impact of the u.s. financial and economic distress on south korea
TRANSCRIPT
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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3772
Flshj Holeldr
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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Oleyheys
Wj B1 lppb} ji Djoodbo
Bx
Flshj Ehjs$Yhsd Holeldbo Wslwhoy jei
Onjkkhemh
_xcbs Kjkk jei Khb` Krchofhs Hfhhe % % % % % % % % % % :
Mklcjk @bejeobjk Osbb jei ynh Flshje Holeldr1
Bxh jei Whswhoybph
Wrl Njf$fbk % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % >
Wj BB1 @bjobjk Bbxb ji Djf
Ynh Bdwjoy l` X%_% @bejeobjk jei Holeldbo
Ibysh le _lxyn Flshj
Ynldj Ojsmbkk % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % :8
Ynh ]jkk _yshhy Wjebo jei ynh Flshje Holeldr
Fbd Ilem$n}je % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 38
Wj BBB1 sxoxjk S`d
Holeldbo Wlkbor Sh`lsd be ynh Khh Drxem$cjf
Jidbebysjyble
Yler Dbonhkk % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % ??
Yj~ Sh`lsd be Flshj
Sjeijkk Aleh % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 98
Wj BP1 h~jk Bx
X%_%$Flshj Holeldbo Shkjyble1
Pbh} `sld _hlxk
Nje Ilemdje % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 88
J ]jnbemyle Whswhoybph
Alsije Nhbchs jei
Aheeb`hs _onxon$Wjmh % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 09
Wj P1 en Fj hodbo
Ipkwd ji h~jk Skjb
Hemjmhdhey le ynh Djsmbe1 Ojwjobyr Cxbkibem
be Elsyn Flshj
Chsenjsi _hkbmhs% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 0=
Elsyn Flshj jei Beyhsejyblejk @bejeobjk
Lsmjebqjyble1 Wlkbybojk jei Holeldbo Cjssbhs
yl Ollwhsjyble
Khh _jem$nrxe % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % =0
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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@BEJEOBJK BE_YBYXYBLE_ JEI DJSFHY_ :8
@bejeobjk beybyxyble jei Djsfhy
bDWjoy l@ x%% @bejeobjk jei holelDbo ibysh le lxyN flshj
Cr Ynldj @% Ojsmbkk
b
Flshj holeldr be 377> }j jiphshkr bdwjoyhi
cr nbmn olddlibyr wsboh+ hwhobjkkr lbk+ jei cr
ejeobjk jei shjk nlof yjsyhi cr ynh olkkjwh l`
nlxbem wsboh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jei xchzxhey
holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh ynjy sjwbikr wshji
ynslxmnlxy dxon l` ynh }lski% Olddlibyr wsboh
njph ihokbehi+ cxy ynh oleybexbem holeldbo jeiejeobjk ibysh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh }bkk oleybexh
yl bdwjoy Flshj% Flshj h~wlsy njph ihokbehi
bmebojeykr be ynh kjy `h} dleyn+ ynh holeldr
kl}hi jei be 377>19 msl ildhybo wslixoy ih$
okbehi cr ?%9 whsohey+ jei mlphsedhey wlkbordjfhs
}bkk `joh j exdchs l` djoslholeldbo jei ejeobjk
yjcbkbyr bxh be ynh eh~y `h} rhjs% Elehynhkh+
Flshj holeldr yl ijyh nj jclschi ynh nlof
}bynlxy ynh ihmshh l` ibysh h~nbcbyhi be kjyh :22=
jei :22>% Jkynlxmn Flshj oleybexh yl joh djals
klem$sxe onjkkhemh+ j lxykbehi cr ynh dly shohey
LHOI holeldbo xsphr l` Flshj+:
Flshj h~bcbk$byr be ihjkbem }byn ynh oxsshey ibysh bkkxysjyh nl}
dxon wslmsh nj chhe jonbhphi beoh :22=2>%
Ely lekr nj ynh Flshje holeldr jclschi ynh
oxsshey nlof }bynlxy beyheh ibysh+ cxy ynh
olddbydhey yl}jsi oleybexhi sh`lsd h~nbcbyhi cr
Flshje jxynlsbybh wslpbih j `lxeijyble `ls ihjk$
bem }byn ynh klemhs$sxe onjkkhemh% Ynb ojxyblxkr
lwybdbybo pbh} ehhi yl ch oleibyblehi+ nl}hphs+
cr ynh `joy ynh Flshje holeldr b ihokbebem dxon
`jyhs ynje jeybobwjyhi6 jei nl} Flshj jijwy yl
ynh holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh b ihwheihey
le `joyls lxybih l` by oleyslk chojxh l` Flshj
nhjpr shkbjeoh le h~wlsy%
Ynb wjwhs jhh ynh bdwjoy l` ynh X%_% holeldbo
jei ejeobjk ibysh le Flshj `sld clyn j nlsy$
jei klem$sxe whswhoybph% Ynh eh~y hoyble iboxh
ynh X%_% byxjyble be ynh oleyh~y l` j kh$ynje$
dllyn kbchsjkbqjyble wsloh ynjy nj chhe lemlbem
beoh ynh :2=7 ynslxmnlxy dxon l` ynh }lski% Ynb
wslpbih j cslji nbylsbojk whswhoybph% Ynhe Fl$
shj wjy h``lsy be ihjkbem }byn by l}e holeldbo
jei ejeobjk ibysh jsh iboxhi6 ynb wslpbih
j Flshje nbylsbojk whswhoybph% Ynh eh~y hoyble
lxykbeh ynh onjeehk l` nl} ynh X%_% ejeobjk osbbbdwjoy Flshj holeldr jei ejeobjk ryhd6
ynb b `lkkl}hi cr j hoyble ynjy jhh ynh jcbk$
byr l` ynh Flshje holeldr jei ejeobjk ryhd yl
jclsc ynh ejeobjk nlof% Chojxh ynh X%_% osbb
b ynh ibshoy shxky l` ynh cxsy l` ynh jhy cxcckh be
nlxbem wsboh+ ynh nlxbem wsboh byxjyble be Flshj
b ynhe shpbh}hi jei je jhdhey b djih jclxy
}nhynhs Flshj oje jeybobwjyh ynh yrwh l` wslckhd
ynjy wkjmxh ynh Xebyhi _yjyh oxssheykr ls j``hoyhi
Ajwje be ynh :2>7% Ynh lkkl}bem hoyble iboxh
ynh klemhs$yhsd bdwjoy ynh osbb }bkk njph le Fl$
shj msl}yn ysjyhmr jei sh`lsd wslmsjd% J nlsyoleokxibem hoyble hei ynh wjwhs%
yn o x%% @ i
N o~
Ixsbem ynh wjy ynshh ihojih ynh holeldbo jei
hphe be ldh ojh wlkbybojk beybyxyble be j }bih
sjemh l` olxeysbh h~whsbheohi j djals ysjebyble
yl}jsi dlsh lwhe+ ysjewjshey+ jei kh olkkhoybpby
ysxoyxsh oldwjshi }byn ynh sy ihojih l` ynh
wly}js whsbli% Be ynh oleyh~y l` holeldbo beybyx$
