improvements in the bls business register richard clayton david talan 12th meeting of the group of...
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Improvements in the BLS
Business Register
Richard ClaytonDavid Talan
12th Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers
Paris, FranceSeptember 14-15, 2011
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Outline
Concepts and SourcesReducing Respondent BurdenData SharingNew Statistical Products
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Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
Quarterly census of employers covered under UI and federal employers covered under UCFE
98% of U.S. Employment
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QCEW – Quarterly Census of Employment and
Wages
Quarterly data (frequent) Released 6 months after reference
period - timely 9.1 million records and growing 130 million in employment Units, employment and wages 6 digit NAICS and county, ownership
20 million data series available on the BLS website
UI based, mandatory collections to run UI Wages - 98% reported data Employment - 97% reported data Units - 95% reported data
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Investment in Quality
Source: BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Administrative data from Unemployment
Insurance filings (UI) Huge investment in improving raw
administrative data Two supplemental collections
– ARS- Annual Refiling Survey– MWR- Multiple Worksite Report
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Independent Validation Checks
Current Employment Statistics Survey Monthly Survey of Employment and
Earners 400,000 establishments Detailed industry and geographic
estimates Individual Wage Records
National State 6
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Highly Accurate Data Thorough editing and review at the
state, regional, and national levels each quarter
196 Interactive Edits QCEW staff contact businesses to
validate or correct questionable data and/or provide missing data (probably unique in this respect)
Development of new processing system with even more powerful editing and review capabilities
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QCEW Concepts
Employer
Establishment
Reporting unit
Multi-establishment employer
QCEW
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Business Register Sources
UI Status Determination Form UI Quarterly Contribution Report
BLS Multiple Worksite Report BLS Federal Government Report BLS Annual Refiling Survey Forms
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Status Determination Form
Data obtained:
UI account number
business name business
address employer
identification number
ownership status
industry status multi-
establishment employer status
predecessor information
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Quarterly UI Contribution Report
Data obtained:
monthly employment total wages taxable wages employer contributions
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Multiple Worksite Report
Data obtained:
establishment address worksite description monthly employment by
establishment total wages by establishment
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Federal Government Report
Federal employment and wages All Federal worksites report
electronically
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Annual Refiling Forms
Verify and update:
industry codes geographic codes ownership status business names and addresses multi-establishment status
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BLS Business Register
Updated each quarter
Over 9 million records
Longitudinal database
Linked to create a time series for each establishment
BLS Business Register
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Reducing Response Rates
Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) Center
Touchtone Data Collection
Web Collection
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EDI Center
Established in 1995 Purpose: Collect data
electronically from large firms in multiple states
The EDI Center collects 24% of the nation’s establishments representing 20% of employment
The EDI Center has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden
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Touchtone Data Collection
Established in 2002 Purpose: Collect data from
respondents to the Annual Refile Survey
Touchtone Data Entry (TDE) accounts for about 29% of ARS respondents
TDE has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden
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MWR Internet Web Collection
Established in 2007 Purpose: Collect data from
respondents to the MWR MWR Web accounts for about
13% of total employment and 10% of establishments
MWR Web has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden
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Data Sharing
Bureau of Economic Analysis Census Bureau National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) Future Data Sharing Plans
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Bureau of Economic Analysis
Receives Employment and Wage Data every quarter
Used to prepare the Personal Income component of the National Income and Products Accounts at the national, state and county level
QCEW wages represent 94% of the wage and salary component of Personal Income and 42.5% of GDP
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Census Bureau
Receives industry codes every quarter.
Used in the Census Business Register to help classify new establishments.
