VOL. CLXVIII . . . No. 58,293 © 2019 The New York Times Company NEW YORK, WEDNESDAY, APRIL 10, 2019

C M Y K Nxxx,2019-04-10,A,001,Bs-4C,E2

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WASHINGTON — When Presi-dent Trump met with his embat-tled homeland security secretaryon Sunday to force her out aftermonths of eruptions over immi-gration policy, the only other per-son in the room was Mick Mul-vaney, who made no effort to headoff the confrontation and insteadhelped draft the resignation letter.

When Mr. Trump decided to getrid of his Secret Service director,officials said, Mr. Mulvaney deliv-ered the message rather than tryto talk the president out of it.When Mr. Trump consideredwhether to ask a court to invali-date the Affordable Care Act de-spite opposition from his own toplegal advisers, Mr. Mulvaney’s re-sponse: Follow your gut.

In his first 100 days as the presi-dent’s acting chief of staff, Mr.Mulvaney has assumed a centralrole in Mr. Trump’s circle but onemarkedly different than the previ-ous two occupants of his corner of-fice. For the first time since takingoffice, Mr. Trump has a chief ofstaff who has made it his job to en-courage rather than restrain thepresident’s conservative instincts— to let Trump be Trump, in effect.

AT WHITE HOUSE,GATEKEEPER LETSTRUMP BE TRUMP

LOYALIST SHUNS LIMITS

Acting Chief of Staff Seenas Enabler of Actions

Others Squelched

By PETER BAKERand MAGGIE HABERMAN

BARR’S PLEDGE The redactedMueller report will be released“within a week.” Page A15.

ERIN SCHAFF/THE NEW YORK TIMES

Continued on Page A15

JERUSALEM — Benjamin Ne-tanyahu, Israel’s conservativeprime minister for the past dec-ade, appeared poised early onWednesday to win a fourth con-secutive term in office, and a fifthoverall.

Both Mr. Netanyahu and hischief rival, Benny Gantz, a cen-trist former military chief, de-clared victory after Tuesday’s par-liamentary election, with each oftheir parties appearing to receivea similar number of votes, accord-ing to preliminary results. But acount of the broader blocs neededto form a coalition governmentappeared to give Mr. Netanyahu’sLikud party a clear advantageover Mr. Gantz’s Blue and White.

Mr. Netanyahu now seems allbut sure to surpass the nation’sfounding leader, David Ben Gur-ion, as Israel’s longest-servingprime minister.

Victory would also provide Mr.Netanyahu, 69, with a renewedmandate as he battles a loomingindictment on charges of briberyand corruption.

A dominant global player whohas built a strong economy, Mr.Netanyahu is widely credited withhaving kept the country secureand delivered a series of long-sought diplomatic victories, manyof them thanks to PresidentTrump.

Regardless of the outcome, Mr.Gantz’s strong performance was aremarkable achievement for a po-litical newcomer and a brand-newparty. Mr. Gantz, a career soldierwho retired as chief of staff in2015, entered politics last year forthe first time, joining forces withtwo other former army chiefs inan effort to blunt Mr. Netanyahu’sclaim that only he could keep Is-rael safe.

More than a million Israelis ap-peared to have voted for Mr.Gantz’s Blue and White party,placing it in the position of beingthe main alternative to Israel’sright wing, a spot once held by theLabor Party.

Initial exit polls had projected amuddled outcome, and many Is-raelis went to bed on Tuesday sus-

NETANYAHU EDGESTOWARD VICTORY

IN ISRAEL’S VOTE

TEST IN RAZOR-THIN RACE

Prime Minister Is Poisedto Achieve Milestone

With a 5th Term

By ISABEL KERSHNERand DAVID M. HALBFINGER

Continued on Page A10

NEWS ANALYSIS

President Trump has adopteda blunt new message in recentdays for migrants seeking refugein the United States: “Our coun-try is full.”

To the degree the president isaddressing something broaderthan the recent strains on theasylum-seeking process, the linesuggests the nation can’t accom-modate higher immigrationlevels because it is already burst-ing at the seams. But it runscounter to the consensus amongdemographers and economists.

They see ample evidence of acountry that is not remotely“full” — but one where an agingpopulation and declining birth-rates among the native-bornpopulation are creating under-populated cities and towns, va-cant housing and troubled publicfinances.