yblejk shihbme+ ynh ysjebyble nj chhe sh`hsshi ylj ihshmxkjyble+ kbchsjkbqjyble+ beyhsejyblejk$
bqjyble+ ls ihdlosjybqjyble l` holeldbo beybyx$
yble% Ynh ysjebyble nj yjfhe wkjoh be clyn ynh shjk
jei ejeobjk hoyls6 nl}hphs+ be dly ojh ynh
:% LHOI Holeldbo _xsphr1 Flshj .Wjsb1 Lsmjebqjyble `ls Holeldbo Ollwhsjyble jei Ihphklwdhey+ Ihohdchs 377>"%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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:0 YNH FLSHJ HOLELDBO BE_YBYXYH
ejeobjk ryhd bebybjyhi ynh ysjebyble%3 J ejeobjk
kbchsjkbqjyble chojdh je lemlbem wsloh+ by wshji
yl ynh shy l` ynh holeldr% Jbje olxeysbh beokxibem
Onbej+ Flshj+ jei Ajwje njph chhe j wsldbehey wjsy
l` ynh ysjebyble%
Ynh ysjebyble wsloh nj ely chhe dllyn+ nl}$hphs+ hwhobjkkr be ynh ejeobjk hoyls% Be :220 je
Beyhsejyblejk Dlehyjsr @xei .BD@" yxir yjcxkjyhi
:?? bmebojey cjefbem hoyls wslckhd jdlem ynh
BD@ :>> dhdchs `sld :2>7 yl :220%? Ynh BD@
yxir ibi ely beokxih ynh `xkk h~yhey l` ynh Flshje
jei Ajwjehh ejeobjk wslckhd ynjy cslxmny ynhh
olxeysbh oklh yl olkkjwh be :22>+ els ibi by beokxih
ynh Jbje ejeobjk osbb l` :22=% Ihwbyh ynhh
ojh l` ejeobjk ibysh+ nl}hphs+ ynh djalsbyr
l` olxeysbh oleybexhi }byn ynh kbchsjkbqjyble l`
holeldbo jei `bejeobjk beybyxyble+ jei Flshj
sholphshi cr 3777 jei Ajwje cr 3778 }nbkh Onbejjei Beibj oleybexhi yl msl} j ynhr lwhehi xw
djsfhy%
Ynh shohey hphey xe`lkibem be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh
nlofhi ynh }lski chojxh l` ynh beyhebyr l` ynh
ibysh jei nl} sjwbikr ynh ibysh wshji% Ynh
olkkjwh l` nlxbem wsboh+ sholmebyble l` elewhs$
`lsdbem dlsymjmh klje+ olkkjwh l` holeijsr
djsfhy+ jbkxsh l` djals ejeobjk beybyxyble+ jei
xewshohiheyhi h``lsy cr ynh X%_% mlphsedhey yl
kbdby ibysh jii xw yl j njsw shphsjk l` wslmsh
djih ixsbem ynh wjy ynshh ihojih% Jkynlxmn ynhosbb hepbsledhey ynjy ildbejyhi _hwyhdchs jei
Loylchs 377> nj xcbihi+ ynh X%_% holeldr nj
chhe be shohble beoh Ihohdchs 377=+ cjkjeoh
nhhy l` ejeobjk beybyxyble shdjbe }hjf+ jei ynh
holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh b mklcjk%
Ynh lsbmbe l` ynh X%_% ibysh oje ch `lxei be
ynh beyhsjoyble l` j ihyjcbkbqbem beyhsshkjyblenbw
jdlem dlehyjsr wlkbor+ mlphsedhey xwwlsy l` ynh
lobjk oleysjoy }byn ynh X%_% wlwxkjyble yl xwwlsy
nldhl}ehsnbw be mhehsjk+ j wlkbybojk ihobble yl
wslpbih dlsymjmh xei yl kl}$yl$dlihsjyh$beoldh
clssl}hs+ jei kj~ jei bdwsxihey shmxkjyble jei
xwhspbble le ynh wjsy l` jkk djals ejeobjk shmxkj$
ylsr jmheobh% Hphey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jsh ybkk
xe`lkibem+ jei by b xeokhjs nl} klem ynh ejeobjk
jei holeldbo ibysh }bkk oleybexh% Djer l` ynh
jdh hkhdhey ynjy wslklemhi shlkxyble l` ynh
holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh be Ajwje ls jkdly:8 rhjs jsh wshhey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh% J mshjy
ihjk ihwhei le nl} mlphsedhey wlkbor shwlei
yl ynh ibysh%
Ynh hphey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh njph j wsl`lxei
bdwjoy le ynh }lski be mhehsjk jei le Flshj be
wjsyboxkjs% @bsy+ ejeobjk ibysh jei shohble be
ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jiphshkr bdwjoy ysjih jei hwh$
objkkr ysjih }byn holeldbh xon j Onbej+ Flshj+
jei Ajwje ynjy jsh isbphe cr je h~wlsy$lsbheyhi
msl}yn ysjyhmr% J njsw kl}il}e ls ihokbeh be
h~wlsy }bkk mhehsjyh holeldbo jei ejeobjk yshbe j }bih sjemh l` olxeysbh% _holei+ ynh beyhkkhoyxjk
jei wlkbor xwwlsy `ls djsfhy kbchsjkbqjyble yjsy$
bem be ynh :2=7 ojdh `sld ynh Xebyhi _yjyh% Ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh nj chhe je jmmshbph jiplojyh l`
kbchsjkbqjyble+ hwhobjkkr be ynh ejeobjk hoyls+ jei
xooh`xkkr wshxshi djer olxeysbhbeokxibem
Flshj+ Ajwje+ jei+ dlsh shoheykr+ Onbejyl kbchsjk$
bqh% Ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jkl nj chhe ynh dly jmmsh$
bph ejeobjk beelpjyls% Dxon l` ynh oldwkh~byr be
wlsy`lkbl dlihkbem+ ihsbpjybph+ holeijsr$djsfhy
hoxsbybh+ oshiby ih`jxky }jw+ jei khphsjmbem
nj by lsbmbe be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh% Ibysh be ynhXebyhi _yjyh oldcbehi }byn djer lynhs h~jdwkh
l` ejeobjk ibysh dheyblehi jclph b kbfhkr yl
shixoh heynxbjd `ls djsfhy sh`lsd+ jy khjy be
ynh nlsy sxe%
W n n f hdr
k k
Ynh Flshje holeldr nj h~whsbheohi ynshh djals
nlof beoh yjsybem ynh beixysbjkbqjyble wsloh
`lkkl}bem ynh hei l` Flshje ]js be :28?%
3% Ynb wlbey b hdwnjbqhi cr Ynldj @% Ojsmbkk jei Yjfjrxfb _jfjdlyl+Ajwje beoh :2>7 .Eh} Rlsf1 Ojdcsbimh XebphsbyrWsh+ 377>"+ onjw% ?%
?% Ojsk$Alnje Kbeimshe+ Mbkkbje Mjsobj+ jei Djyynh} B% _jjk+Cjef _lxeieh jei Djoslholeldbo Wlkbor .]jnbemyle+ I%O%1Beyhsejyblejk Dlehyjsr @xei+ :220"%
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@BEJEOBJK BE_YBYXYBLE_ JEI DJSFHY_ :=
Ynh sy nlof looxsshi be ynh hjskr :2>7 j j shxky
l` ynh oxdxkjybph h``hoy l` beh`obhey mlphsedhey
oleyslk lphs ynh holeldr+ hwhobjkkr be onhdbojk
jei nhjpr beixysr jei be ynh cjefbem ryhd% Ynh
Flshje jwwsljon yl djejmbem ynh holeldr le
jphsjmh wslixohi shjlejckh lxyoldh ynslxmn ynh
