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    IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON LAND FRAGMENTATION IN KAKORE

    PARISH, HAMURWA SUB-COUNTY KABALE DISTRICT

    A CASE STUDY OF SELECTED VILLAGES (RUGARAMA A, BUSHUUNDWE,

    MURUHITA AND KAMUTERERE)

    BY

    NKOYOYO EDWARD

    Thurs!", A#r$% &', &'

    A RESEARCH PROPOSAL SUBMITED IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE

    RE*UIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF A BACHELOR+S DEGREE OF ARTS WITH

    EDUCATION OF UNIVERSITY OF KISUBI

    SUPERVISOR MADAM NABOSA MILLY

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    CHAPTER ONE.'

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    CHAPTER ONE

    INTRODUCTION

    This chapter will present the back ground of the study, statement of the problem, the purpose of 

    the study, the objectives, research questions and significance of the study, the scope of the study

    and the limitations of the study.

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    Uganda had the second highest fertility rate and the fifth highest growth rate in the world in

    2012 !n only three years, three million Ugandans, many of who are unplanned, have been borninto the country "arol #$atukunda 201%&

    Uganda's total population has grown to %() million this year This is up from %*) million in

    2011 +y 2100, the population is epected to increase fivefold, pushing Uganda to the top 10

    most populated nations in the world, according to the latest world population prospects by the

    United $ations -ocial and .conomic /ffairs ivision in $ew ork The gap between the number 

    of males and females in Uganda is, however, bridging at 1 million and 1( million

    respectively

     The report also points out that the fertility rate of Ugandan women is at )3 children per woman,down from 4( in 200) Uganda has the world's second youngest population after $iger, the

    study notes "urrently, the median age stands at 1), but it is projected to start rising again if 

    there are no interventions to reduce the fertility rates #5opulation media centre 201%&

    The 1331 national population census estimated the population of 6abale istrict at about

    *1(,200 !n 2012, the district population was estimated at about *3,%00 This increase is

    attributed to natural increase where the number of births is higher than the number of deaths

    among others like migration, polygamy, low infant mortality rates and long life epectancy

    +yamugisha+ #2003& This has increased the demand for more land for agriculture and

    settlement hence escalating land fragmentation

    6abale istrict is densely populated 7ith an area of 1,4(31 square kilometers #4*% sq mi&,

    the population density in the district in 2012 was estimated at 234( people per km8 #(44

     people per mi8& this is grater than the Uganda's population density that was estimated to be 1)%

     people per km8 in the same year The land is heavily fragmented /n average household has si

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    to seven plots of land on several hills The people are predominantly from the +akiga tribe, but

    also from +atwa #5ygmies&, the +anyarwanda and the +ahororo #Toro& tribal clans

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    Thomas 9obert :althus was the first economist to propose a systematic theory of population

    ;e articulated his views regarding population in his famous book, Essay on the Principle of

     Population #1(3&, for which he collected empirical data to support his argument :althus

     proposes the principle that human populations grow eponentially that is doubling with each

    cycle, while food production grows at an arithmetic rate that is by the repeated addition of a

    uniform increment in each uniform interval of time& Thus, while food output was likely to

    increase in a series of twenty

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    "econdly Malthus neglected the Manpower Aspect in /opulation: One of the

    principal wea$nesses of Malthus0 thought has been that he neglected the manpower

    aspect in population growth. He forgot according to 1*annan +)2, that 3a baby

    comes to the world not only with a mouth and a stomach but also with a pair of

    hands.4 'his implies that an increase in population means an increase in manpower

    which may tend to increase not only agricultural but also industrial production andthus ma$es the country rich by an e5uitable distribution of wealth and income.

    +.+.6 *onceptual perspective.

    / according to the 7ebster new encyclopedic dictionary #2002& the word impact is defined as the

    force of impression or operation of one thing on another

    5opulation growth can be defined as /n increase in the number of people that reside in a country,

    state, county, or city To determine whether there has been population growth, the following

    formula is used> #birth rate ? immigration& < #death rate ? emigration& +usinesses and

    governmental bodies use this information to make determinations about investing in certain

    communities or regions

    @ragmentation is derived from the word Afragment' which, according to the Bford

    ictionary, refers to a small or incomplete part or piece broken off, that is separated

    from the whole to which it originally belongs Cand fragmentation, which is also

    6nown as pulveriDation, parcelliDation or scattering is defined as the situation in which a single

    farm consists of numerous spatially separated

    5arcels #+entley, 7 13&

    -chultD #13)%& defines land fragmentation as a misallocation of the eisting stock of agricultural

    land ;e points out that a fragmented farm is a farm consisting of two or more plots of land so

    located one to another that it is not possible to operate the particular farm and other such farms as

    efficiently as would be the case if the plots were reorganiDed and recombined -chultD sees land

    fragmentation as a source of inefficiency

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    5ersistent population increase in 6akore has increased pressure on land This has also increasedthe rate at which the land is being partitioned in the area This has limited agricultural

    mechaniDation, large scale farming and commercial farming This has lessened the income of the

     people, over cultivation, decreased food production and even low economic development in

