how to value digitalization
TRANSCRIPT
© 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Sentient Science Materials Science Differentiation1. Asset Management for Operators 2. Computational Testing & Reconfiguration for Suppliers
☑ Life Extension☑ Root Causes☑ Predict Earlier
Key Industries Served
WIND ENERGY • 22,000 assets under contract globally
AEROSPACE• Rotorcraft, Fixed Wing, & Defense• (15 Years of R&D)
RAIL• Wheel Rail Interface• New Market for Sentient
Sentient Science is a trusted third party enabling life extension of rotating equipment through a digital platform, connecting operators and suppliers through asset actions that lowers the cost of energy.WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
What's New at Sentient Science?
1. New Product: DigitalClone Bearing available beginning of 2018 as part of our strategy to enable suppliers to create their own DigitalClone life models
2. We have Business Value Assessments (BVA) to share on how operators are reducing costs with DigitalClone Live
3. We have 2 digitalization panel sessions at the booth1. Tuesday & Wednesday at 13:00
4. We have a jazz band and party Tuesday night starting at 16:00
5. Do you like scotch? Drop your card to win €400 bottle of scotch
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
What is Digitalization?
The use of digital technologies to change a business model and provide new revenue and value-producing opportunities
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
DigitalClone® “3D” Watch Lists
3D Watch Lists that List Actions for Every Wind turbine – To Keep Turbines Health and to extend Turbine Life
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
5+ Years 1-5 Years 0-12 months CMSInsurance reduction Supply Chain
OptimizationUptower
Component Replacement
Highest Cost
© 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
A “3D” Watch List ranking fleet-wide main bearing and gearbox assets worst to best
(“what’s not on your watch list?”)
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
© 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
For O&M and Asset Management
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
For Inventory Planning
For Insurance Reduction
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Aligning with Our Operators Business Goals
6.New
Development
• Win new deals
• Competitive PPA biding
• Buy on Life & Price
• Optimize suppler choices
3.Business
Strategy
• Optimal Governance by digitizing wind fleets
• Integration with existing MAXIMO and other IT systems
• Optimize Key Performance Indicators to lower Cost of Energy
• Benchmark performance against industry competitors
1.Operations
Management• Lower the cost of asset operations
• Reduce technical visits due to bundling & false alarms
• Reduce costs from scheduling technician time and
equipment
2.Asset
Management
• 18 month rolling budgets and forecasts
• Avoid downtower rebuilds with increased
uptower replacements
• Reduce mobilization cost by bundling crane
visits
• Avoid downtime with inventory available
5.Risk
Management• Reduce insurance and extended warranty
costs
• Reduce annual gearbox replacements with
preventative O&M recommendations
• Reduce long-term gearbox O&M cost with
“right first time” procurement
• Reduce insurance premium from risk
management
4.Supply
Chain• Improve terms and costs with key suppliers
• Reduce risk of exceeding O&M budgeting
• Reduce inventory storage required to mitigate
failure risk
• Reduce unit cost of gearbox purchases with long-
term agreements
DigitalClone
Life Models
Suppliers
Impact on Cost Reduction
Multi-year inventory forecasts for major and minor correctives based on failure rates
• Better Terms & Conditions with Suppliers
• Reduce variability between suppliers
Reduced inventory and supply carrying costs• less inventory, Just-In-Time, shorter lead times
• Place inventory where and when needed
• Reduce Terms & Conditions based on long term forecasting
Decide whether to Increase or decrease number of suppliers
Work with suppliers and remanufacturing resources to improve fielded products
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Customer XXXX
Turbine GE 1.5
Total Units 2748
Year IM/HS ReplacementsPlanetary
Replacements% of Replacements
2016 60 24 3.1
2017 75 30 3.8
2018 85 34 4.3
2019 98 39.2 5.0
Total 318 127.2 16.2
Customer XXXX
Turbine GE 1.5
Total Units 2748
Year GBX Replacements % of GBX Failures
2016 100 3.6
2017 110 4.0
2018 115 4.2
2019 121 4.4
Total 446
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Years 5
Assets 1,175 *IncludesOn-Warranty
MW 2,403 *IncludesOn-Warranty
FailureRate 1.0%
TotalSavingsPerDeployment 20,466,364$
TotalFleetDigitalCloneLivePrice: 6,007,000$
ROI 341%
Payback 3.52
# BusinessFunction ValueRealized UnitCost Units Extended
1 AssetManagement CreateRootCauseAnalysisReport $50,000 59.00 2,950,000$
2 AssetManagement EnsureInventoryisAvaliableforChange-Outs 15,616.42$ 59.00 921,369$
3 SupplyChain ReduceUnitCostofGearboxPurchases 15,587.50$ 59.00 919,663$
