hpnow magazine november 2015
DESCRIPTION
We take a look back at the amazing career of American Pharoah as well as profile handicappers Rick Lee, Brian W. Spencer and Brian Nadeau.TRANSCRIPT
CONTENTS NOV. 2015
4 From The Publisher
6 The Teaser
Topics that titillate the racing mind.
10 Pharoah’s Final Ride
Ride along with a pictorial review of the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
22 Legend of American Pharoah
Jeremy Plonk discusses the career and legacy of the 2015 champion.
28 Back to Night School
We recap the results of Election Night special horseplayer polling.
36 Sprint to a Payoff
Jennifer K. Hancock features Lone Star Park handicapper Rick Lee.
42 Meet Our Team:
Brian W. Spencer Our year-long series continues with a look at FG/AP’s rising analyst.
46 Meet Our Team:
Brian Nadeau Get to know the captain of our BUZZ lineup and his handicapping.
48 Galloping Out
JP explains how you didn’t have to be right about American Pharoah to recognize greatness.
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From the Publisher
By November most seasons, I’m honestly happy to turn the page and look forward to a time far less chaotic in my life. The October push from Keeneland through the Breeders’ Cup often leaves my mind mush and my body in search of long, lost sleep.
But this was no typical October and what we saw at Breeders’ Cup to close the month deserves much celebration. We’ve never had a Triple Crown winner grace the event in its first 31 editions. The mere presence of American Pharoah made not only this year’s Breeders’ Cup one for the ages, but he forever will make 2015 one of those sports years we remember for a generation to come.
We hope to capture the splendor of those accomplishments and images on the pages to come, while also bringing you closer to some respected handicappers who will share their insights on the favorite pursuit we all love – finding the next American Pharoah.
-JP
Horse Player NOW Magazine Copyright 2015
Horse Player NOW All Rights Reseved
Editor, Publisher, Designer Jeremy Plonk
Contributing Writers/Analysts Jennifer K. Hancock
Candice Hare
Photography Chief Enzina Mastrippolito (Photosbyz)
Contributing Photographers Keeneland
American Quarter Horse Assoc. Coady Photography/Lone Star Park
Breeders’ Cup Ltd.
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THE TEASER:
From a very ‘unhappy’ ending to
‘getting stuffed’ Down Under, eventually it will all make sense.
Ladies’ Days
American Pharoah’s Breeders’ Cup Classic victory and subsequent retirement was a big deal. Teaser gets it. However, weekend action surrounding fillies and mares – human and equine – proved to be way more entertaining.
First, mad props to females in unrestricted Breeders’ Cup races, including Found, victorious over Arc winner and BC Turf favorite Golden Horn, as well as Tepin, dominatrix of the BC Mile. Lady Shipman, second by a neck to upset winner Mongolian Saturday in the Turf Sprint, also deserves a nod of approval.
Besides American Pharoah’s triumphant finale, the biggest Breeders’ Cup story surrounds Maria Borell (pictured), the 32-year-old former conditioner of BC
Sprint winner Runhappy.
With Borell listed as trainer, Runhappy exploded on the national racing scene to win the G1 King’s Bishop at Saratoga and the G3 Phoenix at Keeneland earlier in the Fall Meet.
Heartwarming pre-race video and stills of Borell and the 3-year-old rocket ship incessantly nuzzling made the pair an even stronger favorite to win the race.
Teaser, definition: A male horse used at breeding farms to determine whether a mare is ready to receive a stallion. Also, perhaps the most unfulfilling occupation in the universe.
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Shockingly, (well, maybe not) Runhappy’s owner Jim “Mattress Mack” McIngvale fired Borell the day after winning the Sprint. Racing insiders weren’t completely surprised. In the industry Mack’s also known as “Mattress Sack” for the way he dismisses trainers—he’s employed over 30 different ones. However, he’s never canned one immediately following a Breeders’ Cup victory. That’s mostly because none of McIngvale’s runners have ever won a Breeders’ Cup race until now. In fact, Mack has spent tens of millions on horses and hadn’t won a Grade 1 race until Runhappy’s King’s Bishop!
