hy16 results · any new information or data that materially affects the information included ......
TRANSCRIPT
HY16 Results
Working together. Delivering results.
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Important Notice
The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about
Fortescue Metals Group Limited ("Fortescue"). It is not recommended that
any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based
on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may
constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions
and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual
values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those
expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Fortescue that
the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be
correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of
Fortescue, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any
responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in
this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in
negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person
as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or
omission therefrom.
Fortescue accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any
inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any
other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish
the person with any further information.
Additional Information
This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report at 30
June 2015, the Interim Financial Report for the half year ended 31 December
2015 together with any announcements made by Fortescue in accordance
with its continuous disclosure obligations arising under the Corporations Act
2001.
Any references to reserve and resources estimations should be read
in conjunction with Fortescue’s Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources
statement for its Hematite and Magnetite projects at 30 June 2015 as
released to the Australian Securities Exchange on 21 August 2015.
Fortescue confirms in the subsequent public report that it is not aware of
any new information or data that materially affects the information included
in the relevant market announcement and, in the case of estimates of mineral
resources or ore reserves, that all material assumptions and technical
parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement
continue to apply and have not materially changed.
All amounts within this presentation are stated in United States Dollars
consistent with the Functional Currency of Fortescue Metals Group Limited,
unless otherwise stated. Tables contained within this presentation may
contain immaterial rounding differences.
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Forward looking statements
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Building a world class company
Core supplier to China’s growth
Safety focus
Shipped over
620mt
First ore
in 2008
Unique culture
165mtProduction rate
Low cost
producer
3
Engagement
Empowerment
Leadership
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Strategic delivery of targets
Culture, continuous improvement, speed and flexibility maximise asset base
FY11 Consistent dividend policy
FY13-16 Net debt $4.4bn lower
FY15-16 Capex lowered < $2/t
FY12-16 Costs to $13/t FY16 exit
FY14 165mt achieved & maintained
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1HY16 Earnings
Operational performance + sustainable cost reductions support financial results
Capex $88m
1HFY16
NPAT
6
Underlying
EBITDA1
US$1.3bn84mt shippedRate maintained
Interim dividend
A$0.03/share
US$319m
Net debtUS$1.1bn lower
1 Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms www.Telegram.me/Commodities
Through development of assets, efficiencies, productivity and cost savings
Continuous + sustainable cost improvements
Solomon operations
Blending strategy 58% Fe
Processing, wet plants + de-sands
Operational efficiencies
Fx and fuel decreases
1
2
3
4
5
7
US$/wmt
4844
34
27
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16Guidance
Exit FY16 at
$13
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Continuing efficiency and productivity improvements
Delivering US$13/wmt
Savings initiativesSavings
(US$/wmt)
Processing
• Improved upgrades and yield
• Shutdown optimisation
• Enhanced plant reliability
0.70
Mining
• Maximising equipment productivity
• Enhancements to mine plans – ore definition,
haul route optimisation, pit design
• Site-wide efficiencies, maintenance, fleet
productivity
• Product optimisation + blending
1.30
Procurement • Deflation and contract re-negotiations 0.50
Inventory + Fx• High-cost inventory flow through
• Fx to US$0.710.50
TOTAL 3.00
8
Sustainable cost reductions
US$/wmt