:2=7 jkynlxmn }byn j nbmn ihmshh l` pjsbjyble% Beynh hjskr :2>7+ nl}hphs+ shjk MIW ihokbehi+ ysjih
ihoby beoshjhi+ jei elewhs`lsdbem klje chmje yl
jooxdxkjyh be ynh yjyh$oleyslkkhi cjefbem ryhd%
Ynh mlphsedhey jilwyhi j y}l$yhw kbchsjkbqjyble
jmheij1 wlkbor `sld :2>: yl :2>> `loxhi le bd$
wslpbem djoslholeldbo whs`lsdjeoh+ jei+ j`yhs
djoslholeldbo whs`lsdjeoh bdwslphi+ wlkbor
}j ibshoyhi yl}jsi kbchsjkbqjyble l` ynh shjk jei
ejeobjk hoyls%
Ihwbyh j exdchs l` beybyxyblejk onjemh+ xon j
ihejyblejkbqjyble l` ynh cjefbem ryhd be ynh hjskr:2>7+ bebybjyble l` beyhshy ihshmxkjyble be :2>>+
jei `xsynhs beyhshy sjyh ihshmxkjyble wlkbobh be
:22:23 ihbmehi yl oldwkhyhkr wnjh lxy beyhs$
hy sjyh ohbkbem cr :22=+ ynh wjoh l` kbchsjkbqjyble
}j beoldwkhyh jei j}hi% Ynh ejeobjk ryhd
}j xeijdheyjkkr }hjf jei shdjbehi xohwybckh
yl j ildhybo ls beyhsejyblejk nlof ihwbyh ynh
mlphsedhey sh`lsd% Be wjsyboxkjs+ beyhsejyblejk
oleohse }j h~wshhi jclxy ynh kjsmh elewhs`lsd$
bem klje wslckhd be ynh cjefbem ryhd+ }nbon }j
hybdjyhi jy :7 yl 37 whsohey l` klje6 ynh nhjpr
bexheoh l` ynh Dbebysr l` @bejeoh be jkklojybemcjef oshiby yl okbhey beixysbh jei bexheoh lphs
oheysjk cjef wlkbor6 ynh nhjpr shkbjeoh le h~yhsejk
`xeibem .ilkkjs" yl xwwlsy ildhybo kheibem6 jei
j wlkbybojkkr hebybph ejeobjk shmxkjylsr ryhd
kjofbem ysjewjsheor% Ynhh oleohse }hsh bmelshi
cr ynh Flshje mlphsedhey xeybk ynh holei nlof
looxsshi be kjyh :22=%
_kl}hs msl}yn be :220 jei :22= jei ynh Jbje
ejeobjk osbb be :22= h~wlhi ynh }hjf ejeobjk
ysxoyxsh jei khi yl sjwbi }le ihwshobjyble% Shmx$
kjylsr jxynlsbybh nji wjbi bex`obhey jyyheyble yl
ynh ihmshh cjef jei elecjef beybyxyble }hsh
ihwheihey le lshbme clssl}bem jei yl ynh beoshj$
bem }hjf cjkjeoh nhhy l` ynh djalsonjhclk% Ynh
}le ihwshobjyhi sjwbikr be ynh `joh l` beoshjbem
ojwbyjk bmny j ynh Jbje ejeobjk osbb wshji% Ynh
Cjef l` Flshj beyhsejyblejk shhsph jhy }hsh
bex`obhey yl hphe kl} ynh ihwshobjyble% Flshjojdh oklh yl j oldwkhyh holeldbo jei ejeobjk
olkkjwh cr ynh hei l` :22=% Shjk MIW ihokbehi cr
> whsohey sld :22=19 yl :22>19% Flshj }j lsohi
yl hhf ynh jbyjeoh l` ynh BD@ }byn ynh wsldbh
l` je jxyhsbyr wslmsjd yl wshphey `xsynhs }le
ihwshobjyble jei j wsldbh yl joohkhsjyh sh`lsd be
ynh ejeobjk ryhd+ olswlsjyh mlphsejeoh+ jei ynh
onjhclk% Ynh sh`lsd wsloh wslohhihi le j cslji
`sley+9 jei djoslholeldbo joybpbyr sholphshi j`yhs
:222% Ynb }j j djals yxsebem wlbey be ynh ysxoyxsh
l` ynh Flshje holeldr%
Ynh ynbsi jei khjy beyheh nlof looxsshi be 377?%
Flshj shixohi shkbjeoh le `lshbme clssl}bem yl
ybdxkjyh ildhybo wheibem j`yhs :22=6 nl}hphs+
ildhybo oshiby h~wjeble+ hwhobjkkr ls olexdhs
wheibem+ }j xcybyxyhi j j ihdjei isbphs% Ynh
mlphsedhey heolxsjmhi cjef yl h~wjei oshiby yl
cxbehh jei olexdhs jei wslpbihi yj~ beohe$
ybph yl olexdhs `ls djfbem wjrdhey cr oshiby
ojsi%8 Olexdhs oshiby ojsi xh jei oshiby ojsi ihcy
h~wjeihi sjwbikr+ jei nlxhnlki ihcy beoshjhi yl
dlsh ynje =7 whsohey l` MIW oldwjshi }byn 97
whsohey be ynh wjy% Be ynh wjy+ bssjyblejk cxbehoshiby h~wjeble ynslxmn ynh mlphsedhey$oleyslkkhi
cjefbem ryhd mhehsjyhi ejeobjk ibysh+ jei be
3773 jei 377? bssjyblejk olexdhs oshiby h~wjeble
heolxsjmhi cr ynh mlphsedhey ynslxmn j dxon kh
mlphsedhey$oleyslkkhi ejeobjk ryhd }j ynh
wslckhd% Ynh oshiby h~wjeble cxsy be 377?+ kl}$
bem MIW msl}yn `sld =%7 whsohey yl ?%: whsohey+
jei ynh mlphsedhey }j `lsohi yl cjbk lxy oshiby
ojsi oldwjebh% Ynh ejeobjk ryhd yjcbkbqhi+
jei ynh holeldr sholphshi jei oleybexhi yl msl}
j`yhs 377?%
9% Ynldj Crseh+ Ynh Wly$Osbb Ysje`lsdjyble l` Flshj Cjefbem _ryhd+ Flshj Holeldr 3778 3:12:36 Ynldj@% Ojsmbkk jei Nxmn Wjysbof+ Shwleh yl @bejeobjk jei Holeldbo Ibysh be Flshj jei Ajwje+ Flshj Holeldr 37783:1:=33%
8% Ibhml Pjkihssjdj+ J`yhs ynh Jbje @bejeobjk Osbb1 Oje Sjwbi Oshiby H~wjeble _xyjbe Msl}yn
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:> YNH FLSHJ HOLELDBO BE_YBYXYH
Ynh ynshh nlofhwhobjkkr hphey be :22= jei
377?bmebojeykr bexheohi ejeobjk wlkbor be
Flshj be jy khjy ph }jr%
Ynh hyjckbndhey l` ynh @bejeobjk _xwhspblsr
Olddbble .@_O" be :22> jei ynh @bejeobjk
_xwhspblsr _hspboh .@__" be :222 wslpbihi wsx$ihey shmxkjyble l` ynh ejeobjk ryhd+ shixohi
ynh wlkbybojkbqjyble l` cjef oshiby jkklojyble+ jei
beoshjhi lphsjkk ejeobjk ryhd ysjewjsheor%
Ynh Cjef l` Flshj henjeohi `lsdjk beih$
wheiheoh jei shkbjeoh le je bejyble$yjsmhybem
`sjdh}lsf hyjckbnhi j cjb `ls wsboh$yjcbkbq$
bem oheysjk cjef wlkbor jei shixohi ynh wlkbybojk
bexheoh le oheysjk cjef oshiby jkklojyble wlkb$
obh%
Ynh shysxoyxsbem l` ynh cjefbem ryhd j`yhs:22= jei j kjsmh mlphsedhey be`xble l` ojwbyjk
mhehsjyhi be dly ojh j lxei cjefbem ryhd
}byn bdwslphi ojwbyjk$jhy sjybl+ bdwslphi
shyxse le jhy+ jei isjdjybo ihokbeh be ele$
whs`lsdbem klje% Flshje cjef hdhsmhi `sld
ynh wsloh dlsh cjkjeohi+ ynhr shkr dlsh le
olddhsobjk$cjhi dlihk ynje wshpblxkr+ jei
`lshbme cjef xeihs lshbme oleyslk njph choldh
j whsdjehey jei oldwhybybph wjsy l` ynh Flshje
ejeobjk ryhd%0
@__ wsxiheybjk shmxkjyble kbdbyhi khphsjmbem crshysboybem klje$yl$pjkxh sjybl+ hwhobjkkr ls shjk