Now, Teaser doesn’t know “Mattress Mack” or Borell personally. He’s also never met
McIngvale’s racing manager / sometime trainer / Gallery Furniture manager Laura Wolhers or her twin sister Linda McIngvale, wife of the famous furniture pusher. So my evaluation of the situation purely is based on media reports, social and otherwise – Twitter, Bloodhorse, Instagram, etc. (So what? Where do you get your news?)
As always, there appears to be two sides to the story.
Originally life imitated art, or at least a Disney movie script—a young, struggling, attractive female trainer with an expansive Sunday Silence tattoo covering her back is hired by a wealthy horse owner to resurrect the fortunes of a once- promising 3YO Thoroughbred. The pair immediately forms an incredible bond and the colt goes on to win the $1.5 million Breeders’ Cup Sprint at Keeneland in the heart of Kentucky horse country before a worldwide television audience.
FADE TO BLACK and roll credits. Quickly! The next scene is R-rated for strong dialogue and is unsuitable for children.
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Apparently, the morning after Breeders’ Cup, Wolhers and Borell disagreed on Runhappy’s post-race training regime. Borrell reportedly let Wohlers have it verbally. And, as they say, that was that. Borell was canned.
Now, as villainous as Mattress Mack appears, Teaser’s sympathetic. Dude’s between a rock and a hard place. Wohlers is twin sister to Mack’s wife, Linda. You gonna line-up against your Mrs.’s twin sister? No way!
Borell might be freaking Ben Jones reincarnate, but after cursing out the wife’s sister, she’s got to go! Breeders’ Cup glass or not. Mack knows trainers are a dime a dozen, but ironically, he’s gotta share a mattress with his wife.
Borell’s reportedly waiting to be paid and she’s looking for the standard 10% trainer’s fee. There may be some dispute about what she’s owed. Teaser thinks Mack ought to write her a check today for the full amount and be done with it. In the end, he’s the owner and can hire and fire anyone he wants. An owner’s responsibility, however, is to pay the bills and Borell
deserves her bread.
Roughly a day after Breeders’ Cup, in another part of the world, Michelle Payne became the first woman in 155 years to ride a Melbourne Cup winner, and only the fourth to ever even ride the race.
Payne shocked Australia by winning the country’s most important race aboard 100-1 shot Prince of Penzance and then openly criticized the industry for chauvinistic practices.
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Payne (pictured) also made a point to tell her critics to “get stuffed,” which is fairly simple to translate from ‘Aussie’ into ‘American.’ Teaser has a feeling “The Girl With the Horse Tattoo” smells what her Aussie sister’s cooking.
While distaff accomplishments and struggles deserve to be highlighted, Teaser’s favorite female forays include a pair of additional incidents from the Melbourne Cup.
One involves a woman seeking her five minutes of fame by shoving a Victorian policeman into the bushes, and another highlights a feisty femme mixing it up with males in a Melbourne Cup free-for-all. Watch video of each incident, and in the melee, pay particular attention to the woman in the turquoise dress as she joins the scrum and adeptly subdues one of the male combatants.
Screw the Preakness infield. Next season Teaser wants to party with the girls Down Under!
- THE TEASER
The Pharoah exits in style.
Unhappy about Runhappy.
Beholder misses 2nd Cup.
Golden Horn hits sour note.
Songbird carries her tune.
Liam maps out easy path.
Mongolian Saturday indeed.
Tepin caps Casse’s double.
Pletcher’s fantastic Friday.
Stephanie’s Kitten still purrs.
Brown is the new Frankel.
Nyquist skates past 14-hole.
Aidan remains the Euro ace.
Neumy returns firing like old.
$1 pick six just as hard to hit.
It’s sunnier at Santa Anita.
