how to maximize retail opportunities from chinese new year · chinese new year is a time for...
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How to maximise retail opportunities from Chinese New Year24 January 2019
2Housekeeping
• Today’s webinar is scheduled to last 1 hour including Q&A
• All dial-in participants will be muted
• Questions can be submitted at any time via the Go to Webinar ‘Questions’ screen
• The webinar recording will be circulated after the event
3Agenda
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Marho Bateren, Market Intelligence Analyst, Planet
• Introducing Chinese New Year
• Chinese New Year Shopper Behaviour
• Tourist Arrivals Forecast
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May Yang, Marketing Manager, UnionPay International
• Features of Outbound Tourism in 2018
• Performance of Key Markets in Europe
• Mobile Payment for Outbound Travelers
• Travel Destination Campaign - Europe
3 Q&A Session
4About UnionPay International
UnionPay International (UPI) is a subsidiary of China UnionPay focused on the growth and support of UnionPay’s global business.
• In partnership with more than 2000 institutions worldwide,
• Established card acceptance in 174 countries and regions
• Issuance in 50 countries and regions.
• UnionPay International provides high quality, cost effective and secure cross-border payment services to the world’s largest cardholder base
• Ensures convenient local services to a growing number of global UnionPay cardholders and merchants.
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May YangMarketing Manager, UnionPay International
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Marho BaterenMarket Intelligence Analyst, Planet
31Shopping and Arrivals Growth - Summary – 2018
-1%Total Sales
-6%Total
Vouchers
+6%Total ATV
+3%Total Arrivals
Top 5 Destination Markets
Top 5 Source Markets
Tax Free Sales
Turnover
Vouchers /
Transactions
Avg. Transaction
Values (ATV)
Arrivals
France 3% -2% 5% 4%
Italy 7% 3% 4% 6%
United Kingdom -10% -11% 1% 3%
Germany -4% -9% 6% -1%
Spain -8% -5% -3% 2%
Tax Free Sales
Turnover
Vouchers /
Transactions
Avg. Transaction
Values (ATV)
Arrivals
China 6% -5% 11% 3%
Russia -18% -15% -3% -8%
USA 12% 3% 8% 7%
Hong Kong -11% -7% -5% 5%
Taiwan 10% -5% 16% 5%
32Shopping and Arrivals Growth – Chinese Tourists – 2018
6%Total Sales
-5%Total
Vouchers
+11%Total ATV
+3%Total Arrivals
Tax Free Sale Turnover
Vouchers/Transactions
Avg. TransactionValues (ATV)
Arrivals
France 13% 8% 6% 6%
United Kingdom -13% -14% 2% 3%
Italy 15% 3% 12% 3%
Germany -5% -17% 14% 3%
Spain -4% -4% 1% -2%
Top 5 Destinations Markets
33Introducing Chinese New Year
What is it?
• A Chinese festival that celebrates the beginning of a new lunar year
• It is the most important celebration in the Chinese calendar
• Often referred to as the “Spring Festival”
• Each year is named after one of twelve animals, which feature in the Chinese zodiac.
• Each animal has certain lucky characteristics of which the year will be associated with.
• 2019 will be the year of the Pig
34Introducing Chinese New Year
How is it celebrated?
Chinese new decorations
Red is the main colour for the festival
Red is believed to be the colour of prosperity.
Family time and reunion dinner
Chinese New Year is a time for families to come together
The important New Year's Eve dinner is called 'reunion dinner’.
Firecrackers and fireworks
Fireworks have become an indispensable part of the festivities
Firecrackers were traditionally used to scare away evil spirits.
Red envelopes and New year gifts
A common gift is a red envelope containing money.
Like at Christmas, people exchange gifts during the Spring Festival.