hyjyh oshiby%
Ynh Flshj Ihwlby Bexsjeoh Olswlsjyble hyjc$
kbnhi be :220 kbdbyhi ryhdbo sbf cr bexsbem
ihwlby l` cjef+ hoxsbybh oldwjebh+ bexs$
jeoh oldwjebh+ dhsonjey cjef+ jei jpbem
cjef% Ynb h~wkboby lsd l` mlphsedhey ihwlby
mxjsjeyhh b dlsh ysjewjshey jei kh hebybph
yl wlkbybojk wshxsh ynje ynh wshpblx bdwkboby
ryhd%
Ynh Flshje holeldr msh} jy j shjlejckh wjoh
j`yhs 377? xw yl dbi$377>% Wjsy l` ynb whs`lsdjeoh
olxki ch jyysbcxyhi yl ynh wlkbor shwleh yl ynh
ynshh wjy nlof+ hwhobjkkr ynh nlof be :22=%
Ihwbyh j mhehsjk olehex+ Flshj holeldr
jei ejeobjk ryhd }hsh lxei jei dxon dlsh
ojwjckh l` ihjkbem }byn ildhybo ls beyhsejyblejk
nlof6 nl}hphs+ wslckhd jshj shdjbehi% Ynshh
jsh shzxheykr dheyblehi%
Ynhsh b oleohse lphs ynh bmebojey beoshjh be mlp$hsedhey ihcy% Ch`lsh ynh :227 ynhsh }j ely dxon
mlphsedhey ihcy+ cxy cr ynh hei l` 3778 ynh sjybl l`
Flshje mlphsedhey ihcy yl MIW }j ?7%= whsohey%
Dxon l` ynb shxkyhi `sld ynh wxckbo be`xble l`
`xei beyl ynh cjefbem ryhd be :22> jei :222%
Oldwjshi }byn ynh LHOI jphsjmh ihcy$yl$MIW sj$
ybl l` =0%2 whsohey+ ynb sjybl }j ely h~ohbph+ cxy+
shkjybph yl Flshj wshpblx khphk l` mlphsedhey
ihcy+ ynb }j j djals onjemh be ynh slkh l` mlphse$
dhey ihcy be ynh ejeobjk ryhd% _holei+ jkynlxmn
ynh djalsonjhclknjph jilwyhi dlsh olddhsobjk$
cjhi olswlsjyh mlphsejeoh ysxoyxsh jei bdwslphiwslixoybpbyr+ ynhsh b oleybexhi oleohse lphs ynh
ejeobjk oleibyble jei xyjbejcbkbyr l` djkk$ jei
dhibxd$bqhi heyhswsbh ._DH"% Ynhr njph ely
chhe j jmmshbph j ynh onjhclkbe sh`lsdbem ynhbs
cxbeh dlihk jei beoshjbem wslixoybpbyr% Ynb
b je bxh ely lekr `ls ynh _DH cxy jkl `ls ynh
cjefbem ryhd+ j cjef njph j kjsmh h~wlxsh yl
_DH klje% Ynbsi+ ihdlmsjwnbo yshei be yhsd l`
je jmbem jei ihokbebem wlwxkjyble bdbkjs yl Ajwje
}bkk wshhey Flshj }byn j }bih sjemh l` holeldbo+
lobjk+ jei wlkbybojk onjkkhemh%
Onjeehk l` Bexheoh le Flshj
hdr
X%_% ejeobjk jei holeldbo ibysh }bkk oleybexh
yl bdwjoy Flshj ynslxmn ejeobjk jei shjk onjeehk
ynslxmnlxy 3772 jei whsnjw beyl 37:7% Ynhh jsh
olebihshi ynh nlsy$yhsd bdwjoy% Klemhs$yhsd bd$
wjoy jkk dlsh beyl j wlkbybojk$holeldr whswhoybph
iboxhi be j xchzxhey hoyble%
@bejeobjk Onjeehk
Ynh X%_% ejeobjk ibysh bexheoh Flshj ynslxmn
j exdchs l` ejeobjk onjeehk6 ely lekr jsh ynh
ejeobjk onjeehk exdhslx+ ynhr jsh ldhybdh
lwjzxh jei oldwkh~% Ynh dlsh lcpblx beokxih
ynh lkkl}bem1
0% Crseh+ Ynh Wly$Osbb Ysje`lsdjyble l` Flshj Cjefbem _ryhd%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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@BEJEOBJK BE_YBYXYBLE_ JEI DJSFHY_ :2
Flshje wsbpjyh jei wxckbo ejeobjk beybyxyble+
nlxhnlki+ jei cxbehh h~whsbheohi j kl
yl ynh h~yhey ynhr nhki bephydhey be Dhssbkk
Kreon+ Khndje Cslynhs+ @shiibh Djo+ @jeebh
Djh+ JBM+ jei lynhs X%_% ejeobjk beybyxyble
ynjy h~whsbheohi djals djsfhy pjkxh ihokbeh6
Ynh ihokbeh l` hzxbyr jei dlsymjmhi$cjofhi
hoxsbyr wsboh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh bdwlhi j
kl yl ynh h~yhey ynhh jhy }hsh nhki cr Fl$
shje6
Ynh ihokbeh l` hzxbyr jei clei djsfhy ynslxmn$
lxy ynh }lski bdwlhi j kl yl ynh h~yhey ynhh
}hsh nhki cr Flshje6
Ynh ihokbeh l` hzxbyr jei clei wsboh be Flshj
bdwlhi j kl le Flshje6
Ynh beoshjhi xeohsyjbeyr jei shixohi jpjbkjcbk$
byr l` xei be ynh beyhsejyblejk djsfhy ybmnyhehi
oshiby jpjbkjcbkbyr be Flshj6
Ynh beoshjh be ynh KBCLS .Kleile Beyhscjef
L``hshi Sjyh" shysboyhi Flshje cjef nlsy$yhsd
jooh yl beyhsejyblejk xei be mhehsjk jei ilk$
kjs be wjsyboxkjs6
Ynh }hjfhehi cjkjeoh nhhy l` Flshje cjef
jei olswlsjyble mhehsjyhi ojwbyjk bmny6
Ynh ihokbeh be ynh }le beoshjhi ynh oly l`
hspbobem lshbme ihcy6
Wlsy`lkbl klh jei shysboyhi cjef oshiby mhehs$
jyhi wslckhd be Flshj shjk hyjyh hoyls jei
jdlem _DH6 jei
Beyhsejyblejk oleiheoh be Flshj ejeobjk
ryhd jei jcbkbyr yl jclsc ynh ejeobjk nlof
nj }jehi%
Shjk Onjeehk
Ynh shjk hoyls bdwjoy jsh ehbynhs j exdhslx els
j lwjzxh6 be `joy+ ynhsh jsh hheybjkkr ynshh shjk
onjeehk oleehoybem ynh X%_% ejeobjk jei holeldbo
ibysh yl Flshj shjk hoyls% Ynh sy y}l jsh ynh
shxky l` ejeobjk bdwjoy jclph+ jei ynh ynbsi b ynh
bdwjoy l` ynh X%_% jei mklcjk shohble le Flshj
h~wlsy hoyls%
Ynh shixohi jpjbkjcbkbyr jei beoshjhi oly l`
oshiby oldcbehi }byn mhehsjk xeohsyjbeyr shixoh
ildhybo wheibem6
Ynh shixohi jpjbkjcbkbyr jei beoshjhi oly l`
oshiby nj ynh wlyheybjk yl khji yl j olkkjwh l`
ynh shjk hyjyh hoyls+ mbphe ynh sjwbi beoshjh be
nlxbem wsboh ynslxmn hjskr 377=6 jei
Shohble be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jei hkh}nhsh
}bkk bdwjoy Flshj h~wlsy hoyls jei shixoh
ylyjk ihdjei ls Flshje lxywxy6 oldcbehi }byn
ynh sy y}l bdwjoy+ ynb beoshjh ynh wlyheybjk
`ls Flshj sy ihokbeh be lxywxy beoh :22>%
Flshj Jcbkbyr yl Jclsc ynh @bejeobjk s n
Ihwbyh j ?3 whsohey ihokbeh be ynh pjkxh l` ynh }le+
j ?7 whsohey ihokbeh be Flshje hzxbyr wsboh `sld
ynh sy l` _hwyhdchs 377> yl ynh sy }hhf l` Ih$
ohdchs 377>+ jei beoshjh be beyhshy sjyh josl
j cslji whoysxd l` jhy+ ynh Flshje ejeobjk
jei shjk hoyls yl ijyh njph jclschi ynh nlof