TOP HEADLINES FROM BREEDERS’ CUP 2015
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After a clean break and only token pressure from Effinex (6), American Pharoah bounded
through the stretch the first time with a clear path to greatness in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
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The Triple Crown winner found an easy stride while setting the early pace as expected. Rivals
like Honor Code already were 7-8 lengths in arrears of the superstar 3-year-old.
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He turned for home with plenty left in the tank ...
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American Pharoah stamped his legacy forever with a 6 1/2-length victory that matched
the largest in Breeders’ Cup Classic history.
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The victory left everyone in smiles – especially jockey Victor Espinoza.
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The reaction with NBC Sports’ Donna Brothers one last time.
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American Pharoah poses for his final winners’circle photo at Keeneland – October 31, 2015.
American Pharoah
11 starts, 9 wins, 1 second $8,650,300 earnings
Del Mar Futurity * Frontrunner * Rebel * Arkansas Derby * Kentucky Derby * Preakness * Belmont Stakes * Haskell *
Breeders’ Cup Classic
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By Jeremy Plonk
egends can take on different meanings, and the distinction can be all the difference in
the world.
Some uses of the word legend inspire greatness, ranking above all others and with a reverence reserved for only the truly special.
Other uses of legend lean far more fictional, a story told and passed down, but not necessarily believed by all.
It’s the difference between Paul ‘Bear’ Bryant and Paul Bunyon.
And so we arrive at the end of the trail for American Pharoah. Will his racing legend be remembered for his starring roles in the Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup? Or, will memories of his days on the racetrack be more tall tales of performances folks had waited 37 years to see, and – damned if they won’t – revere him simply because he was the one who finally turned back the clock?
Now certainly rates a different time in racing history. The Breeders’ Cup era began only in 1984, a half-dozen years after Affirmed, more
L
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than a decade after Secretariat, and generations after Citation and Man o’ War.
Ranking American Pharoah against names that merely are a typeface in a book or plaque can’t be done with any sense of certainty. Nor can it be done with context. To do so would insult the process and reader, and most likely be much more an exercise in emotion than fact. He’s either your guy or he isn’t. You either had him before the Derby, or you never gave him credence.
Several racing scholars and pundits whom I respect uttered the forgettable phrase, “American Pharoah has never run fast enough to beat these horses …” as the Classic approached.
Such a statement involves two leaps of faith. One, you must trust in the numbers you read. Two, you must be of the mindset that horse races are run like drag races – pedal to the metal where the best engine and tires win, dismissing nearly all other factors other than a track variant’s relative fastness or slowness. Even if you subscribe to performance figures, the sheets are only accounting ground loss,
weight and wind among the variables.
Nowhere in these measurements is the all-important factor of need. Horses typically run as fast as they need to run, or as fast as the jockey needs them to run. At very few points in his career did American Pharoah need to run as fast as he could have run. His pedal rarely got pushed to the metal, if you will.
The Kentucky Derby, no doubt, was one. Quality foes Firing Line and Dortmund ran some of the fastest internal splits in Kentucky Derby history, though most pundits failed to notice it after dismissing a slow first half-mile pace.
The Travers played out eerily similar. The tempo set by American Pharoah and Frosted didn’t break any watches the first half-mile, but again the Midsummer Classic threw down internal fractions to the top of the stretch among the fastest in more than a century and a half of showcases at Saratoga. And while American Pharoah lost for the only time in his sophomore campaign in the showcase at Saratoga, his runner-up finish provided only a minor, momentary disappointment.
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That’s because the Breeders’ Cup Classic offered the star sophomore every chance at redemption. He not only could wipe away the last memory of the Travers, but also make history if able to beat elders at Keeneland on Halloween. There would be no tricks, just treats, as American Pharoah lambasted the Classic field by 6-1/2 lengths and tied the record for largest margin of victory in the race’s history.