Based on average strip ratio of 1.4
3
1
15
13
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Dec 15 exitrate
Initiatives Strip ratio FY16 exitrate
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Continuing to reduce breakeven price
Breakeven index price
US$/t
9
USD:AUD 0.71
18.3
23.0
28.8
13.0
3.51.4
0.4
3.21.5
2.5
3.3
0
10
20
30
40
C1 exit rate Shipping Royalty Admin Deliveredcost to China
Interest Sustainingcapex
Total wmtcost
Moisture Dmtuadjustments
Breakevenprice
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Operating and financial performance
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Financial keys
Maintaining margins through cost + production performance
US$3.5bn Operating cost savings
FY14 - FY16
11
C1 cost
$16/wmt1HFY16
Operating cashflow
US$1.4bn
US$1.1bnDebt repurchased
US$200mSustaining capital FY16
Net debt US$6.1bn
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Operational performance supports strong financial results
Earnings
Revenue and Price
Net profit after tax, US$ millions
Underlying EBITDA, US$ millions
Operating cash flows, US$ millions
1,723
1,017
331
(15)
319
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
3,646
2,602
905 1,132
1,388
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
3,220
2,416
1,440 1,066
1,301
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
12
-
35
70
105
140
0
2
4
6
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
Pri
ce r
ealisati
on
, U
S$/d
mt
Op
era
tin
g r
even
ue,
US
$b
n
Revenue Realised price
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Cost + production performance offsetting price weakness
Underlying EBITDA
1,440 1,301
27
1,387
96
1,568 54 27
HY15 Volume Cost Price Royalty Fx Other HY16
13
Underlying EBITDA MarginUnderlying EBITDA, US$ millions
55%
41%
30% 29%
39%
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
Average
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FY14 – 16 cash savings since achieving full operating capacity
Cash savings
0.8
0.8
1.1
2.7
0.8
3.5
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
FY14 FY15 1HY16 Delivered savings Expected 2HY16 Savings FY14 - FY16
US$bn
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Balance sheet
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Operating cash flows supporting continuing debt repayments
Available cash balances
16
• US$2.3bn cash at 31 Dec
• Strong cash flows
• Target 40% gearing (Debt:Debt + equity)
• Target liquidity US$1-1.5bn0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
1H16 cash balance Liquidity
US$bn
Base liquidity
Available for
debt repayment
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Post expansion, capex is sustainable at current levels
Capital expenditure
Capital profile
17
• Sustaining capex US$200m
• Sustainable mine lives
• No expansion capex
• D&A ~US$7.50/wmt 0
35
70
105
140
175
0.0
1.5
3.0
4.5
6.0
7.5
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16(guidance)
mt shippedUS$bn
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Net debt reduced by US$4.4bn to date
Debt maturity profile
18
US$ millions
4,839
0
577 478
2,160
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
CY2016 CY2017 CY2018 CY2019 CY2020 CY2021 CY2022
Senior Secured Credit Facility Senior Unsecured Notes Senior Secured Notes
Extended Runway
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Free cash flows support debt reduction to initial 40% gearing target
Debt repayments
12,691
9,557 9,569 8,448
10,533
7,159 7,188 6,130
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
FY13 FY14 FY15 HY16
%US$ millions
Total Debt Net Debt Net Gearing (RHS)
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Operating cash flows supporting metrics
Key credit metrics
Cash and debt (US$bn)
Underlying EBITDA / Interest
Gearing: Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Debt / Underlying EBITDA
2.0x1.7x
2.3x
3.8x3.6x
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
5.9x
6.9x
5.9x
3.8x 3.5x
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
63%56% 54% 56%
52%
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
20
11.6
9.6 9.1 9.68.4
2.9 2.4 1.6 2.4 2.3
1HY14 2HY14 1HY15 2HY15 1HY16
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Maximising value
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• Optimised 58% product range
• Product blending
• Enhanced processing
• Improved ore body definition
Strategy continues to evolve to maximise value from asset base
Product strategy
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Product
CostsMine Life
Solving to maximise
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Maintained mine life
FY16 strip ratio remains consistent in 2HFY16 at 1.2
Revised strip ratios
Improvements to continue as ore processing