In FY2011, BLS supplied Census with 3.3 million matched firm records
This data sharing project reduces respondent burden, improves industry codes for Census, and helps to create consistent statistical products
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NOAA
Used to develop ocean economy economic indicators of employment and wages at the national, state and county level
This data sharing project is helping NOAA develop new social science tools and methods used to address the nation’s coastal issues
http://csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/snapshots/index.html
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Future Data Sharing Plans
More Data Sharing with Census: Sharing Multi-units data Sharing Professional Employer
Organization (PEO) data Department of Agriculture
Economic Research Service
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Continuous Progress and Improvements
1991 –1992 : Multiple Worksite Reports - county Level
2001 : Longitudinal Database completed1998 – 2001 : NAICS Implemented2002 : Quarterly Publication Initiated2003 : Business Employment Dynamics
(BED): Geocoding started
2004 : NAICS History Released (Sept 2004)
4 Week Acceleration Completed 2005 : BED Firm Size Data2007 : NAICS 2007 Conversion (2007/Q1)2010 : QCEW Mapping Tool BED Expansion
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UI Tax Rate & Actuarial Analysis
UI-Covered Employment
Local Area Unemployment
Personal Income (BEA)
Gross Domestic Product (BEA)
Economic Forecasting
Current Employment Statistics
Occupational Employment Statistics
Job Creation/Destruction• Size Class Dynamics• Business Survival Rates
Geocoded Establishments
Occupational Employment Statistics
Occupational Safety and Health Statistics
Current Employment Statistics
National Compensation Survey
Industrial Price Program
Occupational Safety and Health Statistics
Programmatic Uses
Benchmarking(Employment Base)
General Economic Uses
Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Data (QCEW/
Analytical UsesSampling
Mass Layoff Statistics
State Revenue Projections
Jobs Openings & Labor Turnover Survey
Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey
Quarterly Press Releases, Annual Employment and Wages
Local Economic Development Indicators
• Clusters Analysis• Shift Share• Industry Diversity Indexes• Location Quotients
Federal Funds Allocation$175 Billion(HUD, USDA, HCFA/CHIP)
Minimum Wage Studies
Uses Of Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Data (QCEW)
Local Economic Impact Response Planning
Local Government Services Planning
Interagency Data Uses• Improve CPS After 2000 Census• LEHD• Industry Code Sharing
Local Transportation Planning
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Employment and Wage Data
number of establishments, monthly employment, and quarterly wages
Available by: geographical area industry code size
WAGES
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QCEW Publications
Annual Bulletin via the Web Employment and Wages Released in Fall After Year’s End
Quarterly Press Releases County Employment and Wages Business Employment Dynamics
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Timeliness
January 1 – March 31 = Reference Quarter
March 31 – April 30 = Reporting Period
May 1 – July 29 = UI Processing QCEW Extract from UI QCEW Edit & Review
July 30 – Sept 28 = State File sent to BLS BLS Review State Updates Received
September 29, 2011 = Publication
Lag = 6 months
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QCEW Mapping Tool
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QCEW Mapping Tool
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Uses of Geocoded Data
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Business Employment Dynamics (BED)
Linked longitudinally QCEW data to create a time series
– Unit of analysis is the Establishment Scope
– Private sector, excludes private households• 6.8 million establishments• 107 million employment
Reveals the dynamics of the labor market. Shows gross flows as well as net
employment changes
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UsesBusiness Demography data: Provides policy-relevant series at
all levels of government Assesses the employment
dynamics of the business cycle Provides new indicators on the
health of the labor market
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BED Data Series Available
National Total Private National NAICS Sector National Firm Size State Total Private Size of Employment
Change (National) Annual (National/State) Birth Death
(National/State) Age/Survival (National)
September 2003 May 2004 December 2005 August 2007 September 2008
May 19, 2009 May 19, 2009 August, 18 2010
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Gross job gains
Gross job losses
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Expansions
Contractions
Openings
Closings
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Survival Rates Across Cohorts
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Accessing the QCEW and BED Macrodata
BED: http://www.bls.gov/bdm/home.htm
QCEW: http://www.bls.gov/cew/home.htm
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Contact Information
Richard ClaytonDavid Talan
Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]
www.bls.gov/bdm