The marketing of a hokey ‘grand slam’ simply was an attempt to piggy-back the popularity of the Triple Crown. The fact that American Pharoah was the first horse to win all four races really
has no historical meaning. The Breeders’ Cup didn’t debut until 1984, and the Triple Crown had not been eclipsed since 1978.
This by no means diminishes what American Pharoah accomplished. In fact, the most impressive thing he did in his entire career was race at his peak in both May and the last day in October. Great horses of today’s training methods do not stay in maximum form for five months. His seasonal longevity, which began in March at Oaklawn Park in the Rebel, truly proved to be a rare and rewarding modern attribute. It’s not that American Pharoah won these four races, but
Click to watch the Classic and reaction all over again.
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rather that he won them five months apart, that cinches his greatness.
I can feel my elder horseplaying contemporaries cringe at plaudits for a star horse competing for almost an entire year. True, American Pharoah is no Kelso or John Henry. He won’t even touch a Derby winner like Funny Cide in terms of longevity.
But this is 2015, and it’s not American Pharoah’s fault he was born in 2012. He’s the first 2-year-old champion to add the Kentucky Derby since Street Sense in 2006 and before that Spectacular Bid in 1979.
Maybe he finally won over the digit police with a 120 Beyer in the Classic … or maybe the numbers finally caught up with the eyes. Either way, he earned true legend status in my mind as the greatest horse I’ve witnessed since at least 1980 and the beginning of my in-depth memories and analysis of horse racing. Greater than Cigar, greater than Zenyatta, greater than Skip Away and Silver Charm.
If we dive back deeper than 1980, then the discussion becomes way more Paul Bunyon for me. Horses from the 1970s and beyond are legends in both senses of the word. And, when you really think about it, why do we have to dig?
– HPN
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This month’s topic of review:
ELECTION
NIGHT Since 2011, Night School has been
teaching novice and expert
handicappers alike in the finer
points of playing the races.
Through live chats, videos and
radio simulcasts, the best in the
industry have shared their
expertise free with horseplayers. In
each issue of Horse Player NOW
Magazine, we go “Back to Night
School” with a look at some of the
high points of past lessons.
“Election Night” was November 3
across the country, and the first
Tuesday of November annually
offers you a chance to be heard in
politics. For the second straight
year, we took Election Night to a
new level in Night School when we
polled the class throughout the
evening in a series of focus group
questions that helped take the
pulse of racing’s hot-button topics.
Over the next several pages, you’ll
see the poll results as they were
conducted in the live class. Play
along and see how you would have
voted had you been in attendance!
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CONGRATULATIONS TO LIAM’S MAP – 2015 BREEDERS’ CUP DIRT MILE WINNER
ST. ELIAS STABLES & WEST POINT THOROUGHBREDS, OWNERS
[Cite your source here.]
From the fans and horseplayers in Night School!
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2015 TOPICS REMAINING IN NIGHT SCHOOL! TUESDAYS, 8:30 PM ET
CLICK FOR MORE Visit Horseplayernow.com for the racing industry’s FREE national online fan education program.
NOVEMBER 10 RACING’S TOWN HALL MEETING
Our 4th annual event brings the movers &
shakers to class.
NOVEMBER 17 EVALUATING WORKOUTS
Discover what a.m. moves mean to p.m. success on the track.
NOVEMBER 24 SMALL CIRCUIT HANDICAPPING
Learn the inside-out of playing smaller tracks & best approaches.
DECEMBER 1 FAN’S CHOICE
SEASON FINALE
You get to vote on the topic for our very
special 200th episode!
SEASON SIX RETURNS
IN MARCH 2016
We look forward to our annual Spring return!
35
Sprint to a Payoff Expert handicapper Rick Lee offers his tips
for picking Quarter Horse winners.
By Jennifer K. Hancock
American Quarter Horse
racing is short and to the
point. Horse racing’s
sprinters did get their
name for being the fastest
horses in the world at the
quarter-mile distance,
which equates to the
classic 440 yards.
