ig hy - wealth management london | home · n.b. the “capital cushion” is the latest reported...

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Page 1: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -
Page 2: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

2

Source – LCAM 7 November 2017

Page 3: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

3

Source – LCAM

IG HY

7 November 2017

Page 4: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

4Source – Morgan Stanley, MARKIT iBoxx, Bloomberg, LCAM Suisse 7 November 2017

Page 5: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

5

Source – LCAM

7 November 2017

Page 6: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

6

Source – Citigroup

7 November 2017

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ion

s

Page 7: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

7

Source – Credit Suisse

7 November 2017

Page 8: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

8

Source – Credit Suisse

7 November 2017

Page 9: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

9

Source – Credit Suisse, Dealogic, Bloomberg

7 November 2017

Page 10: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

10

Source – JPM

7 November 2017

Page 11: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

11

Source – Credit Suisse

7 November 2017

Page 12: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

12

Source – LCAM, Bloomberg

Issuer Rating Parentrating

YTC Spread vs senior

Equity dividendyield

RWE€ 3.5% Apr 25C

BB+ BBB- 2.6% n/a Suspended

SSE£ 3 7/8% Sep 20C

BBB A- 2.3% 1.3% 6.6%

VW€ 2.7% Dec 22C

BBB- A- 1.9% 1.6% 1.2%

CK Hutchison$ 4.6% May 22C

BBB A- 3.5% 0.8% 2.8%

EDF$ 5 5/8% Jan 24C

BB+ A- 4.5% 1.3% 7.3%

7 November 2017

Page 13: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

13

Source – LCAM

7 November 2017

Page 14: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

7 November 201714 Source – LCAM/BIS

Page 15: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

15

Core Equity T1

Common sharesRetained earnings

AT1 capital

T2 capital

Senior bonds

Deposits

- Pref shares (US)- High trigger CoCo’s

- Non-CoCo sub debt- Low trigger CoCo’s

Senior debt, unencumberedSenior debt, TLAC

Source – LCAM 7 November 2017

Page 16: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

Tech

Valuation

Credit Framework

Regulation Framework

Macro Conditions

16 Source – LCAM 7 November 2017

Page 17: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

17 7 November 2017

Page 18: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

18 Source – FSB 7 November 2017

Page 19: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

19 Source – Morgan Stanley 7 November 2017

Page 20: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

20 7 November 2017

Page 21: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

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CET1 / Total Assets

Source Bank Reports & Bloomberg 7 November 2017

Page 22: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

22 Source: Barclays 7 November 2017

Page 23: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

23 7 November 2017Source: Barclays

Page 24: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

24 Source – Morgan Stanley 7 November 2017

Page 25: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

25 7 November 2017Source – SocGen

Page 26: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

26 7 November 2017

Page 27: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

27

n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger

7 November 2017Source - Barclays

Page 28: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

28 7 November 2017Source - SocGen

Page 29: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

29 7 November 2017Source - SocGen

Page 30: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

7 November 201730 Source - Barclays

Page 31: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

31 7 November 2017Source - Barclays

Page 32: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

32 Source – LCAM + Bloomberg 7 November 2017

Page 33: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

33 Source –Bloomberg 7 November 2017

Page 34: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

34 Source – LCAM + Bloomberg 7 November 2017

BANK CALL DATE YTC RATING CET1 TRIGGER

BANCO SANTANDER SA 19/05/2019c 3.9c Ba1 10.8% 5.125%

NORDEA BANK AB 23/09/2019c 3.3c BBB+ 19.2% 5.125%

HSBC HOLDINGS PLC 17/01/2020c 3.6c BBB- 14.6% 7.000%

STANDARD CHARTERED PLC 02/04/2020c 4.9c BB 13.6% 7.000%

SVENSKA HANDELSBANKEN AB 01/03/2021c 4.1c BBB 23.6% 5.125%

BNP PARIBAS 30/03/2021c 3.9c BB+ 11.8% 5.125%

ROYAL BK SCOTLND GRP PLC 15/08/2021c 4.6c B+ 15.5% 7.000%

UBS GROUP AG 10/08/2021c 4.2c BB+ 13.7% 7.000%

SOCIETE GENERALE 13/09/2021c 4.5c BB 11.7% 5.125%

BARCLAYS PLC 15/03/2022c 4.9c BB- 13.1% 7.000%

SWEDBANK AB 17/03/2022c 4.0c BBB- 23.9% 5.125%

BARCLAYS BANK PLC 21/11/2022 4.2c BB+ 13.1% 7.000%

STANDARD CHARTERED PLC 02/04/2023c 5.4c BB+ 13.6% 7.000%

CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG 11/12/2023c 4.4c BB 13.2% 5.125%

SOCIETE GENERALE 18/12/2023c 5.2c BB+ 11.7% 5.125%

UBS AG 15/05/2024 3.9 BBB+ 13.5% 5.000%

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC 27/06/2024c 4.9c BB 13.6% 7.000%

DEUTSCHE BANK AG 30/04/2025c 6.3c B+ 13.8% 5.125%

BANK CALL DATE YTC RATING CET1

GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 10/05/2019c 3.3c BB+ 11.7%

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO 15/11/2019c 3.0c BBB- 11.5%

STATE STREET CORP 15/09/2020c 3.0c BBB 12.3%

CITIGROUP INC 15/02/2023c 4.0c BB+ 13.1%

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 01/08/2023c 3.9c BBB- 12.9%

BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON 20/06/2023c 4.2c BBB 10.7%

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 15/06/2024c 4.2c BBB- 12.3%

BANK OF AMERICA CORP 23/10/2024c 4.0c BB+ 11.9%

Page 35: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

35

7 November 2017

Page 36: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -
Page 37: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

Best Private Client Investment Team – UK & Best Global Equity Fund -2016

7 November 201737

Page 38: IG HY - Wealth Management London | Home · n.b. the “Capital Cushion” is the latest reported CET1 less the CoCo bond’s trigger Source - Barclays 7 November 2017. 28 Source -

7 November 201738