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Hydrogen, Methane and Nitrous oxide: Trend variability, budgets and interactions with the biosphere GOCE-CT-2006-037048 HYMN September 2007

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Hydrogen, Methane and Nitrous oxide: Trend variability, budgets and interactions with the biosphere GOCE-CT-2006-037048. HYMN. September 2007. Contents. Objectives Partners Project overview Biosphere-atmosphere interactions Ground-based observations Satellite observations - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: HYMN

Hydrogen, Methane and Nitrous oxide:Trend variability, budgets and interactions with the

biosphere

GOCE-CT-2006-037048

HYMN

September 2007

Page 2: HYMN

Contents

Objectives Partners Project overview Biosphere-atmosphere interactions Ground-based observations Satellite observations Chemistry-transport modeling CH4, N2O and H2 Improved source estimations (inverse modeling)

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HYMN Objectives

Improve process models of land-biosphere-atmosphere exchange of the HYMN gases and provide global and regional estimates of their natural sources and sinks.

Provision of multi-year global satellite data sets of CH4 and CO and long-term time series of CH4 and N2O at a range of observing stations.

Provide advice on further optimization of monitoring networks for the HYMN gases (esp. FTIR).

Quantify atmospheric loss of CH4 and H2 and the impact of changing anthropogenic and natural (climate-induced) emissions on regional OH trends and on current and future global CH4 and H2 levels.

Quantify how the possible future change to a hydrogen economy will affect the H2 distribution and the distribution of CH4 and O3 through changes in emissions of H2 and pollutants (NOx, CO, VOCs).

Evaluate simulations with a new coupled atmospheric chemistry-biosphere model for CH4, N2O and H2 by comparison with ground based and satellite observations on a global and regional scale.

Provide new estimates of the sources and sinks of CH4 and H2 including their temporal and spatial variability.

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Partners

No Partner Short name Country

1 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (coordinator) KNMI NL

2 University of Bristol UNIVBRIS UK

3 University of Oslo UiO NO

4 University of Heidelberg UHEI.IUP DE

5 Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique-Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement

CNRS-LSCE FR

6 University of Bremen Uni-HB DE

7 Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy BIRA-IASB BE

8 University of Liège ULg BE

9 Chalmers Tekniska Hoegskola Aktiebolag Chalmers SV

10 Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Atmospheric Environmental Research

FZK-IMK-IFU DE

11 University of Karlsruhe, Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung – Atmospheric Trace Constituents and Remote Sensing

UniKarl DE

12 Commisariat à l’Energie Atomique - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement

CEA-LSCE FR

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HYMN Project overview

WP2 Biosphere-atmosphereinteractions

WP

1 P

roje

ct M

anag

emen

t

HYMN

WP3 Satelliteobservations

WP5 Model Integration and

Evaluation

WP4 Observationsfrom ground networks

WP6 Inverse Modelling and 4d-var

Data Assimilation

Modules

Satellite obs

FTIR obsSurface obs

Integrated Models

Monitoring database

Sinks and sources

Suggestions for Improvements

Trends

Assessment

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WP2: Biosphere-atmosphere interactions

Objective: further develop and provide a climate-driven global biosphere/land model for HYMN gases

Based on LPJ and including

CH4 emissions from wetlands, permafrost (LPJ-WHy) CH4, CO, NOx, H2 emissions from fires (SPITFIRE) N2O & NOx fluxes from soils (microbes) H2 fluxes from N-fixation

Interface to global atmospheric chemistry-transport models

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Sitch et al., 2003

LPJ: modeling biosphere-atmosphere interactions

Comparison to Satellite Observations

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LPJ-WHy model

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WP3: Satellite observations

Objectives consistent data set of SCIAMACHY CH4 and CO from 2003 onward

+ error estimates consistent data set of IMG/IASI CH4 + error estimates investigate combined SCIAMACHY-IASI CH4 retrieval

