Can Fracking Solve SA’s Electricity Crisis? And at what cost?

By David LipschitzMy Power Station Technology

26th August 2014

Phone: 021 551 9935; 074 119 3246Email: david@mypowerstation.biz; Skype: MyPowerStation

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South African Govt Announces “Intention to Frack. Launches EIA”

March 2011

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Agenda1. A Biblical View: setting the scene

1. Re-eh: to see

2. What do we see?3. What does the SA government see?4. What is fracking: the fracker’s view5. What does fracking do: the land owner’s view

(note land owner used in the widest sense; we are all landowners)

6. What do we need in a modern economy7. Discussion

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The Old Testament: Re’eh• “See, I set before you this day a blessing and a

curse”• This happens in Deuteronomy Chapter 11 vs

26 just after the Shmah (the Jewish Mantra)וקללה ברכה היום לפניכם אנכי ראה• Anochi: a higher self; our conscience– Ani: I

• KaL: easy, light, simple• KLaLa: An extra L becomes heavy, a curse

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The Old Testament: Part 2

• Genesis Ch 1 vs 28 & Ch 9 vs 1– “And He blessed them, be fruitful and multiply

and replenish the earth”– Replenish• Fill up – with people?• Leave as you found it, or make it better than you found

it?• Satiate?

– Jeremiah 31 vs 25: G-d replenishes the soul

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The Old Testament: Protect the Environment

• Bal Tashchit– Deuteronomy Ch 20: 19-20– Don’t waste / destroy– When you lay siege and battle against a city for a

long time in order to capture it, you must not destroy its trees, wielding an ax against them. You may eat of them, but you must not cut them down.

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Re-eh: To See: The Video

• First video: Choose Life: Its our sacred duty• Our Parashah: Re’eh• Everything we do effects everything

everywhere• Watch 3 mins 25 seconds• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Sacred_Duty• http://youtu.be/Y9RxmTGHZgE

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What do we see?• Electricity Crisis in South Africa• We need electricity now• Fracking: 12 years to get going– No pipeline infrastructure in South Africa– Can SA finish large scale electricity projects?

• Coal: 5 years? R158 billion?– Actual 7 years +– Actual: R260 billion +

• RE cost reductions 75% decrease in 6 years• No learning in Coal, Nuclear, Gas

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RE = RenewableEnergy

What does the government see?They have the IRP

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IRP: Rooftop PV Scenario

(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 1054608 PV

27830 Gas

IRP: Big Gas Scenario

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68200 Gas

IRP: CO2 Emission Trajectories

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IRP: c/kWh (Eskom Pricing)

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IRP: Big Gas: Still Shortages!!!

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Fracking• The Marketing• Exxon-Mobil Fracking Marketing Video• “It’s all good! It’s a time tested technology,

used in 1 million wells, so it must be ok!”• “We need it!”• “It’s safe! It doesn’t harm the environment!”• “We follow the rules!”

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Fracking is safe? NIMBY

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NIMBY: Not In My Back Yard

Fracking

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Fracking

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Fracking

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http://landscapearchitecturemag.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/f1-fracking1.jpg

Fracking

• Presentation 3: Fracking is ok. There are no reports of ground water contamination!

• From DailyResourceHunter.com web site (video version of presentation)

• Also at Slide Share

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Fracking Reality

• Presentation 4: The good and the bad, our first balanced presentation

• By Ted Badami on Slideshare

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The Fracked Landscape

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http://kininline.blogspot.com/2011/04/fracking-frightening.html

The Karoo Today (Karoo National Park)

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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo#mediaviewer/File:Karoo_national_park.jpg

Fracking Gone WrongFracking waste: Missouri River, North Dakota

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Fracking Reality : Animation

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Fracking Chemicals

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From: www.FracFocus.Org

Fracking Drinks?

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(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 28http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts

Frack Pad

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http://www.lowersusquehannariverkeeper.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/drill-site.jpg

Frack Pad

(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 30http://www.marcellus-shale.us/fracking.htm

Frack Traffic

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http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/towanda-truck-traffic.jpg

Fracking Waste Water

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http://protectingourwaters.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/frack-waste-pit-susquehanna-county-from-a-front-window.jpg

Frack Gas Waste - Flaring

(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 33http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/

Fracking Flaring at night

(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 34http://www.popularresistance.org/fracking-flares-in-north-dakota-bakken-shale-equal-1-million-cars/

Fracking Jobs

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http://grist.org/news/ohio-fracking-boom-has-not-brought-jobs/

“The Ohio Department of Job and Family Services says that employment in fracking related work was up last year. But totaljobs aren’t up. Why? Fracking is killing jobs in tourism and farming.”

Fracking Views

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http://ecowatch.com/2012/06/04/fracking-coming-to-a-city-or-suburb-near-you/

Find a well

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Where in the Karoo?“Actually the Karoo Basin”

(c) My Power Station Technology 2014 38http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karoo

Applications for Shale Gas Exploration

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http://www.treasurethekaroo.co.za/fracking-facts

The Karoo

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http://karoospace.co.za/shop/the-illustrated-karoo-map/

South Africa Videos

• 05 Fracking, Jonathan Deal & The Fracking Song : get involved (1 min 15 seconds; and then 9 mins onwards (30 seconds))

• 06 Graaff-Reinett Our Story (3 mins)• 07 South Africa from above (30 seconds)– South Africa promoted as a pristine environment

and tourism destination• 08 Unearthed Official Trailer (3 mins)

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Fracking: “The 60 year lie”

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Fracking Bans

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“Breaking the Code of History”• For fast growth, an economy needs:

• By David Murrin in “Breaking the Code of History” book

– Labour & Capital (Population Growth)– Resources– Electricity– South Africa has the first two, but the 3rd is

decreasing

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South Africa• Should be the richest country in the world!!• Exporting– Coal, Anthracite– Minerals

• Gold, Uranium, Silver, Pyrite, Osmiridium, Manganese, Iron Ore, Ferrochromium, Platinum, Vanadium, Iron, Titanium, Copper, Nickel, Fluorspar, Phosphate, Diamonds, Zircon, Lead, Zinc, Alumino-Silicates, Antimony, Nickel, Vermiculite

– Jobs• Importing– Finished Goods– Inflation– Poor exchange rate

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The future

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The future

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The future

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The Future

• 09 The Five Winners

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Re’eh

• וקללה ברכה היום לפניכם אנכי ראה• “See I set before you blessing and curse”• Please say this allowed now!• Each of us has an opportunity to create

blessing and curse• What will we choose?

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The future

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Buying and Producing ElectricityGraph in Rand per kwh ex VAT

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David Lipschitz• BSc (Honours) MBA M.Inst.D• My Power Station Technology: Energy Expert, Software Developer• Grid-Tied Photovoltaics Course: Feb 2009, Phoenix, AZ, USA• NABCEP Level 1 Certification

– North American Board of Certified Energy Practitioners

• Additional related technical training• Spoke at / Chaired Various Energy Conferences and Panel Discussions• Presented in Parliament re. Climate Change Hearings• Presented to Parliament re. IRP2010 Hearings• Presented at Powering Africa Strategy Summit in November 2011 & 2013• Contact Details:

– 021 813 9895 (Office)– 074 119 3246 (Cell/Mobile/iPhone)– david@mypowerstation.biz– Mypowerstation (Skype)– http://www.linkedin.com/in/davidlipschitz (LinkedIn)

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