ict applications for energy markets - … · · 2016-11-09ict applications for energy markets ......
TRANSCRIPT
ICT APPLICATIONS FOR ENERGY MARKETS
POWER + ICT + RENEWABLES + ENERGY STORAGE = SMART GRIDS
ISSUSES
How ICT industry can take part in energy market development?
Innovative technologies for electricity and transportation market
Big numbers - economy of scale
Critical infrastructure convergence
Internet of Things – the fist step to the Smart-X future
Innovation and Competition Policy Dilemmas
MAIN ISSUES
Fossil fuels - shortages, emissions, allocation, availability / accessibility
Rising cost and prices of fuels and infrastructure
Inefficient energy usage
Low level innovations - Insufficient competition - Subsidiaries
Standardisation and market liberalisation
Energy Storage – Transport Electrification – Renewables – Digital Services
Digital Energy Market -Internet of Things Infrastructure – Smart-X products
Innovation and Competition Policy Dilemmas
DECONCENTRATION
ELECTRIC ENERGY STORAGE
2-WAY TRANSMISSION
Telematics
Measurements Controlling
Distributed Management
Communication
ICT ENABLERS AND APPLICATIONS
DECARBONISATION
AC TO DC CONVERTION
ELECTRIFIC VEHICLES
Virtual Power Plants
Rectification Integration
Energy efficient equipment (e.g. LED)
Power generation (e.g. PV)
Investment planning and optimisation
VISIONS
BulkGeneration
TransmissionGrid
DistributionGrid
Customers’Interfaces
Smart HomeNetwork
Source: Austin EnergySource: NEC
Next-generation
genomics
Advanced
materials
Advanced
oil and gas
exploration
and recovery
Mobile InternetIncreasingly inexpensive and capable mobile computing devices and Internet connectivity
Automation of knowledge work
Intelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments.
Advanced robotics
Increasingly capable robots with enhanced senses, dexterity, and intelligence used to automate tasks or augment humans
Autonomous and near-autonomous vehicles
Vehicles that can navigate and operate with reduced or no
human intervention
3D printing Additive manufacturing techniques to create objects by printing layers of material based on digital models
ICT oriented convergence of the critical infrastructure
The Internet of Things Networks of low-cost sensors and actuators for
data collection, monitoring, decision making, and
process optimization
Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and software
resources delivered over a network or the
Internet, often as a service
Energy storage Devices or systems that store energy for later
use, including batteries
Renewable energyGeneration of electricity from renewable sources
with reduced harmful climate impact
Nine (ICT) of twelve potentially economically disruptive technologies
SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute, Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy, May 2013
Time
Pro
du
ctiv
ity
Evolutionary Technology Development
Renewables
AMI and Telematics
Energy Storage
Main ICT Innovations in Electricity Market
Relevant and Disruptive Innovations
IoT
German Energy Policy Changing the LCOESubsidiaries and Real Cost Issue
LCOE in UE
Nuclear (new plants) Solar PV (rooftop)
LCOE in UE for Large Scale Ground-mounted Solar PV
2008 2012
Basic factsICT has immense potential to improve energy usage
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/
2
4
6
8
10
12
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
EU
France
Poland
Sweden
World
USA
China
GDP per unit of energy use (constant 2011 PPP $ per kg of oil equivalent)
zł/
kWp
1 x2 x4 x5x3 x6 x7 x8 x9
Multiplication factor
3900
2925
1660
2193
Every doubling manufacturing capacity
of electronic product yieldscost reduction by 20% to 30%
Economy of scale in ICT manufacturing Industry
PV 1kWp Cost
Cost reduction forecast for Vanadium Redox BatteriesLevelized Cost of Electric Energy Time Shift
Source: U.S. Dep. Of Energy
ICT applications in electric vehicle
Source: Electropaedia
Battery Management System
Basic factsWorld Energy Consumption per capita (TPES) 22,3 MWh
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
USA
France
EU
Poland
China
World
Energy use (kg of oil equivalent per capita) 2005/2012 - +8,36% (22,3 MWh per capita)
1toe=11.63 MWh
ICT innovations in lightingOverall improvement (energy efficiency, reliability, cost, material usage, environmental impact)
Source: Austin Energy
Basic factsICT helps reduce fossil fuels usage
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Poland
China
USA
World
EU
France
Sweden
Fossil fuel energy consumption (% of total energy use)
CO2 Emissions from Fuel CombustionCombustion of Fossil Fuels – 94.2% of Total CO2 Emissions
Heat and Electricity 48,70%
Transportation 20%
Manufacturing & Construction 21%
Buildings 8%Others 2%
USA, 2006
Global PV Module Sales 2007-2013Expected annual manufacturing capacity: 200 GWp in 2020 and 1000 GWp in 2050
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
20072008
20092010
20112012
2013
4,028 7,267 11,103
23,481
36,996 38,75 39,987
GW
Drivers
• Electric vehicles• Growing demand
for electricity
Basic factsEnergy market seems to shift towards electricity
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sweden
USA
France
EU
Poland
China
World
Electric power consumption (kWh per capita) 2005/2012 - + 16% (+3,1 MWh per capita)
Basic factsFASTEST GROWING PART OF ENERGY MARKET
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
EU
World
China
France
USA
Poland
Renewable electricity output (% of total electricity output)
ICT Convergence Processes
o ICT based convergence of critical infrastructure networks New integrated regulations should encourage operators to cooperate Competition issues
oConvergence of services delivered by NGN Unification of addressing technologies with leading role of IP-based protocols Convergence of electronic communication networks
oDigital convergence of products Multi-functional digital devices (smartphone, robot etc.) Total universal multi-sensor measurement infrastructure Advance Measurement Infrastructure – important part of the future IoT - based measurement
system
o IoT – DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY AND MAIN DEVELOPMENT DRIVER
CONCERGENCE OF INFRASTRUCTURES AND PRODUCTS DRIVING BY SMART - X TECHNOLOGY
MAINSTREAM OF INNOVATIVE EVOLUTION ENABLING HORIZONTAL DIGITALISATION
Role of National Regulations
oEvolutionary reduction of direct subsidiaries and donations
oStrong support for innovative change of technology and business models
oImplementation, monitoring and evaluation of measures under Directive 2014/61/EU
oHolistic approach to infrastructure development issues
oEffective reduction of fossil fuels usage
HELP TRANSFORM ENERGY MARKETS FROM POLITICALLY DRIVEN TO BUSINESS DRIVEN SECTOR
Telematics by IoT
Smart Grids seems to be an important milestone on the way to the universal telematic infrastructure
To speed up innovative change we need to….