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ITA 3.9% of Sales in Store
ESP 3.8% of Sales in Store
Chinese New Year is the Key Shopping Event of Q1
Wk 1 Wk 3 Wk 5 Wk 7 Wk 9 Wk 11 Wk13
Wk15
Wk17
Wk19
Wk21
Wk23
Wk25
Wk27
Wk29
Wk31
Wk33
Wk35
Wk37
Wk39
Wk41
Wk43
Wk45
Wk47
Wk49
Wk51
Quarter Weekly SiS Average % Chinese National Sales in Store %
Total Chinese New Year3.2% of Sales in Store
Total Golden Week5.2% of Sales in Store
Spring Festival Sales 2018
GBR 2.9% of Sales in Store
FRA 2.9% of Sales in Store
DEU 2.4% of Sales in Store
Country % SiS for CNY
*Chinese new year 2018 dates 08/02/2018-22/02/2018 (includes week prior to festivities)
362018 CNY in Europe was hampered by many factors
4.6%
3.2%
2017 2018
CNY % Share of Sales in Store
Spring festival’s is historically bigger than in 2018
Number of terrorist
attacks in UK &
France during 2017
Chinese stock market & Real Estate
turbulence
Catalan Referendum
Narrowing of Price
Differentials
January Floods in
Paris
Sterling was at its
strongest since the EU referendum
37Chinese spending power reduced 6% YOY vs. Euro
£0.10
£0.10
£0.11
£0.11
£0.12
£0.12
£0.13
€ 0.12
€ 0.12
€ 0.13
€ 0.13
€ 0.14
€ 0.14
€ 0.15
Euro & GBP vs RMB EUR/RMB GBP/RMB
CNY 2017
CNY 2018
38Number of factors that COULD affect CNY 2019…
Will the Chinese still spend in the same way in Europe?
Slowing Chinese Economy
Although GDP growth is still strong compared to many countries, it has been slowing over the last 8 years.
GDP growth went from 10.6% in 2010 to 6.6% in the last quarter
US-China Trade Wars
As the trade war escalates, it will not be easy for the Chinese government to use public spending to boost investments due to its mounting debt.
Crackdown on Daigou Trading
From 1st Jan 2019, new regulations will require most online vendors to get approval from the relevant regulatory authorities before selling.
39…However, Chinese Arrivals for this Quarter are set to increase 12% YOY
Jan-18 to Mar-18Jan-19 to Mar-19
-8.0% +47.7%-5.1% +17.5% +7.7% +2.2% +8.9% +3.3%
AUT
+13.0% +15.2% +4.7% +17.2%
ESP FRA ITA
PRT CZE
IRL DEU-11.2% +7.7% +4.5% +11.2%
TOTAL GBR FIN+3.9% +12.0% +1.9% +22.8% +13.0% +15.2%
Chinese Tourist Arrivals Outlook – Jan-Mar 2019
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FRA €1,800 ATV
The week prior to CNY registered the 2nd highest ATV of 2018
Wk 1 Wk 3 Wk 5 Wk 7 Wk 9 Wk 11 Wk13
Wk15
Wk17
Wk19
Wk21
Wk23
Wk25
Wk27
Wk29
Wk31
Wk33
Wk35
Wk37
Wk39
Wk41
Wk43
Wk45
Wk47
Wk49
Wk51
Quarter Weekly ATV Average Chinese National ATV
Pre Chinese New Year
€979 ATV
Spring Festival ATV 2018
GBR €371 ATV
DEU €635 ATV
ITA €1,083 ATV
ESP €677 ATV
Country ATV for CNY
*Chinese new year 2018 dates 08/02/2018-22/02/2018 (includes week prior to festivities)
Total Golden Week
€834 ATV
4164% of high net worth individuals plan to travel for CNY
64%Plan to Travel
Abroad
36%Plan to Travel within China
Abroad of at home?
Source : Hurun Research Institute and ILTM China 2018
Africa - 29%
Americas - 36%
Europe - 39%
Japan & South Korea - 22%
South east & South Asia - 23%
Which Travel Destinations this year?(more than one destination)
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Sharing gifts768 Million users used WeChat to send digital red packetsThis represents 78% of active platform users & 55% of the entire population of China.
Digital is increasing in importance
Catching up digitallyDuring the six-day holiday period, 229.7 billion messages were sent on WeChat.2.8 billion posts and 17.5 billion minutes of voice recordings were also sent.
Source: The Drum & China National Tourism Administration
ResearchChinese Tourists like to research their purchases online, even before they travel.Attributes such as the brand’s country of origin and the story are very important.
Reunion dinner deliveredOn CNY eve, more than 300,000 Chinese families ordered reunion dinner delivery through Alipay and Koubei, a restaurant review and local services platform.
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Top Tips
44Top Tips for Chinese New Year
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Q&A
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thank you