The fastest horse wins the
races so it should be easy
to handicap the Quarters
by simply comparing past
times at the same distance
and even looking at speed
figures, or the Quarter Horse’s
long standard of the speed
index, to find a winner.
But if you dig a little deeper
and take the advice of
professional handicapper and
Lone Star Park morning line
oddsmaker Rick Lee, you
might have an even better
day at the track.
Lee began professionally
handicapping in 1990 at
Oaklawn Park and wrote for
state-wide newspapers in
Arkansas. In 1998 two years
after Lone Star Park opened
and track management
wanted to improve their
handicapping presence at the
Grand Prairie racetrack, Lee
moved to Texas, where he
also began writing for the
Dallas Morning News.
36
On November 7, Lone Star
Park hosted the Bank of
America Challenge
Championships, the Quarter
Horse equivalent to
Thoroughbred racing’s
Breeders’ Cup.
“In some ways, I think that
it’s easier to do well with the
Quarter Horse
races,” Lee said.
“I think the
fastest horses
generally win
and I think that
if you take any
extra time to
watch replays
you can really
take advantage
of subtle problems horses
have.
“The difference between a
win and a loss is in the
hundredths of seconds so if
you can find just the smallest
bit of trouble, I think a
handicapper that really takes
the game seriously and wants
to make money that Quarter
Horse racing is not that bad a
route to go. The trouble is
usually subtle and you can
have a lot of success in this
sport gambling.”
Analyzing horses that
converge for a big day of
racing can be tricky. A faster
time posted at one track
might not
actually be
faster if you
discover that
wind aided the
quick trip or a
deeper track
surface
produces slower
times.
“I think the thing to do is find
out the tracks with the best
racing,” Lee advises. “Track
class does make a difference.
Once you identify those and
then if you have access to the
research to find out who
they’ve been running against
and what those horses have
accomplished. That’s a big
advantage.”
“In some ways, I
think that it’s
easier to do well
with the Quarter
Horse races.”
- Rick Lee, Lone Star Park
37
Tracks that host big-money
futurities such as Los Alamitos
Race Course, Ruidoso Downs,
Remington Park and Lone Star
Park will attract the best of
the best. Speed indexes at
these tracks might be a bit
deceiving and seem lower,
but that’s because better
quality horses are running at
these tracks and these figures
are based on three-year
average times. A superstar at
a smaller track might blow
away the competition and
earn a huge speed index, but
in reality might not be faster
than a horse with a decent
speed index at a larger track.
“I have noticed that tracks of
lower quality such as a fair
meet at Gillespie that the
numbers appear higher than
they are capable of running
against classier horses at
Lone Star Park or Remington
Park,” Lee says.
For tracks that run mixed
meets with both Quarter
Horses and Thoroughbreds
using the same rail,
handicappers should be aware
of the possibility of the track
becoming deep on the inside.
With straight Quarter Horse
meets, handicappers can
expect for the track to play
fair from inside to out.
“The Lone Star track
consistently stays fair,” Lee
says. “That’s one thing that
Quarter Horse horsemen will
not tolerate of track
management and that’s a
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bias. If they think
they have one, they
rectify it quickly. I
wouldn’t be too
concerned about
inside, outside
biases.”
At 870 yards, Quarter
Horses and
Thoroughbreds can
compete together, and it’s
important to know the track.
“With Lone Star’s one-mile
configuration, inside post
positions are greatly
advantaged at 870 yards,”
Lee says.
Without a chute to establish
position out of the gate,
horses racing at 870 yards on
a one-mile oval jump from the
gate and are almost
immediately racing through
the turn. Being stuck on the
outside will mean a wide trip
and extra ground to make up
and not a lot of time.
Lee also suggests that
handicappers read all the way
to the end of the past
performance line to pick up
on any hints listed in the trip
notes.
