Net write-down of loans
614
543
1,157
-743
414
126
64.2
126
-388
-334
-84
-110
+1.5
+11.5
+6.0
-0.5
+20.1
-21.8
-421 bp
-21.9
+0.7
+0.2
+21.5
+36.2
+13.9
+10.6
+12.3
+3.4
+32.8
+59.8
-552 bp
+54.9
+3.3
+12.4
-3.1
-12.3
+0.9
-2.3
-0.6
+2.6
-6.8
-6.6
+211 bp
-6.7
+2.8
+4.9
+15.2
+5.6
2004
2,360
1,963
4,323
-2,957
1,366
546
68.4
545
-1,543
-1,322
-281
-335
Net extraordinary income (loss) -123 n.m. n.m. n.m.-129
27
RETAIL DIVISION - DETAILS ON ASSET QUALITY
Coverage ratio 48.7% +4 bp
Provisions on performing loans 315 +4.3%
Coverage ratio 0.58% -2 bp
Gross Doubtful Loans 3,536 +1.6%
Coverage ratio 38.2% +30 bp
Weight on Gross Loans 6.06% -17 bp
mln, where not specified
Gross Non Performing Loans 2,153 +2.8%
Weight on Gross Loans 3.69% -6 bp
Cost of risk 50 bp - bp
Dec. 04ch. on
Sep. 04
2004ch. on 2003
(1) Defined as: Flow from in bonis loans to any category of doubtful loans less Flow-back from any category of doubtful loans to in bonis loans
-5.7%
2003 2004
908
856
REDUCTION OF NET FLOWS OF NEW DOUBTFUL LOANS(1) VS. 2003 …
-8.0%
1H04 2H04
446
410
… CONFIRMED BY 2H04 TREND VS. 1H04
28
4.8 5.7
RETAIL DIVISION - MORTGAGES AND CONSUMER FINANCING
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGESSTOCK, bn NEW FLOWS, bn
CONSUMER FINANCINGDEC03 DEC04
26.2
32.4 +22.9%
NEW FLOWS OF PERSONAL LOANS, mln
2003 2004
93 mln
339 mln
REVOLVING CARDS TOTAL SPENDING(3) (+275k revolving cards in 2004)
2Q04
29.3
mkt share(1)
17.17%17.61% 17.71%
(1) Group market share, related to mortgages to households as of Bank of Italy definition in table TDME0070 of the monthly bulletin
(3) POS and ATM spending
2003 2004
693
1,163
+67.9%
2003 2004
7.59.0
+20.9%
2.02.5
UCB
UBCasa
+19.3%
+24.1%
DEC03 DEC04
2.1
2.8
+31.2%
STOCK, bn
(2) Calculated on ASSOFIN data. Not calculated in 2003 because personal loans were sold directly by UCB and not through Clarima
mkt share(4)
2.4%
7.4%
2004 mkt share(2) at 13.2%
(4) Calculated on ASSOFIN data
29
RETAIL DIVISION - SMALL BUSINESS STOCK, SPREAD AND CUSTOMER ACQUISITION
STOCK, bn
20042003
SHORT TERM SPREAD(1)
2003 1Q04
(1) Management accounts, includes also maximum overdraft charges
15.0
16.6 +10.8% 8.63%
8.21%
2Q04
8.25%
3Q04
8.32%
4Q04
8.37%
4Q03 1Q04
12,600
18,000
2Q04
19,000
3Q04
15,000
4Q04
17,500
QUARTERLY TRENDS IN SMALL BUSINESS CUSTOMER ACQUISITION
30
RETAIL DIVISION - CUSTOMER LOANS AND CUSTOMER DEPOSITS BREAKDOWN AND DETAILS OF SHORT TERM SPREADS
SB loans (1)
Residential mortgages (2)
Cons. creditOther loans
EOP LOANS, Euro bn
UCB AVG. MARK UP(5) (Households), %
Other deposits
Households c/accounts
Bonds
EOP DEPOSITS, Euro bn UCB AVG. MARK-DOWN(5) (Households), %
2Q042003pro-forma(3)
2Q042003
+8.1%
(1) Includes short term and m/l term loans(2) Includes only households mortgages(3) Including ANBI
+11.0%
+3.3%
+7.8%
+0.2%
+18.3%
+0.4%
+1.6%
48.8
26.2
15.0
2.15.5
60.2
17.7
15.3
27.2
UCB AVG. MARK UP(5) (Small Business), %
7.18
1Q03
2.32
5.99
7.18
2Q03
2.03
5.93
7.33
3Q03
1.78
5.95
7.04
4Q03
1.72
5.69
7.03
1Q04
1.65
5.60
(4) 2Q04 increase vs. December is due to the issue of bonds by UBCasa to fund mortgage book expansion
4Q04
4Q04
56.7
67.2
32.2
22.8(4)
16.6
2.85.0
15.1
29.3
+7.4%
+10.5%
+7.3%
+21.8%-8.1%
+8.8%
-1.9%
+6.2%
+6.5%
7.08
2Q04
1.65
5.47
(5) Source: Bank of Italy matrix data
52.4
63.9
29.2
21.0(4)
15.5
2.35.5
15.4
27.6
7.33
3Q04
1.67
5.55
+5.1%
7.21
4Q04
1.71
5.42
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04