hsbc in 2008 and beyond

14
Morgan Stanley Financials Conference HSBC in 2008 and Beyond MICHAEL GEOGHEGAN, GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE 1 APRIL 2008

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Page 1: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

Morgan Stanley Financials Conference

HSBC in 2008 and BeyondMICHAEL GEOGHEGAN,GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE

1 APRIL 2008

Page 2: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

2

Forward-looking statements

This presentation and subsequent discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Group. These forward-looking statements represent the Group’s expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in our Annual Report.

Page 3: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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Performance in 2007

Profit before tax

US$24.2bn+10%

Attributable profit

US$19.1bn+21%

Earnings per share

US$1.65+18%

Dividends per share

US$0.90+11%

Return on total shareholder’s equity

15.9%Up from 15.7%

Tier 1 capital (Basel 1)

9.3%Against 9.4% in 2006

Record profit before tax even after loan impairments of US$17bn

Page 4: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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Diversity by geography and customer group

Customer group % share % change 2007 vs 2006

+24

-38

+5+19

-50 -20 10 40 70

n/a

24%

25%

6%

30%

15% Personal Financial Services Commercial Banking Global Banking and Markets Private BankingOther

Geography % share % change 2007 vs 2006

-98+23

+57

+26+26

-130 -100 -70 -40 -10 20 50 80

50%

5%9%

36%Asia Pacific (50%)Middle East (5%)Latin America (9%)Europe (36%)North America (0%)

Profit before tax, US$234.2bn

Page 5: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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Ramifications of Financial targets

Return on total shareholders’equity (through the cycle)

15-19%

Cost efficiency ratio

48-52%

Tier 1 capital(Basel 2)

7.5-9.0%

Total shareholder return

Above peer group average

Page 6: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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Signature capital strength: Tier 1 capital ratios (%)1

8.4%8.3%7.9%7.6%

0.9%1.1%1.1%1.3%

9.3%8.9% 9.0% 9.4%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

2004 2005 2006 2007

Shareholders' equity, minority interest and preference shares less deductions Innovative Tier 1 capital

Basel 2Tier 1:9.0%

HSBC1. Financial Markets• Signature capital strength and

liquidity• Continuing illiquidity and

deleveraging in financial markets

Page 7: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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HSBC1. Financial Markets• Signature capital strength and

liquidity• Continuing illiquidity and

deleveraging in financial markets

HSBC’s strong deposit base

1,096982

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Customer DepositsCustomer Loans and Advances

US$ billion, 31 December 2007

2

+22%

+13%

0

5

10

15

20

25% Growth, 2007 v. 2006

Money market/CP funding costs below Libor for main Group entities during credit crisis

Page 8: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

8

HSBC1. Financial Markets

• Strong market risk management• Continuing illiquidity and deleveraging in financial markets

Global Banking and Markets benefiting from volatility

• Absorbed Write-downs in Global Banking and Markets in 2007 with record profits

• No material holdings of CDOs backed by US subprime assets

• Reorganised SIVs (of total investments at end Dec: 81%, AAA; 9%, AA; 10%, A)

• Balance sheet strength providing trading opportunities

3

Page 9: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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HSBC2. US and UK• US business: restructure, focus on

profitability and credit quality• Worsening US economy; is UK

to follow?

HSBC Finance Corporation • Portfolio

• Reducing net assets• Managing collections directly and proactively• Tightening origination criteria across the board• Face-to-face relationship management in consumer lending• Maximise potential government incentives

1

• Liquidity• Minimal additional funding requirements in 2008. Total debt of

US$147bn, of which US$123bn is long term debt

Page 10: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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UK to follow US?• Portfolio positioning

• PFS: reduced market share in unsecured and real estate lending over the last 18 months

• CMB: continued focus on higher quality credit and reduced exposure to real estate

2

• Segmentation• Leveraging brand value for customer acquisition and pricing• Upgrading customer base: Premier and Plus• Multi-channelled

HSBC2. US and UK• UK: Portfolio positioning and focus

on segmentation• Worsening US economy; is UK

to follow?

Page 11: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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HSBC3. Fast Growing Markets• Largest international emerging

markets bank• Asia, Middle East and Latam

continuing to perform well in 2008

PersonalFinancialServices

• Growing mass affluent and expanding middle-class consumers• Strong footprint and brand• No slowdown appearing

1

Commercial Banking 2 • Capturing cross-border transactions

• Supporting growing Mid-Market, Small and Micro sectors

Global Banking and Markets

• Strong investment flows; corporate international ambitions• Custody, brokerage and foreign exchange all strong• Providing multi-geography, multi-product financing solutions

3

Page 12: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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HSBC4. Demographics

• Insurance and wealth management• Longevity increasing virtually everywhere

Insurance

• Preferred Strategic Partners country roll-outs including Turkey, Indonesia and France

• Issuing policies through the JV with Hana Life in South Korea• Direct business roll-out in key countries including Mexico, Brazil

and Saudi Arabia

1

Wealth Management 2

• Gaining share• Branch recognition and capital strength is signature

PrivateBanking

• Building intra-group partnerships• Expanding our emerging market and on-shore presence

3

Premier4• Progress in customer acquisition• Continuing improvement in customer service

Page 13: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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HSBC5. Operating efficiency• World's largest privately operated

integrated corporate network• Benefits from scale

Reducing unit cost of production 10% per annum

Page 14: HSBC in 2008 and beyond

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Largest international emerging markets bank

Widespread international network

Uniquely international customer base

Signature financial strength

HSBC: the world’s local bank

Diversity works