Local officials in many of thoseplaces view a shrinking popula-tion and work force as an exist-ential problem with few obvioussolutions.

“I believe our biggest threat isour declining labor force,” saidGov. Phil Scott of Vermont, aRepublican, in his annual budgetaddress this year. “It’s the root ofevery problem we face.

“This makes it incrediblydifficult for businesses to recruitnew employees and expand,harder for communities to growand leaves fewer of us to coverthe cost of state government.”

Or if you look at a city likeDetroit, “many of the city’s prob-lems would become less difficultif its population would startgrowing,” said Edward Glaeser, aHarvard economist. “All sorts ofthings like the hangover pensionliability become much moresolvable if you’re actually lookingat new people coming in.”

This consensus is visible in

A ‘Full’ NationIn Dire NeedOf New Faces

Decline of Work ForceContradicts President

By NEIL IRWINand EMILY BADGER

Continued on Page A12

Perhaps the most telling poll ofthe Democratic primary seasonhasn’t been about the Democraticprimary at all, but about the fall-out from an old racist photo on theyearbook page of Gov. RalphNortham of Virginia. He was pum-meled on social media after therevelation, and virtually everyDemocratic presidential candi-date demanded his resignation.

Yet the majority of ordinaryDemocrats in Virginia said Mr.Northam should remain in office,according to a Washington Post/Schar School poll a week later.

And black Democrats were likeli-er than white ones to say Mr.Northam should remain.

Today’s Democratic Party is in-creasingly perceived as domi-nated by its “woke” left wing. Butthe views of Democrats on socialmedia often bear little resem-blance to those of the wider Demo-cratic electorate.

The outspoken group of Demo-

cratic-leaning voters on social me-dia is outnumbered, roughly 2 to 1,by the more moderate, more di-verse and less educated group ofDemocrats who typically don’tpost political content online, ac-cording to data from the HiddenTribes Project. This latter grouphas the numbers to decide theDemocratic presidential nomina-tion in favor of a relatively moder-ate establishment favorite, as ithas often done in the past.

A majority of Democrats whodon’t share their political views onsocial media consider themselvesmoderates or conservatives, com-pared with 29 percent of thosewho do post political content on-

Liberals on Twitter Don’t Speak for Quiet MajorityBy NATE COHN

and KEVIN QUEALY

ILLUSTRATIONS BY SERGIO PEÇANHA/THE NEW YORK TIMESSource: Hidden Tribes Project

Democratic-leaning voters who post about politics

on social media are outspoken and very liberal ...

... but they are outnumbered, nearly 2 to 1, by the more moderate, more diverse and

less educated group of Democrats who don’t post political content online:

KavaNOPE!

Tax the 1%

Break up big techEnd the Electoral College!

Green New Deal

Free college for all!

Medicare 4 all!

Go AOC!

Warren 2020!

Stack the court!

It’s MUELLER time

Rent control now!

YES in my backyardMarch for women!

Housing is a human right!

National Popular Vote!

Impeach Trump!#MeToo

Black Lives Matter

Bernie 2020!

#MMT

Abolish ICE

Progressive activists Other Democrats

Progressive activists Other Democrats

KEY DEMOCRATS WHO POST POLITICAL CONTENT TO SOCIAL MEDIA

DEMOCRATS WHO DON’T POST POLITICAL CONTENT TO SOCIAL MEDIA

Democratic Voters AreMore Centrist Offline,

Hinting at ’20 Race

Continued on Page A16

“The Vaccine Safety Hand-book” appears innocuous, a slickmagazine for parents who want toraise healthy children. But tuckedinside its 40 pages are false warn-ings that vaccines cause autismand contain cells from aborted hu-man fetuses.

“It is our belief that there is nogreater threat to public healththan vaccines,” the publicationconcludes, contradicting the sci-

entific consensus that vaccinesare generally safe and highly ef-fective.

The handbook, created by agroup called Parents Educatingand Advocating for Children’sHealth, or Peach, is targeted at ul-tra-Orthodox Jews, whose ex-panding and insular communitiesare at the epicenter of one of thelargest measles outbreaks in theUnited States in decades.

