ieee c57.104 revision (nov 2011)

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Luiz Cheim, Lan Lin - IEEE Fall Meeting - Milwaukee 10/23/2012 IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011) TF Database Analysis Luiz Cheim and Lan Lin ABB Inc.

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IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011). TF Database Analysis Luiz Cheim and Lan Lin ABB Inc. Building the Database . + HQ = 521,700 records. Transformers Age Groups. Transformers Power Ratings. Transformers Voltage Classes. Transformers Oil Preservation Type. Reason for DGA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Luiz Cheim, Lan Lin - IEEE Fall Meeting - Milwaukee 10/23/2012

IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

TF Database Analysis Luiz Cheim and Lan LinABB Inc.

Page 2: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Building the Database

+ HQ= 521,700 records

Page 3: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Transformers Age Groups

Page 4: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Transformers Power Ratings

Page 5: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Transformers Voltage Classes

Page 6: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Transformers Oil Preservation Type

Page 7: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Reason for DGA

Page 8: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of Hydrocarbons (all data)

%

ppm

Page 9: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of CO,CO2 and TDCG (all data)

%

ppm

Page 10: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Age Groups

%

ppm

Page 11: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Voltage Class

%

ppm

Page 12: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Power Ratings

%

ppm

Page 13: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Source of Data

%

ppm

Page 14: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of All Gases (Suspicious Units)

%

ppm

Page 15: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Power Ratings(Suspicious Units)

%

ppm

Page 16: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Voltage Class(Suspicious Units)

%

ppm

Page 17: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Oil Preservation

%

ppm

Page 18: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Annual Rate of Gas Formation (ppm/year)Percentiles of All Gases

%

ppm

Page 19: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

After that…

1. HQ Data incorporated2. Discussed unknown oil preservation system3. Question of Rate of Gas Formation vs Levels

Page 20: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Montreal Meeting (May 2o12)

Revisited Percentiles with Following Condition:

O2/ (N2 + O2) < 5% and N2 > 70,000 => N2 Blanket5 – 15% Membrane/Rubber Bag> 15% Open Breather

Page 21: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Legend (next slides)

IEEE Condition 1 LimitCigre Typical Value (Brochure SCD1.32, 2010)AFMo Arc Furnace, 90th Percentile (mineral oil)AFSi Arc Furnace, 90th Percentile (Silicon oil)

Page 22: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

H2 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 23: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

CH4 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi Cigre

Page 24: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

C2H2 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 25: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

C2H4 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 26: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

C2H6 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo AFSi

Cigre

Page 27: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

CO – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi = 1936

Cigre

Page 28: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

CO2 – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi = 25,387

Cigre

Page 29: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

TDCG – All Data

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi = 2,160

Cigre

Page 30: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Further Breakdown…

Given a type of oil preservation (say, N2 Blanket)

What happens to Gas Levels vs Voltage Class, MVA, Age?

Page 31: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

H2, 90th Percentile – Per Voltage Class

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 32: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

H2, 90th Percentile – Per MVA Rating

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 33: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

H2, 90th Percentile – Per Age Group

IEEE

AFMo

AFSi

Cigre

Page 34: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

C2H6, 90th Percentile – Per Voltage Class

Cigre

Page 35: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Subject

1. Should we calculate rates percentiles for all gases?

2. Should we associate rates to levels? How?3. Cigre recent experience

Page 36: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisCigre Levels vs Sampling Intervals

Cigre SCD1.32 Brochure, December 2010

Page 37: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisCigre Rates vs Sampling Intervals

Cigre SCD1.32 Brochure, December 2010

Page 38: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisCigre SCD1.32 Brochure December 2010

Page 39: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisProposal Under Discussion – Level vs Rate

Frequency of DGA

Page 40: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisProposal Under Discussion – Level vs Rate

Severity of Fault (?)

Page 41: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates (IEEE Database)

tppm

Page 42: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates (IEEE Database)

Page 43: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Issues

72

115

133 days

dayppmtppm /323.0

13372115

Page 44: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Issues

72

115

133 days

yearppmtppm /118

13372115

Page 45: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Issues ± 15% Cigre Typical Lab Accuracy

133 days

yearppmtppm /41

1338398

Page 46: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Issues

72

115

343 days

yearppmtppm /50

34311568

68

?

Page 47: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rate Issues

yearppmtppm /5.13

Page 48: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisAnother Example

Page 49: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisAnother Example

27 ppm/year500

ppm/year

Page 50: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisInherent Uncertainty in Trend Calculation

1. Multiple Laboratories2. Lab Variations (repeatability, reproducibility, accuracy)3. Seasonal variations (temperature, etc)4. Sampling errors (humans, sample contamination, etc)5. Type of Transformer (N2, etc…)6. Sampling interval??

Page 51: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisDistribution of DGA Sampling Interval

Page 52: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisDistribution of DGA Sampling Interval

Page 53: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisDistribution of DGA Sampling Interval

Page 54: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 55: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 56: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 57: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 58: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 59: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 60: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisGas Rates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

38%

Page 61: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisRates Distribution vs DGA Sampling Interval

Page 62: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis

53

204

Page 63: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis

Page 64: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis

Page 65: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis

Page 66: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis

Page 67: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisFood for Thought!

Page 68: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisProposal for Discussion – Level vs Rate

Severity of Fault (N2 Blanket, etc)

90th | t 95th | t …

Table conditioned to t = Sampling Interval

Page 69: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisRate of Gas Increase vs Sampling Interval???

Page 70: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisRate of Gas Increase vs Sampling Interval???

Page 71: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)

Revision C57.104 – TF on Data AnalysisRate of Gas Increase vs Sampling Interval???

Food for Thought…

Page 72: IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011)