ih 2009 financial results - gas plusir.gasplus.it/file_upload/pres.090807gasplusih0.pdf · tender...
TRANSCRIPT
Market Environment General
Eni Gas Release PriceBrent Price
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Euro – Us Dollar Exchange rate
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TTF Gas Price
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1,25
1,3
1,35
1,4
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1,5
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1,6
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Gas TTF (€/MWh) - 2007/2008 Gas TTF (€/MWh) - 2008/2009
IH09 Results Highlights
Domestic Production: 102 MSmc (- 16.4% vs IH08) due to expected extraordinary maintenance on some wells, now the production is achieving yearly target.Reserves replacement due to workover activities near to 100%Under evaluation acquisition opportunity of Italian Assets;
Italian+Int. E&P
StorageSinarca: near to complete the process to obtain the concession;
The Group reacts in a complex macroeconomic scenari o bearing the economic reasults: Revenues 224.5M€ (+19.4% vs IH08), EBITDA 23.9 M€ (-27.6% vs I H08), EBIT 14.6 (-29.7% vs IH08).
Higher Net Profit 10.2 M€ (+15.1 % vs IH08).
2
Sales 586.3 MScm (+8.3% vs IH08);
Positive operating profitability (EBITDA 4.1 M€) notwithstanding the negative economic scenario;
S&S
Network
Transport
Retail Volume of gas sold : 197.6 MScm (-0.3% vs IQH8);Lower consumption individual customers due to slowdown of industrial customers;Thin margins led to a negative global result, expected recovery in IIH09: EBITDA -1,1M€ (€ IH08 : +0,5M)
Distributed volumes: 107 MSmc (-3.2% vs IQH8) due to the consumption slowdown
Gas Plus Reti S.r.l. became fully owned by Gas Plus.
Signed the agreement with the local municipalities in order to spinoff pipeline asset in 3Q and start-up the operations of BU Transport in 4Q09.
San Benedetto: begining the JV’s operative activities;
IH09 Results Fin. Overview
% %
IH09 on sales IH08 on sales % change
Total Revenues 224.5 188.0 +19.4%Operating Costs 200.6 +89.3% 154.9 +82.4% +29.5%EBITDA 23.9 +10.7% 33.1 +17.6% -27.6%EBIT 14.6 +6.5% 20.8 +11.1% -29.8%
Profit before Tax 17.1 +7.6% 19.0 +10.1% -9.8%
(Euro M)
33
Profit before Tax 17.1 +7.6% 19.0 +10.1% -9.8%Net Profit 10.2 +4.5% 8.9 +4.7% +15.1%EPS 0.23 0.20 +15.1%
44,909,620 44,835,000 Net Debt 22.0 -24.1Equity 218.8 215.3Fixed assets 225.6 217.8
IH09 Financial Data Fin. Overview
EBITDA by Business UnitEBIT by Business Unit
-1.074
-1.095-0.282
-0.077
26,808
19,366
3,383
4,101
0,508 2,131
3,402
0,244
IH08 IH09
M€
Other Activities Network Retail Supply & Sales Exploration & Production
33.074
25.718
- 22%
15,759
11,85314,179
8,615
3,383
4,101
3,383
4,101
0,494
0,494
1,063
1,837
1,063
1,837
0,148
0,148
IH08 IH09 IH08 adj. IH09 adj.
M€
Other Activities Network Retail Supply & Sales Exploration & Production
20.847
16.414
19.267
13.176
- 21%- 32%
4
Balance Sheet Net Debt and Cash Flow30th June 2009 31st December 2008
Inventories 41,190 48,663Receivables 133,930 138,472Payables (55,481) (102,213)Other working credits/debts (41,622) (8,792)Net work ing capital 78,017 76,130
Non current assets 225,574 223,474
Tax, Abandonment, Severance and other provisions (62,810) (62,849)
Net Invested Capital 240,781 236,755
Net financial Position 22,010 20,746Equity 218,771 216,009
Total sources 240,781 236,755
(20,746)
23,929
(6,919)
(1,926)
(11,806)
(6,578) 2,036
(22.010)
(30.000)
(25.000)
(20.000)
(15.000)
(10.000)
(5.000)
0
5.000
Initial NFP @ 1st Jan
2009Ebitda
Taxes
Change in funds and WC
Net Capex / Disposal
Dividends Financial profit/loss
Final NFP @ 30th
June 2009
Other Activities Network Retail Supply & Sales Exploration & Production
E&P E&P
IH09 IH08 ∆∆∆∆%
Gas Production (MScm) 101.6 121.5 - 16.3%
Transfer Price (€cent/Scm) 28.4 28.6 - 0.8%
Exploration Capex Italy (M€) 0.8 3.7 - 78.6%
Exploration Capex International (M€) 0.9 4.2 - 77.8%
Development Capex Italy (M€) 8.6 1.6 + 437.2%
EBITDA 19.4 26.8 - 27.8%
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Production IH09Production IH09
Successful Workover: Metaponto 1, Accettura 2;
Setting up of the compression station in Poggiofiorito;
Restablished the interrupted production at Muzza 4.