}bynlxy beyheh holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh%
Okjbd djih be ynh eh} dhibj ynjy Flshj dbmny
h~whsbheoh jelynhs :22=$yrwh olkkjwh jsh mshjykr
h~jmmhsjyhi jei nl} kbyykh xeihsyjeibem l` ynhbmebojey sh`lsd Flshj nj djih yl by ejeobjk
ryhd beoh :22=% _b~ `joyls joolxey `ls ynb
shkjybphkr chyyhs shwleh yl ijyh%
@bsy+ ynh shjk hoyls }j msl}bem jei yjckh wsbls
yl ynh nlof% Shjk MIW msl}yn nji chhe yhjibkr
beoshjbem beoh ynh kl}il}e be 377? ojxhi cr
ynh oshiby ojsi wslckhd% Be 377=19 jei 377>1: shjk
MIW msl}yn }j 8%= jei 8%> whsohey+ shwhoybphkr6
nl}hphs+ by ihokbehi yl 9%> jei ?%2 whsohey be 377>13
jei 377>1?+ shwhoybphkr% Flshj wslwhoy onjemhi
be kjyh 377>+ nl}hphs% MIW msl}yn ihokbehi cr ?%9
whsohey be 377>19% Ynh xehdwklrdhey sjyh be 377=
}j yjckh jy ? whsohey6 nl}hphs+ ynh xehdwklr$
dhey sjyh chmje yl yshei xw}jsi be 377> jei be
Ajexjsr 377> }j ?%? whsohey% Jkynlxmn ynh Flshje
holeldr }j nl}bem bme l` j kl}il}e ch`lsh
ynh ejeobjk nlof be _hwyhdchs+ wslcjckr j j sh$
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
8/13
37 YNH FLSHJ HOLELDBO BE_YBYXYH
xky l` nbmn hehsmr wsboh+ jei }nbkh ynh holeldr
jwwhjshi }hkk wlbyblehi yl jclsc ynh ejeobjk jei
shjk nlof+ dly lchsphs njph shpbhi il}e}jsi
ynhbs wslahoyble l` holeldbo whs`lsdjeoh be 3772%
Ynh wslahoyble ls Flshj djih be ynh kjyyhs wjsy l`
377> el} jwwhjs lphskr lwybdbybo mbphe Flshj
whs`lsdjeoh be 377>19% J l` kjyh 377>+ ynh LHOIwslahoyhi Flshj holeldr }lxki ihokbeh be 3772
yl 3%= whsohey jei ynhe beoshjh yl 9%3 whsohey be
37:7%= Ynb }j dlsh lwybdbybo ynje ldh lynhs
xmmhyhi6 `ls h~jdwkh+ Dllir Bephyls _hs$
pboh j l` Loylchs 377> wslahoyhi 3 whsohey MIW
msl}yn be 3772%> By jwwhjs hphe ynh kh lwybdbybo
wslahoyble djih be ynh kjyyhs wjsy l` 377> }hsh yll
lwybdbybo% Xehdwklrdhey b wslahoyhi yl beoshjh
yl ?%0 whsohey be clyn 3772 jei 37:7+ joolsibem yl
ynh LHOI% Yl ijyh+ ynh xehdwklrdhey sjyh jwwhjs
dlsh be kbeh }byn ynh LHOI wslahoyble ynje MIW
msl}yn% Ynx+ Flshj }bkk ely kbfhkr jplbi shoh$ble jei beoshjhi holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh%
Elehynhkh+ Flshj b el} be dxon chyyhs oleibyble
ynje wshpblxkr yl ihjk }byn kl}hs jei ihokbebem
whs`lsdjeoh%
_holei+ ynh cjefbem ryhd }j lxei jei }hkk
wlbyblehi yl jclsc ynh nlof+ j`yhs njpbem mleh
ynslxmn j bmebojey shihbme be shwleh yl ynh
:22= jei 377? nlof% Ynb b wslcjckr ynh dly
bmeb`bojey jonbhphdhey l` mlphsedhey sh`lsd
beoh :22=% Mlphsedhey$wlelshi dhsmhs+ ojwbyjk
beahoyble+ jei mshjyhs lphsbmny jei ysjewjsheorwslpbihi j `lxeijyble `ls pbjckh Flshje cjefbem%
Be ynh sy wjsy l` 377>+ sjyh l` shyxse le jhy
.7%>> whsohey"+ elewhs`lsdbem klje .7%0 whsohey"+
ihkbezxheor sjyh .:%= whsohey `ls _DH klje jei
7%= whsohey ls nlxhnlki klje" jei Cjef ls Beyhs$
ejyblejk _hyykhdhey ojwbyjk .::%9 whsohey l` jhy"
njph bdwslphi bmebojeykr lphs ynh wjy ihojih%2
Cjef h~wlxsh yl dlsymjmh$cjofhi hoxsbybh+ @je$
ebh Djh+ jei @shiibh Djo }j j dhsh ):27 dbkkble
j l` :9 Loylchs 377>+ joolsibem yl ynh @__% _ldh
eh} shwlsy njph xmmhyhi ynjy Flshje cjef njph
shkbhi le `xeibem ildhybo kheibem }byn `lshbme
clssl}bem6 nl}hphs+ ynb b ely olsshoy+ joolsibem
yl mlphsedhey l`objk% Ynh klje$yl$ihwlby sjybl
b jslxei :77 }nhe ihwlby jsh wslwhskr ihehi
jei ildhybo cjef `lshbme oxssheor kbjcbkbybh jsh
cjkjeohi }byn `lshbme oxssheor jhy% Ynx+ ynhFlshje cjefbem ryhd b be j yslemhs wlbyble
oldwjshi }byn j ihojih jml+ jei+ jkynlxmn by }bkk
h~whsbheoh ldh ihokbeh be ynh zxjkbyr l` by cjkjeoh
nhhy+ ynhsh b kbyykh wlyheybjk ls j cjefbem wslckhd
l` ynh djmebyxih l` ynh kjyh :227%
Ynbsi+ jkynlxmn ynh }le nj ihokbehi bmebojeykr
ixsbem ynh wjy `h} dleyn j j shxky l` ojwbyjk
bmny jei shixohi ihdjei ls h~wlsy+ ynh bdwslphi
`lxeijyble l` ynh Flshj cjefbem ryhd oldcbehi
}byn bmebojey jdlxey l` kl}$sbf h~yhsejk ihcy
jei kjsmh nlkibem l` beyhsejyblejk shhsph shixohynh wlyheybjk ls kjsmh ojwbyjk bmny jei j il}e}jsi
wbsjk l` ynh h~onjemh sjyh% Jy ynh hei l` Axeh 377>+
Flshj h~yhsejk ihcy }j )937 cbkkble+ l` }nbon
jwwsl~bdjyhkr ?7 whsohey b ely xcahoy yl shwjr$
dhey cxsihe chojxh by oleybyxyh wsh`lshbme
ibshoy bephydhey xeibem+ lshbme h~onjemh ls}jsi
nhimbem l` wsholeysjoyhi xyxsh ojn l}+ jei ji$
pjeohi shohbwy ls nbwcxbkibem oleysjoy% Be :22=
beyhsejyblejk shhsph }hsh djkk shkjybph yl ynh
bqh l` h~yhsejk ihcy+ jei dxon l` ynh beyhsejyblejk
shhsph nlkibem }j l` kl} zxjkbyr jei ib`oxky ls
lxybihs yl hpjkxjyh chojxh l` kbdbyhi mlphsedheyysjewjsheor% Be 377> ynh byxjyble b ib``hshey% Ynh
shkjybph bqh l` shhsph yl h~yhsejk ihcy b kjsmh+
dly shhsph jsh nhki be JJ ls chyyhs sjyhi clei+
jei ynh mlphsedhey b ysjewjshey jclxy nlkibem
l` beyhsejyblejk shhsph%
@lxsyn+ clyn ojk jei dlehyjsr wlkbor beysxdhey
jsh be j yslem wlbyble yl shwlei yl ynh jiphsh
bdwjoy l` ynh nlof% Ynh Flshje mlphsedhey nj
sxe j ojk xswkx beoh 3777+ jei j l` _hwyhdchs
=% Flshj+ LHOI Holeldbo Lxykllf1 Wshkbdbejsr Hibyble+ e%i%+ }}}%lhoi%lsm,ijyjlhoi,0,?>,373:?3?:%wi`%
>% _lxyn Flshj Cjefbem Dhjxsh _nlxki Nhkw Jkkhpbjyh Wshxsh+ _whobjk Olddhey+ Dllir Bephyls _hspboh+ Loylchs377>%
