imports of poultry meat from selected origins

EU Market Situation for

Poultry

Committee for the Common

Organisation of the Agricultural Markets18 September 2014

EU market situation for Poultry 18 September 2014

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I

source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

€uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/

BRZ Real

USA $


1.000

1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2014| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2013 & 2014)

01 Nearby

2014 Aug

2014 Nov

2015 Jan

Delivery:


105

135

165

195

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2014| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€uro

/ To

nn

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2013 & 2014)

01 Nearby

2014 Nov

2015 Jan

2015 Mar

Delivery:


140

160

180

200

220

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€/T

on

n

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2013 - 2014)

Nearby

2014 Aug

2014 Nov

2015 Jan

Delivery:


50

150

250

350

450

Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Euro

/ to

nne

Price of Basic Ingredients 2012 - 2014

Soft wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 |

Eu

ro/ T

(fe

ed

)

Eu

ro/ 1

00

kg

(B

roile

r)

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7 (2011) - 2.4 (2014))Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2009 - 2013 (93,99 €/100kg)

NB. Comp. Feed 2014 =Forecast as from July.Cereal mix and Poultry = Forecast as from September 2014.


75

85

95

105

115

125

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53

Rem

ainde

r €u

ro/ 1

00kg

100KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilersfeedconversionrate = 2,7 (2011) - 2,4 (2014)

Marge Average09 - 13

Marge Broiler 2011 Marge Broiler 2012 Marge Broiler 2013 Marge Broiler 2014


192€/100 kg

170

180

190

200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€u

ro/ 1

00

kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Moy.09-13 2011 2012 2013 2014


191,80

168,38

118,07

50,00

75,00

100,00

125,00

150,00

175,00

200,00

| 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazilin €uro/ 100kg

EU broiler US broiler €uro BR Broil €uro/ (Ave world)


0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 2014

1 0

00 p

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2007 - 2010)

Placings Broiler (baseline= monthly avg 2007 - 2010) - Broiler chicks

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.2013 513.650 477.485 532.061 549.348 531.591 524.158 535.568 535.520 514.877 529.347 443.434 512.255 2014 519 034 491 057 528 237 544 989 515 684 504 188 413 814


0

150

300

450

600

750

900

0

150 000

300 000

450 000

600 000

750 000

| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 2014

Realis

ed

sla

ug

hte

r in

1000 TF

ore

cast

in t

on

nes

Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn

Forecast Production Broiler Broiler slaughter

Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov . Dec.2013 580.735 647.721 686.799 629.805 696.547 727.370 705.760 683.619 718.659 695.743 679.332 706.712 2014 573 133 675 908 692 175 650 050 697 291 723 943 681 767 673 372 491 741


2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

other 141,884 151,094 98,849 105,8 98,577

ducks 213,910 220,640 226,615 214,3 227,654

turkeys 928,163 919,083 971,418 933,1 918,739

chickens 4.624,422 4.803,772 4.921,079 5.024,9 5.163,740

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

Poultry slaughter - January - June 2014 in 1000 T


BE PL LV HU EL DE LT NL ES SI DK SF PT AT CZ BG EE EI LU RO SK SE UK IT HR FR MT KY EU

change 9,0% 8,6% 7,8% 6,4% 5,9% 5,4% 4,7% 4,7% 4,1% 4,0% 3,0% 2,1% 2,0% 1,3% 0,2% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% -0,1 -1,4 -2,4 -3,1 -5,1 -10, 2,8%

-15,0%

-10,0%

-5,0%

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

Change in official Broiler slaughter by MS.2014/2013 (1st half year)

EU increase of broiler slaughter:

2,8%


Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 13

Brazil 599.759 73,1% 615.837 71,9% 583.450 67,3% 513.537 63,2% 293.562 60,7% - 1%

Thailand 149.876 18,3% 155.790 18,2% 197.964 22,8% 228.243 28,1% 144.785 29,9% - 3%

Chile 34.403 4,2% 44.434 5,2% 42.192 4,9% 30.516 3,8% 15.952 3,3% - 10%

China 9.863 1,2% 13.875 1,6% 15.697 1,8% 18.184 2,2% 12.131 2,5% + 14%

Argentina 15.795 1,9% 15.700 1,8% 13.766 1,6% 10.783 1,3% 6.062 1,3% + 15%

Ukraine 2 0,0% 31 0,0% 276 0,0% 5.824 1,2%

Sw itzerland 673 0,1% 1.253 0,1% 3.817 0,4% 3.814 0,5% 2.651 0,5% + 27%

Israel 7.219 0,9% 7.144 0,8% 6.076 0,7% 6.306 0,8% 1.465 0,3% - 67%

Others 3.410 0,4% 3.037 0,4% 4.247 0,5% 1.385 0,2% 1.247 0,3% #N/A

EXTRA EU 28 820.999 857.100 867.209 813.044 483.679

% change + 4% + 1% - 6% - 0,5%

2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jul 142013


EU Poultry meat Imports

333.124 296.500 293.562

98.257 148.641 144.785

481.643 486.213 483.679

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

Jan-Jul 12 Jan-Jul 13 Jan-Jul 14

Tonn

es cw

IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe)

Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins

708.697 622.821 602.510

434.427493.048 522.509

1.287.241 1.240.718 1.256.740

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1.400.000


1000

EUR

IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1000 EUR)

Brazil Thailand Israel Chile China Other origins


0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

|Jan06

2006 |Jan07

2007 |Jan08

2008 |Jan09

2009 |Jan10

2010 |Jan11

2011 |Jan12

2012 |Jan13

2013 |Jan14

2014

in Tonnes cwe

Imports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS


Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 13

South Africa 22.007 1,7% 94.084 6,7% 131.832 9,2% 158.481 11,1% 108.331 12,8% + 35%

Benin 115.066 9,1% 126.215 8,9% 139.820 9,8% 139.415 9,8% 92.952 10,9% + 16%

Saudi Arabia 118.019 9,3% 151.520 10,7% 149.310 10,4% 154.775 10,9% 76.781 9,0% - 19%

Hong Kong 151.729 12,0% 189.154 13,4% 126.074 8,8% 117.107 8,2% 75.862 8,9% + 10%

Russia 245.478 19,4% 115.138 8,1% 113.133 7,9% 95.183 6,7% 64.923 7,6% + 23%

Ukraine 86.009 6,8% 81.690 5,8% 103.429 7,2% 76.015 5,3% 34.584 4,1% - 25%

Philippines 15.087 1,2% 30.341 2,1% 30.765 2,2% 35.674 2,5% 29.914 3,5% + 72%

Ghana 41.066 3,2% 68.979 4,9% 69.157 4,8% 75.125 5,3% 28.806 3,4% - 37%

For.JRep.Mac 14.323 1,1% 24.792 1,8% 32.748 2,3% 36.531 2,6% 19.772 2,3% - 7%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 27.749 2,2% 29.973 2,1% 34.232 2,4% 28.600 2,0% 18.843 2,2% + 6%

Sw itzerland 29.804 2,4% 29.411 2,1% 29.275 2,0% 30.709 2,2% 18.070 2,1% - 2%

Other Destinations 398.518 31,5% 472.361 33,4% 470.784 32,9% 478.856 33,6% 280.128 33,0%

Extra-EU 28 1.264.856 1.413.657 1.430.558 1.426.472 848.964

% change + 12% + 1% - 0% + 2,5%

2010 2011 2012 Jan-Jul 142013


EU Poultry meat Export

78.767 68.863 75.862

108.33195.359 76.781

74.229 80.420 92.95258.851 52.62064.923

438.324 450.494 430.116

804.115 828.079 848.964

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

900.000


Tonn

es cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)

Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 35 000 Tons

88.212 75.453 84.639

118.174 163.638 115.740100.857 108.155 117.602

645.045716.570 659.728

1.119.7691.217.960

1.153.931

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1.400.000


1000

EUR

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)

Hong Kong South Africa Saudi Arabia Benin Russia Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 84 000 ('000 EUR)


0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

|Jan06

2006

|Jan07

2007

|Jan08

2008

|Jan09

2009

|Jan10

2010

|Jan11

2011

|Jan12

2012

|Jan13

2013

|Jan14

2014

in

Tonnes

cwe

Exports of selected Poultry products

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS


EU Poultry meat Trade Balance

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

821857 867

813

484

1.017

1.101 1.1161.153

1.114

1.275

1.063 1.046997 997

867

9821.016

1.265

1.414 1.431 1.426

849

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan-Jul14

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

IMPORTS EXPORTS


Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

EU

(u

p t

o J

un

)

EU

(u

p t

o J

un

)

Jap

an

(u

p t

o J

un

)

Jap

an

(u

p t

o J

un

)

Me

xic

o (

up

to

Ma

y)

Me

xic

o (

up

to

Ma

y)

So

uth

Afr

ica

(u

p t

o J

un

)

So

uth

Afr

ica

(u

p t

o J

un

)

Ru

ssia

(u

p t

o A

pr)

Ru

ssia

(u

p t

o A

pr)

Ca

na

da

(u

p t

o J

un

)

Ca

na

da

(u

p t

o J

un

)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2013 (up to July) 2014 (up to July)

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to July)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl.: live animals)


Bra

zil

Bra

zil

Un

ite

d S

tate

s (u

p t

o J

un

)

Un

ite

d S

tate

s (u

p t

o J

un

)

EU (

up

to

Jun

)

EU (

up

to

Jun

)

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Thai

lan

d (

up

to

Ju

n)

Thai

lan

d (

up

to

Ju

n)

Arg

en

tin

a (u

p t

o J

un

)

Arg

en

tin

a (u

p t

o J

un

)

Turk

ey

(up

to

Ju

n)

Turk

ey

(up

to

Ju

n)

0

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2013 (up to July) 2014 (up to July)

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to July)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. live animals)

imports of poultry meat from selected origins

Documents

poultry committee

imports of poultry meat

exports of poultry meat

common organisation

agricultural markets