International Activities E&P
Romania (15% )
UKBlock P001-Monkwell expected drill in 2H09
PolandAssigned Block 106 on DecemberTender for assigment of 3D seismic survey
NLJVS on Blocks E15c, E13, D9 with Tullow oil (op)
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Romania (15% )Change of operator (IQ09) with Melrose;Slowdown of formal permitting procedure due to the authorization process
Romania
Storage Storage
SINARCA PROJECT (60% GPS)SINARCA PROJECT (60% GPS)
MSE convened the “Conferenza deiServizi”, last stage in authorization procedure;
Published EIA Ministry Decree (2008), under implement the prescription enclosed in the Decree;
Assignment of EPIC underway;
Poggiofiorito (100% GPS)Working Gas : 157 MSmc
San Benedetto (49% GPS)Working Gas : 522 MSmc
Sinarca (60% GPS)Working Gas : 324 MSmc
Total Working Gas 1,003 MSmc
Gas Plus is operator in all the projects
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SAN BENEDETTO (49% GPS)SAN BENEDETTO (49% GPS)
JV operating and technical bodies began the activities;
Ongoing the setting up of the EIA study;
POGGIOFIORITO (100%GPS)POGGIOFIORITO (100%GPS)
Ongoing the setting up of the EIA study.
Projects Schedule20
08
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Poggiofiorto
San Benedetto
Sinarca
Total Working Gas 1,003 MSmcTotal Gas Plus Share 607 MSmc
Supply & Sales - Retail S&S - Retail
S&S Retail
IH09 IH08* ∆∆∆∆%
Sales (MSmc) 197.6 168.9 + 17.0%
Residential 75.7 49.4 + 53.1%
Small Business 19.1 19.0 + 0.9%
Multipod 21.9 16.4 + 33.4%
Industrial 80.9 84.2 - 3.8%
EBITDA (M€) -1.1 0.5 - 311.4%
* GPE excluded
IH09 IH08 ∆∆∆∆%
Supply (MSmc) 615.7 530.9 + 16.0%
Sales (MSmc) 586.3 541.4 + 8.3%
Retail 277.2 263.0 + 5.4%
Small Business 86.0 101.5 - 15.3%
Trading 223.1 176.9 + 26.1%
EBITDA (M€) 4.1 3.4 + 21.2%
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Growing profit linked even if the consumption crisis;
Increase of operating margins thanks to profitability on the supply side (gas purchase on foreingn markets).
.
Negative result due to low margins, expected a recovery in 2H09 thanks also to the AEEG act n.64/90 ;
Higher fixed costs incidence due to commercial expansion and decrease of average business customer consumption linked to economic recession.
* GPE excluded
Network Network
* Former Salso Servizi Netwok business unit excluded
IH09 IH08* ∆∆∆∆%
Distributed volumes (MSmc) 107.0 85.9 n.a.Direct end users (#k) 89.8 71.3 n.a.Pipeline 1.5 1.5 n.a.
EBITDA (M€) 3.4 2.1 + 59.6%
99
Gas Plus Reti S.r.l. became fully owned by Gas Plus;
Still applied the old tariff mechanism and assumed as yearly budget reference. Uncertain the applicationof the new tariff mechanism approved by the AEEG. (act #159/08);
Signed the agreement with local municipalities in order to spin off in 3Q09 of almost 30km of network to Gas Plus Trasporto S.r.l., new company that operates in the regional transport business unit.
Company Profile Annex
Shareholding Share information
N. of share: 44,909,620
IPO price: € 8.5 per share
Price as of 08/03/09: € 7.25 per share
Mkt capitalization: € 324M
Italian Stock Exchange – segment MTA
Specialist: Banca IMI S.p.A.
Own shares as of 08/03/09 : 1,104,073.
Share price performance
10500
12500
14500
16500
18500
20500
22500
24500
26500
28500
30500
32500
5
5,5
6
6,5
7
7,5
8
8,5
€
73,62%
12,74%13,64%
Us.fin. S.r.l. (Davide Usberti) Findim S.A. Market (included own shares)
1010
Group structure Management
Davide Usberti Chief Executive Officer
Paolo Tedesco Chief Financial Officer and responsible for the preparation of the company’s financial reporting
Giovanni Baroni Director Corporate Business Development and Investor Relator
Achille Capelli Director of Network Business Unit
Davide Cornaggia Director of Supply&Sales and Retail Business Units
Luigi Diamante Director of Exploration&Production Business Unit
Cinzia Triunfo Responsable of General Affairs and Storage Business Unit
Gian Maria Viscardi Network CEO
Giovanni Dell'Orto Chairman International B&P
Other Group's Executives
GAS PLUS MIBTEL
Gas Plus SpA
Gas PlusItaliana SpA
Gas PlusEnergia Srl
Gas PlusVendite Srl
Gas PlusReti Srl
Gas PlusStorage Srl
E&PBusiness
Unit
S&SBusiness
Unit
StorageBusiness
Unit
NetworkBusiness
Unit
RetailBusiness
UnitOther
100% 100% 100% 96.1% 85%
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involveknown and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from thoseexpressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g)
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currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated,implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.