Lee offers, “For those people
that don’t come very often
when they’re looking at the
Lone Star Park Today
program past performances
are just in their Daily Racing Form, with Quarter Horses,
it’s so significant to look at
the trouble line at the very
end of the past performance
line. If your horse has any
kind of trouble then they will
not win. It’s easy to draw a
line through races where a
Quarter Horse had trouble.”
“With Quarter Horses, it’s so
significant to look at the trouble
line at the very end of the past
performance line. If your horse
has any kind of trouble then they
will not win.”
- Rick Lee, Lone Star Park
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Be sure to check the horses
on either side of your pick as
well. If the fastest horse is
standing in the gate beside a
troubled starter that
consistently breaks in or out,
that favored horse might be
taken out of the money with a
bump at the start.
“Being from Oaklawn, I had
not handicapped any Quarter
Horse races until I moved to
Texas,” Lee says. “I went out
to Ruidoso (Downs in New
Mexico) the week of the All
American Futurity in 1998 to
gather information and to
interview people at Ruidoso
who understood the sport and
handicapping. I dove in head
first into Quarter Horse
handicapping, and it’s been a
joy.”
Find Lee’s nightly picks for
Lone Star Park here.
Jennifer K. Hancock is a member of the American
Quarter Horse Association’s Wrangler Racing Aces Fan
Education team. Her resume includes working as a
racehorse groom in college, the press box coordinator
at Sam Houston Race Park, the editor of The
American Quarter Horse Racing Journal and currently
as a freelance writer and marketer at her own Lone
Oak Marketing.
2015 Bank of America
Racing Challenge
Championships Winners
- Challenge Championship
Daytona B
- Distaff Challenge
Sudden Separation
- Derby Challenge
Marys Coronitas
- Juvenile Challenge
Careless Lightning
- Distance Challenge
CR Tuckernuck
- Bonus Challenge
Jess A Rogue
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MEET OUR TEAM: BRIAN W. SPENCER
Editor’s Note: We continue a season-long series spotlighting the members
of the Horse Player NOW staff by introducing you to Brian W. Spencer.
Brian W. Spencer currently serves
as Racing Analyst and Manager of
Communications at Fair Grounds
Race Course & Slots, which he
commenced in 2013, and he was
hired in 2015 to fill the same role
at Arlington International
Racecourse, providing daily
selections and pre-race analysis on
the simulcast feed, and handling
racing and general PR during the
live meets.
Spencer joined Horse Player NOW
in April 2009, but was discovered
as a blogger in 2007 among the
dozens of outstanding aspiring
horse racing enthusiasts on the ‘Big
Blog Page’ created by HPNOW
founder Jeremy Plonk, a precursor
of things to come. He also was a
frequent contributor to Steve Byk’s
popular Derby Trail forum.
Soon after, Spencer captained the
HP NOW team at the 2010
Preakness Stakes, providing onsite
fan education in the Pimlico
infield's first "Wagering 101" tent.
Spencer also been a part of full-
team onsite fan education
initiatives at subsequent major
racing venues across the country.
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A graduate of
Portland State
University with a
Bachelor of Arts in
English, he names identifying
hidden trips and analyzing form
cycles among the keys to his
handicapping style.
“Handicapping is all about
discipline. When every horseplayer
has access to the same
information, it's discipline that will
give you the edge,” says Spencer.
“Watching every replay, every day,
on the same circuit will give you a
huge jump on your wagering
competition. A substantial part of
whether or not a day at the races
is a success is little more than how
much homework you've done.
Every player starts from the same
place, so every advantage you can
possibly give yourself is key.”
His favorite jockey is Florent
Geroux; Larry Jones is his
favorite trainer; and
Debussy’s 2010 Arlington
Million win is the most
memorable race he’s
attended (click right to play).
For Spencer, nothing beats a
delicious seafood gumbo at Fair
Grounds when spending a day at
the track.
In addition to handicapping, Brian’s
2009 story about Chicago-based
career maiden Ottos Lotto was
published by several racing
websites and was a well-received
human interest story.
