humanitarian challenges – 10 years after 9/11 what has changed in the last ten years what can we...
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Humanitarian Challenges – 10 years after 9/11
• • What has changed in
the last ten years
• What can we expect in the next ten years
•
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2
Follow the money
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
DAC donors Non-DAC donors
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Conflict Rules!
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
2
4
6
8
10
12
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
47.1%
59.2% 60.5%
65.3%
77.1% 77.3%79.5%
81.4%
76.2% 75.3% 74.5%
Total humanitarian aid to conflict-affected countriesTotal humanitarian aid to non-conflict countriesTotal country-allocable humanitarian aidTotal ODA to conflict affected states as a share of total country-allocable ODA
US$
billi
on (c
onst
ant 2
008
price
s)
Source: Development Initiatives 2011 from OECD DAC data
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Limbo or Purgatory?
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Attacks relative to aid worker population in the field
0
2
4
6
8
10
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Global attack rates per 10,000
Source: Stoddard et al. 2009
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What next?
• Politicization and manipulation are here to stay
• Recognize that with power comes responsibility
• Less is more?• Recognize that aid
can be de-stabilizing
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3 mega trends…
• Humanitarian assistance is up, humanitarianism is down.
• Universalism is down, sovereignty/nationalism is up
• Conflict is down, so-called “natural” disasters are up
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From a powerful discourse to a discourse of power
• Disconnect between the hum narrative and the reality of “humanitarian power”
• The end of a mobilizing myth?
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The importance of principles