and blending optimised
C1
CostsStrip
ratios
23
FY17 - FY20 LOM
Chichester 1.6 2.3
Solomon 1.2 1.8
Combined 1.4 2.1
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Market
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Well established 17% market share of imported iron ore to China
Core supplier to Asia
• Low impurity 58% Fe average
• High value in use
• Large diverse customer base
• Reliable consistent delivery
• Proximity to high growth region
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China’s long term growth remains strong
300 million people expected to be urbanised by 2030
• Steel stock-in-use 1/3 USA
• Steel demand above 800mtpa
• Competitive and rising steel exports:
- One Belt One Road over billion tonnes
• Short term growth stabilising
• Real estate market recovery
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Above 800mtpa – driven by policy decisions
Steel consumption to build economy
Source: Wood Mackenzie 27www.Telegram.me/Commodities
300 million people still to urbanise – 16 million per year
Chinese cities in 2030
70% of the population (1bn)
will be living in cities
Source: Wood Mackenzie 2828www.Telegram.me/Commodities
Port stocks remaining stable
Iron ore supply in balance…sentiment driving price
Source: Bloomberg and Umetal 29
$30
$50
$70
$90
$110
$130
$150
$170
$190
$210
0
10
20
30
40
50
Ju
l-10
Oct-
10
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1
Apr-
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Oct-
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Apr-
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l-15
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6
US$Days Coverage
IO Inventory days coverage (days)
62% Fe CFR (RHS)
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Consistently realising at 85-90% of 62 Platts index
Price realisation
30
US$/dmt
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
29/0
7/2
014
29/0
8/2
014
29/0
9/2
014
29/1
0/2
014
29/1
1/2
014
29/1
2/2
014
29/0
1/2
015
28/0
2/2
015
31/0
3/2
015
30/0
4/2
015
31/0
5/2
015
30/0
6/2
015
31/0
7/2
015
31/0
8/2
015
30/0
9/2
015
31/1
0/2
015
30/1
1/2
015
31/1
2/2
015
31/0
1/2
016
29/0
2/2
016
Platts 62 CFR MBIO58 [P] CFR 62% v 58% [P] price realisation (RHS)
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Reserves and resources
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Largest Pilbara tenement footprint
Resource portfolio supports asset baseM
ine
ral R
es
ou
rce
s d
ry i
n s
itu
(M
t)
2,266 2,227 2,143 2,550 2,550
3,222 3,328 3,280
695 695 695 695 695
695 303 491 1,715
2,224 2,860
3,070 3,070
3,504 4,877 4,793
624 624
624
740 740
1,032
2,013
2,463
2,463 2,463
-
1,230 1,230
2,465 3,237
5,205 4,676
5,504
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Chichester Hub Chichester Other Solomon Hub Western Hub Nyidinghu Magnetite
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Supporting our local community
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Ending Aboriginal disparity in the Pilbara
Creating opportunities through training, employment and business opportunity
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Focused strategy
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Strategic delivery
Culture, continuous improvement, speed and flexibility maximise asset base
Consistent 165mtpa
Lowering costs to US$13/wmt
Maximising cash flows
Debt repayment
Expect further improvements
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The new force in iron ore
Continuous improvement, reliable + efficient delivery
165mtProduction rate
Sustainable
low cost
producer
World classassets & people
Unique culturedrives performance
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www.fmgl.com.au@FortescueNews
Proudly supporting:
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Glossary
C1: Operating costs of mining, processing, rail
and port. The reconciliation of C1 to the
amounts disclosed in the financial
statements prepared under the Australian
accounting standards is provided in the
Financial Report for the half year ended
31 December 2015 accompanying this
announcement.
CFR: Cost and freight rate.
mtpa: Million tonnes per annum.
1HFY: Half year.
FY: Full year.
dmt: Dry metric tonnes.
NPAT: Net profit after tax.
Underlying EBITDA: Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation
and amortisation, exploration, development
and other expenses.
The reconciliation of underlying EBITDA to
the financial metrics disclosed in the
financial statements prepared under the
Australian accounting standards is
presented in the Financial Report for the
half year ended 31 December 2015
accompanying this announcement.
wmt: Wet metric tonnes.
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