You can follow Spence on Twitter
@brianwspencer
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SALUTE TOMMY MASSIS 2015 BREEDERS’ CUP BETTING
CHALLENGE CHAMP!
MEET OUR TEAM:BRIAN NADEAU
Editor’s Note: We continue a season-long series spotlighting the members of the Horse Player NOW staff by introducing you to Brian Nadeau.
A member of the National Turf Writers Association, Brian Nadeau has been a mainstay with Horse Player NOW since January 2010, serving as our year-round New York handicapper and Florida handicapper in the winter, as well as captaining and coordinating the daily BUZZ Report.
Nadeau also provides on-air analysis and handicapping for Capital OTB-TV in the Capital District of New York and for the past five years has written and produced the official weekly newsletter for the Breeders' Cup.
Nadeau has been a regular in the Saratoga Press Box for the past decade, first as a press intern with NYRA before joining ST Publishing in 2006 as a writer/handicapper
and working on the award-winning Steeplechase Times and Saratoga Special. He also served on ST projects such as the Keeneland Special and Breeders' Cup Special, has been a radio guest of several racing programs including Ralph Siraco's Race Day Las Vegas and wrote freelance articles for The HorsePlayer Magazine.
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The keys to Nadeau’s handicapping style include patience, race selection, recognizing overlays, form cycles, and homework on both charts and trips.
“Success at the race track is an elusive goal that is only attained through hard work and disciplined play,” says Nadeau with regards to playing the races. “Finding which races are for you can be a tiresome process but a rewarding one in the end. Simply put: Do what you do best. Handicap yourself, as well as the races, in order to identify and take advantage of your strong suits while removing your weak ones. Practice discipline and patience and wait for the right play to maximize your success.”
A State University of New York - Oswego graduate with a Bachelor of Arts in Public Relations, Nadeau currently resides in Saratoga Springs.
He names Ramon Dominguez his favorite jockey, Jonathan Sheppard
his favorite trainer, and the trio of Skip Away, Surfside, and Flanders as his favorite horses.
Among the most memorable races Nadeau has attended was the 2010 Breeders’ Cup Classic with Blame and Zenyatta (click video above to view), although he also fondly remembers seeing the 1997 Belmont Stakes tussle between Touch Gold and Silver Charm. And this June he had the privilege to cover American Pharoah’s Triple Crown clincher at the Belmont Stakes for the follow-up edition of HPNOW Mag.
When it comes to spending a day at the races, you can’t beat a day at Saratoga with a Shake Shack Burger, Nadeau’s favorite race track food. – HPN
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You don’t have to be right about a horse to admit you were wrong. American Pharoah twisted me in knots throughout his career. But just because I couldn’t find the handicapping pursuit lucrative (or even keep from embarrassment), doesn’t mean I can’t come around to realizing greatness. Let’s review:
I picked him 2nd to stablemate Lord Nelson in last year’s Frontrunner at Santa Anita. Even before his scratch in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, I was on the Texas Red express and that at least worked out well. (In hindsight, I’m pretty fortunate that AP didn’t make the gate.)
The Rebel was an easy spot with a huge pace advantage, so even a layoff contrarian like me had American Pharoah on top. But that need to get cute and find value reared its head a month later at Oaklawn when I went for the closer Far Right, who came into the Arkansas Derby fresh and with a pace set-up.
And, no, I didn’t learn my lesson in the Kentucky Derby, going for Dortmund – a pick I would wheel back with in the Preakness as well. Score two more for American Pharoah.
In the Belmont Stakes, I finally came around to the Triple Crown champ. A year prior, I picked against California Chrome, but this time I had seen enough to know I shouldn’t think too much.
There was no beating the champ in the Haskell over a track built for him and his barn never misfires there. And, I followed suit with American Pharoah in the Travers – this time, for once, it was he who was wrong and not me. After Beholder’s scratch in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, I thankfully settled on AP’s pace edge. That's a 4-for-9 public handicapping mark I have to live with for eternity. - JP
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