2% Ynh yjybybo obyhi be ynb jei ynh `lkkl}bem hoyble jsh isj}e `sld ynshh lxsoh1 .:" @__ shkhjh l` Mlphsels Fbd Alem$onjem :9 Loylchs 377> ole`hsheoh ojkk }byn beybyxyblejk bephyls+ .3" @_O wsh shkhjh l` Ihohdchs 377> heybykhi Flshj@bejeobjk Djsfhy jei Holeldr1 Shbkbheoh Jdbi Yxscxkheoh+ jei .?" Cjef l` Flshj ]hc byh jei yjybybo ijyjcjh%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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@BEJEOBJK BE_YBYXYBLE_ JEI DJSFHY_ 3:
377> ynh xswkx shwshheyhi 3%9 whsohey l` MIW%
Ynb wslpbih ynh Flshje mlphsedhey }byn ihmshh
l` `shhild yl jipjeoh `xei yl ynh ejeobjk ls
shjk hoyls l` ynh holeldr+ yl hemjmh be wheibem
yl ybdxkjyh ynh holeldr+ jei yl shixoh yj~h yl
ybdxkjyh ynh holeldr% Cjef l` Flshj wlkbor b dlsh
beihwheihey jei ysjewjshey jei kh kbfhkr yl mbphbe yl wlkbybojk wshxsh oldwjshi }byn ynh :227%
By bejyble$yjsmhybem `sjdh}lsf jilwyhi be :22>
nj wslixohi j yjckh bejyble sjyh le }nbon ynh
holeldr oje jeonls by bejyblejsr h~whoyjyble%
Ynh oxsshey olexdhs wsboh beih~ bejyble yjsmhy b
? whsohey wkx ls dbex 7%8 whsohey+ jei by olphs
ynh whsbli sld 377= yl 3772% Ynh bejyble sjyh nj
mhehsjkkr chhe }bynbe ynh yjsmhy sjemh6 nl}hphs+ ynh
bejyble sjyh joohkhsjyhi be hjskr 377> j j shxky
l` nbmn hehsmr oly+ jei by nlxki jphsjmh jwwsl~b$
djyhkr 8 whsohey ls 377>% Ynh LHOI wshiboy ynjy
bejyble }bkk ihokbeh be Flshj be 3772 jei 37:7+ jeicr 37:7 by nlxki ch }bynbe ynh oxsshey sjemh%
Ynx+ ojk wlkbor nj olebihsjckh ihmshh l`
`shhild yl ihjk }byn jiphsh bdwjoy le ynh Flshje
holeldr+ jei Cjef l` Flshj wlkbor nj wslpbihi
j yjckh hepbsledhey jei nj hyjckbnhi ynh Cjef
j j oshibckh oheysjk cjef%
@b`yn+ ynh mlphsedhey shwleh yl ynh nlof nj
chhe sjwbi jei ysjewjshey% Shwlsy shkhjhi cr ynh
@__ jei ynh @_O j }hkk j dlehyjsr wlkbor yjyh$
dhey cr ynh Cjef l` Flshj wslpbih dxon xh`xkbe`lsdjyble yl jh ynh oleibyble l` ynh ejeobjk
ryhd jei ynh holeldr% Ynh Flshje mlphsedhey
nj bebybjyhi j }bih sjemh l` joyble yl djbeyjbe
`lshbme oleiheoh+ yl shixoh ynh bdwjoy le ynh
nlof le ynh ejeobjk ryhd+ jei yl oxnble ynh
holeldr be ynh joh l` ihokbebem lxywxy% Cjef jsh
chbem shzxbshi yl beoshjh ojwbyjk6 ):77 cbkkble l`
`lshbme ihcy l}hi cr cjef b chbem mxjsjeyhhi
cr ynh mlphsedhey6 oshiby }bkk ch ibshoyhi yl}jsi
_DH yl lphsoldh nlsy$yhsd ojn l} wslckhd6
yj~ shixoyble l` pjsblx yrwh jsh chbem iboxhi6
jei ynh Cjef l` Flshj kl}hshi ynh cjh sjyh `sld
8%38 whsohey be Jxmxy 377> yl 3%77 whsohey be hjskr
@hcsxjsr 3772%
_b~yn+ Flshj b xekbfhkr yl h~whsbheoh j olkkjwh l`
nlxbem wsboh j be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh% Ynb bxh b
iboxhi be ihyjbk be ynh lkkl}bem hoyble%
Nm W f
Be hjskr 377= j shpbh} l` nlxbem wsboh be Flshj
be ynh oleyh~y l` je jhy cxcckh yj~leldr xm$
mhyhi cr Dbefr lxykbehi bdwkbojyble `ls Cjef
l` Flshj wlkbor jei oldwjshi ynh wlyheybjk `ls j
Ajwje$kbfh nlxbem wslckhd%:7 Ynh wjwhs }j wxc$
kbnhi axy j nlxbem wsboh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh
}hsh chmbeebem yl olkkjwh+ joolsibem yl ynh _&W
Ojh$_nbkkhs ejyblejk beih~h6 ynjy b+ nlxh wsboh
whjfhi be kjyh 3770 jei yjsyhi yl ihokbeh be 377=%
Hphe j nlxbem wsboh chmje yl ihokbeh+ ynh `xkkdjmebyxih l` ynh wslckhd nji ely hdhsmhi% Ynh
377= wjwhs oleokxihi+ % % %beoshjh be nlxbem
wsboh be Flshj jsh kbfhkr ely xyjbejckh+ ynjy j
il}e}jsi jiaxydhey b dlsh kbfhkr ynje ely+ cxy
ynjy ynh wslckhd b ely ehjs j djmebyxih ynjy shzxbsh
jmmshbph dlehyjsr wlkbor jy ynb ybdh% Beyhji+
ynh CLF VCjef l` FlshjT }lxki il }hkk yl khjse
jmjbey ynh wlyheybjk nlxbem cxcckh% Ynb jwwhjs
yl ch ynh wlkbor oxssheykr chbem bdwkhdheyhi%:: Be
nbeibmny+ ynb oleokxble xmmhy y}l zxhyble1
@bsy+ ibi ynh wjoh l` nlxbem wsboh beoshjh kl}
be 377= jei 377>< _holei+ b Flshj xohwybckh ylj nlxbem olkkjwh+ shwho$
ybphkr%:3 Clyn mxsh bkkxysjyh olebihsjckh wsboh
pjsbjyble6 nl}hphs+ lekr `ls j nlsy whsbli be kjyh
3779 jei hjskr 3778 ibi wsboh joyxjkkr ihokbeh%
Be hjskr 377= ynhsh }j oleohse lphs ynh sjwbi be$
oshjh be nlxbem jei jwjsydhey wsboh6 nl}hphs+
by el} jwwhjs nlxh jei jwjsydhey wsboh njph
:7% Ynldj @% Ojsmbkk jei @hihsbol Mxhsshsl+ Cjef l` Flshj Wlkbor jei Jhy Cxcckh+Flshj Holeldr 377=3?1>:>6 NrdjeW% Dbefr+ Ynh @bejeobjk Beyjcbkbyr Nrwlynhb1 Ojwbyjkbybo Wslohh jei ynh Chnjpbls l` ynh Holeldr+ be@bejeobjk Osbh1Ynhlsr+ Nbylsr jei Wlkbor+ hi% O% W% Fbeikhchsmhs jei A% W% Kj``jsmxh .Ojdcsbimh1 Ojdcsbimh Xebphsbyr Wsh+ :2>3"%
::% Ojsmbkk jei Mxhsshsl+ Cjef l` Flshj Wlkbor jei Jhy Cxcckh+ >%
:3% Ijyj }hsh wslpbihi cr ynh Cjef l` Flshj%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
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33 YNH FLSHJ HOLELDBO BE_YBYXYH
8
7
8
:7
:8
37
38
?7
?8
377>
%:
377=
%:
3770
%:
3778
%:
3779
%:
377?
%:
3773
%:
377:
%:
3777
%:
Flshj
_hlxk
_lxynhse_hlxk
@bmxsh :1 Whsoheyjmh Onjemh be ynh Nlxbem Wsboh
Beih~ be Flshj+ be _hlxk+ jei be _lxynhse _hlxk
Ajexjsr 3777_hwyhdchs 377>
Whsoheyjmh onjemh
_lxsoh1 Cjef l` Flshj%
:7
7
:7
37
?7
97
87
377>
%:
377=
%:
3770
%:
3778
%:
3779
%:
377?
