how to understand the national training survey
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How to understand the National Training Survey. The main problems interpreting the GMC Survey apply to any large dataset Deciding what you want to find out is the first part of the battle!. Select one area of interest and focus on it. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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How to understand the National Training Survey
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The main problems interpreting the GMC Survey apply to any large dataset
Deciding what you want to find out is the first part of the battle!
Select one area of interest and focus on it.
Leave the other data to one side and concentrate on one theme at a time.
Later, you may need to cross-compare to see broader themes
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Decide what you wish to investigate. Decide what you want to discover.
Follow the path! If you’re interested in ophthalmologists at Sunderland Eye Infirmary, ignore paediatricians at James Cook!
Concentrating on one area at a time will allow you to see the key themes for that group. Once you have seen those themes you can look at other data to ascertain whether it’s a problem to just that group or more widespread.
Lies, damn lies!The phrase “Lies, damn lies and statistics” isn’t to suggest that statisticians deliberately mislead, more that the person using the data must appreciate that what is shown (or not shown) can greatly affect the interpretation of the information. If an indicator score is not what you expected or hoped, check to see how many respondents were involved and how cohesive those responses are.
Read the instructionsThe GMC have given detailed guidance on how to interpret the survey results:http://gmc-onlineeducationreports.org/ReportsGuide.aspx
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The box chart
The box chart represents a number of statistical techniques graphically.
It need not be scary. Just break them down into the pieces.
Two types of average are show – Mean and Median
Interquartile Ranges are represented by different shades of green
Confidence Intervals (Error bars) show how cohesive the responses are
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The box chart
These are the “interquartile ranges”This is the MEAN score for the group
This is the MEDIAN score for all trainees nationally
These are the ERROR BARS (confidence interval)
This score is 0-100
Unless specified, it’s not a percentage!
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Mean and Median
The mean is all the scores added up, then divided by the number of scores
The median is the middle value when all scores are arranged in order
2, 2, 8, 2, 7, 9, 2, 6, 3, 8, 1
Mean = 2 + 2 + 8 + 2 + 7 + 9 + 2 + 6 + 3 + 8 + 1 = 50.
50 ÷ 11 = 4.5
Median - sort the numbers into ascending order
1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9
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Interquartile ranges
1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9
Bottom quartile Interquartile Range Top quartile
The quartile ranges are 25% (a quarter!) of the NUMBER of scores when arranged in ascending order.
The MEDIAN score is precisely in the middle of the 2nd and 3rd quartiles.
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Error Bars
1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 2, 1, 3, 79
The mean score for the above series is 9.
Is that a true average?
The confidence bars allow you to see if everyone feels the same
If there are long error bars, there is a wide range of opinion
If there are short (or no) error bars, it shows everyone thinks the same
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Outliers
A red or a green triangle to the right of the box chart denotes an outlier
Essentially, an outlier is a MEAN score for the group which sits in either the top or the bottom quartiles and the error bars do not extend into the interquartile range.
The easiest way to look at these is to regard green triangles as showing good practice and red triangles as showing areas of concern.
It’s not fool proof – if there’s little confidence (long error bars) in the results, a very high or very low score may not be flagged.
This could suggest that some very satisfied (or dissatisfied) doctors are being “lost” amongst the data.
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Outliers
A red or a green triangle to the right of the box chart denotes an outlier
Essentially, an outlier is a MEAN score for the group which sits in either the top or the bottom quartiles and the error bars do not extend into the interquartile range.
The easiest way to look at these is to regard green triangles as showing good practice and red triangles as showing areas of concern.
It’s not fool proof – if there’s little confidence (long error bars) in the results, a very high or very low score may not be flagged.
This could suggest that some very satisfied (or dissatisfied) doctors are being “lost” amongst the data.
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Indicators
Now we understand how to use a box chart, we can read the indicator scores
The trainee survey uses 22 indicator scores
Each indicator score is “fed” by the responses to a series of questions
The “Overall Satisfaction” indicator (for example) is fed by the questions:
How would you rate the quality of teaching [informal (and bedside teaching) as well as formal and organised sessions] in this post?
How would you rate the quality of supervision in this post?
How would you rate the quality of experience in this post?
How would you describe this post to a friend who was thinking of applying for it?
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Groups
All the results for the indicators are collated nationally (hence the national average)
Scores are generated for smaller groups:
All trainees at a given deanery
All trainees at a given hospital, trust or GP training scheme
All trainees in a given specialty
All trainees in a given specialty at a given hospital
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Groups and Indicators are the criteria that should be used to “follow the path”
It’s useful to compare different groups
How does ACCS at the RVI compare to ACCS at UHND?
How does UHND compare to the RVI?
It’s useful to compare different indicators
Overall satisfaction is low
Workload scores badly
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Following the path – tell a story
When you follow the path, a story can emerge.
What do you think these results tell you about the unit?
Overall satisfaction
Clinical supervision
Work load
Work intensity(appropriateness)
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“Damn Lies”
This is the caveat – although the results of the survey are statistically valid, that does not necessarily mean that they are important
Always remember the error bars – they show how useful the data is
Bear in mind that the smallest reporting unit for the GMC Survey is three.
From a group of 100 trainees, if three are very unhappy it doesn’t look like a big problem. If it’s a group of five trainees, it looks like a huge problem.
Do not forget that even from 100, three unhappy trainees is three people’s working lives, and the lives of the hundreds of patients they treat.