On Tuesday, Mayor Bill de Bla-sio declared a public health emer-gency in parts of Brooklyn in an

effort to contain the spread ofmeasles in ultra-Orthodox neigh-borhoods there. He said unvacci-nated individuals would be re-quired to receive the measles vac-cine — or be subjected to a fine —as the city escalated its campaignto stem the outbreak.

Peach’s handbook — with let-ters signed by rabbis and sectionslike “Halachic Points of Interest”— has become one of the main ve-hicles for misinformation amongultra-Orthodox groups, includingHasidim. Its message is shared onhotlines and in group texts.

“Vaccines contain monkey, ratand pig DNA as well as cow-se-rum blood, all of which are forbid-den for consumption according tokosher dietary law,” Moishe Ka-han, a contributing editor for

‘Monkey, Rat and Pig DNA’: Vaccine Fears Drive a Measles SurgeBy TYLER PAGER New York City Declares

a Health Emergency

Continued on Page A24

PALM BEACH, Fla. — Behindthe clipped hedges of PresidentTrump’s sumptuous private clubsin South Florida, including hisMar-a-Lago estate where he hasspent many getaway weekends,there has long been a built-in con-tradiction to the policy the presi-dent has repeatedly described as“America First.”

Many of his employees haveforeign passports.

Romanians serve dinner in lav-ish banquet halls. South Africanstend to guests at the spa. Britonsbake elegant pastries. Most areyoung people hired as guest work-ers on special visas, living overthe winter high season in a gatedcommunity with a sand volleyballpit and a movie theater. In the

mornings, they dress in trim uni-forms and are chauffeured by vanover a bridge to the luxury com-pound six miles away in PalmBeach.

But that’s only part of theTrump resort work force in SouthFlorida.

Alongside the foreign guestworkers and the sizable Americanstaff is another category of em-ployees, mostly those who workon the pair of lush golf coursesnear Mar-a-Lago. Not offeredapartments, they have beenpicked up by Trump contractorsfrom groups of undocumented la-borers at the side of the road;hired through staffing companiesthat assume responsibility forchecking their immigration sta-tus; or brought onto the payroll

Illegal Workers Discreetly CutFrom Trump’s Clubs in Florida

This article is by Miriam Jordan,Annie Correal and Patricia Mazzei.

Continued on Page A13

Stacey Abrams, the Democrat who lostthe Georgia governor’s race, had muchto contribute to a panel of scholarsdiscussing voter suppression. PAGE C1

ARTS C1-7

Sharing a Personal HistoryThe Treasury secretary said it would be“premature” to comment on how hisdepartment would respond to a con-gressional request for the president’stax returns. PAGE A14

NATIONAL A11-18

Lawmakers Question Mnuchin

Magic Johnson abruptly announced hewas quitting as the president of basket-ball operations for the Lakers, who onceagain missed the playoffs. PAGE B13

SPORTSWEDNESDAY B9-14

Johnson Leaves the Lakers

The buffet table mainstay is the hamworld’s equivalent of pop music: sweetas honey and easy to digest. PAGE D1

FOOD D1-8

The Delectable Spiral-Cut

Thomas L. Friedman PAGE A23

EDITORIAL, OP-ED A22-23

Staff Sgt. Christopher Slutman, a deco-rated 15-year veteran of the New YorkCity Fire Department, was killed by aroadside bomb. PAGE A20

NEW YORK A20-21, 24

F.D.N.Y. Loss in Afghanistan

After sharply restricting logging in itsown forests, China turned to imports,ravaging the timber resources of othercountries, including Russia. PAGE A4

INTERNATIONAL A4-10

China’s Appetite for Lumber

The government approved a new osteo-porosis drug. Unlike previous remedies,this one restores bone without breakingit down. PAGE A18

Treatment for Brittle Bones

RULE CHANGES The president ispushing to make it harder formigrants to win asylum. PAGE A12

WEST BANK The United Stateshas remained unusually silent onIsraeli annexation. PAGE A10

The United States prepared a list ofretaliatory taxes to impose on Euro-pean Union products as part of a dis-pute over aerospace subsidies. PAGE B1

BUSINESS B1-8

$11 Billion in Tit-for-Tat Tariffs

Late Edition

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Today, plenty of sunshine, breezy,seasonable, high 58. Tonight, mainlyclear skies, chilly, low 41. Tomorrow,sunshine and some clouds, high 56.Weather map appears on Page C8.

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