Clerbaux et al., ACP, 2003

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WP3: IMG CH4 retrieval

April 1997

Forms basis for retrieval from IASI (launched October 2006)

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WP3: IMG vertical information

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WP3: Sciamachy CH4 new retrievals

• Improved T- profile (ECMWF)

• Updated spectroscopy

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SCIAMACHY CH4 (2003-2004)

Frankenberg et al, JGR, 2006

Frankenberg et al, JGR, 2006

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Cloud top height < 2.5km;shows CH4 long-range transport

Frankenberg et al, JGR, 2006

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SCIAMACHY CH4 regional: AsiaFrankenberg et al, JGR, 2006

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WP4: Observations from ground-based networks

Objectives Perform FTIR measurements at 7 stations (28-80 N) once a week

(if sky is clear) during HYMN (2006-2009). 3-month measurement campaign at La Réunion Optimise, standardise retrieval and error estimates CH4, N2O Construct historical time series Validate satellite CH4 with FTIR

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WP4: FTIR time series from Jungfraujoch

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Trend of tropospheric and stratospheric column abundances wrt 2000? Significantly positive: ranges from (0.1 0.05 )%/yr to (0.6 0.1 )%/yr ; except for tropo- column at Izana: - 0.26(±0.09) )%/yr

reasonably good agreement with UiO 3D model simulations

Seasonal variation is obvious

Consistent data sets; possibly not optimal yet...

UFTIR data set for CH4 (total column)

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UFTIR data set for N2O (total column)

N2O

3.50E+18

4.00E+18

4.50E+18

5.00E+18

5.50E+18

6.00E+18

6.50E+18

-2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 2500

NyAl_TC

Kiruna

Izana

Harestua

Jungfraujoch

Zugspitze

Trend: significantly positive, in agreement with the surface trend of +(0.25 0.05) %/yr reported in IPCC 2003 based on in-situ observations

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WP5: Model integration and evaluation

Objectives

Evaluate current chemistry models against satellite and ground-based observations

Same for new coupled biosphere-chemistry model

Quantify the effect of changing natural and anthropogenic emissions (including climate-driven vegetation fluxes) on CH4, OH, O3 and H2 – on decadal time scales

Quantify the effect of the transformation to a hydrogen economy

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Tropospheric OH 1990-2001

Dalsoren and Isaksen,JGR, 2007

Emission changes in the period 1990-2001 caused a global average increase in OH of 0.08 %/yr. The global increase in OH is driven by changes in the Northern Hemisphere. Deviations from the trend were found in years with much biomass burning.

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WP6: Inverse modelling & data assimilation

Objectives

Derive error estimates for model and observational errors (satellite and surface-based)

Determine surface fluxes of CH4 and H2 (1980-2000) by inverse modelling and data assimilation

Estimate evolution of OH (1980-2000)

Meirink et al., 2006 (Evergreen)

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WP6: Inverse modelling & data assimilation

Large differences between tropical wetland CH4 emissions

Need for improved models and inversions

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WP6: Inverse modelling & data assimilation

LMDZT-SACS: New simplified atmospheric chemistry system for inversions

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WP6: Inverse modelling & data assimilation

LMDZT-SACS: New simplified atmospheric chemistry system for inversions

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Links with other EU projects

ACCENT (Atmospheric Composition Change: the European NeTwork of excellence) Model evaluation, emissions

EUROHYDROS (A European Network for Atmospheric Hydrogen observations and studies) Surface observations and modeling

GEOMON (Global Earth Observation and Monitoring) Model evaluation Surface observations

QUANTIFY: Ship & aviation emissions

HyCARE (Hydrogen energy: ChAnces and Risks for the Environment) Hydrogen forum

Past related projects: Evergreen (EnVisat for Environmental Regulation of GREENhouse gases) UFTIR (Time series of Upper Free Troposphere observations from a

European ground-based FTIR network)

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More information

http://www.knmi.nl/samenw/hymn

or contact Peter van Velthoven ([email protected])