%:
3773
%:
377:
%:
3777
%:
@bmxsh 31 Whsoheyjmh Onjemh be ynh JwjsydheyWsboh Beih~ be Flshj+ be _hlxk+ jei be _lxynhse
_hlxk+ Ajexjsr 3777_hwyhdchs 377>
Whsoheyjmh onjemh
_lxsoh1 Cjef l` Flshj%
_lxynhse_hlxk
_hlxk
Flshj
yjcbkbqhi jslxei je jeexjk sjyh l` jwwsl~bdjyhkr
8 yl = whsohey%
Ynshh shjle joolxey `ls }nr j nlxbem wslckhd
ibi ely djyhsbjkbqh be Flshj jei b ely kbfhkr yl
choldh j wslckhd j by nj be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh ls
}j be Ajwje% @bsy+ ynh Cjef l` Flshj jilwyhi jwlkbor l` khjebem jmjbey ynh nlxbem cxcckh% Ynh
Cjef l` Flshj sjbhi ynh cjh sjyh l` ?%8 whsohey
be Loylchs 3778 be hphsjk yhw+ yl j nbmn l` 8%38
whsohey be Jxmxy 377=% _holei+ dlsymjmh oshiby
}j ely j kjsmh j wjsy l` ynh Flshje holeldr j
by }j be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh% Ynh sjybl l` dlsymjmh
oshiby yl MIW be Flshj b ??%9 whsohey }nbkh be ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh ynh sjybl b =3%? whsohey% Dlsymjmh
ihkbezxheor sjyh j`yhs ihokbebem sld 3779 yl 377=
beoshjhi be Flshj `sld 377= yl 377> yl jclxy 7%8
whsohey oldwjshi }byn ynh jwwsl~bdjyh = whsohey
ihkbezxheor sjyh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh be ynh kjyyhs wjsy
l` 377>% Ynbsi+ jei wslcjckr dly bdwlsyjey+ yjsy$
bem be 3773 Flshje shmxkjylsr jxynlsbybh bdwlhibmebojey wsxiheybjk shzxbshdhey le dlsymjmh
klje6 j fhr oldwlehey }j j klje$yl$pjkxh sjybl
l` 97 yl 07 whsohey jei j ihcy$yl$beoldh sjybl l`
97 whsohey% Nji ynhh yrwh l` shmxkjyble chhe
be wkjoh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh+ ynhsh }lxki kbfhkr
ely njph chhe j nlxbem cxcckh jei cxsy% Ynh
shkjybphkr kl} sjybl be Flshj b bdwlsyjey chojxh+
hphe b` nlxbem wsboh ihokbeh+ beibpbixjk }lxki
ybkk shyjbe wlbybph hzxbyr jei ybkk njph beoheybph yl
dhhy dlsymjmh wjrdhey% Ihokbebem nlxbem wsboh
jsh dlsh hsblx be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh chojxh hphe
djer wsbdh dlsymjmh klje njph chhe djih }bynkl} il}e wjrdhey jei chojxh dlsymjmh oshiby b
mhehsjkkr mbphe }bynlxy sholxsh%
Nheoh+ Flshj ibi njph ynh wlyheybjk l` j nlxbem
wslckhd be hjskr 377= jkynlxmn by }j ely l` ynh
djmebyxih l` lynhs olxeysbh% Ynh wjoh l` nlxbem
wsboh beoshjh ihokbehi jei+ chojxh l` ysboyhs
wsxiheybjk shzxbshdhey le dlsymjmh oshiby+ Flshj b
ely kbfhkr yl h~whsbheoh j nlxbem wslckhd j Ajwje
ibi be ynh :227 ls j oxssheykr h~by be ynh Xebyhi
_yjyh% Ynh wslckhd be Ajwje }j j oklh beyhsshkj$
yblenbw jdlem cjef ojwbyjk+ cjef kheibem+ hzxbyrwsboh+ jei shjk hyjyh wsboh ely wsldbehey be Flshj%
Ynh wslckhd be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh }j bdwsxihey
kheibem jei clssl}bem ynjy shxkyhi be }bihwshji
ehmjybph hzxbyr be nlxbem }nhe wsboh chmje yl
ihokbeh% Be clyn Ajwje jei ynh Xebyhi _yjyh ynh
nlxbem wslckhd }j h~johscjyhi cr hjr dlehyjsr
wlkbor% Ynb b ely yl okjbd je jcheoh l` wslckhd
be Flshj nlxbem hoyls1 oleysxoyble oldwjebh
jsh lphsh~yheihi jei j kjsmh exdchs njph ihokjshi
cjefsxwyor+ djer jwjsydhey wslahoy shdjbe xelki+
jei shjk hyjyh wsboh jsh kbfhkr yl ihokbeh be 3772%
Be wbyh l` ynb+ by b xekbfhkr nlxbem }bkk choldhynh wslckhd by }j ls Ajwje jei oxssheykr b ls ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh% Be Ajwje jei ynh Xebyhi _yjyh nlx$
bem }j jy ynh oheyhs l` ynh ejeobjk jei holeldbo
ibysh+ }nbkh be Flshj nlxbem b shwleibem dlsh
yl ynh mklcjk kl}il}e ynje yl jer `xeijdheyjk
beyhsejk beyjcbkbyr%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
11/13
@BEJEOBJK BE_YBYXYBLE_ JEI DJSFHY_ 3?
km$yd bdw f
Ynh bdwjoy l` ynh }lski}bih ejeobjk ibysh le
Flshj yl ijyh nj chhe dlsh hsblx ynje jeybobwjyhi
be ynh kjyyhs wjsy l` 377>% Flshj nlxki ch oleohsehi+
jei+ le ynh wlbybph bih+ ynh Flshje mlphsedhey
nj ely chhe oldwkjohey+ b` ynb oje ch aximhi cr bywlkbor shjoyble yl ijyh% Ynhsh b oleohse+ nl}hphs+
ynjy ynh Flshje mlphsedhey dbmny ely xkkr oldwsh$
nhei ynh klemhs$sxe bdwjoy kbfhkr yl hdhsmh `sld
ynh X%_% holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh%
Nhesr Fjx`dje+ be je bebmny`xk shpbh} l` nl}
ynh oshiby osbb }bkk bdwjoy holeldbo chnjpbls be
ynh Xebyhi _yjyh+ yjyh ynjy ynh oxsshey ibysh b
ynh dly hsblx ynshjy yl ynh ejeobjk ryhd h~$
whsbheohi beoh ynh :2?7% Fjx`dje chkbhph jkl
ynjy+ jkynlxmn ynh ejeobjk ysh be yhsd l` cjef
`jbkxsh jei holeldbo ibysh be yhsd l` shjk MIW+wsboh+ jei xehdwklrdhey oldh el}nhsh ehjs ynh
djmebyxih l` ynh :2?7+ ylijr lphsjkk ejeobjk
jei holeldbo ibysh b j djals hphey be X%_%
nbylsr jei }bkk bexheoh klem$sxe chnjpbls jei
mlphsedhey wlkbor%:?
L` ynh hphsjk onjemh be chnjpbls ls wlkbor lxy$
kbehi cr Fjx`dje+ ynh lkkl}bem ynshh jsh ynh dly
shkhpjey `ls Flshj `xyxsh1
Beyhsejyblejk wlsy`lkbl ibphsbojyble nj chhe
xeihsdbehi6
Ynh hsj l` cjkkllebem ele`bejeobjk ihcy nj
heihi6 jei
Jdhsboje }bkk chmbe yl jph jmjbe%
Flshj nj chehyhi mshjykr `sld beyhsejyblejkbqj$
yble l` ejeoh% Ynh sjwbi wshji l` ynh X%_% ejeobjk
ibysh yl dxon l` ynh }lski chojxh l` ynh beyhs$
ejyblejkbqjyble l` ildhybo wlsy`lkbl oldcbehi
}byn ynh oldwkh~byr l` ejeobjk jhy beysxdhey
nj sjbhi oleohse jclxy ynh beyhsejyblejkbqjyble l`ejeoh% Beybyxyblejk shihbme }bkk yjfh wkjoh be ynh
ehjs `xyxsh+ jei ynhsh b oleohse ynjy mlphsedhey
dbmny dlph yl kbdby ejeobjk beelpjyble jei oshiby
msl}yn+ ynhshcr be ynh klem sxe kbdbybem Flshj hol$
eldbo wlyheybjk% Fjx`dje elyh ynjy ldh shihbme
}bkk ch ehohjsr chojxh l` khle khjsehi `sld
ynh oxsshey byxjyble+ cxy ynjy mlphsedhey }bkk ehhi
yl ch ojsh`xk yl cjkjeoh ynh ehhi yl kbdby ryhdbo
sbf }byn ynh ehhi yl jkkl} ejeobjk beelpjyble jei
beyhsejyblejkbqjyble l` ejeoh yl oleybexh%
Flshj j je h~wlsy$lsbheyhi holeldr `joh je
hphe dlsh hsblx wslckhd b` Jdhsboje old$
dheoh jpbem jei shixoh ihcy% Ynh Xebyhi _yjyh
beoh ynh :2>7 nj chhe le j olexdwyble cbemh
ejeohi cr oshiby msl}yn% Ildhybo olexdwyble