4 AssetManagement EnsureBudgetisAvaliableforChange-Outs -$ 59.00 -$
5 AssetManagement GearboxLifeExtensionBeforeChange-Out(DamageConfirmed) 9,000.00$ 59.00 531,000$
6 RiskManagement ReducedRiskofFailedInsuranceClaim 20,000.00$ 59.00 1,180,000$
7 SupplyChain AvoidedFutureCostof"RightFirstTime"Replacement 20,900.43$ 59.00 1,233,126$
TOTALFAILUREVALUEFOR5YEARS 7,735,157$
8 RiskManagement FutureGearboxFailuresAvoided $7,246.04 1,116.00 8,086,581$
9 RiskManagement ReducedInsurancePremiumfromRiskManagement $1,000,000 2.00 2,000,000$
10 NewDevelopment CreateProFormaReports $51,000 4 204,000$
11 NewDevelopment IncreasedEnd-of-WarrantyClaims $500,000 4 2,000,000$
TOTALRISKMANAGEMENTVALUEFOR5YEARS 12,290,581$
12 OperationsManagement DukeEnergycanenabletechniciansaretrainedtocollect“BestPractices”dataforfleetoperations(i.eLubricantExcellence.BOM) 18.75 1,175 22,031$
13 OperationsManagement DukeEnergycanimprovequalityandconsistencyoffailurereportingandaction 18.75 1,175 22,031$
14 AssetManagement DukeEnergycanacceleratepreparationofinternalreportingofSiteKPIs 18.75 1,175 22,031$
15 BusinessStrategy DukeEnergycanreceivebenchmarkingdataofKPIsinternallyandinnetwork 18.75 1,175 22,031$
TOTALANCILLARYVALUEFOR5YEARS 440,625$
16 BusinessStrategy DukeEnergycancreatestrategicpartnershipswithsuppliersandotheroperatorstomaximizebuyingpower 10,000$ 1,175 11,750,000$
SavingsperDeployment: 20,466,364$
SavingsperAsset: 17,418$
SavingsperMW: 8,518$
SavingsperMWperYear: 1,704$
DigitalCloneLivePricePerMW: 500$
TotalFleetDigitalCloneLivePrice: 6,007,000$
ROI 341%
AssumptionsSummary
PaybackSummary
Example – Duke Energy 5 years Digitalization Program BVA
Business Drivers for Digitalization
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Nextera Energy –Juno Beach, Florida
Business Initiative – Be the Low Cost Provider
Digitalization Strategy – Move from PPM to PHM
Acciona Energy –Pamplona, Spain
Business Initiative - Turbines for Life
Digitalization Strategy - Require Lifing Data from all Suppliers
Duke Energy –Charlotte, North Carolina
Business Initiative – Drive the Cost of Insurance Down
Digitalization Strategy – Involve their Insurance providers
RENK AG Gearboxes –Rheine, Germany
Business Initiative – introduce a new generation journal bearing gearbox for onshore applications
Digitalization Strategy – Test new digital gearboxes in Sentient’s base of 20,000 digital wind turbines
Two sides to the (Digital) Market
EQUIP OPERATORSEND CUSTOMER
SUPPLIERSTier 1-X
Digital BOM
TRUST
Margin
Asset Actions to Extend Turbine Performance
Terms and Conditions that Maintain Margins
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Aligning with Our Suppliers Business Goals
6.Aftermarket
Services• Faster Reman of Systems
(Eg: GBX)
• Reduced Downtime of
equipment
3. Procurement and Sourcing Strategy
• Reduced Supply chain Risks
• Reduced Lead Time Variability
• Multi year rolling demand forecasts
• Develop a long term responsive Supply chain
1. Product Lifecycle Management
(PLM) + New Technology Introduction (NTI) • Allow Product lifecycle team to accelerate product time to market
• Field data input from Operator to define product improvement
• Evaluate Competitive trade off studies and sensitivity analysis
• Reduce the order to cash cycle
2. Operator Sales/Marketing
and Success
• Eliminate Operator Sales Representative and
the Cost associated to make a sale
• Define Reason for Lost Sales
• Eliminate Marketing Platform/Campaigns and
costs associated with marketing studies
5.Risk
Management• Evaluate Liability Assessment
• Lower extended warranty costs
• Promote Long Term FSA Extensions
• Serial failure of components under warranty
• RCA Reports
• Improved prediction ability
4.Inventory Optimization
and Production Planning • Multi Year demand forecasts
• Reduced Inventory Carrying/Holding Costs
• Incorporate JIT Production Plan
• Introduce Vendor Managed Inventory Systems
(VMI)
• Better Customer service Levels
DigitalClone
Life Models
Sentient Global Customers
`
AES, Algonquin Power, American Chemical, Boeing, Broadwind, Brookfield Renewable, Capital Power, Castrol, Chemtura, DMDII,
DOE, Duke, Eaton, EBO Group/Aerotorque, GE, Enel Green Power, Exelon, John Deere,
MidAmerican,, NextEra, NRG, NYSERDA, OG&E, Rolls-Royce
Airbus, Acciona, Adwen, DONG Energy, E.On, EDPR,
Energiekontor, Gamesa, Moventas, Rewitec, Senvion, Siemens, Statkraft, Vestas, ZF
Goldwind, Longyuan4117 2
25% Wind Market25% Wind Market
50% Wind Market
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization
Learn More and Meet the Team!
Sentient Presentation Schedule WindEurope 2017
1. Introducing DigitalClone Live
2. Duke Energy Case Study
3. Main Bearing RCA
4. How to Value Digitalization
5. DigitalClone Live Product Update
6. Why Data Science Alone Wont Lower the Cost of Energy
7. Moventas XL Life Extension Program
9. Rewitec Additives to Extend Gearbox Life
10. DigitalClone Bearing Product Release
11. Wind Loads Modeling
12. Data Fusion: Material Science & Data Science
13. Drivetrain Modeling
14. Reducing Costs with Digitalization
WindEurope 2017 - How to Value Digitalization