    6akore parish

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    The purpose of this study will be to determine and describes the relationship between population

    growth and land fragmentation in kakore parish in the selected villages

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    #i& To investigate on the relationship between population growth and land fragmentation in6akore parish

    #ii& To eamine the influence of population growth on land fragmentation in kakore parish

    #iii& To suggest ways how population growth can be regulated and combat land fragmentation in

    6akore parish

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    uring the course of study, the researcher may encounter some financial hardships which may

    delay the collection of data

    -ome respondents may not be easy to find because of their time schedules

    -ome respondents may hoard the necessary information

    CHAPTER TWO

    LITERATURE REVIEW

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    This chapter is concerned with what other scholars have researched on population growth andincreased land fragmentation !t acknowledges the findings of other researchers about the impact

    of population increase on land fragmentation, the effects of increased land fragmentation, and

    how population increase may be checked to reduce the rate of increased land fragmentation

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    +yamugisha+#2003& asserts that between 13* and 2002 Uganda's population almost doubled

    its self five times from ) million people in 13* to 2* million people in 2002 !n a period of 12

    years from Fanuary 1331 to -eptember 2002 there was a net increase of (( million people The

     population density also was 2) people per square kilometer in 13* and increased to 12* people

     per square kilometer hence making Uganda the country with the highest population density in

    east /frica

    -sekalegga / #2010& describes how population has persistently increased from 13* to 2002 in

    the table below

    Source: population census 2002 p.6 

    5opulation pressure on land due increased population may not be realiDed easily but what

     portrays it out properly is the system of land ownership, methods of farming used in the area and

    ear Total number of people 5opulation density

    13* ) million people 2) people per km squared

    13)3 4)million people %% people per km squared

    1343 3)million people * people per km squared

    130 124million people 4* people per km squared1331 14(million people ) people per km squared

    2002 2*4million people 12* people per km squared

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    the crops grown but the major outcome from persistent population increase is land

    fragmentation# +yamugisha + 2003&

    :c5herson #132& argues that when a number of non #1& it implies the subdivision

    of farm property into undersiDed units that are too small for rational cultivationH #2& it suggests

    that the plots are noncontiguous and are intermied with plots operated by other farmersH and #%&

    the last type sees distance as an important aspect of land fragmentation

    Cand is a finite, non

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    &.& $7#!20 15 #1#u%!0$1/ $/2r6!s6 1/ %!/ 5r!476/0!0$1/.

     Cand fragmentation is an agricultural phenomenon that involves dividing and re

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    /min 200) defines a sample as a portion of the population whose results may be used to

    represent the whole population under study The researcher used cluster random sampling and

    randomly selected %0 youth, 2) elders and 2) stake holders in four different villages of 

    9ugarama, 6amuterere, :uruhita and +ushuundwe

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    The researcher used the primary data collection methods 5rimary data was collected directly by

    using questionnaires and interview guided questions The researcher prepared questionnaires

    which were administered to the teachers, parents and students The questionnaires were

    dersignerd in a way that marched with the research questions

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    The secondary data was derived from sources like tet books, journals, internet and dissertations

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    / self

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    instruments were valid, the researcher approached the parents who are responsible for population

    growth to sort out or supplement necessary information or question alternatives

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    The researcher carried out interviews and administered questionnaires himself 9eliability helpedthe researcher to identify false and correct answers that were given

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    Jualitative and quantitative data analysis was eamined as below

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    @ield notes were written down at the end of each working day to ensure accuracy in recording

    and consistency in information that was given by respondents Themes were identified and put in

    coding categories using quotations and the most occurring ideas .

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    The responses of subjects were categoriDed in frequency counts and score tables with varying

     percentages which were calculated !nterpretation and drawing of conclusions was done basing

    on the occurrences of each item ata was analyDed using simple frequency tabulation

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    These were the principles that guided my data collection, analysis and presentation @or eample

    confidentiality /nother ethical issue was genuineness, meaning the researcher was trust worthy

    about the data presented by the respondents The researcher ensured that there was

    confidentiality of the respondents by secrecy without reviling any identity

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    This chapter dealt with research methodology which was used to carry out the study and this

    confirmed the standard formats that were used in this research study the net chapter dealt with

    analysis of the findings in the study