cr nlxhnlki+ cxbeh+ jei mlphsedhey oldcbehi
h~ohhihi ildhybo wslixoyble+ jei+ j j shxky+ ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh nj chhe sxeebem beoshjbemkr kjsmh
oxsshey joolxey ihoby xeybk lekr shoheykr+ }nhe
ynh bqh l` ynh ihoby ihokbehi ldh}njy% _yjsybem
be :227 ynh oxsshey joolxey ihoby nj yhjibkrbeoshjhi be jclkxyh yhsd jei beoshjhi shkjybph
yl MIW% Be ynh hjskr :227+ ynh ihoby shwshheyhi
jclxy 7%38 whsohey l` MIW6 nl}hphs+ cr 377=+ ynh
ihoby shwshheyhi jclxy :%3 whsohey l` MIW% B`
Fjx`dje b olsshoy jei Jdhsboje chmbe yl beoshjh
ynh jpbem sjyh jei shixoh shkbjeoh le oshiby+ ynb
}bkk jiphshkr bdwjoy jer h~wlsy$lsbheyhi olxeysr
`ls }nbon ynh Xebyhi _yjyh b j kjsmh djsfhy%
Ynb b hwhobjkkr ysxh ls Flshj% Ynh whsoheyjmh l`
ylyjk h~wlsy yl ynh Xebyhi _yjyh be 3779 jphsjmhi
jclxy :0 whsohey% Ynh whsoheyjmh nj ihokbehi beoh3779 jei j l` kjyh 377> ylli jy jclxy :7 whsohey%
Flshj+ j }hkk j lynhs h~wlsy$lsbheyhi holeldbh
xon j Ajwje jei Onbej+ b kbfhkr yl hh j klem$yhsd
ihokbeh be h~wlsy yl ynh Xebyhi _yjyh b` ynh X%_%
jpbem sjyh beoshjh jei eleejeobjk ihcy ihokbeh%
Ynhh jsh kbfhkr hphey+ jei Flshje l`objk dbmny
olebihs ynh klemhs$yhsd bdwjoy le ynh X%_% ibysh
be ynb oleyh~y%
Be jiibyble yl j nb`y be holeldbo chnjpbls be ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh yl}jsi mshjyhs jpbem+ wlkbybojk ih$
phklwdhey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh j }hkk j be lynhsbeixysbjkbqhi olxeysbh xmmhy wslyhoybleby dhj$
xsh jsh dlsh kbfhkr ynje jy jer lynhs ybdh ixsbem
ynh wjy ynshh ihojih% J nb`y yl}jsi wslyhoyblebd
:?% Nhesr Fjx`dje+ Nl} ynh Oshiby Osbb ]bkk Onjemh ynh ]jr Jdhsboj Ilh Cxbeh+ ]jkk _yshhy Alxsejk+ 0 Ihohdchs377>%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
12/13
39 YNH FLSHJ HOLELDBO BE_YBYXYH
be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh jei hkh}nhsh }lxki jiphshkr
bdwjoy Flshj msl}yn wlyheybjk% Flshj jei lynhs
h~wlsyhi$lsbheyhi holeldbh njph chehyhi mshjykr
`sld ynh ysjih kbchsjkbqjyble ixsbem ynh wjy ynshh
ihojih+ cxy wslyhoyblebd b j msl}bem sbf%
Ynh ejeobjk ibysh be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh b kbfhkryl onjemh jyybyxih jclxy ejeobjk kbchsjkbqjyble be
Flshj% Wsbls yl :22= Flshj ejeobjk kbchsjkbqjyble
wsloh }j dlsh snhylsbo ynje xcyjeoh6 nl}hphs+
ynh osbb be :22= jei :22> olepbeohi wlkbordjfhs
ynjy ynh lki shmbdh ehhihi yl ch shihbmehi% Flshj
jilwyhi j dhjebem`xk sh`lsd wsloh jei ixsbem ynh
wjy ihojih nj jooldwkbnhi djer bdwslphdhey
be ynh yjcbkbyr l` ynh ejeobjk ryhd% Be joy+ ynhh
jooldwkbndhey h~wkjbe dxon l` ynh shjle }nr
ynh Flshje holeldr nj chhe jckh yl jclsc ynh $
ejeobjk jei shjk nlof yl ijyh% Ynh osbb nj sjbhi
oleohse jclxy ynh wjoh l` kbchsjkbqjyble+ nl}hphs+jei nl} `js yl whsdby beelpjyble+ hwhobjkkr be
yhsd l` hoxsbybqjyble% Flshje l`objk njph yjyhi
ynjy oxsshey hphey }bkk ely ihylxs ynh kbchsjkbqjyble
wsloh ibshoyhi yl}jsi ejeobjk beybyxyble jei
djsfhy+ cxy jy ynh jdh ybdh ynh wlkbybojk holeldr
oleyh~y xmmhy ynjy j wlkbor l` `xsynhs kbchsjkbqj$
yble }bkk ch bexheohi cr }njy njwwhehi+ }nr by
njwwhehi+ jei nl} hphey }bkk hplkph be 3772 jei
37:7% Ynx+ jy j dbebdxd Flshj }bkk choldh j kbyykh
dlsh ojxyblx be wxsxbem ejeobjk kbchsjkbqjyble%
Xekbfh ynh wlyheybjk ihokbeh l` ynh X%_% djsfhy `ls
h~wlsy jei nb`y yl}jsi wslyhoyblebd+ ynb ihphklw$dhey djr ls djr ely ch j ehmjybph%
om odd
Ynh Flshje ejeobjk ryhd jei holeldr njph
jclschi ynh X%_% holeldbo jei ejeobjk ibysh
shjlejckr }hkk oldwjshi }byn :22=2>% Ynhsh b
hpbiheoh ynjy ejeobjk beybyxyble cjkjeoh nhhy
jsh }hjfhs+ cxy ynh sh`lsd djih beoh :22= jei
mlphsedhey shjoyble njph shixohi ynh wlyheybjk ls
hsblx ryhdbo wslckhd% J shjlejckh jsmxdhey
oje ch djih ynjy Flshj b xekbfhkr yl h~whsbheoh j
nlxbem wslckhd l` ynh djmebyxih h~whsbheohi be
Ajwje be ynh wjy ls oxssheykr be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh%
Be ynh nlsy sxe+ ynh Flshje holeldr }bkk ihokbeh be
37726 Flshj ihwheiheoh l` h~wlsy djfh by dlsh
xohwybckh yl }lski holeldbo oleibyble ynjy jsh
kjsmhkr lxybih l` Flshj wl}hs yl bexheoh%
Be ynb shmjsi+ hphey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh }bkk njph
j klem$sxe bdwjoy le holeldbo chnjpbls jei }bkk
kbfhkr shixoh Flshj djsfhy `ls h~wlsy yl ynh
Xebyhi _yjyh% Mbphe ynh bmebojey bdwlsyjeoh
l` ynh X%_% djsfhy+ ynb dbmny l``hs jelynhs lw$
wlsyxebyr ls Flshje jxynlsbybh yl sholebihs ynhbs
h~wlsy$lsbheyhi msl}yn ysjyhmr% Ynh yheiheor ylckjdh ihshmxkjyble jei kbchsjkbqjyble `ls ynh oxs$
shey wslckhd oldcbehi }byn ynh shjk ehhi yl djfh
ldh beybyxyblejk onjemh djr mhehsjyh wlkbobh
ynjy kbdby beyhsejyblejkbqjyble l` ejeoh% Flshj }bkk
ch jiphshkr bdwjoyhi% Be jiibyble+ Flshj l}e
shmxkjylsr sh`lsd djr ch ylehi il}e be ynh kbmny
l` shohey hphey%
Ynx+ Flshj nj jclschi ynh shohey nlof shjle$
jckr }hkk be ynjy ryhdbo sbf nj ely beoshjhi
bmebojeykr j by ibi be :22>% Dxon l` ynb b ixh yl
ynh wlkbor shwleh yl ynh djals nlof h~whsbheohi cr ynh Flshje holeldr ixsbem ynh wjy ihojih%
Elehynhkh+ ynh njsw ihokbeh be MIW be 377>19+
ynh njsw ihokbeh be h~wlsy+ jei ynh beoshjh be ynh
xehdwklrdhey sjyh xmmhy Flshj }bkk h~whsbheoh
shohble jei beoshjhi holeldbo jei ejeobjk
ibysh be 3772% Be jiibyble+ Flshj oleybexh yl joh
klem$sxe bxh ynjy njph chhe }hkk iloxdheyhi%
Ynh shohey hphey be ynh Xebyhi _yjyh beyslixoh y}l
eh} bxhynh kbfhkr ihokbeh be ynh X%_% djsfhy
`ls Flshje h~wlsy jei ynh wlyheybjk ls shmxkjylsr
shihbme yl kbdby beelpjyble jei oshiby msl}yn%
Is% Ojsmbkk b Wsl`hls l` Holeldbo jy ynh Xeb$
phsbyr l` Ehpjij+ Shel%
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8/3/2019 Impact of the U.S. Financial and Economic Distress on South Korea
13/13
WSH_LSYHI_YJEIJSI
X%_%WL_YJMH
WJBI
WHSDBY/?===
]J_NBEMYLE+IO
FlshjHoleldboBeybyxyh
:>77F_yshhy+E%]%_xbyh:7:7
]jnbemyleI%O%+37770